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APRIL 2022 AEROSPACE THE NEW AGE OF ASTRONAUTS UKRAINE AIR WAR ANALYSIS DRONE DELIVERIES www.aerosociety.com April 2022 Volume 49 Number 4 LIVE RI ES WITH BITE Royal Aeronautical Society HOW TO MAKE YOUR AIRLINER STAND OUT FROM THE CROWD April 2022 AEROSPACE COVER Shark FINAL.indd 1 21/03/2022 14:37
Volume 49 Number 4 April 2022 EDITORIAL Contents Globalisation breaks down Regulars 4 Radome 12 Transmission As the world reels from the Russian invasion of Ukraine and its old The latest aviation and Your letters, emails, tweets geopolitical and economic order unravels before our eyes, the conflict aeronautical intelligence, and social media feedback. analysis and comment. is potentially reversing, in some key areas, what was the seemingly 58 The Last Word unstoppable juggernaut of globalisation. What does this mean for 11 Pushing the Envelope Keith Hayward considers aerospace, aviation and space? First, by the time this is read, Russia’s civil Rob Coppinger examines the longer-term economic the increase in space debris effects of the Russian war in aviation industry may have collapsed after Airbus, Boeing and others pulled in orbit around the Earth and Ukraine on the international support from over 900 airliners, training is halted and lessors scramble what can be done about it. aerospace industry. to repossess aircraft. With airspace closed, joint ventures shut down and inward investment ceases, this will be ‘ground zero’ for its airlines. The Features speed in which Russia’s economic fate has been sealed will give pause to Copernicus companies with partnerships in countries, like China, which have hitherto 14 28 walked a narrow tightrope between co-operation and competition. On the Martyn Cartledge defence side – with a full-scale state-on-state war, expect increases in defence spending across the West to be fast-tracked – already seen in Germany’s strategic reversal to its approach to more muscular geopolitics. Saving the planet from Finally, the invasion has also thrown in to doubt, international co-operation Pimp my flight space betweeb Russia and the West in spaceflight – with OneWeb and ExoMars now How special one-off paint Recent advances in Earth schemes can get an airline’s in limbo. observation satellite technology. message across. 30 The new age of astronauts Deputy Editor Bill Read retires 20 Air war Ukraine – the The past and future of human first month spaceflight. An initial analysis on the air After 22 years on the staff of AEROSPACE magazine, friend, colleague and 34 ideaForge power aspects of the conflict award-winning aviation journalist Bill Read FRAeS is leaving the RAeS for a in Ukraine. well-deserved retirement. On behalf of myself and the Editorial team here, I would like to wish him a very happy and enjoyable retirement. 24 JR NG Tim Robinson FRAeS, Editor-in-Chief tim.robinson@aerosociety.com @RAeSTimR Is India’s military drone industry ready to go? Correspondence on all aerospace matters is welcome at: publications@aerosociety.com How India’s geopolitics is shaping the growth of its Editor-in-Chief Editorial Office 2022 AEROSPACE subscription indigenous drone market. Tim Robinson FRAeS Royal Aeronautical Society rates: Non-members, £195 +44 (0)20 7670 4353 No.4 Hamilton Place To place your order, contact: tim.robinson@aerosociety.com London W1J 7BQ, UK Wayne J Davis Taking flight from difficult 38 Drone and deliver Deputy Editor +44 (0)20 7670 4300 +44 (0)20 7670 4354 times in Singapore Can the use of drones for publications@aerosociety.com Bill Read FRAeS aerosubs@aerosociety.com A report from the 2022 aerial consumer deliveries be www.aerosociety.com +44 (0)20 7670 4351 Any member not requiring a print Singapore Airshow. financially successful? bill.read@aerosociety.com AEROSPACE is published by the Royal version of this magazine should Aeronautical Society (RAeS). contact: membership@aerosociety.com Production Manager Wayne J Davis FRAeS +44 (0)20 7670 4354 Chief Executive David Edwards FRAeS USA: Periodical postage paid at Champlain New York and additional Afterburner wayne.davis@aerosociety.com Advertising offices. 44 Message from our President +44 (0)20 7670 4346 Postmaster: Send address changes Publications Executive 45 Message from our Chief Executive partners@aerosociety.com to IMS of New York, PO Box 1518, Chris Male FRAeS +44 (0)20 7670 4352 Champlain NY 12919-1518, USA. 46 Book reviews Unless specifically attributed, no chris.male@aerosociety.com material in AEROSPACE shall be taken to represent the opinion of the RAeS. ISSN 2052-451X 49 Library Additions Production Executive Annabel Hallam Reproduction of material used in this 50 2021 RAeS AGM minutes +44 (0)20 7670 4361 publication is not permitted without the written consent of the Editor-in-Chief. 52 RAeS AGM calling notice annabel.hallam@aerosociety.com Book Review Editors Printed by Buxton Press Limited, 54 New Member Spotlight Palace Road, Buxton, Derbyshire Tony Pilmer and Katrina Sudell SK17 6AE, UK 55 RAeS Diary book.reviews@aerosociety.com Distributed by Royal Mail 56 Elections Cover: Embraer’s striking E2 Profit Hunter ‘Tech Shark’ livery made its debut at the Singapore Air Show in February. Additional content is available to view online at: aerosociety.com/aerospaceinsight Including: Ukraine – implications for international spaceflight, Proving ground for electric flight, Read AEROSPACE and the Insight blog on your The Ghost of Kyiv – myth or reality?, New Member spotlight, Air War over Ukraine – the first days, smartphone or tablet with the AEROSPACE app Countdown to UK launch, Viability of consumer delivery drones. APP available from iTunes and Google Play. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com APRIL 2022 13
Blueprint INTELLIGENCE / ANALYSIS / COMMENT Flight deck changes As well as flight test engineering stations, the A380 ZEROe flight deck will be modified with an extra throttle lever for the pylon-mounted engine. Passport to ZEROe A GE Passport turbofan will be mounted on a rear pylon and modified to run on hydrogen, with CFM International converting the combuster, fuel system and controls to use this fuel – with the liquid hydrogen being converted to gas before being burned cleanly by the combustor. Meanwhile, four cryogenic liquid hydrogen tanks with 400kg of fuel will be mounted in the main cabin. Airbus has yet to decide on whether these tanks will be metallic or composite construction. Contrail measurement As well as testing the liquid hydrogen fuel tanks, cryogenic feeds and engine itself, flight testing will also include measurement and analysis of the water- contrails produced by H2-powered aircraft. Airbus 4 AEROSPACE April 2022News_converted 2 21/03/2022 14:57:06
