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October 2020
AEROSPACE

                                                                              DOES AEROSPACE HAVE
                                                                              A RACE PROBLEM?
                                                                              SECRETS FROM THE
                                                                              FALKLANDS AIR WAR
                                                                              POWERING UP
                                                                              ELECTRIC FLIGHT

                             www.aerosociety.com

                                                               GETTING
October 2020

                                                               SHIPSHAPE
                                                               UK F-35B FORCE GETS READY
Volume 47 Number 10

                                                               FOR FIRST OPERATIONAL
                                                               CARRIER DEPLOYMENT
Royal AeronauticaSociety

                   OCTOBER 2020 AEROSPACE COVER FINAL.indd 1                                  18/09/2020 14:59
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GETTING SHIPSHAPE - Royal ...
Volume 47 Number 10
October 2020

   EDITORIAL                                                                                                                 Contents
  When global rules unravel                                                                                                  Regulars
                                                                                                                              4 Radome                           12 Transmission
  What price global standards, rules and regulations? Pre-pandemic there were                                                 The latest aviation and            Your letters, emails, tweets
                                                                                                                              aeronautical intelligence,         and social media feedback.
  many who argued that globalisation had gone too far. However, the effect                                                    analysis and comment.
  of Covid-19 on aviation, which relies on seamless connectivity, common                                                                                         58 The Last Word
  standards and single markets, has been crippling with only domestic air travel                                              11 Pushing the Envelope            Keith Hayward compares
  in China to return to anything like normality. Elsewhere, hopes that a gradual                                              Rob Coppinger looks at the         and contrasts the collapse
                                                                                                                              progress in the development        of Rolls-Royce in January
  easing of restrictions from the tight lockdown in March would bring a recovery                                              of engines for the new             1971 with its present
  in passenger numbers have now been dashed, and airlines are facing the                                                      generation of supersonic           difficulties in the wake of
                                                                                                                              civil aircraft.                    Covid-19.
  complete collapse of long-haul travel. In the UK, air bridges, uncertainty over
  countries on the 14-day quarantine list and last-minute Government U-turns                                                 Features
  are undermining any demand for intra-European air travel. Without a vaccine                                                                                    26 Lightning pathfinders
  being quickly rolled out, this could well mean a slow and painful recovery –
  one estimate is that airlines will not recover to 2019 traffic levels until 2028.
                                                                                                                             14                                  The experience of introducing
                                                                                                                                                                 the F-35B Lightning II onto
  The scale of job losses to the aviation industry has also distracted attention                                                                                 the UK’s new HMS Queen
                                                                                                                                                                 Elizabeth aircraft carrier.
  from an arguably bigger issue – the way in which aviation and air travel is the
  vital lubricant that keeps the motor of global trade and commerce running.

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Lufthansa
  Although the world has adapted remarkably swiftly to remote collaboration
  and online working, the absence of business-class travel to help power the                                                 Plugging into the electric       30
                                                                                                                             aircraft revolution
  global economy, means the risk of the engine is in danger of seizing-up.
                                                                                                                             Part 1 of a two-part analysis
  Simply put, if the world’s nations want to avoid a prolonged global depression,                                            into the economic realities of
  there needs to be urgent high-level global agreement on common health                                                      developing and operating all-
                                                                                                                             electric commercial aircraft.
  standards for air travel, airport checks, passenger screening, etc to allow                                                                                    Clipped wings
  aviation to continue to generate this wider employment and wealth. Although                                                 19 21 things I discovered          The practicalities of keeping
  countries are creating their own national ‘aviation plans’, airlines desperately                                            while writing Harrier 809          civil aircraft in long and
                                                                                                                              Rowland White describes            short-term storage.
  need a global recovery plan just to survive, let alone thrive, in a confusing                                               previous secret plans
  mishmash of pandemic travel rules and restrictions.                                                                         and unusual facts when             36 Beyond safety
                                                                                                                              researching his latest book        How aviation organisations
  Tim Robinson FRAeS, Editor-in-Chief                                                                                         on the Falklands Air War.          need not just to meet but to
  tim.robinson@aerosociety.com                                                                                                                                   exceed safety standards.

      Correspondence on all aerospace matters is welcome at: publications@aerosociety.com
                                                                                                                             22                                40

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Microsoft
Editor-in-Chief                             Editorial Office                           2020 AEROSPACE subscription
Tim Robinson, FRAeS                         Royal Aeronautical Society                 rates: Non-members, £180
+44 (0)20 7670 4353                         No.4 Hamilton Place                        Please send your order to:
tim.robinson@aerosociety.com                London W1J 7BQ, UK                         Wayne J Davis, RAeS, No.4 Hamilton
                                            +44 (0)20 7670 4300                        Place, London W1J 7BQ, UK.
Deputy Editor
                                            publications@aerosociety.com               +44 (0)20 7670 4354
Bill Read, FRAeS                                                                                                              Broadening the palette
                                            www.aerosociety.com                        aerosubs@aerosociety.com
+44 (0)20 7670 4351
                                                                                                                              Has aviation and aerospace         Return of the king
bill.read@aerosociety.com                   AEROSPACE is published by the Royal        Any member not requiring a print
                                            Aeronautical Society (RAeS).               version of this magazine should        got a racism problem and           A review of Microsoft’s new
Production Manager                                                                                                                                               Flight Simulator.
Wayne J Davis                               Chief Executive                            contact: membership@aerosociety.com    what can be done about it?
+44 (0)20 7670 4354                         Sir Brian Burridge CBE FRAeS               USA: Periodical postage paid at
wayne.davis@aerosociety.com
Publications Executive
                                            Advertising
                                            +44 (0)20 7670 4346
                                                                                       Champlain New York and additional
                                                                                       offices.                              Afterburner
                                            partners@aerosociety.com                   Postmaster: Send address changes
Chris Male, MRAeS
                                                                                       to IMS of New York, PO Box 1518,
                                                                                                                             46 Message from our President
+44 (0)20 7670 4352                         Unless specifically attributed, no
chris.male@aerosociety.com                  material in AEROSPACE shall be taken
                                                                                       Champlain NY 12919-1518, USA.         47 Message from our Chief Executive
Production Executive                        to represent the opinion of the RAeS.      ISSN 2052-451X                        48 Book Reviews
Annabel Hallam                              Reproduction of material used in this
                                            publication is not permitted without the
                                                                                                                             52 New Member Spotlight
+44 (0)20 7670 4361
annabel.hallam@aerosociety.com              written consent of the Editor-in-Chief.                                          53 2021 Membership subscriptions
Book Review Editor                          Printed by Buxton Press Limited,                                                 54 Black History Month
Brian Riddle                                Palace Road, Buxton, Derbyshire
brian.riddle@aerosociety.com                SK17 6AE, UK                                                                     56 Elections
                                            Distributed by Royal Mail

                 Additional content is available to view online at: www.aerosociety.com/aerospaceinsight                                     Read AEROSPACE magazine and the Insight
                            Including: Economics of electric aircraft – Parts 1 and 2, Air ambulance of the future,                            blog on your smartphone, tablet or digital
                              Wake-up call for space threats, Has aviation and aerospace got a racism problem?,                              devices with the AEROSPACE app - available
Online                                            Review of Microsoft’s new Flight Simulator.                                 APP                     on iTunes and Google Play.

Front cover: UK Lockheed Martin F-35B Lightning II on HMS Queen Elizabeth. (Lockheed Martin)

       @aerosociety            i   Find us on LinkedIn      f    Find us on Facebook             www.aerosociety.com                                                           OCTOBER 2020                   13
GETTING SHIPSHAPE - Royal ...
Blueprint
                       INTELLIGENCE / ANALYSIS / COMMENT

                                                                                                Blade runner
                                                                                                The HX50 is set to benefit from a new
                                                                                                approach in rotor and hub design, with its
                                                                                                three-blade configuration providing benign
                                                                                                handling, increased flight performance and
                                                                                                advanced wire-strike protection.

