The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population
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The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population 10 CHAPTER Emily R. Kilby Introduction n this demographic examina- How Many U.S. of Agriculture (USDA), the coun- I tion of America’s equine popu- lation, the numbers clearly show upward trends in all things Horses Are There? This most basic question of demo- graphic research is yet to be try’s equine inventory was 3.75 mil- lion in 2002 (USDA 2002). NASS reported 3.15 million horses, ponies, donkeys, and mules in 1997 equestrian over the past fifty years. Will that trajectory continue, answered with satisfactory accu- and, in 1992, 2.12 million. In a sin- adding year after year to the cur- racy for the U.S. equine popula- gle decade, the equine population rent ten million population, or will tion. Horses and other equidae are jumped 1.63 million, or 77 percent, loss of open spaces turn the tide as no longer sufficiently critical at least according to USDA. it limits horse housing and riding to national well-being to warrant The American Veterinary Med- room? Will ownership patterns the close government oversight ical Association (AVMA) put the undergo fundamental changes afforded food-producing animals, 2001 horse population at 5.1 mil- when population density, land nor are they so much a part of the lion (AVMA 2002), a 28 percent costs, and escalating environmen- average American experience as to increase over the 4 million calcu- tal controls eliminate the “back- inspire close scrutiny of their num- lated for 1996, which had repre- yard”-keeping concept and make bers and condition. Instead, avail- sented an 18 percent decrease suburban boarding stables unten- able demographic data for horses from the 4.9 million estimated five a b l e ? Wi l l h o r s e p ro d u c t i o n and their kin have arisen from spe- years before that. expenses rise in the face of land cial interests or within restricted pressures to the point that eques- populations, resulting in seemingly trian involvement, now a highly conflicting figures. Equine The American Horse Council egalitarian pursuit in this coun- Foundation (AHCF), a funding Census Taking try, truly becomes a rich person’s The American horse population is game? entity of the American Horse not nearly so volatile as these con- Horse people started fretting Council, commissioned a study in flicting figures seem to indicate. over these sorts of questions not 2004 using data provided by horse Indeed, vast changes have occurred long after horses stopped being owners for the previous year. The in equine numbers over the past beasts of burden in this country resulting report put the American century, with as many as six million and became mostly recreational horse population at 9.2 million in horses and mules disappearing in partners and companions. So far, 2003, a 33 percent increase over a single decade, but those losses the equine species has flourished the 6.9 million reported ten years were in response to the mechaniza- in its nonutilitarian role, but before (AHCF 2005). tion of farming and transportation there’s no end run around the fact According to the National Agri- (Table 1). (The lack of data from that horses are and always will be cultural Statistics Service (NASS), 1960 to the present is regrettable. large animals in a shrinking natu- an agency of the U.S. Department USDA surveys ceased to be an accu- ral world. 175
• The commerce of horse involve- Table 1 ment was the survey focus. Respondents in the owner U.S. Equine Population During group had to be at least eight- Mechanization of Agriculture een years old and owner or part- and Transportation owner of a horse(s). Data for youth involvement and for non- Year Number of Horses and Mules owning equestrians may be underreported or excluded. 1900 21,531,635 • The survey posed questions in 1905 22,077,000 terms of horses only. No input is explicitly solicited for other 1910 24,042,882 equidae, which include ponies, miniature horses, donkeys/bur- 1915 26,493,000 ros, and mules. It is not uncom- 1920 25,199,552 mon for recreational horse own- ers to maintain a mix of breeds 1925 22,081,520 and types, and if respondents 1930 18,885,856 answered the questions quite literally, the lesser but still sig- 1935 16,676,000 nificant population of ponies 1940 13,931,531 and asses is not included in the 9.2 million figure. Finally, it 1945 11,629,000 appears that owners and pro- 1950 7,604,000 ducers specializing in minia- ture horses might have been 1955 4,309,000 excluded entirely. 1960 3,089,000 • The survey sample was derived from equestrian membership Source: Adapted from Ensminger (1969). lists and business databases. The 18,648 usable owner/indus- try supplier responses from rate assessment because they did American Horse Council which the report data were sub- not take into account recreational The AHC has surveyed the eco- sequently derived (along with horses, and the horse industry has nomic activity associated with different surveys of horse show attempted only occasionally to horses and horse uses ever y and racing management) repre- undertake a national horse popula- decade since the mid-1980s. The sent a valid pool for studying tion assessment in the past thirty- data are collected primarily for economic matters, but the sam- six years.) However, it appears to political purposes. By specifying ple would have excluded owners be fairly safe to conclude that the dollars-and-cents figures for a spe- who maintain horses with little 1950s marked the low point of cialized and relatively small recre- or no organizational contact or American equine numbers, with ational and business entity, the commercial involvement. Horse horses and mules largely phased AHC, a lobbying organization, can population figures and activity out of agricultural production and better influence national and state profiles may have been skewed transportation but not yet filling legislatures in matters affecting by this selection process. significant recreational roles. Since horse breeders, owners, trainers, • The primary response mecha- then, the trend in equine numbers dealers, and recreational, sport- nism was through an Internet has been steadily upward. ing, and business users. The larger website, with a small proportion The surveys’ purposes, designs, the numbers shown, the more of mailed questionnaires for and sampling methodology account impact equestrian interests those without computer access. for the three divergent assessments appear to have. Again, the methodology selected of the American equine population The AHC’s population figures against owners outside main- cited above and most likely for the were shaped by the following stream culture, which would not relatively large shifts reportedly study characteristics, as ex- have much effect on an eco- occurring within short intervals plained in the study’s technical nomic impact study but probably as well. appendix (AHCF 2005): underrepresents “invisible” own- 176 The State of the Animals IV: 2007