King-size testing The A380 was chosen for the safety redundancy of having four conventional engines, as well as a voluminous interior giving ample room for liquid H2 tanks and cryogenic fuel systems to be installed. AEROSPACE A380 reborn as H2 test bed Airbus has announced that it is to convert the first A380 prototype, MSN001, into a demonstrator for its ZEROe hydrogen airliner project. Working in partnership with engine makers CFM, the airliner will be converted with a pylon which will carry a GE Passport bizjet engine, adapted to run on hydrogen. Meanwhile, four liquid-hydrogen fuel tanks will be installed in the main cabin, along with associated cryogenic feeds. The company expects the A380 demonstrator to fly by the end of 2026, with the aim that it will inform the development of the ZEROe zero-carbon airliner. APRIL 2022 5 April 2022News_converted 3 21/03/2022 14:57:08
Radome UKRAINE CONFLICT DEFENCE Ukrainian air force fights on after Russian invasion On 24 February, Russia launched a massive invasion of Ukraine, with cruise and tactical missile strikes against key command and control targets and air defence sites opening the conflict. However, as AEROSPACE goes to press in mid-March, some three weeks after the invasion, Ukraine’s air force is still combat effective and flying daily sorties, with 56 operational jet fighters, along with helicopters and UAVs. Meanwhile, the Russian air force (VKS) has been unable to secure air superiority, despite 3 to 1 odds, with the CinC of the Ukrainian AF stating on 15 March that it had shot down 19 aircraft, 20 helicopters and five UAVs. These include latest types, such as the Su-34 strike fighter and Ka-52 attack helicopters. Ukraine is believed to have lost around 11 aircraft and a single helicopter, along with the civil Antonov An225 destroyed in its hangar during a Russian airborne assault on Hostomel Airport, outside Kyiv, on the first day. In other developments, a three-way plan to supply Ukraine with ex-Polish MiG-29 fighters was left in limbo after the US axed the transfer over fears this would escalate the war with Russia. However, Poland Ukrainian MoD surprised the US by saying it was ready to supply the MiGs by handing them over to the US first at Ramstein Air Base in Germany. This led to the Pentagon backing away from the deal, assessing that the transfer would be ‘high-risk’ but ‘low-utility’. AIR TRANSPORT SPACEFLIGHT Russian civil aviation isolated International space co-operation unravels Airbus The conflict has OneWeb and guarantee also spilled over into that the satellites would international co-operation not be used for military and partnerships in purposes. Meanwhile, space. A OneWeb launch, Arianespace has Unprecedented international economic sanctions against Russia in the wake of the originally scheduled for cancelled its partnership invasion of Ukraine have left the Russian civil aviation sector facing isolation and mass lift-off using a Soyuz with Roscosmos to grounding of aircraft. As AEROSPACE goes to press, Russian airlines, with many rocket from Baikonur launch Soyuz rockets aircraft leased and registered overseas, have ceased flying to international destinations Cosmodrome with 36 from French Guiana. The for fear of aircraft being repossessed. Russian aircraft operators are also banned from satellites on 4 March, joint ESA/Roscosmos many countries’ airspace, with Western airlines cancelling services to Russia and was axed after Moscow ExoMars mission with the overflights. Finally, manufacturers and suppliers, such as Airbus, Boeing, Embraer, issued demands that the Rosalind Franklin rover is CAE and Sabre, have also axed support, training and spares for Russian customers. UK remove its stake in also in doubt. NEWS IN BRIEF a new national carrier until Spirit is already partnered to explore opportunities As AEROSPACE goes 2023. The new airline, Iran launched a Qased with Airbus, providing the to obtain spare parts to press in March, Nigeria Air, was initially set rocket carrying a Noor composite wings for its via India, Turkey or other Chinese state media has to launch in April this year 2 military satellite on 8 A220 single-aisle airliner. countries. confirmed initial reports to replace the country’s March. The three-stage of the crash of a China previous national carrier, rocket is believed to The Chinese government US-based freight Eastern Airlines Boeing Nigeria Airways, which have taken off from the has reportedly made it lessor Air Transport 737 with 132 people on ceased flying in 2003. Shahroud missile range in clear that it will not break Services Group board on 21 March. The north-eastern Iran. US and EU sanctions (ATSG) has ordered airliner impacted into the In a surprise move, the and supply spare parts 29 Airbus A330P2F mountains of southern United Arab Emirates has Airbus Helicopters has to Russian airlines converted freighters. China, while on a flight announced that it intends announced it is partnering attempting to keep The conversion will be between Kunming and to procure up to 48 (12 with Belfast’s Spirit Western-built airliners carried out by EFW (Elbe Guangzhou. firm and 36 options) AeroSystems to develop flying. Interfax reports Flugzeugwerke) at its Chinese Hongdu L-15 and manufacture the that the Russian Federal facilities in Dresden and Nigeria has announced advanced jet trainers to wings of its CityAirbus Air Transport Agency has ST Engineering’s facility that it will now not launch replace its BAE Hawks. NextGen eVTOL air taxi. said that the country plans in China. 6 AEROSPACE April 2022News_converted 4 21/03/2022 14:57:09
AEROSPACE GENERAL AVIATION Joby eVTOL prototype crashes in uncrewed test A prototype aircraft accident. A preliminary operated by US eVTOL air report from the NTSB taxi developer Joby was described the prototype as involved in an accident ‘substantially damaged’ in during high-speed flight the crash and that it had testing on 16 February experienced a ‘component Embraer in California. The aircraft, failure’. which is one of two Meanwhile, Canadian Embraer to launch P2F conversions prototypes, was being piloted remotely and there training and simulation specialists CAE is to Brazilian aerospace company Embraer has launched Passenger to Freight Conversions were no injuries. Flight develop and qualify flight (P2F) of its E190 and E195 regional jets. The freighter conversion is available for all tracking service data simulation training devices pre-owned E190s and E195s, with the first entry into service expected in early 2024. reportedly showed that the for Joby Aviation’s eVTOL The conversions will include a new front cargo door, cargo handling system, floor aircraft was being flown aircraft ahead of the first reinforcement, rigid cargo barrier, smoke detection and extinguishing system. at 270mph before the air taxi service in 2024. AIR TRANSPORT UK axes all remaining Covid Germany to rearm in historic shift travel restrictions On 14 March UK and Virgin Atlantic, along Transport Secretary with Heathrow Airport, Grant Shapps MP have announced that announced that Britain they will be dropping the would be scrapping all mandatory requirement Luftwaffe remaining Covid-19 travel for passengers to restrictions, including wear Covid-19 masks. the Passenger Locator However, Heathrow The Russian invasion of Ukraine has prompted an historic reversal in German politics, with Form and tests for all says it will still ‘strongly Berlin now pledging to increase defence spending and strengthen its military. The country will arrivals, from 