                       Composite structure
                       The HX50 will feature a composite structure,
                       giving a lightweight, damage-tolerant and
                       crashworthy protection for a pilot and four
                       passengers.

                                                                      Retractable undercarriage
                                                                      Unusually for a single-engine light helicopter in this class, the landing
                                                                      gear will be retractable. The sleek design will help achieve lower
                                                                      aerodynamic drag, giving reduced fuel consumption.
    Hill Helicopters

  4                    AEROSPACE

OCTOBER 2020 News.indd 2                                                                                                                    18/09/2020 13:58:42
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Specifications
                                                                             Passengers:                five including pilot
                                                                             Gross weight:              3,630lb
                                                                             Empty weight:              1,870lb
                                                                             Payload:                   1,760lb
                                                                             Cargo:                     60lb
                                                                             Max cruise speed:          140kt
                                                                             Fuel burn:                 35gph at 140kt
                                                                                                        22gph at 110kt

                                                   Mystery engine
                                                   Hill Helicopters remains coy about the 500shp turbine powerplant it
                                                   will use for the HX50 but there is speculation that it is developing its
                                                   own powerplant in-house with input from founder Jason Hill’s
                                                   engineering company DynamiQ Engineering. The engine is described
                                                   as being multifuel (including biofuels) with advanced inlets and noise-
                                                   suppression and delivering a high power-to-weight ratio.

             GENERAL AVIATION

             Light chopper aims to disrupt
              A previously unknown UK company has revealed that it is developing a new light helicopter
              for the private market. The Hill Helicopters HX50 is a single-engine light helicopter powered
              by an as-yet-unnamed 500shp powerplant and will carry four passengers and a pilot. It is
              aiming to compete with the Bell 505, Robinson R66 and Airbus H120 with low running costs of
              £15k a year – and address a market not yet served. The company aims to fly the helicopter in
              2022, with deliveries to follow the following year.
                                                                                                                 OCTOBER 2020         5

OCTOBER 2020 News.indd 3                                                                                                 18/09/2020 13:58:50
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Radome
           COVID-19
             AEROSPACE                                                                                                         AIR TRANSPORT

            ATC trainees latest casualty of                                                                                   Airlines adapt with
            Covid-19 fallout                                                                                                  sightseeing flights
                                                                                                                              Faced with restrictions        at full capacity. Royal
                                                                                                                              on international flights       Brunei Airlines, also
                                                                                                                              due to the Covid-19,           operated a 85min
                                                                                                                              some airlines have now         sightseeing ‘dine and fly’
                                                                                                                              begun offering scenic          flight in August using an
                                                                                                                              sightseeing flights to         A320. Meanwhile, other
                                                                                                                              cater for passengers           airlines including Japan’s
          NATS

                                                                                                                              desperate to fly. Taiwan’s     All Nippon Airlines
            Over 120 trainee air traffic controllers from the UK NATS air service provider are to                             Eva Air, for example, flew     (ANA), Japan Airlines,
            lose their jobs just weeks before graduation and being posted to operational units. Due                           scenic charter flights         Singapore Airlines
            to the sharp decline in air traffic, training has now been paused. Students will have a                           in August using an             and Qantas are set to
            guaranteed right to return once it re-opens but the decision was slammed by union                                 A330, with the aircraft        follow suit with scenic
            Prospect who said it was “disastrously short-sighted”.                                                            reportedly operating           sightseeing flights.

                 AEROSPACE                                                                      AIR TRANSPORT

             Bahrain airshow axed,                                                              IATA suggests 4-point plan to
                                                                                                rescue UK aviation
             Zhuhai back on
                 The Bahrain International    trade exhibition, set for
                 Air Show, which was          10-15 November, would
                 scheduled for 18-20          be cancelled due to
                 November, has been           Covid-19. A representative
                                                                             Heathrow Airport

                 cancelled due to the         of the show had orginallly
                 continuation of the          emailed media outlets
                 Coronavirus pandemic.        to say that the show
                 The organisers hope          was cancelled before
                 to hold the next show        sending another email                             Global airline body the International Air Transport Association (IATA) has proposed
                 in 2022. Meanwhile,          only to request that outlets                      an urgent rescue plan for UK aviation after it detailed how stop-start quarantine
                 organisers of China’s        withdraw their coverage                           measures are killing demand for air travel. The body warns that government policies
                 Zhuhai Air Show have         of this news and that                             are putting 820,000 jobs at risk, and proposes: a testing regime at airports, a review
                 backtracked on an earlier    the show was still going                          of the infection threshold that triggers quarantine, a suspension of APD duty and an
                 announcement that the        ahead.                                            extension of the furlough scheme for the airline sector.

          NEWS IN BRIEF
                                             performance. Flight testing                    health checks, passenger          role. The PC-12NGs              Slovenia, Thailand and
          Airbus has signed                  using two Airbus A350s                         refunds, CAA enforcement          will replace five Cessna        Spain.
          agreements with                    is scheduled to begin                          powers, aviation reform           FR172 aircraft previously
          Frenchbee and SAS                  later this year with the                       and business rates with           used for patrol.                The European Union
          Scandinavian Airlines,             new partners becoming                          airports.                                                         Aviation Safety Agency
          together with three                involved in 2021.                                                                Arianespace launched            (EASA) has awarded flight
          air navigation service                                                            The Irish Air Corps               a Vega rocket on 2              certification for Diamond
          providers, DSNA, NATS              The UK Government                              has taken delivery                September from French           Aircraft’s single engine
          and Eurocontrol, for               has announced that it                          of three PC-12NG                  Guiana, carrying 53             DA50 RG. First flown in
          feasibility studies of             is to publish an aviation                      Spectre special mission           small satellites from 13        October 2019, deliveries
          its fello’fly emissions            recovery plan later this                       turboprops. The aircraft          countries. The payload          of the first aircraft are due
          reduction project. Inspired        autumn. The report,                            touched down in                   included satellites for         to begin in early 2021 with
          by the flight patterns of          which will give details of                     Baldonnel, Ireland, on 10         the European Space              FAA certification in the
          birds, the fello’fly concept       a five-year strategy up to                     September after flying in         Agency, CubeSats                same year.
          involves flying two aircraft       2025, is expected to cover                     from Denver, Colorado,            for Planet and Spire,
          close together for long-           policies on such topics                        US, where they were               Satellogic, PointView,          UK next-generation
          haul flights to improve            as travel corridors, border                    converted for the ISR             Kepler Communications,          airship manufacturer

  6       AEROSPACE

OCTOBER 2020 News.indd 4                                                                                                                                                             18/09/2020 13:58:51
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Ev
                                                                                                                                                                                                         ha
           AEROSPACE                                                                          DEFENCE

          Congress publishes final                                                       US flies new fighter X-plane in
          737 MAX report                                                                 secret testing
          On 16 September,               assumptions, a ‘culture
          the US Congress                of concealment’ with
          House Committee on             Boeing withholding
          Transportation and             critical information