ers in providing raw equine pop- son stables would be captured dur- vals and produces a demographics ulation figures. ing the list-building process. sourcebook to aid its members in The AHC report’s very precise The most recent USDA enumera- making business and marketing tally of U.S. horses in 2003— tion lists 3.64 million horses and decisions. The data for these reports 9,222,847—is actually the center ponies and 105,358 mules, burros, come from a statistically representa- point of a statistically determined and donkeys in the “other animal tive sample chosen from an estab- range defining a 95 percent confi- production category,” along with lished panel of U.S. households that dence interval. According to these the likes of bison, goats, rabbits, have agreed to participate in surveys calculations, if the same methodol- and bees. Horse/pony numbers on of this nature (Clancy and Rowan ogy were applied a hundred times, income-producing farms increased 2003). The most recent survey, per- ninety-five of the surveys would by one million between 1992 and formed in 2001, found 1.7 percent produce a U.S. horse population 1997 and by another half-million by of responding households reporting figure somewhere between 2002, a 78 percent increase overall. horse ownership, with an average of 8,869,858 and 9,575,837. Given During the same decade, ass num- 2.9 horses per owning household. the methodology’s exclusion of bers nearly doubled between 1992 Using data of this sort for the vari- certain types of horse owners and and 1997, rising from 67,692 to ous species, the AVMA can offer pop- some equine classes, the actual 123,211, then fell back to 105,358 ulation-estimating formulas for vet- equine population seems likely to in 2002. While the progression in erinarians to use in calculating be at the higher end of the range horse/pony numbers reflects the potential client pools in their com- or possibly exceeding that 9.6 mil- population trend reported by other munities. The AVMA’s equine for- lion (rounded) maximum figure. observers, the rather precipitous mula is therefore: divide the com- rise and retreat of ass numbers in a munity population by 2.69 to get U.S. Department single decade begs the question of the number of households, then of Agriculture a sampling or reporting anomaly in multiply the number of households USDA has kept tabs on agricultural one of the years. by 0.05. The national proportion production through periodic cen- Recognizing the shortcomings of of horses to households was deter- suses, starting in 1840. Every five the purely agricultural enumeration mined by this study. years, NASS attempts to survey all model for gathering equine data, Though it does provide a useful U.S. agricultural producers with a USDA conducted additional surveys business tool, the AVMA’s enumer- shorter form and chooses a sizable following the 1997 census to esti- ation method is too many steps sampling of them for a more detailed mate the number of all equidae in removed from an actual hooves-on- assessment of agricultural practices the country and their sales, not just the-ground count to generate reli- and expenses. For the most recent those on qualifying agricultural able population figures. enumeration, approximately 2.8 mil- establishments. By including • The survey goal was to charac- lion census packets were mailed in equine data estimated from enu- terize ownership patterns, not December 2002, and follow-up con- merations of sixteen thousand ran- perform a true count of pet tacts continued until each county domly selected square-mile areas species in the United States. had at least a 75 percent response across the country and surveys of • The survey focused on compan- rate. Such blanket coverage assures twenty thousand larger farms and ion/recreational owners and a very accurate count of most food- commercial operations, along with may have underrepresented or and fiber-producing units in the the basic findings from the standard excluded horses used for breed- country, but horses and their kin are census, NASS calculated the total ing, work, and competition. special case animals. number of equidae at the start of • The respondent pool was ini- USDA’s equine population figures 1998 to be 5,250,400 and a year tially skewed by the self-selection are significantly limited by the pri- later to be 5,317,400 (USDA 1999). of participants, then narrowed mary criterion for inclusion in the If that 1.3 percent annual increase further by selecting a sample enumeration: censuses are sent to continued until 2003, there would representative of the entire U.S. all agricultural operations that pro- be 5.6 million equidae by this sur- population, not one representa- duce or sell $1,000 or more of agri- vey model, still millions shy of the tive of U.S. horse owners. Horse cultural products annually or would AHC count for that year. ownership is a phenomenon do so in normal years. The large associated with rural areas and block of “backyard” owners who American Veterinary smaller communities whose maintain horses on a few acres or Medical Association populations may not have been nonagricultural “farmettes” would The professional association for U.S. sufficiently represented in the not be surveyed. It is also unclear if veterinarians conducts animal own- AVMA sample for accurate suburban boarding, training, and les- ership surveys at half-decade inter- equine data collection. The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population 177
Applying the AVMA formula to Since passage of the Wild and As of March 2006 the BLM the 2003 U.S. estimated human Free-Roaming Horse and Burro Act (2006) population included: population produces an estimated of 1971 and its implementation in • approximately thirty-two thou- 5,297,938 companion/recreational 1973, the Department of the Inte- sand horses and burros on equidae. Extrapolating an “agricul- rior’s Bureau of Land Management public range lands, exceeding tural” equid population for 2003 (BLM) has been responsible for the optimum total population by increasing USDA’s 2002 count overseeing herds on federal lands in of twenty-eight thousand by another 1.3 percent yields ten Western states (Arizona, Cali- four thousand and 3,798,381. Some overlap probably fornia, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, • twenty-six thousand in short- occurs between the AVMA and the Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, and long-term holding facilities. USDA respondent pools, but sam- and Wyoming). The agency is In fiscal year 2005, ending in Sep- pling procedures and criteria for in- charged with multipurpose manage- tember, 11,023 animals were re- clusion for each are quite distinct, ment of vast federal holdings for moved from the Western ranges. By producing data from two essentially recreation, logging, mining, graz- early 2006, 5,701 of them had been discrete groups of horse keepers. ing, and wildlife management, in adopted out, continuing the stream The total of these two estimated addition to the equine oversight, of 208,000 BLM horses and burros populations is 9,096,319, very close and at the same time sustaining the that have been placed with private to AHC’s count of 9,222,847 for health and productivity of public owners since 1973. The remainder 2003. The AHC’s broader-ranging lands (BLM 2006). left in BLM holding facilities