Good news during industry changes - ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL - Colliers International

 
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Good news during industry changes - ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL - Colliers International
Research Report
RETAIL
ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL
ALBUQUERQUE
Q2 2020     – SANTA FE
Q2 2020

Good news during industry changes
It’s no secret that the retail industry is facing challenges amid the
COVID-19 global pandemic. Albuquerque’s retail market has begun
to see the impact of extended retail closures over the course of        Key factors in this quarter
the second quarter. Amidst announcements of both national and           > National and local retailer closures are beginning to
local closures, some retailers are finding success, particularly          impact Albuquerque’s vacancy rate. The second quarter
with grocery and takeout concepts.                                        ended with a negative absorption of 46,100 square feet.

National chain and local restaurants are feeling the pressure to        > Despite COVID-19 restrictions on retailer operations,
adapt their model, as they have been restricted from offering dine-in     some retailers are experiencing increased year-over-
services by the Governor’s public health orders. According to the         year sales, specifically grocery and takeout concepts.
New Mexico Restaurant Association, at least 200 restaurants have        > The largest positive absorption of the year was just
already shuttered their doors for good. Most of the closures were         over 30,000 square feet, which was occupied by New
local family-owned or small businesses.                                   Beginnings Church at Fiesta Crossing shopping center
                                                                          located at 4770 Montgomery Blvd. NE.
Major retailers including Macy’s, The Children’s Place, Victoria
Secret, Bath & Body Works, Sweet Tomatoes and others are
announcing major store closures, and stores like JC Penney,
Pier 1 Imports, Tuesday Morning and GNC are filing for bankruptcy
protection and restructuring. These national closures will impact       Albuquerque market summary
Albuquerque, which has two Pier 1 Imports and two Sweet                 Total SF................................................... 32,072,687
Tomatoes location that will close.
                                                                        Total Available SF.................................................. 2,158,843
Local retailer closures include La Montanita Co-op’s Cottonwood         Availability %................................................................6.73%
location at 3601 Old Airport Ave. NW, The Cooperage at 7220             Change in Available SF.............................................. 90,049
Lomas Blvd. NE, Garcia’s Kitchen at 1113 4th St. SW and Le Peep’s
last remaining location in the Uptown submarket at 2125 Louisiana       Total Vacant SF......................................... 2,247,456
Blvd. NE. The Cooperage and Le Peep both sight COVID-19 as              Vacancy %....................................................... 7.01%
the reason behind their closures. The GNC at Cottonwood Mall,           Q1 2020 Vacant %...................................................... 6.86%
10000 Coors Bypass NW, will close as part of its bankruptcy
                                                                        Absorption................................................... (46,100)
restructuring. Pep Boys has ended the retail side of its business
in Albuquerque, but will stay open as a service and tire center.
                                                                        Asking Rent................................................................. $13.75
Despite the struggles faced by indoor dining, malls, apparel and        Year-over-year Vacancy Change.................. 31 basis points
other indoor retailers, some retailers have seen increased sales.
Fast casual and takeout restaurant concepts, though initially
seeing a drop in sales, have recovered and even surpassed
Good news during industry changes - ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL - Colliers International
typical sales. Quick service restaurants
with a strong takeout model in place
                                               Albuquerque vacancy by submarket
have been protected from severe                                                       West Mesa
                                                                             Uptown
declines in sales. Wingstop reported                                             1%
                                                                                            7%                     Cottonwood
an increase in same-store sales of                                    University
                                                                                                            18%
8.9% during the last two weeks of                                                4%
March, when closures began. It has
also continued to open new locations
across the nation. Domino’s reported                Southeast Heights 14%                                                4%     Downtown
a sales increase of 16% for the second
quarter and Papa John’s saw sales
increase by 33.5% in May.                                                                                                13%    Far Northeast Heights
                                                         South Valley     8%
Grocery and other big box retailers have
also seen increases in sales. Costco
Wholesale reported a sales increase of                                         4%
                                                               Rio Rancho                                   13%
7.5% year-over-year in May, as well as                                                11%
an increase of over 100% for e-commerce                          Northeast Heights
                                                                                                                  North I-25
sales. Overall sales were up 9% year-                                                        North Valley
over-year for Walmart, with e-commerce                                                             2%
sales increasing by nearly 75%.

In Albuquerque, the second quarter of          Albuquerque vacancy by use
2020 saw a negative net absorption of
46,100 square feet. The largest negative
                                                                                      Urban Retail
absorption being roughly 12,000 square                                                                    Community Center
feet vacated by The Cooperage, followed                        Super Regional                4%      9%
by 10,500 square feet vacated by Golden                                             9%
Corral at 2701 Coors Blvd. NW.                                                                                            Freestanding

                                                                                                                   12%
The largest positive absorption of
the quarter was a non-traditional
retail tenant. New Beginnings Church                                                                                                   Specialty
                                                              Strip      23%                                                             0%
occupied just over 30,000 square feet
at Fiesta Crossings Shopping Center
located at 4770 Montgomery Blvd. NE.

Another noteworthy opening was the
grand opening of Tin Can Alley, a newly                        Showroom      5%
                                                                  2%                                        37%
completed storage container development,                               Power
                                                                                                                  Neighborhood
which features a food hall and taproom.
The 11,000 square foot development
includes a 6,000 square foot Santa Fe
Brewing taproom. Adjacent to the project,
a 26,500 square foot Stoneage Climbing
Gym is nearing completion.