                                                                         USAF Research Lab
          Infrastructure published       from the FAA, airlines
          its final report into the      and 737 MAX pilots,
          development of the             conflicts of interest and
          Boeing 737 MAX –               conflicted representation
          strongly criticising both      between manufacturer                                The USAF has revealed that it has flown a demonstrator X-plane in secret for its Next
          the manufacturer and           and regulator, as well as                           Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) future fighter. Speaking at the Air Force Association
          the Federal Aviation           Boeing’s influence over the                         conference, Will Roper, Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Acquisition, Technology and
          Administration (FAA) for       FAA’s oversight function.                           Logistics, revealed that a NGAD full-scale demonstrator had begun flight testing and “we
          their part in allowing an      Chair of the Committee,                             broke records doing it”, according to an interview in Defense News. No other details, such
          unsafe aircraft to enter       Congressman Peter                                   as manufacturer, or location of flights were given.
          service and one that           DeFazio said that: “our
          killed 346 people in two       report gives Congress                                GENERAL AVIATION
          separate accidents. The
          investigation, which took
                                         a roadmap on the steps
                                         we must take to reinforce
                                                                                             Vertical Aerospace adds wings for
          18 months to put together,     aviation safety and                                 its new five-person eVTOL
          said that the crashes were     regulatory transparency,
          a ‘horrific culmination of a   increase Federal oversight,
          series of faulty technical     and improve corporate
          assumptions by Boeing’s        accountability to help
          engineers, a lack of           ensure the story of the
          transparency on the part       Boeing 737 MAX is never,
                                                                         Vertical Aerospace

          of Boeing’s management,        ever repeated.”
          and grossly insufficient        European aviation
          oversight by the FAA’. The     safety agency EASA has
          report found that there        completed flight testing
          was extensive pressure to      of the Boeing 737 MAX
          cut costs and schedule,        as part of its return to                       UK-based eVTOL developer Vertical Aerospace has revealed a new winged design for a
          to compete with the rival      flight. Testing took place in                  five-person electric aerial taxi – the VA-1X. The vehicle would carry four passengers and
          Airbus A320neo, faulty         Vancouver, Canada, due to                      one pilot and have a range of 100miles and a cruising speed of 100mph. The company
          design and performance         Covid-19 restrictions.                         is aiming for entry into service in 2024.

          Hybrid Air Vehicles has                                                                                            The eight-hour flight            enter service in 2023.
          announced that it is           Greece announced on                            Under plans to help                  demonstration took place         Named the V300, the
          forming a partnership with     12 September that it will                      commercialise space,                 over September from              aircraft is fitted with four
          2Excel Aviation to offer       buy 18 Dassault Rafale                         NASA is to incentivise               Wales, with the MALE             vertical-thrust electric
          customers joint proposals      fighters to boost its air                      private companies to                 UAV flying the first drone       motors on twin booms
          for operating the Airlander    power. The acquisition is                      collect Moon rocks and               flight in unsegregated           with a conventional
          10 airship in a variety of     part of a rise in defence                      lunar dust. The initiative           airspace since 2015 –            engine powering a pusher
          roles.                         spending, driven by                            seeks to open up the                 and the first UAV flight to      propeller. According to
                                         increased tensions with                        Moon to future mining                take-off, fly in international   the company, the V300
          United Airlines is to          Turkey, that will also see                     and resource extraction.             airspace and land back in        could carry up to 1,000lb
          furlough about 20%             Athens acquire four new                                                             the UK.                          (460kg) with room for
          (16,370) of its employees.     frigates and SH-60R                            The UK’s Maritime and                                                 three EPAL standard
          The action is to come          naval helicopters, as                          Coastguard Agency                    Slovenian electric aircraft      pallets. A smaller V20
          into force on 1 October        well as anti-tank missiles                     (MCA) has announced it               specialist Pipistrel, has        variant could carry
          when payroll restrictions      and torpedoes, plus an                         has carried out a trial of           announced the launch             payloads up to 44lb
          attached to a Federal          upgrade for ten Mirage                         UAVs for SAR using the               of a new hybrid-electric         (20kg) over shorter
          bailout expires.               2000s.                                         Hermes 900 drone.                    eVTOL cargo aircraft to          distances.

                                                                                                                                                                          OCTOBER 2020          7
OCTOBER 2020 News.indd 5                                                                                                                                                           18/09/2020 13:58:52
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Radome
                        SPACEFLIGHT                                                       AIR TRANSPORT

                   China flies mystery                                                First El Al direct flight between Israel
                   winged spacecraft                                                  and UAE makes history
                    China has launched and         test runway at Lop Nur                                                                                 On 31 August the first
                    returned to Earth an           airbase. The state-run                                                                                 direct service between
                    experimental reusable          news Xinhua News                                                                                       Israel and the United Arab
                    spacecraft. The spacecraft     Agency later confirmed                                                                                 Emirates (UAE) landed in
                    took off onboard a Long        the mission was testing                                                                                Abu Dhabi after a three-
                    March 2F rocket on 4           ‘reusable technologies                                                                                 hour flight from Tel Aviv.
                    September from Jiuquan         during its flight, providing                                                                           The chartered El Al flight,
                    launch base in the Gobi        technological support for                                                                              using a Boeing 737 with
                    Desert which then landed       the peaceful use of space’.                                                                            ‘peace’ written in Arabic,
                    on 6 September after two       Details of the spacecraft      El Al                                                                   English and Hebrew on
                    days in orbit and reaching     are unknown but some                                                                                   it, carried Israeli and US
                    an altitude of 350km. It       analysts claim that it is a        diplomats and also made history by routing over Saudi airspace – previously banned to
                    is then believed to have       winged vehicle, similar to         Israeli airliners. The flight follows the surprise signing of a Middle East peace deal, with
                    landed at a secretive          the USAF’s X-37B.                  the UAE normalising relations with Israel.

                        AEROSPACE                                                                                      DEFENCE

                   Laminar-flow fuel-sipping bullet                                                                    MoD approves Typhoon
                   aircraft promises jet speeds                                                                        AESA radar upgrade
                                                                                                                       The UK Ministry of               which will go onto 40
                                                                                                                       Defence (MoD) has                Tranche 3 Typhoons with
                                                                                                                       given the go-ahead for           the option to also retrofit
                                                                                                                       a £317m contract to              the radar into Tranche
                                                                                                                       install the European             2s. Flight testing will
        Otto Aviation

                                                                                                                       Common Radar System              commence in 2022 with
                                                                                                                       (ECRS) Mk 2 active               IOC in 2025. Once in
                                                                                                                       electronically scanned-          service, the ECRS Mk2
                    Secretive US-start-up Otto Aviation has finally revealed its revolutionary Cerelon 500L            array (AESA) radar               will be ‘the world’s most
                    six-person aircraft, which offers jet-like (450mph) speeds and range (4,500nm) but                 onto the RAF Typhoons.           capable fighter radar’ able
                    achieves a staggering 18-24miles to the gallon thanks to its laminar flow shaping, which           The development and              to simultaneously perform
                    produces 59% less drag than comparable aircraft and its RED A03 V12 piston engine.                 integration will be              air and surface search and
                    The Cerelon, which was first spotted in 2017 in Victorville, California, has now flown 31          conducted by BAE                 track, as well as electronic
                    times, according to the manufacturer.                                                              Systems and Leonardo             warfare and attack.

