SALUTE TO THE SPEEDBIRD - SPACEFLIGHT IN 2019 NEXT GEN SENSORS - Royal Aeronautical Society
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March 2019 AEROSPACE SPACEFLIGHT IN 2019 AIRLINE FLEET PLANNING NEXT GEN SENSORS www.aerosociety.com March 2019 Volume 46 Number 3 SALUTE TO THE SPEEDBIRD WHY CONCORDE REMAINS AN ICON AT 50 Royal Aeronautical Society
Don’t forget to renew your membership subscription for 2019 Any unpaid memberships will lapse on 31 March 2019 As per the Society’s Regulations, all How to renew: memberships will be suspended where a payment for an individual subscription has Online: Log in to your account on the Society’s not been received after three months of the website to pay at: due date. This excludes members paying their annual subscriptions by Direct Debit in monthly www.aerosociety.com/login instalments. If you do not have an account, you can register Your membership benefits include: online and pay your subscription straight away. ⚫ Your monthly subscription to AEROSPACE Telephone: Call the Subscriptions Department magazine on: ⚫ Use of your RAeS post nominals, as applicable +44 (0)20 7670 4315 / 4304 ⚫ Access to over 400 global events yearly Cheque: Cheques should be made payable to ⚫ Discounted rates for conferences the Royal Aeronautical Society and sent to the ⚫ Online publications including Society News, Subscriptions Department at No.4 Hamilton blogs and podcasts Place, London W1J 7BQ, UK. ⚫ Involvement with your local Branch BACS Transfer: Pay by Bank Transfer (or by BACS) into the Society’s bank account, quoting ⚫ Networking opportunities your name and membership number. Bank ⚫ Support gaining Professional Registration details: ⚫ Recognition of achievement through the Bank: HSBC plc Society’s Medals and Awards Sort Code: 40-05-22 ⚫ Opportunities for professional development Account No: 01564641 ... and much more! Find out more ways to get BIC/Swift: HBUKGB4B involved and utilise your membership benefits: IBAN: GB89HBUK40052201564641 www.aerosociety.com/membership Thank you for renewing your membership! With your support, the Royal Aeronautical Society remains the world’s foremost professional institution dedicated to the entire aerospace and aviation industry.
Volume 46 Number 3 Beautiful bird, Fleeting thoughts NAL/RAeS Gatwick Airport March 2019 lovely plumage An analysis of the Trevor Beattie looks planning involved in 14 at the enduring appeal of Concorde 28 creating an aircraft fleet. 50 years after its first flight. Contents Correspondence on all aerospace matters is welcome at: The Editor, AEROSPACE, No.4 Hamilton Place, London W1J 7BQ, UK publications@aerosociety.com Comment Regulars 4 Radome 12 Transmission The latest aviation and Your letters, emails, tweets aeronautical intelligence, and feedback. analysis and comment. 58 The Last Word Role reversal 10 Antenna Howard Wheeldon considers Keith Hayward looks back at the legacy of Herb Kelleher, Airbus’ Brexit warning to founder of low-cost carrier the UK. pioneer Southwest Airlines. Some 50 years ago a battle between speed and size took off with the Atlantic Ocean separating rival contenders for the future of air travel. In Europe, Aérospatiale and BAC gambled that passengers and airlines would Features demand Concorde to whisk them to destinations at twice the speed of 24 NASA/SpaceX Leonardo sound. Over in the US, Boeing, originally envisaging the 747 as an interim airliner on the way to higher speeds, found that its Jumbo Jet became a revolution in getting the world to fly. Half a century later, the 747 has carried over 5.9bn people – or the equivalent of 78% of the world’s population. Yet Concorde, with a handful built and doomed by overflight restrictions and the 70’s oil crisis, now lives on only in museums and in the imagination. Today, ironically, the roles are reversed with Europe’s aerospace champion, Airbus 18 Scanning for the new age of radar Leonardo is having failed in its bet that ‘bigger is better’ with the A380 superjumbo. Space 2019 developing a new range of Meanwhile across the Atlantic, speed is back with NASA pushing forward lightweight radar systems The RAeS Space Group look designed for smaller with low-boom research, Boom developing a 55-seat airliner and Boeing ahead to this year’s plans platforms. for manned and unmanned announcing a new partnership with Aerion to bring its AS2 supersonic bizjet space missions. to market. Even John Leahy, Airbus’ recently-retired super-salesman, has 32 Lost in translation been reported as saying that the next big leap in commercial air transport The need for delivering technical content in native will be the return of supersonic flight. Yet, any new SST enters a world far NATS languages. different than its predecessor. Concerns about noise, sustainability, carbon footprints and the excesses of the rich ‘1%’ have magnified over the past 50 years. The real challenges of civil supersonic flight may not be technical barriers but societal, environmental and economic costs. What price are we prepared to pay to get there faster? 22 Tim Robinson, Editor-in-Chief NATS clears AI for 36 tim.robinson@aerosociety.com take-off at Heathrow Flying the connected How UK air traffic service skies provider NATS is testing NEWS IN BRIEF artificial intelligence to increase traffic capacity and How commercial aircraft could be used to gather Earth observation data. Editor-in-Chief Editorial Office Printed by Buxton Press Limited, reduce delays. Tim Robinson Royal Aeronautical Society Palace Road, Buxton, Derbyshire +44 (0)20 7670 4353 No.4 Hamilton Place SK17 6AE, UK tim.robinson@aerosociety.com 41 Afterburner London W1J 7BQ, UK Distributed by Royal Mail Deputy Editor +44 (0)20 7670 4300 publications@aerosociety.com 2019 AEROSPACE subscription Bill Read rates: Non-members, £170 +44 (0)20 7670 4351 www.aerosociety.com bill.read@aerosociety.com AEROSPACE is published by the Royal Please send your order to: Aeronautical Society (RAeS). Chris Male, RAeS, No.4 Hamilton Place, 42 Message from our President Publications Manager London W1J 7BQ, UK. Chris Male Chief Executive +44 (0)20 7670 4352 43 M essage from our Online +44 (0)20 7670 4352 Sir Brian Burridge CBE FRAeS aerosubs@aerosociety.com Chief Executive chris.male@aerosociety.com Advertising Any member not requiring a print 44 Book Reviews Production Editor Bharat Davé version of this magazine, please Wayne J Davis +44 (0)20 7670 4346 contact: membership@aerosociety.com 49 Library Additions Additional features and content are +44 (0)20 7670 4354 wayne.davis@aerosociety.com partners@aerosociety.com USA: Periodical postage paid at 50 Obituaries available to view online on www.media. Unless specifically attributed, no Champlain New York and additional aerosociety.com/aerospace-insight Book Review Editor offices. 51 2 019 Council Elections Brian Riddle material in AEROSPACE shall be taken Including: to represent the opinion of the RAeS. Postmaster: Send address changes 52 Diary Safety lessons from the Lion Air crash, Airbus to IMS of New York, PO Box 1518, warns of business impact of a no-deal Brexit, Reproduction of material used in this Champlain NY 12919-1518, USA. 55 W hittle Laboratory publication is not permitted without the Counter-UAV systems for airports, Leonardo Heritage Plaque written consent of the Editor-in-Chief. develops a new generation of aircraft radars, ISSN 2052-451X 56 Elections Effect of no-deal Brexit on UK-Europe flights, Planning an aircraft fleet, NATS to use AI technology at Front cover: British Airways’ Concorde. (Newscast) Heathrow. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com MARCH 2019 13