18 March. encourage’ travellers to now raise its defence spending from 1.53% of GDP to 2% or above, meeting NATO’s target. Testing for vaccinated continue to wear masks. Germany will also boost its military with a €100bn defence fund from its 2022 budget. Finally, arrivals was already The news was welcomed on 14 March, the country announced it would be buying up to 35 Lockheed Martin F-35s to dropped in February. In by the UK aviation and replace its ageing Tornado fleet, with the Luftwaffe also to get 15 Eurofighters modified for parallel, British Airways travel sector. the electronic warfare role. and dishes for the Starlink Manufacturers Association by Middle East carrier (EAS) programme which The Israeli Air Force has satellite mega-constellation (GAMA) says that aircraft Qatar Airways until subsidises airlines to fly revealed that its F-35Is to Ukraine. The move was deliveries rose in 2021 April. The move is the to smaller destinations have scored the first aimed at keeping internet to 2,630 aicraft and 826 latest development in an which cannot support air-to-air kills for the and communication helicopters, compared ongoing dispute between commercial flights on their type, shooting down two services running, as to 2,408 and 659, Airbus and Qatar Airways own. Iranian-built UAVs last the country reels from respectively in 2020. over paint issues related year. In March 2021, a Russian invasion and Piston aircraft deliveries to its A350s. General Atomics F-35Is shot down two telecoms could be cut. rose 5.5 % to 1,393, Aeronautical Systems Iranian Shahed 197 However, he urged users bizjets by 10.2% to 710 US regional carrier has revealed a new drones that were being to observe caution, as and turboprops by 19% SkyWest is to stop flying ‘loyal wingman’ style air used to supply Hamas Russian EW systems could to 527. to 29 small cities due to a dominance drone, the in the Gaza Strip with track and locate the ground shortage of pilots. Gambit. The jet-powered weapons. stations. A judge in London has SkyWest operates the UCAV would fly ahead of ordered Airbus to delay routes on behalf of crewed combat aircraft to SpaceX’s Elon Musk has A report from the its cancellation of 50 United Airlines under see and sense threats and delivered ground terminals US General Aviation A321neos ordered the Essential Air Service identify weaknesses. APRIL 2022 7 April 2022News_converted 5 21/03/2022 14:57:12
Radome AIR TRANSPORT SPACEFLIGHT Ethiopian signs up for 777X cargo Lockheed Martin mulls NE England space hub Boeing Lockheed Martin UK is conduct Northern Europe’s considering establishing first vertical satellite launch. a satellite manufacturing On the choice of location, and space R&D hub in the Nik Smith, Lockheed North East of England, to Martin’s UK and Europe tap into the fast-expanding regional director for Space British space sector. The said: “With its strong potential new £50m facility, manufacturing heritage, which is in the fact-finding highly-skilled workforce Ethiopian Airlines has signed an MoU with Boeing to purchase five 777-8F freighters, the and feasibility phase, could and reputation for quality, new cargo variant of the 777X passenger widebody currently in development – to meet create up to 2,300 jobs in we’ve identified North demand at Addis Ababa – Africa’s largest air cargo hub. Launched in January, Boeing has the NE, says the company, East England as a strong already secured 34 firm orders for the 777-8F from Qatar Airways which is expected to which is already partnered contender for our future enter service in 2027. with SaxaVord Spaceport to operation.” AEROSPACE DEFENCE UK HAPS company Pakistan receives J-10CEs claims world-first 5G test The UK’s Cambridge-based The trial was conducted Stratospheric Platforms has in partnership with the announced a milestone with Saudi Communications the world’s first transmission and Information Technology of a 5G signal to a retail Commission (CITC) in the smartphone from 45,000ft. airspace above the Red The test over Saudi Arabia Sea Project. Stratospheric used a piloted Grob 520 Platform’s vision is a AVIC as a surrogate UAV, with network of hydrogen- a 5G signal maintained powered UAVs flying On 11 March, the Pakistan air force took delivery of the first six Chinese-built Chengdu for 5hrs with a download at 60,000ft to provide J-10CE multirole fighters in a ceremony at Minhas Airbase, Pakistan. The procurement speed of 90Mbps, allowing low-cost, high-speed of an unnamed number of the fighters, believed to be around 25, was signed last June. three-way video calls and connectivity over large The J-10CE is an export version of the J-10C, with divertless intake, AESA radar and 4K video to be streamed. areas. WS-10B engine. NEWS IN BRIEF ordered 150 Lilium the ongoing conflict earlier order from DHL Xichang on 5 March South Korea is to develop eVTOLs to use as charter in Ukraine. Global in December for nine carrying six Chinese-made hybrid rocket engines, aircraft. The eVTOLs aircraft and aeroengine converted Boeing 767- Yinhe 2 demonstration combining solid and will be based in Florida companies rely on a 300 freighters. satellites for a future liquid propellants to be where Lilium will work significant amount of broadband internet used to launch defence with NetJets to build an titanium from Russia’s BAE Systems has constellation of up satellites. The project eVTOL network to link VSMPO-Avisma, which announced plans to 13,000 satellites. will be jointly conducted larger cities with ‘vertiport’ produces at least half to collaborate with Made by Galaxy Space, by the Korean Ministry facilities. of the world’s structural Slovenian light aircraft the satellites are also of National Defense titanium for aerospace manufacturer Pipistrel equipped with cameras to (MND) with South Korea’s France’s aerospace – providing 30-40% of Aircraft to explore take photos and videos of Ministry of Science industry body GIFAS Boeing’s and at least the development of Earth’s surface. and ICT (information is to form a ‘crisis cell’ 50% of Airbus’ needs. lightweight electric and communication to discuss and co- aircraft for military Bankrupt US helicopter technology). ordinate a response Logistics company aviation roles. manufacturer Enstrom to the likelihood of a DHL is to purchase Helicopter may return to Fractional ownership shortage of titanium six 777 freighters from China launched a Long business after its assets specialists NetJets has from Russia, due to Boeing. This follows an March 2C rocket from were purchased by MidTex 8 AEROSPACE April 2022News_converted 6 21/03/2022 14:57:12
