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International Gas October 2020 Published by International Systems and Communications Limited (ISC) in conjunction with the International Gas Union (IGU). Copyright © 2020. The entire content of this publication is protected by copyright, full details of which are available from the publisher. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems or transmitted in any form or by any means – electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise – without the prior permission of the copyright owner. International Systems and International Gas Union Communications Limited PO Box 3 140 Tachbrook Street Plaça del Gas, 1 London SW1V 2NE BTA-02 England 08003 Barcelona Spain Telephone: + 44 20 7901 3830 Facsimile: + 44 20 7901 3838 Telephone: + 34 93 412 9789 E-mail: general@isyscom.com Facsimile: + 34 93 402 5426 Website: www.isyscom.com E-mail: secretariat@igu-gasnatural.com Website: www.igu.org
Vision and Mission The International Gas Union (IGU) is a worldwide, non- IGU works to improve the competitiveness profit organisation promoting the progress of the gas of gas in the world energy markets by promoting industry. Through its many member countries and transparency, public acceptance efforts and the corporations representing over 95% of the global gas removal of supply and market access barriers. market, IGU covers all aspects of the gas industry. IGU seeks to collaborate with governmental agencies and multilateral organisations to Vision demonstrate the economic, social and As the global voice of gas, IGU seeks to improve the environmental benefits of gas in the global quality of life by advancing gas as a key contributor energy mix. to a sustainable energy future. IGU supports and facilitates the development of new technologies and best practices, while Mission emphasising sound environmental performance, IGU is the key and credible advocate of political, safety, reliability and efficiency across the entire technical and economic progress of the global gas value chain. industry, directly and through its members and in IGU maximises the value of its services to collaboration with other multilateral organisations. members and other stakeholders. 4 Visi o n a n d M i s s i o n
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Contents OCTOBER 2020 Introduction Why LNG is the best deep-sea marine fuel option today 44 Vision and Mission 4 By Peter Keller Message from the President and the Secretary General 8 News 53 Update on IGU’s current work programme 12 By Jeongwook Khang IGU awards at WGC 2021 56 Reports from the Regional Coordinators 60 Members’ corner 64 Features 17 Presenting IGU’s new members 68 The mixed impacts of coronavirus on Activities of IGU 72 the Latin American gas markets 20 By Mauro Chavez and Rodrigo Rosas Global Gas Report predicts growth will resume 76 Cost-effective and clean ways of producing IGU publishes latest wholesale gas price survey 78 hydrogen from natural gas 26 Gas technology and innovation for a By Alexander Ishkov, Konstantin Romanov, sustainable future 80 Roman Teterevlev and Maximilian Kuhn The roll-out of hydrogen in Korea 32 IGU Organisation 84 By Yoon Namgoong Members of IGU 86 Smart gas metering: A Portuguese project 38 By Nuno Nascimento and Mariana Paiva Events and Acknowledgements 88 The opinions and views expressed by the authors in this magazine are not necessarily those of IGU, its members or the publisher. While every care has been taken in the preparation of this magazine, they are not responsible for the authors’ opinions or for any inaccuracies in the articles. 7
I NTRODUCT I ON MESSAGE FROM THE PRESIDENT AND THE SECRETARY GENERAL Dear Colleagues, ful webinars, since we launched the Welcome to the final edition of the service this summer, and plan to IGU print magazine. continue with this new feature. While It is hard to believe, but we are some of the webinars will be com now well into year three of the Korean pletely open to the public, others will Presidency, and this year has been be restricted to IGU members only. one to put us all to a test. On April 27, we released the 2020 We are so proud to represent an World LNG Report, our flagship annual industry that showed commitment publication, providing key insights into and compassion in navigating this LNG industry developments during challenging time. We are proud of 2019 and a glimpse into the future of the people that continued to not key developments and trends in the only reliably deliver essential energy world of LNG. to markets, but also support their In June, we released the first IGU communities and frontline workers. digital magazine, Global Voice of Gas Our hats are off to all of you! (GVG). GVG will replace the physical While much progress has been magazine, and it will set a new made in coming out of the Covid-19 standard in communication for the pandemic health crisis, and the signs natural gas community worldwide. of economic recovery may be emerg Produced in collaboration with Joo-Myung (Joe) Kang (right) and ing, there is still some uncertainty Luis Bertrán Rafecas. Natural Gas World, GVG will be a ahead, and we continue to operate quarterly digital magazine bringing in an adaptive environment. in the key global energy discussions. new insights and analysis to the global Here at IGU, the team has also been We have been learning and adapting gas community. working hard to actively respond to to the new environment to make sure On July 2, 2020, we released the this new environment and focus on that we are there for the industry Wholesale Gas Price Survey – 2020 delivering value to our members. effectively and timely. Edition, another valued flagship report. We have redoubled our digital efforts, The survey is the 12th in a series that and despite the travel restrictions, Key developments began in 2005. see great engagement from the IGU These are some of the highlights from Also in July, we published, in membership taking advantage of the IGU activities, since our last update. collaboration with the Boston digital connectivity and participating Consulting Group, and funding in our new webinar service. We have Reports and publications support from BP and Snam, a new successfully launched our flagship IGU has launched a new webinar series. key report Gas Technology and reports and continued participating We have already delivered five success Innovation for a Sustainable Future 8 Message from the President and the Secretary General
