FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports

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FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
DAVY RUSSELL’S
CHELTENHAM
FESTIVAL
 2022 POCKET GUIDE

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FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
DAVY RUSSELL - AMBASSADOR

I just cannot wait to hear
that famous Cheltenham
roar again…
Plenty of water has gone under the bridge for all of us
since Chosen Mate won the Grand Annual back in 2020.
That was my last winner at the Cheltenham Festival, in
fact, it was my last ride. Injury meant that I had to watch
last year’s behind-closed-doors Festival from home like all
of you.

The truth is I’ve really missed it. Cheltenham is such a
special place, and I cannot wait to hear that roar again.
So, it will be great to be back, and it will be even better to
have you lot back there with me.

I hope you find this guide as useful as ever as it’s packed
full of helpful stats, as well as my views on the feature
races. I’ll be writing my usual daily blogs plus there will be
plenty of video previews to enjoy too. I wish you the best
of luck in finding some winners and hopefully we all have
a bit of luck…
FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
THE SCHEDULE                                                   THU 17TH MARCH
TUE 15TH MARCH
                                                               TIME RACE                                        DISTANCE
TIME RACE                                           DISTANCE
                                                               1:30   Turners Novices’ Chase                    2m 4f
1:30   Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle              2m ½f             Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle    3m
                                                               2:10
2:10   Sporting Life Arkle                          2m                Ryanair Chase                             2m 5f
                                                               2:50
2:50   Ultima Handicap Chase                        3m 1f             Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle               3m
                                                               3:30
3:30   Unibet Champion Hurdle                       2m ½f             Cheltenham Plate Handicap Chase           2m 5f
                                                               4:10
4:10   Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle                 2m 4f
                                                               4:50 Parnell Properties Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle   2m 1f
4:50 Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle               2m 4 ½f           Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup       3m 2f
                                                               5:30
5:30   National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices’ Chase   3m 6f

                                                               FRI 18TH MARCH
WED 16TH MARCH
                                                               TIME RACE                                        DISTANCE
TIME RACE                                           DISTANCE
                                                               1:30   JCB Triumph Hurdle                        2m 1f
1:30   Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle                    2m 5f      2:10   McCoy Contractors County Handicap Hurdle 2m 1f
2:10   Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase                3m ½f      2:50   Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle           3m
2:50   Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle                    2m 5f      3:30   Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup               3m 2½f
3:30   Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase           2m         4:10   St. James’s Place Festival Challenge      3m 2½f
4:10   Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase              3m 6f             Cup Open Hunters’ Chase
4:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual                  2m ½f      4:50 Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase                2m ½f
     Handicap Chase                                            5:30   Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’          2m 4½f
5:30   Weatherbys Champion Bumper                   2m ½f             Handicap Hurdle
FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
SKY BET
SUPREME NOVICES’ HURDLE
TUE 15 MARCH                1:30PM                                 2M 1/2F

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age      5    6     5     5     6     6      6      5       6      7       APPRECIATE IT WAS A 24-LENGTH WINNER LAST YEAR
 Winner’s SP     10/1 15/1 7/2f 2/1f 4/1 25/1 9/1            6/1     6/1 8/11f
 Fate of Fav.     7TH 2ND     1ST   1ST   2ND   2ND   11TH 4TH & 10TH 4TH    1ST
 Winning Dist.    1¼    ½     6     4½    7     2¼ NECK 4½          HEAD 24

 Previous Run     1ST
                        1ST
                              1ST
                                    1
                                    ST
                                          1ST
                                                6TH
                                                      1ST
                                                             1ST
                                                                     1ST     1ST

                                                                                   DAVY RUSSELL’S
KEY TRENDS
10 of the last 12 winners won on their last start and within 59 days
                                                                                   VERDICT
Only one four-year-old winner in past 47 years
                                                                                   Plenty have billed this as the race of the Festival in
10 of the last 12 winners had at least four runs over hurdles
                                                                                   the build-up and if all the big names turn up it may
                                                                                   well be. Nicky Henderson could easily saddle both
                                                                                   CONSTITUTION HILL and JONBON, while Willie
                                                                                   Mullins is spoilt for choice with the likes of both
                                                                                   SIR GERHARD and DYSART DYNAMO. At this stage,
                                                                                   my preference would be for Jonbon as he has had a
                                                                                   fair bit of practice now and looks the real deal, but it
                                                                                   promises to be a cracker.
FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
SPORTING LIFE
Arkle Challenge Trophy
TUE 15 MARCH                2:10PM                                       2M

