Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 - CRT Dashboard
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David Bruce Paulina Hryniewiecka Partner Senior Research Consultant Canberra Melbourne T: 02 6109 6300 T: 03 9526 9000 E: david.bruce@orima.com E: paulina.hryniewiecka@orima.com General Enquiries Media Enquiries Szymon Duniec CRT@orima.com Managing Director About the project Szymon.Duniec@orima.com The COVID-19 Recovery Tracker (CRT) was implemented in April 2020, shortly after the COVID pandemic first directly impacted Australian society, to measure both the acute impact and then track the speed and consistency of our recovery over coming months and years. The project was deliberately called the ‘recovery’ tracker for this reason, and questions deliberately written to be relevant both as the pandemic hit and long into the future. The project aggregates data from multiple surveys to provide a comprehensive overview of how the Australian community is affected. There are two primary sources of data, with all responses combined into an overall database and population weighted results reported fortnightly and monthly: • A core set of CRT questions appear as a module in a number of monthly national online tracking surveys (average monthly sample n=1,000). • A longer dedicated online CRT survey is completed by a fortnightly nationally proportional sample of 200 people, plus any additional respondents who complete the publicly accessible version (see link below). Data is weighted to major demographic characteristics on a fortnightly basis. The CRT results are available to track and understand how the Australian community is handling the experience and impact of the Pandemic, and to create benchmarks that can be used to interpret other survey results when selected CRT questions are also included. CRT data is used for benchmarking survey respondents and target audiences, and in all cases where it has been used, there has been an interaction seen between key CRT indicators and the subject matter of the client surveys. All respondents are age 18+. As of 3 September 2021, a total of 25,873 respondents have completed the core questions, with 8,862 who have completed the full extended survey. This update contains a snapshot of the most current results. Current and historical updates can be found on the ORIMA website (see below). CRT Links and resources View or complete the full online CRT questionnaire: https://research.orima.com.au/COVIDRecovery/ Search and download CRT Results and Updates from the publications tab: https://covidportal.orima.com.au/ Use of this material All published ORIMA CRT material can be freely referenced, shared and used for non-commercial purposes. Please attribute: ORIMA.com.au For additional information, interpretation and analysis, please contact the project managers listed above.
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research Methodology Data sources: Core Module in monthly national tracking surveys: n=17,011 Extended online version with fortnightly samples: n=8,862 Total n=25,873 CRT Timeline mapped against daily COVID cases, and vaccination progress in Australia Vol 14 2100 3 Sept 1 1890 0.9 1680 0.8 Vol 12 Vol 13 1470 Vol 5 14 Jun 30 Jul 0.7 22 July 1260 0.6 Vol 11 CRT 1050 commenced 8 Apr 0.5 Vol 1 Vol 6 840 20 April 20 Aug 0.4 Vol 2 Vol 3 Vol 4 Vol 7 Vol 8 Vol 9 630 Vol 10 0.3 4 May 27 May 24 June 30 Sept 5 Nov 8 Dec 25 Feb 420 0.2 210 0.1 0 0 03/2020 04/2020 05/2020 06/2020 07/2020 08/2020 09/2020 10/2020 11/2020 12/2020 01/2021 02/2021 03/2021 04/2021 05/2021 06/2021 07/2021 08/2021 09/2021 Mar 20 Apr 20 May 20 Jun 20 Jul 20 Aug 20 Sep 20 Oct 20 Nov 20 Dec 20 Jan 21 Feb 21 Mar 21 Apr 21 May 21 Jun 21 Jul 21 Aug 21 Sep 21 Source: ourworldindata.org 3
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research What the current results are telling us As the delta outbreak resulted in extended lockdowns in NSW, Victoria and the ACT since late June, perceived negative impact has increased sharply. This is especially the case for the sense of national impact, which close to the largest reported since the pandemic began. As in previous phases where states are differently affected, there are also much greater differences in the experiences of people in those different states. In August both NSW and Victoria are approaching the biggest negative personal impacts seen in any state at any time. While impact has been sharply higher, vaccination rates and intentions have both moved rapidly and positively. • In the last fortnight of August 69% of respondents had had one dose and 47% two doses (broadly in line with official estimates of 64% and 38% amongst those aged 16+). • In the last fortnight of August just 10% of all respondents were resistant or hesitant to be vaccinated – compared to 31% in the fortnight ending 23 July. • Across all responses in August from people who were unvaccinated at the time, 20% were resistant to vaccinations and 17% hesitant, compared to 29% and 21% in July. Source: ORIMA.com.au 4
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research Community Mood & Impact 5