I NTRODUCT I ON that quantifies the contribution that The election will take place Research, development and gas technologies can make to the during the virtual Council meeting innovation (RD&I) play a key role for success of the global energy transition, on November 18-19, 2020. For more the gas industry and the challenges help-ing to build sustainable cities information about the election and and the opportunities that RD&I and communities and to provide voting procedures, please contact can address are critical to future access to affordable and clean energy. the IGU Secretariat. growth and development. More It features robust analysis demon broadly, the industry must demon strating economic deployment Pandemic Advisory Group strate that gas is the fastest, most potential across 12 gas technology The Pandemic Advisory Group was economical way to a sustainable categories, which cumulatively can established to provide advice and energy future through innovations help avoid 12 Gigatons of CO2 guidance to the IGU leadership on in gas technology. emissions, or a third of all global how to best cope and navigate The IGU Research Conference energy sector emissions. through the challenges brought serves to facilitate the discussion and In early August, together with about by the global pandemic. debate around these issues as well as research company BloombergNEF The first greatest near-term challenge to display the technological develop (BNEF) and Snam, we released the was to review the manner in which ments becoming available to support annual Global Gas Report 2020. This the fall Executive Committee and the industry's future. year’s edition traditionally reviews Council meetings were to be held You will be able to learn more key global industry developments virtually, including conducting the details of these events and much and major trends, as well as assessing important 2024-2027 Presidential more as you read through this the impact of Covid-19 on the industry election. The group has also been magazine edition. and recovery projections. It also working on the process and actions Last but not least, we continue features a special focus chapter on the needed in case WGC2021 would be working very hard on a smooth prospects for global hydrogen markets postponed to 2022. transition to our Permanent Head development and what needs to quarters in London by July 2021. happen on the policy side for these Future event news As always, we encourage your prospects to materialise. We are pleased to announce comments and feedback. It is our If you haven’t already, grab together with our co-organisers, the utmost priority to listen to our mem your copies of these reports at: Gas Technology Institute (GTI) and the bers’ needs. Please get in touch by www.igu.org. International Institute of Refrigeration writing to us at info@igu.org. (IIR) that the world’s most important Thank you for your continued Election for the Presidency liquefied natural gas conference, support and active engagement as of IGU 2024-2027 LNG2025, will be held in Doha, Qatar. we work to advance the natural gas On June 3, 2020, the Executive We congratulate Qatar and wish them industry and enhance IGU’s relevance Committee endorsed Orlando success in the preparations! in this changing global climate. Cabrales Segovia from Colombia We would also like to share that and Andrea Stegher from Italy, as the all IGU Charter Members have been Joo-Myung (Joe) Kang candidates for the post of IGU invited to submit an Expression of IGU President President 2024-2027 and host of the Interest (EOI) to host the IGU Research Luis Bertrán Rafecas 30th World Gas Conference. Conference (IGRC) in 2023. IGU Secretary General Message from the President and the Secretary General 9
We see And in natural gas, possibilities in the smart partner the sun and wind. to renewables.
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I NTRODUCT I ON Update on IGU’s current work programme IGU’s committees and task forces are continuing their work under the Korean Presidency. By Jeongwook Khang IGU’s 2018-2021 work programme is issues across the global gas industry at: Future gas demand in the world being carried out under the theme and cover the full gas value chain. energy mix; Future gas exploration “A Sustainable Future – Powered by The call for papers was launched on and development to satisfy demand; Gas” and the Union’s 11 committees May 29 and the response has been and Digitisation in the E&P of natural and two of the three task forces are excellent. There is still time for sub gas. It is also organising two T&I now focusing on preparations for missions via www.wgc2021.org as sessions on: Frontier E&P tech the 28th World Gas Conference, the closing date is the end of 2020. nologies for natural gas; and Gas which will be held in Daegu, Korea, Abstracts submitted for each topic production stimulation and June 21-25, 2021. will be assessed on a range of criteria recovery improvement. The committees and task forces including originality, objectivity and The R&D and Innovation (with the exception of Task Force 1) quality of exposition, while geo Committee is responsible for three are responsible for organising WGC graphical diversity will be sought for II sessions looking at: Decarbon 2021’s technical programme. There each session. isation: The role of gas technologies will be 39 Industry Insight (II) sessions To give some examples of in moving towards a low-carbon and 26 Technology and Innovation the topics, the Exploration and society; Decentralisation: The role of (T&I) sessions, which will look at Production (E&P) Committee is gas technologies to realise a resilient, commercial, strategic and technical organising three II sessions looking robust and smart society; and Game- Members of the Strategy Committee during their last physical meeting in Tel Aviv in February. 12 Update on IGU’s current work programme
I NTRODUCT I ON IGU committees and task forces chairs and technical sessions at WGC 2021 Industry Technology & Insight Innovation Exploration and Production Ekaterina Litvinova, Russian Federation 3 2 Storage John Heer, USA 4 2 Transmission Patrick Pelle, France 3 3 Distribution José Carlos Broisler Oliver, Brazil 2 2 Utilisation Roger Serrat, Spain 3 3 Sustainability M. Azhar A. Satar, Malaysia 4 3 Strategy Dr Gerald Linke, Germany 4 3 Gas Markets Christina Zhaoyan Liu, China 3 2 LNG Farid Berrahou, Algeria 3 2 Marketing and Communications Pierre Bartholomeus, The Netherlands 3 2 R&D and Innovation Dr Hisataka Yakabe, Japan 3 2 Task Force 1: Strategic Communications Mark McCrory, United Kingdom * * and Outreach Task Force 2: Energy for All Barbara Jinks, Australia 2 - Task Force 3: Energy Policy Hedayat Omidvar, Iran 2 - Totals 39 26 *Task Force 1’s role is to provide support, guidance and strategic direction for the Public Affairs Director and his team and it does not normally contribute to the WGC 2021 roster of papers. changing LNG technologies. It is also emissions and for ensuring the countries normally meet twice a collaborating with the Transmission introduction of renewable gases; year with members taking turns to Committee on two T&I sessions Innovations in gas transmission host the gatherings, but the global looking at the implementation of networks: a booster for the flexibility pandemic has put a temporary cutting-edge technologies for: of energy markets; and IoT and AI: stop to this. The last physical Digitisation; and Mixing gases. The two allies to optimise risks and meetings were of Task Force 2 in For its part, the Transmission costs in gas transmission networks. Bonn, Germany, February 