Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton

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Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Merton Health and Wellbeing Board – 26th January 2021

 Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Page 1

 Dr Dagmar Zeuner, Director of Public Health

                                                                                          Agenda Item 8
     Merton Public Health Intelligence
     22nd January 2021
     Produced by Ben Bezuidenhout (ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk) on 22nd January 2021

                                                                                          1
                                                                             1
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Summary key messages                                                                                                             22nd January 2021

London overview
•       ONS estimated cases rate in London is 3,600 per 100,000 (As of 8th Jan)
•       The current estimated London R value is between 0.9 and 1.2 (As of 15th Jan)

Cases (14th Jan – 20th Jan):
•     7 day case rate (all ages) 617.4 cases per 100,000 (down from 827.2 previous week).
•     7 day case rate (among 60+) 521.5 cases per 100,000 (down from 789.1 previous week).
    Page 2

•     There were 1,314 new COVID cases in Merton.
•     New COVID variant: estimated to be responsible for 86% of cases in Merton between 7th Jan and 13th Jan 2021.

Deaths:
•     There were 33 new registered Merton COVID death for the week ending 8th Jan.
•     In total Merton has seen 301 deaths due to COVID.

Testing (12th Jan – 18th Jan / pillar 2 PCR tests only – this excludes Lateral Flow tests):
•     7 day testing rate 373.6 daily tests per 100,000 (down from 462.8 previous week)
•     7 day test positivity decreased to 20.6%.

                                                                                              2                Enquiries Ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Positive cases per 100,000 across London boroughs                                                                22nd January 2021
 For reporting period 7.1.2021 – 13.01.2021
Colour of box illustrates weekly cases per 100,000 for that week

Positive cases per 100,000                                         Positive cases per 100,000
population – all ages                                              population – 60+ only
   Page 3

             Merton                                                            Merton

                                                                   3                            Enquiries ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Individuals tested per 100,000 and test positivity across London boroughs                                           22nd January 2021
 For reporting period 7.1.2021 – 13.01.2021
 Colour of box illustrates weekly cases per 100,000 for that week

Individuals tested per 100,000                                      Percentage of individuals
population 7 day rate – all ages                                    testing positive – all ages
    Page 4

                Merton                                                                             Merton

                                                                     4                            Enquiries ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
COVID-19 and NHS-related indicators (all figures are numbers unless stated)                                                                                                       22nd January 2021

                                              Confirmed COVID-19 total inpatients across London                              Confirmed COVID-19 ITU/HDU inpatients across London
                                     Page 5

     Source: SWL CCG COVID-19 daily dashboard                                                              Source: SWL CCG COVID-19 daily dashboard

                                                Total bed occupancy in SWL NHS trusts over time                                              COVID-19 patients in hospital
 Percent of hospital beds occupied

                                                                                                  Total number of patients

Source: SWL CCG COVID-19 daily dashboard                                                          Source: PHE COVID-19 London overview

                                                                                                                             5                                Enquiries ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Local analysis: COVID-19 in Merton
Page 6

                    6
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Number of deaths registered among Merton residents                                                                                                                   22nd January 2021

Source: ONS                                                                                                                        Cumulative number of COVID

Key messages
                                                                                                                                related deaths registered in Merton
                                                                                                                                       (04.01.2020 – 08.01.2021)
                                                                                                                                                                            301
• 33 registered COVID deaths in Merton week ending 8th Jan 2021 – 27 in hospital, 4 in care
                                                                                                                              Place of         Number of COVID           Number of COVID
    homes, 1 at home, and 1 in a hospice.                                                                                     death            deaths - last week       deaths - cumulative
                                                                                                                                             (02.01.21 - 08.01.21)     (04.01.20 – 01.01.21)
•                 42 of the 301 cumulative deaths (14%) have been in care homes. 227 (75%) have been in
                  hospitals. Please note that hospital deaths may include care home residents.                                Hospital                27                       227
                                                                                                                              Care home               4                         42
•                 Merton recorded 52.8 COVID deaths per 100,000 population (29th June - 12th January) and has
                  the 9th highest COVID death rate among London boroughs, and 2nd highest in SWL.                             Home                    1                         25
                                                                                                                              Hospice                 1                         6
•                 Increase in non-COVID deaths in Merton observed in recent weeks.
                                                                                                                              Elsewhere               0                         1
 Page 7

                                                                  Number of deaths in Merton by week of registration
                       180
                       160
    Number of deaths

