RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society

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RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
June 2021
AEROSPACE

                                                                 INTEGRATED REVIEW
                                                                 VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS
                                                                 FLYING ON MARS

                             www.aerosociety.com
June 2021
Volume 48 Number 6

                                 RIGHT HERE,
                                 RIGHT NOW?
                                 HOW AVIATION COULD SLASH ITS
                                 ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT TOMORROW
Royal Aeronautical Society
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
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RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
Volume 48 Number 6
June 2021

    EDITORIAL                                                                                                                      Contents
    Grabbing the low-hanging                                                                                                       Regulars
    fruit                                                                                                                           4 Radome
                                                                                                                                    The latest aviation and
                                                                                                                                    aeronautical intelligence,
                                                                                                                                                                           12 Transmission
                                                                                                                                                                           Your letters, emails, tweets
                                                                                                                                                                           and social media feedback.
    Faced with the immense challenge that is climate change and the seemingly                                                       analysis and comment.
    impossible goal of halting or slowing it, it is no wonder that some people throw                                                                                       58 The Last Word
                                                                                                                                    11 Pushing the Envelope                Keith Hayward questions
    their hands up in despair that ‘nothing we can do can make a difference’.                                                       Rob Coppinger examines                 the rationale behind the ATI’s
    For aviation, this challenge is particularly acute – as there are signs now that                                                the challenge of flight safety         recent suspension of new
    aviation and air travel are rebounding after Covid-19. In the US, airlines are                                                  certification for passenger-           projects relating to zero-
                                                                                                                                    carrying eVTOLS.                       carbon targets.
    recalling furloughed pilots while, in the UK, foreign holidays have returned to a
    limited number of destinations. Meanwhile, Airbus is reported to be planning to
    ramp up single aisle production rates while more than 90 new airlines are set to                                                Features
    launch this year. This is not to say that the crisis is over but it does indicate that                                                                                                                28

                                                                                                                                                                     MoD
    the environment and sustainability will again move centre stage as aviation’s
    number one challenge. However, while electric commuter aircraft, eVTOL point-                                                  14
    to-point travel and hydrogen-powered airliners could still be some way off, this

                                                                                                                                                                                                            Urban Air Port
    issue shows that there is ‘low-hanging fruit’ that could have a massive impact
    by rerouting a fraction of airliners to avoid creating the most damaging and
    persistent type of contrails in the evening and night-time. Intriguingly, a report                                              The UK’s defence and                   The future is vertical
    by Past President John Green from the RAeS Climate impact of non-CO2                                                            security posture on the
                                                                                                                                                                           Recent UK developments
    conference (p 24) also raises the possibility that airliners deliberately creating                                              move
                                                                                                                                                                           in urban air mobility and
                                                                                                                                    An analysis of the UK’s 2021           their effect on transforming
    contrails in the morning could counterintuitively have the opposite effect and                                                  Integrated Review of Security,         aerospace supply chains.
    help cool the planet by reflecting sunlight into space. This large-scale ‘solar                                                 Defence, Development and
    geoengineering’ though, has social and political ramifications – and therefore                                                  Foreign Policy.
                                                                                                                                                                           30 Briefing better – three
    requires further debate and research. However, with time ticking on, and growth                                                                                        years on
    in air transport seemingly set to return to its usual expansion, there may be                                                   20 Reshaping the Middle                Developing a new approach
                                                                                                                                    East aviation landscape                to flight crew arrival and
    no time to lose in fast-tracking contrail reduction as a quick and easy win for                                                                                        departure briefings.
                                                                                                                                    Could the Abraham Accords
    sustainable aviation.                                                                                                           reshape Middle East air

                                                                                                                                                                                                             NASA
                                                                                                                                    travel?
    Tim Robinson FRAeS, Editor-in-Chief
    tim.robinson@aerosociety.com @RAeSTimR
                                                                                                                                   24                                      34
        Correspondence on all aerospace matters is welcome at: publications@aerosociety.com

Editor-in-Chief                                   Editorial Office                           2021 AEROSPACE subscription
                                                                                                                                                                           Flying over Mars
Tim Robinson FRAeS                                Royal Aeronautical Society                 rates: Non-members, £190
+44 (0)20 7670 4353                               No.4 Hamilton Place                        To place your order, contact:
                                                                                                                                                                           NASA has successfully flown
tim.robinson@aerosociety.com                      London W1J 7BQ, UK                         Wayne J Davis                                                                 the first-ever helicopter on
Deputy Editor
                                                  +44 (0)20 7670 4300                        +44 (0)20 7670 4354                                                           Mars.
                                                  publications@aerosociety.com               aerosubs@aerosociety.com               Easy does it for greener
Bill Read FRAeS
+44 (0)20 7670 4351                               www.aerosociety.com                                                               skies                                  38 Getting the vaccines
                                                                                             Any member not requiring a print
bill.read@aerosociety.com                         AEROSPACE is published by the Royal        version of this magazine should        Report on the RAeS                     out: from 747 to drone
                                                  Aeronautical Society (RAeS).               contact: membership@aerosociety.com    conference on mitigating the           How air transport is flying
Production Manager
Wayne J Davis FRAeS                               Chief Executive                            USA: Periodical postage paid at        climate impact of non-CO2              Covid-19 vaccines around the
+44 (0)20 7670 4354                               Sir Brian Burridge CBE FRAeS               Champlain New York and additional      gases.                                 world to point of use.
wayne.davis@aerosociety.com                       Advertising                                offices.
Publications Executive
Chris Male FRAeS
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                                                  partners@aerosociety.com
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                                                  Unless specifically attributed, no                                                44 Message from our President
chris.male@aerosociety.com                        material in AEROSPACE shall be taken       ISSN 2052-451X
Production Executive                              to represent the opinion of the RAeS.                                             45 M
                                                                                                                                        essage from our Chief Executive
Annabel Hallam                                    Reproduction of material used in this                                             46 Book Reviews
+44 (0)20 7670 4361                               publication is not permitted without the
annabel.hallam@aerosociety.com                    written consent of the Editor-in-Chief.                                           49 Library Additions
Book Review Editors                               Printed by Buxton Press Limited,                                                  51 New guide to UK archives
Tony Pilmer and Katrina Sudell                    Palace Road, Buxton, Derbyshire
book.reviews@aerosociety.com                      SK17 6AE, UK                                                                      52 Obituaries
                                                                                                                                    54 RAeS Diary & New Member Spotlight
                                                  Distributed by Royal Mail
                                                                                                                                    56 Elections
                         Additional content is available to view online at: aerosociety.com/aerospaceinsight
                                                                                                                                                   Read AEROSPACE and the Insight blog on your
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Front cover: Flickr/James Havard

          @aerosociety             i   Find us on LinkedIn        f    Find us on Facebook             www.aerosociety.com                                                                     JUNE 2021                     13
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
Blueprint
             INTELLIGENCE / ANALYSIS / COMMENT

             Low-level piloting
             Flight safety while skimming over
             the water would be provided by a
             multiple-redundant, state-of-the-art
             navigation and control system.

                                                    Bigger plans
                                                    While Regent aims to
                                                    fly a quarter scale 15ft
                                                    wingspan demonstrator
                                                    by the end of the year,
                                                    it has its sights on
                                                    bigger WIG vehicles
                                                    beyond a ten-seat
                                                    aircraft, with renderings
                                                    (left) of a proposed 50-
                                                    seat Seaglider.
    Regent

4            AEROSPACE
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
Specifications
Cruise speed   180mph
Range		        180nm
Passengers     10

                                                                     Efficient electric
                                                                     Regent says that, by utilising
                                                                     ground effect, the Seaglider will
                                                                     have double the range of other
                                                                     electric aircraft, as well as being six
                                                                     times faster than ferries.

