PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. And the Prospect of Indonesia Cement Industry - Corporate Presentation - August 2018 - IDX
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PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. And the Prospect of Indonesia Cement Industry Corporate Presentation - August 2018
Cement Companies in Indonesia Domestic Capacity 2017 Total 107.4 Mio Ton 2017 SMGR market share 2017 was 40.8% despite of only 33.4% capacity share 2
Sales Volume - August 2018 (in Ton) Semen Indonesia Group Industry - Domestic source: company data, Indonesia Cement Association Note: The market data is not final since one small player has not updated its sales volume. 3
Domestic and SMGR’s Market Consumption (up to August 2018) – Type of Cement Domestic Demand SMGR Sales Ready-mix (infrastructure): ± 60% Fabricator (pre-cast, fiber cement, cement based industry): ± 35% BULK Projects (mortar, render): ± 5% 26.2% BULK 30.7% BAG 73.8% BAG 69.3% source: Indonesia Cement Association Housing: ± 90% Demand Growth by Type Cement based industry: ±10% 15,5% 14,5% 13,6% Retail (residential) sector is still the largest consumer of cement in Indonesia 5,5% 3,6% 2,5% 2,2% 2,0% Bulk cement growth is higher than bag cement in 1,5% the last two years. Bulk demand growth up to -1,4% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 July 2018 was 12.3% while demand for bag was 2.0% Bag Bulk 4
Market Share (“MS”) by Geography – up to August 2018 SMGR is still the dominant player in all regions other than West Java & Jakarta where the competition is more intense SMGR MS SMGR MS 41.8% 39.6% 6.4% of total SMGR MS national demand 59% 21.6% of total 8.1% of total national demand national demand 2.2% of total SMGR MS national demand WEST JAVA, 17.4% DKI JAKARTA, BANTEN 26.5% of total SMGR MS national demand 41.7% SMGR MS SMGR MS 66% 32% CENTRAL JAVA 16 % of total EAST JAVA 5.6% of total national demand 13.6% of total national demand national demand 5
2018 - KEY STRATEGY Supply Chain Optimization (Growth) Strategy Centralize Marketing Refresh Centralize Procurement Cost Transformation & Enable Corporate Growth 6
Financial Summary 1H-2018 Operating Profit 28,8% 26,5% 22,2% 19,9% 12,0% 12,8% 7,06 7,15 5,98 5,20 3,34 1,70 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 Operating Profit Operating Profit Margin EBITDA Net Profit 33,1% 21,9% 20,6% 30,8% 16,9% 17,3% 27,5% 26,6% 19,4% 19,5% 7,2% 7,3% 8,10 8,30 5,37 5,56 7,43 6,96 4,56 4,52 5,40 2,60 2,01 0,97 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 EBITDA EBITDA Margin Net Income Net Income Margin 7
Cost of Revenue Breakdown 1st Half 2018 COST STRUCTURE 20,9% 15,9% 13,0% 10,0% 8,6% 8,0% 7,0% 3,7% 3,5% 2,6% 4,3% 1,9% 0,7% 8
Balance Sheet Cash Balance (IDRbn) Total Interest Bearing Debt (IDRbn) 5.032 10.019 10.312 4.213 3.989 3.665 3.105 6.260 2.847 4.083 3.913 3.999 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 Debt/EBITDA (x) Net Debt/Equity 23,53% 1,93 1,93 20,80% 0,93 11,10% 0,5 0,47 0,54 0% -0,60% -0,45% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 9
Key Factors Supporting Domestic Cement Consumption Infrastructure Development Cement Consumption per Capita (2016) Continuous increase in infrastructure budget (Rp Tn) 410,4 388,3 256,1 269,1 155,9 154,7 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: Ministry of Finance Commercial & Industrial High growth in retail, commercial and institutional Average (ex China) = 462 kg sector in urban and semi-urban area High growth industry segment (precast, light brick, Interest Rate cement fiber, pave, ready mixed concrete) BI policy on interest rate is expected to remain low which drives demand for housing loan LTV Policy 7,50 7,50 Bank Indonesia loosening macro-prudential policies in 6,75 the form of an increase in Loan to Value Ratio 5,25 5,00 5,25 5,50 4,75 4,50 4,50 4,25 4,25 4,50 Potential Market The fourth largest population in the world: 267 millions people (2017) Demographic bonus: rapidly growing productive Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec May June Aug 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 population in Indonesia 10
Our facilities Kiln 1 unit Integrated Cement Plant 5 location Cement Mill 1 unit Kiln 17 Unit Cement Mill 29 Unit Grinding Plant 4 location Cement Mill 6 Unit Grinding 1 unit Cement Plant Mill Warehouse 30 location Packing Plant 30 location Sea Port 17 location Grinding 1 unit Cement Plant Mill Kiln 6 unit Cement Mill 9 unit Grinding 1 unit Plant Cement Mill Kiln 4 unit Kiln 1 unit Kiln 5 unit Cement Mill 6 unit Cement Mill 2 unit Cement Mill 11 unit Grinding 3 unit Cement Plant Mill 11
Opportunity Regional Cement Market 12
Dividend Pay Out Dividen Pay Out (DPO) Dividend Per Share (DPS) 13
Thank You IMPORTANT NOTICE THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF OR SOLICITATION, RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER. THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART. This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risks uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others: ● economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia; ● the effects of competition; ● the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices; ● acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue; ● changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates; ● accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets; ● labor unrest or other similar situations; and ● the outcome of pending or threatened litigation. We can give no assurance that our expectations will be attained. DISCLAIMER The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. Head Office: Representative Office: Gedung Utama Semen Indonesia The East Tower, 18th floor Jalan Veteran, Gresik 61122, East Java – Indonesia Jalan Dr. Ide Anak Agung Gde Agung Kav. E3.2 No. 1 Phone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745 Jakarta 12950, Indonesia Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264 Telp.: (62-21) – 5261174, 5261175; Fax : (62-21) – 5261176 www.semenindonesia.com 14
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