10-12, Committee is responsible for three Task Force 2 – Energy for All is and of the Strategy Committee in II sessions looking at: Advances in responsible for two II sessions asking Tel Aviv, Israel, February 26-28. the reduction of greenhouse gas the questions: Who will facilitate and Since then there have been several (GHG) emissions and in transporting fund energy access? Energy access – online meetings. renewable gases in transmission Where can gas be the solution? For any further information please systems; Gas transmission networks For the Plenaries, Current Debate contact the Deputy Manager of the to enhance the vitality of energy sessions and Luncheon Addresses, the Korea Presidency Team, Ms Seyoung markets; and Social value creation for Coordination Committee working with Ha (syha@wgc2021.kr) or me directly transmission system operators and the Presidency has selected the topics (jwkhang@wgc2021.kr). stakeholders. It is also responsible for and is inviting high-level speakers. three T&I sessions: The development The committees and task forces Jeongwook Khang is the Chair of IGU’s of technologies for minimising GHG with a membership of 897 from 49 Coordination Committee. Update on IGU’s current work programme 13
Meeting the world’s energy demands Qatargas provides quality LNG and other hydrocarbon products to the global market safely and reliably. We operate 14 mega LNG trains with a total production capacity of 77 million tonnes per annum, two of the world’s largest condensate refineries, two sales gas facilities, two helium plants, and a chartered fleet of 70 LNG vessels. Through efficient and reliable operations, commitment to our customers and the environment, we supply cleaner energy to the world. The World’s Premier LNG Company www.qatargas.com
Features This issue’s features section starts with a report on the impact of Coronavirus on gas markets in Latin America and the Caribbean. Next up are two hydrogen articles, the first looking at ways of producing hydrogen from natural gas and the second at the roll-out of hydrogen in Korea. Then we have a report from Portugal on a smart gas metering pilot project and an article looking at LNG as a marine fuel. 17
A better world With natural gas as the world’s cleanest and most efcient fossil fuel, Oman LNG’s operations near the Omani city of Sur, is helping to make for a better world. Since starting production in 2000, we have delivered over 2,300 cargoes to customers, remaining a reliable supplier of liqueed natural gas that is helping to reduce carbon emissions and preserve the earth’s natural environment for fu- ture generations to enjoy. For centuries, this beautiful coast- bound nation of Oman was a trade centre connecting different parts of the world through vibrant and ourishing commerce relations. Trade that suppor- ted lives in far lands. At Oman LNG, we continue that tradition of seafarers and commerce through bringing energy to many corners of the world. Oman Liqueed Natural Gas LLC (Oman LNG) is a joint venture company estab- lished by a Royal Decree in 1994 operat- ing under the laws of the Sultanate of Oman. The company engages in the busi- ness of producing and selling liqueed natural gas (LNG), and its by-product, nat- ural gas liquids (NGLs) and operates three liquefaction trains at its plant in Qalhat, serve in Ras al Jinz in the eastern region stimulating local business ventures by South Sharqiyah Governorate. of the country boasting one of the enabling Small Medium Enterprises world’s largest breeding beaches for (SMEs), a major cornerstone of Oman’s Hand-in-hand with our operations Greenback Turtles. economy, to ourish and providing comes a strong health, safety and en- equal opportunities to compete for all vironment performance. Our recent As a company our responsibility to our service contracts. achievement of over 30 million man- staff, contractors and the community is hours without a Lost-Time Injury (LTI) is to provide a safe environment so that The company is a corporate and social re- testament to our HSE excellence, and they can come to work and return sponsible organisation by maximising an exemplary diligence and commit- home to their families, safely every day. benets to the employees, stakeholders ment to the safety of our people, envir- and community and has a well-designed onment, and communities where we Through our empowerment philo- alignment between sustainable social operate. Our processes meet the sophy, we continue to develop talent development and the business. highest of ISO standards, which we are and help remove barriers to reach suc- proud to maintain every year and our cess. Our aim is to develop all staff to From powering large industries, to ceaseless efforts to support the envir- their fullest potential. We support in- keeping homes warm and the lights onment through the sponsoring of country value through focused efforts on, Oman LNG is your reliable energy various initiatives such as the Turtle Re- towards developing local talent and partner.
pany’s social investment programmes development plans implemented in Perpetual sustainable have spanned the length and breadth the Sultanate. investments in the society of the country with thousands of pro- of Oman jects ranging from healthcare and edu- Oman LNG Development Foundation cation to preserving the environment supports Oman LNG’s ambitious vis- Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) and road safety; reecting its sincere ion and dedication towards CSR. The has been an integral part of Oman LNG interest to embed the principles of so- Foundation champions private sector with a focused objective: to deliver tan- cial responsibility as part of its core ex- contribution to the development of gible value to Oman and its people istence. Through strengthening the Oman and its people, through CSR through social investment by capital- cooperation between the public and and citizenship, as an active contrib- ising on the country’s natural gas re- private sector, the projects and pro- utor to social and societal welfare, source. The company allocates annually grammes aim to supplement the and through proactively addressing 1.5% net income after tax (NIAT) to vari- national economy and ambitious community needs. ous social investment and sustainable programmes; a commitment set when the company was founded. In addition, before the rst cargoes left the LNG plant, the company invested in sustain- able development projects for the com- munity which speaks volumes about the company’s business principles; that Oman LNG’s initial investment in social development began even before the production line was fully functional. Today, Oman LNG’s CSR programmes, delivered through Oman LNG Develop- ment Foundation, span the entire na- tion and contribute to the socio- economic development of the country. Over the past nineteen years, the com- omanlng.com oman-lng-l-l-c- @OmanLNG Oman LNG omanlngllc