     Existing dock infrastructure
     Regent sees the Seaglider using existing docks and
     harbours, using its hydrofoils to taxi at lower speeds before
     accelerating in open water.

AEROSPACE

Meet the e-WIG
US start-up Regent has revealed its design for a ten-seat all-electric wing-in-ground (WIG)
effect vehicle, aimed at high-speed coastal passenger travel. The Seaglider would use
distributed electric propulsion and hydrofoils to accelerate to over 45mph, before taking off
to fly at low level within a wingspan of the water’s surface to utilise ground effect. Aiming
for half the operating costs of traditional aircraft, the company has already taken $465m in
provisional orders from existing seaplane and ferry operators.

                                                                                                         JUNE 2021   5
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
Radome
    COVID-19
      AEROSPACE                                                    AIR TRANSPORT

      Industry to lose almost  UK opens holiday flights to limited
      $48bn in 2021, says IATA destinations

                                                                                                                                                                           Gatwick Airport
      Airline industry group IATA    an improvement on the
      has deepened its forecast      estimated $126.5bn net
      2021 losses for global         industry losses suffered
      airlines as the global         by the aviation industry
      pandemic continues             in 2020. IATA’s Director
      to slow recovery in air        General Willie Walsh
      travel. IATA now says          said that: “Losses will
      that the world’s airlines      be reduced from 2020
      are estimated to lose          but the pain of the crisis
      $47.7bn in total through       increases,” adding that
      2021, worse than the           government restrictions       On 17 May, the UK relaxed Covid-19 travel restrictions for leisure passengers,
      $38bn that it originally       will continue to dampen       allowing quarantine-free travel to 12 ‘green’ destinations, including Israel, Iceland
      predicted in November          strong underlying             and Portugal. The loosening of travel rules saw flights from the UK to Portugal jump
      2020. However, this is         demand.                       from around 10-15 a day during lockdown to 78 on the first day.

      AIR TRANSPORT                                                                                          AEROSPACE

     EU grants more money to Alitalia                                                                        No flights to Australia
                                                                                                             until 2022?
                                                                                                  Alitalia

                                                                                                             The government of Australia      Zealand. The airline has now
                                                                                                             has hinted that international    pushed back the resumption
                                                                                                             travel may not fully resume      of international flights until
                                                                                                             until 2022 due to fresh          late December.
                                                                                                             uncertainties related to          Meanwhile, in response
                                                                                                             the spread of Covid-19.          to the outbreak of
                                                                                                             The government had been          an Indian variant of
                                                                                                             expected to start easing         Covid-19 sweeping the
                                                                                                             travel restrictions later this   subcontinent, the UAE
                                                                                                             year with Qantas planning        joined other countries,
                                                                                                             to resume international          including Singapore
     Ailing Italian flag carrier Alitalia has been granted an additional €12.8m ($15.5m) in                  flights at the end of October    and Taiwan in banning
     state aid from the European Commission. Alitalia has now received four rounds of                        to travel ‘bubbles’, such        passengers arriving from
     support from the EU since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic.                                           as Singapore and New             India.

    NEWS IN BRIEF
                                    parachute. The NTSB is                                                                                    Usually held in April, it had
    On 12 May, a Fairchild          now investigating.             The US Department of                      ESA has launched ‘Project        been postponed until July
    Metroliner from Key                                            Defense has said that                     Moonlight’ a 17-month            before being cancelled.
    Lime Air landed safely          Low-cost airline Ryanair       Iraq’s military fleet of Su-              study into satellite             The organisers are now
    at Centennial Airport,          has partnered with Trinity     25 ground-attack aircraft                 navigation and connectivity      planning for the show to
    Colorado, after suffering       College Dublin to launch       and CH-4 UAVs are                         for lunar missions under         return in April 2022.
    a mid-air collision with a      the Ryanair Sustainable        currently grounded due                    ‘Project Moonlight’
    Cirrus light aircraft that      Aviation Centre. Supported     to a lack of spare parts.                 with two consortia - a           With the end of A380
    removed a large part of the     by a €1.5m donation from       Meanwhile, Lockheed                       Telespazio-led team that         production, Airbus has
    upper rear fuselage. The        the airline, the centre will   Martin is to relocate its                 includes Inmarsat and a          announced that it will
    single pilot successfully       investigate sustainable        civilian maintenance staff                SSTL-led team.                   convert the superjumbo
    landed the Metroliner.          fuels, zero-carbon aviation    from Balad Air Base,                                                       FAL in Toulouse to
    Meanwhile, two people           and noise mapping – with       north of Baghdad where                    The 2021 AERO GA                 produce the A320neo/
    on board the Cirrus also        the airline aiming for         they support the Iraqi                    trade show held in               A321neo single-aisle
    escaped without injury after    12.5% of its flights to use    AF F-16 fleet, due to the                 Friedrichshafen has been         models. The new line is
    deploying the aircraft’s        sustainable aviation fuel      deteriorating security                    cancelled due to Covid-19        aimed to be operational by
    ballistic emergency             (SAF) by 2030.                 situation in the country.                 travel restrictions in Europe.   the end of 2022.

6   AEROSPACE
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
GENERAL AVIATION                                                 AEROSPACE

                                                                                                                                                                   Bye Aerospace
747 water bomber up for                                           Bye Aerospace reveals electric
sale                                                              King Air rival
The Boeing 747                   were demanding that further
SuperTanker, the world’s         changes be made to the
largest firefighting aircraft    delivery system to avoid
has ceased operations, with      retardant ‘trailing off’ into
its current US-based owners,     areas outside the drop zone,
investor group Tanker 944,       that have been outstanding
now reportedly looking to        since 2009. It is unclear
sell the aircraft. The giant     whether the disposal of this
water bomber aircraft was        aircraft would see this 747
recently upgraded with a         acquired to continue in its
new digital drop system able     firefighting role, or whether   US start-up Bye Aerospace has announced a new twin all-electric project, the eFlyer
to deliver 17,500 gallons of     new owners would convert        800. The eight-seat aircraft, which has a 280kt cruise speed and 500nm range, is
fire retardant. However, US      it back into a standard 747-    designed to compete with King Air class turboprops, by offering operators one-fifth of
aerial firefighting regulators   400 freighter.                  the operating costs of comparable aircraft.

DEFENCE                                                                                               SPACEFLIGHT

                                                                                                IDF
                                                                                                      More space tourists to fly in
                                                                                                      next 12 months
                                                  Israel strikes                                      NASA has signed a
                                                                                                      mission order with US
                                                                                                                                    including the Inspiration
                                                                                                                                    4 mission, set to fly in
                                                  Gaza as Hamas                                       company Axiom Space           a Crew Dragon with

                                                  fires rockets                                       to allow four civilians
                                                                                                      to visit the ISS for ten
                                                                                                                                    a domed window in
                                                                                                                                    September. Meanwhile,
                                                                                                      days in 2022. Axiom’s         Russia is also to fly
                                                                                                      AX-1 mission plans to         space tourists aboard
                                                                                                      transport four people         its Soyuz with two
                                                                                                      to the ISS aboard a           missions in October
Israeli forces have conducted air and missile strikes against Hamas leadership,                       SpaceX Crew Dragon            and December carrying
infrastructure and command facilities in response to an ongoing barrrage of rockets being             capsule. The private          Japanese ‘Dear Moon’
launched from the Gaza strip. The conflict erupted on 10 May, with Israeli Iron Dome                  ISS mission joins other       fashion entrepreneur and
missiles intercepting some 90% of over 3,150 rockets launched from Gaza over the first                space tourism missions        a Russian actress and
week of violence. As AEROSPACE goes to press in mid-May, over 200 Palestinians have                   planned for next year,        film director.
reported to have been died, as well as 12 people killed in Israel.

