Costa Rica Distributive measures in - United Nations Statistics Division

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Costa Rica Distributive measures in - United Nations Statistics Division
Distributive measures in

                            Costa Rica
United Nations Network of Economic Statisticians   Gabriela Saborio
Second Beyond GDP Sprint Meeting
                                                   Henry Vargas
March 24th , 2022
                                                   The opinions expressed by the presenters do not necessarily represent
                                                   those of the Central Bank authorities.

                                                                                                                 1
Costa Rica Distributive measures in - United Nations Statistics Division
Outline

1.   Introduction
2.   Objectives
3.   Methodology
4.   Data sources
5.   Main results
6.   Challenges, lessons learned and next steps

                                                  2
1   Introduction
                   Economic
                    policies
                                 Distributional
                                 measures are
                               needed to assess
                   Economic
                     crisis      the degree of
                                   inequality

                   Natural
                   disasters

                                                  3
2     Project objectives
    Develop distributive measures of national accounts
                                Understand the differences between NA and survey

    Develop and test a                                     Improve quality
    simplified methodology to
    promote measures of         Better understanding of
    household income and        national accounts and      The estimation
    consumption distribution    household surveys to       methodology is improved
    consistent with national    help reconcile micro and   as necessary in terms of
    accounts.                   macro sources.             international best
                                                           practices in the
                                                           compilation of national
                                                           accounts and household
                                                           surveys.

                                                                                      4
Project Outcomes

• Increased capacity in Costa Rica
  to compile national accounts
  distributional measures.
• Increased capacity of the World
  Bank to assist its client countries.

                                         5
3
                             Methodology

     1             2               3                 4          5

Adjustments    Micro-macro     Imputation         Cluster    Elaborate
to NA totals     linkage           and          households   indicators
                                alignment

                       EG-DNA methodology followed
                                                                          6
4          Data sources
In addition to the Institutional sectorial accounts, the following surveys where used:

                  Type of                                  Population under
   Source                            Objective                                         Domains           Frequency    Main topics covered
                 sourvey                                          study
National Survey Survey to     Produce statistical          Individual dwelings,    1. National level                 Household final
of Household    households    information on spending      the households that                                       consumption expenditure,
Income and          and       patterns and the structure   inhabit these           2. Zone urban and                 non-consumption
                                                                                   rural               Five year
Expediture      individuals   of household income in       dwelings and the                                          expenditure, capital
                                                                                   3. Planning region:  (2018)
(Enigh)                       Costa Rica, to update        habitual residents                                        expenditure and
                              consumption and financial    of the households.      Central, Chorotega,               household income and
                              situation indicators.                                and the others.                   savings.
National Survey Household     Provide statistical          Micro-enterprises of                                      Characteristics of the
of Households     survey      information related to the   households of           1. National level                 activity, sales, expenses,
Microenterprises (informal    economic activity of         productive activities   2. Zone urban and                 assets and financing.
                  sector)     businesses created in        of goods or             rural
                              households, in order to      services directed to
                              generate statistics          the market, in                                  Anual
                              necessary for the informal   whole or in part.       3. Planning region:
                              sector.                                              Central, Chorotega,
                                                                                   and the others

                                                                                                                                                  7
5     Main results
➢ Compilation of sequence of household accounts from production, disposable
  income, final consumption and saving for year 2017 and then updated for 2018.
➢ Households are grouped: income quintiles, reference person’s gender, reference
  person’s economic activity.
➢ Inequality indicators obtained.
   1. Variables by household and by consumption unit.
   2. Disparity measures.
      • Ratio of each group with respect to the mean.
      • Max/Min Ratio.
      • Variation coefficient.
➢ Distribution of each element of consumption and income by household group.

                                                                             8
Main results by income quintile
5      Ratio to average, adjusted disposable income
3,50

3,00

2,50

2,00

1,50

1,00

0,50

0,00
           Q1                   Q2                  Q3                  Q4                   Q5
                AUS 2011   AUT 2012   FRA 2011   ISR 2012   MEX 2012   NLD 2011   CHE 2011
                PRT 2011   SVN 2012   SWE 2012   GBR 2012   USA 2012   CRI 2018

                                                                                                  9
Main results by income quintile
5   Ratio to average, income elements 2018
                  Gross operating surplus                        Mixed income
    3,00                                         3,50
    2,50                                         3,00
                                                 2,50
    2,00
                                                 2,00
    1,50
                                                 1,50
    1,00
                                                 1,00
    0,50                                         0,50
    0,00                                         0,00
           Q1        Q2       Q3       Q4   Q5          Q1      Q2       Q3        Q4       Q5
                Compensation of employees                Interest (not adjusted by FISIM)
    3,50                                         5,00
    3,00
                                                 4,00
    2,50
    2,00                                         3,00
    1,50                                         2,00
    1,00
                                                 1,00
    0,50
    0,00                                         0,00
           Q1        Q2       Q3      Q4    Q5          Q1      Q2        Q3       Q4       Q5
                                                                                                 10
Main results by income quintile
5       Ratio to average, impact of net current transfers 2018
2,00

1,50

1,00

0,50

0,00
             Q1         Q2                  Q3                 Q4   Q5
-0,50

-1,00

-1,50
                             Impact of net current transfers

                                                                         11
Main results by income quintile
5      Ratio to average, actual final consumption expenditure
2,50

2,00

1,50

1,00

0,50

0,00
          Q1                   Q2                  Q3                  Q4                   Q5
               AUS 2011   AUT 2012   FRA 2011   ISR 2012   MEX 2012   NLD 2011   CHE 2011
               PRT 2011   SVN 2012   SWE 2012   GBR 2012   USA 2012   CRI 2018