F EATURES The mixed impacts of coronavirus on the Latin American gas markets In the run-up to the virtual Latin America and Caribbean Gas Conference in February 2021, and a pre-event on November 26, organised by EnergyNet in partnership with IGU and supported by OLADE and ARPEL, this Wood Mackenzie report looks at recent developments. By Mauro Chavez and Rodrigo Rosas Latin America and the Caribbean is closely to industry development, and measures tightened to contain the one of the regions that have been hit so, industrial gas demand. With con spread of the coronavirus, the severity harder by the coronavirus disease (see tinuous GDP growth since 2005, indus of economic impacts deepened while Figure 1). The pandemic affected Latin trial gas demand had always moved in also eroding energy needs. America at a time of economic weak the same direction – including the Demand-side impacts are already ness and macroeconomic vulnerability. period between 2007-2009 when both visible. The coronavirus pandemic has The mix of external and domestic declined due to the global financial taken its toll over industrial activity factors could pose challenges for the crisis and the swine flu pandemic. and the whole market, reducing development of the gas and power Once again, history repeats itself. energy needs significantly. In April, industries in the region. Since 2019, GDP growth has slowed we observed a 6.1% decline in elec due to political and regulatory tricity demand year-over-year, while Mexico uncertainties causing turmoil in the gas decreased by 10% compared to Gas markets have suffered as industrial Mexican economy. Before the corona the previous month. activity has stalled in the last months. virus crisis, we estimated Mexico’s eco According to Wood Mackenzie’s For Mexico, Covid-19 impacts are evi nomic activity would regain momen analysis, a 5% decline year-over-year dent. Mexico’s GDP expansion is tied tum in 2020. But, as social distancing in domestic gas demand can be expected, affecting the two engines of growth; the industrial and power GDP growth in Latin America 1990-2020 sectors (see Figure 2). However, a 15% glimmer of hope remains on the GDP growth (%) 10% horizon. While the country is facing 5% new regulatory changes impacting 0 renewable energy investments, gas- -5% based capacity remains the base- -10% load technology. -15% Just in 2020, close to 3 GW of 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 flexible and highly efficient combined- Latin America & Caribbean Mexico Brazil Argentina cycle plants are scheduled to start operations, which follows several new Figure 1. 20 The mixed impacts of coronavirus on the Latin American gas markets
F EATURES supply below our previous forecast Mexico gas demand forecast until the 2040s, featuring a material 8 price premium for Henry Hub. These bcf/d 7 effects quickly cascade down to 6 5 Mexico, pressuring prices upward. 4 We anticipate a national average of 3 US$3.8/mmbtu in 2021-2025, an 2 1 increase of 53% from current levels. 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Power RCA* Industrial Oil & Gas** Pre-coronavirus forecast Brazil and Bolivia * RCA = Residential, commercial and agriculture **Oil & Gas excludes Pemex E&P demand Brazil is one of the countries that suffered the most in terms of gas Figure 2. demand reduction (see Figure 3). large combined-cycle plants in 2019 per day on average by year-end, Due to this gas demand reduction, as well. Although no material growth despite the fact that Permian gas Petrobras had to force thermal power in gas demand for 2020 awaits, over production is 13% lower from March operation to maintain the minimum the long term, we remain confident peak levels after a series of shut-in feed gas volumes required to ensure the market will continue to grow at wells. Looking ahead, US piped imports the integrity of its upstream produc 2% (compound annual growth rate) remain as the primary supply source, tion. This came along with a set of throughout 2040. increasing by 42% in 2030, reaching force-majeure claims, including the Pipeline imports from the United the 7.3 bcf (204 mcm) per day mark. sole longstanding import agreement States saw a significant decrease in Following an unprecedented oil between state-owned companies April, following the pandemic effects. market collapse, North American Petrobras and Bolivia’s YPFB. Our pre-coronavirus forecast consi associated gas supply has been sharply April 2020 was extremely difficult dered 5.4 bcf (151 mcm) per day from hit. Even as oil prices recover, we for Bolivia’s gas market, as Brazil’s pipeline imports, but as mentioned expect a lower rig-to-price relationship, offtake hit a record low of 10 mcm/d, before, the economy took a heavy meaning a North American associated and Argentina was importing just 10.5 blow. Economic activity decreased by 17.3%, while imports fell by 14% (4.6 bcf or 129 mcm per day) month- Demand gas reduction in Brazil due to coronavirus crisis 76.0 over-month. 80 Mcm/d 70 0.2 66.0 However, recovery in gas flows -3.2 60 -7.0 54.4 is already visible, as the lockdown Difference in demand Feb-Mar -7.5 50 -3.3 -0.8 measures began to be eased in early 40 Difference in demand Mar-Apr June. With the completion of the 30 Wahalajara corridor – a pipeline linking 20 10 the Waha play in the USA’s Permian 0 basin with Guadalajara in Mexico – February 2020 March 2020 April 2020 in mid-2020, we estimate pipeline Power sector Fertiliser Refinery Local distribution companies (LDCs) imports to recover to 5.2 bcf (146 mcm) Figure 3. The mixed impacts of coronavirus on the Latin American gas markets 21
F EATURES mcm/d. And on top of that, domestic reform in Brazil, as Petrobras currently economy was struggling. The govern demand fell to to 7 mcm/d, and on controls 100% of transport capacity, ment at the time capped prices to end- some weekends 4 mcm/d. This created which avoids commercialisation bet users in an attempt to support the an issue to manage reservoir integrity ween independent pre-salt producers economy. However, price regulation for non-associated gas fields. and local distribution companies, proved uneconomical for producers, Gas consumption in the power thermal power plants and industries. and upstream investment stalled, sector will be the most affected in At the writing of this report, the causing supply to go into decline. the long-term. In recent years, Latin Congress has approved the vote of the The drop in production eventually America held a set of auctions for New Gas Law, which will provide legal created supply shortfalls, and ulti renewable projects that resulted in background for new gas transport mately the government introduced gas a capacity expansion for electricity agreements using the entry-exit tariff price subsidy regimes from 2013 to using demand forecasts based on system. This was not encompassed by resuscitate the country’s exploration high GDP performance. Therefore, the the 2009 Gas Law. and production sector. oversupply of renewables has become Coronavirus and the oil price crash Argentina appears to be reviving more critical with electricity demand have also resulted in