SUCCESS FACTORS OF ONLINE SHOPS - Hogeschool van Amsterdam

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SUCCESS FACTORS OF ONLINE SHOPS - Hogeschool van Amsterdam
SUCCESS FACTORS OF ONLINE SHOPS
                           RESULTS FROM THE SHOPPING 2020
                        ONLINE ENTREPRENEURSHIP EXPERT GROUP

Dr. Jesse Weltevreden
Professor of E-Business (Lector Online Ondernemen)

Centre for Applied Research on Economics & Management,
Hogeschool van Amsterdam
http://www.carem.hva.nl/

                                                               1
Research design

Research question
What are the success factors of online shops and what support
and knowledge from trade associations do they need?

Data
• Focus on ‘pure players’
• Literature review and Chamber of Commerce data (N=26,250)
• Online survey of web merchants (N = 500)
• Interviews with web merchants (N = 25)

                                                            2
ONLINE SHOPS IN THE NETHERLANDS
             2009-2013

                              3
Online shops in the Netherlands
Growth of the number of firms in the Netherlands, by
industry (2009=100), 2009-2013
   220
                                                                                                        208
   200
   180
   160
   140
                                                                                                        132
   120
                                                                                                        107
   100
    80
    60
    40
    20
     0
          2009-1     2009-2     2010-1     2010-2   2011-1      2011-2     2012-1      2012-2      2013-1

         Online retailers (pure players)               All retailers                   All firms

                                                                                                                  4
                                                             Source: Chamber of Commerce (2013), adapted by HvA
Online shops in the Netherlands
Number of start-ups and exits as a share of the total
number of firms per industry (in %), 2009-2013
           Start-ups (in%)                                      Exits (in%)
22                                      22
20                                      20
18                                      18
16                                      16
14                                      14
12                                      12
10                                      10
 8                                       8
 6                                       6
 4                                       4
 2                                       2
 0                                       0

      Online retailers (pure players)                  Online retailers (pure players)
      All retailers                                    All retailers
      All firms                                        All firms

                                                                                                  5
                                             Source: Chamber of Commerce (2013), adapted by HvA
Online shops in the Netherlands
Survival rate of firms in the Netherlands after 1 through 4 years, by
industry (in%)
    100
     90
     80
     70
     60                                                                                           59
     50
                                                                                                  44
     40                                                                                           41
     30
     20
     10
      0
                After 1 year            After 2 years         After 3 years            After 4 years

          Online retailers (pure players)               All retailers                 All firms

                                                                                                                 6
                                                            Source: Chamber of Commerce (2013), adapted by HvA
CHARACTERISTICS OF ONLINE SHOPS

©Shopping2020                             7
5 types of online shops
Based on the number and type of owners (in %)
  • Two relatively highly
     educated owners of
     middle age  @                                               @
  • Owners work on
     average
         Single 24   hours
                 owner   firm:                           Single owner firm:
     per week     in the
              Spare time                      35       Part-time entrepreneur
     companyentrepreneur              18
  • Company exists on
     average 3 years
• • Predominantly
     Starting capitala >middle-aged 3
     €3+2,500
    man  owner business
• • Runs
     Morethe than  € 10,000alongside a
                 company                   • Predominantly a middle-aged
   • Predominantly a middle-aged man
     sales per
    full-time  jobyear
                    or study                  woman
   • Is working full-time in the company
• Company started from a hobby23           • 20
                                              Runs the company alongside a
       and has no other sources of
    or for extra earnings                                       @ or the care for
                                              part-time job, study
       income
• Young company with small                    a family
   • Relatively much entrepreneurial
    starting capital
                2 owner( € 2,500
   • More than € 10,000 sales per year     • Less than € 10,000 sales per year8
SUCCESS