                                                                                                 12
Main results by income quintile
5   Ratio to average, consumption elements 2018
           Food and non-alcoholic beverages               Housing, water, electricity, gas and
    1,80                                                             other fuels
    1,60                                           2,50
    1,40
    1,20                                           2,00
    1,00                                           1,50
    0,80
    0,60                                           1,00
    0,40                                           0,50
    0,20
    0,00                                           0,00
            Q1      Q2      Q3     Q4         Q5           Q1       Q2        Q3     Q4          Q5

                         Health                                          Transport
    3,00                                           3,00

    2,50                                           2,50

    2,00                                           2,00

    1,50                                           1,50

    1,00                                           1,00

    0,50                                           0,50

    0,00                                           0,00                                               13
            Q1      Q2      Q3     Q4         Q5           Q1       Q2        Q3     Q4          Q5
Main results by income quintile
5       Average propensity to consume (%), consumption elements 2018
        Food and non-alcoholic                   Housing, water, electricity, gas
              beverages                                and other fuels
40,00                                    20,00

30,00                                    15,00

20,00                                    10,00

10,00                                     5,00

 0,00                                     0,00
        Q1   Q2     Q3     Q4      Q5              Q1     Q2       Q3      Q4   Q5

             Leisure and culture         5,00
                                                               Education
 8,00
 7,00                                    4,00
 6,00
 5,00                                    3,00
 4,00
                                         2,00
 3,00
 2,00                                    1,00
 1,00
                                         0,00
 0,00
                                                  Q1      Q2       Q3      Q4   Q5   14
        Q1    Q2     Q3     Q4      Q5
Main results by income quintile. Ratio Q5 / Q1
5        Actual final consumption vs. Final consumption expenditure
7,00

6,00

5,00

4,00

3,00

2,00

1,00

0,00
       SVN 2012 SWE 2012 AUT 2012 NLD 2011 AUS 2011 CHE 2011 GBR 2012 ISR 2012 FRA 2011 PRT 2011 USA 2012 MEX 2012 CRI 2018
                                         Actual Final Consumption    Final Consumption

                                                                                                                       15
Main results by income quintile
 5         Saving ratio
 60,00%
 40,00%
 20,00%
  0,00%
 -20,00%
 -40,00%
 -60,00%
 -80,00%
-100,00%
               Q1                    Q2                   Q3                  Q4                 Q5
               AUS 2011   AUT 2012        FRA 2011   ISR 2012   MEX 2012   NLD 2011   CHE 2011
               PRT 2011   SVN 2012        SWE 2012   GBR 2012   USA 2012   CRI 2018

                                                                                                      16
Main results by gender of the reference person 2018
5           Ratio to average - Adjusted                             Ratio to average - Actual final
                disposable income                                    consumption expenditure
    1,50                                                   1,05

    1,00                                                   1,00

                                                           0,95
    0,50
                                                           0,90
    0,00                                                   0,85
                Male   Female     Shared                                  Male   Female   Shared

                                             Saving ratio
                                25,00%
                                20,00%
                                15,00%
                                10,00%
                                5,00%
                                0,00%
                                -5,00%
                                           Male   Female   Shared                                     17
Main results by economic activity of reference person
5   Economic activities considered
Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing          Financial and insurance activities
Mining and quarrying                                  Real estate activities
Manufacturing industries                              Professional, scientific and technical activities
Supply of electricity, gas, steam and air             Administrative and support service activities
conditioning.
Water supply, sewage evacuation, management           Public administration and defense; social security
waste and decontamination                             plans mandatory membership
Construction                                          Teaching
Wholesale and retail trade; vehicle repair of motor   Human health care and social assistance
vehicles and motorcycles                              activities
Transportation and storage                            Artistic, entertainment and recreational activities
Accommodation and food service activities             Other service activities
Information and communications                        Activities of households as employers
                                                                                                          18
Main results by economic activity of reference person
5       Adjusted disposable income 2018, ratio to average.
3,50
                                       Real estate activities
3,00

2,50

2,00
       Agriculture
1,50

1,00

0,50

0,00

                                                                19
Main results by economic activity of reference person
5      Actual final consumption 2018, ratio to average.
2,50
                                         Professional, scientific and
                                         technical activities
2,00

       Agriculture
1,50

1,00

0,50

0,00

                                                                        20
6      Challenges, lessons learned and next steps
➢ Sectorial accounts and ENIGH do not refer to the same year.
    ❖ Reference year for the accounts was 2017 (latest available year) while ENIGH reference
      period was 2018.
    ❖ Results were updated once the accounts for 2018 were available.
    ❖ Introduce wealth
➢ Tried to avoid using structure of aggregates when data on components is missing.
    ❖ Favored the use of a combination of survey variables.
    ❖ Better results in terms of micro-macro gaps.
➢ Adjustments needed on both micro and macro sides.
    ❖ Outlier households in certain variables such as dividends were eliminated from the study
      due to their impact.
                                                                                                 21
6   Challenges, lessons learned and next steps

➢ Working file structure facilitates the compilation of distributional results.
    ❖ Collaboration from NSI and Central Bank’s side was critical.
    ❖ Better results in terms of micro-macro gaps.

                                                                                  22
Distributive measures in

                            Costa Rica
United Nations Network of Economic Statisticians   Gabriela Saborio
Second Beyond GDP Sprint Meeting
                                                   Henry Vargas
March 24th , 2022
                                                   The opinions expressed by the presenters do not necessarily represent
                                                   those of the Central Bank authorities.

                                                                                                                23
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