Radome INTELLIGENCE / ANALYSIS / COMMENT Advanced autonomy Unlike previous Mars rovers that are dependent on driving instructions sent via mission control and subject to the 4-20minutes time-lag between Mars and Earth, Rosalind Franklin will incorporate Specifications high levels of navigational autonomy, being able to drive itself between locations selected by scientists. This will speed up Weight 300kg exploration and allow it to travel up to 100m per Martian day. Length 2.5m Height 2m Range 4km Mission duration 218 days Drilling for life The centrepiece of the ExoMars 2020 rover mission is a drill which will be used to probe below the surface of Mars. The drill will be able to penetrate Martian soil down to 2m to extract a core sample for analysis by Rosalind's sophisticated onboard laboratory. Other scientific instruments onboard the rover include infrared spectrometers, ground-penetrating radar and an organic molecule analyser. SPACEFLIGHT Rosalind to roam Mars On 7 February, the name of ESA's ExoMars rover was announced to be Rosalind Franklin, the British female scientist who played an integral part in the discovery of DNA. The name was chosen after some 35,844 suggestions were sent in, with Rosalind Franklin selected due to the rover's key mission to hunt for life on Mars. The UK-built ExoMars rover, developed by Airbus at its site in Stevenage is now under final assembly and will launch to the Red Planet in July/August 2020 atop a Russian Proton rocket. Touchdown on Mars is set for 2021. 4 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
Eyes on Mars The ExoMars rover will feature stereoscopic cameras on top of a 2m mast to help it navigate on the planet by creating digital maps. Close-in-cameras will assist in automatic obstacle avoidance. Solar power Solar panels and batteries will provide power for 50 onboard motors for wheels, mast, drill and cameras. ESA @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com MARCH 2019 5
Radome AEROSPACE DEFENCE Mitsubishi fires back in After being on almost constant combat operations since August 1990, the final three RAF Tornados returned from deployment in Cyprus on 5 February to their home base at trade secrets dispute RAF Marham, ahead of the type's retirement from UK service at the end of this month. Operation Shader saw the Tornado force fly around 30,000hrs and release 2,000 Japan's Mitsubishi and certification of the weapons in the fight against ISIS. Aircraft, makers of the Mitsubishi Regional Jet.” MRJ narrowbody, has The counterclaim, filed in a issued a legal countersuit US District of Washington accusing Canada's court on 28 January, is in Bombardier of alleged response to it being sued “anticompetitive conduct” by Bombardier in October in attempting to stifle the 2018 with the Canadian development of its regional OEM alleging that several jet. The company says: of its ex-employees stole “Bombardier has engaged secrets on the A220 (then in illegal anticompetitive CSeries) airliner which RAF Tornados return from ops behaviour with the intent to impede the development have assisted Mitsubshi in certification of its MRJ. for last time MoD AIR TRANSPORT GENERAL AVIATION Airbus axes A380 as orders dry up. Missing footballer's On 14 February Airbus announced it would halt production of its A380 aircraft located superjumbo after 2021 after orders failed to materialise. Its biggest A380 The wreckage of a Piper Ibbotson and Argentinean customer, Emirates, also ditched its commitment to 39 superjumbos, switching Malibu light aircraft which footballer Emiliano Sala, the order to 40 A330neos and 30 A350s. The decision comes after Airbus went missing on 21 who had just signed for removed an order for ten A380s for Hong Kong Airlines from its backlog and January has been Cardiff City. The UK Qantas cancelled an outstanding order for eight Airbus A380s it first placed in discovered off Air Accidents 2006. Guernsey by Investigation AA IB a privately- Branch (AAIB) funded search is now at the team, with one site working body inside. to recover The aircraft was the aircraft to flying from Nantes to determine the cause of Airbus Cardiff with pilot David the crash. NEWS IN BRIEF into commercial service Defiant co-axial helicopter capsule, will now take customer Acropolis Aviation. The Airbus A330-900neo with a flight on 7 February prototype has started the place on 2 March. The first The aircraft is to go first has received EASA from New York La Guardia. first ground test runs at manned test flight to the to Switzerland for cabin approval for ETOPS The flight was delayed by a facility in Florida. The International Space Station outfitting before officially (Extended-range Twin a week due to delays to Defiant is the team’s entry is now scheduled for July, entering service with engine aircraft Operations) FAA type approval caused for the US Army’s Joint the same month as NASA’s Acropolis. from 180min to 285min by the US Government Multi-Role technology last currently contracted diversion time. The aircraft shutdown. The A220s will demonstrator progamme, Soyuz flight. Meanwhile, Monarch Aircraft can now have a potential be used on routes between with the SB-1 competing the first unpiloted flight of Engineering Ltd (MAEL), diversion distance of LaGuardia, Boston Logan against the Bell V-280 Boeing’s Starliner capsule has gone bankrupt with the up to 2,000nm. ETOPS and Dallas-Fort Worth. tiltrotor. is now planned for April loss of 408 jobs. MAEL certification from the US Delta currently has orders with the first crewed flight was the MRO division of FAA is expected soon. for 40 A220-100s and 50 NASA has announced in late August. Monarch Airlines which -300s. that the first test flight collapsed in 2017. Delta Air Lines has of a SpaceX Falcon The first Airbus ACJ320neo introduced its Airbus A220 Sikorsky and Boeing have 9 rocket, carrying an business jet has been ANA Holdings in Japan is (ex Bombardier CSeries) revealed that their SB-1 unmanned Crew Dragon delivered to UK launch to order 20 Boeing 737 6 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