                                 Defence on 4 May, with          The company has four                 of a flight navigation
Brazilian airframer              deliveries from 2024.           test flights left to perform         procedures trainer (FNPT)     American Airlines has
Embraer has announced it                                         before it can commence               II, allowing hours accrued    announced that it is
has secured an order for         As AEROSPACE goes to            commercial operations with           to go towards a PPL.          recalling all its furloughed
30 new E-195-E2s to an           press, Virgin Galactic has      space tourists.                      The device pairs a high-      and laid-off pilots as
undisclosed customer.            announced that it could                                              resolution VR headset,        domestic air travel in the
The deal is valued at            miss its goal of flying a       The European Union                   with haptic controls and a    US picks up strongly after
$2.2bn at current list           SpaceShipTwo test flight        Aviation Safety Agency               6DoF motion platform.         the Covid-19 vaccine
prices.                          this May after technical        (EASA) has certificated                                            rollout. As well as its
                                 issues were identified          the first ever virtual               Some 106 Boeing 737           existing pilots, American
Egypt has ordered an             with the WhiteKnightTwo         reality (VR) simulation              MAX airliners are being       says it will also hire up
additional 30 Dassault           mothership. The company         device for flight training.          returned to commercial        to 900 extra pilots by the
Rafale fighters to               says options are ‘currently     The approval, for VRM                service after the US FAA      end of the year. Delta Air
supplement 24 already in         being evaluated’ after an       Switzerland for its                  approved the company’s        Lines also recalled all
service. The new $4.6bn          unexpected maintenance          Robinson R22 virtual                 fix of an issue with the      1,713 of its furloughed
order was announced by           issue with the VMS Eve          reality training device, is          aircraft’s electrical power   pilots to deal with rising
the Egyptian Ministry of         carrier aircraft surfaced.      certificated to the level            systems on 12 May.            demand.

                                                                                                                                                     JUNE 2021                     7
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
Radome
    AIR TRANSPORT                                                  AEROSPACE

                                                                                                                                                                              Airbus Helicopters
    London City starts                                                                 Pilot a helicopter using
    remote ATC tower ops                                                               a tablet
    London City Airport (LCY)      introduction follows
    has begun air traffic          intensive testing and live
    control operations using       trials while there was
    a 50m-high remote tower        reduced traffic during
    controlled 115km away by       lockdown. The virtual
    the NATS ATC centre in         tower at Swanwick
    Swanwick, Hampshire.           features a 360°view on
    The new Saab digital           14HD giant screens, fed
    tower began operations         by 16 video cameras on
    on 30 April, making            the tower. Additionally,       Airbus Helicopters has revealed that it has started a new rotary-wing research project,
    London City the first          other data can be overlaid     Vertex, focusing on autonomous systems using its H130 FlightLab demonstrator. Vertex
    major international airport    over the video, such as        uses stabilised cameras, LIDAR and AI image recognition to allow for automatic take-off,
    to have ATC controlled         aircraft callsigns, altitude   navigation and landing, as well as low-level obstacle avoidance – with the helicopter
    on a remote basis. The         and speed.                     being ‘flown’ using a tablet device.

    SPACEFLIGHT                                                                                             DEFENCE

                                                                                                 CNSA/PES
             China                                                                                          USAF looks to future
             lands on                                                                                       without F-22 fleet
             Mars                                                                                           US Air Force Chief of
                                                                                                            Staff General Charles
                                                                                                                                            Generation Air Dominance
                                                                                                                                            (NGAD) platform may be
                                                                                                            Brown has said that the         included as a fifth aircraft.
                                                                                                            USAF plans to reduce its        Commentators noted that
                                                                                                            fighter fleet from seven        the plans did not include
                                                                                                            platform types down to          the 186-strong Lockheed
                                                                                                            four. The four types are the    Martin F-22 Raptor fleet,
                                                                                                            Lockheed Martin F-35A           although the USAF has
                                                                                                            Lightning II, the Boeing        said that it did not have
                                                                                                            F-15EX Eagle II and the         plans to retire it ‘in the near
    On 14 May, Chinese state media announced that the country had successfully landed its                   Lockheed Martin F-16 –          term’. The final F-22 was
    Tianwen-1 lander and rover onto the surface of Mars – becoming only the second country                  with rewinged A-10Cs            delivered in 2012 with
    after the US to safely land a spacecraft on the planet. Launched in July 2020, the mission              seeing their life extended to   the average age being 12
    comprises a spacecraft, which is now orbiting Mars, a lander and the Zhurong Mars rover.                the 2030s. The new Next-        years.

    NEWS IN BRIEF
                                   the Indian Ocean, just         support US Marine Corps                   loss of ¥390bn ($3.6bn)         (BAP) mission. F-35s from
    General Atomics has            west of the Maldives.          in Afghanistan.                           in the 12 months up to          the Italian Air Force are
    announced it has               China had drawn                                                          31 March. Revenues for          to operate from Ämari Air
    conducted the first trial      international criticism for    On 17 May the UK CAA                      the same period fell by         Base in Estonia, together
    of anti-submarine warfare      the uncontrolled re-entry      and European Union                        65.3% to ¥481bn. JAL            with Spanish Air Force
    capabilities with its MQ-      nature of the 18t first        Aviation Safety Agency                    also announced plans            Eurofighters from Šiauliai
    9B SeaGuardian UAV,            stage of the rocket.           (EASA) agreed Technical                   to take over control of         Air Base in Lithuania and
    with a drone dropping                                         Implementation                            Spring Airlines Japan,          Turkish Air Force F-16s
    full-size sonobouys.           US helicopter                  Procedures (TIP) which                    the Japanese division of        from Malbork Air Base in
                                   manufacturer Kaman Air         sets out measures for                     Chinese low-cost Spring         Poland.
    The main segment from          Vehicles has flown the first   the continued design,                     Airlines, increasing its
    the Long March-5b              prototype of an uncrewed       certification and                         stake from 5% to 51%.           NASA’s OSIRIS-REx
    rocket used to launch          K-MAX Titan helicopter         production of aerospace                                                   asteroid probe has now
    the first module of            aimed at the commercial        parts moving between                      The first Lockheed Martin       fired its engines to head
    China’s space station          heavy-lift market. The         the UK and EU.                            F-35A Lightning II Joint        back to Earth with a
    in April fell back to          K-MAX has already been                                                   Strike Fighters have been       precious cargo of 60g of
    Earth in an uncontrolled       flown and operated in          Japan Airlines (JAL)                      deployed to assist with         material collected from the
    re-entry on 9 May in           autonomous mode to             announced an operating                    NATO’s Baltic Air Policing      near-Earth asteroid Bennu.