©Shopping2020             9
Success
                                                          Inclusion in the Twinkle 100.
                                                                Angeliek Nelissen,
  Year on year a positive result                                  Zomerzoen.nl
   and ‘double digit growth’.
        Joachim de Boer,
       Deonlinedrogist.nl
                                          That you can make money
                                         with your company, but you
                                              have to like it too.
We get orders daily and are                      Wouter Hol,                       Recognition from customers
able to help customers. That                    Kabeltje.com                        and winning a Thuiswinkel
 makes it successful for me.                                                                 award.
         Burak Ayar,                                                                  Mariëlle van Werven,
         Drphone.nl                   The bond with the customers                          Annadiva.nl
                                      and when I hear that they are
                                        happy with our products.
    My business is successful               Daniëlle Meloen,
      when a large group of                   Hulpplus.nl                           Satisfied and returning
   customers intend to return.                                                     customers. But eventually
        Bastiaan de Jong,                                                           making a profit out of it.
      Holland-at-Home.com          When you have fun in what                             Esther Kroon,
                                   you do it and are able to get                        XLkindermode.nl
                                     a good income from it.
                                       Joos Lambrechtsen,
                                         Herensokken.nl
                                                                                                            10
Success
  Succes according to web merchants (in %)
                              When our customers are satisfied                                                 66
                            If the company is financially sound                                      37
              If the company gives me more energy than it takes                                 28
                          If I can get a nice extra income from it                              27
                                     If the company is profitable                               26
When working time is in proportion to the income from company                              22
                          If the turnover is growing year on year                          21
                                If profits grow from year to year                         19
       If I can get at least an average income from the company                      14
                   If our market share is increasing year on year                9
                                  If I get recognition from peers            3
                           If we can maintain our market share           3
                                  If our employees are satisfied         2
            If the number of employees grows from year to year           1
                    When my company wins an important prize              1
                                                           Other         1

                                                                     0                20             40   60        80   100

                                                                                                                         11
Success
Annual turnover in 2012, according to firm type (in %)*

       100                                       2
                         7                       4
         90              2                                                                             14
                                                                    22                  26
         80                                                                                             5
                        26                      32
                                                                    10
         70                                                                              7
                                                                                                       32
         60
         50                                                                             30
                                                                    40
         40
         30             65                      61
                                                                                                       49
         20                                                                             37
                                                                    28
         10
          0
                  Spare time               Part-time             Full-time          2 owner           Total
                  entrepreneur            entrepreneur         entrepreneur         business

              Less than € 10,000              € 10,000 - € 50,000        € 50,000 - € 100,000   € 100,000 or more

* Excluding companies that started in 2013.                                                                         12
Success
Ever made a profit, according to firm type (in %)*
      100

        90                                                   15
                                                                              20
                                                                                    29
                        34                    38
        80

        70

        60

        50
                                                             85
        40                                                                    80
                                                                                    71
                        66                    62
        30

        20

        10

         0
                  Spare time               Part-time       Full-time    2 owner    Total
                  entrepreneur            entrepreneur   entrepreneur   business

                                              Yes                        No

* Excluding companies that started in 2013.                                                13
Success
At least earned once an average income* from the
company, according to firm type (in %)**
      100

        90

        80

        70
                                                                      69
        60                                                                           77    82
                        93                     90
        50

        40

        30

        20
                                                                      31
        10                                                                           23    18
                        7                      10
         0
                  Spare time               Part-time              Full-time    2 owner    Total
                  entrepreneur           entrepreneur           entrepreneur   business

                                              Yes                               No
* The gross average income in the Netherlands in 2013 was about € 33,000.                         14
** Excluding companies that started in 2013.
FIRM EXIT