were to sampling method appears to have Wild horse and burro popula- be offered for adoption three times captured both companion/recre- tions are now held to population before being deemed unadoptable ational and production owners limits that will prevent overgrazing and made available for unrestricted for the most accurate and com- or other destruction of their range sale. Until the December 2004 legis- plete numeric snapshot of today’s lands while still leaving adequate lation, unadoptable horses were equid population. herd numbers for a healthy gene kept as government property for the pool. Each management area has remainder of their lives. The BLM’s an upper population limit deter- 2005 budget for the Wild Horse and Wild Horses mined by available resources, and Burro Program was $39.6 million, herds are subject to periodic and Burros culling to maintain optimum pop- with $20.1 million used to maintain gathered animals in short- and long- None of the censuses cited above ulations. Additionally, birth control term holding facilities. The legisla- includes equidae roaming on federal measures are now being applied to tion allowing unrestricted sale was lands or maintained in government wild horses to lower their repro- intended to eliminate the expense of holding facilities. This unowned duction rates and reduce the num- lifetime care for the unadoptables. population originated from domesti- ber of excess animals needing Where it has jurisdiction over cated horses and burros who removal. The BLM (2006) disposes national seashores, the National escaped or were freed onto range of excess horses and burros from Park Service (NPS) either removes lands, starting in the sixteenth cen- federal lands as follows: feral horses there as non-native tury with the first Spanish explorers. • “adopting” them out to pri- species or attempts to maintain The Atlantic barrier islands, from vate citizens with restrictions barrier island horse populations at coastal Maryland down through the to assure adequate care and levels that do not harm the ecologi- Georgia coast, have also harbored prevent their being sold cal balance. On Assateague Island, feral herds since the colonial era. to slaughter; for instance, the NPS now uses con- Even under seemingly harsh condi- • maintaining them in holding traceptive injections to reduce the tions, these feral equidae reproduce facilities until adoption or in Maryland herd’s reproduction rate quite successfully, with modern-day long-range pasturage if they to maintain a population of 150 herds capable of doubling in size are not adopted; and adults (Kirkpatrick 2005). On the every five years, given the absence of • since December 2004 dispos- Virginia portion of Assateague, the natural predators in most of today’s ing of the unadoptable popula- Chincoteague Volunteer Fire Com- ranges (BLM 2006). Until the 1960s tion through unrestricted sale, pany conducts an annual July “pony free-ranging horses and burros were meaning that buyers can deal penning” to cull that herd to the considered wildlife of sorts, fair with the animals as they would same target number (NPS 2003). game for public taking for taming, after a private transaction, Horse herds on barrier islands far- selling for pet food or slaughter, or although challenges were sub- ther down the coast have met with killing to reduce grazing competi- sequently made to this man- a patchwork of population-control tion for domestic stock. agement change. measures as coastal development 178 The State of the Animals IV: 2007
has overrun their ranges, and of critters on hobby farms or as ported by a newspaper writer in awareness of their damage to the work animals on secluded proper- 2004 for the Yakima Indian Reser- fragile barrier-island ecology has ties. Not all horse owners compete, vation alone (Palmer 2004). By grown. Over the years some herds register, join up, subscribe, or shop BLM standards Washington State have been removed entirely from for horsey things and thus reveal has no “wild” horses because they the islands, others have been fenced their whereabouts for enumerators. are not on BLM-managed federal away from the new communities If these “below the radar” animals lands, but the herds kept on the built on their former ranges (with equal just 1 percent of the known vast reservation acreages there and only marginal success), and others equine population of the country, throughout the West and the Plains still are managed by the NPS or pri- that’s another hundred thousand are certainly less clearly defined vate entities to maintain a viable added to the true total. and probably more numerous than presence on their historic ranges Two more definable equine pop- the NASS count suggests. (Hause 2006). If the various target ulations are most likely under- populations have been met and reported because they are legally Amish Horses, maintained, the current horse pop- and/or culturally outside the Mules and Donkeys ulation on barrier islands along the American mainstream. These are canvassed for NASS enu- Atlantic coast appears to number merations, as long as they are on around a thousand, a far cry from Horses on Indian properties that meet the $1,000- the National Geographic Society’s Reservations production standard. While the 1926 estimate of six thousand wild These horses throughout the majority of the Amish in communi- horses roaming the Outer Banks country actually live in sovereign ties now spread across twenty-five just from Currituck to Shackleford lands and thus are not directly states do remain in agricultural (Hause 2006). subject to state or national regu- production to some degree, mem- Government agencies now man- lation or oversight. Many Western bers are increasingly turning to age most unowned horses roaming tribes maintain large numbers of carpentry, manufacturing, and free on public lands. The BLM’s horses for stock work on their other nonfarm work for their liveli- 2005 fiscal year count of wild horses range lands and also because of hoods (Milicia 2004), thus remov- in ten Western states was 27,369; deep cultural and ceremonial sig- ing them from the NASS survey the number of wild burros ranging nificance attached to the species. pool. With church tenants holding in five of those states totaled 4,391 For the 2002 agricultural census, them separate from the “English” (BLM 2005). With the East Coast which did survey reservations, (non-Amish) world, Amish horse barrier horses added in, approxi- NASS performed a special enu- owners may not respond readily to m a t e l y 3 3 , 0 0 0 f r e e - ro a m i n g meration of Native American agricultural censuses and are un- equidae are currently in the United farms/ranches and merged those likely to have any presence at all in States. Another 27,000 are living as results with full reservation data other forms of polling. wards of the state, so to speak, in to produce “Appendix B,” detail- In lieu of reliable enumeration, holding facilities, for a total feral/ ing the agricultural characteris- the current number of Amish once-feral population of 60,000. tics of American Indian and horses and mules can be esti- Eskimo farm operations. mated by applying the horse-to- According to NASS, Native Amer- human ratio