                       140
                       120
                       100                        107
                        80                   73
                        60              66              61                                                                                                                               50
                        40                                   47                                                                                           33
                        20      29    35    35 51
                                                  31
                                                        33 20 27
                                                                      21 30    24            29            26 24 26      27 26 27 31 27 25 28 22 25 28 31    33
                             19    18    22                                 19         20 20    22 20 20              19
                         0   0 0 1 6                             2 13
                                                     17 10 10 8 10 3 1 3 1 2 15   1 17
                                                                                    0 0 0 1 0 0 0 17     0 0 0 0 17 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 7 8 3 13 18

                                                                                  Week of death registration
                                             COVID-19 deaths           Non COVID-19 deaths             Total number of deaths registered per equivalent week in 2019                 7

                                                                                                                                              Enquiries: ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
Page 8
                                                                                                                                                                                                           7 day cases rate per 100,000 population

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           800

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1200
                                                                                                                                                                                              20th Nov - 26th Nov
                                                                                                                                                                                               21st Nov - 27th Nov
                                                                                                                                                                                              22nd Nov - 28th Nov
                                                                                                                                                                                              23rd Nov - 29th Nov
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Reporting frequency: Daily

                                                                                                                                                                                              24th Nov - 30th Nov
                                                                                                                                                                                                 25th Nov - 1st Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                26th Nov - 2nd Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                27th Nov - 3rd Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                28th Nov - 4th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                29th Nov - 5th Dec

                                                                                                                                                                                 Merton
                                                                                                                                                                                                30th Nov - 6th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                   1st Dec - 7th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                  2nd Dec - 8th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Source: London Covid 19 daily surveillance report

                                                                                                                                                                                                  3rd Dec - 9th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                 4th Dec - 10th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                 5th Dec - 11th Dec

                                                                                                                       Note: Merton has the third highest rate in SWL boroughs
                                                                                                                                                                                 Croydon
                                                                                                                                                                                                 6th Dec - 12th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                 7th Dec - 13th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                 8th Dec - 14th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                 9th Dec - 15th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                 Kingston      10th Dec - 16th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                               11th Dec - 17th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                               12th Dec - 18th Dec
Due to reporting issues no data was available for 6th-12th December and 21st -27th December                                                                                                    13th Dec - 19th Dec
Please note no data was released for weeks 13th – 19TH December until 17th – 23rd December                                                                                                     14th Dec - 20th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   compared to South West London boroughs (Pillar 1 & 2)

                                                                                                                                                                                               15th Dec - 21st Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                              16th Dec - 22nd Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                 Richmond

                                                                                                                                                                                               17th Dec - 23rd Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                               18th Dec - 24th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                               19th Dec - 25th Dec
                                                                    For internal use only. Not for wider circulation

                                                                                                                                                                                               20th Dec - 26th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                21st Dec - 31st Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                              22nd Dec - 28th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                               23rd Dec - 29th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                 Wandsworth

                                                                                                                                                                                               24th Dec - 30th Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                               25th Dec - 31st Dec
                                                                                                                                                                                                  26th Dec - 1st Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                 27th Dec - 2nd Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                 28th Dec - 3rd Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                 Sutton

                                                                                                                                                                                                 29th Dec - 4th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                 30th Dec - 5th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                  31st Dec - 6th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                    1st Jan - 7th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                   2nd Jan - 8th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Rolling total rate of confirmed positive cases per 100,000 population in Merton per week

                                                                                                                                                                                                    3rd Jan - 9th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                  4th Jan - 10th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                  5th Jan - 11th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                  6th Jan - 12th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                  7th Jan - 13th Jan
                                                                                               8

                                                                                                                                                                                                  8th Jan - 14th Jan
                        Enquiries: ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk

                                                                                                                                                                                                  9th Jan - 15th Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         22nd January 2021
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
22nd January 2021
Local COVID-19 outbreaks in
                          Source: LCRC                                                                                                    New confirmed outbreaks locally                             New confirmed outbreaks via LCRC
Merton                                                                                                                                         Current
                                                                                                                                          (14th – 20th Jan)
                                                                                                                                                                             Previous
                                                                                                                                                                         (7th – 13th Jan)
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Current
                                                                                                                                                                                                       (14th – 20th Jan)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Previous
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         (7th – 13th Jan)
New care home outbreaks:                            Schools and nurseries                                                                           8                             8                              -                                 -
•      4 Symptomatic cases
                                                    Care homes                                                                                      2                             2                              3                                 5
         • (1 resident, 3 staff)
                                                    Care settings - Supported living,                                                               3                             6                              1                                 1
•      6 Asymptomatic cases
                                                    sheltered living, extra care, and
         • (3 residents, 3 staff)                   domiciliary care
                                                    Workplace                                                                                       3                             4                              0                                 1
Note on data                                        (LBM and non-LBM)

