Good news during industry changes - ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL - Colliers International
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Research Report RETAIL ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL ALBUQUERQUE Q2 2020 – SANTA FE Q2 2020 Good news during industry changes It’s no secret that the retail industry is facing challenges amid the COVID-19 global pandemic. Albuquerque’s retail market has begun to see the impact of extended retail closures over the course of Key factors in this quarter the second quarter. Amidst announcements of both national and > National and local retailer closures are beginning to local closures, some retailers are finding success, particularly impact Albuquerque’s vacancy rate. The second quarter with grocery and takeout concepts. ended with a negative absorption of 46,100 square feet. National chain and local restaurants are feeling the pressure to > Despite COVID-19 restrictions on retailer operations, adapt their model, as they have been restricted from offering dine-in some retailers are experiencing increased year-over- services by the Governor’s public health orders. According to the year sales, specifically grocery and takeout concepts. New Mexico Restaurant Association, at least 200 restaurants have > The largest positive absorption of the year was just already shuttered their doors for good. Most of the closures were over 30,000 square feet, which was occupied by New local family-owned or small businesses. Beginnings Church at Fiesta Crossing shopping center located at 4770 Montgomery Blvd. NE. Major retailers including Macy’s, The Children’s Place, Victoria Secret, Bath & Body Works, Sweet Tomatoes and others are announcing major store closures, and stores like JC Penney, Pier 1 Imports, Tuesday Morning and GNC are filing for bankruptcy protection and restructuring. These national closures will impact Albuquerque market summary Albuquerque, which has two Pier 1 Imports and two Sweet Total SF................................................... 32,072,687 Tomatoes location that will close. Total Available SF.................................................. 2,158,843 Local retailer closures include La Montanita Co-op’s Cottonwood Availability %................................................................6.73% location at 3601 Old Airport Ave. NW, The Cooperage at 7220 Change in Available SF.............................................. 90,049 Lomas Blvd. NE, Garcia’s Kitchen at 1113 4th St. SW and Le Peep’s last remaining location in the Uptown submarket at 2125 Louisiana Total Vacant SF......................................... 2,247,456 Blvd. NE. The Cooperage and Le Peep both sight COVID-19 as Vacancy %....................................................... 7.01% the reason behind their closures. The GNC at Cottonwood Mall, Q1 2020 Vacant %...................................................... 6.86% 10000 Coors Bypass NW, will close as part of its bankruptcy Absorption................................................... (46,100) restructuring. Pep Boys has ended the retail side of its business in Albuquerque, but will stay open as a service and tire center. Asking Rent................................................................. $13.75 Despite the struggles faced by indoor dining, malls, apparel and Year-over-year Vacancy Change.................. 31 basis points other indoor retailers, some retailers have seen increased sales. Fast casual and takeout restaurant concepts, though initially seeing a drop in sales, have recovered and even surpassed
typical sales. Quick service restaurants with a strong takeout model in place Albuquerque vacancy by submarket have been protected from severe West Mesa Uptown declines in sales. Wingstop reported 1% 7% Cottonwood an increase in same-store sales of University 18% 8.9% during the last two weeks of 4% March, when closures began. It has also continued to open new locations across the nation. Domino’s reported Southeast Heights 14% 4% Downtown a sales increase of 16% for the second quarter and Papa John’s saw sales increase by 33.5% in May. 13% Far Northeast Heights South Valley 8% Grocery and other big box retailers have also seen increases in sales. Costco Wholesale reported a sales increase of 4% Rio Rancho 13% 7.5% year-over-year in May, as well as 11% an increase of over 100% for e-commerce Northeast Heights North I-25 sales. Overall sales were up 9% year- North Valley over-year for Walmart, with e-commerce 2% sales increasing by nearly 75%. In Albuquerque, the second quarter of Albuquerque