that existed in premo- “Invisible” icans on 12,174 properties produc- torized America. In 1910, two ing $1,000 or more in agricultural years after the first Model T rolled Populations goods owned 115,464 horses in onto the roads, there were As large as horses are, they do go 2002 (USDA 2002). Yet because 24,042,882 horses/mules and undetected by government and reservation horses are often han- 92,228,496 people for a 1:3.8 association enumerators alike. An dled as communal property rather ratio. Today’s Amish population, untold number of equidae live as than individually owned and be- 70 percent of which lives in Ohio, pets or pensioners in places, such cause large herds on Plains and Pennsylvania, and Indiana, is esti- as semisuburban smallholdings, Western reservations are often mated to number around 180,000 not normally associated with live- managed as range animals, that and is rapidly growing (Milicia stock keeping, and many urban enumeration may be very approxi- 2004). If this statistical time travel centers have an equestrian pres- mate. For instance, the NASS count has validity, there are at least ence, such as police horses, riding given for horses on Indian-operated 47,000 Amish horses and mules in stables, and carriage operators, ranches in Washington State in the United States. that exists outside the norm. Other 2002 was 4,018, yet that statewide equidae “hide” amid a menagerie figure is less than the 5,000 re- The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population 179
How Many U.S. in age between five and twenty. The random animal’s breeding, usually which they could make mating deci- sions that would improve their ani- Horses Are There? discernible to experienced horse- mals’ production and performance. Although current equine enumera- people by its physical characteris- Today DNA testing is required by tions can be faulted for limitations tics, or conformation, would most the more rigorous organizations to in their focus, methodology, and likely be quarter horse, the coun- assure authenticity of parentage. results, their data, considered try’s preponderant type by all meas- The Thoroughbred studbook (The cumulatively, point to the accuracy ures. The second most likely en- Jockey Club), started in England in of the American Horse Council esti- counter would be with a somewhat the early seventeenth century, is the mate. Projecting the AHCF horse more streamlined-looking horse in oldest and most carefully main- population figure for 2003 two a “plain brown wrapper”—a sixteen- tained of any, closely guarding the years into the future (1.3 percent hand bay or dark brown Thorough- bloodlines and racing data of the growth in ’04 and ’05 = 9,464,200), bred type, with perhaps a touch of breed. Other studbooks are “open,” and adding overlooked ponies and white on face and foot. meaning that occasional outcross- asses (200,000), the country’s feral But in the United States, diversity ing is allowed with a few other spec- equidae (60,000) and the “invisi- rules the equine as well as the hu- ified breeds. The quarter horse stud- ble” populations (200,000) produce man population, so that random book, for instance, has permitted a figure of 9,924,000 for the 2006 sighting might instead be of a four- matings with Thoroughbreds, among U.S. equine population. foot-tall critter with a white and others, particularly in producing brown coat, very long ears, a bray, racing stock. Crossbred registries The Future not a neigh, and registration papers either specify one type of mating With institution of a National Ani- from an organization called the pattern (for instance, Andalusian + mal Identification System by 2010, American Council of Spotted Asses. quarter horse = Azteca horse, a reg- all uncertainty should be removed Or the sighting could be of a large, istrable “breed”) or register any from the equine-counting business. high-headed black horse with feath- type of offspring from the specified In the planning stages as of 2006, ery legs and flowing mane hitched purebred parent (for example, the this USDA initiative will permit to a cart: a Friesian, one of many im- half-Arabian registry). tracking of all U.S. livestock from ported sorts increasingly brought In addition to or in lieu of re- first breath to last for the sake of dis- into the country by horsepeople cording by bloodline, breeds are ease control and bioterrorism pro- seeking something more exotic now defined by other parameters. tection. Each animal will be identi- than the prevailing breeds for activ- Almost a quarter of the registries fied through a standard coding ities outside the norm. The United listed in the AHC directory accept system indicating place of origin, States unquestionably has the most horses on the basis of physical appear- along with an individual identifier. variegated collection of equidae on ance, usually coloration, such as Microchipping is the likely technol- earth. The American Horse Coun- palomino and buckskin, or marking ogy that will be applied to equidae, cil’s Horse Industry Directory listed patterns, such as Appaloosas and reporting all horses, ponies, and 106 registries for horses, ponies, or pintos, but there’s even a registry asses to a single database where asses (AHC 2003). Some are multi- for curly-coated horses. Pony and population figures will be actual ples drawing registrations from the miniature registries restrict entry hooves-on-the-ground numbers, not same pool of animals, but an equal by height as well as parentage. statistical extrapolations. number of smaller organizations Gaited horses who move in a vari- probably missed out on inclusion in ety of less common footfall patterns, What Does the U.S. the directory. with names like walker, paso, sin- Equine Population glefooter, mangalarga, and foxtrot- Look Like? ter, belong to a subset of registries In a random encounter with a mem- Breed Registries that have increased in popularity ber of the equine species in the Of the hundred or so U.S. registries, along with recreational horse use United States, this is the most likely most record bloodlines to maintain because they produce a bounce- sighting throughout much of the a “pure” genetic pool by requiring free ride. Sports and activities, such country: a riding horse, standing that newly registered animals be the as flat and harness racing and per- about fifteen hands (sixty inches offspring of two parents who are formance/sport horses bred for measured at the shoulders), either already in the studbook. The origi- eventing and jumping, are the female (a mare) or neutered male nal purpose of recording livestock organizing principle for some of (a gelding)—but certainly not a bloodlines and maintaining them the oldest and some of the newest stallion—probably sorrel, tending generation after generation was to registries. Finally, historically sig- toward a stocky build and ranging give breeders information with nificant and geographically distinc- 180 The State of the Animals IV: 2007
