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April 2021 AEROSPACE AERO INDIA REVIEW CELERA 500L ANALYSIS EARTH OBSERVATION www.aerosociety.com April 2021 Volume 48 Number 4 BACK TO BASICS Royal Aeronautical Society DOES COVID-19 PRESENT AN OPPORTUNITY TO REBOOT PILOT TRAINING?
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Volume 48 Number 4 April 2021 EDITORIAL Contents The ‘white heat’ of a Regulars defence review 4 Radome The latest aviation and aeronautical intelligence, 12 Transmission Your letters, emails, tweets and social media feedback. As AEROSPACE goes to press, the UK government is set to unveil what has analysis and comment. 58 The Last Word been touted as the most radical defence review in a generation, preparing 11 Pushing the Envelope Keith Hayward questions Britain’s armed forces and getting them ‘match fit’ for the near-peer and Rob Coppinger considers whether the Brabazon ‘grey zone’ conflicts of the 21st Century – where potential adversaries may European studies of Committee of the 1940s is Reaction Engines’ SABRE the best role model for the field advanced EW, cyber, weaponised drones, stealth fighters, satellites and UK’s future aerospace plans. technology. hypersonics. Aiming to become a ‘science and technology superpower’ the first half of the Integrated Review, Global Britain in a Competitive Age, sets out the UK’s strategic ambitions. The emphasis on science and technology, a Features new ‘DARPA’-like high-risk body and mentions of FCAS are welcome moves 26 Private eyes on Earth How small satellites are leading by the UK to invest in future capabilities and boost the ‘prosperity agenda’. a revolution in 24/7 Earth Significantly, the review also mentions that the 2012 ‘competition by default’ observation. rules for defence procurement will be reversed, with national industrial capability Spencer Lisenby prioritised over off-the-shelf foreign imports. Yet, to pay for these future capabilities, the current armed forces are set to be reduced significantly. While 14 30 the Army looks to take the brunt, RAF airlift is to be cut with the early retirement of C-130J fleet and the axing of No 32 Sqn (The Royal Flight). ISR is to take Airline pilot training – time to revisit the basics? a hammering with no crewed replacements for Sentinel or Islander spyplanes Does the Covid-19 pandemic A need for speed and the crucial ‘force multiplers’ of E-7 Wedgetails reduced to just three. While present an opportunity to A model glider enthusiast flies a decision over final F-35 numbers beyond 48 has been postponed, current reset and improve airline pilot a glider at 548mph using the combat air is to be reduced, with 24 Tranche 1 Typhoons retired early. Some of training? principle of dynamic soaring. these cuts in conventional forces are thus set to be balanced by a more opaque 18 Soaring aspirations and muscular UK nuclear deterrence posture, betting that raising the cap on Report on the 2021 Aero nuclear warheads will tide things over until these new future capabilities are in India aerospace and defence 34 Shape shifters airshow. How new technology is service. enabling engineers to create morphing aircraft which can Tim Robinson FRAeS, Editor-in-Chief change shape in flight. Otto Aviation tim.robinson@aerosociety.com @RAeSTimR EAG Correspondence on all aerospace matters is welcome at: publications@aerosociety.com Editor-in-Chief Editorial Office 2021 AEROSPACE subscription 20 Tim Robinson, FRAeS +44 (0)20 7670 4353 Royal Aeronautical Society No.4 Hamilton Place rates: Non-members, £190 To place your order, contact: 38 tim.robinson@aerosociety.com London W1J 7BQ, UK Wayne J Davis Deputy Editor +44 (0)20 7670 4300 +44 (0)20 7670 4354 Going with the flow Reimagining the future of publications@aerosociety.com aerosubs@aerosociety.com civil aviation Bill Read, FRAeS An analysis of the radical +44 (0)20 7670 4351 www.aerosociety.com efficiency and economic Any member not requiring a print A Cranfield University virtual bill.read@aerosociety.com AEROSPACE is published by the Royal version of this magazine should advantages claimed for Otto summit looked at opportunities Aeronautical Society (RAeS). contact: membership@aerosociety.com Aviation’s unconventionally- Production Manager for the international aerospace Wayne J Davis Chief Executive USA: Periodical postage paid at shaped Celera 500L. industry in a post-Covid world. +44 (0)20 7670 4354 Sir Brian Burridge CBE FRAeS Champlain New York and additional wayne.davis@aerosociety.com Advertising offices. 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Unless specifically attributed, no 44 Message from our President chris.male@aerosociety.com material in AEROSPACE shall be taken ISSN 2052-451X Production Executive to represent the opinion of the RAeS. 45 M essage from our Chief Executive Annabel Hallam Reproduction of material used in this 46 Book Reviews +44 (0)20 7670 4361 publication is not permitted without the annabel.hallam@aerosociety.com written consent of the Editor-in-Chief. 49 Library Additions Book Review Editors Printed by Buxton Press Limited, 50 New Members Spotlight Palace Road, Buxton, Derbyshire Tony Pilmer and Katrina Sudell SK17 6AE, UK 51 2021 RAeS AGM book.reviews@aerosociety.com 52 RAeS Diary Original artwork ©Wayne J Davis/RAeS Distributed by Royal Mail 54 Obituaries Additional content is available to view online at: aerosociety.com/aerospaceinsight Including: UK sustainable aviation fuels, New Member Spotlight, Peace talks in Airbus-Boeing Read AEROSPACE and the insight blog on your subsidy row?, Drone and aircraft collision tests, 150 years of wind tunnels, In the March 2021 issue of smartphone or tablet with the AEROSPACE app Online AEROSPACE, The future of military rotorcraft, Aero India show report, Transonic model glider. APP available from iTunes and Google Play Front cover: Cessna 172 cockpit instruments. (123rf) @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com APRIL 2021 13
Blueprint INTELLIGENCE / ANALYSIS / COMMENT New engines The S-64F+ would also see the existing P&W JFTD12 engines replaced with new, as yet unnamed, more powerful turboshaft engines and a FADEC. Enter the Matrix Erickson has partnered with Sikorsky to bring its autonomous fly-by-wire Matrix Technology to the S-64F+ to allow optionally piloted operations. Trialled by Sikorsky on its S-76 demonstrator, Matrix and new cockpit avionics will also enhance situational awareness and flight safety in the piloted mode during day and night operations. An HUD may also be fitted. Erickson 4 AEROSPACE