                        NEWS IN BRIEF
                                                   multi-domain information           Two smaller satellites,                                           reached an agreement
                    Taiwanese carrier              portal, designed to take           GNOMES 1 and Tyvak               An Israeli company,              with airline management
                    STARLUX airlines is            data from multiple sources         0172, were also placed           Atlas LTA Advanced               to prevent 600 pilots from
                    to lease eight Airbus          and share it as part of the        into orbit.                      Technology, is aiming            being furloughed from 1
                    A330-900s from Air             future ‘Combat Cloud’                                               to introduce a new               October. Around half of
                    Lease Corporation. The         battlespace network.               As AEROSPACE goes                generation of ‘green’ high       Spirit’s 2,500 Spirit pilots
                    first aircraft are due to be                                      to press, general aviation       altitude and long-range          have agreed to temporarily
                    delivered in late 2021.        SpaceX launched                    manufacturer Piper               airships and aerostats.          work fewer hours each
                                                   an Argentine radar                 Aircraft is set to fly the       Atlas plans to build a           month.
                    On 15 September the            observation satellite on           5,000th example of its           range of large-capacity
                    RAF conducted an               30 August on its 100th             popular Archer single-           transport ATLANT helium-         Korea Aerospace
                    airborne trial of its new      launch. Lifted aboard              engine light aircraft.           filled, hydrogen-powered         Industries (KAI) has
                    Nexus AI data sharing          a Falcon 9 rocket from             First named the Archer           airships, capable of             unveiled the first prototype
                    platform onboard a             Cape Canaveral on a                in 1972, the aircraft is a       carrying oversized cargo         of its indigenous KF-X
                    Voyager tanker with multi-     southerly trajectory, the          variant of the best-selling      up to 165 tons.                  fighter aircraft. The first of
                    service observers from the     SAOCOM 1B satellite                PA-28 family and was put                                          six prototypes is currently
                    British Army and Royal         was placed into an                 back into production in          Pilots working for US            under assembly with
                    Navy onboard. Nexus is a       orbit over Earth’s poles.          2010.                            carrier Spirit Airlines have     completion scheduled

  8                 AEROSPACE

OCTOBER 2020 News.indd 6                                                                                                                                                       18/09/2020 13:58:53
GETTING SHIPSHAPE - Royal ...
DEFENCE                                                              AEROSPACE

            AI fighter pilot to take on                                          A320 family reaches 10,000th
            human in dogfight test
                After AI vs human              the DARPA AlphaDogfight
                simulated dogfights, the       challenge this year which
                US is set to put AI aces       saw a computer triumph
                in real aircraft to go head-   against a human F-16
                to-head in air combat          pilot in simulated air
                trials with human pilots       combat – winning 5-0.
                in 2024. Speaking at a         The AI Top Gun developed
                US DoD AI symposium,           by Heron Systems had
                Secretary of Defense           already beaten other
                Mark Esper revealed that       artificial agents in the     Airbus
                a real-world trial in 2024     AlphaDogfight challenge,
                of an AI vs human fighter      including Aurora Flight               On 11 September, Airbus announced through social media that the 10,000th example
                pilot will take place in       Sciences and Lockheed                 of its A320 single-aisle family airliner – an A321neo – had made its first flight from its
                2024, following on from        Martin.                               Hamburg factory.The milestone airframe will go to Middle East Airlines (MEA).

                SPACEFLIGHT                                                                                           GENERAL AVIATION

            New entrant Astra fails to reach                                                                         Flying Legends parts
            orbit                                                                                                    company with Duxford
                                                                                                                     After 30 years the annual        Covid-19 and financial
                                                                                                                     Flying Legends vintage           constraints and said the
                                                                                                                     warbird show will no             decision was by ‘mutual
                                                                                                                     longer be held at the            agreement’ with the Flying
                                                                                                                     historic Duxford airfield        Legends organisers and
                                                                                                                     in Cambridgeshire, it has        vintage aircraft operator
                                                                                                                     been announced. The              The Fighter Collection,
                                                                                                                     2020 Flying Legends did          which will continue to
        Astra

                                                                                                                     not take place this year         be based at Duxford.
                                                                                                                     due to the Coronavirus           Meanwhile, planning
                A rocket launched by new US commercial space company Astra failed to make orbit on                   pandemic. Meanwhile, the         approval for a new 168-
                11 September. The 38ft two-stage Rocket 3.1 launcher designed to carry microsatellites               Imperial War Museum,             room Hilton hotel on the
                and CubeSats into orbit lifted off from its space port at Kodiak, Alaska but suffered what           responsible for Duxford          Duxford site was given the
                is reported to be an engine shutdown shortly afterwards.                                             aerodrome, blamed                go-ahead in June.

                for 2021, first flight in      vehicle, Skyrora XL, in           funding from the USAF to
                2022 and manufacturing         2023.                             study its Overture SST as           ON THE MOVE
                to begin in 2026. South                                          a possible US government                                             former British Airways
                Korea plans to have 120        Russian Helicopters               transport. The funding              Bruce Landsberg has been         chief, Willie Walsh, has
                KF-Xs in service by 2032.      has delivered a Mi-171            comes from the USAF                 appointed for a second           stepped down after nine
                                               helicopter to China. Built        Presidential & Executive            term as Vice Chairman of         years in the position.
                Icelandic space company,       at the Ulan-Ude Aviation          Airlift Directorate to              the National Transportation      Iberia Chairman and Chief
                Skyrora has conducted          Plant, the aircraft has           explore configurations              Safety Board (NTSB).             Executive Luis Gallego is
                a test launch of a small       been acquired for an              of the Overture as a                                                 now IAG CE.
                two-stage sub-orbital          unspecified Chinese civil         potential VIP executive or          Greg Jones is the new
                rocket, Skylark Micro, from    aviation company. China           Presidential transport.             CEO of Salus Aviation.           NASA has named
                the Langanes Peninsula         already operates around                                                                                Catherine Koerner as
                in Iceland. The rocket         200 Mi-171 helicopters.           Finnish flag carrier, Finnair       Max Kingsley-Jones,              the new Orion Progam
                ascended to 26.86km                                              is slashing its flight              formerly at Flight Global, is    Manager. She previously
                before both stages were        Supersonic airliner               schedule for October by             now Senior Consultant at         led the Human Health and
                parachuted back down to        start-up, Boom is the             nearly half as the recovery         Cirium.                          Performance Directorate at
                sea. Skyrora is planning       latest high-speed aircraft        of passenger traffic stalls                                          NASA Johnson.
                to launch a larger orbital     developer to receive              out.                                IAG’s Chief Executive and

                                                                                                                                                                  OCTOBER 2020          9
OCTOBER 2020 News.indd 7                                                                                                                                                   18/09/2020 13:58:55
GETTING SHIPSHAPE - Royal ...
By the Numbers
              Understanding the world of Aerospace through data

                 Passenger airliners in service/storage
        Cirium
        Cirium

                                                                     Cirium
         Statista

  10             AEROSPACE

Oct 2020 By the Numbers.indd 2                                    18/09/2020 16:23
Pushing the Envelope
           Exploring advances on the leading edge of aerospace
                                                                                                                              Robert Coppinger