tive horses get their own associa- services and show-ring results than profiling the national equine popu- tions, including Spanish mustangs, with actual breed improvement. lation. Viewing registration trends Icelandic horses, and a recreated over time provides insights into the medieval charger going under the waxing and waning of particular name Spanish-Norman horse. In Registry Tallies horse types and equestrian inter- the modern proliferation of equine Tracking the tallies of annual regis- ests. In both 2006 and throughout registries, record-keeping more trations entered into the nine the past decades, American Quar- often has to do with membership major U.S. registries is one way of ter Horse Association (AQHA) reg- Table 2 Annual New Registrations for the Nine Largest U.S. Horse Breed Registries Tennessee Quarter Thorough- Standard- Walking Saddle- Year Horse Paint bred Arabian Appaloosa bred Horse bred Morgan 1977 94,445 5,565 27,551 18,797 19,316 13,929 6,212 3,855 3,700 1983 168,346 14,626 43,787 18,391 22,184 20,298 7,561 2,787 5,317 1985 157,360 12,692 46,635 30,004 16,189 18,384 7,812 4,351 4,538 1988 128,352 14,929 45,256 24,578 12,317 17,393 8,400 3,811 3,526 1989 NA 14,930 44,250 21,723 10,746 16,896 8,850 3,708 3,732 1990* 115,000 15,000 40,333 13,000 10,000 15,000 8,000 3,700 3,400 1991 101,390 18,648 38,149 12,993 9,902 13,617 8,092 3,570 3,392 1992 102,843 22,396 35,050 12,544 10 033 13,029 8,123 3,048 2,408 1993 104,876 24,220 33,820 12,349 9,079 12,086 7,510 3,353 3,120 1994 106,017 27,549 32,117 12,962 10,104 12,204 7,856 3,192 3,038 1995 107,332 34,846 31,882 12,398 10,903 10,918 9,450 2,300 3,063 1996 108,604 41,491 32,242 11,645 10,067 11,589 10,991 2,142 3,053 1997 110,714 50,440 32,115 11,594 11,030 11,336 12,256 3,213 3,415 1998 125,308 55,356 32,944 11,320 9,100 10,881 13,250 2,952 3,100 1999 135,528 62,186 33,838 11,501 10,099 11,183 13,375 2,705 3,220 2000 145,936 62,511 34,719 9,660 10,906 11,281 14,387 2,908 3,654 2001 150,956 56,869 34,705 9,266 9,322 11,261 14,479 3,050 3,475 2002 156,199 60,000 32,941 9,394 9,092 11,699 14,865 2,931 3,976 2003 160,980 51,000 33,671 9,400 9,200 11,050 14,978 2,578 2,938 2004** 162,590 52,000 34,070 9,000 9,200 11,500 15,000 3,200 3,500 2005** 165,000 44,000 34,070 8,000 7,000 11,000 13,500 3,000 3,400 *Approximate, except for Thoroughbred. **Registry estimates. Sources: Thoroughbred registrations for the U.S. only: The Jockey Club (2006); other breeds, years 1992–2001: AHC (2003); remaining years: EQUUS (1989, 1990, 1991, 1994, 1995, 1997, 1999, 2000, 2004). The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population 181
istrations exceeded all others by study, supported largely by the ment, conducted in 1998 for the tens of thousands (Tables 2 and 3). Thoroughbred and quarter horse USDA’s National Animal Health Mon- The American Paint Horse Associ- associations, characterized the itoring System (NAHMS) (USDA ation (APHA), formed in 1965 to makeup of the 2003 U.S. horse pop- 1998). However, the 1998 sample of register quarter horse types with ulation using only three broad pro- owners, selected from twenty-eight more white coat markings than are files: Thoroughbred, quarter horse, states accounting for 78 percent of permitted for AQHA registration, is and “other,” which included other the national equine population enu- now the second-largest breed reg- registered and nonregistered merated by NASS for 1992, reported istry. During the past fifteen years, horses. The survey respondents an even greater concentration of registered quarter horses and paints reported ownership for 2003 in the quarter horses—40 percent—than combined made up almost three- following proportions (AHC 2005): the more recent AHC study. The quarters of all registrations in that • Thoroughbred—14 percent, NAHMS survey included all equidae nine-breed cohort. It is safe to say or 1,291,807 found on U.S. properties and de- that the multipurpose, American- • Quarter horse—35.6 percent, tailed the “other horses” that were made breed derived from bloodlines or 3,288,302 lumped together in the AHC study. that excelled in sprint racing during • Other horses—50.3 percent, Table 4 shows the NAHMS-deter- colonial days (hence the “quarter or 4,642,739 mined composition of the U.S. mile” designation), then seasoned Identical 50–50 proportions for equine population by type and breed as stock horses on the Western the combined Thoroughbred-quarter as percentages of the total and as ranges represents the preferred horse cohort and the other-horse current head counts, based on a using type for today’s American group were also found by the only 2005 population of ten million. owner. Quarter horses are just what scientific survey yet done of the U.S. Comparison of Tables 3 and 4 the recreational market wants: horse population and its manage- shows little agreement between medium in size, comparatively easy- going and low maintenance, and capable of performing a variety of Table 3 activities, particularly as the registry Fifteen-Year Total Registrations for has allowed outcrossing to create the more streamlined physiques Nine Major U.S. Registries, 1991–2005 favored in the “English” disciplines (an equestrian style based on a flat Association Percentage of Registry Total Nine-Breed Total saddle that includes hunters, jumpers, dressage, and polo, and American Quarter “saddleseat” style riding) to the Horse Association 2,844,273 59.6 original, stockier cattle-horse type. American Paint Horse Association 663,512 13.9 Breed Numbers The Jockey Club (Thoroughbreds) 506,333 10.6 Quarter horse/paint dominance is indisputable, but the diverse U.S. U.S. Trotting Association equine population cannot be char- (Standardbreds) 174,634 3.7 acterized by registration numbers Tenn. Walking Horse Breeders’ alone. Despite the opportunities to and Exhibitors’ Association 178,112 3.7 “paper” just about any variety of equid, a portion of the population— Arabian Horse Registry of America 164,026 3.4 probably a significant one—was never registered, or its registrations Appaloosa Horse Club 145,037 3.0 have gotten lost with changes of American Morgan ownership. Membership and regis- Horse Association 48,752 1.0 tration fees are expensive, and the majority of Americans are involved American Saddlebred in horse activities that don’t require Horse Association 44,142 0.9 registry/association affiliation, thus Total 4,768,821 papers are not a compelling need throughout the horse-owning popu- Source: Calculations from Table 2. lation. The AHC economic impact 182 The State of the Animals IV: 2007
