2015 General Election Landlords Survey - Attitudes towards party, leadership and housing policy

 
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2015 General Election Landlords Survey - Attitudes towards party, leadership and housing policy
2015 General Election
Landlords Survey
Attitudes towards party, leadership and housing policy
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                       2

Introduction
                              From the CEO
                              We founded Rentify to shake up the lettings industry and
                              prove that landlords and tenants needn’t be beholden
                              to traditional estate agents, whose exorbitant fees,
                              incompetence and endless red tape make property
                              management unnecessarily complicated and expensive.
                              We are excited to present the largest survey on the
                              political attitude of residential landlords in the run-up to
                              the 2015 General Election, consisting of 1,205 participants
                              from our customer base of 175,000 British landlords. We
                              also include in-depth analysis on the property-related
                              commitments taken on by each major party, conducted
                              by our in-house experts.
                              These findings should hopefully inform party policy as we
                              approach May 7th, with the aim of making life easier for
                              both landlords and tenants alike.

                              George Spencer
                              CEO, Rentify
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                   3

Executive summary
     Nearly half the landlords we asked intend to vote             “The Liberal
     Conservative in the upcoming election. That’s more than
     twice as many as Labour.                                        Democrats have
     Steady Conservative vote share across age groups
                                                                     said virtually
     suggests that Labour-voting landlords are switching to          nothing about
     UKIP. Support for Labour wanes as landlord age rises,
     with UKIP receiving an increasing share of votes among          housing, one of
     young landlords.
                                                                     the most pressing
     David Cameron is by far the most popular party leader
     among landlords. Labour leader Ed Miliband is only
                                                                     infrastructural
     slightly better-liked than UKIP’s Nigel Farage.                 problems facing
     Conservatives take a liberal approach on rental market          the country.”
     by not interfering on rent prices and tenancy lengths -
     although this goes against some analyses, including
     The Economist’s recommendation for longer tenancies.

     While some landlords remain dubious over Conservative
     housing policy, they are even less impressed by Labour,
     Lib Dem and UKIP policies.

     The North-South divide is clearly evident among               “UKIP policies
     landlords, with Conservative voters dominating the South,
     including London.                                               are broadly
     In the Northeast, Northwest and Yorkshire, Labour and
                                                                     landlord-friendly
     UKIP have received overwhelming support.                        and also include
     Only the Conservatives and Greens have a clear                  longer three-
     affordable housing target.
                                                                     year tenancies
     Labour is focused on renters, but it is also promising to
     speed up planning process for smaller unit schemes.
                                                                     and some
     With less than two months to go until the General
                                                                     environmental
     Election, the Liberal Democrats have said virtually nothing     regulation.”
     about housing, one of the most pressing infrastructural
     problems facing the country.

     UKIP policies are broadly landlord-friendly and
     also include longer three-year tenancies and some
     environmental regulation.

     UKIP is also looking to encourage more landlords to rent
     to tenants on benefits.
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                               4