AEROSPACE GENERAL AVIATION P&W to develop SkyCourier receives type certification hydrogen engine US aero-engine develop a hydrogen powerplant steam-injected, manufacturer Pratt & intercooled turbine Whitney has won a $4m engine (HySIITE), contract from the United burning hydrogen in a States Department of Brayton thermodynamic Textron Aviation Energy to develop new engine cycle, high-efficiency hydrogen incorporating steam propulsion systems. injection to achieve zero Part of the DoE’s in-flight CO2 emissions Advanced Research and reducing nitrogen- Textron Aviation has announced that its Cessna SkyCourier19-seat passenger/utility aircraft Projects Agency-Energy oxide (NOx) emissions has received its type certification from the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). The (ARPA-E), the contract by up to 80% for single- approval follows a 2,100hr flight test campaign using three SkyCourier prototypes. First will require P&W to aisle airliners. delivery to launch customer FedEx Express, which has ordered 50, is ‘soon’. SPACEFLIGHT AIR TRANSPORT NASA’s oversight and watchdog body, the Inspector Artemis Gender inbalance in General, has found that the cost of the US agency’s budget examiners, finds RAeS Artemis return to the Moon programme could cost $4.1bn rockets, A joint report from the Royal Aeronautical the reasons why only 0.9% of Type Rating per mission – a price that it says is ‘unsustainable’. When Moon Society and the University of the West of England Examiners in airlines in the UK were women. (In the giant SLS rocket (rolled out landing (UWE) has found a comparison women make on 17 March, right) programme was launched in 2012, the slips continued lack of female type instructors and up 5.26% of the global pilot workforce). The cost of each Moon mission was examiners in the airline study found continued estimated at $500m. With the industry. The study, sexism and a shortfall increased cost, the IG’s office which heard from 700 in diversity, along with a now predicts that the landing, airline pilots worldwide, lack of transparency in originally scheduled for 2024 750 testimonials with recruitment and a refusal by the Trump administration, will eight hours of focus to allow part-time working NASA now slip to 2026 at the earliest. groups, looked into for examiners. Aviation. MidTex, which According to outgoing in Singapore. Airlines at acquired Enstrom’s pre- FAA Administrator Steve Changi airport can now ON THE MOVE owned aircraft, tooling, Dickson, Boeing has order blends of SAF with materials, drawings, to fix a series of quality up to 50% conventional Former Turkish intellectual property control problems which jet fuel. Pioneering female aviator Airlines’ Chairman and factory equipment, halted deliveries and FAA and astronaut Wally Mehmet Ìlker Aycıhas has has announced plans inspectors will check The UK government has Funk has been awarded been appointed as the to reopen the factory each aircraft. Deliveries announced it plans to the 2021 Katherine and new CEO of Air India after under the name Enstrom of the 787 were paused supply the Ukrainian armed Marjorie Stinson Trophy by it was taken over by the Aerospace. last May after flaws were forces with the Starstreak the National Aeronautical Tata Group. discovered with titanium air defence system. Association (NAA). The US Federal Aviation fasteners used to hold the The MANPADs system, Joe Bryant is to become Administration (FAA) is aircraft together. produced by Thales Air Chief Executive of Rolls- the Fleet Director of to inspect each individual Defence, fires three dart- Royce, Warren East, is to 2Excel Aviation while Peter Boeing 787 coming Shell has announced that submunitions at Mach 4 step down at the end of Senior will replace him as off the production line it has begun supplying and has a range of 7km. 2022. Continuing Airworthiness due to concerns over sustainable aviation fuel Laser-guided, the missile Manager. production quality. (SAF) to its local facility cannot be decoyed. APRIL 2022 9 April 2022News_converted 7 21/03/2022 14:57:15
By the Numbers Understanding the world of Aerospace through data NATO bolsters Eastern Flank defences NATO 10 AEROSPACE APRIL 2022 By the Numbers.indd 2 21/03/2022 11:56:12
Pushing the Envelope Exploring advances on the leading edge of aerospace Robert Coppinger Has Kessler already begun? I n February, strong solar winds caused a E-Space’s. E-Space’s plans to launch 100,000 satellites geomagnetic storm in orbit rendering 40 SpaceX over the next decade The mega-constellations are all Starlink satellites inoperative on the very day of in LEO because it requires less power to transmit and their launch, causing them to immediately become a smaller sensor array to receive the signals from the space debris. As of January, the amount of ground. material orbiting the Earth exceeded 9,000t, according to NASA. Of this, more than 3,000t is in low Earth orbit Scooping up dead sats (LEO). The 40 dead Starlink satellites added about Removing dead satellites, LEO or polar orbits have a another 10t to LEO, the most congested orbit. Across major advantage – in that the atmosphere is still barely all the orbits, low, medium and geostationary, NASA present creating a slight drag on the spacecraft. This states that there are more than 25,000 objects larger will eventually slow the satellite to the point where than 10cm which are known to exist. The estimated gravity will drag it to a fiery end. The largest force population of particles between one and 10cm in acting on a LEO spacecraft below 800km is air drag diameter is about 500,000 – Estimated because and satellites at this sort of altitude will orbit for seven it cannot all be tracked. Meanwhile, the number of to 10 years. E-space’s constellation will be in LEO. particles larger than one millimetre meanwhile, exceeds Addressing this congestion, E-Space does not only 100m. This is not a new problem and 40-50 years ago state that its LEO orbits mean assured end-of-life with the challenge of space debris was already well known. re-entry but also claims its constellation will be the In 1978, then NASA scientist Donald Kessler proposed only one ‘resilient enough to withstand a collisional that an uncontrolled sustained cascade of debris could cascading event.’ annihilate all the satellites in LEO. That hypothesis has Research carried out by the University of since become known as the Kessler Syndrome. British Columbia and published last year shows that collision resilience will be important. That University Filling space of British Columbia research found that using ‘simple models’ that untracked debris will collide with Since the start of the space age, about 12,740 mega-constellations. It also found that the plethora satellites have been launched and there have been of satellites above the Earth makes constellations more than 630 events that have ultimately led to susceptible to collisions with micrometeoroids. A study spacecraft fragmentation creating more debris. High at Concordia Station in the Antarctic, also published ACROSS ALL THE profile events, such as the Chinese and Russian anti- last year, concluded that every year more than 4,700t satellite tests of 2007 and 2021, respectively, have of cosmic micrometeoroid debris fall into the Earth’s ORBITS, LOW, only highlighted the problem of debris and its danger gravity well. Whether it is micrometeoroids or paint MEDIUM AND to satellites and crewed spacecraft. The number of chips from 1980s rocket upper stages, a 2019 paper GEOSTATIONARY, satellites in Earth orbit today is about 7,840, according produced by the Institute of Defense Analyses (IDA) NASA STATES to the European Space Agency’s (ESA) May 2021 staff estimated that SpaceX’s Starlink, once it has THAT THERE Annual Space Environment report. Of those, about 4,425 satellites on orbit, would suffer 2,496 impacts ARE MORE THAN 5,100 are still functioning. from debris larger than 1mm a year. By late February, The next few years will see all those numbers SpaceX had orbited more than 2,000 Starlink satellites. 