the population percentages in the attempt to keep an exact count of face value, the breed populations two lists, but they diverge most each year’s new entries; the produced by NAHMS percentages strikingly for quarter horses and NAHMS percentages derived from and the two breed counts specified paints. The NAHMS quarter horse a sample consisting of fewer than in the AHC study cannot be recon- percentage derived from owner three thousand respondents taken ciled with reality. Even if every sin- data was 20 percentage points from little more than half the gle quarter horse and Thorough- lower than the registry’s share of states. Yet a more significant rea- bred registered in the past fifteen the nine-breed total; for paints the son for the differences is probably years were alive today, there would farm count was 5.4 percent, while timing. Since the 1998 survey was still have to be an additional the registry proportion equaled conducted, AQHA and APHA have 643,577 surviving older registered 13.4. Only the Standardbred was experienced strong growth, while quarter horses and another close to the same percentage on most of the remaining registries 394,327 aged Thoroughbreds to both lists, while the remaining have nudged upward very little, fulfill the NAHMS percentage allot- specified breeds were a little to a remained steady, or declined. ments. The overages are flipped lot higher on the farm than the The three windows onto U.S. using AHC calculations: 444,000 registry numbers would indicate. breed numbers seem impossibly for quarter horses and 785,400 for One explanation for this dispar- contradictory when actual popula- Thoroughbreds. All of the other ity is the methodologies. Registries tion figures are compared. Taken at breed counts derived from NAHMS percentages exceed the cumulative registry figures as well. Table 4 Horses do not really have to be U.S. Breed Distribution Using immortal to make these numbers work. The more realistic explana- Percentages Determined by tion for the breed population infla- USDA/National Animal Health tion reflected in survey results is Monitoring System, 1998* recreational horse owners’ disre- gard for the formal papering process. When questioned, as they Percentage Approximate Type/Breed of Population Population were on both surveys, about how many of each breed they own, they Donkeys/burros 2.7 270,000 usually respond with the animals’ Mules 2.0 200,000 known or suspected origins, not strictly with their registration sta- Miniature horses 1.6 160,000 tus. Given this tendency to report by type, not registry affiliation, the Ponies 5.4 540,000 U.S. horse population probably has Horses 88.3 8,830,000 a much greater proportion of unregistered horses than the 9 per- Quarter horse 39.5 3,487,850 cent designated “other, not regis- Thoroughbred 10.2 900,600 tered” in the NAHMS results. That particular group probably includes Other, registered 9.1 803,530 primarily horses, often called Other, not registered 9.0 794,700 “grade,” who are of unknown ori- gin and no discernible type. All Arabian 7.8 688,740 others are probably enumerated in Appaloosa 5.9 520,970 whatever standard breed category they most closely resemble. Paint 5.4 476,820 Draft 4.8 423,840 Special Populations The NAHMS study was uncom- Tenn. Walking Horse 4.8 423,840 monly inclusive and provides a use- ful glimpse of less visible equidae Standardbred 3.5 309,050 found on U.S. equestrian proper- *Based on a current total equine population of ten million. ties. The nonhorse group, includ- ing ponies, miniature horses, and Source: USDA (1998) asses, represented little over 10 The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population 183
percent of the equine population Unless the retired Standardbred is only 13.8 percent under age five, on the surveyed properties in used for breeding—not an option compared to the 33.2 percent of 1998. Miniature horses, which con- for geldings—he or she must be con- the total sample and an exception- stituted the smallest fraction at verted to pleasure or carriage use or ally high percentage—81.7—in the 1.6 percent, are clearly the growth disposed of. As riding animals, five-to-twenty group and only 4.3 group in this niche. Between 1992 retired Thoroughbred runners percent over age twenty. Miniature and 2001, the American Miniature may have more opportunities horses and donkeys were well out- Horse Association recorded 83,361 for second careers as performers in side the age norms in the opposite new registrations, with the trajec- other sports or as recreational ani- direction (though the small sample tory being upward throughout the mals, but temperamentally they sizes leave room for larger standard decade (AHC 2003). Even though are not always suitable for pleasure errors): nearly half of each group they were the smallest population mounts. was in the eighteen-month to five- recorded by NAHMS in 1998, The NAHMS survey excluded race- year group, and they exceeded the annual registrations of these pet track populations from its analysis norms for the two younger groups equidae now exceed those for Ara- of age patterns in 1998. At that time as well; their percentages in the bians, Appaloosas, saddlebreds, the survey group fell into the follow- over-20 group were markedly less and Morgans. ing age ranges (USDA 1998): than the norm (2.7 for minis; 0.9 • 58.8 percent were five to for donkeys). Age Characteristics twenty years of age, the Today’s equine age profile no Equidae are quite long-lived com- horse’s average working life; doubt follows the same basic bell pared to livestock and small-pet • 23 percent were eighteen curve, but the percentages are likely species. They commonly live into months to five years, the to have undergone some adjust- their twenties, even into their forties maturing and training period; ments. Except for quarter horses and beyond. According to the Guin- • 8.9 percent were six to eight- and paints, production in the larger ness Book of World Records, the old- een months, horse adoles- American breeds has been pretty est documented horse was sixty-two, cence, so to speak; flat or in decline for the past decade the oldest pony, fifty-five (Equine • 7.8 percent were twenty or or longer. That would indicate an World Records 2006). Health-care overall aging of the population. Yet more years old, generally re- the loss of business in established advances and ownership attitudes tirement time; breeds may simply mean that Amer- have combined to extend the aver- • 1.3 percent were under six ican tastes/interests have splintered age life span of recreational/com- months, the period foals are off in many new directions, where panion equidae. In a 2000 special normally at their mothers’ smaller breeds registering a few report on the aged equine popula- side; and hundred horses annually and impor- tion, EQUUS magazine reported • 0.5 percent were of unknown age. tation of “exotics” from other coun- that, according to their registries, When applied to a current tries are taking up the production 52 percent of Arabians and 57 per- equine population of ten million, slack. Another possibility in the cent of Morgans were over fifteen these percentages would produce slowing of established registries is years of age, compared to 30 per- the following age profile: an increase in “backyard” cross- cent of quarter horses, 25 percent of • 8,180,000 of training and breeding. Pleasure owners have a saddlebreds, and 15 percent of paint using age; propensity to grow one or two of horses and Standardbreds (EQUUS • 1,020,000 under using age; and their own from a favorite companion 2000). In general, breeds register- • 780,000 over age twenty and mare. The motive usually has more ing an increasing number of animals likely in retirement. to do with sentiment than produc- in the last five to ten years would The different equid types in the ing to a breed standard, and regis- have a younger population than 1998 sample had some quite dis- trations would not be sought across would those with declining registra- tinctive age patterns. Horses, mak- the board. tions in the most recent decade. ing up nearly 90 percent of the sam- The Standardbred youthfulness ple, were right on the norm in all does not reflect recent breed growth, age groups. Ponies were the most aged, with twice the percentage The Future however. Instead, it is the conse- As of mid-2006, NAHMS was in the quence of the relatively short pro- (15.2) of over-twenties and half the process of preparing to publish a ductive life of racehorses. Standard- percentage (0.6) of sucklings in 2005 version of its horse manage- breds tend to race longer than their numbers, though they were ment and health survey. It will be Thoroughbreds, but even then a trot- close to the average in the five-to- interesting to see how the current ter or pacer still competing at age twenty age group. Mules also lacked from-the-farm population profiles twelve is considered an old-timer. an up-and-coming population, with differ from the 1998 findings in 184 The State of the Animals IV: 2007