major capex this approach. The new administration destruction in the medium-term, and investment cuts in the region. Wood is introducing intervention to cap gas this will result in low utilisation factors Mackenzie’s upstream team estimates a prices to support the country’s strugg of thermal power plants and limited capital spend down by 39% in 2020 in ling economy. As history has shown us, opportunities for thermal power Latin America compared to pre-crash there will be a supply decline response. auctions in South America. levels; and the countries most affected Unlike before, these days 40% of Brazil continues to attract M&A are Venezuela, Brazil and Argentina. production is from steep-declining investments, as Petrobras is executing unconventional fields. This indicates according to schedule its commitments Argentina that supply shortfalls will be steep and to divest gas transport and distribution In the case of Argentina, on top of the swift. Having ended the contract for assets in Brazil. Over this year, Petrobras macroeconomic and coronavirus crisis, one of its two floating storage and is selling its 51% participation in the new administration started gas regasification units (FSRUs) in 2018, Gasbol, 10% participation in NTS, the price control measures. To maintain the country is now likely to need to transport company of the southeast low gas prices for end-users, the new bring back an FSRU as soon as next of Brazil, and 51% in Gaspetro, the administration has imposed a tariff year, and LNG imports are likely to rise holding that owns 19 local distribution freeze until the end of 2020. over US$0.7 billion by 2022 from companies across Brazil. In July, it Enargas, the national gas regu- US$0.4 billion in 2019. As LNG imports concluded the sale of its remaining latory agency, uses an exchange rate are paid by the Argentinian state 10% of the gas pipeline company TAG of ARS$42/US$1 for gas prices to regu energy company, IEASA, with transfers to the consortium Engie and CDPQ, lated users when nowadays the from the national treasury, this could a Canadian institutional investor. exchange rate is over ARS$70/US$1. add more stress to Argentina’s capacity In 2020, it was expected that there In addition to this, Enargas has not to pay external debt. would be a public call to tender trans revised its transportation and port capacity for NTS and TAG, but this distribution tariffs since April last year. Chile is likely to be postponed to 2021. This Argentina has been in a similar For Chile’s gas market, the sharp is pivotal for the desired gas market situation before. In 2002, the country’s decline in Argentina’s domestic 22 The mixed impacts of coronavirus on the Latin American gas markets
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F EATURES c El Salvador’s gas- to-power project will see the start of LNG imports by the end of 2021. Work has started on a regasi fication module that will be installed onboard the BW Tatiana (formerly the Shell tanker Gallina) which is being converted into an FSRU by BW LNG. production will compromise gas and the Dominican Republic report from oil-fired generation to decrease piped imports. Fortunately for the an increase in LNG imports. However, its exposure to price volatility, reduce Chilean buyers, this is happening we expect LNG imports to decrease generation costs and comply with in a record low LNG price environ- by 4% from our pre-coronavirus environmental policies. ment, so importing LNG is at rela- forecast for both islands. tively little incremental cost to The pandemic effects leave our Mauro Chavez is a Principal Analyst and Argentinian pipeline imports. And view in the Caribbean relatively Rodrigo Rosas is a Senior Analyst both Chile could increase its LNG imports unchanged over the next years, given covering Latin America gas and LNG at to support its coal decommission- the significant efforts to shift away Wood Mackenzie (www.woodmac.com). ing programme. Caribbean LNG imports in Latin America and the Caribbean 2013-2020 In the Caribbean, there are mixed 18 mmtpa stories. In Puerto Rico, the biggest 16 Puerto Rico 14 Panama LNG market in the region shows a 12 Mexico notable decrease in LNG imports Jamaica 10 due to the combined impact of the Dominican Republic 8 Colombia earthquake in early January and 6 Chile coronavirus. According to the US 4 Brazil Argentina Department of Energy, between 2 January and April, the island received 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 8.274 bcf (232 mcm), a 60% decline Note: El Salvador and Nicaragua are expected to start LNG imports by the end of 2021. year-over-year. In contrast, Jamaica Figure 4. 24 The mixed impacts of coronavirus on the Latin American gas markets
F EATURES Cost-effective and clean ways of producing hydrogen from natural gas Hydrogen has an important role to play in meeting climate targets and can be produced from natural gas with zero greenhouse gas emissions. Here we look at developments that can be applied in the EU. By Alexander Ishkov, Konstantin Romanov, Roman Teterevlev and Maximilian Kuhn The step-by-step decarbonisation as studies consistently indicate that of natural gas, which produces in the of the EU’s energy system based on hydrogen produced from water by order of 9 kg of CO2e per kg of hydro expanding the use of natural gas, using electrolysis using renewable energy gen. However, the proposed carbon methane-hydrogen blends and pro will be significantly more expensive intensity target is half this which ducing hydrogen from natural gas can than low- and zero-carbon hydrogen means that the continued use of con reduce greenhouse gas emissions produced from natural gas, certainly ventional steam methane reforming (GHG) by up to three-quarters. up to 2050 and probably beyond. This (SMR) would require a substantial Indeed, the long-term potential of is because water electrolysis is highly scaling up of carbon capture, use natural gas lies in the possibility of energy intensive, requiring between and storage technologies (CCUS). producing CO2 emissions-free hydro 48 and 77.5 kWhel per kg of hydrogen gen from methane. This will be vital produced (based on published data). Methane pyrolysis for the EU to achieve its objective of a Currently, hydrogen is most com An alternative and highly promising cost-effective decarbonisation policy, monly produced via steam reforming hydrogen production method is methane pyrolysis which decomposes methane into hydrogen and solid car Methane pyrolysis has significant potential to create bon in the absence of oxygen and, thus, new market opportunities without direct CO2 emissions. A high temperature above 1,000ºC is neces METHANE PYROLYSIS 4 1 Low carbon sary for the thermal decomposition. GAS THERMAL PYROLYSIS CATALYTIC PYROLYSIS Н hydrogen Cost effective The use of a catalyst helps to increase the reaction rate and thus reduces the 1.008 The EU reaction temperature. Different tech PLASMA PYROLYSIS 6 market nology routes are based on methane Grid / RES MOLTEN MEDIA PYROLYSIS C carbon Environmentally pyrolysis including thermal, catalytic (as well as thermo-catalytic), plasma 12.011 friendly and molten-media processes. Major EU companies and institutes Note: Hydrogen atomic number 1 and atomic mass 1.008; Carbon atomic number 6 and atomic mass 12.011. such as BASF, the Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS), the 26 Cost-effective and clean ways of producing hydrogen from natural gas