25,000 OBJECTS eclipsed completely by the mega-constellations OneWeb, the IDA paper estimated, will suffer hundreds LARGER THAN that have been proposed by private industry. Elon of impacts a year also. 10CM WHICH ARE Musk’s Starlink will have 12,000 satellites, Amazon’s The Kessler Syndrome is typically viewed as a KNOWN TO EXIST. Kuiper was 3,236 but its November 2021 Federal possible, but extremely unlikely scenario that could THE ESTIMATED Communications Commission (FCC) filing asks occur in the future. However, in 2012, Kessler told POPULATION for 7,774. Meanwhile, the UK government’s mega- the International Association for the Advancement of constellation OneWeb is a smaller mega-constellation Space Safety’s magazine: “The cascade process can OF PARTICLES at 648, while newcomer, Astra Space Platform be more accurately thought of as continuous and has BETWEEN ONE Services filed an FCC application last November for already started, where each collision or explosion in AND 10 CM IN 13,620 satellites. But even these huge constellations orbit slowly results in an increase in the frequency of DIAMETER IS pale in comparison with Franco-American firm future collisions. ABOUT 500,000 APRIL 2022 11 Pushing the Env Has Kessler Begun.indd 1 21/03/2022 15:50
Transmission LETTERS AND ONLINE @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com f i ‘Grey’ charters are black and white I would like to raise an Alec Wilson/Wikipedia inaccuracy in one of the ‘mini articles’ in the December 2021 edition of AEROSPACE, relating to the organiser of the Emiliano Sala ill-fated flight(1). Firstly, it says that the aircraft went down off the coast of Guernsey, which it Research lost due to Inspirational books didn’t. It crashed off the coast war in Ukraine of Alderney. While it seems The Piper Malibu involved in the fatal crash seen here in 2017 at Robert Hennecke Had not a rather small detail, it is not Coventry Airport. this useless war occurred, the first time this accident I would urge a hybrid has been written about of this charter. There was charters (in the Channel human-powered and electric inaccurately – seemingly using nothing grey about it; it was Islands specifically) have low-altitude/low-weight a ‘better known’ island for completely illegal in every been going on long enough, recreational aircraft that ease of reporting? way and these tragic deaths and more needs to be done could spawn an industry. The biggest issue for me, should be a hard lesson to to stop it. Max ceiling 50ft, primarily however, is the inference learn for those considering intended over water or that there was something the same dangerous and Ed Courtley agricultural land to minimise Dr Adam E White [On ‘grey’ about the organisation irresponsible behaviour. Illegal MRAeS damage and or injury and Careers in Aerospace and liability. World Book Day(3)] Thanks Royal Aeronautical Society. I have been reading Mae From the RAeS photo archives Lynch Tim Another proxy Jemison to my four-year old war over natural gas rather who loves it! than oil. Same sparring RAeS/NAL partners as they seek to 21st Century air aces control small nations and debt enslave them. Ceasefire Ali Hammad [On The Ghost and stop the war criminal of Kyiv(4)] Well articulated slime turning Ukraine into paper dwelled upon the another Yemen or Libya. ongoing escalation. Great endeavour, Fahad. Drones vs scooters Ukrainian display team Pete Savage [On Drone pilot shot down and deliver(2)] I think the fact that this concept has Geoffrey Wardle [On Air been around for at least war over Ukraine(5)] I would ten years and it is still not a add that apparently the reality and many divisions Grey Wolf of the Ukrainian of the big companies, like Airforce Su-27 display team Google and Amazon, have has been lost to a Triumph apparently disbanded their S400 SAM system; our drone delivery sectors in the prayers are with him. There UK is a good indication it are also 70 ex-Soviet era won’t happen. After all, flying fast jets being gifted to is the least efficient way of Ukraine by former Eastern travelling short distances Bloc nations. We should over land and, apart from really move to get Russia frivolous wealthy people, no removed from the UN one would be prepared to Security Council and then a The Airspeed AS57 Ambassador was developed in response to a requirement identified by the peacekeeping force could pay the extra cost for it, over Brabazon Committee for a twin-engined short-to-medium-haul airliner as a replacement for the be sent, as in the case of the a minimum wage person on ubiquitous Douglas DC-3. The first prototype had its maiden flight on 10 July 1947 and the Korean War. a scooter. type entered service with BEA in 1951. However, the type was quickly outperformed by the turboprop-powered Vickers Viscount, with BEA opting to withdraw its Ambassadors in 1958. Second-hand aircraft continued to operate until the early 1970s with airlines, such as Dan-Air. 12 AEROSPACE
Should the West impose a no-fly zone over Ukraine? @TrentTelenko It is a hugely @RaoulDukeIRL One thing Tech Sgt Rachel Maxwell/USAF bad idea in the midst of the I haven’t seen mentioned is current war fever sweeping the CSAR issue. NATO would the West. A no-fly zone is be obliged to put boots on the militarily impractical if tried, ground in that scenario. and will be the first step on the road to a nuclear hell if implemented. @gregbagwell There are two paradoxes at work here: Russian helicopter losses 1. The West has been quick @fg_domperry [On @CameronJJJ It’s not on the to throw up an NFZ (even Russian helicopter losses in table. I haven’t heard a single when it wasn’t one) in every NATO policymaker voice USAF F-35A Lightnings on a training exercise. other crisis, so why not this Ukraine] A whole bunch of unidentified helicopters were support for this idea. one? Many of us know the @Doulgas48353912 @Stephen87165188 The also destroyed on the ground reason but the majority can’t Close down Russian comms no-fly zone is an inferior way at Kherson recently. I would grasp the wider context or with EW and cyber – covert to deny air supremacy to the assume there are Ka-52s @john_jawspt I don’t consequences. So the debate methods. Putin is gaming on Russians. Better to supply lots among them. understand how NATO becomes binary. 