light of changing production pat- The NAHMS study, another Someone driving through Mary- terns of registered stock during USDA effort but concerned not land would be twice as likely to the intervening years, shifts in so much with enumeration as encounter horses as would some- minor populations, particularly of with sur veying horse manage- one traveling through Kentucky, miniature horses, and the aging— ment practices for health-monitor- and New Jersey and Connecticut or not—of U.S. equidae. ing purposes, reported 1998 pop- residents live with readier geo- ulation patterns by region graphical access to horses than do (USDA 1998): residents of Texas and California. Where Do U.S. • Ten southern states, including The human-to-horse ratio defines Horses Live? Texas, Florida, Oklahoma, and Kentucky, accounted for the states’ horsiness in yet another way. The ten locales with the Ranking states by the numbers of 40 percent of the surveyed fewest number of people for every horses residing within their bound- equine population. horse are aries is the usual way of examining • Seven Western states, includ- 1. Wyoming 5.1 people equine population patterns and ing California and Colorado, per horse their significance. Both the AHC’s accounted for 26 percent. 2. South Dakota 6.4 national economic impact study • Seven North-Central states, 3. Montana 7.1 and numerous state-generated eco- including Missouri, accounted 4. Idaho 8.8 nomic valuations use raw horse for 20 percent. 5. North Dakota 10.7 numbers as primary data on which • Four Northeastern states, includ- 6. Oklahoma 10.8 all other calculations are based. It ing Ohio and Pennsylvania, 7. Nebraska 11.6 makes sense that the more horses accounted for 13 percent. 8. New Mexico 12.9 who are maintained within a state, Any useful assessment of loca- 8. Kentucky 12.9 the more economic activity will tion’s effects on the lives horses 9. Iowa 14.8 take place around them. Reckoned lead has to take into account more Residents in these ten states are by head count only (AHCF 2005), than raw population numbers. The far more likely to have direct con- the top ten horsiest places in the very largest states in terms of land tact with horses than are people in country are area are going to hold more horses more populous areas. Kentucky is 1. Texas 978,822 horses than the medium to small states, the anomaly in the listing for not 2. California 698,345 but are horses also a large pres- being a wide-open-spaces Plains 3. Florida 500,124 ence to the human population in or Western state. Human-to-horse 4. Oklahoma 326,134 the very large state and of little ratio is better proof than the head 5. Kentucky 320,173 significance in the small state? count alone that a state is truly a 6. Ohio 306,898 The state tallies by themselves horsey area. In all the other low- 7. Missouri 281,255 don’t say. A more meaningful ratio states, both the human and 8. North Carolina 256,269 approach is to add two more fac- equine populations are sparse. 9. Pennsylvania 255,763 tors to the analysis: how many Even then, the two species knock- 10. Colorado 255,503 horses and how many people are ing around in an expansive land The USDA’s equine-specific census o n h o w m u c h l a n d ? Vi e w e d area have closer associations than of 1998 and 1999 arrived at a rather through this multifocal lens, the do tiny Rhode Island’s 308 people different state ranking based on its U.S. horse population looks quite for every one horse. population estimates (USDA 1999). different (Table 5). New England, home of less than None of the state figures below is in The top ten horsiest states in 2 percent of the national horse any way comparable to the AHC’s terms of number of horses per population is, far and away, the numbers (see the earlier discussion square mile of land area are least horsey area in the forty-eight concerning methodologies): 1. Maryland 15.6 per square contiguous states. Expanding the 1. Texas 600,000 mile of land region to coincide with the U.S. 2. California 240,000 2. New Jersey 11.2 Census Bureau’s Northeast designa- 3. Tennessee 190,000 3. Connecticut 10.7 tion by including much horsier New 4. Florida 170,000 4. Florida 9.3 York and Pennsylvania and the little- 4. Pennsylvania 170,000 5. Kentucky 8.0 bit-horsier New Jersey improves the 4. Oklahoma 170,000 6. Ohio 7.5 horse presence to 8 percent of the 5. Ohio 160,000 7. Virginia 6.0 national total. At the same time, 6. Minnesota 155,000 8. Indiana 5.7 this region contains 19 percent of 6. New York 155,000 8. Pennsylvania 5.7 the human population (USCB 6. Washington 155,000 9. North Carolina 5.3 2000) and includes the nation’s The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population 185
four most densely populated states: Table 5 New Jersey, at 1,134.4 people per square mile; Rhode Island with State Horse Population Characteristics 1,003.2; Massachusetts with 809.8; Horse Horses/ Number of People/ and Connecticut with 702.9. New Population* Square Mile Horse*** York is sixth and Pennsylvania tenth United States 9,222,847 2.7** 31.8 Northeast in population density. The conclu- Maine 37,854 1.2 34.8 sion seems unavoidable: a reverse Massachusetts 37,529 4.8 171.0 correlation exists between an area’s Rhode Island 3,509 3.4 308.0 human population density and its Vermont 24,540 2.7 25.3 equine population density. The New Hampshire 14,681 1.6 88.5 Connecticut 51,968 10.7 67.4 cause, too, seems obvious: more New York 201,906 4.3 95.2 human inhabitants per square mile New Jersey 82,982 11.2 104.8 mean less physical space for keep- Pennsylvania 255,763 5.7 48.5 ing large animals and for the Southern Region Delaware 11,083 5.7 74.9 services, such as hay production, Maryland 152,930 15.6 36.3 needed to sustain them. In addition, West Virginia 89,880 3.7 20.2 higher population density translates Virginia 239,102 6.0 31.2 to higher living costs, making horse North Carolina 256,269 5.3 33.3 hobbies less affordable. South Carolina 94,773 3.1 44.3 Georgia 179,512 3.1 49.2 As general principles, those con- Florida 500,124 9.3 34.8 clusions are true, but reality does Kentucky 320,173 8.0 12.9 not fall tidily into the either-peo- Tennessee 206,668 5.0 28.6 ple-or-horses dichotomy. Maine, for Alabama 148,152 2.9 30.6 instance, has the largest land area Mississippi 113,063 2.4 25.7 