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age      6    7      6     7     6     7     6     6      6         7     NICO DE BOINVILLE CELEBRATES SHISHKIN’S WIN LAST YEAR
 Winner’s SP     8/11f 8/13f 33/1 4/6f 1/4f 1/4f 5/6f        5/1   16/1   4/9f

 Fate of Fav.     1ST   1ST   2ND    1ST   1ST   1ST   1ST   7TH   6TH        1ST

 Winning Dist.     7    2¼    HEAD   6     7     6     14    13    1½         12

 Previous Run     1ST
                        1ST
                               1
                               ST
                                     1ST
                                           1
                                           ST
                                                 1ST
                                                       1ST
                                                             1ST
                                                                   1ST
                                                                              1ST

                                                                                    DAVY RUSSELL’S
KEY TRENDS
All of the last 10 winners had won on their previous start                          VERDICT
Seven of the last 10 winners have returned odds-on
                                                                                    There is no getting away from the fact that Gordon’s
Seven of the last 12 winners had at least one previous victory
at Cheltenham                                                                       mare RIVIERE D’ETEL was incredibly unlucky not
                                                                                    to win the Irish Arkle the last day. She got the last
                                                                                    all wrong and still managed to pick herself up and
                                                                                    only narrowly failed to reel back in BLUE LORD. She
                                                                                    brings the most experience to the race and may
                                                                                    just be the one they all have to beat. Of the home
                                                                                    challenge, EDWARDSTONE sets the bar high and
                                                                                    could be her biggest danger.
FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
UNIBET
CHAMPION HURDLE
TUE 15 MARCH               3:30PM                                2M 1/2F

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age     7    9     6      7    8     6      7    5       6       7    HONEYSUCKLE & RACHAEL BLACKMORE WERE IMPERIOUS IN 2021
 Winner’s SP     11/1 13/8f 9/1    4/5f 5/2f   5/1   4/6f 16/1    2/1f 11/10f

 Fate of Fav.    3RD   1ST   4TH   1ST   1ST   DQ    1ST   6TH    1ST    1ST

 Winning Dist.   1¼    2¾ NECK 1½        4½ 4½ NECK        15      3    6½

 Previous Run    2ND
                       1ST
                             4TH
                                   4TH
                                         1
                                         ST
                                               1ST
                                                     1ST
                                                           1ST
                                                                  1ST
                                                                         1ST

                                                                                 DAVY RUSSELL’S
KEY TRENDS
19 of the last 28 winners had previously won a race at Cheltenham
                                                                                 VERDICT
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between six and eight
                                                                                 Every time HONEYSUCKLE runs there always seems
Irish-trained horses have won 12 of the past 20 runnings
                                                                                 a reason to take her on. However, she is just simply
                                                                                 brilliant and keeps on winning and will more than
                                                                                 likely make it back-to-back Champion Hurdles here.
                                                                                 She has so much class and when Rachael presses
                                                                                 the button, she always finds. I’d be surprised if it
                                                                                 doesn’t become 15 from 15! The question is simply
                                                                                 who will chase her home with APPRECIATE IT and
                                                                                 former winner EPATANTE looking the most likely.
FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
WE
KEY TRENDS
REMAINDER OF DAY ONE                              TUE 15 MARCH

2:50
       Ultima Handicap Steeple Chase

                                                                                            ? !
Only one of the last 10 renewals has been won by a horse aged nine

                                                                                         D
or older

                                                                                IP  P  E
Just two Irish trainers have won this race since the turn of the century

4:10
       CLOSE BROTHERS MARES’ HURDLE
Only two UK-trained winners since the race’s inception in 2008
                                                                             P    TO £    BACK AS
                                                                                      100 ERY RACE L
                                                                            GET UP T ON EV FESTIVA
11 of the past 12 winners came from the top three in the market
                                                                             F REE BE ENHAM
                                                                            A E CHELT
4:50
       BOODLES JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE                                    AT TH
Seven of the past 10 winners were sent off 25/1 or bigger                            Pipped?! Cheltenham Offer

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5:30
       National Hunt Challenge Cup                                              Download the app, visit starsports.bet or call 08000 521 321
Only three favourites have obliged since 1992

Eight of the past 12 winners were trained in Ireland
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FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
BROWN ADVISORY
NOVICES’ CHASE
WED 16 MARCH                  2:10PM                               3M 1/2F

