Drought crisis: Moving forward together - Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION
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Drought crisis: Moving forward together Swartland Municipality 01/02/2018 DROUGHT DISASTER PRESENTATION DROOGTE RAMP VOORLEGGING
How severe is the drought? • 2017 had the lowest rainfall since 1896. And rainfall in 2015 and 2016 was also unprecedented low. • Findings are that this kind of drought occurs once in 311 years with a 90% confidence that it falls between 105 and 1 280 years. • The drought crisis has also triggered heated emotions and a lot of disagreement about who is to blame. • We can choose to be defeated, or we can choose to show the world that we are up to the challenge. • Panic and hysteria are not helpful to the effort to Defeat Day Zero. It actually increases consumption and is counter- productive. • But one thing we can agree on: We have to avoid Day Zero. • And the only way to defeat Day Zero is to use less water. • So everyone has to get down to 50 litres per day and lower. • But more later in my presentation.
122 YEAR of RAINFALL: CPT Airport (from 1895 to 2017) 2017 rainfall until 18/12/2017 only 152.5 mm 635 500 400 1896 1929+31 1960 300 1973 2015 200 2016 - 221.0 mm 2015 – 325.0 mm 2017 2014 – 511.5 mm
Outlook for: February –March-– April 2018 (Rainfall) FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018 FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018 For February 2018 through to April 2018 the indication is above the norm for both the Western and Northern Cape. Except the FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018 FEBRUARY 2018 to APRL 2018 extreme South Western parts of the Western Cape where it is projected to be 40% below normal. UPDATED 16- 01- 2018
Dam levels of the six biggest dams in the Berg River System that the City draws from (17 Jan 2018) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 102.9% 103.5% 72.4% 60.1% 34.7% Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Breakdown of water users in the Berg River Management Area 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% Note that Agricultural (capped) different users 4% are under Urban: City of Cape different levels of 35% Town Urban: West Coast water restrictions Agricultural e.g. agriculture is Urban: Overberg at 60% reduction Water Urban: Stellenbosch in allocation 59% (October 2017), Cape Town Urban: Drakenstein while domestic & Urban: Piketberg industrial areas are at 40% Other 6% - All other Urban Areas reduction. Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
City of Cape Town: Water Dashboard 29/01/2018 TARGET Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Western Cape Water Supply System (WCWSS) Weekly Dam Drawdown Tracker Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
City of Cape Town: Water Dashboard – 4 Year Historic Water Consumption 2014/15 2015/16 1200 2016/17 1000 800 600 500 600 Ml/day: Metro runs dry in April 2018 450 Ml/day: Metro runs dry in May/June 2018 DAMS ON 13.5% 16 Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Effective from 01/01/2018 in the METRO LEVEL 6 WATER RESTRICTIONS • Residential units consuming more than 10 500 litres per month will be prioritised for enforcement All non-residential properties (e.g. commercial and industrial properties, schools, clubs and institutions) must ensure that their monthly consumption of municipal drinking water is reduced by 45% compared to the corresponding period in 2015 (pre drought). Agricultural users to reduce consumption by 60% The use of borehole water for outdoor purposes is discouraged in order to preserve groundwater resources Borehole/wellpoint water should rather be used for toilet flushing. All boreholes and wellpoints must be registered with the City and must display the official City of Cape Town signage clearly visible from a public thoroughfare. No watering/irrigation with municipal drinking water allowed. This includes watering/irrigation of gardens, vegetables, agricultural crops, sports fields, golf courses, nurseries, parks and other open spaces