           Accelerating civil propulsion

          F
                       our supersonic civil transport               Carlisle said, in supersonic cruise speed have, “quite
                       announcements were made in August            big impacts on time on wing.” This is where Reaction
                       and all but one of them involved Rolls-      Engines’ heat exchanger technology would be
                       Royce. Almost 17 years since the             helpful. The technology is now light enough so that
                       retirement of Concorde, and its Olympus      it can be incorporated into the heart of the engine.
           593 powerplants, opinion from Rolls-Royce is that        Virgin Galactic’s plan is for a Mach 3 plus transport
           building an engine in 2020 for supersonic travel is      and the SABRE cooling technology can also help
           not a challenge. The challenge today is developing       there. Thomas points out that, between Mach 3 and
           a supersonic engine that meets environmental             4, its heat exchanger can rapidly cool the incoming
           regulations and is still economically viable at          air, reducing the engine temperature and avoiding
           business class seat prices; that is the view of Rolls-   the need for using exotic materials. Avoiding
           Royce’s Strategy Director For Civil Aerospace, Simon     more carbon dioxide and other pollutants in the
           Carlisle.                                                atmosphere is another goal for supersonic aircraft
                                                                    developers. Boom and Nevada-based Aerion, which
           Supersonic united                                        is creating its AS2 supersonic business jet, both see
                                                                    carbon neutrality as important for faster-than-sound
           The Derby-based propulsion firm is working with          travel’s environmental case.
           supersonic airliner developer Boom, Virgin Galactic
           and Reaction Engines, which is advancing its             Synthetic fuels
           synergetic air breathing rocket engine (SABRE)
           for Mach 5 travel. On 3 August, Virgin Galactic          In February, Boom announced that its test
           announced a non-binding memorandum of                    programme will be carbon neutral by using
           understanding with Rolls-Royce to collaborate            sustainable fuels. Aerion announced in October 2018
           in designing and developing engine propulsion            that its AS2 jet would be using GE Aviation’s Affinity,
           technology – that work involves Derby’s US arm.          a medium bypass ratio engine with a twin-shaft, twin-
           Two days later, Rolls-Royce and Boom announced           fan turbofan, which can use synthetic fuels.
           that they had launched a new agreement to advance             Aerion Chief Sustainability Officer, Gene
           engine design for Boom’s Overture airliner.              Holloway, explained that his firm is also working with
               The third and fourth announcements came on           British Columbia-based carbon capture specialist,
           21 and 31 August. Of those two, Reaction Engines         Carbon Engineering. It is developing technology to
           and Rolls-Royce were first, announcing a strategic       capture carbon dioxide from the air and turn it into a
           partnership agreement to develop high-speed              synthetic aviation fuel.                                  CARBON
           aircraft propulsion systems. The second came from             Meanwhile, Boom is also working with a direct        CAPTURE
           the US military and involved a previously unknown        carbon capture, fuel producing company, California’s      SPECIALIST
           company, Exosonic, but not Rolls-Royce. Exosonic         Prometheus Fuels. While synthetic fuels are more
           has a contract with the US Government for a              expensive than conventional hydrocarbon-based
                                                                                                                              CARBON
           supersonic Air Force One. While little is known about    ones, Holloway states that they have a higher specific    ENGINEERING.
           Exosonic’s plans, Reaction Engine’s technology for       energy, 3-4%, compared to JP-1, and they have             IS DEVELOPING
           high-speed propulsion is its proven SABRE heat           no sulphur content; so no sulphur oxide emissions.        TECHNOLOGY
           exchanger and this is expected to be important for       He added that an aircraft can be carbon neutral if it     TO CAPTURE
           Rolls-Royce’s intentions. Reaction Engines’ Chief        maximises its use of such fuels. Despite the spate of     CARBON
           Executive, Mark Thomas, said that his company’s          August announcements, Carlisle is under no illusion
           heat exchanger could help realise an economically        about the challenge; in his view there is a long way
                                                                                                                              DIOXIDE FROM
           viable supersonic engine. Carlisle explained that        to go to concluding that an environmentally friendly,     THE AIR AND
           supersonic propulsion operates at high temperatures      economically viable supersonic engine is possible.        TURN IT INTO
           which, while also experienced by today’s airliner        Looking back on Concorde, Carlisle said everything        A SYNTHETIC
           engines, will last a lot longer. Small differences,      has moved on a long way.                                  AVIATION FUEL

                                                                                                                                     OCTOBER 2020   11
Pushing the Envelope A B.indd 1                                                                                                               18/09/2020 16:25
F,

              Transmission
              LETTERS AND ONLINE                                                @aerosociety        i   Find us on LinkedIn                 f   Find us on Facebook           www.aerosociety.com

          .
              Can the Royal Navy afford two aircraft carriers?                                                                                                                   Racism is a problem

              The National Audit Office                                                                                                   sharing. CEPP and Carrier             Raphael D [On Is there

                                                                                                                        Crown copyright
              (NAO) published Carrier                                                                                                     Strike appear to have                 a racism problem in
              Strike – Preparing for                                                                                                      stymied this maritime-air             aerospace?(1)] There’s a huge
              Deployment on 26 June                                                                                                       imperative and stumped                problem in aviation with this
              2020 and it concerns the                                                                                                    development of a best                 issue but it’s more comfortable
              current status of the UK’s                                                                                                  system of systems ASTOVL/             to sweep it under the carpet,
              approach to developing Carrier                                                                                              ship approach. A carrier              rather than having open
              Strike capability; essentially                                                                                              size-misfit has resulted,             and honest conversations.
              the ability to conduct military                                                                                             predisposed to serious                Putting a photo of a female
              operations with fixed-wing                                                                                                  operational shortcomings.             pilot and the ‘token’ black
              aircraft launched from CVF,                                                                                                 Simply, full capability               man in a recruitment website
              Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft                                                                                              may not be achieved and               doesn’t make a business more
              carriers. It presents a damning                                                                                             lethality, supportability,            ‘inclusive’. Unfortunately, as
                                                 A UK F-35B Lightning II on the flight deck of HMS Queen
              picture. Poorly considered                                                                                                  survivability, vulnerability          a recruiter, cabin crew and
                                                 Elizabeth in November 2019 as part of the WESTLANT 19
              government ‘gunboat’ power                                                                                                  and independent operating             then airline pilot, I have seen
                                                 Exercise off the US coast.
              projection ambitions, mission                                                                                               capability will be severely           enough to categorically say
              and capability woolliness,         bold and innovative solution         projection (CEPP). However,                         compromised because                   that - yes, there is a racism
              murky command and financial        that might have marked               the huge resources to mount                         recovery is unaffordable.             problem in aviation.
              responsibility, artless systems’   re-entry into 21st century           and sustain the Carrier Strike                         The NAO points out the
              integration, compromised           fixed wing maritime aviation.        capability do not appear to                         affordability problem and
              warfighting effectiveness,         Furthermore, an ASTOVL               have been properly planned                          something will have to give.          Dr Susanne Svensdotter
              unresolved conflicting military    aircraft denies the RAF the          or indeed accepted by the                           Perhaps it will be the early loss     Agree completely.
              needs and plain unaffordability    best available strike fighter for    services themselves and the                         of one carrier and a change
              contrive the subplot of the        multi-operational needs.             effort is evidently distorting                      to the F-35 procurement plan.         RAF reflections
              NAO report.                           Politically, the UK re-           the overall total armed forces                      Hopefully, looking back these
                  The F-35B aircraft gives       introduction of carriers             equipment budget.                                   past 50 years, it will be third       Philip Day [On Sir Glenn
               the RN an absolute winner         and air wings is pinned on              The raison d’être of                             time lucky for the Fleet Air          Torphy’s reflections on
               but, by integrating an ASTOVL     establishing a national military     maritime fixed wing aviation                        Arm and fixed-wing will not be        changes to the RAF(2)] Nice
               and fifth-generation fighter      capability to mount global           is fleet air defence. Equal,                        lost this time.                       to see a useful article put
               in such large ships, the sum      operations at short notice           but lesser, are strike and                                                                into bullet points too. Not
               of the whole falls short of the   as carrier enabled power             ISR and modern data                                       Philip V Hunt FRAeS             everything benefits from
                                                                                                                                                                                masses of prose! Thank you
                                                                                                                                                                                for saving me some time and
                                                                                                                                                                                delivering the same impact.

                       f                                     i
                                                                                      RAeS wins engineering diversity award
                                                                                                                                                                                 Thank you Spitfire