AIR TRANSPORT AEROSPACE Ryanair flies into the red On 22 January, Boeing NeXT conducted an unpiloted first flight of its fully autonomous electric passenger air vehicle at Manassas, Virginia. Developed by Boeing subsidiary Aurora Flight Sciences, the eVTOL completed a take-off, European budget carrier competition from other hover and landing with a dummy onboard. With eight lifting rotors and a thrust Ryanair has posted a net airlines. propeller, the vehicle will have a range of 50miles. loss of €19.6m (£17.2m) Meanwhile, the Meanwhile, on 5 February, Boeing announced that it would be partnering with for 2018 Q4, the airline’s low-cost airline is to Aerion to bring its AS2 supersonic bizjet to market. Boeing says it will provide first quarterly loss since restructure its top-level financial, engineering and industrial resources to accelerate development. March 2014. While management, with current passenger levels rose to CEO Michael O'Leary 32.7m compared to 30.4m moving up to a group for 2017 Q4 and revenue leadership role with rose 9% to €1.53bn, Ryanair Holdings, which Ryanair attributed the will then oversee four loss to a combination of airline subsidaries, Ryanair, a 32% increase in fuel costs, a 31% increase in Ryanair Sun, Laudamotion and the recently UK- Boeing flies eVTOL, teams up for supersonic bizjet Boeing staff wages and increased licenced Ryanair UK. SPACEFLIGHT DEFENCE Orbex reveals Prime rocket in Scotland Germany drops F-35 from future fighter selection The German MoD has which currently are nuclear confirmed that it has capable with the US B61 removed the stealth free-fall bomb. Lockheed Martin The Luftwaffe is Eu F-35 from its now reported to rofi ghter shortlist of strike be mulling a split aircraft to replace buy of Boeing On 7 February UK launcher start-up company Orbex unveiled its Prime rocket at its aging fleet F/A-18E/F its new HQ and factory in Forres, Scotland. The Stage 2 of the Prime mini-satellite of Tornado fighter Super Hornets, launcher features the world’s largest 3D printed rocket engine. The first launch of bombers, which will along with upgraded Prime from the UK's new spaceport in Scotland is targeted for 2021. retire in the mid 2020s and Eurofighter Typhoons. Orbex MAX 8s and 18 Airbus first two KC-46 Pegasus oxygen which could be Charter has added a Turkmenistan Airlines’ A320neos in a deal worth tankers to the US Air used for future human Pilatus PC-24 executive flights to the EU because $4.33bn at list prices. The Force at its facility in missions. ArianeGroup jet to its fleet. It is the first of concerns over air safety. MAX 8s will be used by Everett, Washington. The with Arianespace is PC-24 sold in the US. The suspension includes ANA on domestic routes USAF is set to receive working with German flights from the UK to while the A320neos will be around three tankers company PTScientists, Honeywell and Curtiss- Amritsar and New Delhi via operated by ANA’s budget per month in 2019, as which will provide Wright are to jointly Turkmenistan. carrier Peach Aviation. Boeing steeply ramps up the lunar lander, and develop a new family of Deliveries of both aircraft deliveries. Space Applications 'Black Boxs' cockpit voice General Atomics has are to begin in 2021. ANA Services in Belgium, and data recorders able announced industry is also to take a 9.5% stake ESA has signed a which will provide the to meet new EASA rules partners for the RAF’s in PAL Holdings, parent one-year contract with ground control facilities, for at least 25hrs of data Protector RG1 armed UAV, of flag carrier Philippine ArianeGroup to research communications and recording. including CAE which will Airlines. a robotic mission to mine service operations. supply a synthetic training regolith from the Moon. The European Aviation system and BAE Systems On 25 January Boeing Regolith is an ore which US charter company Safety Authority which will help integrate it officially handed over the can yield water and Western Aircraft’s WestAir (EASA) has suspended into UK airspace. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com MARCH 2019 7
Radome DEFENCE AIR TRANSPORT Images have appeared on social media of Russia’s new Okhotnik (Hunter) unmanned combat air vehicle (UCAV) undergoing ground testing at the BA rolls out the retrojets Novosibirsk Aircraft Production Organization (NAPO) in Russia. Reported to have been in development for a number of years, the Hunter is now believed to for its 100th year be ready for flight testing. The Hunter is similar in size to Northrop Grumman’s UK flag carrier British as flown on the carrier’s X-47B and appears to be powered by a fighter jet engine. Images have also Airways has announced original 747-100s. BA appeared of a Russian Sukhoi Su-57 with tail markings showing the shape of a Hunter, suggesting that manned-unmanned teaming trials are underway. the first of four ‘retro’ says the aircraft will paint schemes to carry the paint mark its centenary scheme until Br ii s h this year. The its retirement A ir w a y s first airliner to in 2023. As sport a historic AEROSPACE livery will be one goes to press, the Russian stealth UCAV of the airline’s Boeing BOAC retrojet is Russian internet 747-400s, which is being set to make its first public breaks cover painted with the classic 1964-74 BOAC livery, appearance at Heathrow Airport on 18 February. SPACEFLIGHT AEROSPACE Stratolaunch to scale back Canadian manufacturer Bombardier has launched a new 50-seat regional jet. Named the CRJ550 the new aircraft will be added to Bombardier’s CRJ Series ambitions range, with a type-certificate based on the CRJ700. An order for 50 of the new CRJ550s has been placed by US carrier United Airlines. Space launch start-up death of Stratolaunch’s Stratolaunch Systems billionaire founder, Paul is to scale back its Allen in late 2018. The operations and company, which only axe plans for revealed that it St ra to a family of was working on luanch launchers to be a family of air- air-dropped by its launched rockets giant mothership for its six-engined aircraft. ‘Roc’ aircraft last year, The news, which sees 50 will now focus on using Bombardier staff also losing their jobs, comes after the recent the Northrop Grumman Pegasus XL rocket. Bombardier launches 50-seat CRJ550 NEWS IN BRIEF Reality TV space mission into Bombardier’s Aerostructures and ($350.4m), compared to a loss of NOK 713m in a joint Future Combat Air System sixth-generation Correction Mars One, which sought Engineering Services Q4 2017. To cut costs, fighter, with a €65m In the February 2019 issue of AEROSPACE, a picture caption applicants for a one-way division. Norwegian is to postpone concept study awarded to on p 39 in the Electric pioneer televised trip to colonise deliveries of 12 Boeing Airbus and Dassault. article incorrectly located the Red Planet, has been Bristow Group has called 737 MAX 8s from 2020 Sumburgh Airport as being in the Orkney Islands. Sumburgh declared bankrupt. off a $560m acquisition of to 2023/2024 and four As AEROSPACE goes to is, of course, on the Shetland heavy-lift rotary specialists Airbus A321LRs from press, NASA is set to make Islands. Bombardier is to acquire Columbia Helicopters in 2019 to 2020. The carrier one last attempt to contact We apologise for any confusion the Global 7500 bizjet a mutual agreement to blamed the loss on engine its Opportunity rover on caused. wing programme from terminate the deal. issues with the 787, Mars, which has been Triumph Group. The wing fuel hedge losses and silent for the past eight for the business jet will Norwegian Air has increased competition. months after a large dust continue to be produced delayed some aircraft storm. The rover has been at Triumph’s Red Oak deliveries following the France and Germany on the planet for 15 years facility in Texas which announcement of a 2018 have signed the first and its mission was only will be incorporated Q4 loss of NOK 3bn development contracts for expected to last 90 days. 8 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