8   AEROSPACE
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
GENERAL AVIATION                                                                                                       DEFENCE

Dassault unveils Falcon 10X                                                                                            Brazil to study ‘Loyal
                                                                                                                       Wingmen’ UCAVs

                                                                                                   Dassault Aviation
                                                                                                                       Embraer has announced        be a low-observable, jet-
                                                                                                                       that it is partnering with   powered UCAV, with the
                                                                                                                       the Brazilian Air Force      Brazilian AF commander,
                                                                                                                       to jointly study the         Lieutenant-Brigadier
                                                                                                                       development of advanced      Carlos de Almeida
                                                                                                                       UAVs with a memorandum       Baptista Jr, saying: “In
                                                                                                                       of understanding (MoU)       modern war, it is essential
                                                                                                                       signed on 23 April.          to use unmanned aerial
Dassault Aviation has unveiled its latest Falcon business jet under development – the                                  Though a press release       platforms, operating
Falcon 10X. The large-cabin, long-range aircraft will have a range of 7,500nm and                                      does not mention a           alone or in conjunction
features cabin windows almost 50% larger than the Falcon 8X. Powered by two Rolls-                                     ‘Loyal Wingman’ drone,       with conventional aircraft.
Royce Pearl 10X engines, the Falcon’s flight deck will feature high levels of automation                               an image rendering           Such technology makes it
with a single thrust lever and the potential for one pilot to convert their seat into a lie-flat                       released by Embraer          possible to reduce costs
bed. Entry into service is set for the end of 2025.                                                                    shows what appears to        and risks.”

AEROSPACE                                                           AIR TRANSPORT

ZeroAvia hydrogen                                                  Freighter boost for Boeing
demonstrator crashes

                                                                                                                                                                                  Boeing
ZeroAvia has reported            from the Bedfordshire
that its hydrogen fuel-cell-     Fire and Rescue Service
powered Piper M based            show one wing detached
research aircraft made           from the aircraft. In a
an ‘off-airport landing’ in      statement, ZeroAvia said
a field close to Cranfield       the crash showed ‘the
airport on 29 April. The         structural integrity of
aircraft is said to have         ZeroAvia systems was
landed on its wheels but         maintained throughout
was then damaged due             the incident sequence
to uneven ground. Two            and there were no                  Azerbaijan cargo carrier Silk Way West Airlines has ordered five Boeing 777 freighters
people onboard safely            unintended hydrogen or             – the first order for the 777F from a Central Asian customer. Silk Way currently operates
exited from the aircraft.        electrical releases and no         five 747-8Fs and seven 747-400Fs, with the new 777F freighters to be delivered
However, drone images            fire; after the landing.’          between 2023-27.

A capsule containing the         and fly an unpiloted solar-       to cut unprofitable routes,
sample is set to parachute       powered UAV, able to fly          limit fleet expansion to                            ON THE MOVE
back to the Utah desert in       stratospheric research            under 30 aircraft and to                                                         aviation or aerospace
September 2023.                  missions. The HAP (high           outsource catering and                              Global aviation logistics    technology’.
                                 altitude platform) alpha          engineering activities.                             company Menzies Aviation
Wisk Aero is to supply           will fly at an altitude of                                                            has appointed Morven         Former Boeing VP
eVTOL platforms for Blade        20km, and will carry a            The UK’s Merlin-based                               McCrindle to the new         Commercial Aircraft
Urban Air Mobility. Blade        5kg payload. The aircraft         Crowsnest AEW                                       position of Executive Vice   Marketing Randy Tinseth
will charter up to 30 of         is scheduled to make its          helicopter, currently                               President – Fuels.           and former easyJet senior
Wisk’s Cora autonomous           first test flight at the end      deployed on the aircraft                                                         executive Tony Anderson
eVTOLs to use in a short         of 2022.                          carrier HMS Queen                                   Dick Rutan is to be          have joined the advisory
range air taxi network in                                          Elizabeth, is now only                              presented the Howard         board of Faradair.
the Northeast and West           Pakistan International            expected to serve until                             Hughes Memorial Award
Coast regions of the US.         Airlines (PIA) is to reduce       2029. The MoD is now                                by The Aero Club of          Francisco Javier Sánchez
                                 its current 14,000                seeking novel solutions for                         Southern California which    Segura has been named
German aerospace                 employees by 50% as               a successor to Crowsnest                            is given to ‘exceptional     Executive Vice President
research agency DLR has          part of a restructuring           through the Defence and                             leaders who have             Engineering for Airbus
announced it will develop        plan. The operator is also        Security Accelerator.                               advanced the fields of       Defence and Space.

                                                                                                                                                                     JUNE 2021             9
RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW? - INTEGRATED REVIEW VACCINE AIR LOGISTICS FLYING ON MARS - Royal Aeronautical Society
By the Numbers
     Understanding the world of Aerospace through data

     Taiwan – the balance of power

                                                                    Statista
                                                         Statista

10   AEROSPACE
Pushing the Envelope
Exploring advances on the leading edge of aerospace
                                                                                                                        Robert Coppinger

eVTOLs – the certification
challenge
N
                  ovel forms of transport might be           eVTOL – in 2017. Despite those flights taking
                  expected to have novel forms of            place, along with much promotion, by August 2020
                  certification and supporting technical     the Dubai Roads and Transport Authority had only
                  standards but, despite all the publicity   signed a memorandum of understanding for AAV co-
                  surrounding electric vertical take-        operation with Dubai Air Navigation Services. EHang’s
off and landing (eVTOL) rotorcraft, there remain             December 2020 CAAC certification application is
questions about how they are to be approved. For             not even for that 184 model but for its EH216 AAV
many years the eVTOL air taxi industry has promoted          which, like the 184, is a two-passenger rotorcraft.
itself as providing rapid, clean transit across the skies
of highly congested cities. German eVTOL company             The valley of death
Volocopter built its prototype in 2011. Chinese
electric air taxi maker EHang has been publicly              The time needed to take a technology which is at
developing its rotorcraft for more than six years. Taxi      a low level of development and advance it to the
operator Uber has publicised its eVTOL aspirations           point where it could become a commercial product
since 2017, before selling its air taxi arm to Joby          is known as the ‘valley of death’. However, this term,
Aviation.                                                    which covers a multitude of industries, does not
                                                             encompass the certification that public transport
Elusive certification                                        requires. Subsequently, many aviation projects do not
                                                             ultimately take off. With novel technology there is an
By 2019, however, certification rules still eluded the       added difficulty to this prolonged valley of torture:
aviation authorities. “There are no specific certification   changing requirements.
requirements for eVTOLs,” Cranfield University’s                  The US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)
transport system blog stated in its 20 September             changed its rules three times during an Arizona State
2019 entry. Two months earlier, a remotely-controlled        University drone project, according to comments
eVTOL scale demonstrator crashed in a field of crops         made by the university’s Electrical Engineering
700m from its designated operating area after taking         Professor, Daniel Bliss, to his university’s news
off from Goodwood Aerodrome in West Sussex.                  website in September last year. What may help
     The UK Air Accidents Investigation Branch               eVTOL taxis is certification authorities agreeing
(AAIB) found that the 95kg demonstrator, an Alauda           mutual standards. The European Union and China
Airspeeder Mk II, was ‘not designed, built or tested to      have signed a Bilateral Aviation Safety Agreement
any recognisable standards’. Almost two years later          (BASA) that came into force on 1 September 2020.
and standards are coming into closer view. In May            The BASA will lead to a reciprocal validation of type
2020, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency              certificates. Volocopter now has a Chinese partner,        THE US AIR
(EASA) published its ‘special condition’ for VTOL            carmaker Geely, and would like to see the introduction     ACCIDENT
aircraft and what the organisation calls the ‘means          of its services in China soon after achieving EASA
                                                                                                                        INVESTIGATION
of compliance’: how the special condition is met             certification, Volocopter’s Chief Risk and Certification
by a design. In early April 2021, EASA launched a            Officer, Oliver Reinhardt said. In December last
                                                                                                                        BRANCH FOUND
consultation for its ‘special conditions’ for electric and   year, the FAA accepted Volocopter’s application for        THAT THE 95KG
hybrid propulsion.                                           concurrent EASA type certificate validation.               DEMONSTRATOR,
     Meanwhile, on 16 April 2021, the Civil Aviation              Like China, Volocopter wants to start serving         AN ALAUDA
Administration of China (CAAC) announced that it             the US market soon after EASA certification. While         AIRSPEEDER
had established a type certification team for eVTOLs.        Volocopter has not given dates for Chinese and             MK II, WAS ‘NOT
On the same day, EHang announced that it had                 US operations, it has publicly committed to starting
submitted its certification application in December          commercial services in Singapore this year. However,
                                                                                                                        DESIGNED,
2020. However, EHang, a prolific promoter of its             certification by the Civil Aviation Authority of           BUILT OR
passenger ‘autonomous aerial vehicle’ (AAV), had             Singapore is planned to be concurrent with the firm’s      TESTED TO ANY
been performing demonstration flights in Dubai               progress with EASA’s special conditions which only         RECOGNISABLE
using its 184 model – a two-person, autonomous               became known last year.                                    STANDARDS’