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    George Romain/ARCo
                                                                                      The Royal Aeronautical Society has won the Best Professional
                                                                                      Engineering Institution of the Year award for 2020. Organised
                                                                                      by EqualEngineers, The Engineering Talent Awards 2020
                                                                                      are a new set of awards to celebrate the diversity of the
              Lifetime with the RAeS              Reclassifying airspace              engineering and technology profession.
                                                 Alex Berry [On RAeS                                                                                                            Jacob Pompe [On NHS
                                                 response to CAA consultation         Bishnujee Singh                                     Capt Don Van Dyke Well-
                                                                                                                                                                                Spitfire(3) It is wonderful how,
                                                 on new draft procedure for           Congratulations Royal                               earned, well-deserved!
                                                                                                                                                                                to this day, the Spitfire remains
                                                 reviewing the classification of      Aeronautical Society team!
                                                                                                                                                                                to be such an iconic aircraft.
                                                 airspace] An interesting read        I predicted correctly the
                                                                                                                                                                                I recommend watching The
                                                 with most valid points around        previous day that the RAeS is                       Christopher Miah
                                                                                                                                                                                First of the Few about how it
              Anthonile Greenman The             the issue of compromised             going to walk away with the                         Congratulations to the
                                                                                                                                                                                all started!
              RAeS is a lifetime association.    safety. In my view, anything         award. It’s almost going to be                      Royal Aeronautical Society.
              Today I came across this book      that simplifies sub-4,000ft          my 25 years of association                          A wonderful achievement
              in our library. The RAeS has       is sure to get a decent              with the RAeS.                                      most fitting for a world class
                                                                                                                                                                                Captain Ameen Budagher
              been around before I was           round of applause from a                                                                 professional engineering body.
                                                                                                                                                                                The Royal Air Force was
              born and it shall still be there   high proportion of the GA                                                                                                      instrumental in changing
              in many years to come. I salute    community. The CAA have              Mariya Tarabanovska
                                                                                                                                                                                positively the outcome of the
              everyone who has made              made some welcome changes            Congratulations to everyone                         Peter Round Fabulous
                                                                                                                                                                                Second World War. Glorious
              this Society a world-class         of late, hopefully this trend will   in RAeS!                                            news. Well done all of you.
                                                                                                                                                                                day for the RAF.
              professional body.                 continue.

     12       AEROSPACE
Aviation accolade                  Short-haul e-aircraft             Designing fighters                                  From the RAeS photo archives
for Editor                                                           @marauder2048 [On 21st
                                  @BladeIndia [On Wiring

                                                                                                                                                                                            RAeS/NAL
                                  up the electric aviation           Century Boyd’s(5)] A piece
                                  revolution(4)] Rightly said,       that wilfully mischaracterises
                                  introduction of eVTOLs is          Schriever’s approach to
                                  a plausible reality for short-     fighters. His whole point
                                  haul flights where public          was that you had to consider
                                  concerns over safety is a big      the ground and support
                                  challenge. Long-haul aircraft      equipment and the other
                                  will take longer.                  components as a total
                                                                     package which meant that
AEROSPACE Editor Tim                                                 introducing new types had
Robinson FRAeS has won             Digital design                    to be carefully planned and
The Honourable Company                                               executed.
of Air Pilots Award for           @BryanHomey [On USAF
Aviation Journalism 2020.         announcing that the T-7A
‘This award is given to           will be designated the eT-7A       @BurkhardDomke A tool
an individual journalist,         due to having been digitally       doesn’t yet make a good
                                  designed] Will it phone                                                                de Havilland DH98 Mosquito TT35 ‘converted’ to a FBVI for
publication or organisation for                                      design. At best, the digital
                                  home? Hahaha.                                                                          the film 633 Squadron in 1963. The first Mosquito prototype
an outstanding contribution                                          modelling and simulation
                                                                                                                         completed its maiden flight nearly 80 years ago on 25
to the promotion or public                                           approach abstractedly
                                                                                                                         November 1940. Over 7,700 were built and the ‘Wooden
awareness of aviation in                                             reflects only what is
                                  @TheDewLine And SR-71                                                                  Wonder’ remained in service from 1941 to 1961. The
general or of any important                                          known and thought to be
                                  stood for ‘slide rule’, then,                                                          original prototype is on display at the de Havilland Aircraft
aspect of aviation activity.’                                        understood. Beyond that,
                                  apparently.                                                                            Museum at London Colney and is the only surviving WW2
                                                                     it is fed with assumptions.
                                                                                                                         prototype to be preserved in the world.
                                                                     The real challenges are in
                                                                     organisation and culture.
                                  @DefenseWag Thank
                                  heavens the E is silent.

                                   Cranfield asks for Flying Classroom memories                                          RAeS virtual space conference
                                   Cranfield University is appealing to students and visitors who
                                   have flown in the National Flying Laboratory Centre (NFLC)
                                   Jetstream 31 turboprop ‘Flying Classroom’ to share their
                                   anecdotes and experiences of their flights. The aircraft is soon
BAME webinar(1)                    due to be retired and replaced with a larger Saab 340B flying
@sophielharker Really              laboratory and classroom. Contact: nflcmemories@cranfield.
happy to have published my
                                                                                                  Cranfield University

first article on the
@AeroSociety blog (and
eventually magazine), but
I’m even happier that it was
on such an important topic.
It’s just the start and looking                                                                                          On 9-10 September the RAeS held its first conference using its new
forward to seeing the                                                                                                    virtual event platform for a two-day online conference on Safeguarding
Society take its next steps.                                                                                             Earth’s Space Environment on the challenge of orbital space debris.

                                                                                                                         @OwensRayna [On First                @adelegammarano
@hoang_laura Fantastic
                                                                                                                         RAeS virtual conference              Thank you @AeroSociety
piece of writing reflecting on
                                                                                                                         on Safeguarding Space]               really enjoyed the first day
the brilliant @AeroSociety
                                                                                                                         Fabulous session on                  of this conference, very
BAME webinar and more.
                                                                                                                         international collaboration          well organised and great
Delving into important
                                                                                                                         this afternoon at                    speakers!
issues and how we move             AEROSPACE Deputy Editor Bill Read was among a group                                   @AeroSociety
forward. Well done                 who flew in Cranfield University’s NFLC Jetstream 31 Flying
@sophielharker                     Classroom in November 2019.

  1. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/only-0-is-acceptable/
  2. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/bringing-balance-to-the-air-force/
  3. AEROSPACE, September 2020, p 24, Signed Spitfire scrambles to lift nation’s spirits
  4. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/wiring-up-the-electric-aviation-revolution/
  5. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/21st-century-boyds-us-goes-back-to-the-future/

    @aerosociety     i   linkedin.com/raes   f   facebook.com/raes       www.aerosociety.com                                                                                 OCTOBER 2020              13
AEROSPACE
                   The economics of electric aircraft – part 1

             Plugging into the
             electric aircraft revolution
              Recent months have seen a renewed interest in accelerating the development of
              passenger aircraft powered by electric or hybrid-electric power. But will these aircraft
              make money in commercial operation? BILL READ FRAeS looks at the financial
              challenges faced by electric aircraft designers.