GENERAL AVIATION AEROSPACE Speaking at a lecture at Royal Aeronautical Society HQ on 5 February, Jeff Zaltman, Ordnance Survey CEO of Air Race E revealed that Airbus has signed up to become the Official Founding Partner in the Air Race E electric aircraft race due to begin in 2020. The race reveals HAPS project will see eight electric-powered racers compete over a 5km circuit. UK mapping agency, first low-altitude flight Ordnance Survey has taking place in June 2016. revealed that is has The next step, says Brian been developing a Jones, Astigan’s Managing solar-powered HAPS Director, is moving to a (High Altitude Pseudo fully operational high- Satellite) with a team of altitude flight testing aeronatuical engineers. adding: "By the end of The enterprise 2019 we aim to called Astigan be completing A3, will weigh endurance Airbus joins start Ord na nc e S u 149kg and has flight testing, a wingspan building up to grid for electric air racing Air Race 1 of 38m. It 90 days non- rve will operate at stop, which is y DEFENCE 67,000ft, says the OS, for up to 90 the operational capability we’re UK to field drone swarm squadron days to return images of the Earth for mapping striving for." Entry into service is set for 2020. purposes. The project Astigan joins Airbus’ UK Defence Minister Gavin believed to be the RAF's UCAV. However, the MoD has been underway since Zephyr and BAE Systems’ Williamson has announced Rapid Capabilities Office subsequently confirmed 2014 and the UAV has Phasa-35 as the UK’s that the RAF is to field a (RCO) LANCA project that the project is a three- already completed eight third HAPS solar-powered squadron equipped with for a low-cost ‘attritable’ year one. full-scale flights, with the drone project. swarming UAVs able to confuse and overwhelm SPACEFLIGHT enemy air defences, with the goal of having them INFOGRAPHIC: Humans in space − from Vostock to ‘ready to be deployed’ by the end of the year. No Shenzhou specfic type of drone was mentioned, with the effort ON THE MOVE Steve Berroth is to become CEO and Program Manager at Aerion. Nexcelle has named Patrice Provost as President. Ma Xulun has been appointed as GM of China Southern Airlines. Airbus has appointed Jean-Marc Nasr as President Asia-Pacific. Byrce @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com MARCH 2019 9
antenna: Global Outlook and Analysis with HOWARD WHEELDON Airbus – last throw of the dice before Brexit? B y the time this ‘Antenna’ column is cost’. Interpreted, this means that, if the UK leaves the published in AEROSPACE at the EU without an appropriate deal in place, aerospace beginning of March, the United Kingdom companies face the serious threat of supply chain will be, unless Article 51 has been pushed disruption and thus, higher manufacturing costs. back or revoked, less than 29 days from This would be made even worse if imports from the leaving the European Union. At the time of writing, EU were to be subject to tariffs and other forms of Parliament had failed to back the agreed deal which restriction. Breaking this down further means that, Prime Minister Theresa May had put before the if restrictions were to be placed on the movement House of Commons and the risk of the UK leaving of people and goods, this would create logistical without an agreed deal with Brussels remained. problems for companies such as Airbus who use While not alone among industries that are at risk a ‘just in time’ process of manufacturing. It would of being seriously impacted by the prospect of Britain also raise costs, as components would have to be leaving the EU without an agreement, the aerospace stockpiled in advance because of the need to have industry has been one of the most vociferous in additional customs procedures and immigration expressing concern. Whether you consider the fears checks. The bottom line is that it is not only costs that expressed by senior industry leaders together with are increased but also the potential weakening of the threats of moving production abroad to be a sensible UK aerospace sector’s global competitiveness. response is a matter best left to you the reader but, in the case of Airbus, I venture to suggest that in respect A cry of dissent of the UK leaving without a deal Tom Enders' words that “Brexit may lead to a slow motion crash for Britain’s Airbus CEO Tom Enders has been one of the most aerospace industry” should not be taken lightly. vociferous and consistent voices expressing concern over Britain leaving the EU without a deal. You could UK giant argue that Enders, who retires from Airbus at the AGM next month, has nothing to lose but that would With an annual turnover of £6bn and a large UK be to misunderstand the genuine love that he has exporter, Airbus is undoubtedly not only a major for what Airbus has created in the UK and a concern contributor to the UK balance of payments but is of how the next generation of Airbus management also hugely important to the UK economy and the will view a UK outside of the EU without a deal in retention of vital engineering and technical skills. place that can answer the concerns that the current In the UK Airbus employs no fewer than 14,000 generation of management have expressed. highly skilled personnel across 25 different sites In a final throw of the dice, in a video message in the UK, of which around 6,000 are based at the released in late January, Enders called the UK centre of excellence wing manufacturing plant in government’s handling of Brexit a “disgrace”, warning Broughton, North Wales. At Filton, near Bristol, Airbus that the company could [ultimately] pull out of the UK employs another 3,000 highly skilled personnel should the UK crash out of the EU without a deal. designing and engineering wings, fuel systems and If there was a no-deal Brexit, Airbus would have to landing gear. There are also 200 staff employed make 'potentially very harmful decisions for the UK'. at the Oxford-based Airbus Helicopters, as well Ratcheting up of the Airbus message coincides with as 900 at Newport in Wales, primarily engaged in other manufacturers, such as Sony and Dyson, openly secure information services and cyber security. In saying either that they plan to move operations out of Stevenage and Portsmouth the company employs the UK or, as in the case of Rolls-Royce, that not only 2,200 highly skilled personnel designing and is the company being forced to stockpile more parts manufacturing advanced satellite systems and military to maintain production but also that, from a regulatory communications, together with a further 110,000 standpoint, it has been forced to make contingency employed within the supply chain. plans to move design-approval processes for large jet So what is so concerning about the prospect of engines from Britain to Germany should we leave the a no-deal Brexit for high-value manufacturers such EU without an agreed deal. as Airbus? Principally, it is about the prospect of What is particularly interesting is that it isn’t only customs delays and the old adage that ‘time means those opposed to Britain leaving the EU that have 10 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
