PRELIMINARY REPORT: MOST COMMON INTERACTED- WITH ACTORS ON "FACEBOOK" REPORTING ON THE VACCINATION PROCESS

 
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PRELIMINARY REPORT: MOST COMMON INTERACTED- WITH ACTORS ON "FACEBOOK" REPORTING ON THE VACCINATION PROCESS
LITHUANIAN SOCIAL MEDIA ANALYSIS OF NARRATIVES
RELATED TO THE VACCINATION PROCESS AND
COVID-19 PANDEMIC AMONG THE LITHUANIAN SOCIETY

PRELIMINARY REPORT:
MOST COMMON INTERACTED-
WITH ACTORS ON “FACEBOOK”
REPORTING ON THE
VACCINATION PROCESS

Introduction
The COVID-19 pandemic has created a perfect setting for spreading malign and
deliberate misinformation, disinformation, and propaganda from various hostile
actors. Public trust in state institutions and the government is low – research
done by the EESC in 2020 shows that only 24% of the Lithuanian population trust
the parliament, 43% trust the government of Lithuania, and only 8% – the political
parties. The vaccination process is especially fragile and sensitive to any external
or internal meddling. These factors suggest that Lithuania could be potentially
targeted by various disinformation and propaganda campaigns to lower the Lith-
uanian population’s motivation and trust in the vaccination process. One of the
main sources of information for Lithuanians is social media; as information on
such platforms can spread rapidly and there is little oversight, this research ex-
plores the potential for manipulating public opinion.
PRELIMINARY REPORT: MOST COMMON INTERACTED-WITH ACTORS
ON “FACEBOOK” REPORTING ON THE VACCINATION PROCESS                                                  2

Research and methodology                             AstraZeneca, Vaxzevria, Zeneca, Zeneka, “AZ
                                                     vakcina”, CanSino, Convidecia, Ad5-nCoV, Co-
The research is being conducted using the            vaxin, BBV152, “Bharat Biotech”, CureVac,
Pulsar and CrowdTangle tools, which analyse          CVnCoV, Johnson&Johnson, Janssen, Moder-
and monitor social network trends by using           na, mRNA-1273, Modernos, Moderną, Pfizer,
selected keywords. The research period was           BioNTech, BioNTech-Pfizer, BNT162, Comir-
selected from January 1 to July 1, 2021, in          naty, Pfizerio, Pfizeris, Sinopharm, Vero, Sino-
order to objectively analyse long-term dynam-        pharm-vakcina, Sinovac, CoronaVac, SputnikV,
ics and trends in the Lithuanian social media        Sputnik, sputnikas, sputniko, sputniku, sput-
sphere. The first report focuses on the ten          niką, vakcina, astrutė, “galibybių pasas”, “avių
most interacted-with actors on Facebook who          pasas”, “avinų pasas”, kovidas, covidas, kovid-
were reporting on COVID-19 vaccination pro-          iotai, covidiotai, covidiotas, “Galimybių pasas”,
cesses in Lithuania.                                 “kovido pasas”.
This report was done using the CrowdTangle
tool, and the data set was narrowed using the
main (see Keywords used) keywords. The key-          Findings:
words were selected in order to ensure their         This report presents the top 10 most inter-
relevance to the topic of the vaccination pro-       acted-with profiles on Facebook; information
cess in Lithuania. Additionally, this strict se-     includes: their ties to the government, owner-
lection of keywords prevented “noise” from the       ship, anomalies with interactions, page/post
selected data set, as they are specifically tied     “likes”, etc. These profiles were compiled by
to the vaccination process and are typically         searching for the above-mentioned keywords
not used in any other posts outside the COV-         in public posts.
ID-19 context.
                                                     1. Lrytas.lt – privately owned media outlet of
This initial report includes the top most inter-        Lithuanian origin. One of the oldest contin-
acted profiles – a short description of the pro-        uously running newspapers in Lithuania. In-
file (major stakeholder; if applicable – bias;),        teraction rate and page followers correlate.
whether the profile supports the vaccination            Total posts – 487; Interaction rate – 0.07%;
process, total post count, post interaction per-        Verified profile;
centage, correlation between interaction rate        2. LRT.lt – state-sponsored media outlet. Lith-
and page followers, profile verification by Face-       uanian legal code ensures independence
book administrators.                                    and autonomy from any political party or
The research focused on the Total Interactions          movement. Recently have been accused
variable. Different variables would possibly pro-       of left-leaning bias by various right-wing
duce different results as there would be a differ-      groups; strongly supports governmental
ent sequence of top Facebook profiles. It is un-        vaccination programmes and processes. In-
certain how that would impact other variables.          teraction rate and page followers correlate.
                                                        Total posts – 505; Interaction rate – 0.08%;
Keywords used – names of the most common                Verified profile;
vaccines in Lithuanian and English; variations
of “covid” in Lithuanian and English, variations     DELFI.lt – privately owned media outlet, parent
of “opportunity passport” in Lithuanian and          company is the Estonian group AS Ekspress
English:                                             Group. Curates various myth and disinforma-
                                                     tion busting programmes. Publishes various
PRELIMINARY REPORT: MOST COMMON INTERACTED-WITH ACTORS
ON “FACEBOOK” REPORTING ON THE VACCINATION PROCESS                                                   3