A national report conducted by Coresight
Research suggests that 25,000 retailers
could close this year across the U.S.
due to the ongoing ramifications from
COVID-19. However, this is also an
opportunity for retailers to switch their
models in order to better reach their
consumers. Despite closing a third of its
locations temporarily, Game Stop experi-
enced an e-commerce sales increase of
over 1,400% year-over-year in May.          New Beginnings Church at Fiesta Crossings Shopping Center

2     Albuquerque Research Report | Q2 2020 | Retail | Colliers International
Good news during industry changes - ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL - Colliers International
Historical vacancies
    12%

    10%

     8%

     6%

     4%

     2%

     0
          2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

                                                                                                                                     Santa Fe Brewing Company
Market statistics by use
 Albuquerque – Retail

 PRIMARY USE                                TOTAL SF              AVAILABLE SF             VACANCY              AVAILABLE %            VACANCY %            ABSORPTION             RENT Q2 2020

 Community Center                            2,258,533                151,122                 210,050              6.69%                     9.30%                        -           $11.28
 Freestanding                               10,308,923                251,119                 258,875              2.44%                     2.51%               (30,614)             $14.81
 Neighborhood                                6,125,696                800,987                 835,250             13.08%                   13.64%                    6,202            $13.94
 Power                                       1,859,294                150,140                 104,991              8.08%                     5.65%                        -           $13.00
 Showroom                                    1,824,052                  42,000                 42,000              2.30%                     2.30%                        -             NA
 Specialty                                      32,756                        -                       -            0.00%                    0.00%                         -             NA
 Strip                                       7,182,044                495,207                 518,631              6.90%                     7.22%               (18,202)             $13.64
 Super Regional                              2,190,336                193,378                 193,378              8.83%                     8.83%                   (565)               NA
 Urban Retail                                  291,053                  74,890                 84,281             25.73%                   28.96%                  (2,921)            $13.41
 Total                                     32,072,687              2,158,843               2,247,456               6.73%                     7.01%              (46,100)              $13.75

Market statistics by submarket
 Albuquerque – Retail

 SUBMARKET                                  TOTAL SF              AVAILABLE SF             VACANCY              AVAILABLE %            VACANCY %             ABSORPTION            RENT Q2 2020

 Cottonwood                                  4,188,699               385,402                  402,710                   9.20%                 9.61%              (10,610)                $13.59
 Downtown                                       748,181                87,699                   97,090                 11.72%               12.98%                 (2,921)               $14.83
 Far Northeast Heights                      4,023,458                 327,442                  291,995                  8.14%                7.26%                (3,526)                $17.52
 North I-25                                 4,039,015                234,299                  276,209                  5.80%                 6.84%                 14,812                 $12.14
 North Valley                               1,203,533                   37,612                   37,612                 3.13%                 3.13%                  1,732               $15.45
 Northeast Heights                          4,528,787                 251,870                  254,136                  5.56%                 5.61%              (10,474)                $12.07
 Rio Rancho                                 2,407,397                 138,897                   93,203                  5.77%                3.87%                (4,496)                $14.74
 South Valley                                1,368,241                172,748                  189,140                 12.63%               13.82%                  2,000                 $12.10
 Southeast Heights                           3,182,819                207,565                  312,169                  6.52%                 9.81%               (9,556)                $12.70
 University                                  1,239,831                 94,444                  94,444                   7.62%                7.62%                        -               $11.17
 Uptown                                      2,542,119                 31,236                   32,075                  1.23%                1.26%                (2,500)               $32.50
 West Mesa                                  2,600,607                 189,629                  166,673                  7.29%                 6.41%              (20,561)                $13.77
 Total                                   32,072,687                2,158,843               2,247,456                   6.73%                 7.01%              (46,100)                 $13.75

* Retail inventory includes all multi-tenant and single tenant buildings at least 10,000 square feet. Available space includes all vacant space and occupied space currently on the market for lease.
  “Change in Availability” is based on the change of availability from beginning of quarter to the end. “Absorption” is based on the change of vacancy from the beginning of the quarter to the end.
Copyright © 2020 Colliers International.

3          Albuquerque Research Report | Q2 2020 | Retail | Colliers International
Good news during industry changes - ALBUQUERQUE | RETAIL - Colliers International
Albuquerque submarket area map
                                                                                                                       FOR MORE INFORMATION
                                                                                                                       Scott Whitefield
                                                                                                                       Managing Director | Albuquerque
                                                                                                                       +1 505 880 7055
                                                                                                                       scott.whitefield@colliers.com

                                                                                                                       Sarah Baiett
                                                                                                                       Director of Marketing & Research
                                                                                                                       Albuquerque
                                                                                                                       +1 505 880 7012
                                                                                                                       sarah.baiett@colliers.com

                                                                                                                       Sean Hewlett
                                                                                                                       Research Analyst | Albuquerque
                                                                                                                       +1 505 880 7004
                                                                                                                       sean.hewlett@colliers.com

                                                                                           Colliers International | Albuquerque
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Copyright ©2019 Colliers International.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While     colliers.com/newmexico
every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No
responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their
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