• Outbreaks reported locally:                       Homeless accommodation                                                                          0                             0                              0                                 0
             •   16 new outbreaks this week         Other                                                                                           0                             1                              0                                 0
    Page 9

             •   An outbreak is two or more
                 confirmed cases or one case in                                                                        Cumulative number of reported care home incidents and outbreaks by London Borough
                 care home or care setting          No. of reported care home incidents or
                                                                                                                                             (1st February 2020 – 19th January 2021)
                                                                                             180   168

• Outbreaks reported via LCRC:                                                               160
                                                                                             140
                                                                                                         147
                                                                                                               133 131 130
             •   We include LCRC data for                                                    120                             107 102
                                                                  outbreaks

                                                                                                                                     96   89
                                                                                             100                                               84
                 comparison with other boroughs                                               80
                                                                                                                                                    79   78   77   73   71   70   63   59   57   56
             •   Includes all reported situations                                             60
                                                                                                                                                                                                      53   51
                                                                                                                                                                                                                43   43   39   37   36   36   35       34   33   33
                 e.g. exposures, suspected cases,                                             40
                                                                                              20
                 outbreaks                                                                     0
             •   Care homes includes all other
                 care settings
             •   Only large school outbreaks
                 reported
                                                    Source: LCRC daily report
                                                                                                                                            9                                                         Enquiries: ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Situational Awareness Report: COVID-19 in Merton
COVID-19 cases rates in Merton by age group 7-day rolling total case rates                                                     22nd January 2021
per 100,000 and breakdown of cases by geography
Source: PHE/PHEC Daily Report
Reporting frequency: Daily

        7 day rolling average case rate by age groups in Merton
                                                                                 7-day rate of Pillar 2 PCR positive tests in Merton
                                1500                                             by LSOA (per 100k population)
                                       0-15   16-29      30-44     45-59   60+
                                1300
  Rate per 100,000 population

                                1100
                                 900
                  Page 10

                                 700
                                 500
                                 300
                                 100
                                -100

                                              Weekly rolling average
                                                                                                                                         10
 Source: PHE/Covid-19 Epidemiology in London                                                                   Enquiries ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
22nd January 2021
COVID-19 positive cases in Merton by ethnicity
Weekly distribution of cases by ethnic group in Merton.
Data over 6 weeks and compared to ethnic breakdown Merton.
Source: PHE Merton LA Report

                                                             *
                                                                                                2%
                                                                                          5%

                                                                         63%
    Page 11

                                                                          12%
                                                                                         5%

                                                                                         4%
                                                                           9%
                                                                    Merton ethnic
                                                                    breakdown, 2020                                           11
                                                                 Source: 2016 GLA housing-led
   *Data for week ending 16th January is preliminary                population projections
                                                                                   Enquiries ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
22nd January 2021
COVID-19 cases in East and West Merton                                                                                             Percent in occupations
                                                                                                                                   at high risk of COVID-19
Source: LSAT daily line list
Reporting frequency: Daily
                                           7-day rolling total number of cases in East and West Merton
                                180.0
                                            2nd lockdown                   Entry tier 3                  3rd lockdown               Source: 2011 census
                                                                                          Entry tier 4
                                160.0
                                                           Re-entry into tier 2                                                     Indices of multiple
                                                                                                                                    deprivation (IMD)
                                140.0
7-day rolling number of cases

                                120.0                                                                               113.9
                                Page 12

                                                                                                                                    Source: MHCLG 2019
                                100.0                                                                                               Percent black, Asian,
                                                                                                                                    and minority ethnic
                                 80.0                                                                                               (BAME)
                                                                                                                        59.6
                                 60.0
                                                                                                                                    Source: 2011 census
                                 40.0

