Implementing the Proposed Mathematics Framework: Recommendations for PISA 2021 - Peggy G. Carr, Ph.D., Vice Chair, PISA Governing Board - Center ...
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Implementing the Proposed Mathematics Framework: Recommendations for PISA 2021 Peggy G. Carr, Ph.D., Vice Chair, PISA Governing Board Associate Commissioner, National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) May 25, 2018
The PISA 2021 Mathematics Framework
Based on
• 2012 Mathematics Framework (minor modifications in 2015 and 2018)
• PISA 2021 Mathematics: A Broadened Perspective (2017) by the OECD
Subject Advisory Group (EDU/PISA/GB(2017)17)
minor minor Major
Major focus subject subject focus
2012 2015 2018 2021
Mathematics in PISA 2
Everyday Experience with Mathematics is Changing
3
Comparing Skills of Computers and Adults
Percentage of Adults Ages 16-65 by PIAAC Numeracy Proficiency Levels
40%
35%
34%
30%
27% 29%
25%
20%
15%
10%
10%
5%
Near-term
0%
computer
Level 1 and Below Level 2 Level 3 capabilities Level 4-5
4
SOURCE: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Program for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIAAC), 2012
The Proposed PISA 2021 Mathematics Framework
2012 PISA Mathematics Framework
6
2021
2012 PISA Mathematics Framework
7
Defining Mathematical Literacy in 2021
Mathematical literacy is an individual’s capacity
to reason mathematically and to formulate,
employ, and interpret mathematics to solve
problems in a variety of real-world contexts.
It includes concepts, procedures, facts and tools
Reasoning to describe, explain and predict phenomena. It
assists individuals to know the role that
mathematics plays in the world and to make the
well-founded judgments and decisions needed
by constructive, engaged and reflective
21st century citizens.
8
Development of the PISA 2021 Mathematics
Framework
2012 2021
25%
25%
Reasoning
25% 25%
25%
25%
50%
Preserving the underlying problem solving processes ensures that
trend is maintained while the framework is expanded to include
reasoning. 9
Current PISA mathematics subscales
Additions to PISA math
subscales for 2021
Geometric approximation
*
* Growth phenomena
* * Conditional decision
making
Reasoning
Computer simulations
10Addition of PISA Reasoning
Number systems and algebraic
properties
Mathematics as a system based
on abstraction and symbolic
representation
Structure of mathematics and its
regularities
Reasoning Functional relationships between
quantities
Mathematical modeling as a lens
to the real world
Variance at the heart of statistics
1121st-century skills relevant to math
Critical thinking
Research and inquiry
Creativity
Reflection Self-direction
Information use
Initiative
12Broadened Model for Mathematics
Everything in
red is what
expands the
2012 framework
13Translating the 2021
Framework into An
AssessmentTake Advantage of the Digital Delivery System
Digital-based assessment (DBA) allows for measurement of skills
and processes that cannot be accomplished through traditional
paper-and-pencil assessments
Examples
• Allows for simulations, which with captured log data, may
be used to measure processes of mathematical reasoning
15Sample Reasoning Item from 2012
16Sample Reasoning Item from 2012
17Take Advantage of the Digital Delivery System
Digital-based assessment (DBA) allows for measurement of skills
and processes that cannot be accomplished through traditional
paper-and-pencil assessments
Examples
• Allows for simulations, which with captured log data, may
be used to measure processes of mathematical reasoning
• Allows for adaptive testing, which tailors the selection of
items for students
18Adaptive Testing: What is it?
• In traditional large-scale assessments, items are administered
to each student in an intentionally randomized order
• In adaptive testing, items are selected based on each
student’s performance so that he or she gets items within his
or her range of ability
• Relies on a significantly larger item pool
19Elements of the PISA adaptive design
Core Stage1 Stage2
(8 testlets of (16 testlets) (16 testlets)
medium difficulty) 8 High / 8 Low 8 High / 8 Low
• Items – various item types including machine-scored items, human-coded
items
• Testlet – a set of several units, smaller than the cluster; the same unit can
appear in multiple testlets.
20H11 H21
Illustration of 4 possible paths L11 L 21
starting with the “Core1” H12 H22
testlet L 12 L 22
Core 1 H13 H23
Core 2 L 13 L 23
Core 3 H14 H24
Core 4 L 14 L 24
Core 5 H25
H15
Core 6
L 15
Stage
L 25 2
Core 7
Core 8
Stage
H16 1
H26
L 26
L 16
H27
Core stage H17
L 27
L 17
H28
H18
L 28
L 18 21Example of how items match distribution of U.S. students
OECD average
22
SOURCE: Rutkowski, L. (April 2018). Presentation to the National Academy of EducationAdaptive Testing: What does PISA gain?
• Greater fairness
– Fewer students are unnecessarily exposed to a test that is too
difficult for them to complete
• Greater consistency
– The same test can be administered in all countries, overcoming the
need for country-level adaptations
• Better measurement
– Reduced measurement error for high- and low- performing students
23Potential Threats to the Integrity of the Assessment
1. Vulnerable to drifting into a different construct if lower-level
difficulty items are too low level
• Need empirical research to know how much PISA can lower item difficulty
without compromising the construct stability
24Example of how items match distribution of high-level abilities of Finnish students
OECD average
25
SOURCE: Rutkowski, L. (April 2018). Presentation to the National Academy of EducationExample of how items match low-level abilities of students in Dominican Republic
OECD average
26
SOURCE: Rutkowski, L. (April 2018). Presentation to the National Academy of EducationPotential Threats to the Integrity of the Assessment
1. Vulnerable to drifting into a different construct if lower-level
difficulty items are too low level
• Need empirical research to know how much PISA can lower item difficulty
without compromising the construct stability
2. Construct is at risk of being altered if new and enhanced DBA
items greatly outnumber trend items in DBA-format
• Empirical research has shown that too many new DBA-enhanced items added to
the item pool can put trend lines in jeopardy
27Potential Threats to the Integrity of the Assessment
1. Vulnerable to drifting into a different construct if lower-level
difficulty items are too low level
• Need empirical research to know how much PISA can lower item difficulty
without compromising the construct stability
2. Construct is at risk of being altered if new and enhanced DBA
items greatly outnumber trend items in DBA-format
• Empirical research has shown that too many new DBA-enhanced items added to
the item pool can put trend lines in jeopardy
3. Vulnerable to compromising construct validity if DBA items are
scaled with paper and pencil items without equating
• Need empirical research on mode effects and how to scale data together
28Thoughts on the Possibility of Achieving these Goals
• In technologically evolving societies, changes in assessments
are inevitable and necessary to stay relevant.
• Recognizing the constant need for change is an integral part of
good assessment development.
• Building into the system R & D for transitioning to new
approaches (whether methodologies, frameworks, or
modalities) can preserve trend while staying relevant.
29Questions?
Implementing the Proposed Mathematics Framework: Recommendations for PISA 2021 Peggy G. Carr, Ph.D., Vice Chair, PISA Governing Board Associate Commissioner, National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) May 25, 2018
You can also read