Airbus been expressing serious doubts as to the future. a lifetime in the aerospace industry and been One of the most fervent Brexit supporters, the small responsible for effecting considerable change not only privately owned aircraft manufacturer Britten-Norman in the structure of Airbus operation but also in respect which manufactures the ten-seat Islander, is so of governance, Tom Enders hands over the CEO discontented over how the planned exit from the reins in April to a Frenchman in the form of Guillaume EU has been handled, that it says that it is seriously Faury. An engineer through and through, Faury will, in considering moving some functions out of the UK into my view, concentrate efforts on increasing the output IF THE UK LEAVES either the EU or USA. of Airbus aircraft. THE EU WITHOUT In choosing to say “Please don’t listen to the Also, with the recent retirement after 50 years in AN APPROPRIATE Brexiteers’ madness, which asserts that because we the aerospace industry of the much respected Airbus DEAL IN PLACE, have huge plants here [in the UK] we will not move Commercial Aircraft Chief Operating Officer Tom and we will always be here” Tom Enders has been Williams, Airbus finds itself for the first time without a AEROSPACE accused by Brexiteers of everything from ‘bullying’ to UK member on the Board. COMPANIES FACE ‘Teutonic arrogance’. I disagree in the belief that this Williams' replacement is Michael Schollhorn, THE SERIOUS was a simple and straightforward warning that there a German national who brings into the job a vast THREAT OF are plenty of other countries out there who would love amount of expertise in digitilisation, end-to-end to build the wings for Airbus aircraft. process optimisation and manufacturing, quality and SUPPLY CHAIN supply chain management. Add all that up and you DISRUPTION AND Airbus at the door? conclude that the future is about producing the next THUS, HIGHER levels of production efficiency. The unanswered question, of course, is whether With a Frenchman at the helm of Airbus as CEO MANUFACTURING Enders might be right or wrong in respect of Airbus and a German as Chief Operating Officer, both of COSTS eventually shutting the doors on the UK or whether whom appear to have a self-set mandate of getting he is out to cause unnecessary angst. Almost by more aircraft out of the door through achieving coincidence, I happened to be spending a couple of increased operating efficiencies, it doesn’t need an days with Airbus in Toulouse on the very day that the academic to conclude that Airbus is unlikely to be in Tom Enders' video/letter was released. The mood, any mood to tolerate reduced productivity from its despite Airbus having delivered more aircraft than wing-making operation in the UK. it forecast to do in 2018 was extremely subdued That is not to suggest that Airbus would or even on the question of Brexit. Those involved on the could up sticks and leave the UK but it is to suggest Continent said that Airbus manufacturing has no that thinking about long-term investment in its wing wish for change. However, by the same token, they operation at Broughton is no longer part of the then accept it as inevitable in the longer term if, as strategy. a consequence of a no-deal, cross border deliveries As to the UK interpretation of the Tom Enders of wings and wing components slow and costs rise. letter/video – Brexit secretary Stephen Barclay said So, do I believe that Enders expressed concerns that he took the warning “very seriously.” should be taken seriously by all concerned in the UK? I suspect that whether you voted to remain or Absolutely I do and here’s why: leave the EU, the majority will share Enders' desire for Firstly, in making a proper assessment of the a pragmatic withdrawal agreement that allowed for an situation you have to also take into consideration orderly Brexit. I for one certainly do but I am also old the massive change that Airbus is going through enough to know that you can take a horse to water in respect of senior management. Having spent but you can’t force it to drink. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com MARCH 2019 11
Transmission LETTERS AND ONLINE f Lion Air crash and pilot safety training With reference to the very controllable by pilots. The Boeing informative article ‘Lion majority of airline pilots Air Lessons’ by David today have lost their basic Learmount(1), who covers manual flying skills due to the subject with his usual airlines forbidding their pilots thoroughness, I would like to fly manually except during to add a few points. I trained the initial take-off stage and a number of pilots on the the final landing one (which DC-10 and B747-200, can also be done by the Air Race E rules checked them on line, and ‘auto-land’ system). Pilots The rules regarding number was one of the few test must be given occasional of main wheels needs examiners that could clear a manual flying practice for clarification please. The first pilot for a first command on descent, approach and rule states the main gear these types. When training landing when line flying. must be fixed but does pilots (who were already Simulators are very useful not specify any minimum captains on jet airliners but do not fully reproduce Lion Air Boeing 737 MAX 10. number of wheels. Then the such as the A300 B4) a the experience and next two rules regarding runaway stabiliser was part atmosphere of actual flying ‘stick loads’ by grasping the THEN hit the stab switches brakes and tyres are both of the syllabus. This was to – so that when manual control column on his own but they could have been using plurals which would be followed in training by a flying has to be done on side, about midway from the fooled by the period in indicate more than one main ‘jammed stabiliser landing’. line, as in the case of a cockpit floor to the wheel which the stab runaway wheel is required. It seems However, the trainees visual approach when an so as not to interfere with automatically stopped and like the rules have been were so quick to detect the ILS is not available, manual control wheel inputs, and then restarted, ie the ‘brake’ adapted from the existing runaway stabiliser that they flying becomes, in itself, an responding to the flying was working intermittently F1 rules but not checked for used the ‘one–two’ reaction emergency. While it may pilot’s request for “more” and confusing them. The clarity where changed. that I taught them, by pulling not be valid in this particular back on the control column or “less” pressure. Almost voice recorder may throw case, the aviation industry every airliner had this stab- some light on this but it is Andy McKee (in the case of a forward should be aware, when they trim malfunction) which brake system installed – possible that this confusion pursue a goal of pilotless Brexit and business engaged the stab brake and right from the B 707/720s could have caused ‘fixation’ aircraft, that a mistake by a that I flew in the late 1960s or ‘tunnel vision’ that [On Airbus threat to quit UK turning off the stab cut-off ground maintenance person to the 70s. The 737 MAX stopped them from going to post Brexit] I believe Brexit switches on the centre could result in erroneous departed from this system the stab switches off action. is a ‘political and a security’ pedestal a split second later. information being sent to by having the MCAS which Airliner manufacturers issue. Business-wise the This resulted in hardly any the flight controls – and did not have a stab