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research Perceived Impact of COVID Right at the moment, what do you feel the impact of the COVID-19 situation is… Positive 2 impact Personal impact National Impact Global Impact (max=5) 1 Sydney outbreak leads to multi-state lockdowns Melbourne #2 Victorian ‘second lockdown wave’ Source: ORIMA.com.au None 0 Melbourne #2 Initial lockdowns eased lockdown eased across Australia -1 -2 -3 -4 Since the delta outbreak impacted Sydney and then spread across states, perceptions of national impact in particular have become much more negative. -5 Negative 17-Apr 4-Sep 18-Sep 5-Feb 19-Feb 19-Mar 2-Apr 3-Sep 1-May 15-May 29-May 7-Aug 21-Aug 13-Nov 27-Nov 8-Jan 22-Jan 5-Mar 16-Apr 30-Apr 14-May 28-May 6-Aug 20-Aug 12-Jun 26-Jun 10-Jul 24-Jul 11-Dec 25-Dec 11-Jun 25-Jun 9-Jul 23-Jul 2-Oct 16-Oct 30-Oct 03/2020 04/2020 05/2020 06/2020 07/2020 08/2020 09/2020 10/2020 11/2020 12/2020 01/2021 02/2021 03/2021 04/2021 05/2021 06/2021 07/2021 08/2021 09/2021 impact (max=-5) 6
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research Perceived Impact of COVID by State Right at the moment, what do you feel the impact of the COVID-19 situation is… Positive 1.0 impact (max=5) Current personal impact of the COVID-19 situation 0.5 Perth Perth lockdown #1 Brisbane lockdown #2 Brisbane lockdown None 0.0 lockdown #1 #2 Melbourne -0.5 lockdown #6 -1.0 -1.5 Melbourne lockdown #3 Sydney June Sydney Northern outbreak and -2.0 Melbourne #2 Beaches Cluster Melbourne lockdown ‘stay at home’ lockdown lockdown #4 Lockdown #5 Multi-state lockdowns -2.5 NSW Vic Qld WA Negative impact -3.0 (max=-5) Apr 20 May 20 Jun 20 Jul 20 Aug 20 Sep 20 Oct 20 Nov 20 Dec 20 Jan 21 Feb 21 Mar 21 April 21 May 21 Jun 21 Jul 21 Aug 21 Source: ORIMA.com.au 7
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research Vaccines 8
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research CRT Vaccine Dashboard as of 3 September 2021 Have you had the vaccine? Are you eligible to get the vaccine? Is the vaccine available in your area? Yes No I'm not sure Yes No I'm not sure Prefer not to say Yes – but not yet the full course 1% 11% 12% 11% 14% 20% 19% 18% Yes – fully 28% 7% 31% 32% 33% 38% 37% 9% 23% 17% 42% 30% 18% 14% 2% 28% 20% 29% 30% 34% 28% 24% 81% 47% 38% 77% 2% 71% 63% 68% 23% 39% 60% 2% 52% 49% 39% 37% 38% 35% 14% 17% 8% 15% 20% 2% 3% 4% 8% 3% Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 If unvaccinated, how do you feel about getting a vaccine? Totally + Mostly believe vaccines will… In August 37% of respondents were not vaccinated at the time of their survey Change since Change Jul 21 Aug 21 Jul 21 since Jul 21 Aug 21 Jul 21 Will make an effort to get it ASAP 23% 38% +15pp Be available in a fair way 47% 54% +7pp When practical / convenient 20% 15% -5pp Effective in preventing COVID-19 43% 47% +4pp When I get around to it 6% 6% -1pp Be safe to take (minimal side effects) 45% 57% +12pp Wait and see 21% 17% -3pp Prove to be safe in the long term 42% 48% +6pp Only if I have to 13% 8% -5pp Don’t intend to 16% 12% -4pp Taken by enough to protect community 42% 47% +5pp Prefer not to say 2% 5% +3pp Let your life get back to normal 47% 52% +5pp Source: ORIMA.com.au 9
COVID-19 Recovery Tracker Volume 14 Topline Results 3 September 2021 ORIMA Research In the fortnight at the end of August, 69% of respondents had received at least one dose of the vaccine (with 47% fully vaccinated). Official estimates of the Australian population aged 16+ at the same time were 64% and 38% respectively. Vaccination Intentions – fortnightly data How you feel about getting the COVID vaccine? Pfizer vaccine made available Outbreak in Sydney leads to multi-state lockdowns Base: All respondents (n=170-490 per fortnight, n=79 fortnight ending 5 Feb '21) to those aged 40+ Melbourne begins Australia purhases AZ now available to adults 1m Pfizer doses Europe pauses vaccinations Delta variant lockdown #4. under 40s on request emerges Mass vaccination from Poland using AstraZeneca due to clots Australia Fortnight advises against India in crisis centres open Australia advises against using AZ Pfizer available ending: using AZ to anyone 16+ 3 Sept vaccine for Australia closes border vaccine for under 60s Doherty report Prefer not to say under 50s to travellers from India released 100% 10% 90% Resisters - not intending to get the vaccine, unless they have to 80% 20% Hesitants - will wait to see how it goes 70% before they decide whether to get the vaccine 60% Pragmatists - will get the 50% vaccine when it's convenient, or when they get around to it 40% 69% 30% Partially vaccinated 20% Seekers - will get the vaccine as soon as they can 10% Fully vaccinated Source: ORIMA.com.au 0% Fortnight 5 Feb 19 Feb 5 Mar 19 Mar 2 Apr 16 Apr 30 Apr 14 May 28 May 11 Jun 25 Jun 9 Jul 23 Jul 6 Aug 20 Aug 3 Sep ending >> 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 10
What we do: Thank you We would also like to acknowledge and thank all the research participants for their valuable contribution and input into this research.
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