                                 20.0                                                                                              Percent of households
                                                                                                                                   considered overcrowded
                                     0.0
                                           01/11/20
                                           03/11/20
                                           05/11/20
                                           07/11/20
                                           09/11/20
                                           11/11/20
                                           13/11/20
                                           15/11/20
                                           17/11/20
                                           19/11/20
                                           21/11/20
                                           23/11/20
                                           25/11/20
                                           27/11/20
                                           29/11/20
                                           01/12/20
                                           03/12/20
                                           05/12/20
                                           07/12/20
                                           09/12/20
                                           11/12/20
                                           13/12/20
                                           15/12/20
                                           17/12/20
                                           19/12/20
                                           21/12/20
                                           23/12/20
                                           25/12/20
                                           27/12/20
                                           29/12/20
                                           31/12/20
                                           02/01/21
                                           04/01/21
                                           06/01/21
                                           08/01/21
                                           10/01/21
                                           12/01/21
                                           14/01/21
                                           16/01/21
                                           18/01/21
                                                                                                                                   Source: 2011 census
                                                                                                                                                                          12
                                                                                                                               Enquiries ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
22nd January 2021
Rate of COVID-19 cases in East and West Merton by age group
Source: LCRC/LSAT Daily

 Key Messages:
 • East Merton has higher rate of cases in older age groups.
 • West Merton has higher rate of cases in younger age groups.

                             Cases per 100,000 by age group between East and West Merton (1st Jan – 18th Jan)

                                                                                                                              3058.0
                           60+                                             1333.7
   Page 13

                                                                                                                         2973.2
                          45-59
             Age groups

                                                                                              1956.1

                                                                                             1914.9
                          30-44                                                     1676.6
                                                                                                                East           West
                                                                  1074.9
                          16-29                                                                 2036.1

                                              521.7
                           0-15                    695.4

                                  0        500             1000             1500         2000            2500          3000              3500

                                                           Rate per 100000 population
                                                                                                           13     Enquiries: ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
22nd January 2021
Covid-19 PCR Tests from Pillar 2 by Merton Residents overview
Key Messages:
• Local testing sites (LTS) ranged from 27% to 42% of Merton resident (7th Dec - 18th Jan). Overall 35% over this period - same as for home tests.
• MTU’s account for 6-16% of Merton resident tests and 11% over the 7 week time period.
• RTS account for 3% of tests during the 7 week time period (n=903)

                             PCR tests among Merton residents by test setting                                                  7-day rate of total Pillar 2 PCR tests in
                                 (7th December 2020 – 18th January 2021)                                                       Merton by LSOA (per 100k population)
              100%                                                                                                             (12th – 18th Jan)
                       6%          10%        5%               5%                 5%               8%             10%
               90%                            13%              12%                6%               8%
                       16%                                                        2%                              10%
               80%                 14%                         3%                                  1%
       Page 14

                       1%                     4%                                                                  1%
                                   3%
               70%                                                                                 27%
                                                                                  42%                             28%                                                  Higher rate
 Percentage

               60%     32%                    34%              38%
               50%                 40%                                                                                                                                 of testing
               40%
                       19%
               30%                                                                                 49%            41%
                                   18%        39%              34%                40%
               20%
               10%     26%
                                   15%                                                                            9%
                0%                             5%              7%                 4%               7%
                     7th Dec      14-Dec    21-Dec          28-Dec              04-Jan            11-Jan        18 Jan*
                                                           Week ending
                 Care home         Home           LTS             RTS                MTU                 Not known
                                           (local test site)   (regional        (mobile testing
*Data for last few days not fully complete                     test site)       unit)                                                    Source: NHS containment dashboard
Note: Only includes pillar 2 and PCR tests and is for tests and
not persons, so multiple tests will likely exist                                           Source: PHE Power BI tool
                                                                                                                                                                        14
                                                                            For internal use only. Not for wider circulation               Enquiries: ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
22nd January 2021
   COVID-19 test centre utilisation in Merton                                                (20th     Dec 2020 –              17th   Jan 2021)
    Key Messages:                                                     140%
                                                                                                         Mitcham Elm Nursery (LTS)           Red line represents 100% test
    • Local site capacity:
    Mitcham Elm: 144;                                                                                    Merton College (LTS)                centre utilisation
                                                                      120%
    Merton College: 432;
                                                                      100%
    • Smaller Mitcham Elm
      Nursery site operating at
                                                                            80%

                                                     Site Utilisation (%)
      higher capacity than
      Merton College site.
     Page 15

                                                                            60%
    • Average for January:
    Mitcham Elm (73%)                                                       40%
    Merton College (30%)
                                                                            20%

                                                                            0%
                                                                                  Tue 22 Dec