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age      7    7      7     6     7      8    7     7       8       7     PAUL TOWNEND AFTER HIS VICTORY WITH MONKFISH IN 2021
 Winner’s SP      9/2   8/1   12/1 13/8f 8/1     7/2f 5/2f   4/1    4/1    1/4f

 Fate of Fav.     4TH   4TH    2ND   1ST   3RD   1ST   1ST   3RD    3RD      1ST

 Winning Dist.    2½    1¾ NECK      6     ½ NOSE      7     ½       1     6½

 Previous Run     1ST
                        2ND
                               3RD
                                     1
                                     ST
                                           1ST
                                                 1ST
                                                       1ST
                                                             2ND    FELL     1ST

KEY TRENDS                                                                         DAVY RUSSELL’S
Only four winners since 1990 have been younger than seven

Nine of the last 13 winners had won a Graded race over hurdles
                                                                                   VERDICT
Six of the last 11 winners had contested the Albert Bartlett
                                                                                   So much depends on whether or not Willie Mullins
Novices’ Hurdle                                                                    steps GALOPIN DES CHAMPS up in trip for this race
                                                                                   or sticks at the intermediate distance. I’d fancy him
                                                                                   to rock up here, if truth be told, and on what we have
                                                                                   seen so far, he will take some beating. FURY ROAD is
                                                                                   better than he showed the last day and will be better
                                                                                   suited back up to three miles. Home challengers
                                                                                   BRAVEMANSGAME and AHOY SENOR could be
                                                                                   dangers but have Aintree as an alternative.
FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
BETWAY QUEEN MOTHER
CHAMPION CHASE
WED 16 MARCH                  3:30PM                                    2M

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age     9      7     8     7    10    10    8     9     9          7         PUT THE KETTLE ON EDGED A THRILLER LAST YEAR
 Winner’s SP      4/1   1/4f 11/4f 9/2    5/1   11/1 EVSf 4/11f   6/1    17/2

 Fate of Fav.    2ND    1ST    1ST   PU   2ND   7TH   1ST   1ST   4TH        3RD

 Winning Dist.    1¼    19     6     1¼   3½ HEAD 7         1¾    9½         ½

 Previous Run    2 ND
                        1ST
                               1ST
                                     1
                                     ST
                                          1ST
                                                5TH
                                                      1ST
                                                            1ST
                                                                  5TH
                                                                             3RD

                                                                                   DAVY RUSSELL’S
KEY TRENDS
13 of the last 14 winners had previously won a Grade 1 over fences                 VERDICT
12 of the last 14 winners had run three times or fewer that season
                                                                                   This promises to be an intriguing rematch between
Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls have trained nine of the
                                                                                   SHISHKIN and ENERGUMENE after their blockbuster
last 14 winners
                                                                                   at Ascot the last day. When you throw in a back-
                                                                                   to-form CHACUN POUR SOI and Dan Skelton’s
                                                                                   NUBE NEGRA it promises to be a proper race. To be
                                                                                   honest, SHISHKIN has always been the one I like in
                                                                                   the division and will be a tough one to crack. He just
                                                                                   runs all the way to the line and the combination of
                                                                                   stamina and class gets him out of trouble every time.
FESTIVAL CHELTENHAM DAVY RUSSELL'S - Star Sports
WE
KEY TRENDS                                                                                    When others are
REMAINDER OF DAY TWO                              WED 16 MARCH                            abandoning the high street

1:30
       BALLYMORE NOVICES’ HURDLE
Seven of the last 10 winners had previously won a Graded race

Irish horses have won seven of the last 10 renewals

       CORAL CUP HANDICAP HURDLE

                                                                                                   WE
2:50

Nine of the last 12 winners were rated 140 or higher

Six winners in the last 10 years returned at an SP of 16/1 or higher

4:10
       GLENFARCLAS CROSS COUNTRY CHASE
11 of the last 12 runners had run at least once at a trip of 3m6f or further

10 of the last 12 winners had made at least 13 starts over fences

4:50
       JOHNNY HENDERSON GRAND ANNUAL
                                                                                                     are

lay the
                                                                                                              ng
                                                                                                        openi
       HANDICAP CHASE
None of the last 28 winners carried top weight to victory

                                                                                                   SHOPS
BIGGEST
Eight of the last 16 winners had run in the race before

5:30
       WEATHERBYS CHAMPION BUMPER
Only two of the last 12 favourites have emerged victorious

