THE BROWN REVIEW - IMPLICATIONS FOR RAIL CIOS AND FRANCHISE BID LEADS

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THE BROWN REVIEW –
IMPLICATIONS FOR RAIL CIOS
AND FRANCHISE BID LEADS
Transportation Perspective

In October 2012, following the cancellation of the award of the InterCity
                                                                             INCUMBENT
West Coast rail franchise to FirstGroup by the United Kingdom’s
                                                                             FRANCHISEES WHO
Department for Transport, the Transport Secretary commissioned Richard
Brown, Chair of Eurostar International Limited, to conduct an independent    ARE CLOSE TO THE END
review of the implications of this failure for the future of the UK rail     OF THEIR FRANCHISE
franchising model. The Brown Review of the Rail Franchising Program,         CONTRACTS NEED
submitted in December 2012, concluded that the franchising model was the     CLARITY ON THEIR
correct approach but provided specific advice on improvements, including     REMAINING TERM
recommendations that will change the way technology supports bidding
                                                                             TO UNDERSTAND
for, and running, rail franchises.
                                                                             WHAT, IF ANY,
In the wake of the cancellation of the West Coast franchise award, the       INVESTMENTS WOULD
government announced that Virgin Trains will continue to run the InterCity   BE APPROPRIATE.
West Coast service until 9 November 2014. On 31 January 2013, the
government announced plans to resume two other bidding competitions
– for the Essex Thameside and Thameslink/Great Northern/Southern
franchises – and cancel the Great Western bid.
In the wake of the cancellation of the West Coast franchise award, the
    government announced that Virgin Trains will continue to run the InterCity
    West Coast service until 9 November 2014. On 31 January 2013, the
    government announced plans to resume two other bidding competitions
    – for the Essex Thameside and Thameslink/Great Northern/Southern
    franchises – and cancel the Great Western bid.

    With the announcement of the restart of the franchise program, train
    operating companies (TOCs) and transport owning groups await final
    decisions on which Brown recommendations will be adopted and how those
    new guidelines will affect the nature of future franchise competitions.

    The next key milestone will be the release of the timetable for future
    franchise competitions – expected from the DfT in Spring 2013, which will
    provide much needed clarity for bidders.

    KEY CONCLUSIONS AND INSIGHTS FOR RAIL CIOS
    AND FRANCHISEBID LEADS:
    Our transportation consultants have analysed the Brown Review for
    those recommendations that touch on technology – either as a support
    component to the bidding competition or in current rail franchise
    operations. Below are the findings we believe are of the greatest relevance
    for Technology and Franchise Bid leaders within TOCs and Transport
    Owning Groups.

1   FINDING #1: The present rail franchising system is not broken and
    should be restarted as soon as possible.
    Implications: Incumbent franchisees who are close to the end of their
    franchise contracts need clarity on their remaining term to understand
    what, if any, investments would be appropriate. Bidders should be planning
    how and when they restart their bid process, and with several competitions
    beginning in close succession, there will probably will be strong demand
    for experienced, high quality bid team members.

2   FINDING #2: Before resuming competition, the DfT must strengthen
    its organisation by bringing in a number of senior,commercially
    experienced people to manage the process.

    Implications: Recruiting senior, commercially experienced experts will
    mean a greater understanding of, and appetite for, technology-enabled
    change within the DfT. In an industry that is increasingly reliant on

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technology, bidders can be more comfortable explaining their technology
    strategy, innovation approach and complex technology-enabled solutions
    and be confident that the DfT will understand what makes their bid truly
    innovative.

3   FINDING #3: The opportunity to devolve some franchise management
    and decisions to local bodies.

    Implications: Devolution of the specification and management of
    franchises to local authorities (or, more likely, Passenger Transport           COPING WITH
    Executives (PTEs)) closest to their communities may improve the ability         ACCELERATED
    of operators to meet local customer needs. However, situations involving        CHANGES IN
    competing solutions may arise when local authorities /PTEs and operators        TECHNOLOGY,
    express preferences for specific solutions. For instance, where a PTE runs      CONSUMER
    a regional smart card scheme and a franchise owning group has invested in
                                                                                    EXPECTATIONS AND
    its own, branded solution with commercial benefits to utilizing this solution
    across the group. Devolving these decisions to the local level could risk
                                                                                    REVENUE MODELS
    further fragmentation of approach, unless there is an overarching industry      REQUIRES NEW
    agreement on basic principles such as settlement and management of              INTERNAL FUNCTIONS,
    customer data. Also, issues may arise where local authorities/PTEs              PROCESSES, AND
    wish to implement local, or regional, fare options (such as a zonal fare        SKILLSETS.
    structure), which conflicts with national or inter-regional schemes.

4   FINDING #4: The ability to maintain and improve levels of customer
    service should be given more weight during bid evaluation, and bids
    should be explicitly scored on their proposals for improving service
    quality for passengers.