brake. should not only tell pilots UK and the rest of Europe trim change, so to make the then a well trained and As Mr Learmount points out, about any different system are still intact! We have one jammed stab landing in a skilled manual flying pilot pilots were not informed differences on new aircraft Airbus ... one industry. worse possible scenario; I will not be there to save gave them the landing with about this difference and but also make sure that, the day! would naturally expect the even if a full nose down or Anthonile Greenman a fully forward jammed stab. i The pilot flying was assisted pull on the control column up stab trim situation occurs, Capt J Sadiq by the other pilot in reducing to engage the brake and it should be manually FRAeS Adapting automotive engines for aircraft In the December 2018 with its application. This as a simple spring-mass with Rotax 912, is required. edition of AEROSPACE means a gearbox is system with the crankshaft There is an outfit here in there was an article on required; this immediately being the mass. The Australia making liquid- piston engines(2). As one means that drive system dynamic spring constant cooled heads for formerly who has done several torsional dynamics must be can be set such that the air-cooled heads; this conversions of automotive considered. In the case of first natural frequency can leads to greatly improved Drone security engines for aeronautical the Vimy, the engine was be passed on start-up, of cylinder head and valve purposes, I thought I would a 454 Chev running at course there must be some performance. One can also [[On Securing Gatwick’s point out a few things 4,500rpm and a very large internal damping. I have use oil to cool the heads. Skies(3)] The question is why that I have learned. For prop running at around always used elastomeric Also, under-piston oil squirts is it ‘now’ top of the agenda an engine to be efficient, 1,000rpm. In most cases springs; these also generate are great. In Australia with and not since drones it must run fast and hot the rotational inertia of the some heat so some surface temperatures in became so affordable and but it must be connected prop will be many times cooling air over the spring summer at +45°C, cooling easy to acquire (or build)? to a propeller which, for that of the crankshaft and is required. Concerning is quite an issue. efficiency, must be as large its rotating masses. So, running a hot engine, liquid Eleftherios as possible consistent analytically it can be treated cooling of the head, as Bill Whitney Kalochristianakis 12 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
Air transport and Brexit @Coffey1_david It’s RAeS/NAL 50th anniversary of first 747 flight carrying a spare engine. [On No-deal, no flights?(4)] draws memories BOAC VC10s and B707s Once again, the no deal had special pod and carried Brexit lobby demonstrate spare engines under the a complete lack of wing on commercial flights. It understanding of the was a cost efficient method consequences in terms of of getting a replacement our air transport industry, engine to aircraft stranded let alone our aerospace away from base. Airbus joins Air Race E manufacturing base and regulations. You cannot @GuardedDon The engine just take-off and land Spot anything unusual in this photo of a British Airways to be ferried has its LP fan anywhere in Europe with Boeing 747-200 during Rolls-Royce RB211 engine testing removed and a cap is fitted jet liners full of passengers, in 1977? over the duct leading to the Air Race E as you apparently can with turbine core. private aircraft. This should @RayLRiv Three engines @fairoaks_aero Other be made compulsory portside. than everything already @a346b747 Virgin Orbit’s reading for the negotiators In February Airbus joined mentioned, I’d hazard Cosmic Girl is today using on both sides, so that a Air Race E as a Founder a guess that the most this hard point for rocket clear understanding of Member. @PeterLay4 Fifth pod. unusual thing is that it’s launches .... not at BA jets on the potential implications #leavingonschedule? short finals I might add. of Brexit on air transport @Jonititan Thanks, for the UK as a result of that’s fantastic. I would be RAF Tornados return from ops for Derek Piggot – RIP range of options. I know especially interested to last time it is extremely late in hear what lessons on race the day but, if there is a strategy could be taken nine-month delay, as some from @airrace1 experience. amendments indicate, now If transponder data or would be the time to read telemetry could be made this very good research on Derek Piggot HonCRAeS available this would be behalf of the RAeS. (1922-2019) was a gliding key. Balancing turning vs straight line speed etc in instructor and a stunt pilot Geoffrey Wardle in films – including flying design choices. MSc CEng MRAeS a Fokker DR1 under the Carrigabrick viaduct in Ireland Electric aircraft @jcbetancourtpho On 5 February the last RAF Tornados returned to RAF in The Blue Max. Congratulations to Jeff Marham from combat operations. [On Electric Pioneer(5)] Zaltman and the @airracee @GilesHuby I remember Another very interesting @PaulAllan262 Well done @Grs_st Of course we are team for this achievement! studying his book when piece on the drive towards guys. losing the Tornado but it learning to glide in the more electric aircraft. should be noted we’re losing Watchkeeper arrives 1980s but had no idea This programme will @richcatp Great legacy. a RAF trade – no more FJ late about his stunt flying undoubtedly provide an Not many aircraft can claim back seaters. background! A life well lived. interesting case study on [On Watchkeeper UAV statistics like that. the technical challenges achieving full operational and the economics of the capability] @macilree How many @Jamienorth2017 Very modification of an existing, @Mark_Bate_UK Where @cyndey0071 Any idea Tonkas produced for the sad news indeed, a very certificated aircraft. But are we at, 7-8 years late? It what they plan to do with RAF? How many lost talented pilot with some surely in this type of air taxi was supposed to have been the Tornados. Are they in accidents or enemy great tales to tell. RIP and application where short FOC for HERRICK 15. going into storage or being action? What future for the take thy wings to eternal flights and low passenger chopped up? backseaters? flight and fly among the volumes are typical, a heavens. system based around @RThompsonPTH How a smaller vehicle, such many years has that been? Is 1. AEROSPACE, January 2019, p 18, Lion Air lessons 2. AEROSPACE, December 2018, p 22, Clean sky thinking as those recently flight the CONUSE still relevant? 3. AEROSPACE, February 2019, p 3, Editorial – Securing Gatwick’s skies tested by Airbus, Boeing, 4. AEROSPACE, February 2019, p 30, No deal – no flights? Lilium, etc, would provide @Aerostatpilot Just 5. AEROSPACE, February 2019, p 38, Electric pioneer more flexibility and better in time to be replaced..... economics? Kieron Parnell These things were having ‘uncontrolled landings’ when Online Additional features and content are available to view I lived near Aberporth... online at http://media.aerosociety.com/aerospace-insight @aerosociety i linkedin.com/raes Find us on LinkedIn f facebook.com/raes Find us on Facebook. www.aerosociety.com www.aerosociety.com MARCH 2019 13
