Does 3D Printing have the potential to revolutionize markets and businesses in China-A Look into Development of 3D Printing in China - 3dprint ...
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Does 3D Printing have the potential to revolutionize
markets and businesses in China
-A Look into Development of 3D Printing in China
Lim Mun Chun
Senior Market Analyst
1
© IDC, 2019
Worldwide 3D printing (including hardware, materials, software, and services)
spending to be nearly $22.7 billion with a five-year compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) of 19.1%.
United States Western Europe China
38.7% 24.5% 12.9%
~$8.8 Billion ~$5.5 Billion ~$2.9 Billion
33% Hardware 37% Hardware 48% Hardware
36% Material 41% Material 20% Material
30% Services 20% Services 27% Services
1% Software 2% Software 5% Software
© IDC, 2019 2
IDC Expects
APEJ to be one of the largest region along United
States & Western Europe on overall spending with Key
China driving the force. China is expected to
experience fastest spending growth over the five-year Takeaways
forecast period with CAGR of 21.6%
Metal 3D Printing
Continues to rise in China with
strong adoption in Aerospace
Discrete Manufacturing and tooling industry
Dominant industry for 3D printing,
delivering more than half of all
worldwide spending throughout the
2018-2022 forecast
End Part Production
Aerospace and defense industry,
combined with the tooling
industry, accounted for about 60%
of the market share for end-part
production.
© IDC, 2019 3
China Aim to Become An Industrial Powerhouse
RATIONALE behind 2025
MANUFACTURING
MAKEOVER PLAN
MANUFACTURING POWER
Gap
1New Normal 2 Priority Focus
2035
MID-TIER AMONG WORLD
Global Manufacturing
10 Sectors Focus
Aging Society, Rising Labor Cost 2045
LEADING WORLD MFG. POWER
Large % of GDP & Export
AM Development
1980s’ 1990s’ 2000s’ 2015+
AM System & RP center, First Aerospace AM
Application AM company & components, First implementation
Research product high-end SLS system Plan
《增材制造产业发展行动计划（2017-2020年）》 9,809
8
AM Industry Development Action Plan (2017 – 2020)
3,519
《“增材制造与激光制造"重点专项2018年度项目申报指南》
AM and Laser Manufacturing Key Special Project 2018
3DP Related Initiatives
in 2017 Source: ASKCI Corporation
© IDC, 2019 4
Powder Bed Fusion maintains momentum. Metal a predominant
focus in China while thermoplastic is gaining traction
Binder Jetting Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS) Digital Light Processing (DLP) Electron Bean Melting (EBM) Fused Deposition Modelling (FDM)
Multijet Fusion (MJF) Material Jetting Selective Laser Melting (SLM) Selective Laser Sintering (SLS) Stereolithography (SLA)
US$25-100k >US$100k
Units 316 392 350 392
2017H1 2017H2 2018H1 2018H2 2017H1 2017H2 2018H1 2018H2
92.5 129.6 121.1 122.9
US$ million
2017H1 2017H2 2018H1 2018H2 2017H1 2017H2 2018H1 2018H2
Source: IDC, April 2019 © IDC, 2019 5
Aerospace & Defence continue to experience strong growth in
China with 36% YoY increase while digital dentistry starts picking up
Tooling Aerospace & Defence Education Medical Automotive Electrical & Electronics Dental
2017 $66.93 $49.83 $41.80 $28.17 $15.04 $10.20 $19.86
2018 $72.97 $67.73 $47.50 $20.55 $15.34 $10.64 $27.40
% Growth 9.02% 35.92% 13.63% -27.03% 2.00% 4.30% 37.98%
>90 % SLM, DMLS, FDM, SLS, SLA SLM, DMLS, EBM SLM, SLA, DMLS, SLS, FDM, Material Jetting, SLM, SLS, SLA, SLS, FDM, Material SLS, SLA, FDM, Material SLM, SLA, DLP, Material
Share (96%) (97%) Material Jetting (96%) SLA (94%) Jetting (97%) Jetting (93%) Jetting (100%)
6%
Material (US$ mil)
13% 0% 0%
2018 Split by
27%
35%
46%
54%
65%
73%
94% 87% 100 100
% %
Metal Non-metal
Source: IDC, April 2019 © IDC, 2019 6China’s Key Verticals 3D Printing Development
Applications usage and Activities in China
Aerospace & Defense Tooling Automotive
• China made C919 commercial airliner and engine • Interest rise in AM conformal cooling channel as to • Car makers are targeting to reduce overall development
• INDICS Aerospace cloud manufacturing prolong tool life and increase productivity cycle
• Multiple development parts in aircraft • Increasing demand of high-mix low volume product • Evaluating AM for end part production such as heat
>US$25K Price Band Applications Split