Major dam levels in Cape Town 29 Januarie 2018 DAMS CAPACITY 22/01 15/01 2017 2016 Theewater 480 188 13.3% 14.2% 34.5% 50.9% Voëlvlei 164 095 18.3% 18.8% 42.0% 25.7% Bergrivier 130 010 53.7% 55.0% 49.2% 49.9% Wemmers 58 644 52.4% 52.3% 36.6% 56.0% Steenbr. Lo 33 517 43.8% 45.5% 44.6% 49.5% Steenbr. Up 31 767 85.7% 90.2% 59.4% 76.9% TOTAL 898 221 236 111 244 555 354 034 426 408 % Storage 26.3% 27.2% 39.4% 47.4% NOTE: the last 10% of a dam's water is difficult to use, the useable water in the dam is approximately 10% less than the dam level. NOTE 2: Out of the System 59% to the Metro, 6% to smaller towns and 35% to Agriculture Source: Western Cape Water Supply System Strategy 2015
Drought status across the Western Cape – Municipalities & Towns
WC dam levels 2016 vs 2017 (15/01/2018) % Full % Full Normally winter rain Dam This Week Last Year starts around the Easter Weekend. In Cape Town System 2017 it started in June. Dams (Combined): Below normal rain fell Wemmershoek, May to September Voelvlei, Steenbras, (±50% of Long Term average) which had Theewaterskloof and significant impact on Berg River Dams 28.37 42.03 water levels in our major storage dams Berg River Catchment 43.83 49.21 Dam levels much lower Breede River than corresponding time last year Catchment 22.55 40.21 SAWS has Gouritz River recommended current Catchment 18.40 26.29 drought measures continue for Olifants / Doorn River foreseeable future Catchment 20.58 56.92 Businesses need to Western Cape State of plan for a new Dams 26.56 41.36 normal
Agricultural impacts: scenario – only 40% of water allocation Potential on‐farm impact if water Farmers’ potential supplies are capped at 40% of response actions allocation • The average decline in production Close is expected to be 36.9% Busines Preserv e Crops • Quality of produce can be affected Pull Out s Margin 6% 1% • This would translate to al • R4.96 billion GVA decline for Blocks 2017/8 (27% of the WC Agri 11% Lower Output industry) Mitigat 31% • 35 634 potential job losses e • Loss of valuable market share in 20% Prioritis fruit exports e Block 31% • Some farm operations likely to go bankrupt Very concerning is that some areas are already as low as 17.5% of normal water allocation
SWARTLAND MUNICIPALITY • 11 Towns • Population: 117 291 (133 762) • Households: 26 670 • Annual water demand: 2015 = 5 million m3 2016 = 4 million m3 2017 = 3.5 million m3 2018 = 3 million m3 • Water use efficiency – 90ℓ/p/d - Must come down to
SWARTLAND MUNICIPALITY • 11 Towns • Population: 117 291 (133 762) • Households: 26 670 • Annual water demand: 2015 = 5 million m3 2016 = 4 million m3 2017 = 3.5 million m3 2018 = 3 million m3 • Water use efficiency – 90ℓ/p/d - Must come down to
SWARTLAND BULK WATER SOURCES Out of Voëlvlei dam: 29/01/2018 Swartland sources: 29/01/2018 Metro: 92% (10Mℓ- 8%) Voëlvlei: 87.4% (18.3%) Swartland:6% (10Mℓ- 8%) Agricult.: 2% ( 0Mℓ- 0%) Paardenberg: 1.4% (9.0%) Misverstand:?(31Mℓ-24%) Misverstand: 11.2% (73.4%) The annual total water demand for domestic use is 83% and 17% for commercial / industrial use. Saldanha bay : 40% domestic and 60% commercial / industrial.