2. It’s now on NATO predictability and strict of the world’s best anti-aircraft believes in Putin’s bluff. Putin the table precisely because rules. to the Ukrainians with covert Engineering reflections will not start a nuclear war it was taken off the table instructors if needed. Witness because of a no-fly zone. explicitly. And, therefore, in Vietnam. Give lots of stealth @DTPrice91 [On Sir Julian Russia is not being attacked. some minds it has become @dukat291 As an Alliance drones to Ukraine, so they Young lecture] Fascinating This is not Russian territory, THE option, rather than AN we’re going to have to put our do not need air supremacy @AeroSociety talk by Air it’s Ukraine. In Putin’s words, option. foot down for real eventually. If themselves. Marshal (retd) Sir Julian Young this is just a special military not now in Ukraine, when? on Reflections of a Chief operation on the Donbass. Engineer. Thanks to @MoogSDG Wolverhampton for the hospitality. Zero-carbon aircraft Lack of female flight instructors @vl_byran [On RAeS study Aer Lingus @TeglerWrites [On Zero- carbon regional airlines(6)] And finds lack of female instructors Ghost of Kyiv has the Royal Aero Society and type rating examiners(7)] done a study on the negative For #IWD2022 an important @meturach [On Is the Ghost study from @AeroSociety and of Kyiv real?(4)] I believe most environmental impact of these ‘zero-carbon’ passenger UWE on why there are so few of the kills are scored by female pilot trainers. Some SAMs. aircraft? shocking findings on sexism and the old boys’ club too. @6THVFW It is a target rich @daylyt100 Sounds sensible environment... as a ‘commuter/feeder’. @UWEBristol Gender @kreedy @AeroSociety: @pilotjude A lot more work discrimination and lack of URGENT need to address needs doing. The presentation @eraaorg Great to see gender diversity among pilots sexism and sexual harrassment yesterday was eye-opening @agenmossad How many is a significant problem within in aviation. Why not moving the and hopefully in the future I air-to-air kills so far? so many of our members’ projects being covered in this the airline industry – according needle on increasing women can push the glass ceiling too. interesting @AeroSociety to a new report we released pilots? 42% reported being today alongside ‘treated differently’ than males, @yocova_ UWE and @LittleRichC Let’s call it article about zero-emissions initiatives in regional aviation. @AeroSociety. 30% experienced gender @AeroSociety study makes what it is: propaganda. discrimination. for uncomfortable reading. 1. AEROSPACE, December 2021, p 7, Radome news item 2. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/drone-and-deliver/ 3. https://www.careersinaerospace.com/news/world-book-day-2022-inspiring-books-with-an-aeronautic-theme/ 4. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/the-ghost-of-kyiv-myth-or-reality/, 5. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/air-war-over-ukraine-the-first-days/ 6. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/proving-ground-for-electric-flight/ 7. https://www.aerosociety.com/media/17924/pilot_training_report_march_2022-final-pdf.pdf @aerosociety i linkedin.com/raes f facebook.com/raes www.aerosociety.com APRIL 2022 13
AIR TRANSPORT Special airline liveries Pimp my flight Custom airline liveries are not just a great catch for aviation enthusiasts but are now a regular airborne marketing, sponsorship and advertising tool. But how does an airline decide on a special paint scheme? MARTYN CARTLEDGE goes planespotting. W hat is your first thought when keeping it cool on the ground in hot climates. The you see an aircraft in a special airlines’ engineering departments might like it too livery? Is it a photo opportunity because it would be easier to see damage or other or a waste of paint? Perhaps it issues. Additionally, being above cloud cover most of does not even register. the time, aircraft are hit directly by UV radiation from The airline involved clearly doesn’t want the latter the sun and, with this having the potential to cause but what function does it serve and why do they do damage, having a white fuselage would help mitigate it? The answer to the final part is long and varied and the effects. depends on many factors. Leasing companies might love white aircraft However, we could ask another question before because it makes them easier to turn around for all of these and that is: why do airlines have any form the next user simply by changing titles and logo. An of complex coloured livery in the first place? Why airline selling its aircraft would also benefit in the not just paint the aircraft all or mostly white? This same way. In addition, white does not really fade in would be far more cost effective and beneficial for a the same way as other colours, meaning it could go number of reasons. For instance, white paint reflects longer between repaints, which are a costly business. heat, so enabling an aircraft to use fewer resources, With one colour it would actually weigh less, as
there would be fewer layers building up, although by airline’s fleet (notwithstanding the use of airline negligible amounts. alliances, of course, where the latter might not be the There would also be no design fees and also case and which sometimes causes confusion with no complicated painting processes (such as Virgin passengers). Atlantic’s unique Andaro method which uses both However, many operators will often modify or paint and tinted lacquer to produce the red on its even change the livery completely on one or more of aircraft tails). their aircraft to send out some form of message to all that can see it. These of course are the aviation Real world influences photographer’s friend – the special livery. However, here in the real world there are other Definition of a special livery factors. Branding is so very important and even more so nowadays when every moment of a passenger’s So what constitutes a special livery? What topics are journey is often recorded with photos and videos to covered and what are the reasons for doing it at all? one or more of the many social media sites. Brand There are probably more types of special livery awareness, of course, has been around for ages and than you immediately can think of. In fact, during doesn’t just revolve around an aircraft livery, which research for this feature I came across a website is just one part of the carrier’s overall identity. Who claiming to be the internet’s most comprehensive doesn’t remember ‘Singapore Girl’? database of airliners in special liveries. This database There is, thus, a need for differentiation, a need holds over 1,300 separate entries and is just those to create loyalty to a brand and what it represents that are current. An historical one would, no doubt, via whatever means the marketing executives be many times that. choose – although some ‘marketing speak’ about Special liveries can be in many different forms what an airline’s livery is said to represent or be from a simple logo and phrase on a small part of the based on is often difficult to work out. That said, if fuselage right through to a complete covering of the you see a ‘widget’ you immediately know it’s Delta fuselage and tail fin. (despite the many changes) and the same goes for It is generally considered that it was the Calder BA’s ‘Speedbird’, so ingrained is this as part of an designs of the early 1970s on Braniff aircraft that airline’s history. Plus, if you have chosen an airline were the first ‘real’ full aircraft special liveries. Then, for specific reasons, then you want to know that the in 1984, Southwest introduced the famous ‘Shamu aircraft you are getting onto is one of that particular One’ design advertising SeaWorld and with it starting 15