                                                                                                                                   JUNE 2021   11
Transmission
     LETTERS AND ONLINE                                                    @aerosociety        i   Find us on LinkedIn    f   Find us on Facebook         www.aerosociety.com

                i
                                      Career development                                                                 Flight of the Gloster E28/39
                                      Daniel Kieran [On RAeS

                                                                                                                                                                                              Vimeo
                                      webinar for Early Career
                                      Professionals(1)] I look forward
                                      to attending. The RAeS has
                                      made a huge difference in
                                      my professional development
                                      since last year.
                                      Educating webinars
     Mental wellbeing
                                      Hemant Joshi [On                           Simplifying NOTAMS
     Brian Teske [On RAeS             Sharpening the claws of the
                                      Wildcat webinar] Despite                  @BlueOwlSpt [On Simplying
     Mental Wellbeing and Human
                                      being a member of such a                  NOTAMs] As a GA pilot,                                                      A still from the video of the first
     Performance conference]                                                                                         @WhittleStatue [On 80
                                      remarkable Society, getting               make the provider liable                                                    flight of the Gloster E28/39
     Excellent line-up of speakers!                                                                                  years since the first flight of
                                      something for free such as                for accurately classifying                                                  on 15 May 1941.
                                                                                                                     the Gloster E28/39] And
                                      these webinars feels like                 the NOTAM and the pilot
     Embry-Riddle courses                                                                                            here’s an extract from ‘Whittle
                                      nowadays getting education                for his search (by FL and                                                  @BeaverWestminst
                                                                                                                     – The Jet Pioneer’ which
     Vidyasagar Kotha [On             is not a problem but making               location). Reduce the info                                                 Witnessed by #Winkle quite by
                                                                                                                     shows the first flight and
     Embry-Riddle Aeronautical        use of such education through             about war overseas for pilots                                              chance.
                                                                                                                     includes Frank Whittle and
     University course preview        practical means of working as             flying nowhere nearby. For
                                                                                                                     Eric ‘Winkle’ Brown describing
     webinar] Thanks for sharing      an employee is hard. I hope               diversions, ATC to advise                                                  @LeeDavidGreenw1 Just
                                                                                                                     the first flight(2). Pity the UK
     – you are constantly striving    one day that everyone should              compliance needs.                                                          two years before he was
                                                                                                                     has ignored this important
     to enhance the knowledge of      be appreciated for their level of                                              anniversary.                          beaten by Heinkel.
     members and non-members.         education and skills regardless
     Great service.                   of their prior work experience.            Learning about Fresson

                                                                                                                                                          New claws for

                                                                                                                                                                                             Leonardo
      From the RAeS photo archives                                              @lornabjack [On RAeS
                                                                                Highland Branch lecture on
                                                                                                                                                            the Wildcat
                                                                RAeS/NAL

                                                                                Capt Ernest Fresson] Thanks
                                                                                @AeroSociety and
                                                                                @FressonTrust for a
                                                                                fascinating webinar tonight
                                                                                on Capt Ernest Fresson
                                                                                who brought aviation to the
                                                                                Highlands & Islands.

                                                                                 Next-gen navigation

                                                                                @Luc_Wetzel [On US
                                                                                Army mulls SpaceX Starlink               @Leonardo_UK [On RAeS              @WRC_Broder_aero
                                                                                constellation to provide next-           Lecture on Sharpening              Sadly, I was unable to make
                                                                                gen navigation] Atomic clocks            the claws of the Wildcat]          it yesterday with pre-planned
                                                                                are not needed for fused                 #Leonardo Senior Test              meetings booked, although
                                                                                low-Earth orbit GNSS. Mutual             Pilot, Lee Evans, provided         having sat through a previous
                                                                                synchronisation can provide              insight into the complexity        presentation by Lee, I know it
                                                                                high precision time distribution         of designing, testing and          would have been very good.
                                                                                in spatially extended systems.           certifying the new ‘claws’ for
                                                                                                                         the #AW159 Wildcat.
                                                                                                                                                            @Richard60399761
                                                                                 Green travel locations                                                     Thoroughly enjoyed it. The
                                                                                                                         @AviatorAdam What an               question is, will it be available
                                                                                @someother1 [On UK                       amazing webinar from               to watch again? My son had
     Miles M3 Falcon, G-ACTM, is refuelled at Mildenhall prior to               government reveals ‘green list’          @Leonardo_UK. While                extra maths lesson but is keen
     the MacRobertson England to Australia race which started                   travel destinations] This green          some of it was beyond my           to see it. I see it was recorded.
     on 20 October 1934. The race was won by de Havilland                       list is like a s~~~ festival line-       understanding, it was well
     DH88 Comet Grosvenor House in a flight of 71 hours.                        up – a couple of old school              presented.
     G-ACTM completed the race arriving in Melbourne on 20                      big acts, then a load of ‘who?’
     November.

12   AEROSPACE
@MattCosby Nice to see
 Space Special
                                     @goonhillyorg featured a few                New RAeS Council member
                                     times as well!
                                                                                 @ShePilots [On New
                                                                                 Council member Rachna
                                                                                 Sharma Reiter] So pleased
                                     @ConnectionsJr Great                        to announce that I have been
                                     cover on this month’s                       elected on the council! Thank
                                     @AeroSociety magazine with                  you @AeroSociety for the
                                     some really great articles on               opportunity! Very excited to
                                     the UK space industry.                      be part of such a prestigious
                                                                                 organisation.