                                                                                  Tue 29 Dec

                                                                                     Tue 5 Jan
                                                                                  Sun 20 Dec

                                                                                  Sun 27 Dec

                                                                                      Sat 2 Jan
                                                                                     Sun 3 Jan

                                                                                      Sat 9 Jan

                                                                                  Wed 13 Jan
                                                                                   Sat 26 Dec

                                                                                     Fri 15 Jan
                                                                                   Mon 4 Jan

                                                                                   Thu 14 Jan
                                                                                  Mon 21 Dec

                                                                                    Fri 25 Dec

                                                                                  Mon 28 Dec
                                                                                  Wed 23 Dec

                                                                                  Wed 30 Dec

                                                                                       Fri 1 Jan

                                                                                   Wed 6 Jan

                                                                                       Fri 8 Jan
                                                                                  Thu 24 Dec

                                                                                  Thu 31 Dec

                                                                                   Tue 12 Jan
                                                                                   Sun 10 Jan

                                                                                   Sun 17 Jan
                                                                                     Thu 7 Jan

                                                                                    Sat 16 Jan
                                                                                  Mon 11 Jan
Sources: Tests: Regional Dashboard (DHSC) / Capacity: RSP - LB Merton                                                                                                      15
                                                                                   For internal use only. Not for wider circulation           Enquiries: ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Tests and positive tests by ethnicity                                                                                        22nd January 2021
Source: NELCSU: COVID-19 dashboard PHE
Key messages                                                         Key Messages
• 2/3 of testing in the White population, which is higher than the   • Positive tests have been higher in Asian ethnic groups compared
   general White population in Merton.                                  to the Asian population generally in Merton.
• Testing uptake in the Black population has been relatively lower
• 25% of testing has taken place in Black and Asian minority
                                                                     Positive tests in Merton between 1st January 2020 and 12th January
   ethnic groups
                                                                     2021 by ethnic group – compared to Merton ethnic profile

Tests in Merton between 1st January 2020 and 12th January 2021 by              Positive tests by ethnicity          Merton resident Profile
ethnic group – compared to Merton ethnic profile
  Page 16

            Tests by ethnicity         Merton resident Profile

                                                                                                                                       16
                                                                                                             Enquiries ben.bezuidenhout@merton.gov.uk
Asymptomatic Covid testing model in Merton

 Dagmar Zeuner, January 2021
Page 17

                         17
Principles and overview
          Purpose
             • Test-to-find – identify asymptomatic positive cases and ensure self-isolation to
               prevent onwards transmission (30-40% of Covid asymptomatic); regular targeted
               testing of front-line workers (at risk of Covid exposure) 2x week.
             • Test-to-enable – confirm negative individuals in order to come out of self-isolation;
               this requires daily testing for 7d (also called: serial testing, daily contact testing);
Page 18

               approval outstanding (apart from pilots); a single negative test in a close contact
               does not permit coming out of self-isolation.
          Tests
             • Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) - highly accurate but requires laboratory, 24-72
               hour result turn-around, used nationally for asymptomatic testing in certain settings
               e.g. care homes. Nasal and throat swab. Site-based supervised self-swabbing and
               home kits available.
             • Lateral flow test/devide (LFT/LFD) - lower accuracy point-of-care test, results in 20-
               30 minutes; used for most asymptomatic testing. Nasal and throat swab. Home
               testing approved in principle by MHRA but not yet for widespread use (exception:
               primary school staff)

                                                                                                          18
Merton model for asymptomatic testing
          Focus
          • Mainly targeted at front-line staff (regular testing 2x wk)
          • Opportunity for resident testing (one-off)
          Service offer from LBM
          1 Support for national programme– incl secondary schools, care homes, institutional-led such as police,
Page 19

          fire service, TfL, businesses >250 employees
          2 Local community pharmacists – standard and enhanced service (with health promotion and
          protection advice);
          3 Devolved staff testing – to LBM teams, partner organisations and businesses not covered by national
          programme, incl public and private essential front-line workers;
          4 Morden Assembly Hall – site-based LFT use; dual purpose for targeted regular staff testing and one-
          off resident testing; for use while national and devolved programmes are established; development of
          ‘roving teams’ for outreach.
          5 Mutual aid to partners in national programme and SWL LAs – covering temporary stock issues,
          providing easy access across sub-region for all front-line workers
                                                                                                          19
Merton Covid-19 Vaccination
Page 20