AIR TRANSPORT Special airline liveries a long standing use of special liveries. Indeed, Sport in itself is quite a massive topic with Shamu exists on Southwest aircraft today, along with airlines advertising all sorts of different teams and many other different designs and themes. events involving many countries around the world – The themes or topics that are or have been the most obvious being football, cricket and rugby used on aircraft are just as wide and these types World Cups. Qatar currently has at least two aircraft of use have waxed and waned over the years. For in liveries advertising the World Cup in Qatar this instance, one topic that used to be more prevalent in coming winter. In addition, as mentioned earlier, this the past, is simple pure advertising of products with could be part of larger sponsorship agreements a great proponent of its use being Ryanair in the which could include travel to international games as days of its 737-200s. The reasons for this type of part of this deal. use are seemingly quite clear; it is a straightforward Many airlines have sporting club liveries painted advert paid for by the likes of, in Ryanair’s case, onto their aircraft. However, sometimes these can such diverse products as Jaguar cars, mobile phone just be aiming at saying to the travelling public – ‘we companies, beer and British newspapers to name are your hometown airline’ and strengthening local but a few. Some airlines will have limitations as community links. JetBlue is especially known for to what they might advertise because of shared this with bases in New York and Boston. Its aircraft beliefs, or not as the case may be and, as time have been painted in special sports team liveries has gone on, this type of use has reduced. Airlines advertising the Boston Bruins, Boston Red Sox now advertise companies/products which have a and Boston Celtics. New York has the Jets but is link in some way to the carrier or have a greater included in a less subtle way, having an aircraft in a overall link to the airline or its services. Disney has livery based around the well established New York a number of airliners with its films and parks being branding and even one which draws inspiration from advertised. Taiwanese carrier EVA has gone a stage NYC street art, architecture and hip hop. even further down these lines with its link up with This takes us into yet another topic, that of the ‘Hello Kitty’ brand. Not only are aircraft painted thanking an organisation’s personnel, be they in Hello Kitty special liveries, the check- local, national or even its own employees. JetBlue in areas and on-board branding is included, there has aircraft in liveries thanking New York’s Fire are special Hello Kitty flights and the airline actively Department, with another honouring armed services, advertises where these aircraft will fly, as it has a either current or veterans. strong demand from their customer base to fly these Some airlines have included liveries with some aircraft regardless of the destination, making for an form of visual thank you to their employees – going obvious benefit of such a livery. way back to Canadian Airlines which painted Money talks This type of livery has a definite overlap into the next category, that of sponsorship. This is a more difficult area to determine just where the specific benefit to KAG I iro TA the airline in painting an aircraft actually lies, as it may Masah just be a part of a much larger sponsorship package and difficult to quantify just what part of the package has contributed to the success of any advertising campaign. Emirates is a good proponent of this, as it has liveries for a number of football clubs but this also might come with shirt sponsorship or even stadium branding. As with all sorts of sponsorship deals the reasons are quite varied, from brand awareness to cross-promotion with another sector. 16 AEROSPACE
in the US, of airlines once loved by the travelling public but now absorbed into others. Reasons for this type of livery seem to revolve around reminding the public just how long the airline has been around and therefore how stable it is, or perhaps to attract users of the long gone airlines, particularly if that airline was iconic or well-loved. Good causes are also something to be found painted onto airliners with charity partnerships and non-profit tie-ins. This has a number of beneficial signatures of staff members onto a DC10 in the late points. The cause in question gets fantastic 1990s. exposure and the airline, (if you wanted to look at it in a cynical fashion), will be seen as ethical, caring The need to say where we belong and concernered about the social good. Another topic which in recent years has gained, National pride can be another reason for special quite rightly so, a much greater awareness is that of liveries and this again can have variations. There the environment. With airlines perceived as a large can be anniversaries of a country’s existence or contributor of greenhouse gasses, it is not surprising independence, the love of a ruler, the sights to see that many are quick to shout about their green there or the affirmation of just which country this credentials. Although the likes of VLM and flyBe airline belongs too, over and above whatever the had ‘green’ liveried aircraft in the past, much bigger standard livery might have. and, dare I say, more important airlines are now Aircraft are often now used to advertise routes being overt in this field. For example, at the moment or bases for that airline, with the reasons for this Etihad has a Boeing 787-9 painted in what it calls seemingly obvious in advertising where you can travel the ‘Greenliner’ livery. British Airways has an A320 to and from with the airline in question. More often in what is termed by the company a ‘BA Better than not this is for new routes but, of course, the World sustainability livery’ with Emirates having livery can often remain on an aircraft for some time, sustainability as one of the sub-themes for the so careful thought needs to go into such a decision. Dubai Expo 2020 liveries. In general these special Another recurring trend is for airlines to paint aircraft in retro liveries. These can be either liveries the airline used to have on its aircraft or, most often APRIL 2022 17