F EATURES readiness levels are based on a scale from 1 to 9 with 9 being the most mature technology.) The energy required for the pyrolysis reaction can be provided by grid or renewable electricity, natural gas feedstock or hydrogen produced as part of the process. The electricity consumption for methane pyrolysis is estimated at up to 20 kWh per kg of hydrogen. Uses of solid carbon Solid carbon is a valuable material for the industrial and building sectors as Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), catalytic methane pyrolysis. Russian well as in electrical engineering and Linde and Thyssenkrupp have focused companies such as Gazprom are inv electronics, which allows for an overall on a thermal decomposition process estigating plasma methane pyrolysis. optimisation of production costs. and molten metal systems. Monolith in The technological maturity of methane Carbon black is used as a reinforcing the USA is pursuing plasma technology pyrolysis processes is estimated to be filler in the manufacture of car tyres and the Australian Hazer Process uses in the range of TRL 4-8. (Technological and also as a pigment in plastics, z As well as hydrogen, methane pyrolysis produces high-purity, granular carbon. v BASF is one of the companies experi menting with methane pyrolysis in special laboratories and it is working to implement the process on a pilot scale Cost-effective and clean ways of producing hydrogen from natural gas 27
F EATURES c Carbon nanotube filaments, called yarn, can be com bined with carbon fibre to make toughened braided textiles. The strong, lightweight material is cured with a polymer matrix to strengthen compo sites for aircraft applications like fan blades and fuselage components. printing inks and paints. Other uses of carbon. Carbon fibres are used as part technologies is that these technologies carbon black include as an ultraviolet of composite materials. Graphene is a can potentially use methane from any (UV) stabiliser in plastic pipes and in relatively new material known for its source, including biomass, industrial electronics. To facilitate handling, car high strength and conductivity with and animal waste as well as sewage, bon can be formed into pellets. Carbon applications in the aerospace and and can be an important part of the is non-toxic should components leach automotive sectors, for wind turbines EU’s future circular economy. In out or release into groundwater when and in construction. Possible appli addition, they can be used in the stored underground. cations include semiconductors, regions where CCUS is unavailable thus Another solid carbon product, batteries and electronics. Nanotube expanding the opportunities for low- synthetic graphite, can be used as an carbon is used in polymers, plastics and zero-carbon hydrogen production anode in lithium-ion batteries, which and batteries. in the EU. Unlike gaseous CO2, solid are used in portable electronic devices The utilisation for soil improvement carbon is easy to store and is non-toxic. such as smart phones, cordless devices with positive environmental effects or power tools and electric vehicles. (long-term carbon soil sequestration) Economic and emissions benefits Synthetic graphite can also be used is another market for solid carbon. Perhaps most importantly, hydrogen as an electrode in steel production in The production of solid carbon as produced from natural gas via methane electric arc furnaces or as a refractory a part of the hydrogen production pyrolysis can have truly zero and even (heat-resistant material) in furnaces process will therefore not only reduce negative emissions. These hydrogen and crucibles. GHG emissions but will also create new technologies produce no direct СО2 Other carbon products include market opportunities. Another compe emissions, and their indirect emissions graphene, carbon fibres and nanotube titive advantage of methane pyrolysis depend on the carbon footprint of 28 Cost-effective and clean ways of producing hydrogen from natural gas
F EATURES natural gas and electricity used to of hydrogen) and steam reforming developing hydrogen energy in the power the process. ($1.03-$2.16 per kg of hydrogen). EU. A step-by-step decarbonisation Technologically driven minimal of the EU economy based on the use fugitive methane emissions from Technology neutrality of methane-hydrogen fuel and later properly sourced and transported In the light of these facts, when realis hydrogen could ensure the cost- natural gas, objectively verified, could ing the EU’s Hydrogen Strategy, it is effective achievement of the EU’s be potentially offset through important that the technology neutral climate goals for 2030 and 2050 while compensatory measures (for example, ity principle is upheld. Life cycles using existing gas infrastructure for [re-]forestation). And where renewable embracing all sustainable development natural gas supplies as a feedstock for electricity is used, the carbon intensity criteria and externalities – including hydrogen production. of the process is substantially reduced. but not limited to GHG emissions – The carbon intensity of hydrogen need to be fully taken into account. Professor Alexander Ishkov is Deputy produced by plasma methane pyrolysis Implementing discriminatory Head of Gazprom’s Strategy Department is estimated at 1.2-1.6 kg of CO2e per mechanisms aimed against hydrogen – Head of Directorate and a Doctor in kg of hydrogen (taking into account produced from natural gas in compli Chemistry. Dr Konstantin Romanov is the transportation of gas via Nord ance with carbon intensity require Head of Division at Gazprom’s Strategy Stream and the use of renewable ments could result in a cost-inefficient Department and a member of IGU’s power – wind, solar). Thus, the decarbonisation policy in the EU and Distribution Committee. Roman hydrogen produced by methane even might lead to an increase in Teterevlev is Deputy Head of Division at pyrolysis corresponds to “low-carbon GHG emissions. Gazprom’s Strategy Department and a hydrogen” in accordance with the It therefore makes sense to exploit member of IGU’s Strategy Committee. published EU Hydrogen Strategy. the ecological, economic and techno Dr Maximilian Kuhn works in Group By way of comparison, the figures logical advantages of natural gas while Relations (GR/PR) at Gazprom Germania. for electrolysis (wind, solar) stand at 0.6-3.7 kg of CO2e per kg of hydrogen (the assessment takes into account the following stages: the construction of units, supplies of feedstock, direct emissions). Furthermore, and pending further research into using sea water, scaling up water electrolysis technology in the EU would require significant quantities of pure water. Methane pyrolysis also offers advan tages from an economic point of view. With hydrogen production costs of $1.36-$1.79 per kg currently forecast in the literature, pyrolysis is competitive with electrolysis ($4.61-$14.87 per kg A researcher examines a wafer with carbon nanotubes. Cost-effective and clean ways of producing hydrogen from natural gas 29