(including right and left leaning authors) opin-      5. Ciniškas Chirurgas – Facebook public profile
ion pieces. Supports governmental vaccina-               owned by a private individual/individuals.
tions programmes and processes. Interaction              Strongly advocates vaccination processes.
rate and page followers correlate. Total posts –         Interaction rate and page followers do not
519; Interaction rate – 0.04%; Verified profile;         correlate. Total posts – 9; Interaction rate –
                                                         9.42%; NOT Verified profile; Anomalies ob-
1. 15min.lt – privately owned media outlet,
                                                         served – low number of posts with keywords,
   parent company is the Estonian group MM
                                                         substantial number of page followers.
   Group. Curates a fact-checking initiative.
                                                      6. Kas Vyksta Kaune – privately owned me-
   Recently accused of left-leaning bias by
                                                         dia company focused on local Kaunas city
   various right-wing groups. Supports govern-
                                                         news. Most often reports news regarding
   mental vaccination programmes and pro-
                                                         vaccination processes; advocates for vac-
   cesses. Interaction rate and page followers
                                                         cination. Interaction rate and page follow-
   correlate. Total posts – 536; Interaction
                                                         ers do not correlate. Total posts – 92; In-
   rate – 0.03%; Verified profile;
                                                         teraction rate – 0.15%; NOT Verified profile;
2. TV3 Televizija – privately owned media out-
                                                         Anomalies observed – low number of posts,
   let, parent company is the Lithuanian group
                                                         substantial number of page followers.
   All Media Baltics. Interaction rate and page
                                                      7. Respublika.lt – privately owned media
   followers correlate. Total posts – 462 Inter-
                                                         company of Lithuanian origin. Most often
   action rate – 0.04%; Verified profile;
                                                         reports critically on governmental actions,
3. Lietuvos Respublikos Sveikatos Apsaugos
                                                         slightly suspicious of the vaccination pro-
   Ministerija – Ministry of Health of the Repub-
                                                         cess in Lithuania. Interaction rate and page
   lic of Lithuania, a core institution responsible
                                                         followers do not correlate. Total posts – 83;
   for the implementation of the vaccination
                                                         Interaction rate – 0.58%; NOT Verified pro-
   process in Lithuania. Provides information
                                                         file; Anomalies observed – low number of
   about vaccines. Interaction rate and page
                                                         posts with keywords, substantial number of
   follower’s correlate. Total posts – 178 Inter-
                                                         page followers.
   action rate – 0.35%; Verified profile;
4. Sputnik Lietuva: Baltijos Naujienos – Rus-
   sian state-sponsored media outlet, desig-
   nated by Lithuanian and other NATO/EU
   governments as spreading propaganda or
   being a “Russian perspective” tool. Numbers
   indicate aggressive and active attempts
   to disrupt public opinion. Interaction rate
   and page followers do not correlate. Total
   posts – 6,171; Interaction rate – 0.2%; NOT
   Verified profile; Anomalies observed – low
   number of page followers; disproportionate
   number of interactions, page followers and
   total posts.
PRELIMINARY REPORT: MOST COMMON INTERACTED-WITH ACTORS
ON “FACEBOOK” REPORTING ON THE VACCINATION PROCESS                                               4

Conclusions
The first six Facebook profiles did not include   rative about vaccinations; the other three pro-
any anomalies – interaction rates, page fol-      files included anomalies partly related to the
lowers and post number correlate. The first       specific set of keywords (this could be solved
five Facebook profile are mainstream media        using a different/bigger set of keywords) and
in Lithuania (lrytas, DELFI, 15min and TV3        through the use of different variables (e.g. fo-
Televizija are privately owned, LRT is state      cusing on total posts or page followers). This
media). The sixth profile belongs to the Lith-    report concludes, that from the top 10 most
uanian Ministry of Health, which strongly         interacted with profiles, one profile is directly
supports and proactively informs about the        financed and managed by Russian Federation
vaccination process. The next four (Sputnik Li-   and most often spreads critical, negative, or
etuva, Ciniškas Chirurgas, Kas Vyksta Kaune,      outright disinformation messages using the
Respublika.lt) profiles did include anomalies –   Sputnik Lietuva profile.
Sputnik has been aggressively pushing its nar-
PRELIMINARY REPORT: MOST COMMON INTERACTED-WITH ACTORS
ON “FACEBOOK” REPORTING ON THE VACCINATION PROCESS                                                        5

Recommendations:
ƒ Using a broader set of keywords (connected to vaccination process)
ƒ Use of different variables (e.g. total posts or page followers). This would allow to check if total inter-
  actions would correlate with other variables.
ƒ Analysing the context and posts to find underlying messages e.g., negative, positive, neutral/inform-
  ative use of emotions. This analysis will be conducted in the next reports.
ƒ Closer look at profiles using languages of ethnic minorities in Lithuania. This would help to identify
  narratives that are more common in non-Lithuanian speaking circles.

Chart represent anomalies e.g. Sputnik – insignificant number of Page Likes, significant number of
interactions.
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