Programme Update

          Bringing together Croydon, Kingston, Merton, Richmond, Sutton and Wandsworth

                                                                                         20
Priority cohorts
          •   All our Merton GP led vaccination centres are now up and running, so that all our GP registered
              population is now covered. GP practices are working together at these sites in their Primary Care
              Networks to deliver the vaccine programme on top of their business-as-usual service caring for
              patients. This means that most primary care sites are vaccinating three or four days a week. We are
              also fortunate in Merton this week to have some support from the Army.
          •
Page 21

              A team of six Army vaccinators will be on hand at the Wilson on Friday, and the Nelson on Saturday,
              to help support the local teams’ efforts at their clinics this week. You will have seen that this week the
              Government have asked us to add the over 70s to the groups of patients the NHS should prioritise.
          •   Each GP site will add the over 70s to the list of patients they call for appointments.
          •   The over 80s continue to be the first priority and because not all our vaccination sites went live at the
              same time, some over 80s have not yet been contacted.
          •   We expect the majority of over 80s to have been offered the vaccine by the end of January and
              those over 70 to have been offered the vaccine by 15 February 2021. Those over 70 will be able to
              come forward and receive the vaccine throughout the Covid-19 vaccination programme.

                                                                                                                           21
Vaccination data
          •   Localised data is not yet available, the information is held at a national level and
              is expected to be announced later today at
              https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccination/
          •   The NHS will continue to contact people directly to invite them to receive the
              vaccine when it is their turn. This may be via the phone, text message or letter
Page 22

              from a Merton GP practice. We thank everyone who is waiting to be contacted by
              the NHS, the NHS is working flat out to offer it to as quickly and safely as we
              can. The NHS will let people know when it is their turn.
          •   You can also find information about the Merton Covid-19 vaccination programme
              on our website at https://swlondonccg.nhs.uk/your-area/merton/merton-covid-19-
              vaccination-programme-update/
          •   Please do refer local people to these pages which includes a full list of the
              practices which are covered by each GP led vaccination site.

                                                                                                     22
Extract of data for London

                                                                                1st dose                    2nd dose
                                                                                                                                      Cumulative Total
          Region of Residence   ICS/STP of Residence
                                                                                Under 80     80+            Under 80    80+           Doses to Date

          UK Total                                                               1,871,910    1,685,937       104,076     319,522            3,981,445
Page 23

          London                East London Health and Care Partnership            40,972          27,886       2,438         5,821            77,117

          London                North London Partners in Health and Care           40,375          28,226       3,026         8,850            80,477

          London                North West London Health and Care Partnership      45,724          35,171       2,255         8,084            91,234

          London                Our Healthier South East London                    45,989          27,708       2,811         5,975            82,483

          London                South West London Health and Care Partnership      53,007          31,295       3,720         7,561            95,583

                                                                                                                                                         23
Hospital hubs and mass vaccination
          sites
          •   St Helier Hospital is now operating seven days a week with a focus on vaccinating front line
              health and care workers and those over 70s who are visiting the hospital for outpatient
              appointments or in hospital and well enough to receive the vaccine.
          •   You will have seen the announcement in the national media about large vaccination centres,
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              which are now operational. We are pleased that some Merton residents who are over 80 have
              received letters from the National Booking Services where they can book an appointment
              directly into one of these vaccination centres if they are available, our closest centres at the
              moment are the Excel Centre and Epsom Racecourse. Large vaccination sites will operate
              seven days a week. As more large vaccination centres come online there will be more choice
              for local people.
          •   We are also working hard to vaccinate care home residents and workers and hope to have
              offered all care home residents and workers the vaccination by Sunday 24 January 2021. We
              are also taking the vaccine to those patients who are housebound and require a home visit. If
              those people who are housebound are offered an appointment at a centre, they should talk to
              their GP at the point they are contacted.

                                                                                                                 24
JCVI priority groups for vaccination
          Priority groups as set out in the advice from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI).