Green gas deployment Naturgy promotes the generation of renewable natural gas in Spain, a booming green fuel that is part of decarbonisation, contributing to the fight against climate change and is also part of the future Circular Economy. The gas industry, like the rest of the the system and, specifically, in France pursue an important number of initiatives productive sectors in Spain, is placing it is expected that by 2050 all gas will related to the various forms of RNG, increased emphasis on their environ- be renewable”, points out the Spanish investigating: the upgrading of biogas, mental performance and strategy. In this Gas Association (Sedigas). generated from waste products or crops to respect, it is striking to see how the gas Sedigas believes that half of the produce biomethane; and the gasification sector has been promoting numerous domestic demand for gas in Spain of biomass, crops and or residuals to renewable natural gas generation activities could be covered by 2030 with renew- produce renewable synthetic gas that is and projects over recent years, a new able gas given the volume of existing then treated to produce Bio-SNG. green fuel that is expected to displace waste products. In 2019 Nedgia (the gas distribution a considerable part of natural gas This potential volume of renewable subsidiary of the Naturgy group) injected consumption in the future. gas production could be equivalent to renewable natural gas (biomethane) for The increase in the use of renewable a quarter of the current demand for the first time in its distribution network. natural gas can lead to a significant gas in Spain in the most conservative It was RNG produced from the upgrading reduction in greenhouse gas emissions case, and even “up to 65% of the current of biogas that is generated in the treat when it is injected into the natural gas demand for natural gas provided that its ment of waste water sludges in the Waste distribution network or used as fuel in development is promoted decisively and Water Treatment Plant (WWTP) in the transport sector. According to many without longer delay”, as explained by Butarque, Madrid. The facility, operated experts it is expected that this energy the experts Xavier Flotats and Álvaro by Nedgia, is part of the activities of the will contribute significantly to the Feliu, authors of the report “Los gases European ECO-GATE consortium project decarbonisation of the gas sector in renovables. An emerging energy vector”, to promote sustainable mobility that is coming years. published by the Naturgy Foundation in cofinanced by the European Union European countries such as Germany, June 2019. through the CEF-Transport programme. the United Kingdom, Denmark or Another representative projets being Sweden are leading the way in the Naturgy, in the lead carried out by the company is called development of this new energy vector Naturgy has been working for several Unidad Mixta de Gas Natural Renovable with a large number of biomethane years on promoting RNG in Spain. in Spanish. This project is a joint initiative production plants already in operation, The company’s activities have focused being carried out by Naturgy and the while in countries such as France, Italy, on the realisation of pilot projects to technology centre Energylab located and the Netherlands there are already investigate RNG production with the in Vigo, Spain with the Bens WWTP measures in place promoting the develop final ambition to maximise yields while located in A Coruña, north-west Spain. ment of these plants. “In Europe there are reducing production costs. The company The principal aim of the project is to 700 plants injecting renewable gas into has participated in and continues to investigate various new technologies to obtain improvements in the production of biogas, biomethane and in the development of a novel bio-methanisation concept. The project is financed by the European Union within the framework of Programa Operativo FEDER Galicia 2014- 2020. The biomethane produced so far has served to fuel an interurban bus in the A Coruña area and three operating vehicles from the plant, together making journeys of 135,000 km. In total, this small research project led to a reduction in emissions of around 6,000 tonnes of CO2 A bus in Galicia (Spain) fuelled by RNG. in 2019.
Helping the planet means investing in the environment. That’s why we’ve invested over 1.4 billion euros in renewables over the last 3 years, thereby supplying 3 million homes with energy from the wind, water and sun. naturgy.com
F EATURES The roll-out of hydrogen in Korea Hydrogen has a major role to play in decarbonisation around the world but Korea is so far the only country to have enacted a hydrogen law. By Yoon Namgoong With the drive to combat climate the Hydrogen Law on January 9, 2020 of the by-product hydrogen was used change, moves to transition from the provided a legal basis and a much- outside the complexes being supplied carbon economy to a hydrogen eco needed driving force to usher in the via pipelines totalling 200 km in length nomy are picking up pace around the hydrogen economy. (280,000 tons) and 540 tube trailers world. Many countries are developing At present, major advanced coun (20,000 tons). policies to grow the hydrogen energy tries such as Japan, the US and mem In terms of utilisation, Hyundai market and Korea is no exception, bers of the EU are pushing ahead with Motor has emerged as a world leader seeing hydrogen as a new engine for various policies to foster the use of in hydrogen fuel cell technology by economic growth with a key role to hydrogen, but Korea is the only coun launching the world’s first mass- play in the country’s shift to a low- try that has enacted a law to underpin production fuel cell electric vehicle carbon economy over the long term. the systematic and effective develop (FCEV), Tucson ix, in 2013. The total The Korean government released a ment of the hydrogen economy. number of FCEVs jumped to 5,083 in roadmap for ramping up the hydrogen 2019, which is 5.7 times higher com economy on January 17, 2019. Subse Current status of Korea’s hydrogen pared to 2018, served by 34 hydrogen quently, it announced follow-up plans industry refuelling stations (see Table 1). Keeping to build hydrogen infrastructure and In 2019, Korea’s hydrogen production up the pace, the Korean government refuelling stations (October 22, 2019) reached about 2 million tons, out of plans to have 10,280 FCEVs including along with a hydrogen technology which 70% was by-product hydrogen buses in operation by the end of 2020. development roadmap (October 31, generated from the petroleum refining As of 2019, there were 3,208 fuel 2019) and comprehensive measures for process, mainly from three large-scale cells installed in Korea for power gen safety management (December 16, petrochemical complexes in Ulsan, eration and residential use. Of these, 2019). Most notably, the enactment of Yeosu and Daesan. About 300,000 tons 41 fuel cells for power generation have a total capacity of 308 MW and 3,167 fuel cells for residential use have a total Fuel cell electric vehicles and refuelling stations in Korea capacity of 7 MW. Fuel cells for power Actual Projection generation are more advanced in Year 2017 2018 2019 2022 2040 terms of capacity and technology than Production 177 891 5,083 81,000 6,200,000 of FCEVs (67,000 for domestic use (2,900,000 domestic fuel cells for residential use. and 14,000 for export) and 3,300,000 export) In terms of hydrogen production, Hydrogen 12 14 34 310 1,200 Korea obtains abundant by-product refuelling stations hydrogen, but the country is still in its infancy when it comes to hydrogen Table 1. 