vacancy by use 2020 saw a negative net absorption of 46,100 square feet. The largest negative Urban Retail absorption being roughly 12,000 square Community Center feet vacated by The Cooperage, followed Super Regional 4% 9% by 10,500 square feet vacated by Golden 9% Corral at 2701 Coors Blvd. NW. Freestanding 12% The largest positive absorption of the quarter was a non-traditional retail tenant. New Beginnings Church Specialty Strip 23% 0% occupied just over 30,000 square feet at Fiesta Crossings Shopping Center located at 4770 Montgomery Blvd. NE. Another noteworthy opening was the grand opening of Tin Can Alley, a newly Showroom 5% 2% 37% completed storage container development, Power Neighborhood which features a food hall and taproom. The 11,000 square foot development includes a 6,000 square foot Santa Fe Brewing taproom. Adjacent to the project, a 26,500 square foot Stoneage Climbing Gym is nearing completion. A national report conducted by Coresight Research suggests that 25,000 retailers could close this year across the U.S. due to the ongoing ramifications from COVID-19. However, this is also an opportunity for retailers to switch their models in order to better reach their consumers. Despite closing a third of its locations temporarily, Game Stop experi- enced an e-commerce sales increase of over 1,400% year-over-year in May. New Beginnings Church at Fiesta Crossings Shopping Center 2 Albuquerque Research Report | Q2 2020 | Retail | Colliers International
Historical vacancies 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Santa Fe Brewing Company Market statistics by use Albuquerque – Retail PRIMARY USE TOTAL SF AVAILABLE SF VACANCY AVAILABLE % VACANCY % ABSORPTION RENT Q2 2020 Community Center 2,258,533 151,122 210,050 6.69% 9.30% - $11.28 Freestanding 10,308,923 251,119 258,875 2.44% 2.51% (30,614) $14.81 Neighborhood 6,125,696 800,987 835,250 13.08% 13.64% 6,202 $13.94 Power 1,859,294 150,140 104,991 8.08% 5.65% - $13.00 Showroom 1,824,052 42,000 42,000 2.30% 2.30% - NA Specialty 32,756 - - 0.00% 0.00% - NA Strip 7,182,044 495,207 518,631 6.90% 7.22% (18,202) $13.64 Super Regional 2,190,336 193,378 193,378 8.83% 8.83% (565) NA Urban Retail 291,053 74,890 84,281 25.73% 28.96% (2,921) $13.41 Total 32,072,687 2,158,843 2,247,456 6.73% 7.01% (46,100) $13.75 Market statistics by submarket Albuquerque – Retail SUBMARKET TOTAL SF AVAILABLE SF VACANCY AVAILABLE % VACANCY % ABSORPTION RENT Q2 2020 Cottonwood 4,188,699 385,402 402,710 9.20% 9.61% (10,610) $13.59 Downtown 748,181 87,699 97,090 11.72% 12.98% (2,921) $14.83 Far Northeast Heights 4,023,458 327,442 291,995 8.14% 7.26% (3,526) $17.52 North I-25 4,039,015 234,299 276,209 5.80% 6.84% 14,812 $12.14 North Valley 1,203,533 37,612 37,612 3.13% 3.13% 1,732 $15.45 Northeast Heights 4,528,787 251,870 254,136 5.56% 5.61% (10,474) $12.07 Rio Rancho 2,407,397 138,897 93,203 5.77% 3.87% (4,496) $14.74 South Valley 1,368,241 172,748 189,140 12.63% 13.82% 2,000 $12.10 Southeast Heights 3,182,819 207,565 312,169 6.52% 9.81% (9,556) $12.70 University 1,239,831 94,444 94,444 7.62% 7.62% - $11.17 Uptown 2,542,119 31,236 32,075 1.23% 1.26% (2,500) $32.50 West Mesa 2,600,607 189,629 166,673 7.29% 6.41% (20,561) $13.77 Total 32,072,687 2,158,843 2,247,456 6.73% 7.01% (46,100) $13.75 * Retail inventory includes all multi-tenant and single tenant buildings at least 10,000 square feet. Available space includes all vacant space and occupied space currently on the market for lease. “Change in Availability” is based on the change of availability from beginning of quarter to the end. “Absorption” is based on the change of vacancy from the beginning of the quarter to the end. Copyright © 2020 Colliers International. 3 Albuquerque Research Report | Q2 2020 | Retail | Colliers International
Albuquerque submarket area map FOR MORE INFORMATION Scott Whitefield Managing Director | Albuquerque +1 505 880 7055 scott.whitefield@colliers.com Sarah Baiett Director of Marketing & Research Albuquerque +1 505 880 7012 sarah.baiett@colliers.com Sean Hewlett Research Analyst | Albuquerque +1 505 880 7004 sean.hewlett@colliers.com Colliers International | Albuquerque 5051 Journal Center NE Suite 200 +1 505 883 7676 Copyright ©2019 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While colliers.com/newmexico every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their 4 professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report. North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014 | Office Market Outlook | Colliers International
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