            15
Firm exit
                                                          We were left with unsaleable
                                                           stocks and because of that
                                                                 we had to quit.
   One reason to really quit                                    Patrick Heijmans
  would be that I no longer will                                    Lupux.nl
           be happy.
       Daniëlle Meloen,
          Hulpplus.nl                      It took me too much time
                                          and my family did not like it
                                             that I was always busy.
Market came into downward                           Inger Burg,
 spiral. We should have but                           Ibby.nl                      Never considered to quit!
    did not quit then. In                                                               Bart Bockweg,
retrospect a stupid decision.                                                               Tbls.nl
Patrick Gerrits, Mediaoffer.nl         Considered: ... the frustration
                                        of having so much on stock
                                          that is not selling at all.
   At times when many things                 Shirley Akkerman
   go wrong beyond our fault, I                   La-joya.nl                    It crossed my mind, but it was
    sometimes think about it.                                                    for personal reasons and had
        Sander Berendsen,                                                         nothing to do with the firm.
           Sbsupply.nl             Never considered. However, at                       Bastiaan de Jong,
                                   busy times I do think 'How am                     Holland-at-Home.com
                                      I going to manage it all'.
                                           Wijtze Terpstra,
                                          Agrispeelgoed.nl
                                                                                                          16
Firm exit
  Reasons to quit, according to web merchants (in%)

                                                      Health reasons                                           41
                    When it is negatively affecting my personal life                                          38
       When the company costs me more energy than I get from it                                           36
                               If I can't get enough income out of it                                    33
If the working time is not in proportion to the income I get out of it                               31
                  If a party presents itself to take over my business                                31
                          If the company is not profitable anymore                                  27
                                                          Bankruptcy                           22
                                        If I fail to grow the company                          22
                                  If competition is getting too fierce               10
                                     If I find an interesting paid job           9
                          If I find paid employment that pays better             7
                                              Conflict with co-owner         5
                                                                Other        5

                                                                         0                20              40        60   80        100

                                                                                                                              17
Firm exit
Probability that the company in 2014 and 2020 still
exists according to firm type (in%)
 100
  90                   18                           16
                                                                             25                       24
  80                                   43
           50                                                    52
  70                                                26
                       32                                                              63
  60                                                                         34                       33
  50
  40
           30                          41
  30                                                             39
                                                                                       25
  20
  10
   0
          2014        2020            2014         2020         2014        2020       2014          2020
       Spare time entrepreneur       Part-time entrepreneur   Full-time entrepreneur   2 owner business

        Very small           Small            Nor small, nor large            Large           Very large
                                                                                                            18
CHALLENGES

©Shopping2020                19
Challenges 2013 & 2014-2020
Strategic challenges (in %)

                                                                                                                             42
                    Increasing profits / income from the company                                                                            57
                                                                                                                                  47
                                                   Increasing sales                                                                    52
                                                                                                                   27
                                        Finding suitable suppliers                                           23
                                                                                                             22
                         Finding new markets / customer groups                                                    25
                                                                                                13
                                 Developing a long term strategy                                            21
                                                                                                  15
   Determining which customer contact and sales channels to use                                 13
                                                                                           10
                              Setting up a new business / concept                                14
                                                                                        11
                      Enhancing the general entrepreneurial skills                     10
                                                                                       9
        Finding sufficient capital to (further) develop the business                       11
                                                                               4
                                Finding suitable business premises                     10
                                                                               5
      Determining which operational processes will be outsourced                   8
                                                                               4
              Determining which tax and incentive schemes to use           3
                                                                               4
                                                   Other challenge         3

                                                                       0           10                  20          30   40        50        60   70
                                        2013                                                          2014 - 2020

                                                                                                                                                      20
Challenges 2013 & 2014-2020
Operational challenges (in %)
                                                                                                                                                         37
                                         (Re)developing the website                                                                                                 45
                                                                                                                                               31
                                                        Cost reduction                                                                27
                                                                                                                               22
                                  Increasing the number of suppliers                                                                 26
                                                                                                                     16
                              Optimizing the online ordering process                                                            23
                                                                                                               12
 Managing the online and offline activities as an integrated operation                                               16
                                                                                                               13
                    Enhancing the operational skills of staff / owners                                          13
                                                                                                      9
  Linking / integrating customer information from different channels                                            13
                                                                                                          10
                       Improving relationships with existing suppliers                            9
                                                                                                      9
                                Improving the security of the website                             8
                                                                                                  8
          Adapting our operations to new legislation and regulations                              9
                                                                                      5
                                     Reducing the number of returns                       7
                                                                              2
                                     Finding and hiring qualified staff                       7
                                                                                      6
                                                       Other challenge            4