                                     @pjmcadam @AeroSociety
                                     Great space read in this                    @jabba116 Well done and
                                     month’s AEROSPACE                           welcome aboard.                   Rachna Sharma Reiter has joined the RAeS Council.
@ShahidaBarick [On May               magazine! Fascinating stuff
AEROSPACE spaceflight                going on!
                                                                                 @Stemettes Congratulations        @sophielharker                      @hoang_laura
special] The entire May
                                                                                 from #TeamStemette                Congratulations Rachna, so          Congratulations!!!! So excited
issue of AEROSPACE is
                                      New Fellow                                 #WomenInSTEM                      pleased for you! You’re gonna       to be working with you!
dedicated to all things space
                                                                                 #WomenInAviation                  be great!
in the UK. Will be great for
                                     @GElefteriu [On new
such publications to interview
                                     Fellow] Honoured to have
new primes coming onto
                                     been elected a Fellow of the
the UK scene with their own

                                                                                                                                                                                          Wikipedia /Anthony Noble
                                     Royal Aeronautical Society,                  Greener flying                    Is there still a market for the Optica?
innovative capabilities.
                                     the oldest such institution
                                     in the world and the only                   @Lukafoto [On Could
                                     professional body dedicated                 smarter flying to reduce
@InmarsatGlobal Check                                                            contrails lead to big gains in
                                     to the aerospace community.
out who’s who in the world of                                                    tackling climate change?(4)]
                                     Look forward to supporting.
#UK #space and #satellites                                                       How much reflectivity versus
in @AeroSociety’s ‘Taking                                                        greenhouse effect?
Control’ article(3) – leading with
Inmarsat!
                                                                                 @JeffGazzard Presumably
                                                                                 as contrails and other
Fanless fluidic propulsion                                                       non-CO2 impacts because           Edgley Optica in flight.
                                                                                 aviation’s climate impacts
                                                                     Jetoptera

                                                                                 to be 3 x CO2 alone, the
                                                                                                                   @WooksAmesbury [On                  @GuyG_Boffin It’s a
                                                                                 price of these environmental
                                                                                                                   the Edgley Optica] Speed and        fascinating aeroplane. With
                                                                                 externalities should be 3 x the
                                                                                                                   visibility without the spinning     a personal hat on, I was
                                                                                 current market price per tonne
                                                                                                                   disks of death? Got to be           honoured to fly the aeroplane
                                                                                 of CO2? The fact that 2/3rds
                                                                                                                   careful – my son works on           as a test pilot that inspired me
                                                                                 of ERF will remain with H2
                                                                                                                   helicopters.                        age 16. With a university hat
                                                                                 should focus minds too!
                                                                                                                                                       on, we had several student
                                                                                                                                                       projects going on how
                                                                                                                   @SaveOldSarum I still               potentially to modernise the
                                                                                 @steveliddle558
                                                                                                                   think there is a market for the     aircraft. Sadly, the world has
Jetoptera concept demonstrator.                                                  Fascinating! Even a small
                                                                                                                   Optica. However, I feel in some     moved on now.
                                                                                 increase in CO2 emissions
                                                                                                                   way that a small portion of that
@ClockworkVK [On                     @grundbin After the                         though will incur penalties
                                                                                                                   market has been overtaken by
Jetoptera reveals fan-less           invention of the turbofan                   ($ and perception) for airlines
                                                                                                                   UAV/drones. There’s still a gap
fluidic propulsion system]           and the unducted fan, finally               – some reward for reducing
                                                                                                                   between drones to helicopters
So, essentially a Dyson fan.         the logical combination: the                ERF as opposed to being
                                                                                                                   in terms of an aerial platform in
Looks cool but probably a            unfanned duct!                              ‘carbon-neutral’ is required.
                                                                                                                   the civil market, I think.
maintenance nightmare and
doesn’t scale to larger sizes.

   1. watch?v=KMGSACZ6xb0
   2. vimeo.com/548809910
   3. AEROSPACE, May 2021, p 44, Taking control

     @aerosociety      i   linkedin.com/raes    f   facebook.com/raes                 www.aerosociety.com                                                                  JUNE 2021                           13
DEFENCE
         UK Integrated Review analysis

                                                                                                                         MoD/Crown Copyright
     The UK’s defence and security
     posture on the move
     Royal Aeronautical Society CEO, Sir BRIAN BURRIDGE FRAeS, with input from RAeS
     Specialist Groups, considers the implications of the UK’s recent Integrated Defence
     and Security Review and associated strategy papers.

     T
                 he scene was set for the Integrated           ● Asymmetric hard power – to target adversaries in
                 Review of Security, Defence,                    new ways
                 Development and Foreign Policy (IR)           ● Freedom of access and manoeuvre
                 with last year’s publication of The
                 Integrated Operating Concept. This slim           Successive defence reviews since the end of
     volume heralded that transformational change was          the Cold War have asserted the need for the UK to
     afoot in the UK’s defence and security posture. It        maintain ‘full spectrum’ capability. The nature of that
     recognised that we are living in an era of constant       spectrum has changed over time. However, most
     competition within which the character of warfare         have aspired to that aim but few of the subsequent
     was evolving rapidly. Two deductions about the            implementation plans have succeeded in doing
     concept followed: it represents the most significant      so mainly because of inadequate finance. Recent
     change in UK military thought in several generations      international events have seen that spectrum
     and that it would lead to a fundamental change to         enlarge at both ends. This is at the heart of the
     the way in which the military instrument of national      challenge for the IR and its more detailed sister
     power would be formulated and employed. Its               papers, the Defence Command Paper (DCP) and
     key message was one of integration across the             the Defence and Security Industrial Strategy (DSIS).
     domains of national power. In parallel, the Science       Topically, given that we are in the year of COP26,
     and Technology Strategy identified the five capability    concluding this suite of policy was the publication
     challenges for the subsequent IR to address and           of the MoD’s plan entitled Climate Change and
     perhaps by which to judge its validity and that of its    Sustainability Strategic Approach.
     companion documents:
                                                               Meeting the capability challenges
     ● Pervasive, full spectrum, multi-domain Intelligence,
       Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR)                   At the highest and most lethal end of capability,
                                                               it came as a surprise to most that the nuclear
     ● Multi-domain Command & Control,
                                                               warhead cap is to be enlarged from the currently
       Communications and Computers (C4)
                                                               planned 180 to 260 weapons. At the other end of
     ● Secure and sustain advantage in the sub-               the spectrum, the ‘grey zone’ is now seen as a reality
       threshold – the grey zone                               with sub-threshold interventions that are difficult to

14   AEROSPACE
attribute and hard to deter. Such threats range from       be regarded as a strategic national resource. It
                                the dissemination of fake news to the ‘badgeless’          was in August 2019 that the prime minister set
                                application of low-level military violence: disruption,    out his vision of the UK’s future as a science
                                disinformation and deception are achieved through          superpower. With Covid and Brexit trade dominating
                                a wider variety of instruments. In response to these       headlines since then, this is the first opportunity to
                                complex challenges, the term military capability           put some detail around this lofty aspiration. There
                                takes on a new breadth. However, in this suite of          is certainly the recognition in the IR that the UK
                                documents, the reality of full-spectrum capability         retains a world-class S&T ecosystem ranging from
                                also rightly includes the space and cyber domains.         university research departments through to the
                                In short, the nature of the battlespace itself is          laboratories of the major companies with a plethora
                                changing rapidly.                                          of SMEs and start-ups in between. However, this
                                     This shift requires the faster adoption of novel      ecosystem has to be nurtured through programmes
                                technology and greater agility in procurement in           and funding. The latter remains a concern across
                                the search for highly flexible solutions that can          the research community given the pressures on
                                be fielded quickly and applied across a range of           public expenditure but the DCP confirms a figure
                                scenarios within a defensible legal framework.             of £6.6bn over four years for defence R&D. New
                                In particular, the robustness of the rules-based           entities such as the Advanced Research and
                                international order is a decisive factor in maintaining    Invention Agency (ARIA) and the Defence Centre
                                global connectivity and, for example, providing            for Artificial Intelligence are welcome but we will
                                international access for aviation and in harmonising       need to be sure that our aspirations do not outstrip
                                standards and certification for aerospace. It also         the capacity of the national pool of skilled experts
                                has a huge part to play in aviation’s ability to meet      and that we do not allow individual stovepipes to
                                the climate change challenge. However, as staff            develop.
                                colleges around the world drum into their students,             From an industrial perspective, government
                                planning is not the same as fighting. So, the acid         stability of intent to pull through technology
                                tests for this review are: is there sufficient strategic   represents a key incentive to invest. As ever, global
                                focus on what our defence posture is aimed at              businesses have choices over where and how
                                achieving? is there the stability of intent over           they invest but national involvement in capability
                                delivery? is it affordable? and are there enough           demonstrators acts as a magnet. The DCP is light
                                suitably qualified people within the defence               on detail in this area and thus leaves unexplored
                                enterprise to deliver this degree of change? Without       the inherent advantages, such as risk reduction,
                                rehearsing the detail of the resulting inventory, this     the attraction of international partners, technology
                                examination blends the three documents and takes           trade-off and building momentum to cross the valley
                                an overall view through the air power and aerospace        of death. For potential collaborative programmes,
                                lens.                                                      such demonstrators position the UK to gain high-
                                                                                           value, IP-generating workshare. Clearly Tempest
                                The approach to technology                                 and LANCA, its loyal wingman, are following this
                                                                                           route but there is much in the broader range of
                                First, it is a great relief to see government focus        data-driven autonomous systems that needs to
Drones in the form of
                                on the science and technology ecosystem (S&T)              follow the same path. In aerospace development
the RAF’s LANCA ‘Loyal
Wingman’ project and AI         and how this will impact research and development          involving disruptive technologies, 2040 is not that
are set to receive a focus in   (R&D). These aspects represent the foundations             far away, so the seedcorn needs to be created
future planning.                of a defence industrial base that can realistically        now. In particular, the future generation of rotary      MoD/Crown Copyright