11 of the last 12 winners had run in at least two bumpers                      Visit the UK’s fastest growing   See us on the high street, download the app,
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RYANAIR
CHASE
THU 17 MARCH                   2:50PM                               2M 5F

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age      8     7       8    7     7     9     7     7     9       7      ALLAHO WAS SUPERB WHEN WINNING THE RACE IN 2021
 Winner’s SP      7/2f 9/2 11/4f 16/1 EVSf 7/4f         8/1   9/2   2/1   3/1f
 Fate of Fav.      1ST   2ND    1ST   3RD   1ST   1ST   2ND   8TH   3RD     1ST
 Winning Dist.     ½     9      19    5     6     1½    4½    1¼ NECK       12

 Previous Run      1ST
                         1ST
                                2ND
                                      UR    2
                                            ND
                                                  1ST
                                                        2ND
                                                              1ST
                                                                    2ND
                                                                            1ST

KEY TRENDS                                                                        DAVY RUSSELL’S
Nine of the last 10 winners finished inside the top two on their
previous run
                                                                                  VERDICT
Willie Mullins is the race’s leading trainer with four wins                       ALLAHO produced the standout performance at last
Nine of the last 10 favourites have finished inside the top three                 year’s Festival and he’s looked in pretty good order
                                                                                  so far this campaign too. The reality is he could take
                                                                                  some pegging back in this if he lines up in anywhere
                                                                                  near that form. It would be interesting to see who
                                                                                  takes him on and it could be a stayer that picks up
                                                                                  the pieces. CONFLATED gave me a lovely spin in
                                                                                  Leopardstown and could go well if aimed here as
                                                                                  could JANIDIL.
PADDY POWER
STAYERS’ HURDLE
THU 17 MARCH                  3:30PM                                      3M

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age      9     9      6    6     8      7    7      7     7          6     DANNY MULLINS HAD HIS FIRST FESTIVAL WINNER LAST YEAR
 Winner’s SP      5/6f 17/2 15/2 14/1 EVSf 10/1 12/1         11/8f 50/1    12/1
 Fate of Fav.      1ST   PU    2ND   2ND   1ST   3RD   5TH    1ST   7TH        3RD
 Winning Dist.    1¾     2½    1½    3¼    7      ¾    2     2¾     2          3¼
 Previous Run      1ST
                         1
                         ST
                               1ST
                                     4TH
                                           1ST   FELL 2ND     1ST
                                                                    3RD
                                                                               1ST

KEY TRENDS                                                                           DAVY RUSSELL’S
Seven of the last 10 winners had won their previous race

Six or seven-year-olds have won six of the previous seven renewals
                                                                                     VERDICT
Four of the last five winners went off at 10/1 or bigger                             Some of the races have a pretty one-sided look
                                                                                     to them but certainly not the Stayers’ Hurdle. I’ve
                                                                                     always been a big fan of CHAMP and I’m prepared
                                                                                     to forgive him for his slightly below-par effort in
                                                                                     the Cleeve Hurdle. I’d say he is better judged on his
                                                                                     Ascot win, and he could be the one here. Last year’s
                                                                                     winner FLOORING PORTER looks sure to run well
                                                                                     again and they don’t want to be letting him have it
                                                                                     easy on the front end.
WE
KEY TRENDS
REMAINDER OF DAY THREE                             THU 17 MARCH                                When others
                                                                                               won’t lay a bet
1:30
       Turners Novices’ Chase
Only one horse older than seven has won this race

The race’s most successful trainer, Willie Mullins, hasn’t won this

                                                                                             WE
since 2017

2:10
       Pertemps Network Final
The last six winners were all trained in Ireland

Only three of the last 22 favourites have come home in front

4:10
       Cheltenham Plate Handicap Chase
                                                                                                  lay the
Just four of the previous 20 winners have carried over 11st

                                                                                                   BIGGEST
The last four winners were priced at 5/1 or shorter

4:50   PARNELL PROPERTIES MARES’
                                                                                                  bets
lay the
       NOVICES’ HURDLE                                                                                   IN THE

                                                                                             INDUSTRY
Willie Mullins has won five of the last six renewals

BIGGEST
Favourites have a 50% strike-rate from the first six runnings

5:30
       FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR
       Challenge Cup
Jamie Codd is the leading rider in the race, with four wins
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                                                                      independent bookmaker            or call 08000 521 321
Seven or eight-year-olds have won eight of the last 10 renewals
JCB
TRIUMPH HURDLE
FRI 18 MARCH 1:30PM                                               2M 1F