Louisiana 164,305 3.8 27.5 of all the New England states and Texas 978,822 3.7 23.0 is, in fact, almost the same size as Arkansas 168,014 3.2 16.4 South Carolina, with less than a Oklahoma 326,134 4.7 10.8 third of that state’s population. Midwest Region Ohio 306,898 7.5 37.3 Even with plenty of room for lots of Michigan 234,477 4.1 43.1 horses, this northernmost state Indiana 202,986 5.7 30.7 has only 1.2 horses per square mile Illinois 192,524 3.5 66.0 and just one for every 35 people, Wisconsin 178,636 3.3 30.8 a lower than middling placement Minnesota 182,229 2.3 28.0 Missouri 281,255 4.1 20.5 in the national ratio rankings. North Dakota 59,391 0.9 10.7 New Hampshire also has the physi- South Dakota 120,878 1.6 6.4 cal space for horses, but its per- Iowa 199,220 3.6 14.8 square-mile horse population is Nebraska 150,891 2.0 11.6 Kansas 178,651 2.2 15.3 almost as low as Maine’s, and the Western Region human-horse ratio, at 88.5:1, is New Mexico 147,181 1.2 12.9 one of the country’s highest. Yet Arizona 177,124 1.6 32.4 neighboring Vermont, sharing Nevada 51,619 0.5 42.1 many of New Hampshire’s charac- Colorado 255,503 2.5 18.0 Utah 120,183 1.5 19.9 teristics except for its spillover Idaho 158,458 1.9 8.8 population from Boston, is a much Montana 129,997 0.9 7.1 horsier place, still below the Wyoming 99,257 1.0 5.1 national average with only 2.7 California 698,345 4.5 51.4 horses per square mile but with Oregon 167,928 1.7 21.4 Washington 249,964 3.8 24.8 a better human-horse ratio. The Alaska 11,449 0.0**** 57.2 small state of Connecticut and very Hawaii 8,037 1.3 157.0 small state of New Jersey break the many humans/fewer horses *AHCF (2005). **Land area for forty-eight contiguous states. rule in the opposite direction ***USCB (2004). by fitting proportionately large ****Fewer than 0.1 percent horse populations into very subur- banized landscapes. 186 The State of the Animals IV: 2007
Culture greatest concentration of the U.S. equine population—41 percent—is • Quarter horses were the domi- nant breed everywhere except and Climate in the Southern region (AHCF the Northeast, where they rep- Physical space in a state or region 2005), where only 36 percent of resented 24 percent of the is a major equine population deter- the U.S. population lives (USCB population, 16 percent less miner, but human demand decides 2000). In twelve of the sixteen than the norm. If the survey the density rate. Maine, with its Southern states, the median house- had not included Ohio in this smallholdings of poor agricultural hold income in 1999 was a little— region, the proportion would land and New England rectitude, or a lot—lower than the national have been even less. has a comparatively short history median (USCB 2000). Along with • Draft breeds made up only 1 with horses as work animals and as its warmth, the Southern region is and 2 percent of the popula- recreational presences. Its climate historically horse country from its tions in the Southern and does not invite year-round horse long and, in some areas, continuing Western regions, respectively, enjoyment or make horse keeping dependence on live horsepower in but accounted for 11 percent an easy, inexpensive venture. Main- agricultural and ranch work and its in the Northeast and 12 per- ers would apparently rather be sail- horse-sport-and-socializing legacy. cent in the Central region. ing or snowshoeing than horseback The eleven Pacific Coast and • Standardbreds had a negligible riding. Vermont’s distinction as the Mountain states in the Western presence in the West (0.9 per- birthplace of the Morgan breed and region and the twelve states in the cent) and the South (2.1 per- continued home of its registr y Midwest region (as defined by cent), but approached 10 per- probably contributes to that state’s USCB, not by the NAHMS study) are cent in the Northeast and 6 greater equestrian involvement. closely matched in horse numbers, percent in the Central region. Marylanders have no demographic with 25 and 26 percent, respectively, The inclusion of Ohio as a North- reasons for their higher-than-aver- as well as human population, with eastern state has distorted the age horse interest. They live in the 22 and 23 percent, respectively. In results, as the Standardbred reg- most densely populated state out- the northern tier of states, weather istry is located in Columbus, and side the Northeast, ranking fifth in may put a damper on horse enjoy- the breed has more of a follow- the country, with 541.9 people per ment, but both regions offer bound- ing in the Midwest. square mile. With less than a third less space for equestrian activities, • Thoroughbreds comprised the land area of Maine, Maryland and horses have always been an more of the Southern horse has four times its horse population essential element in Western and population than elsewhere and the nation’s highest horse den- Midwestern work and culture. In the (14.2 percent) and had the sity. The small state’s more congen- states in these two regions with the smallest presence in the Cen- ial climate and better soil are fac- lowest human-horse ratios, the tral states (4.3 percent). tors, but its historical associations median household incomes in 1999 • As could be expected, Ten- with horse sports back to the colo- were also below the national average nessee Walking Horses were nial era have encouraged commer- (USCB 2000). As long as an area has found in greatest concentration cial horse production and profes- lots of open space, horses are not in the Southern region (8.2 per- sional operations, and well-paid the luxury items that they are often cent of the population there), workers in two major metropolitan perceived to be. In fact, a state’s but their second strongest areas have the disposable income median income appears to be a poor showing was in the Northeast, to spend on horse enjoyment. predictor of horsiness, given the fact accounting for 4.3 percent of A warm climate apparently has that New Jersey, Connecticut, Mass- that area’s population. greater appeal to horse owners achusetts, and New Hampshire had • Arabians made up about 10 overall than do large incomes. among the highest median house- percent of the horse popula- Horses themselves adapt quite well hold incomes in the country in 1999 tion in the Northeast, Western, to cold climates and are probably (USCB 2000) and only a small frac- and Central regions, but only healthier in the north, where tion of its horses. 4.5 percent in the South. there’s less opportunity for biting • Appaloosas were consistent insects to spread several serious throughout, ranging from 5 equine diseases and where heat- Breeds by Region to 7 percent. associated conditions, infections, Regional breed differences re- • Paints had their greatest concen- and skin disorders are less com- ported in the NAHMS study (USDA tration in the Northeast, at 8.8 mon. But horses cluster where peo- 1998) reflect the use patterns and percent, while they accounted ple want to use/enjoy them, prima- equestrian preferences character- for around 5 percent of the rest rily in outdoor activities, and the istic of each area: of the regions. The Demographics of the U.S. Equine Population 187
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