                                                                                                                                       JUNE 2021                    15
DEFENCE
         UK Integrated Review analysis

     platforms would benefit from the exploration of a          tracking currently offered by Copernicus. Defence
     range of technology investigations to allow clearer        does need to capitalise on the integration of air and
     customer capability definition. In all of this, the DCP    space to provide faster situational understanding
     does recognise the complexity of the testing and           and decision-making. So, there will be a need
     evaluation (T&E) challenge inherent in advanced            for high-end capability in terms of space domain
     systems. It recognises the inevitable future reliance      awareness and in high-definition precision imaging       A RATHER
     both on advanced synthetic environments at the             in potentially critical zones and robust capability to   BLAND
     system and platform level where T&E serials                resist cyber and jamming attacks.
     can be repeated rapidly to build up evidence and               As a part-owner of OneWeb and with its
                                                                                                                         STATEMENT
     confidence to the levels necessary for certification.      nascent launch capability, the UK is well placed to      [...] ABOUT
     This also calls for constant access to the right           leverage its commercial space infrastructure to the      GROWING THE
     industrial teams with the right expertise around the       broadening requirements for space security and           LIGHTNING
     top table in order to speed decision-making.               space-based communications. Defence will wish
                                                                to capitalise on the significantly increased capacity
                                                                                                                         II FLEET
     Capability – Space                                         that low-Earth orbiting satellites will provide for      BEYOND THE
                                                                increased beyond line-of-sight data transfer rates       48 AIRCRAFT
     It is refreshing – but perhaps overdue – to see the        at a reduced cost, enabling greater voice and data       ALREADY
     exploitation of space getting serious consideration.       connectivity across and between the air, maritime
     Given the rapidly maturing commercial applications         and land domains. A national strategy of this nature     ORDERED
     for space capability and data, the IR flags the            might also serve to generate an enterprise approach      RATHER LEFT
     need for a single strategy that embraces both civil        to the provision of space skills across the economy      THE QUESTION
     and military aspects: publication is deemed to be          somewhat akin to the nuclear sector. Space careers
     imminent. Space is also becoming an increasingly           are attractive to the coming generation, so the
                                                                                                                         ON THE TABLE
     contested domain where denial has broader                  announced creation of a Space Academy is a
     implications stretching well beyond traditional            valuable initiative.
     defence. Confirmation of the funding for the
     Skynet programme and the creation of a space               Capability – Combat Air
     command and control structure is a good start, as
     is the development of a much-needed indigenous             There was much anticipation among commentators
     intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance              over the resolution of the debate around Lightning
     (ISR) satellite constellation. The creation of             II numbers and the continuance of the Tempest
     a comprehensive space strategy will have to                programme. In the event, a rather bland statement
     answer the hard questions about what sovereign             on the former about growing the Lightning II fleet       On 13 May, the RAF
     capabilities are really required for defence. In today’s   beyond the 48 aircraft already ordered rather left       announced it would
     economic environment there is no room for national         the question on the table. Given the November uplift     become the first
     vanity, so we cannot allow a stove-piped approach.         of £16bn in MoD funding and lack of a subsequent         international customer
     Rather, there are opportunities to fill emerging gaps,     announcement, it seems unlikely the previous             for the Block II Chinook
                                                                                                                         helicopter, with a £1.4bn
     such as the space and ground-based infrastructure          through-life assumption of 138 aircraft will be
                                                                                                                         deal to acquire 14 of the
     required of a satellite-based navigation system            realised by some margin. Also, it was something of       longer range versions.
     to replace Galileo and future maritime movement            a stretch to assert that the nature of the partnership   Deliveries will start in 2026.

                                                                                                                                                          MoD/Crown Copyright

16   AEROSPACE
on the F-35B endows a degree of operational                in contested battlespace. This requirement will
independence to the extent that significant aspects,       see the need to integrate advanced technologies,
such as systems integration and manufacture of             including secure communications, GPS-denied
critical components, remain in the UK. The former          navigation, integrated ISR sensors, data processing
only applies to weapons at best and the latter             and dissemination, electronic warfare and threat
confers little noble work to the UK. While the             detection systems, and precision weapons. These
operational value of the aircraft is a vital component     are all comparable to the features of the next-
of Carrier Strike, it does not offer a spiral              generation fixed-wing aircraft. The DCP is broadly
development route to the key future technologies or        silent on the nature of this challenge but does
methods that would place the UK at the forefront.          confirm investment in a new medium-lift helicopter
     As for the UK’s Future Combat Air System              in the mid-2020s as a Puma replacement.
(FCAS), confirmation of £2bn of funding for Team           Given that the DSIS announced that competitive
Tempest over the coming four years was welcome.            procurement is no longer the default strategy, the
The programme is a lifeline in preserving the UK’s         MoD would be wise to recognise the significance of
indigenous end-to-end capability in fast-jet combat        the on-shore end-to-end design, develop and deliver
design, development and delivery. It also provides         capability within the UK’s strategic industrial base.
the laboratory in which novel sixth-generation             Future helicopters will no longer be a commodity:
technology and advanced manufacturing can be               rather, the technologies and industrial techniques
evaluated. Characteristics, such as an augmented           involved call for the same approach as that applied
reality cockpit and the ability to handle a city’s worth   to Tempest. As a result, there will be a need to take
of data in a second plus the application of digital        a strategic partnering approach with the UK’s only
twinning and model-based engineering, have the             onshore helicopter OEM, Leonardo Helicopters
potential to generate much unique intellectual             in Yeovil. As such, this should also be adopted for
property among the international, industrial and           the Puma replacement to allow the programme to
academic partners. It is also the platform around          help retain vital skills across the UK supply base,
which to develop the systems of systems approach           bridging the gap before the development of a next-
embracing swarming drones, loyal wingmen                   generation platform commences.
and directed energy weapons, all of which are
appropriate to the battlespace envisaged in the IR.        Capability – ISR
     Clearly, much has been learned about spiral
development from the Typhoon programme,                    Operations since the end of the Cold War and our
despite the constraints often inherent in                  assumptions about operations in the grey zone point
collaborative programmes. Project Centurion,               to one conclusion: ISR capability will always be at a
which was completed in mid-2019, provided the              premium. However, budgetary constraints invariably
aircraft with Brimstone and Storm Shadow air-              apply. As the DCP points out, there are just nine
to-surface weapons and the air-to-air Meteor               P-8 maritime patrol aircraft in the programme,
                                                                                                                      RAAF