Survey results
Landlords intend to overwhelmingly vote Conservative in the       “Unusually
upcoming General Election, with 47 per cent of the preference
– more than double Labour’s share of the landlord vote, which       for Farage,
is 20 per cent. The more controversial UKIP now represents
the choice of 18 per cent of landlords in Britain, almost at
                                                                    who normally
parity with Labour.                                                 polls strongly
When it comes to respective party leaders’ popularity among
voting landlords, David Cameron is the clear winner. 56 per
                                                                    on personal
cent cited him as their preferred leader. He is followed by         popularity, UKIP’s
Ed Miliband on 17 per cent and Nigel Farage on 16 per cent.
Unusually for Farage, who normally polls strongly on personal       leader is less
popularity, UKIP’s leader is less popular than his party with
landlords.                                                          popular than
Although landlords seem comfortable with the current Prime          his party with
Minister representing them, they’re less enthusiastic about
Conservative housing policy, giving it an average evaluation        landlords.”
of 5.8 on a scale of 0 to 10. This suggests that if the Tories
are counting on the votes of Britain’s landlords, they need
to propose additional pro-landlord initiatives ahead of the
General Election.
Landlords responded even less positively to other parties’        “Although
respective housing policies, ranking Lib Dem at a woeful 3.3
and Labour at 3.9. UKIP came the closest to positive, with 4.9.     landlords seem
But no party was particularly warmly embraced by landlords,
who have perhaps been left cold by over-regulation and a lack
                                                                    comfortable
of support from the political class generally.                      with the current
A clear pattern emerges when we examine the age of
landlords in our survey. UKIP acquires a larger share of the
                                                                    Prime Minister
votes as landlords become older: only 9 per cent of landlords
in the 25 to 34 bracket support UKIP, but that grows to an
                                                                    representing
impressive 33 per cent for ages 75 and above.                       them, they’re less
Inversely, Labour loses a portion of its share of landlords as
they get older. 27 per cent of landlord votes in the 25 to 34
                                                                    enthusiastic about
age bracket supported Labour, but that figure slides to 13 per      Conservative
cent for the 75+ bracket. This suggests that older landlords
are shifting their vote from Labour to UKIP, since the share of     housing policy.”
voters for Conservative is relatively consistent between 50 per
cent and 60 per cent.
Location also played a role in the survey results. 55 per cent
of landlords in the South (including London) plan to vote
Conservative, while Labour and UKIP share the majority of
votes across the North East, North West and Yorkshire.
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                     5

 Landlord voting intentions & leadership preferences

“For which political party are you planning to vote in the election?”
 Answer		%
 Conservative		45%
 Labour		19%
 UKIP		17%
 Liberal Democrat		                       6%
 Green		6%
 SNP		2%
 Other		5%
                                                0    100         200         300     400    500

“Which party leader do you feel best represents your interests as a landlord?”
 Answer		%
 David Cameron		                          51%
 Ed Miliband		                            16%
 Nigel Farage		                           15%
 Nick Clegg		                             6%
 Natalie Bennett		                        5%
 Other		8%
                                                0   100    200         300     400    500   600
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                                  6

Party housing policy

Views on a party’s entire set of proposals

Party housing policy                     Score
Conservative                              5.75
UKIP                                     4.88
Labour                                    3.93
Liberal Democrat                          3.27
Green                                    3.04
                                                 0          1       2        3        4        5        6

Conservative Party

Answer		%                                            Annual total house-         Rent Cap
                                                     building target             No
0 (totally negative)		                   5.3%
                                                     For councils to
                                                                                 Length of tenancy
1		1.5%                                              determine housing
                                                                                 Support voluntary
                                                     targets.
2		5.3%                                                                          model tenancies
                                                     Planning                    agreement.
3		6.1%
                                                     Continuing current
                                                                                 Development land tax
4		4.9%                                              policies. Further
                                                                                 No
                                                     support roll out
5		22.5%
                                                     of neighbourhood            Mansion Tax
6		12.7%                                             planning.                   No
7		16.8%                                             Garden Cities
                                                     Yes, where locally
8		13.4%
                                                     supported.
9		3.6%
                                                     Private Rented Sector
10 (totally positive)		                  7.9%        Complete delivery of
                                                     10,000 new homes
                                                     below market rent.
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                                7

Labour Party

Answer		%                                        Annual total house-       Rent Cap
                                                 building target           Market rent followed by
0 (totally negative)		                   13.9%
                                                 200,000                   ceiling on rent increases
1		7.9%                                                                    over 3 year tenancies.
                                                 Planning
2		11.5%                                         Speed up planning
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                                  8

UKIP Party

Answer		%                                        Annual total house-          Rent Cap
                                                 building target              No
0 (totally negative)		                   10.8%
                                                 200,000
                                                                              Length of tenancy
1		3.2%
                                                 Planning                     New 3-10 year
2		6.1%                                          Cut costs of                 tenancies – as well
                                                 applications by merging      as ASTs (Assured
3		8.4%
                                                 planning and building        Shorthold Tenancies).
4		10.5%                                         more control depts.
                                                                              Development land tax
5		18.9%                                         Garden Cities                No
                                                 Yes, not on greenbelt.
6		12.7%                                                                      Mansion Tax
                                                 Private Rented Sector        No
7		12.8%
                                                 Encourage more
8		9.0%                                          landlords to rent to
                                                 tenants on housing
9		3.0%
                                                 benefits.
10 (totally positive)		                  4.6%