New composite blades The S-64F+ would feature FAA-certificated composite main rotor blades, giving performance gains, including increased payload and climb rate, reduced vibration, fuel savings and interchangeability with legacy blades. Water cannon The civil firefighting variant of the S-64F+ would also feature an enhanced water cannon, able to tackle high-rise fires from 70m away and capable of pumping 800 gallons of water a minute. DEFENCE 21st Century Skycrane Portland, US-based Erickson, which holds the type certificate for the CH-64 heavy-lift helicopter, still in service in civil roles, such as firefighting as the Air Crane, has proposed a modernised military variant with autonomous capabilities. The updated fly-by-wire S-64F+ Air Crane would be optionally piloted, and would allow US Army Chinooks and USMC CH-53K helicopters to be freed up for front-line duties. The S-64F+ will also be pitched at the civil firefighting market. The company plans to fly an optionally piloted version next year and is converting its famous ‘Elvis’ S-64 to act as the S-64F+ prototype. Customer deliveries are expected to begin in 2024. APRIL 2021 5
Radome COVID-19 AIR TRANSPORT AEROSPACE Post-Covid airline pilot First delivery of global vaccine- shortage predicted sharing scheme touches down A new survey from for the deep-seated the consulting arm of global airline pilot Oliver Wyman claims shortage, with 25,000- that airlines could suffer 35,000 current and from a ‘supply shock’ future pilots choosing shortage of pilots by up alternative career paths to 12,000 worldwide over the next decade. by 2023 and potentially The report says that the UNICEF up to 50,000 by 2025, shortage will be most as aviation recovers acute in North America from the Covid-19 which has an ageing On 24 February, a UNICEF cargo flight, carrying 600,000 vaccines, touched pandemic. The firm pilot population, many down in Accra, Ghana, the first delivery of vaccines under a global vaccine-sharing says the pandemic is of whom have already scheme. The COVAX vaccines were flown in from Mumbai, India, using an Emirates a ‘momentary reprieve’ retired early. Boeing 777 airliner. AIR TRANSPORT AEROSPACE Lufthansa reports worst ever loss Deliveries for regional airframers nosedive Lufthansa Turboprop manufacturer to deliver around ATR has revealed 20 aircraft this year. its delivery figures Meanwhile, Brazilian for 2020, with the aircraft manufacturer airframer handing over Embraer delivered 130 just ten aircraft due jets in 2020, down from to the effects of the 198 in 2019. The 2020 pandemic on air travel, deliveries comprised 44 with only one aircraft commercial aircraft, 56 German flag carrier Lufthansa has announced its worst-ever annual results, with an delivered in the first nine light jets and 30 large operating loss of €5.5bn for the full year due to the air travel shutdown caused by months. This compares business jets. It also the Covid-19 pandemic. The airline carried 76% fewer passengers in 2020 and is with 68 turboprops handed over the fourth currently burning through €300m a month. In light of this, Lufthansa CEO Carsten handed over in 2019. C-390 airlifter to the Spohr said that the airline’s A380s, currently grounded, will now not return to service. The company expects Brazilian AF in 2020. NEWS IN BRIEF stop taxpayers’ money phase, along with aligning parts, or assembling The UK government has being invested in high-risk BAE Systems has parallel development with satellites in orbit, would launched a new innovation projects. It is set to be revealed that the Tempest international partners, allow for larger, lighter and research agency, with operational in 2022. crewed fighter portion were the two priorities for antennas, without the a remit to pursue risky but of the UK’s FCAS future the programme this year. need to fold them up or high pay-off projects. The Hong Kong-based carrier combat systems is set to make them structurally £800m ARIA (Advanced Cathay Pacific has transition from the R&D Airbus Space has strong enough to survive a Research and Invention announced a record loss phase to the Concept announced that it has rocket launch. Agency) is patterned of $2.8bn for 2020 as a and Assessment phase won a two-year study after the US DARPA result of the pandemic. this summer. Talking to contract to investigate eVTOL start-up Joby organisation. Designed The airline had previously reporters ahead of the the feasibility of building Aviation has gone public to respond rapidly and reported a profit of $220m imminent approval of the satellites in LEO. The on the New York Stock empower scientists and in 2019. Due to the crisis, project’s outline business PERIOD (PERASPERA Exchange and merged inventors, ARIA will be it is also retiring 34 aircraft case, the programme’s In-Orbit Demonstration) with Reinvent Technology exempt from freedom early, while nearly 50% of BAE head, Michael project, it is envisaged, Partners, a special purpose of information laws and its fleet are now in long- Christie, said that the would lead to an orbital acquisition company, restrictions in place to term storage. transition to this next demonstrator. 3D printing (SPAC) – giving it access 6 AEROSPACE
SPACEFLIGHT AEROSPACE China and Russia to team New Zealand start-up reveals HAPS up on Lunar base plans Kea Aerospace Russia has announced with the Chinese space that it will not continue its agency, CNSA, to build an current partnership on the ‘international lunar science International Space Station station’ on the surface or (ISS) with the US onto the in orbit around the Moon proposed NASA-led Lunar that would be operational Gateway space station – in the 2030s. Other nations which has already seen would also be invited to space agencies from Europe, join. Notably, Russia has not Canada and Japan agree to signed the US-sponsored Canterbury-based Kea Aerospace, a start-up from New Zealand, has revealed plans to co-operate on this project. Artemis Accords, which develop a solar-powered high-altitude psuedo-satellite (HAPS) drone which could stay Instead, Russia’s space outline guidelines for aloft for months at a time. The Kea Atmos would have a wingspan of 32m, a payload of agency, Roscosmos, has peaceful co-exploration and 10kg and be able to stay aloft for over 90 days at altitudes of 65,000ft. The HAPS UAV will signed an agreement exploitation of the Moon. be initially aimed at the aerial imaging sector. DEFENCE AIR TRANSPORT Turkish Aerospace unveils electric Engines shed parts in flight unpiloted attack helicopter on same day On 21 February on Netherlands. Meanwhile, TAI different sides of the on the same day, a Atlantic, debris was United Airlines Boeing shed by two P&W 777 was forced to divert turbofans in two similar, back to Denver after an but apparently unrelated, engine failure of one incidents. In the first of its P&W4077s. The incident, parts from aircraft landed safely, a Longview Aviation with video taken by Boeing 747 freighter passengers showing the injured one woman entire cowling had come Turkish Aerospace has released the first photos of a new unpiloted six-ton attack on the ground after off, with the engine also helicopter, the T629 ATAK, it has rolled out. Details are scarce but the UAV is said to be falling from a PW4056 on fire. Initial examination electric or hybrid electric-powered and is based on the piloted twin-seat T129 attack engine during take-off has revealed that two fan helicopter, with the cockpit faired over and batteries where the crew would sit. from Maastricht, The blades had fractured. to $1.6bn of funding. Aerospace. The (APD) tax as a way of Joby, which