                                                                          0       5               10            15        20    25        30        35        40   45    50
                                         2013                                                                  2014 - 2020

                                                                                                                                                                         21
Challenges 2013 & 2014-2020
Marketing en sales challenges (in %)

                                                                                                                                          63
                     Enhancing the online visibility of the web shop                                                                 57

                                                                                                                          39
                Effective use of social media for sales and web care
                                                                                                                           40

                                                                                                     19
                                     Improving the conversion ratio                                       22

                                                                                                   17
          Enhancing the sales and marketing skills of staff / owners                                18

                                                                                         10
      Developing a mobile application (app) and / or mobile website                                            24

                                                                                              12
 Measuring the effectiveness of online marketing and sales activities
                                                                                             11

                                                                                 5
                                           Opening a physical store                                18

                                                                                     7
                                             Opening a pop-up shop                            12

                                                                                     7
                               Setting up an online affiliate network                    9

                                                                             3
                                                     Other challenge        2

                                                                        0            10            20               30   40     50   60        70
                                          2013                                                     2014 - 2020

                                                                                                                                                    22
Need for support 2013 & 2014-2020
  Importance of challenges en the need for support
                    High
                   Much

                                                                      Developing a mobile website or app

                                                 Setting up an online affiliate network
                                                                                                                                                     (Re)developing the website
                                                                                                             Improving the conversion ratio
                                                 Improving the security of the website
                                                                                                             Enhancing sales and marketing skills
                            Deciding which tax and incentive schemes to use                          Increasing web design skills                                                 Improving the online visibility
                                                                    Opening a pop
                                                                               -up store       Integrating customer information from different channels

                                                                                                                   Optimizing the online ordering process
Need for support

                                              Enhancing the general entrepreneurial skills

                                                                         Opening a physical shop     Determining which customer contact and sales channels to use
                                            Adapting to new legislation and regulations
                                                                                               Measuring the effectiveness of online marketing activities
                                                  Determining which operational
                                                  processes will be outsourced           Setting up a new business        Finding new markets /           Effective use of social media
                                                                                                                          customer groups
                                               Finding suitable business premises                          Developing a long term strategy                                    Increasing profits / income
                                                                  Managing the online and offline                             Finding suitable suppliers
                                                                  activities as an integrated operation                                                                              Increasing sales
                                                                                                                                                            Finding sufficient capital
                                                                                  Finding and hiring qualified staff          Increasing the number of suppliers

                                                                                                                                        Cost reduction
                   Little
                   Low

                                                 Reducing the number of returns
                                                                                              Improving relationships with existing suppliers

                              Small                                                                                                                                                                     Large
                                                                                               Importance of challenge
                               Strategic challenges                                        Operational challenges                                     Marketing/sales challenges
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    23
Conclusions
• There is a lot of dynamics among online shops in The Netherlands
• However, 60 percent do not survive the first four years
• Most web entrepreneurs could not live on their online shop
• Success and reasons to quit are less financially driven for most web
  entrepreneurs
• However, survival in 2020 still depends mainly on financial performance
• Investment of time and money and a clear strategy determine success

Considerations for future web entrepreneurs
• An online shop is no goose with the golden eggs
• Think carefully before you start and develop a clear strategy
• Focus on distinctiveness and added value
• Remember: hard work does pay off
                                                                        24
MORE INFORMATION
      www.carem.hva.nl

http://twitter.com/carem_hva

http://twitter.com/jweltevreden

                                  25
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