THE BROWN REVIEW - IMPLICATIONS FOR RAIL CIOS AND FRANCHISE BID LEADS
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THE BROWN REVIEW – IMPLICATIONS FOR RAIL CIOS AND FRANCHISE BID LEADS Transportation Perspective In October 2012, following the cancellation of the award of the InterCity INCUMBENT West Coast rail franchise to FirstGroup by the United Kingdom’s FRANCHISEES WHO Department for Transport, the Transport Secretary commissioned Richard Brown, Chair of Eurostar International Limited, to conduct an independent ARE CLOSE TO THE END review of the implications of this failure for the future of the UK rail OF THEIR FRANCHISE franchising model. The Brown Review of the Rail Franchising Program, CONTRACTS NEED submitted in December 2012, concluded that the franchising model was the CLARITY ON THEIR correct approach but provided specific advice on improvements, including REMAINING TERM recommendations that will change the way technology supports bidding TO UNDERSTAND for, and running, rail franchises. WHAT, IF ANY, In the wake of the cancellation of the West Coast franchise award, the INVESTMENTS WOULD government announced that Virgin Trains will continue to run the InterCity BE APPROPRIATE. West Coast service until 9 November 2014. On 31 January 2013, the government announced plans to resume two other bidding competitions – for the Essex Thameside and Thameslink/Great Northern/Southern franchises – and cancel the Great Western bid.
In the wake of the cancellation of the West Coast franchise award, the government announced that Virgin Trains will continue to run the InterCity West Coast service until 9 November 2014. On 31 January 2013, the government announced plans to resume two other bidding competitions – for the Essex Thameside and Thameslink/Great Northern/Southern franchises – and cancel the Great Western bid. With the announcement of the restart of the franchise program, train operating companies (TOCs) and transport owning groups await final decisions on which Brown recommendations will be adopted and how those new guidelines will affect the nature of future franchise competitions. The next key milestone will be the release of the timetable for future franchise competitions – expected from the DfT in Spring 2013, which will provide much needed clarity for bidders. KEY CONCLUSIONS AND INSIGHTS FOR RAIL CIOS AND FRANCHISEBID LEADS: Our transportation consultants have analysed the Brown Review for those recommendations that touch on technology – either as a support component to the bidding competition or in current rail franchise operations. Below are the findings we believe are of the greatest relevance for Technology and Franchise Bid leaders within TOCs and Transport Owning Groups. 1 FINDING #1: The present rail franchising system is not broken and should be restarted as soon as possible. Implications: Incumbent franchisees who are close to the end of their franchise contracts need clarity on their remaining term to understand what, if any, investments would be appropriate. Bidders should be planning how and when they restart their bid process, and with several competitions beginning in close succession, there will probably will be strong demand for experienced, high quality bid team members. 2 FINDING #2: Before resuming competition, the DfT must strengthen its organisation by bringing in a number of senior,commercially experienced people to manage the process. Implications: Recruiting senior, commercially experienced experts will mean a greater understanding of, and appetite for, technology-enabled change within the DfT. In an industry that is increasingly reliant on 2 North Highland Transportation Perspective
technology, bidders can be more comfortable explaining their technology strategy, innovation approach and complex technology-enabled solutions and be confident that the DfT will understand what makes their bid truly innovative. 3 FINDING #3: The opportunity to devolve some franchise management and decisions to local bodies. Implications: Devolution of the specification and management of franchises to local authorities (or, more likely, Passenger Transport COPING WITH Executives (PTEs)) closest to their communities may improve the ability ACCELERATED of operators to meet local customer needs. However, situations involving CHANGES IN competing solutions may arise when local authorities /PTEs and operators TECHNOLOGY, express preferences for specific solutions. For instance, where a PTE runs CONSUMER a regional smart card scheme and a franchise owning group has invested in EXPECTATIONS AND its own, branded solution with commercial benefits to utilizing this solution across the group. Devolving these decisions to the local level could risk REVENUE MODELS further fragmentation of approach, unless there is an overarching industry REQUIRES NEW agreement on basic principles such as settlement and management of INTERNAL FUNCTIONS, customer data. Also, issues may arise where local authorities/PTEs PROCESSES, AND wish to implement local, or regional, fare options (such as a zonal fare SKILLSETS. structure), which conflicts with national or inter-regional schemes. 4 FINDING #4: The ability to maintain and improve levels of customer service should be given more weight during bid evaluation, and bids should be explicitly scored on their proposals for improving service quality for passengers. Implications: Until now, price has been the only significant criterion used in the assessment of franchise bids, with quality and deliverability used to effectively vary the price of the bid. This new emphasis on customer service will enable bidders to differentiate their passenger service through innovative use of technologies with the potential to make rail travel better, smarter and more reliable. 5 FINDING #5: The franchise term should be determined by the circumstances and size of each individual franchise and not just conform to a standard 15 years. Implications: Shorter terms will make it easier for companies to better align the technology lifecycle to that of the franchise, so that the approximate lifetime of new software/technology can be expected to last the length of the contract. A shorter planning horizon will enable bidders 3 North Highland Transportation Perspective