                                                                                                       Prime Ministers pledge

                                                                                                       Groups 1 to 4 to be offered
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                                                                                                       the vaccine by Monday 15
                                                                                                       February 2021

                                                                                                       All care home staff and
                                                                                                       residents to be offered the
                                                                                                       vaccine by Sunday 24
                                                                                                       January 2021

                                                                                                       All front line health and care
                                                                                                       workers to be offered by end
                                                                                                       of January 2021

          This is the first wave of priority groups set out by the JCVI – after all over 50s have been offered the vaccine, the programme
          will be extended to the under 50s. The JCVI will lay out the next priority groups in the coming weeks. Covid vaccines are
          not licensed for minors.
                                                                                                                                            25
Covid vaccination
          – community engagement
Page 26

                  approach

                                   26
Areas and populations of interest
                                                                       Merton has an estimated population of 211,787
                                                                       residents. Significant social inequalities exist within
                                                                       Merton. The eastern half has a younger, poorer and
                                                                       more ethnically mixed population, with more areas of
                                                                       high deprivation. The western half is whiter, older, and
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                                                                       richer.

                                                                       Populations of   • Communities in areas of deprivation
                                                                       interest         • Communities with Ghanaian, Polish, Somali,
                                                                                          Tamil, Gypsy, Roma and Traveller
                                                                                          backgrounds
                                                                       Focus wards      • East Merton; esp. Figges Marsh, Pollards
                                                                                          Hill, Lavender Fields, St Helier.
                                                                                        • Gypsy, Roma and Traveller population in
                                                                                          Wimbledon Park.
          Source: English Indices of Deprivation
          https://imd2019.group.shef.ac.uk/ last accessed 10/09/2020

                                                                                                                                       27
Local approach – being iterated with
          local partners
             • We are focusing on strengthening the connections with formal and informal
               leaders in our populations of interest across the partnership

             • We are attending existing meetings and setting up dedicated meetings –
Page 28

               arranging for interpreters where necessary.

             • We are also recruiting to a roster of local clinicians - whose backgrounds are
               reflective of our populations of interest – to join meetings.

             • We are partnering with Public Health to support vaccine uptake through its
               Covid Champions.

             • We are also working with the Local Authority and VCSE sector to support
               Community Response Hub advisers to promote vaccine uptake

                                                                                                28
Merton: work to date
                                      Date of       Numbers
          Name or organisation                                        Type of community group
                                     session        attended
          Ethnic Minority Centre 17/12/2020       24            Minority ethnic communities
          Wimbledon Community 11/1/2020             7            All communities
          Association
Page 29

          Community Response 11/1/2020              7            All communities
          Hub Team meeting
          Public Health's Merton 13/1/2020 12- 12-1pm - 35 All communities
          Covid-19 Champions 1pm and 7-8pm 7-8pm - 19
          Merton Patient
                                  14/01/2021        20           All communities
          Engagement Group
          Wimbledon Community
                                  15/01/2021        4            All communities
          Association #2
          Merton Mencap           19/01/2021        22           LD/carers
           A further 9 sessions have been scheduled - reaching out to elderly communities, individuals
           with LD, carers, mental health, ethnic minority communities, deprived communities and young
           families.
                                                                                                         29
Future sessions
          Name of session                Date of outreach   Type of community group
          Sunshine Recovery Café         21-Jan-21          Mental Health
          Focus 4-1                      26-Jan-21          Mental Health/BAME
          Age UK                         27-Jan-21          Older people
Page 30

          Wimbledon Guild (for
          customers)                     28-Jan-21          Older people
          Wimbledon Guild (for staff &
          volunteers)                    28-Jan-21          Older people

          Wimbledon Guild (for anyone) 02-Feb-21            Older people
          Acacia centre families drop in
          #1                             03-Feb-21          Families/pregnancy
          Acacia centre - staff          05-Feb-21          Families/pregnancy
          Acacia centre families drop in
          #2                             04-Mar-21          Families/pregnancy

                                                                                      30
HWBB Community Subgroup Update
  - Engaging our communities
  Dr Dagmar Zeuner
Page 31

  26 January 2021
HWBB Community Subgroup – future focus
          • Subgroup established Aug 2020 to keep a focus on those disproportionately impacted by
            Covid-19 across Merton - in line with the HWBB key principle to work jointly with our
            community.
          • Subgroup more hands on, more diverse membership; HWBB giving oversight and
            strategic co-ordination of partners.
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          • HWBB is asked to agree to extend the Community Subgroup for six months - to
            September 2021 (when it will be reviewed).
          • The Subgroup will focus as a priority on tackling vaccine hesitancy – as a key element in
            the exacerbation of inequalities* - with those most vulnerable often being among the
            most hesitant.
          • Subgroup will also continue to help address misunderstanding and misinformation -
            through building trust and working with peers to reach all communities, to help promote
            and actively share clear communications.
                           *Exacerbation of inequalities subject of Michael Marmot Build Back Fairer report
                                                                                                         32
Vaccine Hesitancy
          Access
             • Problems with access can be misunderstood as refusal; the ask is for local, trusted and
               familiar, i.e. in community, faith or settings.
          Vaccine
             • Late adopters – need to see others/peers to be vaccinated first
             • Never – anti-vax, conspiracy theorists
Page 33