Green Party

Answer		%                                        Annual total house-          Rent Cap
                                                 building target              Cap rent rises to
0 (totally negative)		                   21.9%
                                                 Let Local Authorities        inflation initially. Living
1		11.6%                                         determine.                   Rent Commission to
                                                                              examine more stringent
2		11.0%                                         Planning
                                                                              proposals.
                                                 Constrain power of
3		14.8%
                                                 national planning            Length of tenancy
4		11.7%                                         inspectorate. Councils to    5 years with the tenant’s
                                                 have more proactive role.    right to renew unless the
5		12.8%
                                                                              landlord sells or moves in.
                                                 Garden Cities
6		6.5%
                                                 TBC                          Development land tax
7		5.0%                                                                       Yes
                                                 Private Rented Sector
8		2.8%                                          Compulsory licensing for     Mansion Tax
                                                 all landlords. No lettings   Would support, prefer
9		0.5%
                                                 agent fees for tenants.      Land Value Tax.
10 (totally positive)		                   1.5%
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                                          9

Party housing policy analysis

Conservatives                                            Labour

As expected, Conservatives take a liberal approach       Labour is directing its housing policies to renters,
to the rental market, opting not to interfere with       which is not a surprise considering they comprise
rent prices and tenancy lengths. This is good news       a fast-growing voting base. But this has had an
for landlords should the Tories remain in government,    impact on the party’s popularity with landlords.
though it does contradict a small but growing number
                                                            Should Labour get into government in Britain the
of experts – including The Economist – who advocate
                                                            lettings market can expect dramatic changes: rent
for longer tenancy periods.
                                                            controls, minimum tenancies and the introduction
First Buyer Support (FTB) schemes, formerly known of a ‘no lettings fee’ rule for tenants.
as Help to Buy, are to remain during the next four
                                                            If these go ahead we expect an impact across
years if the Conservatives stay in power. Although
                                                            the property market: lower demand for buy-to-
this helps younger voters get on to the property
                                                            let products, from mortgages to developments,
ladder, it might lead to further pressure in London
                                                            higher agency fees for landlords to compensate
where supply is scarce.
                                                            agencies that traditionally charge tenants with AST
So far only Conservatives (and the Greens) have             and reference fees and obviously a lower yield on
a clear, affordable housing target: 275,000 – of            landlords’ properties due to rent control.
those, 200,000 with 20 per cent discounts for First
                                                            Beyond the rental market, Labour has ambitious
Buyer Support purchasers under 40, and a price
                                                            targets for housebuilding with 200,000 new
cap of £250,000 outside London and £450,000
                                                            properties every year. As with the Conservatives
in London, as well as 10,000 new houses below
                                                            equivalent, this is nothing more than a promise
market rent.
                                                            considering the challenges building around green belts
Although this is welcome news for FTBs and tenants and archaic planning processes - as the insufficient
alike, it lacks a lot of detail, including a percentage for new homes built in the last few years demonstrates.
London and the South East where scarcity is higher.
                                                            Labour, however, is promising to speed up that
Regardless, landlords seem to broadly support
                                                            process for smaller unit schemes, which is
Tory proposals. Roughly half of them plan to vote
                                                            definitely welcome news to the constrained supply
Conservative in the General Election.
                                                            of new homes.
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                                     10