has now contribution of a certifiable stimulating demand in the New Zealand’s Rocket Diamond Aircraft has conducted 1,000 test battery for aerospace domestic air travel market Lab has announced that won an order from North flights with its passenger systems, along with and reinvigorating the it is to go public with a Carolina-based pilot eVTOL, says it intends to partner Baines Simmons, battered airline sector. merger with SPAC Vector training school Blue begin air taxi services in leverages Electroflight’s A consultation has been Acquisition Corp, making Line Aviation for 50 new 2024. Its five-seat eVTOL, experience working on launched. for a company worth aircraft. The order includes has a range of 150miles at electric racing aircraft, $4.1bn.The company will single engine DA40 NGs, 200mph. with its latest collaboration The first Taiwanese use this cash boost to twin engine DA42-VIs and being on the Rolls-Royce AIDC T-5 Yung Yin help develop Neutron, a a Diamond simulator, with Gloucester-based ACCEL electric aircraft, (Brave Eagle) advanced larger eight-ton launcher the option for 50 additional Electroflight is to develop set to fly later this year. jet trainer/light fighter than its current Electron aircraft. The flight school a high-energy battery is shortly to be handed vehicle, which will be is expanding with a new system for the all- The UK government over to the Republic of suitable for mega- 50,000sq ft $16m HQ at electric ES-19 airliner is reported to be China Air Force (RoCAF) constellations, beyond Johnston Regional Airport, under development considering cutting for operational testing LEO missions and will be expected to open later this from Sweden’s Heart the air passenger duty and evaluation. human-rated. year. APRIL 2021 7
Radome DEFENCE AIR TRANSPORT USAF mulls ‘clean sheet’ MAX orders begin to return F-16 replacement Flair Airlines The USAF has said that fifth-gen minus’ platform to it intends to study the replace 1970s-era F-16s potential for replacing and a more affordable its Lockheed Martin fighter than F-22 and F-16s with a new ‘clean F-35s. While new-build, sheet’ Generation 4.5 updated F-16s have or -5 multirole fighter. been proposed, Brown Revealed by the US Air said: “I want to be able to Boeing has announced it has won an order for 24 737 MAX 8s from a new customer, Force Chief of Staff, build something new and private investment group, 777 Partners. The deal also includes options on a further 60 of Gen Charles Brown, the different that’s not the F-16 the narrowbodies for 777’s unnamed ‘affiliated operating low-cost partners’ – believed to service is set to start a – that has some of those be Canadian budget airline, Flair Airlines (above with 737-800), of which 777 Partners study on its mix of fighters capabilities but gets there owns a 25% stake. Meanwhile, US airline United Airlines is to purchase 25 Boeing 737 which could include a faster and features a digital MAXs and accelerate deliveries of 45 existing MAX orders as it looks towards a rebound new ‘Four and a half or approach.” in air travel. SPACEFLIGHT GENERAL AVIATION Developers plan luxury ‘space NetJets signs MoU for hotel’ by 2030 supersonic bizjets A space construction company Global business aviation would provide supersonic has revealed ambitious plans operator NetJets, along flight training. Meanwhile, to build the world’s first luxury with its sister company Aerion is partnering ‘space hotel’ in LEO. The FlightSafety International, with NASA’s Langley Gateway Foundation says has signed an MoU with Research Center to study construction of its Voyager Aerion for the rights technology to support the Station would begin in 2026, to acquire 20 of its development of Mach 3-5 with the hotel expected to supersonic AS2 bizjets. passenger aircraft. The open to tourists by 2030. A The deal brings Aerion’s research includes a range ring-shaped space station, backlog for its Mach 1.4 of propulsion systems, Gateway Foundation it would have capacity for SSBJs to $10bn, with thermal management 280 guests and 112 crew, NetJets becoming the technologies, integrated and would rotate to provide exclusive operator for power systems and cabin artificial gravity. Aerion Connect, while FSI technology. NEWS IN BRIEF range narrowbody yet the first export customer exploded 8mins later announced a partnership Boeing has submitted from Airbus and is set to for the US-built Sikorsky after a high-altitude flight to bid for the UK technical comments enter service in 2023. CH-53K King Stallion, test on 3 March, in Boca Maritime & Coastguard to regulators for the heavy-lift helicopter which Chica, Texas. The vehicle Agency’s (MCA) Second installation of central fuel Dutch flag carrier KLM will replace its existing was seen to land heavily Generation Search and tanks for Airbus’ latest has taken delivery of its CH-53D fleet. The IAF but safely in one piece on Rescue (UKSAR2G) A321XLR, alleging that first Embraer E195 E2 currently operates 22 its landing legs but then service. The current SAR the location presents regional aircraft. The E195 of the ageing CH-53D a fire developed near its contract is operated by an increased fire risk. E2, acquired via ICBC models and will replace base and the rocket then Bristow Group and set to The submission to EASA Leasing, will be used by these with between 20-25 exploded at the 8mins run until 2026. says that: “The location KLM’s Cityhopper arm, of the latest CH-53K mark. The flight was of such an integral where it brings the total variants, which are also the third in a series of Rolls-Royce is to fuel tank immediately number of Embraer jets set to enter service with trials to demonstrate the collaborate with Italian aft of the main landing up to 50. KLM has leasing the US Marine Corps. high-altitude flip re-entry airframer Tecnam and gear presents the most options for 25 E2s. manoeuvre. Norwegian regional extensive range of threats SpaceX’s latest Starship airline Widerøe to to be considered.” The The Israeli MoD has prototype SN10 Airbus Helicopters and develop an all-electric A321XLR, is the longest announced it is to become successfully landed, then Draken Europe have nine-passenger 8 AEROSPACE