32 The roll-out of hydrogen in Korea
F EATURES production technology, especially related to natural gas reforming and Korea’s hydrogen supply water electrolysis on a large scale. Year 2018 2022 2030 2040 Supply 130,000 470,000 1.94 million 5.26 million Currently, hydrogen is transported (=demand) tons/ year tons/year tons/year tons/year by tube trailers and low pressure Means of ① By-production ① By-production ① By-production ① By-production pipelines, which means that there is a supply hydrogen hydrogen hydrogen hydrogen ② Hydrogen ② Hydrogen ② Hydrogen ② Hydrogen need to develop high pressure pipe from SMR from SMR from SMR from SMR lines and liquefaction facilities. An ③ Water ③ Water ③ Water electrolysis electrolysis electrolysis evaluation of the competiveness of ④ Production ④ Production Korea’s hydrogen industry is shown abroad abroad * ①+③+④=50%, * ①+③+④=70%, in Table 2. ②=50% ②=30% Price – 6,000 KRW/kg 4,000 KRW/kg 3,000 KRW/kg Korea’s hydrogen economy Note: SMR = Steam methane reforming. Source: Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, Hydrogen Economy Roadmap of Korea, January 2019. roadmap In January 2019, the Korean govern Table 3. ment announced an ambitious fuel becoming a leading hydrogen of hydrogen and 6.2 million FCEVs cell initiative entitled “Hydrogen economy by 2040. (3.3 million for export and 2.9 million for Economy Roadmap of Korea”. The The government’s aim is to reach an domestic use, the latter served by 1,200 roadmap sets out Korea’s vision of annual production of 5.26 million tons hydrogen refuelling stations) by 2040. The government also aims to increase the combined capacity of fuel cells for Competitiveness evaluation of Korea’s hydrogen industry power generation to 15 GW (domestic, Classification Competitiveness 8 GW and export, 7 GW) by 2040. Supply Hydrogen By-production hydrogen High In 2040, 70% of the total hydrogen side production Natural gas reforming with carbon Low capture and storage production is forecast to come from Electrolysis on a large scale Low by-product hydrogen together with Hydrogen Low pressure piping Moderate storage and Tube trailers Moderate water electrolysis and overseas pro transportation High pressure piping and composite Low duction, and hydrogen reformed from container Liquefaction and transportation Low natural gas will account for the remain Hydrogen Installation cost Moderate ing 30% (see Table 3). According to the charging The number of installed stations Moderate roadmap, Korea will focus on improv Demand Residential use The number of distributed products Low side (fuel cells) The competitiveness of companies and Moderate ing the scalability of hydrogen produc related technology tion and enable hydrogen mass pro Power generation The number of distributed products High (fuel cells) and capacity duction by developing water electrolysis The competitiveness of companies and High technology in conjunction with solar related technology and wind power generation by 2022. Transport use The number of distributed FCEVs High (fuel cells) The competitiveness of Hyundai Motor High The Korean government also plans to and related technology establish overseas hydrogen production Hydrogen-fired The competitiveness of companies and Low gas turbines related technology bases and import hydrogen for domestic uses. Table 2. The roll-out of hydrogen in Korea 33
F EATURES Under this roadmap, KOGAS plans to build 25 hydrogen-producing facilities and operate 500 tube trailers and pipelines totalling 700 km in length to deliver hydrogen produced c Hyundai Motor’s at the facilities by 2030. KOGAS aims to second-generation build 100 hydrogen refuelling stations fuel cell electric vehicle, the NEXO by 2022 through HyNet, a public- introduced in 2018, private special purpose company. offers more power and has a lighter To implement the roadmap up to 2030, powertrain. KOGAS has set aside a budget of 4.7 trillion KRW ($4.01 billion). For hydrogen transportation, in an attempt to facilitate the govern addition to the existing tube trailers, ment’s strong drive towards the CO2 reduction by ushering in the Korea will lay out a nation-wide hydro hydrogen economy. KOGAS plans to hydrogen economy gen pipeline network in the long term. supply hydrogen to refuelling stations In compliance with the 2015 Paris The target price for hydrogen by 2040 is to the tune of 100% of the demand for Climate Agreement, the Korean 3,000 KRW/kg ($2.42/kg), and hydrogen FCEVs, and just under 60% of the government decided in December will be supplied at the same price across demand for fuel cells and mixed power 2016 to cut greenhouse gas emissions the country, regardless of distance. generation. Specifically, out of the by 37% from its business-as-usual level Korean government’s 2040 supply (BAU: 851 million tons CO2-equivalent) Hydrogen industry promotion target of 5.26 million tons, KOGAS by 2030 (domestic 25.7%, overseas roadmap of KOGAS plans to supply 3.45 million tons or reduction 11.3%). However, in July KOGAS released its “Hydrogen Industry 66% of the national hydrogen demand 2018, the government announced a Promotion Roadmap” in April 2019 in (see Table 4). revised plan that lowered its overseas c Table 4. Hydrogen industry promotion roadmap of KOGAS 2022 2030 2040 Mobility Government FCEVs 81,000 2,284,000 6,200,000 (67,000 domestic) (108,000 domestic) (2,900,000 domestic) Domestic demand (tons) 29,150 469,500 1,014,500 KOGAS Proportion (%) 100 100 100 Supply (tons) 29,150 469,500 1,014,500 Fuel cells Government Power generation (GW) 1.5 (1 domestic) 5 (2.5 domestic) 15 (8 domestic) Residential use (MW) 50 1,000 2,100 Domestic demand (tons) 441,000 1,470,000 4,242,000 KOGAS Power generation (tons) 420,000 1,050,000 2,000,460 Residential use (tons) 21,000 210,000 441,000 Proportion (%) 100 85.71 57.55 Supply (tons) 441,000 1,260,000 2,441,460 Source: KOGAS, Hydrogen Industry Promotion Roadmap, April 2019. 34 The roll-out of hydrogen in Korea
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