beyond visual-range missile. Subsequently, a new           reflecting more the affordability following the
mission data-handling system has been added.               cancellation of the Nimrod MRA4 than the true
The DCP has now restated the importance of the             operational requirement. In addition, the initial E-7A            The IR revealed that the
electronically scanned Radar 2 programme and               AWACS order was for five aircraft and has been                    RAF’s E-7A Wedgetail
added SPEAR Cap 3 (in common with Lightning II)            reduced to three with a two-year capability gap.                  AEW&C (seen here in
as a reprogrammable, longer-range alternative to           Meanwhile, a proposed fleet of 20 Protector UAS                   RAAF service) buy had
Brimstone. In addition to the retirement of the early      has become 16. The DCP contains three implicit                    been cut from five to three
                                                                                                                             aircraft.
Tranche 1 Typhoons, the future organisation was            hints about additional considerations that might,
confirmed at seven squadrons.                              together or separately, address some of these
                                                           gaps. First, the development of an indigenous ISR
Capability – Rotary                                        satellite constellation is seen as a priority. Secondly,
                                                           there could be autonomous anti-submarine warfare
Much of the success of Typhoon and Tempest                 technologies waiting to be deployed and it is
(so far) has been the reliance on strategic                certainly the case that pervasive, full-spectrum ISR
partnering between the MoD and industry. This              is at the top of the priority list in the 2020 Defence
is also particularly true in the case of helicopters       Science and Technology Strategy. Thirdly, technology
where Wildcat and Merlin production, capability            has moved on from the case when only dedicated
sustainment and support programmes are                     ISR assets were relevant. Fast jet aircraft, such as
exemplars of the approach in optimising both               Typhoon and Lightning II, contribute to the ISR mix,
availability and through-life cost. However, the           as do fully digital Wildcat and Merlin helicopters.
convergence between fixed-wing and rotary combat           Indeed, every sensor on a suitably equipped
aircraft goes further. The next-generation rotary-         platform or even an individual soldier can contribute
wing platforms, both manned and unmanned, will             to the ISR picture. However, such capabilities are
need to enable high-end warfighting operations             being held back by lack of data capacity and by poor

                                                                                                                                              JUNE 2021    17
DEFENCE
         UK Integrated Review analysis

                                                                                                                      To make all this work successfully, the MoD

                                                                                           MoD/Crown Copyright
                                                                                                                 will need to signal clearly its stability of intent to
                                                                                                                 procure platforms and systems in sufficient volume
                                                                                                                 to incentivise industry to invest their shareholders’
                                                                                                                 funds in bringing suitable products to market
                                                                                                                 or developing and de-risking technologies for
                                                                                                                 insertion into major development programmes.
                                                                                                                 The key audience is both the domestic and
                                                                                                                 the export market. Highly bespoke, gold-plated
                                                                                                                 solutions do not readily fit this requirement. Also,
                                                                                                                 in global terms, the UK has to compete for inward
                                                                                                                 investment and measure up against the tax breaks
                                                                                                                 that are on offer elsewhere. Finally, while positive,
                                                                                                                 all this represents a significant culture change
                                                                                                                 on both sides of the fence, a hurdle over which
                                                                                                                 previous industrial strategies have stumbled. In
     imagery and video connectivity within and between        The IR also saw deep cuts                          addition, for the MoD there will be pressure to
     the services. This shortfall presumably sits behind      to the RAF’s air transport                         find the required number of suitably qualified and
     the priority listed in the Science and Technology        fleet with the entire                              experienced individuals to operate at this interface
                                                              Lockheed Martin C-130J
     Strategy. Concerns that the ISR ‘collect and             fleet of 14 aircraft to be
                                                                                                                 at a time when such talent is nationally in short
     disseminate’ requirements could adversely affect         retired in 2023.                                   supply.
     primary roles could be addressed by increasing
     levels of automation whereby ISR information (such                                                          Setting the stage for exporting
     as electromagnetic emissions) can be collected as
     a background task. Automatic dissemination to the                                                           Meeting the objectives of the Defence and Security
     wider force would follow after AI validation.                                                               Industrial Strategy, as well as delivering on the
                                                                                                                 prosperity agenda, places a heavy premium on
     Industrial strategy                                                                                         Team UK’s performance in the export market. As
                                                                                                                 the previous industrial strategies have pointed out,
     The DSIS makes several strides in changing the                                                              the UK armed forces are held in high international
     rather doctrinaire defence industrial strategies of                                                         esteem for their performance on operations and as
     the past. Of particular note is the recognition that                                                        discerning customers for their equipment and how
     the UK needs a sustainable defence industrial base                                                          it is supported.
     for reasons of national security and to maximise the                                                             Defence exports represent more than just
     economic potential of what is admitted as ‘one of the                                                       a transaction: rather they often represent the
     most successful and innovative sectors of the British                                                       bedrock of strategic security relationships where
     economy’. The replacement of ‘global competition by                                                         the provision of UK training and doctrine is seen
     default with a more flexible and nuanced approach’                                                          as a positive enhancement. The MoD’s new posture
     starts to lay the foundations of a true Team UK                                                             recognises this and cites the capacity required
     approach. Revisions of commercial terms and                                                                 in the Military Flying Training System (MFTS).
     conditions in areas such as unlimited liability and IP                                                      Exports also allow industry to retain critical skills
     management are welcome, as is the recognition of         THE MOD                                            and capabilities once production for the UK has
     social value (and thus the positive impact on local      WOULD BE                                           finished. So, the development of standardised
     GDP) as a factor in procurement decisions. Early                                                            government-to-government commercial
     and more systematic consideration of international       WISE TO                                            mechanisms is to be welcomed. These should also
     collaboration is also a valuable step forward, as is     RECOGNISE THE                                      include services, including training, operational
     the recognition of the importance of government-to-      SIGNIFICANCE                                       assistance and quality assurance but without
     government agreements. It also replaces the 2021                                                            adding to the unrealistic costs or unattractive
     Technology White Paper definitions of sovereignty
                                                              OF THE                                             terms and conditions.
     around Operational Advantage and Freedom of              ONSHORE END-                                            There are additional complexities as technology
     Action with more pragmatic concepts of Strategic         TO-END DESIGN,                                     moves up a gear. An approach of ‘international by
     Imperatives and Operational Independence. Many           DEVELOP                                            design’ becomes problematic in an environment
     in the industry will sigh with relief at the news that                                                      involving, say, AI and autonomy where there is
     a review to simplify the Single Source Contract
                                                              AND DELIVER                                        not an internationally recognised approach to
     Regulations is in train. Finally, the strategy places    CAPABILITY                                         regulation or indeed to export. This challenge
     considerable emphasis on a relationship with             WITHIN THE                                         should be addressed now if the UK is not to be
     industry based on strategic partnering which aims to     UK’S STRATEGIC                                     left behind in the competitive global marketplace
     unlock mutual benefit to improve value to UK society                                                        which, in the case of defence, has implications
     and underpin long-term economic prosperity. Taken        INDUSTRIAL                                         beyond economics and potentially undermines the
     together, this is all very positive.                     BASE                                               UK’s international influence.

18   AEROSPACE
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