Dassault Aviation GENERAL AVIATION AEROSPACE Ukraine to nationalise Motor Sich Ukraine’s National Security drawn disapproval from and Defense Council Washington, with the US has announced it will State Department placing nationalise helicopter the company on a blacklist and aircraft engine maker in January 2021. Motor Motor Sich and take it Sich has already assisted into public ownership to China in producing the avoid a Chinese corporate AL-222-25F jet engine Falcon 6X makes maiden flight takeover attempt. China’s for the Hongdu L-15 Skyrizon is a majority advanced trainer and the Dassault Aviation’s new Falcon 6X business jet has made its first flight from the shareholder in Motor D-30-KP for the Xian company’s Mérignac plant on 10 March. The one-hour 30min flight tested aircraft Sich but long-standing H-6 bombers, as well handling, engines and aircraft systems. Two more Falcon 6X aircraft are scheduled to attempts to take over the as smaller turbojets for join the test fleet and begin flight tests soon. rest of the company have missiles. MoD AIR TRANSPORT DEFENCE UK publishes Airliner leasing mega Integrated Review merger General Electric has aircaft on their books or announced a $30bn 18% of the global leasing deal to sell its GE market. GE is reported Capital Aviation Services to be making the deal as (GECAS) aircraft leasing a result of troubles with business to Irish lessor its GE Capital financial AerCap which already division which has already The UK has published its long-awaited Integrated Review of Security, Defence, operates International sold off a number of Development and Foreign Policy, setting out its ambitions for the UK to become a Lease Finance other business interests science and technology superpower, while modernising forces for 21st Century threats. Corporation (ILFC). The to focus on its industrial While FCAS/Tempest will receive £2bn over the next four years and defence R&D will two companies are the sectors of power, aviation see £6.6bn injected in the same period, there will be early retirements for RAF aircraft, world’s biggest airliner and healthcare. The deal including 24 Tranche 1 Typhoons by 2025, 14 C-130Js by 2023, four BAe 146s, 36 leasing concerns, with a awaits shareholder and Hawk T1s by 2025, as well as Sentinel R1 and E-3D Sentry fleets to be withdrawn this combined fleet of 2,098 regulatory approval, year. commuter aircraft, the Correction P-Volt. The P-Volt, based In the March edition of ON THE MOVE on the P2012 Traveller, AEROSPACE, in the feature Emma Gilthorpe is the will help Norway achieve ‘Blade Runners for 2040+ Former Airbus CEO AVM Ian Gale RAF is to be new CEO of the UK’s Jet it was incorrectly stated that its goal of making all the Airbus Head of Product Tom Enders and Airbus promoted Air Marshal and Zero Council. domestic flights zero- Policy and Strategy was ex-commercial sales chief become Director General, emission by 2040. Jerome Coombe. It should John Leahy have joined Joint Force Development in Alan Warnes is the Group have been Jerome Combe. the advisory panel of start- UK Strategic Command. Editor Modern Military at UK airlines reported up Universal Hydrogen, Key Publishing. We apologise for any a surge on flight and confusion caused. headed by ex-Airbus CTO Rajeev Suri is the new holiday bookings after the Paul Eremenko. CEO of Inmarsat. Juan Carlos Salazar of government announced a bookings had risen 600% Columbia has been named potential phased plan to on the news that travel New interim Chief Ed Clark is to take over as the new Secretary exit lockdown and restart may restart from mid-May. Executive of ADS Group from Walt Odisho as VP General of the International international travel. Other holiday and airline is Kevin Craven, taking and General Manager Civil Aviation Organization EasyJet said flight firms, such as TUI and over from Paul Everitt who of the Boeing 737 (ICAO), beginning 1 bookings had jumped Jet2 reported similar stepped down at the end programme. August. He succeeds Dr 300%, while holiday surges. of March. Fang Liu of China. APRIL 2021 9
By the Numbers Understanding the world of Aerospace through data The UK Integrated Review – air power C-130J to be retired Tranche 1 Typhoons 14 0 (2023) retired in 2025 24 0 (2025) X X Modernisation of Puma fleet in 2023-25 with new medium helicopter £2bn Investment in FCAS/Tempest 14 additional extended range Chinooks to be procured, retiring 9 of older models 2BN BAe 146 fleet (32Sqn) £6.6bn investment on 3 x E-3D Sentry fleet retired by 2022 defence R&D retired this year X 36 Hawk T1s (excluding T1A 6.6BN X E-7 Wedgetail fleet Red Arrows) retired by 2025 capped at 3 from 5 X X X 10 AEROSPACE
Pushing the Envelope Exploring advances on the leading edge of aerospace Robert Coppinger Europe wrestles with rocket reusability A ircraft-like operations for space launches aerospace agency, Office National d’Etudes et de could be key to effectively replenish Recherches Aérospatiales (ONERA), Hyperstar mega-constellations’ failed satellites. would launch horizontally from the French space The UK spaceplane, Skylon, and its agency, Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales’ (CNES) air-breathing SABRE rocket engine spaceport in French Guiana. ONERA said that it have been the subject of recent market and technology used Reaction Engine’s SABRE data in its Hyperstar studies. This year, an engineering test model of SABRE’s calculations. The Hyperstar studies have only been air-breathing core will be demonstrated in ground tests, conceptual, Reaction Engines said, not detailed not a flight weight model. In February, Reaction Engines engineering projects. Skylon was designed for 15t announced that it had completed its test programmes satellites at a time when large telecommunications for two important SABRE subsystems: the HX3 heat spacecraft were a key customer for space launch. exchanger and the engine pre-burner. SABRE stands Hyperstar has the same capacity but the customer for synergetic air-breathing rocket engine and, while is expected to be an operator wanting to send a Skylon was a single-stage-to-orbit (SSTO) concept number of smaller satellites as the trend towards with a 15t payload capacity, the recent intra-European miniaturisation has finally come to satellites. In a investigations have focused on a two-stage-to-orbit CNES/ONERA/Reaction Engines’ paper submitted (TSTO) approach. to the European Conference for Aeronautics and Skylon was the brainchild of UK propulsion company Aerospace Sciences, held in 2019, Hyperstar was Reaction Engines, whose founder, Alan Bond, and his deemed a viable concept. team, also designed the SABRE engine. Skylon would use its engine’s air-breathing capability to carry less The launch market fuel than a conventional rocket, which needs to keep on board all of its propellant, giving it that SSTO ability. The most recent Hyperstar/SABRE study was SABRE has a supersonic air intake that captures and completed in December last year. Carried out by slows the incoming airflow which means it can operate ESA and Reaction Engines, it examined a TSTO for beyond Mach 5 before having to change to rocket the launch market in the 2030s. Further studies mode. While in air-breathing mode, the engine intake’s are expected, including by ONERA. For the 2020s, pre-cooler cools in a fraction of a second that incoming Europe’s next expendable launcher, Ariane 6, will air, whose 1,000°C temperature would otherwise melt serve the satellite market. Its first flight is planned for the engine’s interior. This heat absorption allows SABRE the second quarter of 2022. ONERA views Hyperstar to operate at higher speeds than existing propulsion as ‘too innovative’ to be able to be compared with SABRE HAS A systems and the heat absorbed by the pre-cooler Ariane 6 and sees SABRE as the biggest technical SUPERSONIC is recycled to help power the engine, reducing fuel challenge for the spaceplane. However, while all these consumption. studies have been ongoing, SpaceX has already AIR INTAKE shown the viability of vertical launch with reusable first THAT CAPTURES Hyperstar stages and it is now working on its Saturn V scale AND SLOWS reusable Starship rocket. THE INCOMING The European TSTO concept, known as Hyperstar, Reaction Engines’ Business Development and AIRFLOW WHICH uses SABRE in the same way but would launch Strategy Executive, Oliver Nailard, sees Starship MEANS IT CAN a second stage from its payload bay. Since 2017, and its huge 100t plus payload capacity as good for SABRE-powered TSTO concepts have been initially deploying a mega-constellation but overkill for OPERATE BEYOND examined by the European Space Agency (ESA) and replenishing it, leaving a niche for SABRE-powered MACH 5 BEFORE the UK and French space and aerospace research spaceplanes. ESA, meanwhile is also developing HAVING TO agencies, along with European launch provider reusable rocket technology, namely its Themis CHANGE TO Arianespace. Under the studies with the French reusable methane-fuelled first stage. ROCKET MODE APRIL 2021 11
