MONTHLY STATISTICS PACKAGE - AUGUST 2020
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MEDIARELEASE Please note: The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) transitioned to a new MLS® System on July 28 and now uses a significantly different data model, which has affected our categories and terminology. For the board-supplied graphs, single-family is now referred to as single-family detached, apartment as condo apartment, and townhouse as row/townhouse, which now includes patio homes. However, when reporting HPI numbers, VIREB still refers to single-family, apartment, and townhouse in the media release. Further, a new sub-category called Malahat and Area has been added to some of our HPI graphs. SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 STRONG POST-COVID RECOVERY CONTINUES NANAIMO, BC – The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) recorded 1,101 unit sales (all categories) last month, a 39 per cent increase from August 2019. A total of 547 single-family detached properties (excluding acreage and waterfront) sold in August, a year-over-year increase of 35 per cent. Sales of condo apartments rose by 43 per cent year over year while row/townhouse sales increased by 19 per cent. “Our housing market rebounded from the COVID-19 downturn far more quickly than expected,” says VIREB president Kevin Reid. “Pent-up demand, low interest rates, and persistent supply shortages are fueling the recovery.” Active listings of single-family detached properties (excluding acreage and waterfront) totalled 1,081 in August, while there were 427 condo apartments and 221 row/townhouses for sale last month. Reid acknowledges there is still uncertainty around the Canadian economy and U.S. election, but he is optimistic, a sentiment echoed by the British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA). “The outlook for the B.C. housing market is much brighter following a surprisingly strong recovery,” said Brendon Ogmundson, BCREA Chief Economist. “We expect home sales will sustain this momentum into 2021, aided by record-low mortgage rates and a recovering economy.” BCREA expects unit sales on Vancouver Island to hit 8,300 in 2021, a 15 per cent increase over the 7,200 sales projected this year. The benchmark price of a single-family home hit $533,300 in August, an increase of three per cent from the previous year but two per cent lower than in July. (Benchmark pricing tracks the value of a typical home in the reported area.) The year-over-year benchmark price of an apartment rose by five percent, hitting $312,000 but down marginally from July. The benchmark price of a townhouse rose by four percent year over year, climbing to $432,300 and up by one percent from July. For the Malahat and area, the benchmark price of a single-family home last month was $610,200, a seven per cent increase from August 2019. In Campbell River, the benchmark price hit $455,600, up two per cent over last year. In the Comox Valley, the benchmark price reached $537,300, up by three per cent from one year ago. Duncan reported a benchmark price of $480,200, an increase of one per cent from August 2019. Nanaimo’s benchmark price rose by three per cent to $575,100, while the Parksville-Qualicum area saw its benchmark price increase by three per cent to $608,300. The cost of a benchmark single-family home in Port Alberni reached $329,100, a four per cent increase from one year ago. For the North Island, the benchmark price was $221,000, an 11 per cent increase over last year. - 30 -
ABOUT VIREB VIREB represents over 1,000 REALTORS® in nearly 90 member offices on Vancouver Island, from the Malahat in the south to the northern tip. VIREB cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time but does not indicate the actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas. Trademarks are owned or controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA (REALTOR®) and/or the quality of services they provide (MLS®). Visit our website for updated information at www.vireb.com. HPI Note: Areas with insufficient data do not generate statistics and are not included in the HPI graphs. CONTACTS Kevin Reid, President: 250.334.3124 Ian Mackay, President-Elect: 250.248.4321 Kaye Broens, Past President: 833.817.6506 Darrell Paysen, Manager, Member Services: 250.390.4212 For localized commentary, please contact: Campbell River Directors-at-Large Ashley Stawski: 250.286.1187 Janet Scotland: 250.923.2111 Comox Valley David Procter: 250.339.2021 Kevin Reid: 250.334.3124 Ian Mackay: 250.248.4321 Cowichan Valley Susan Perrey: 250.245.2252 MLS® HPI Media Contact Nanaimo Communications Department Kaye Broens: 833.817.6506 Vancouver Island Real Estate Board Kelly O’Dwyer: 833.817.6506 communications@vireb.com Parksville-Qualicum 250.390.4212 Erica Kavanaugh: 250.248.4321 Port Alberni-West Coast Judy Gray: 250.726.2228 6374 Metral Drive | Nanaimo, BC | V9T 2L8 | 250.390.4212 T | 250.390.9565 F | www.vireb.com | www.openhousesvi.com | www.realtor.ca