Beautiful bird, lovely plumage RAeS/NAL 14 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
Some 50 years after the first flight of Concorde, why does this aerial icon still hold our imagination? Legendary advertising guru TREVOR BEATTIE pays tribute to the one and only Concorde. I t’s Saturday, 13 July 1985. At Wembley Stadium, Knowing the legend Live Aid is in full swing. Many global superstars will perform on this day. Only one will steal the In all I was lucky enough to experience eight show. Somewhere backstage, a nervous Freddie Concorde flights, with both British Airways and, in the Mercury is ironing his stonewashed slacks. He later years, Air France. Some business, all pleasure. needn’t have bothered. I once flew my Mum on a supersonic return to a Trevor Out front, 72,000 people feel a tingle of Broadway show for her birthday. (She Be at ti e excitement running up and down between 144,000 hated the show, the prancing herberts satin shoulder pads. Hearts flutter. Lips tremble. Up of ‘Chicago’ were no match for the in the posh seats, Princess Diana is doing neighbour-impressing her best Lady Di face for Simon le Bon. experience of sipping Suddenly and as one, the crowd turns champagne at away from the stage and squints skyward, 55,000ft). Over the much to the chagrin of Nik Heyward. A years, I’ve visited the roar goes up. A roar comes down. And for flight decks, collected the one fleeting moment, the most instantly CONCORDE certificates and stolen the safety cards recognisable silhouette in the history of TALKS OF and pepper pots, sorry, and I never took aviation soars overhead. FUTURISTIC one second of it all for granted. Yet I can’t deny that, throughout DREAMING its life, Concorde was dogged by King of the stage AND FAME AND detractors. The glossy white bird ‘THE Concorde!’ they cry. Note, not ‘a’ WHITE HOT has been likened to all manner of but ‘the’ Concorde. This is a very singular TECHNOLOGY disparaging creatures, from dodo supersonic superstar. Concorde, in the through white elephant to albatross. words of the aforementioned Heyward AND A Speaking of which, the year 1969 saw (via Chesney Hawkes) is indeed The One CLAMOUR FOR not only the first flight of Concorde, And only. Iconic celebrity goes by a single GLAMOUR AND but a fledgling appearance of Monty name: Elvis. Mandela. Ali. Madonna. Prince. Pele. Concorde. It’s hardly surprising they THE GLAMOUR Python’ s ‘Dead Parrot’ sketch. Perhaps the most unintentionally, yet thought we’d only built one. OF FLIGHT prophetically, apt slight of them all. How do I know all this? Because, as ITSELF. OF A You see, in the world beyond the scene unfolded, I had the best seat in MACHINE WITH aviation circles (I’ve never been there the house. Seat 1A aboard the very BA but apparently it exists), there are really Concorde in question. We’d left the Air A SOUL only TWO aeroplanes: Spitfire and Tattoo at RAF Fairford earlier in the day Concorde, but if this golden duo were and indulged in some formation gallivanting with forced into an airborne celebrity death match, I have the Red Arrows before a Mach 2 tear-up over the no doubt who would come out on top. For while the Bay of Biscay and low pass over Wembley en route casual spotty teenage spotter may glance up at a to Heathrow, where we’d drop off our pointy taxi BBMF flypast and ask: “Which one’s the Spitfire?” ahead of it whanging a certain Phil Collins over to (and hopefully receive a clip round the ear), Concorde Philadelphia. That’s how we rolled in the Eighties. is Concorde is Concorde. Or rather, it WAS. And And all for the princely sum there’s the rub. of £385. I kid you not. And I still Spitfires grow in number and live appearances have the paperwork to prove year after year. Concorde remains most definitely it. A trip like that today would deceased. It is no more. It’s ceased to be. Bereft of life, have broken the sound barrier, it rests in peace. It is an ex-SST. It’s lack of movement Via author the bank and the Internet. certainly not due to it being tired and shagged out after Concorde, as well as stealing a long supersonic squawk but a slow strangulation by the limelight at Live Aid, would have lit men in grey suits. If they hadn’t nailed it to the tarmac, up social media. Talk about an Instagram Influencer. it would’ve been pushing up past Mach 2. A big part of #twosunsetsoneflight Concorde’s iconic status is that we actually mourn its @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com MARCH 2019 15
AIR TRANSPORT Concorde 50th anniversary RAeS/NAL RAeS/NAL RAeS/NAL Concorde memorabilia above, via author loss. We grieve for an aeroplane. I expect to hear no Towards the end of Monty Python’s legendary passing-bells for the A380, do you...? ‘Dead Parrot’ sketch, Michael Palin’s pet shop owner offers John Cleese a replacement for his expired Hard to kill Norwegian Blue: “I’ve got a slug,” he suggests optimistically. “Does it talk?” asks Cleese. “Not really, It’s a sadness peculiar to this plane. A nostalgia for no.” “Well it’s scarcely a replacement then, is it?” a kind of future past. Concorde was a time machine. If Concorde could talk and it talks to us still. The veritable stuff of sci-fi legend. A living machine Concorde talks of futuristic dreaming and so larger than life that it took three fame and white hot technology and a assassination attempts to kill it. First via clamour for glamour and the glamour of Concorde was built on some dirty DC-10 detritus on a Paris flight itself. Of a machine with a soul. Of production lines at both runway. Next, as a lingering collateral mythical things, like the sound barrier, Filton, UK, and Toulouse, victim of 9/11. And finally, fatally, upon sonic booms, the curvature of the Earth, France. its solemn return home in an unbearable droop-snoots and caviar. Of overtaking three-ship Concorde cortège to the sunset and landing before we took RAeS/NAL Heathrow. Terminal 3 indeed. At least the off. Of romance at the edge of Space. Of public finally got to see proof that we had, London to New York in the time it now Via author after all built more than one. takes the smart detectors at Heathrow to remove every last trace of human dignity The ultimate one-off and place it in a clear plastic bag in a grey plastic tray next to your trainers, loose change and Will there ever be another? Could the SpeedBird be Preparation H. It will take a mighty beautiful suitable replaced? Recent rumours at least hint positively replacement to silence that voice. in the direction of a small, comically long-nosed, Palin’s pet shop owner had it right: “Beautiful bird. teetering-on-supersonic sibling. We shall see. Lovely plumage.” 16 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
2019 ANNUAL BANQUET Supported by Thursday 16 May 2019 / London Established as a key event in the social Guest of Honour calendar of the aviation and aerospace Guillaume Faury community, the Royal Aeronautical Society CEO Designate, Airbus Annual Banquet attracts high level industry Venue attendance and offers the ideal opportunity The InterContinental London Park Lane, for networking and corporate entertainment. One Hamilton Place, London W1J 7QY, UK Programme Individual tickets and corporate tables are Reception: 7.15pm Dinner: 8.00pm available with discounted rates for RAeS members and Corporate Partners. What’s included? This black tie event includes a pre-dinner networking reception followed by an exquisite four-course dinner with fine wines and coffee. Enquiries to: Gail Ward, Events Manager – Corporate & Society Royal Aeronautical Society T +44 (0)1491 629 912 / E gail.ward@aerosociety.com www.aerosociety.com/banquet
