Transitioning towards zero emission buses - thoughts insights and challenges - A perspective from around Australia and New Zealand
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Transitioning towards zero emission buses – thoughts insights and challenges A perspective from around Australia and New Zealand Mark Rowland – Transport & Highways Advisory leader
Bus patronage in Melbourne…. 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 - 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 753 755 691 738 679 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 - 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 681 682 757 758 699
17% elec t r ic b use s g lo b ally in 2 0 2 0 Eu r o p e el e c t r i c b u s es g r o w i n g e x p o n en t i al l y as o l d er f le et s a r e r et i r e d 3000 < 100 Morning b a t t er y H2 h y d r o g en Afte r ch a rg i n g o ve rn i g h t el e c t r i c b u s e s p o w er e d b e g i n s a m s h i ft w i th i n o p er at i o n b u s es 99 % o f al l b at t er y 370kw/h e le c t r i c a n d d ri ve s 1 7 5 km d u ri n g b u s es a r e th e fi rs t s h i ft in China 70+ years elec t r ic ally p o w ered A ft ernoon b u s e s h a v e o p e r a t ed Arri ve s b a ck a t in Welling t o n l u n ch ti m e w i th AUSTRAL IA 45% battery a n d ch a rg e s fo r 6 0 m i n s b uses o p er at ing i n B y 2025 100,473 p u b l i c a n d p r i v a t e s ec t o r s Ta r g e t e d g o als A u c k l an d E vening Tr an s p o r t t o p ro c ure Sta rts p m s h i ft a n d d ri ve s only ZEBs 175km a n d a rri ve s b a ck a t d e p o t By 2023 B y 2040 w i th 3 5 % b a tte ry l i fe 80 % o f t h e m ar e d i e s el b u s e s 100 + 100 % e l e c t r ic b u s e s e le c t r i c i n We l li n g t o n b u s es flee t an n u al av er ag e f u e l 6700 litres u s a g e f o r d i es el b u s an d N e w Zealan d f o r A u c k la n d Tr an s p o r t
Snapshot Australia • NSW goal 8,000 buses by 2030, 50 new electric buses in 2021. • ACT ban on diesel bus purchases, and 90 new electric buses currently. • Qld all buses purchased by 2030 will be zero emissions. Several trials announced for 2021. • SA has promised the transition of its entire public transport fleet • Vic has committed $20 million for a three-year trial of electric buses. New Zealand • Wellington 108 by early 2023, (22% of its total fleet). Bids from any bus companies running diesel vehicles won’t be considered after 2027. • Auckland Transport 50 buses in operation, no new diesel bus will be purchased from 2025, with goal to make the entire fleet zero emissions by 2030.
Key talking points Outcomes and Opportunities Policy and Planning Transition and Technology Ownership and Operations Nation Building Exercise? Systems thinking approach
Outcomes and Opportunities Climate Change and Emissions Cleaner Air Energy Resilience and Security Next Generation Jobs A new product/service offering Social licence to operate Maintenance and operations Re-imaging our roads and streets
Policy and Planning Bus Franchise 7-10 years Vehicle Lifespan Coordination and certainty 17-25 years Return of investment 25-30 years Remaining agile Accounting for Growing our champions time horizons
Transition and Technology Buses are the easy bit… Charging options Hydrogen Trials to Transition
Ownership and Operations Fleet as a Service? Maintain a competitive market Driving vehicle affordability AIRCRAFT LEASING
System thinking O U TS I D E Aust ra lian Affo rd abilit y A i r q u al i t y Loca l L an d u s e S YS TE M bus d esign o f ZE B a n d s t an d a r d s g o ve r n m e n t planning st andard s p art s mo nit or ing D em an d o n C o m p l ex i t y energ y gr id o f o w n er s h i p st ruct u res IN S ID E Opp o rt un it y f or S YS TE M l o c a l m an u f ac t u r i n g D ep o t r eq u i r e m en t s O P ER ATI O N A L C ap ac i t y o f R EA D I N ES S o p er a t o r s t o t r i a l OF ZEB S C o m f o r t an d q u al i t y o f ZE B C o o r d i n at e d Tr an s p o r t A u t h o r i t y b u s s er v i c e s t r at e g y f o r ZEB s ZEB A g e n d a Publi c L es s o n s l ea r n e d S ec o n d h an d p e r c ep t i o n f rom o t her m ar k et f o r d i e s e l o f ZEB s jurisd ic t ions a n d ZEB s
Pathways to transition • Make clear long-term commitment(s) to ZEBs, and set in motion short term actions • Think through regulatory frameworks for technical and safety standards • Realise the benefits of coordination and cohesion across all stakeholders and jurisdictions • Better educate stakeholders about the benefits and transition towards ZEBs • Reduce uncertainty around technology, financing, infrastructure and operations
Mark Rowland Transport & Highways Advisory Leader (Australia) Arup Sky Park, One Melbourne Quarter 699 Collins Street, Docklands VIC 3008 d: +61 9663 1546 m: +61 40 1798 435 www.arup.com Connect with me on https://www.linkedin.com/in/mwrowland/
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