Transmission LETTERS AND ONLINE @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com Integrated Propeller Plane design critique I was pleased to see my bending loads as there is Conseil et Technique comments on the Hybrid- no alleviation from the fuel Electric Trijet published weight. in the March issue of (ii) Increased undercarriage AEROSPACE(1). However, and fuselage landing loads, I was surprised to see a including spin-up and spring- similar proposal for the back, as the landing weight Integrated Propeller Plane will be the same as the (IP2) on pages 4-5(2) which MTOW of 75,000kg (there will have some of the same is no change in mass from issues, especially the very a chemical reaction, i.e. the tall undercarriage and battery weight is constant at rear ‘propulsor’, for which 20,000kg). the following points need (iii) The underfloor batteries consideration: will require, heavy fire and - The rear propulsor, even with French engineering and design consultancy Conseil et Technique’s concept for the Integrated fume protection, plus a contra-rotating fans, must Propeller Plane (IP2) electric-powered zero-emissions airliner. cooling system. As the weight surely be considered as a of a battery-powered aircraft single engine which clearly does not reduce in flight it will not meet certification to the fuselage is not clear 3metres,. The centrifugal the uncontained fan blade will be restricted to the lower, requirements, as the but appears to be at three forces and bearing/roller trajectory does not pass bumpy and less efficient, flight fragments from a failed fan points, the tail bumper and velocity will be exceedingly through the cockpit area. levels for the flight duration. rotor will take out the second forward empennage, which is high. Removing 20,000kg of fuel, rotor. structurally inadequate for the - Fuselages are not reinforced mainly from the wing, and As with the Hybrid-Electric - Uncontained fragments from nacelle and the aft attachment for uncontained fan blade replacing it with 20,000kg of Trijet, the forward section failed rotor blade(s) could of the empennage. failure, so there is no batteries in the fuselage will looks quite good. severely damage, or remove, - The rotors and electric weight saving for the rear result in a tremendous weight the empennage. motors seem to be rotating on mounting of the propulsor. penalty due to: Peter Gambardella - The nacelle attachment a very large diameter, possibly The requirement is that (i) Increased wing shear/ MRAeS . Farnborough wind tunnels UK airline pilots left in lurch after Brexit I was most interested to The government’s decision to and pilots for many years a European licence. With Wambampram/Wikipedia read the Winds of Change leave the EASA partnership since the decision to leave the prospects of growth article in the March edition has, and will have, a huge the EU was confirmed; the and activity in UK airlines of AEROSPACE(3), in which impact on the recovery of UK CAA were unable to looking gloomy, it appears the Brian Riddle gave us an our already fragile industry provide any clear information government has done little excellent review of the early for many years to come. As about what lay ahead, as more than create a huge pool part of the 150 year history of a UK CAA APTL holder, nothing had been decided of professional pilots that are wind tunnels around the world. this concerns me greatly. or agreed. This led to many now a burden on the state, Your readers may like to know We have seen the past year airlines spurning UK Licences not to mention the many that, through the efforts of the have huge implications and in favour of safer EASA trainee pilots in UK ATOs Farnborough Air Sciences consequences for airlines, options. A great many of my on the brink of obtaining Trust (FAST), the 24ft wind aerospace engineers and colleagues and I optimistically an equally restricting (and tunnel in Building Q 121 at professional pilots alike. held onto our UK licences in tremendously expensive) The main wind turbine fan in the hope that an agreement Farnborough, which opened in Membership of EASA does qualification. I wonder how Farnborough building Q121. would be reached. Right 1935 and was in full-time use not require membership with the government plans to up to 1996, is now preserved the EU, as demonstrated by before the Christmas closure, steer the country through the recent years and are expected as a Grade One listed building. Iceland, Norway, Liechtenstein and after many of the transfer stormy conditions ahead for to restart after 17 May when Similarly, the later Supersonic and Switzerland, so why has deadlines had passed, it was the aviation industry? Will we the government lockdown and Transonic wind tunnels our membership to EASA confirmed that the UK would see more of the industry’s big restrictions are lifted. in Building R 133 have also been stripped as part of the leave EASA: a significant UK players, such as Airbus, Bookings can then be made been listed as Grade One, Brexit deal? What has the implication, that meant many easyJet, Rolls-Royce, IAG, by visiting the FAST website at while the tunnel in Building R government (and importantly thousands of UK licences etc, move operations onto the www.airsciences.org.uk 52 has been listed as Grade the aviation industry in Britain) would be worthless within continent? Is this all worth it Two. Guided visits to these gained? The lack of clarity on the EU overnight. The only for a blue passport? Sir Donald Spiers tunnels have been possible in the matter has been a key option on the table now is HonFRAeS issue of concern for airlines to apply from scratch for N N Patel 12 AEROSPACE