Backgrounder About the MLS® Home Price Index On November 1st, VIREB adopted the MLS® Home Price Index (MLS® HPI) as a new method of reporting price trends in the market. The MLS® HPI determines the value for a typical “benchmark” home, which is a notional dwelling that shares a specific set of qualitative and quantitative attributes. Benchmark prices tend to be slightly lower than corresponding medians and averages The MLS® HPI, based on the information entered into the MLS® System at the time of sale, is the best and purest way of determining price trends in the housing market. It was pioneered by six founding partners: the real estate boards of Calgary, Fraser Valley, Montreal, Toronto, and Vancouver, and the Canadian Real Estate Association. In 2009, the partners contracted with Altus Group to develop the MLS® HPI, which subsequently launched in January 2012. Others have since joined the program, with 10 partners and growing. Why an MLS® Home Price Index? The MLS® HPI captures and analyzes Canadian home prices based on both quantitative and qualitative housing features. Quantitative features captured by the index are, for example, number of rooms and bathrooms, living area above ground and the age of the home. Qualitative features include finished basement, if the home is new or resale, and the home’s proximity to shopping, schools, transportation, hospitals and so on. The MLS® HPI gauges Vancouver Island prices relative to January 2005, and tracks price trends for benchmark housing types: • Single-family homes o One-storey o Two-storey • Townhouses • Condominium apartments • The complete methodology is available at http://homepriceindex.ca/hpi_resources_en.html Why Does It Matter? Average and median home prices are often misinterpreted, are affected by change in the mix of homes sold, and can swing dramatically from month to month (based on the types and prices of properties that sold in a given month). The MLS® HPI overcomes these shortcomings. Compared to all other Canadian home price measures, the MLS® HPI identifies turning points sooner, is the most current, and is the most detailed and accurate gauge for Canadian home prices. How to Read the Tables Benchmark Price: Estimated sale price of a benchmark property. Benchmarks represent a typical property in each market. Price Index: Index numbers estimate the percentage change in price on typical and constant quality properties over time. All figures are based on past sales. In January 2005, all indices are set to 100 Month/Year change %: Percentage change of index over a period of (x) month(s) year.
HPI Data
Average, Median, and Benchmark Price (HPI) Comparisons VIREB Board Area MLS® Sales RES-Row/Townhouse- Average, Median and Home Price Index Average Sale Price Median HPI $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 Apr-19 Dec-18 Dec-19 May-19 Apr-20 May-20 Sep-18 Oct-18 Jun-19 Oct-19 Jun-20 Aug-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19 Aug-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 Aug-20 Feb-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Feb-20 Jul-20 Copyright© 2020 VIREB VIREB Board Area MLS® Sales RES-Condo Apt - Average, Median and Home Price Index Average Sale Price Median HPI $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 Apr-19 Apr-20 Dec-18 May-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 May-20 Aug-18 Mar-19 Aug-19 Mar-20 Aug-20 Oct-18 Jun-19 Oct-19 Jun-20 Nov-18 Jan-19 Nov-19 Sep-18 Feb-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Feb-20 Jul-20 Copyright© 2020 VIREB VIREB Board Area MLS® Sales RES-Row/Townhouse- Average, Median and Home Price Index Average Sale Price Median HPI $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 Apr-19 Apr-20 Dec-18 Dec-19 Aug-18 Mar-19 May-19 Sep-18 Oct-18 Aug-19 Oct-19 Mar-20 May-20 Aug-20 Nov-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Jun-20 Nov-19 Jan-20 Feb-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Feb-20 Jul-20 Copyright© 2020 VIREB
0 1000 1500 2000 500 0 1000 200 400 600 800 Aug-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Oct-18 Copyright© 2020 VIREB Copyright© 2020 VIREB Nov-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 Apr-19 May-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jun-19 Listed Jul-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Aug-19 Active Sep-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Sold Dec-19 Jan-20 Jan-20 Feb-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Mar-20 Active Listings / Listings and Sales Apr-20 Apr-20 Residential – Single Family Detached VIREB Board Area - RES-SF Detached Active MLS® Listings May-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jun-20 VIREB Board Area - RES-SF Detached New MLS® Listings and Sales Jul-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Aug-20
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