SPACEFLIGHT The year ahead Space 2019 2019 has started off as an exciting year already for spaceflight. The RAeS SPACE GROUP looks ahead to the most significant crewed/robotic missions and space news this year. T his year is a milestone year in space, as from these nimble, efficient (and sometimes 50 years ago, the Apollo astronauts first ephemeral) organisations while still pressing forward set foot on the Moon. Fifty years later with the inspirationally ambitious science and and we’re still some way from Arthur C technology agenda that only the public sector can Clarke’s vision of 2001 (or 2010, the justify or sustain. sequel) but then it is the role of science fiction to In truth, it is now possible to speak of ‘run of the imagine what might be, not what will be. mill’ spaceflight. Launching a new satellite is cheap, In reality, we have, or are on the cusp of, artificial reliable and quite standardised (all such matters being intelligence, long-duration space flight, orbital tourism, relative). A good mid-fielder might cost you (a lot) re-usable rockets and a space station the size of more than a new observation satellite. a football field (albeit not a spinning one). Indeed, Perhaps, in the past 50 years, space technology a return mission to the Moon is now unlikely to has actually overtaken ambition. Missions like consume 2.5% of a year’s GDP for the US, as it did Voyager, Viking, Venera, Rosetta and even GPS, in the 1960s and 70s (ten years at 0.25% GDP per required vision beyond their own time – to do a thing annum). If the US, Europe or Russia have not put not yet done before. Forgotten missions that failed ‘boots on the ground’ in the intervening years, it is along the way only serve to demonstrate the reach more a question of political imperative than capability that was attempted. When was the last time we but watch out – China’s ambitious space programme reached that far? may just be enough to spark a new Space Race (see Imagine the boldest mission that our latest Launchers). technology might achieve today… Shall we? Today, the space sector focuses on different challenges. In many ways, it has matured into a tech Launchers sector akin to any other. The ‘NewSpace’ movement actually represents a movement away from its birth as Last year (2018) will be a hard one to beat for launch a strategic and prestige-led sector – towards systems. The maiden voyages of SpaceX’s the more ‘business as usual’ world of Falcon Heavy (the largest ever commercial return on investment, marketing launcher), Japan’s SS-520-5 (the smallest models and ‘as-a-service’ concepts. rocket to ever deliver a payload into The challenge for space agencies orbit), Rocket Labs’ Electron and and (inter)national programmes Virgin Galactic’s VSS Unity are all is to take maximum benefit headline worthy. Main image: On 11 January, SpaceX successfully launched the eighth and final set of satellites in a series of 75 total satellites for Iridium’s next generation global satellite constellation. 18 AEROSPACE / MARCH 2019
By now, the automated recovery of Falcon first in the year. Boeing’s Starliner capsule is also set on stage engines has become almost routine. More a similar course – with one unmanned test and two than 20 boosters have now been landed after launch manned both planned within 2019. The Starliner and – some of those having flown twice. The Falcon Crew Dragon 2 represent a long anticipated return Heavy test launch in February 2018 provided the to human spaceflight for the US, following the end of truly spectacular site of two boosters landing back the Space Shuttle era. Meanwhile, India is targeting on their pads, simultaneously, side by side. Attention its entry to the human spaceflight club in 2021, with a is now turning to fairing recovery – which represents modified GSLV-III. a surprising fraction of the overall launch cost During 2019, the International Space Station (estimated at approximately 10%). (ISS) will receive a new module (the Russian Nauka Both Virgin Galactic and Rocket Labs have research module), the much-delayed European big plans for 2019, with both having completed Robotic Arm (ERA) and the Bartolomeo payload- significant flights in 2018. hosting platform. The ERA enables robotic arm However, the country that made the most operation from the Russian elements of the Station launches in 2018 was China. With 38 successful for the first time. The launch schedule was severely launches, it surpassed the US (31), Russia (19) impacted by the demise of the Shuttle programme and ‘the rest of the world’ (24). Indeed, the publicly and Russian funding difficulties. announced budget of China’s National Space Late in 2018, US legislation was approved aimed Agency, while hard to be sure how much of the at extending the operational life of the ISS to 2030, military space programme that covers, now appears although funding beyond 2025 has not yet been to exceed those of Russia’s Roscosmos and the agreed. European Space Agency combined. That still puts it at just half NASA’s budget (with the space budget Space debris of the US Department of Defense similar in size to NASA’s) but the gap is clearly narrowing. Active debris removal came a step closer during 2018. The SSTL-built ‘RemoveDEBRIS’ satellite The start of a new space race? was orbited – via the ISS – and performed a first successful test of a space net system for capturing Meanwhile, the UK is pressing ahead with its goal of target objects. Later tests will involve visual navigation establishing a domestic launch capability. Lockheed around a target, harpooning and a drag sail. Several of Martin and Orbex both plan to operate from the north these additional experiments will take place in 2019, coast of Scotland, taking small satellites into polar with deorbit planned from 2020. low Earth orbit. The first launches are a couple of Other organisations such as Tokyo and years away yet but work is already underway, while Singapore-based Astroscale (with an operations European interest in small launch vehicles is growing. centre in the UK) are also developing technologies for removal (or servicing) of satellites as a paid service. Human spaceflight With the imminent proliferation of smaller satellites, it is to be hoped that cleaning up after Two new US crew capsules will be tested in 2019. yourself will become standard practice – either SpaceX’s Dragon capsule, already proven as a supply through self-removal or via services such as vessel to the ISS, is expected to fly in a new ‘Crew Astroscale’s. Dragon 2’ configuration in March 2019 (after several A reminder of the challenges ahead was provided, postponements). If that flight is successful, two if needed, by ORBCOMM’s 20-year manned launches are scheduled to take place later old OG1 satellite – which broke MARCH 2019 19
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