i . Aviation success story Appeal for Vulcan museum Nigel Rosendale Great Naveed Kapadia VTST article. I feel like I’ve just read about me in this. The single Comanche was a magnificent aircraft for its time. But trying to sync in the props on full go, the twin makes some beautiful noise on take-off. History of wind tunnels Alex Liberson [On History Naveed Kapadia Was a of wind tunnels(3)] Interesting while back... I think it was a but a little lacking in detail, Stephen Fontinelle [On Piper PA-30 Twin Comanche no mention of Bristol’s wind Naveed Kapadia Careers in B , at EGTK - Oxford. Thank tunnel history from 1919 to Aerospace blog on how to you Royal Aeronautical The Vulcan to the Sky Trust (VTST) has launched a £4m the present day. succeed as a business leader Society for featuring me. appeal to enable it to build a hangar at Doncaster Sheffield in the aviation sector(6)] Love There are some amazing Airport which will be used to exhibit the preserved Vulcan this... well done buddy. colleagues and career case bomber XH558. To be called The Vulcan Experience, the Doug Greenwell It would be studies on the website hangar will also incorporate the Green Technology Hub, nice to have a decent history and plenty of examples of designed to inspire young people to become the engineers of UK wind tunnels. NASA Martin Robinson Glad to resilience in the face of who will devise the technical solutions to the global climate has put a lot of effort over see you in a cockpit! Looks adversity. The team has done challenge. For more details see https://vulcantothesky.org/ the years into documenting like a twin com. a remarkable job. Thank you. executive-alliance/ its tunnel stories, eg NASA SP-440, but the only book in RAeS lectures online the UK of similar scope (that I know of) is Mike Dobson’s From the RAeS photo archives @Nickel23Matt There is ‘Wind Beneath the Wings’ on some amazingly good content RAeS/NAL the RAE Bedford tunnels. being put online and freely available. I think the bar has Chinese drone tests On 13 March the RAeS been set for the future! Pakistan Division held an online CAAC ‘aviation school’ outreach/ STEM session via Zoom. @jonititan I really hope these are all going on YouTube afterwards as I now count three @AeroSociety branch lectures happening at the same time today. In December 2007, Drone DJ reported that the Civil Aviation Administration of China had Drone threat to aircraft conducted collision tests in Close-up of the cylinders making up a Bristol Taurus exaggerated? which a cockpit mock-up was Parachute update 14-cylinder, two-row radial engine of around 1,100hp. Its launched at a stationary drone. sleeve valve design gave it an uncluttered exterior, low @AviationVincent [On @al_brock I wonder if Sweyn Alsopout [On mechanical noise, relatively low weight and compactness. drone vs aircraft impact tests(4)] anyone is offering a lecture drone collision tests(4)] Higher Due to its protracted development and reliability problems, Most UTM operations are on current parachute fidelity and perhaps more engine deliveries did not start until just before WW2 and below 400 feet so maybe this technologies? Any recent representative tests were it was only used in two production aircraft, the Fairey is overestimating the risks Heinrich course graduates or done a while ago in China(5). Albacore and Bristol Beaufort, both torpedo bombers. somewhat. The ‘?’ is indeed a ? lecturers? 1. AEROSPACE, March 2021, p 12, Transmission 2. AEROSPACE, March 2021, p 4, Blueprint 3. AEROSPACE, March 2021, p 14, Winds of change 4. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/fatal-impact/ 5. https://dronedj.com/2017/12/29/chinese-test-drone-airplane-collision/ 6. https://www.careersinaerospace.com/aero-stories/naveed-kapadia-founder-managing-director-of-inquisitif-an-aviation-business-management-consultancy/ 7. https://us02web.zoom.us/rec/play/IgxJ1ZNYeNMCyWnF5_gk4E4ffbecCshuidQC1pn1s6ENDydmauveH1DZ-7JwQfaGJprgOXgpQ8IEOIxp.lfmHzGkD_ sPNuq5R?autoplay=true @aerosociety i linkedin.com/raes f facebook.com/raes www.aerosociety.com APRIL 2021 13
AIR TRANSPORT Pilot training reset British Airways Airline pilot training Time to revisit the basics? Captain JOHN LEAHY and Captain ROBERT SCOTT from the RAeS Flight Operations Group, argue that the Covid-19 pause in air transport provides a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reset airline pilot training to better meet the challenges of more automated aircraft and skill fade. M any recent airline accidents have with less flight time on real aircraft, less exposure shown clear evidence of a common to the resultant stress of actual flight and much of cause, whether from fatal crashes it, computer-based. Simulator time is reduced in or devastating hull losses without many cases to the minimum required to achieve fatalities. That common cause is the certification requirements. Among the drivers for these inability of the pilots, in far too many cases, to cope reductions have been better automation and more with the situation they have faced. Sometimes it was reliable warning systems, resulting in aircraft that are when the automatic systems failed, requiring them to considered to be easier to fly. Currently, pilot training is fly manually. In others, they were trying to deal with a combination of mastery of basic handling skills and what should have been a relatively benign situation the ability to manage complex automated systems, and they simply did not cope. with an increasing emphasis on the latter. Thus, Members of the Flight Operations Group (FOG) although management of automation has improved, of the Royal Aeronautical Society (RAeS) have less and less time is now spent on developing and been studying these matters for some time but maintaining the basic skills that are so necessary individually, rather than as a group, with a common when automation fails or causes confusion. purpose. The members came together recently to This article is intended to bring to the attention of discuss the reintroduction of the 737 MAX and pilots, regulators, airline executives, flight operations what sort of training would be needed to achieve the managers, ab initio training schools and safety best outcome. It very quickly became apparent that management teams that, in our view, change is concerns about training standards on the 737 MAX needed and needed now. ICAO has set a target of were not restricted to that aircraft alone. It was obvious 2030 to achieve zero fatalities. That was reached for that there is a need to review the way that pilots are jet-powered commercial aircraft in 2017 but, since trained to fly all types of public transport aircraft. then, the accident rate has increased again, with loss Pilot training has changed greatly, particularly of control being a frequent cause. It seems clear from in the last two decades. It is shorter in duration, accident and incident reports that some pilots are not 14 AEROSPACE