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age                Contest restricted to four-year-olds               QUILIXIOS WAS RACHAEL BLACKMORE’S SIXTH WINNER IN 2021
 Winner’s SP     33/1 4/1    10/1 2/1f 9/2f 7/4f 5/2f       9/1   12/1    2/1
 Fate of Fav.    3RD   6TH    4TH   1ST   1ST   1ST   4TH   PU    UR      4TH
 Winning Dist.    3    15    3½     NK    1¼    5     1¾    3     2¾     3¼
 Previous Run    3RD
                       1ST
                             2 ND
                                    1ST
                                          4TH
                                                1ST
                                                      2ND
                                                            1ST
                                                                  1ST
                                                                          1ST

KEY TRENDS                                                                       DAVY RUSSELL’S
Nine of the last 13 winners were unbeaten over hurdles

Gordon Elliott has had two winners and two seconds since 2016
                                                                                 VERDICT
Six of the last 10 winners contested Leopardstown’s Spring                       Gordon holds a strong hand with potentially both
Juvenile Hurdle                                                                  PIED PIPER and FIL DOR depending on ground
                                                                                 conditions. PIED PIPER beat VAUBAN on his debut
                                                                                 and followed that up with a smart performance at
                                                                                 Cheltenham on Trials Day. He’d relish a sound surface
                                                                                 and has plenty of speed. FIL DOR is a totally different
                                                                                 type who loves soft ground and is a proper staying
                                                                                 type. He was outgunned by Vauban in Leopardstown
                                                                                 the last day but don’t rule him out too soon.
Boodles
CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP
FRI 18 MARCH 3:30PM                                                 3M 21/2F

STAT ATTACK
 Winner’s Age      9    8      8     8      9     7     8      7      8     8     MINELLA INDO AND JACK KENNEDY WERE VICTORIOUS IN 2021
 Winner’s SP      8/1 11/4f 20/1     7/1   9/4f   7/1   5/1   12/1 100/30f 9/1
 Fate of Fav.     3RD   1ST   5TH    7TH   1ST    4TH   2ND   8TH     1ST   3RD
 Winning Dist.    2¼    7     HEAD   1½    4½ 2¾ 4½           2½     NECK   1¼
 Previous Run     1ST
                        1ST
                              6TH
                                     1ST
                                           1ST
                                                  1ST
                                                        1ST
                                                              1ST
                                                                      1ST
                                                                            4TH

KEY TRENDS                                                                         DAVY RUSSELL’S
All of the last 21 winners have been aged nine or under

All of the last 20 winners were previous Grade 1 winners
                                                                                   VERDICT
14 of the past 21 winners had previously finished first or second at least         GALVIN was brilliant in Leopardstown over Christmas
once at the Festival                                                               and proved he stays further than this when winning
                                                                                   the National Hunt Chase here last year. He beat
                                                                                   A PLUS TARD the last day who will be a big threat
                                                                                   again, as will last year’s winner MINELLA INDO,
                                                                                   who bounced back last time behind CONFLATED.
                                                                                   When you throw in the likes of PROTEKTORAT and
                                                                                   CHANTRY HOUSE, who I have always had a soft
                                                                                   spot for, you have the makings of a proper race.
KEY TRENDS
REMAINDER OF DAY four
2:10
       McCoy Contractors County
       Handicap Hurdle Race
                                                   fri 18 MARCH
                                                                             CHECK OUT
17 of the past 19 winners were either a novice or second-season hurdler

14 of the last 21 winners were running at the Festival for the first time

       Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle
                                                                            STARSPORTS
                                                                               EXTRA!
2:50

Horses aged six or seven have won 14 of the 17 runnings

None of the last eight favourites have emerged victorious

4:10
       St James’s Place Festival Challenge
       Cup Open Hunters’ Chase
Six of the last 12 winners had won/finished in the first five
the previous year

Irish-trained runners have won nine of the past 14 renewals

4:50
       MRS pADDY POWER MARES’ STEEPLE CHASE
Inaugural edition last year; Colreevy won for Willie Mullins

Run over the same course and distance as the Ryanair Chase

5:30
       MARTIN PIPE CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS’
       HANDICAP HURDLE
All winners have carried more than 11st

Eight of the last 11 winners were trained by either Willie Mullins, Paul
Nicholls or Gordon Elliott
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