            T
                         he zero-emissions passenger aircraft       plans to debut a carbon neutral aircraft by 2035
                         is coming. In the not too distant          while British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson
                         future, we are told, fleets of quiet,      vowed that the UK would be the first to develop
                         non-polluting, super-efficient battery     a zero-emission long-haul passenger aircraft.
                         or even hydrogen-powered powered           However, while remarkable progress has been
            aircraft will replace noisy CO2 and NOx-emitting        made in recent years on the development of
            jets, continuing the role of aviation in connecting     smaller electrically-powered aircraft and eVTOLs,
            people across the world but without the risk of         the advent of larger e-aircraft for commercial
            adding to global warming. While much has been           passenger transport still has a long way to
                                                                                                                         WILL IT
                                                                                                                                 B
                                                                                                                       TO INC E EASY
            written about the different futuristic designs          go. Many technical hurdles still need to be
            proposed by developers of e-aircraft, less has          overcome, in particular those relating to the             ORPOR
                                                                                                                        INTO EX       ATE
            been said about how these new aircraft will cope        power and duration of batteries. Battery                     ISTING
            with the competitive realities of commercial air        technology still has much to do before it can          AIRPOR
                                                                                                                      INFRAS       T
            transport. Part 1 of this two-part report into the      compete with jet fuel as a source of energy.             TRUCTU
            economics of electric aircraft will look first at the   There has also been talk of the potential          AND GR         RE
                                                                                                                               OUND-
            challenges of selling commercial electric aircraft      of hydrogen to power larger aircraft but             HANDL
                                                                                                                                IN
            to operators and the implications for airport           this technology also faces challenges in           EQUIPM G
            operators and service providers.                        developing a hydrogen fuel cell which is                   E NT?
                Recent months have seen a renewed interest          small, light and safe enough to be fitted on
            in accelerating the development of passenger            board an aircraft.
            aircraft driven by electric or hybrid-electric              While-e-aircraft have the advantage that
            power. The French government has announced              they are less polluting and cleaner, they also

  14        AEROSPACE

Wiring up the electric aircraft revolution A B f.indd 2                                                                                     18/09/2020 17:00
utilise a less efficient power source than flying                  to operate than jet aircraft, they will fly more slowly
                                          an aircraft using kerosene, as charging batteries                  and will not have sufficient battery life to stay in
                                          is less efficient than using the fuel directly. An                 the air for long distances. Unless new technology
                                          all-electric aircraft will also weigh the same at the              is developed to reduce these restrictions, industry
                                          end of a flight as it did at the beginning – unlike                experts are currently predicting that electric
                                          a conventional jet aircraft, which gets lighter as it              aircraft will only replace commercial jet aircraft on
                                          uses up fuel.                                                      short-haul regional routes. As a result, a two-tier
                                               Because the reliability of batteries is not yet               system may evolve with e-aircraft operating on
                                          assured, current thinking is that, in order to satisfy             short-haul and regional routes while jet turbine
                                          flight safety regulations, the first generation of                 aircraft (using more efficient environmentally-
                                          electric aircraft is likely to be a ‘hybrid-electric’              friendly engines and sustainable fuels) continue to
                                          design fitted with a supplemental fossil fuel                      fly on long distance routes.
                                                engine to act as an emergency back-up
                                                 generator, recharging the electric batteries to             Developing an e-aircraft
                             A RADICAL           extend range. However, such hybrid aircraft,
                           NEW AIRFRAME          although they may be safer, will not be as                  As with electric cars, the development of the
                               DESIGN            efficient to operate as either all-jet or all               electric aircraft is expected to progress in
                            MIGHT LOOK            electric-motor aircraft. The back-up motor                 stages. In the electric aircraft market, the current
                           FUTURISTIC AND         will take up payload space and add weight,                 buzzword is urban air mobility (UAM); many
                           EYE- CA  TCHING        while the aircraft will need to carry both                 companies are busy working on new designs for
                               BU T HO W          batteries and liquid fuels, which will need to             small eVTOLs designed to carry small numbers of
                                 TICA L WILL      be refuelled and recharged between flights.                passengers on short routes. This pioneering work
                           PRAC
                                                        As batteries become more efficient,                  is helping to accelerate technology and systems
                             IT BE IN DAY-
                                                   future  all-electric designs may have                     which can be used for the development of larger
                            TO-DAY AIRLINE         different  shapes but, in the interim,                    electric aircraft similar in capacity to regional
                             OPERATIONS?            e-aircraft might look similar to current                 turboprops and jets.
                                                   regional turboprop designs with long                           While there are a number of companies
                                          straight wings fitted with either two or multiple                  currently working on larger e-aircraft designs,
                                          propellers.                                                        it is not the aim of this article to look at specific
                                                                                                             projects or technical challenges. Instead, the focus
                                                      Short-haul replacement                                 will be on the wider operational and economic
                                                                                                             aspects of operating such a new type of aircraft.
            The electric aircraft start-up            Even with the hoped-for advances in battery and             Imagine that you are a start-up company
            Wright Electric has started
                                                      electric engine technology, experts believe that       developing a new electric passenger-carrying
            to develop the electric
            propulsion system for a                   battery-powered aircraft will not be able to replace   aircraft. How can you bring your design to
            186-seat electric aircraft                all jet-powered aircraft. Although e-aircraft are      market and compete for orders against other
            called Wright 1.                          expected to be quieter, non-polluting and cheaper      manufacturers?

                                                                                                                                                                       Wright Electric

                                                                                                                                                     OCTOBER 2020                    15
Wiring up the electric aircraft revolution A B f.indd 3                                                                                                         18/09/2020 17:00
AEROSPACE
                  The economics of electric aircraft – part 1

                                                                                                                                                          Raytheon Technologies
                 The first obstacle is finance. Even before            Engines, airframes and batteries                        Rendering of the Project
            the onset of Covid-19, developers of electric                                                                      804 X plane being
            aircraft were having difficulties staying                  The next problem is that of design. What will           developed by Raytheon
            in business, as it was taking so long                                    the new aircraft look like? A radical     Technologies.
                                                               HOW C
            to bring a design to the point where                       AN YOU          new airframe design might look
                                                                ENSURE
            it could actually start earning money.                      THAT           futuristic and eye-catching but how
                                                               THE AIR
            This process has since accelerated                        CRAFT           practical will it be in day-to-day
                                                              BATTER
            as developing a new electric aircraft                    IES ARE          airline operations? Will it be easy
            design requires a substantial quantity                SAFE?              to incorporate into existing airport
            of investment. As with all innovative                                   infrastructure and ground-handling
            projects, there is an element of risk in that                           equipment? How easy and economic
            development may encounter unforeseen costs,                will it be to service and maintain?
            time delays, safety issues or lack of demand.                   There is also the issue of engines. Will the
            Because so much about the future of e-aircraft             engines be purchased separately from the
            is still uncertain, banks and investors tend to be         airframe (as they often are with current jet-
            reluctant to risk money in unproven technology             powered airliners or will they have to be developed
            and markets. An e-aircraft developer will                  as an integrated unit by the aircraft manufacturer?
            therefore need to have deep pockets and a strong           The same challenge applies to the incorporation of
            commitment to investing over the long term.                batteries.
                 Traditionally, new aviation technologies                   Then there is standardisation. While it is
            have been developed by OEMs and engine                     tempting for e-aircraft designers to produce all
            manufacturers, often with support from national            their own designs which are different from those
            governments. However, in the case of e-aircraft,           of their competitors, there is a commercial and
            more stakeholders will also be involved in creating        practical need to standardise some components,
            the infrastructure needed to operate such new              such as battery sizes and charging plugs, so that
            aircraft – including airports, pilot trainers, air         they are easy to use and replace.
            traffic managers, components suppliers and MRO
            providers.                                                 Flight safety certification
                 Existing aviation regulations are based
            on conventional liquid-fuelled aircraft. The               Another problem is that of safety. Competent
            introduction of hybrid and electric aircraft may           authorities will only grant flight certification to a
            require new regulations regarding safety, flight           new electric aircraft it they are convinced that it
            certification, training and maintenance, all of which      is safe to carry passengers. How will your new
            could take time to evolve.                                 aircraft cope with the rigours and hazards of