Liberal Democrats                                     UKIP

Remarkably little has been said by the Liberal        UKIP housing policies seem to be more landlord-
Democrats during their time in coalition government   friendly, although they include some elements of
about housing and nothing at all about lettings as    environmental and social conscience. This explains
of March 2015 (except for high level plans on rent-   why some landlords feel Nigel Farage and his party
to-own schemes).                                      represent their interests (some 18 per cent).
The party has committed to a 300,000 annual           Should UKIP join a coalition government Britain
building target, which seems ambitious given          should expect no rent controls but possible longer
the aforementioned restrictions on green belt         tenancies, with a minimum period of three years.
development and the planning process itself.
                                                      UKIP is also looking to encourage more landlords to
                                                      rent to tenants on benefits. While we’re still waiting
                                                      for details on this policy, it could be good news
                                                      for both parties, as it will increase demand in the
                                                      market generally.
                                                      Like other parties UKIP shows bold figures for
                                                      annual housebuilding – again, not much more
                                                      than a promise considering the challenges. But
                                                      UKIP does mention cutting red tape and costs
                                                      around planning by merging planning and building
                                                      control departments.
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                       11

 Appendix: demographic details

“What is your age?”
 Age group                                              %
 18 to 24                                             1.0%
 25 to 34                                            13.6%
 35 to 44                                            20.0%
 45 to 54                                            25.9%
 55 to 64                                            26.5%
 65 to 74                                             11.1%
 75 or older                                          1.8%

“Where do you live?”
 Area                                                   %
 Greater London                                      20.1%
 Home Counties*                                       5.4%
 South East                                          12.6%
 South West                                          10.7%
 East England**                                       5.2%
 West Midlands                                        6.8%
 East Midlands                                        5.5%
 Yorkshire and the Humber                             8.3%
 North West England                                  11.6%
 North East England                                   5.4%
 Scotland                                             3.7%
 Wales                                                4.4%
 Northern Ireland                                     0.4%
 * Anglia and Essex   ** Herts, Beds, Bucks, Berks
2015 General Election Landlords Survey                                                          12

“For which political party are you planning to vote in the election?”
 Age group		                                         Cons.   Green   Labour   Lib Dem.   SNP   UKIP

 18 to 24		                                          63%     13%      25%
 25 to 34		                                          50%      6%      27%         5%     2%    9%
 35 to 44		                                          45%     10%      21%         9%      1%   13%
 45 to 54		                                          45%      8%      22%         4%     2%    19%
 55 to 64		                                          47%      6%      15%         8%     3%    22%
 65 to 74		                                          60%       1%     13%         1%     3%    21%
 75 or older		                                       40%      7%      13%         7%     0%    33%

“For which political party are you planning to vote in the election?”
 Age group		                                         Cons.   Green   Labour   Lib Dem.   SNP   UKIP

 East England*		                                     47%      5%      16%         9%     0%    23%
 East Midlands		31%                                          13%     29%          4%     2%    20%
 Greater London		                                    56%     10%      19%         7%     2%    5%
 Home Counties**		61%                                         0%      11%         5%     0%    23%
 North East England		                                36%      2%      25%         5%     0%    32%
 North West England		                                40%      5%     26%          4%      1%   23%
 Northern Ireland		67%                                        0%       0%         0%     0%    33%
 Scotland		27%                                                3%      23%         0%     37%   10%
 South East		55%                                             10%      14%         8%     0%    14%
 South West		                                        57%      6%       8%        11%     0%    18%
 Wales		42%                                                   8%      17%         3%     6%    25%
 West Midlands		50%                                           4%      27%         0%     0%    20%
 Yorkshire and the Humber		                          37%      7%     26%          4%     0%    25%
 * Anglia and Essex   ** Herts, Beds, Bucks, Berks
Rentify is the UK’s fastest growing
                               letting agent, built and run by ex-
                               Samsung, Google, and Centrica
                               leadership, with an existing customer
                               base of over 175,000 landlords and
                               an average of 10,000 landlords
                               joining each month. Founded in 2011,
                               Rentify operates a nationwide service
                               from two Centres of Excellence, with
                               one based in North Yorkshire and the
                               other in London.
                               From day one, we’ve blended
                               property and technical expertise to
                               provide landlords with a smarter,
                               faster, and fairer way to let their
                               properties. Our emphases are upon
                               convenience, savings, and top quality
                               customer service, all powered
                               through remarkable technology.

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