             • Queries/uncertainty/misunderstandings about specific issues:
                   •   Ingredients, including animal products, foetal products
                   •   Immune mechanism, including mRNA
                   •   Vaccine development & approval, including rushed, ethics (Pfizer history of African trials)
                   •   Side effects, including fertility; deaths in the very frail (Norway)
          Consequences of vaccination
             •   Mortality reduction (JVCI priority group 1-9 >90%)
             •   Transmission unclear (likely to be some protection but unlikely to be complete)
             •   Could it mean a change to my job?
             •   Vaccination passports
             •   New vaccine escape virus variants
Tackling vaccine hesitancy
          • Working jointly with NHS and partners – weekly briefing for Councillors.
          • Established network of 133 Covid Community Champions – growing all the time,
            Young Adult Community Champions and Under 18 Covid Champions network.
          • Working with VCS and other trusted local organisations
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             •   Commissioned BAME Voice engagement and resilience programme –reports end of February.
             •   Workshops with wider communities e.g. Polish and Eastern European Community.
             •   Age UK work with older people / case studies.
             •   Merton Mencap engagement and action programme– due to report phase one in March.
          • Using the insight we gain to improve our communications, messaging and offer
            to communities and helping the contacts we make to influence their peers,
            families (including intergenerational) and networks to improve understanding.
          • Supporting accessibility to vaccinations at trusted local sites (Government
            guidance expected)
Next steps
          • Confirm HWBB is happy to agree to continuation of its Community Subgroup for
            six months to September 2021?
          • Subgroup will work collaboratively to help increase the reach of clear effective
            messaging on vaccination across communities (where possible co-created with
            trusted local leaders and residents), particularly to those that are harder to
Page 35

            engage.
          • Also to improve accessibility to vaccination both through tackling misinformation
            and supporting the use of further local vaccination sites where possible within
            target communities.
          Question to HWBB members:
             • Suggestions and / or offers on how to extend the reach of engagement and
               take up of vaccination among harder to reach groups.
MERTON COUNCIL

                       Merton’s Climate Strategy and
                                Action Plan
                                   January 2021
Page 36
MERTON COUNCIL

                                   Merton’s Emissions
                       Tackling major sources of
                  greenhouse gas emissions require
                    three major transformations by
                                 2050:

                       1) Working towards a green
                          and circular economy.
Page 37

                       2) A shift towards low carbon
                          buildings and energy.

                       3) A transition in transport
                          towards walking, cycling
                          and electric vehicles.

                           Trees and other natural
                       resources have a role to play
                        in adapting to the impacts of
                              climate change.
MERTON COUNCIL
                                  Health and Climate Links
                 Key Outcomes of Health         Health/Climate    Action Areas in
                 and Wellbeing Strategy         common aims       Climate Strategy

                                          Tackle fuel poverty    Buildings and Energy
                 Protecting from
                                          Reduce overheating /
                 harm and
                                          flooding
                 providing safety
Page 38

                                          Reduce air pollution
                                                                       Transport

                 Making the               More active Travel
                 healthy life style
                 choice easy              Lower-meat diets
                                                                    Green Economy

                 Promoting good           Greener borough
                 mental health                                       Greening Merton
                                          Social inclusion
                 and emotional
                 wellbeing                Greater empowerment
MERTON COUNCIL

                           Organisational Emissions
                  The NHS produces over 1/3 of public sector emissions, and 1 st October 2020 were
                              the first health service to committed to a net-zero NHS
Page 39

                Merton’s estate strategy should be
                 consistent with Net-zero targets
MERTON COUNCIL

                         Opportunities beyond the
                       current Climate Delivery Plan
                                           Quick wins:
                           Joint statement for healthy people and planet
Page 40

                                  Support NHS net-zero targets
                                  Support Climate Action Group
                                     Develop shared comms

                                  Fill gaps with longer term project
                                            development:

                                      Deep retrofit for fuel poor
                              Behaviour change projects linked to diet
                                 and exercise for young people
MERTON COUNCIL

                       End
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