  16        AEROSPACE

Wiring up the electric aircraft revolution A B f.indd 4                                                                                               18/09/2020 17:00
flight, such as high winds, turbulence, ice, rain,           airport’s carbon footprint. Electric aircraft would
            high and low temperatures, lightning strikes or              be both non-polluting and quieter, meaning that
            bird and drone strikes? How can you ensure that              airports close to populated areas could operate for
            the aircraft batteries are safe? High-performance            longer hours or overnight without disturbing local
            batteries need cooling and must be ensured                   residents. It would also do wonders for the airport’s
            against the risk of fire (as shown by the problems           environmental image. In October 2018, Heathrow
            faced by Boeing with battery fires after the                 Airport announced that the first electric-hybrid
            introduction of the first 787s and the fire of               aircraft to use its facilities will not have to pay
            the first prototype of the Eviation Alice electric           Heathrow’s landing charges for an entire year if it
            aircraft),                                                   was operated in a regular service hub – an offer
                 In addition, there are operational issues to be         valued at nearly £1m.
            resolved. Will your passenger-carrying e-aircraft                There would also be disadvantages. Current
            have two pilots or one, or perhaps be flown                  jet-powered passenger aircraft all share a
            autonomously? How will this decision affect the              common ‘tube and wing’ shape which may
                                                                                                                                IN A FUTURE
            attitudes of safety authorities and pilot unions, as         vary in size but which can be loaded or
            well as passenger confidence?                                unloaded using existing airport equipment.          WHERE THERE ARE
                                                                         Airport ground-handling services are                NOW E-AIRCRAFT
            Sustained volume production                                  geared up to working with conventional               DESIGNS READY
                                                                         designs. “Introducing electric aircraft              TO FLY, THE NEXT
            Assuming that your e-aircraft design is certificated,        would involve new interfaces between                    QUESTION IS
            the next problem is production. Should serial                airport and aircraft and ground-handling               WHO WILL BUY
            production be attempted by the same start-up                 systems,” concluded Jean-Brice Dumont,                THEM AND HOW
            company that designed the aircraft or should the             EVP engineering at Airbus, speaking at the              WILL THEY BE
            responsibility of volume production be handed                2020 Singapore SATLF conference.                         OPERATED?
            over to a larger OEM with experience in this area?               However, the advent of passenger-
            Alternatively, the OEMs may decide to play catch-            carrying electric aircraft with new shapes
            up by buying up the start-up company.                        and characteristics would require the learning of
                Decisions will also need to be made about                new skills. Ground-handling infrastructure may
            spare parts and aftermarket support. Aircraft                have to be created to manage e-aircraft with
            OEMs and engine manufacturers make as much, if               unconventional shapes, such as long thin wings
            not more, money from support services than from              requiring more space between parked and moving
            original equipment sales. As an e-aircraft designer,         aircraft.
            would you want to try to cash in on this market, or
            would it be less effort to hand this responsibility          Compatibility
            over to a third party?
                                                                         Airports may also have to cater for two different
                                                                         types of electric aircraft needing to be refuelled     Airbus and Rolls-Royce
            Airports                                                                                                            made the joint decision to
                                                                         or recharged. Pure electric aircraft would require
                                                                                                                                bring the hybrid-electric
            In a future where there are now e-aircraft designs           battery changes while hybrid-electric aircraft will    propulsion E-Fan X
            ready to fly, the next question is who will buy them         have two sets of engines, one needing fuel and         demonstrator to an end in
            and how will they be operated? But first, it could           the other batteries. Airport ground-handling staff     April 2020.
            be instructive to look at the airport infrastructure
            and support services in which electric aircraft will
            operate. As with much new technology, there is
            the question of who jumps first. Airlines will not
            acquire e-aircraft if there are no airports they can
            operate from. Similarly, airports will not commit to
            building electric aircraft infrastructure until they
            are sure that such aircraft will be introduced in
            sufficient numbers to justify the investment in new
            facilities (a dilemma faced by several airports when
            the Airbus A380 was first introduced).
                 Imagine that you are an airport operator
            deciding how best to invest for the future. You
            know that electric passenger aircraft will be
            coming in the future, so how best can you attract
            airlines operating e-aircraft to base at your airport
            or to use your facilities?
                 There would certainly be advantages.
                                                                    Airbus

            Operating electric aircraft would greatly reduce the

                                                                                                                                            OCTOBER 2020      17
Wiring up the electric aircraft revolution A B f.indd 5                                                                                                 18/09/2020 17:00
AEROSPACE
                   The economics of electric aircraft – part 1

                                                                                                                                                   Eviation
            would have to become familiar with the workings
            of a wide variety of different e-aircraft designs       MRO
            and have all the different types of batteries and
            associated equipment on hand needed to service          Turning to the
            them. The batteries may be stored in different          question of support services,
            places on the aircraft, possibly in the wings or        imagine that you are an MRO
            within the fuselage. Some e-aircraft may be             provider keen to profit from the
            recharged with the batteries in situ, while others      growing market for servicing
            will have their used batteries swapped                              electric aircraft.
            out for a new fully-charged set. The                                 It is predicted that
            size and shape of batteries may
                                                             WILL YOUR           servicing costs for e-aircraft will be
            also vary between each aircraft                 PASSENGER-            lower, at least for engines, as electric
            design, as might the connectors                  CARRYING             motors are less complicated than           Eviation’s Alice, a light
            needed to recharge them (a problem           E-AIRCRAFT HAVE jet turbines and should require less                nine-seater all-electric
            experienced in miniature by every             TWO PILOTS OR            maintenance. Airframes, on the other      plane designed to service
            owner of a mobile phone).                    ONE, OR PERHAPS hand, may have higher maintenance                   regional areas.
                 Air traffic managers would                   BE FLOWN             costs depending on how they are
            also have to learn new methods               AUTONOMOUSLY? constructed, such as is already being
            of operation, co-ordinating the                                        experienced with the increased use of
            movements of fast jet airliners with                                  composite structures where damage is
            slower e-aircraft. There are also operational safety    more difficult to detect and repair. Standardisation
            issues as to the potential restrictions on e-aircraft   of components and the availability of spares would
            operations of adverse weather or how airport fire       also have an effect on costs and time scales.
            crews and emergency services should react to a               MRO providers will also have to adapt to
            take-off or landing accident or a battery fire on the   new norms as e-aircraft are expected to have a
            ground.                                                 different operating cost structure than jet aircraft.
                                                                    An all-electric aircraft will not require a fuel
            Regional airport market                                 system but would require the regular replacement
                                                                    of batteries. However, what is not yet known is
            One prediction for the future of electric aircraft      how the experience of using electric aircraft in
            is that they could be operated from smaller             regular commercial operations may throw up new
            airports which previously could not cope with the       maintenance issues not yet thought of, as batteries
            economics of commercial flights – thus generating       and motors are exposed to heat, cold, sunlight,
            a totally new market. However, this would only          ice, turbulence and all the other rigours of flight.
            be possible if these airports have the necessary        Many MRO providers, engine manufacturers and
            infrastructure to cater for e-aircraft – such as        OEMs are taking full advantage of digital systems
            battery chargers, ground crew to change or              to record multiple parameters of aircraft in flight,
            recharge batteries and MRO service providers with       predictive maintenance, flight testing and digital
            the relevant technical knowledge and access to          twins. Once the designs for electric aircraft and
            spare parts. If e-aircraft did generate a demand        motors have become clearer, MRO providers can
            for the more intensive use of regional airports,        start working on the most efficient ways to maintain
            these airports would also need to invest in new         them – most likely with the assistance of digital
            passenger and transport infrastructure, such as         modelling, robotic inspection systems and digital
            new terminals, roads and parking.                       printing already being used on existing airframes.

                                     RAeS Urban Air Mobility, Virtual Conference; 30 September 2020 – 1 October 2020
                    Part 2 of this report into the economics of electric aircraft will consider how airlines could be persuaded that there is money
                       to be made in game-changing new e-aircraft designs and how will they might be operated in commercial service.

  18        AEROSPACE

Wiring up the electric aircraft revolution A B f.indd 6                                                                                              18/09/2020 17:00
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