AIR TRANSPORT Special airline liveries liveries are part of a broader campaign to highlight an airline’s effort to become more sustainable and reduce the carrier’s carbon footprint with the use of more efficient engines, more sustainable biofuels and carbon offsets. Many go further with reducing single use plastics etc. In the case of Etihad, its programme is also looking to use software to reduce contrails which is a major factor in an airline’s total effect on climate change. Airline alliances have also spawned special liveries of their own. Each of these liveries are standard in their basic design but will have sections to allow for the member airline’s logo or titles. These liveries are all about belonging. They advertise that these airlines are part of an exclusive grouping and of any milestone delivery (unless specific to the if passengers book through the alliance they can be airline) and would then have a conversation with the sure of certain levels of service – a ‘kite-mark’ if you airline the airframe in question was due. One quite like of a standard of product quality. notable instance of this was the 10,000th Airbus There are also some other smaller themes which turned out to be an A350-900 to Singapore for custom liveries, for instance, one airline might Airlines. have used them as a very public dig at a rival. One example of this was easyJet with ‘Stop BA Stop GO’ Designing the livery on the side of early 737s. Close competitor Ryanair also got in on the act with both ‘Bye Bye Baby’ aimed Once a theme for a custome livery is decided, what at bmi Baby and ‘Arrivederci Alitalia!’ on its own 737s happens next? Who decides this and who else is in 2007, the latter prompting Italy to accuse Ryanair involved? While many airlines are coy about the of being ‘vulgar and offensive’ towards the rival reasoning, the basic process can be no different to airline. any other business decision. Firstly, there is a need, The current Covid-19 pandemic has also perceived or real, for the change, be it internally produced some special liveries with a few aircraft or via an approach from a third party, to advertise. sporting masks on their noses. Christmas and Then, a budget will be set, a design process is other holidays also tend to produce some special undertaken and, finally, the application onto the schemes, as does the odd competition aimed at aircraft. the public designing a new or special livery for the The design process could either be undertaken carrier, although the benefits to the airline in these by in-house design, if it is a large airline, or more cases is somewhat less obvious, most probably likely, by a design house, such as Aerobrand, down the lines of brand awareness. McDiarmid Design, Priestman Goode or AES Global. It is not just airlines The painting may happen at either the manufacturing stage or later, should it be changed Manufacturers can also get in on the act with from a previous livery. Design time can be variable notable aircraft deliveries marked with special titles, and will need to include consultation from all the mostly in conjunction with the airline, of course. parties involved depending on the topic of the Also the manufacturer’s livery is often changed to design. Even then, the lead time between final advertise the benefits of the particular aircraft’s definition and paint start can be around eight performance. However, Embraer has to take the months. For example, before the painting can start, award for the one of the most striking with its ‘Profit the initial design ideas need to be adapted, since Hunter’ liveries on its new E2 range of aircraft. It is they may not actually be technically feasible or are generally the manufacturer that brings up the topic too complex to be accomplished in the price range 18 AEROSPACE
that the customer is willing to accept. stencils. Dot-graduation is based on the use of a Kevin Prince, Operations Director at Airbourne stencil with dots transitioning in size and distance. Colours, an aircraft painter and refinisher with sites First, one colour is applied. When that has dried, at EMA and Bournemouth, gave some insight into the stencil is applied, and the second colour is the process of applying a special livery to an aircraft. sprayed on. After drying, the stencil is removed and While he understatedly explained that “basically the different density of dots creates an impression it’s painting by numbers”, the process is strictly of blending from one colour to another. From a controlled and applies to any livery design. Once distance, the individual dots themselves are hardly the design has been signed off by a Part 21 distinguishable. company, official drawings are made and sent to It is also possible to use decals but these tend the aircraft painting company. In fact, the hardest to be on smaller areas (although they can be used part about getting a livery off a page and onto on surfaces as large as a tail fin) but, as they need an aircraft, something that is exacerbated with a regular checks to ensure they are still ok it really special livery, is that a drawing is 2D and an aircraft depends on how the aircraft is to be used. For fuselage clearly is not. So there can be quite a bit instance the ex-Virgin A340s now operated by of managing of expectations sometimes when it European Aviation Group to carry PPE were to have comes to a special livery. the NHS titling added by decals but such was the However, Kevin is enthusiastic about custom usage of these aircraft that there was no time for designs: ”We like doing special liveries” despite regular inspections, therefore it was painted instead. the fact that airlines very often want: “the mad and Airbourne Colours produced the Brussels crazy”. Even so, the process to paint an aircraft in a Airlines ‘Tomorrowland’ livery, utilising a team of special livery is, at the core, the same as a standard eight artists which initially had the outline drawn livery in that you build up a livery colour-by-colour, on the aircraft before it was hand-sprayed. As you layer-by-layer, masking sections to ensure the might imagine, here is where the major differences paint is positioned correctly. That said, there are of applying a special, as opposed to a standard livery some sections or liveries that simply must be done will be seen. On average a standard livery will take freehand, just like an artist painting, only with a about seven days to complete, whereas a special spray gun. Furthermore, there are some jobs that can take another nine or ten on top. This, of course, require that little bit extra to produce the end result has an impact on cost and, when other factors, and that is when outside specialist aircraft painting such as outside artists needing to be employed etc, artists are brought in – like the renowned, and the cost of applying a special livery can easily be somewhat eccentric, Polish-based Andre Eisele who triple that of a standard repaint. This is on top of the has done many iconic designs like the Tiger nose on design companies’ fee and the extra costs in lost a Rossiya 747, Westjets Disney Frozen themed jet revenue with the aircraft being out of action for over and many of the Brussels Airlines specials. twice the time of a standard repaint. This is often one of the challenges when it comes to customer It is not just spraying paint! expectations, as they often do not realise that the variations in paint application for special liveries can An alternative way to achieve the effect if a impact on the lead time for the job. graduation is requested from one colour to another So, the next time you see an unveiling of a with the advantage of it being reproducible is special livery, there is a lot more than meets the eye. APRIL 2022 19
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