    Implications: Until now, price has been the only significant criterion used
    in the assessment of franchise bids, with quality and deliverability used
    to effectively vary the price of the bid. This new emphasis on customer
    service will enable bidders to differentiate their passenger service through
    innovative use of technologies with the potential to make rail travel better,
    smarter and more reliable.

5   FINDING #5: The franchise term should be determined by the
    circumstances and size of each individual franchise and not just
    conform to a standard 15 years.

    Implications: Shorter terms will make it easier for companies to
    better align the technology lifecycle to that of the franchise, so that the
    approximate lifetime of new software/technology can be expected to last
    the length of the contract. A shorter planning horizon will enable bidders

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to re-assess technology that can support their businesses more frequently,
    ensuring that they are adopting new technology rather than adhering
    to an outdated plan. Coupled with the Residual Value proposal (below),
    franchisees can invest more confidently throughout the duration of a
    franchise with an expectation of some return for latter-year investment.

6   FINDING #6: To encourage investment across the (shorter) lifetime of
    a franchise, the DfT should issue guidance on the circumstances in
    which it will offer RESIDUAL VALUE to operators and the mechanisms
    it would use to calculate this at franchise end.

    Implications: The introduction of clear guidelines on residual value
    calculations would remove an element of risk from investments –
    particularly those that either require a large initial investment or payback
    over longer time horizons. This would enable franchisees to continue to
    invest in hardware and software over the life of the franchise and result
    in a more balanced capital investment portfolio. This would also provide
    additional clarity for an outgoing TOC on what investments are recoverable
    (for instance, development costs and software licenses), which is frequently
    a point of disagreement during franchise transfers.

7   FINDING #7: Fewer specifications should be attached to franchise
    contracts, enabling both the government and the franchisee to adapt
    the model if a better solution is identified.

    Implications: With the pace of change of technology advancements, it
    is difficult for franchisees to predict what technologies may be needed,
    or even available, in the later years of a contract. Attaching fewer
    specifications to franchise contracts would allow franchisees to seek out
    and implement new technology outside the original proposal. Bids would
    be judged on the franchisee’s ability to predict and react to change as well
    as the initial proposal.

8   FINDING #8: Franchises should be broken up into several smaller lots
    and not merged.

    Implications: Having a range of scale of franchises may encourage
    operators to attempt some innovations in a perceived “lower risk”
    environment. However, many innovations may only be commercially viable
    when implemented on a large scale. Breaking up the larger franchises into
    several smaller lots could suppress innovation and limit capital investment
    on projects that could ultimately benefit the entire industry.

    4    North Highland   Transportation Perspective
9    FINDING #9: Every franchise should be unique and have a specific set
     of objectives that reflect the needs and challenges of that franchise.

      Implications: Gone are the days when you could just dust off your last bid
     and, with relatively few changes, resubmit it for the latest competition.
     Companies will need to fully grasp the scope and nature of each individual
     franchise they plan to bid for, tailor their bids and differentiate themselves
     from a technology perspective in their approach to meet franchise-specific
     objectives.

10   FINDING #10: Franchise competitions should follow a 24-month
     schedule, allowing ample time for planning and clarification.
     Implications: During this period, the burden will be largely on the DfT to
     efficiently plan the competition; carry out quality assurance; ensure all
     parties have the necessary information; and clarify any remaining issues.
     The challenge for franchise bidders will be to prepare their bids for much
     deeper scrutiny and discussion, during a longer bid evaluation period.
     Longer mobilisation periods may also mean there is the possibility of            DURING THIS PERIOD,
     making a greater level of change to ‘day one’ operations, following the          THE BURDEN WILL BE
     franchise award. However, the longer bidding process may mean an                 LARGELY ON THE DFT
     increase in overall bidding costs, so owning groups will need to be more
                                                                                      TO EFFICIENTLY PLAN
     selective in the franchises they bid for.
                                                                                      THE COMPETITION;
                                                                                      CARRY OUT QUALITY
11   FINDING #11: The DfT should establish four credible teams with the               ASSURANCE; ENSURE
     capacity to conduct four franchise competitions simultaneously.
                                                                                      ALL PARTIES HAVE
     Implications: The race is on for expertise. Recruiting enough commercially
                                                                                      THE NECESSARY
     experienced individuals for these teams presents a huge challenge to the         INFORMATION;
     DfT. For bidders, the challenge will be in managing, tracking and financing      AND CLARIFY ANY
     several simultaneous bids, while ensuring best practice and innovative           REMAINING ISSUES.
     technology initiatives are shared between bid teams. Bidders, too, may be
     taxed to recruit sufficient, high quality, experienced bid team members.
     Owning Groups may opt to maintain a permanent pool of experts to support
     planning for, and participation in, bids and mobilizations.

     5    North Highland   Transportation Perspective
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