to re-assess technology that can support their businesses more frequently, ensuring that they are adopting new technology rather than adhering to an outdated plan. Coupled with the Residual Value proposal (below), franchisees can invest more confidently throughout the duration of a franchise with an expectation of some return for latter-year investment. 6 FINDING #6: To encourage investment across the (shorter) lifetime of a franchise, the DfT should issue guidance on the circumstances in which it will offer RESIDUAL VALUE to operators and the mechanisms it would use to calculate this at franchise end. Implications: The introduction of clear guidelines on residual value calculations would remove an element of risk from investments – particularly those that either require a large initial investment or payback over longer time horizons. This would enable franchisees to continue to invest in hardware and software over the life of the franchise and result in a more balanced capital investment portfolio. This would also provide additional clarity for an outgoing TOC on what investments are recoverable (for instance, development costs and software licenses), which is frequently a point of disagreement during franchise transfers. 7 FINDING #7: Fewer specifications should be attached to franchise contracts, enabling both the government and the franchisee to adapt the model if a better solution is identified. Implications: With the pace of change of technology advancements, it is difficult for franchisees to predict what technologies may be needed, or even available, in the later years of a contract. Attaching fewer specifications to franchise contracts would allow franchisees to seek out and implement new technology outside the original proposal. Bids would be judged on the franchisee’s ability to predict and react to change as well as the initial proposal. 8 FINDING #8: Franchises should be broken up into several smaller lots and not merged. Implications: Having a range of scale of franchises may encourage operators to attempt some innovations in a perceived “lower risk” environment. However, many innovations may only be commercially viable when implemented on a large scale. Breaking up the larger franchises into several smaller lots could suppress innovation and limit capital investment on projects that could ultimately benefit the entire industry. 4 North Highland Transportation Perspective
9 FINDING #9: Every franchise should be unique and have a specific set of objectives that reflect the needs and challenges of that franchise. Implications: Gone are the days when you could just dust off your last bid and, with relatively few changes, resubmit it for the latest competition. Companies will need to fully grasp the scope and nature of each individual franchise they plan to bid for, tailor their bids and differentiate themselves from a technology perspective in their approach to meet franchise-specific objectives. 10 FINDING #10: Franchise competitions should follow a 24-month schedule, allowing ample time for planning and clarification. Implications: During this period, the burden will be largely on the DfT to efficiently plan the competition; carry out quality assurance; ensure all parties have the necessary information; and clarify any remaining issues. The challenge for franchise bidders will be to prepare their bids for much deeper scrutiny and discussion, during a longer bid evaluation period. Longer mobilisation periods may also mean there is the possibility of DURING THIS PERIOD, making a greater level of change to ‘day one’ operations, following the THE BURDEN WILL BE franchise award. However, the longer bidding process may mean an LARGELY ON THE DFT increase in overall bidding costs, so owning groups will need to be more TO EFFICIENTLY PLAN selective in the franchises they bid for. THE COMPETITION; CARRY OUT QUALITY 11 FINDING #11: The DfT should establish four credible teams with the ASSURANCE; ENSURE capacity to conduct four franchise competitions simultaneously. ALL PARTIES HAVE Implications: The race is on for expertise. Recruiting enough commercially THE NECESSARY experienced individuals for these teams presents a huge challenge to the INFORMATION; DfT. For bidders, the challenge will be in managing, tracking and financing AND CLARIFY ANY several simultaneous bids, while ensuring best practice and innovative REMAINING ISSUES. technology initiatives are shared between bid teams. Bidders, too, may be taxed to recruit sufficient, high quality, experienced bid team members. Owning Groups may opt to maintain a permanent pool of experts to support planning for, and participation in, bids and mobilizations. 5 North Highland Transportation Perspective
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