being trained to a sufficiently high standard to manage Of particular concern was the fact that a high their aircraft in anything much more than routine percentage of the few accidents that were occurring circumstances. Even the slightest deviations from the fell into one category, Loss of Control in Flight (LOC-I). norm have resulted in aircraft accidents that should Nothing to do with extraordinary and demanding have been totally avoidable. circumstances but instead the pilots’ failure to Of major concern is the fact that ‘loss of control cope with the most fundamental activity, that of in flight’ has been the number one cause of fatalities being capable of using the aircraft flight controls to in aircraft accidents for many years, yet the training manage the flight path of the aircraft. Although the required to address this most fundamental pilot activity actual loss of control was sometimes triggered by is obviously not being carried out to the extent that it external factors, such as adverse weather, it was often should. A strong safety culture with an emphasis on compounded by human factors, such as poor decision- pilot performance excellence must be supported at making, technology mode confusion, poor manual the highest level in any airline, whatever the perceived handling skills and inadequate communications financial costs. between the pilots. In almost all cases, LOC-I resulted Due to the Covid pause that has hit in a non-survivable accident. the airline industry so hard, there is time This situation still prevails, so it is available to do something before aviation appropriate to ask the question, ‘How recovers to 2019 levels which is forecast is the risk evaluated and thus the to take three or more years. We view this amount of training which is considered as a great opportunity to start making the appropriate?’ It would appear that, improvements that are so necessary in in some airlines, the industry’s low A STRONG the field of airline pilot training. accident rate equates to a low risk and This article addresses what appear SAFETY thus any training that extends beyond to be significant shortcomings in the CULTURE WITH satisfying regulatory requirements and way that some airline pilots are trained AN EMPHASIS the recommendations of the original today. However, it also acknowledges equipment manufacturer (OEM) is an the significant contribution to aviation ON PILOT unnecessary expense. This completely safety that is made by so many within the PERFORMANCE overlooks the fact that the decision may aviation industry on a daily basis. EXCELLENCE then restrict the knowledge and skills of MUST BE the pilots concerned to a narrow range A history of LOC-I and make it extremely difficult for them SUPPORTED AT to cope with unforeseen events. Commercial aviation safety has shown THE HIGHEST On the other hand, it should be a massive and welcome improvement LEVEL IN noted that there have been a significant since the 50s and 60s when aircraft number of serious incidents over ANY AIRLINE, accidents were more frequent. The the years that were only prevented industry has always endeavoured to learn WHATEVER THE from becoming tragic accidents by from the causes of every accident and PERCEIVED the successful actions of the pilots, to implement solutions. 2017 saw no FINANCIAL who demonstrated competence fatalities worldwide on large commercial and professionalism that could only aircraft. Compared with 20 years earlier, COSTS have been the product of sound when 2,500 fatalities per annum were training where basic handling skills commonplace, this is commendable. It might have were considered to be a fundamental requirement been thought that we had reached a state of near to operating an aircraft, regardless of its technical perfection in aviation safety. Advances in technology sophistication. In these instances, the pilots were appeared to be making up for shortcomings in pilots’ faced with extraordinary challenges, yet succeeded in abilities. The new training model, whereby advances mitigating the outcomes. in technology enabled much-reduced pilot training programmes – a significant selling point for aircraft Some landmark examples are shown below: manufacturers and eagerly embraced by airlines – ● Boeing 747-200 – Near Jakarta – June 1982 – seemed to be working. Four engine flameout due to volcanic ash; However, some aviation safety professionals were concerned that this apparent improvement in ● McDonnell Douglas DC10 – Sioux City – July flight safety may be concealing a disturbing trend. 1989 – Uncontained tail-mounted engine failure Serious incidents were still occurring, some of which and multiple systems failures; were only prevented from becoming fatal accidents ● Airbus A320 – Hudson River, New York – January by happenstance and a measure of luck. However, 2009 – Bird strike and subsequent ditching; because the incidents did not result in fatalities, they ● Airbus A380 – Singapore – November 2010 – were not widely reported and nor did they affect the Uncontained engine failure and multiple systems accident statistics. failure. APRIL 2021 15
AIR TRANSPORT Pilot training reset A wide disparity in standards of regulatory approval, that their regulators are competent and would never permit standards to fall Why is it that some airlines have an excellent safety below a safe level. In most cases that is true but, record over many decades while others do not? It is to believe that standards are universal is incorrect the view of the group that this is not just a matter of because we know from experience that they are IN THIS MODERN luck. It is abundantly clear, from our many years of not homogeneous across all borders and nor are working in the industry, that some airlines set a high regulatory authorities infallible. AGE THERE standard that far exceeds the minimum required by Indeed, even the FAA has been castigated REALLY IS NO the regulations. This may include such measures publicly in the US by a Congressional Enquiry and EXCUSE FOR as only recruiting superior candidates from the best one can conclude that if the FAA can be found training colleges and training them to the highest wanting, others may too. The Final Committee FAILING TO standards, not only at the entry stage but on an Report: BOEING 737 MAX by Congress in October TRAIN PILOTS ongoing basis during their time with the airline. Yes, 2020 stated in its conclusion: ‘Traditionally, the FAA PROPERLY the cost is higher but, to coin an old phrase: ‘If you has been the primary leader of the world’s civilian think training is expensive, try having an accident’! aviation authorities, but questions raised about the At the other end of the scale, some operators FAA’s role in the 737 MAX crisis have punctured its struggle to even reach the bar set by the regulators, reputation as the gold standard in aviation safety and exemplified by the number of airlines that are unable international civil aviation authorities.’ to satisfy the accepted standards and end up on The FOG is concerned about the wide disparity the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) or the in safety standards of airlines, and of their pilots, European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) together with a similar disparity in regulators banned airline list. and regulatory oversight. Alignment of training The situation is complicated by the fact that there methodology on a global scale will lead to better are different training methods in use globally and exchanges of ideas and understanding of each there is not universal agreement on which ones are other’s operational challenges and an overall increase better than others. In some cases, culture influences in operating standards. the decisions on which ones to use, while in others the decision can be financial or even based on the The decline of essential skills recommendations of regulators or OEMs. Tools, such as AQP, CBTA, MPL and EBT are popular in Forty years ago, technology was changing at a the industry, though have gained different traction fast rate, which resulted in accidents due to a poor in different operating environments. There is no understanding of that technology. Over time, a shortage of good ideas plus a genuine desire on focus on managing the technical capabilities of the the part of many to train to the highest standards, aircraft assumed greater emphasis than teaching yet some airlines stick to training to the minimum the traditional basic handling skills. This was a major standards commensurate with incurring the least change in the demands placed on pilots but made costs. good use of the new efficiencies of modern aircraft. There is a view held by many, including board However, we would argue this left us with a deficit members of some airlines, that what keeps the world of basic skills which should be the foundation stone of aviation safe is a robust and uniform international on which other skills are built, those that lie dormant system of regulation. If that is satisfied, they believe, most of the time but assume immense importance their airlines can operate safely under that umbrella when the technology fails and the pilots need to CAE CAE pilot training simulators. 16 AEROSPACE
deal with an aircraft that is exhibiting unfamiliar and outside the control of the management team, so the challenging handling characteristics. focus can move to other areas, including pilot training. In the event of an aircraft accident, it is sometimes Unless senior management prioritise the need for tempting to attribute the cause to some failure of the the highest standards of training, it may be tempting pilots to perform to the standard expected of them. to make cuts to the training budget. This may be This may shroud other factors behind the events done on the basis that ‘improvements’ in automation, which led to the accident. As the complexity of the simulation and smarter training techniques permit this operating environment increases, the demands to be done without compromising safety. This group placed on the pilots also increases. While automation challenges that notion. This reduction in training does has relieved pilots of many routine handling tasks, not encourage the development and maintenance of essential skills have declined through lack of practice the skills and knowledge that are essential to safely and may not be present when needed, such as when and competently operate today’s complex aircraft, workload increases dramatically. Typically, this can something that is borne out by those accident reports occur when pilots are distracted by events, particularly that cite lack of pilot ability as a major causal factor. those known to exhibit ‘startle’ characteristics. Unless Good training may be more expensive but it the pilots have a solid foundation of should be viewed as an essential training that enables them to easily investment in safety. The loss of an control the aircraft while they deal with aircraft, passengers and crew is not only any abnormalities that are occurring, a financial loss but a dreadful human the outcome will be compromised. tragedy, especially when the accident Unfortunately, accident reports indicate was avoidable. Aircraft manufacturers that, in far too many instances, the pilots have developed amazing aircraft over the struggle to identify the problem and FLYING IS NOT years, that contribute enormously to the decide on the correct course of action, INHERENTLY safety and financial success of the airline all while trying to control an aircraft in DANGEROUS, industry. However, this has resulted in circumstances that are totally different BUT TO AN a situation where, as the complexity of to the ones they have become used to in aircraft and their operating environment regular training sessions. EVEN GREATER have increased, arguably the quality of EXTENT THAN training has decreased. The automation The consequences THE SEA, IT that is meant to ease the challenges of operating complex aircraft has to be IS TERRIBLY The current accident rate is relatively matched by pilot competency which is low compared to the past and it could UNFORGIVING lacking at times. be assumed that all is well in the OF THE LEAST In this modern age there really is no industry. However, it is not the number ERROR excuse for failing to train pilots properly. of accidents that is at issue here; it is The standards are clearly established the fact that so many of them were FAA and adhered to by the more responsible avoidable, had the pilots used basic Human Error airlines who recognise that a poorly skills to recover from the situations they in commercial trained pilot has the potential to be an found themselves in. The lack of these aviation accidents: enormous liability. Pilots do not set out skills raises the question – were the DOT/FAA/AM- to cause accidents and are often the skills ever in place or is this evidence of 06/18 victims themselves of management skill fade, due to an over-reliance on the decisions to shortcut recruitment and automatics? training methods. In this technology- There are undoubtedly some excellent flying driven and innovative age, there are many ways to training schools that deliver first rate graduates. control the high costs of pilot training. Part-task However, some pilots can undergo inadequate ab training devices, and other proven tools, provided in initio training courses with the emphasis on getting an efficient training environment, can go a long way them through quickly and as inexpensively as possible. towards consolidating a pilot’s knowledge and skills. Thus, they start their careers poorly prepared for the The aim is not necessarily more training but better challenges of converting on to larger, more complex training. aircraft in an airline setting which, in turn, is often Training methods vary and different airlines may carried out in accordance with a significantly reduced jealously guard their preferred ways of achieving the airline training model. Unless these pilots can enjoy required standards. The FOG does not mandate any rigorous training within the airline they have joined, particular training methods but merely wishes to see they will remain at a severe disadvantage as far as all airlines strive to achieve an equal and universal skills and knowledge are concerned. standard of excellence that ensures the highest All airlines operate in a very challenging financial standards of pilot competency. environment. There is always pressure to reduce This, and only this, will stop the needless loss of costs. Fuel costs and engineering costs are largely lives and aircraft. APRIL 2021 17
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