• Interest rise in factory automation with AM • Temporary spare parts are seen being produce with AM exchanger
• Personalization gaining traction
10
46 10
66 88 64
49 136 156
61 294
41 31 148
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
Medical Dental
• Pre-surgical planning and practice model is common use • Expiry of clear aligner patent had prompt more interest
cases in the region • Some province in China has include AM dental product
• Multiple medical implants successful case studies in insurance coverage
• 2 enterprise and 4 3DP parts certified by CFDA, • 3DP as a method to produce dental crown is raising
discussion are on going
11
5 39 Prototyping
22 40
Manufacturing Aids
155 128 203 210 End Use Part
© IDC, 2019 7
Source: IDC, April 2019 2017 2018 2017 2018Print Service Providers: an important role in China’s 3D Printing
Development
东北
SLA is still the dominant lead
2017
but PBF is gaining traction
83% 华北
More than 210
Beijing 3D Print Service
Providers
西北 available in
China
西南
Shanghai
2018 华中
76% 华东
East
PBF
VAT 华南
Source: IDC, April 2019
South
© IDC, 2019 8Into the Tailwind and Opportunities Ahead
Significant breakthrough in AM development
$659.65
>30% YoY Growth by 2020
$576.05
Establishment of AM Ecosystem
$510.40
2-3 capable local brand internationally
$454.32
$404.25
US$
Million
$371.94 New Verticals and Penetration of 3DP
>US$25K Market Forecast
in China
6,149
5,602
5,038
4,443
3,845
3,255
Units
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Source: IDC, April 2019
© IDC, 2019 9IDC FutureScape: Chinese-Based Vendor Leads
Prediction 1: By 2021, a Chinese-Based Vendor Will Have Become One of the Top 5 3D Printing
1 Global Market Share Leaders in the Industrial Segment as a Result of a Vendor Acquisition Made to
Companywide
Market Satisfy Increasing Demand from Chinese Manufacturers
Supply
Worker Skill Adoption
Chains
Set IP 2 Prediction 2: By 2021, 20% of Manufacturers Will Have Begun to Evaluate Robotics–3D Printer
Hybrids for the Production Floor
1010 4
6 9
ORGANIZATIONAL IMPACT
6 Prediction 3: By 2021, 10% of Discrete Manufacturers Will Start to Incorporate 4D Printing Via the
4 3 Use of Smart Materials to Produce Intelligent Parts Capable of Adapting and Reacting to
7 Robotics-3D Environmental Conditions
or business units
Mgt SW
7 Hybrid Chinese Prediction 4: By 2021, 3D Printing Intellectual Property Concerns Will Have Lessened, as up to
departments
Vendor 4 50% of Commercially Used 3D Printers Will Include a Monitoring Application to Prevent Illegal and
Multiple
High- 8 Leads
1 Unauthorized Printing
2 2
Performance 8 Prediction 5: By 2020, 25% of Prosthetic 3D Printing Will Be Operationally Managed Using a
Material 5 Secure Blockchain, Enabling Secure Patient-Specific Data Sharing, Tightly Controlled Prosthetic
Production and Distribution, and Reduced Process-Related Liabilities
3 3
5 5 Prediction 6: By 2020, the Demand for 3D Printing Skills and the Transition from Prototyping to
6 Production Drives 20% of G2000 Manufacturers to Expand Their Own Digital Training Programs
Smart
or business unit
Prosthetics and Digital Cooperatives
department
Materials Prediction 7: By 2020, More than 20% of Companies Using 3D Printers Will Rely on 3D Print
7
A single
Management Software to Secure, Monitor, and Manage Their 3D Printers as They Would Other IT
Assets
Prediction 8: By 2020, New High-Performance Materials Will Be Used With 3D Printing Jetting
8 Systems to Produce Up to 15% of the Short-Term Replacement Parts Required to Support
Operations in Remote Locations
Prediction 9: By 2021, 20% of Manufacturers Will Have Adopted a 3D Printing Collaborative
2018 2019 2020 2021 9 Platform Within Their Supply Chain to Better Leverage the Broader Ecosystem of 3D Printing
Services
TIME TO MAINSTREAM
Source: IDC, 2017
10 Prediction 10: By 2020, Enabled by Rapid Changes in 3D Printing Economics, All Top 10
Manufacturers in the Dental, Eyewear, Footwear, and Orthotics Industries Will Have Embraced 3D
Worldwide APEJ
Printing for Mass Customization
© IDC, 2019 10Lim Mun Chun
Thank You!
Senior Market Analyst
Email: mclim@idc.com
LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/munchunlim/
© IDC, 2019 12You can also read