Voëlvlei Dam – Monday 29 Jan 2018 # 18.3% Monday 29 Jan 2017 # 42.4% (-24.1%) (Inligting van die Departement Water en Sanitasie) Die totale vlak van damme wat water aan die Groter Kaapstad Metropool lewer (Voëlvleidam ingesluit) is tans 26.3% teenoor die 39.4% van verlede jaar. 2018-02-05 13:48 23 (-13.1%) 23
Outlet of Voëlvlei dam to Swartland WTW and Cape Town WTW FIRST HURDLE: Swartland WTW to get the water to the intake/outlet Swartland WTW ±12.5% CoCT Unusable WTW Water ±5% ±5% CoCT WTW PLAN VIEW CROSS SECTION VIEW 24
Voëlvlei MAX 0.92% / week 12.5% Dam level on 08/03/2018 12.5% damvlak 5% damvlak
Voëlvlei MAX 0.58% / week 12.5% Dam level on 09/04/2018 12.5% damvlak 5% damvlak
Voëlvlei 12.5% Dam level on 09/04/2018 29/01/2018 THANKS TO OUR RESIDENTS WAS 87 TOT OP 17/01/2018 SWARTLAND HAVE SAVED 42% IN JANUARY 2018 WAS OP 17/01/2018 NOG 2018/03/08
Timeline towards The Day dams are on 13.5% is not a static possible Day the date - dependent on numerous factors: dams are on 13.5% • • Rainfall Temperatures and wind speed (evaporation) i.e. how is that Day • New supply volumes & timing determined • Consumption – City need
Voelvleidam Channel Release from1/11/2017 to 29/01/2018 Misverstand dam level from 10/01/2018 to 29/01/2018
Phases: Disaster Restrictions Phase 3 Phase 1 Phase 2 Full-scale Preservation Disaster disaster Restrictions Restrictions implementation (rationing) Purpose – To avoid Purpose – Avoid Purpose - Minimise escalation to Phase 2: escalation to Phase 3: impact on human life: Limiting supply and • Maintaining human life • Extreme scenario advanced pressure and critical services • Can be avoided with management. • Many households and progressive rationing in • Critical services, will businesses will be phases 1 and 2 be largely unable to access • Limited drinking water unaffected drinking water supplie. • Tariff up + Intensified • Water collection sites to • Households and installation of water be established businesses will be management • Maintenance of the unable to access sewage system drinking water. devices 3
Contingency plans: Cape Town Day Zero • Cape Town key aim is to avoid Day Zero all together by stretching water resources until next winter’s rainfall • If properly managed the so called Day Zero will not arrive suddenly and unexpectedly • The monitoring of the situation by the WCG will provide an early warning should the Day Zero date be approaching for a specific municipality • Contingency plans for the critical municipalities are currently being developed by the Provincial Disaster Management Centre and local municipality. • Town specific plans are being developed, taking the local situation and conditions into account. 31
A lot can happen before Day Zero 1. Taps are closing on the agricultural sector: Agriculture uses 47% and the Metro 48% 2. Metro: Level 6B restrictions: And 600 million litres p/d to
Facts and myths about the water crisis Myth: Migration from the Eastern Cape and Gauteng is the cause: • Population growth alone doesn’t explain the water shortage. Water consumption has stabilised since 2000. Myth: Farmers are to blame: • Agriculture is critical to the Western Cape economy. Fruit harvest alone will be ±20% smaller. ±50,000 Seasonal workers will have below normal income or no income at all. Fact: This is the worst drought in recorded Cape Town history: • The main reason for the water shortage is, quite simply, a lack of rain in the water catchment area, probably a consequence of climate change
Facts and myths about the water crisis Complicated: The municipality is ultimately responsible for sorting out the water crisis: • The day-to-day management of the water is the job of the municipality (including cleaning and reticulation), but national government is responsible for oversight and bulk water supply. • The National Government, has the power to regulate the use, flow and control of all water in the Republic. Myth: It’s just a matter of catching the water off Table Mountain: • Catching more water from the mountain before it runs into the storm water system or the sea, but that is not a quick-fix solution.
INTERVENTIONS / INTERVENSIES Funding Estimated Yield / Intervention Cost Estimate Phase Secured Saving (Mℓ/day) Pressure and Flow R 3 500 000 R 800 000 0.5 Short term control Communication & R 400 000 R 200 000 Unknown Short term Awareness Free leak repairs R 350 000 R 350 000 Unknown Short term Groundwater R 3 500 000 R 1 500 000 Unknown Short term investigation Water tanker truck R 1 422 890 R 1 422 890 Day Zero Short term Pumping water in From 12.5% R 5 000 000 R 0 Medium Voelvlei dam and the Saldanha Bay term Misverstand dam 75% tot 50% level Groundwater Medium to R 9 000 000 R 3 000 000 ? development Long term Pypline from Metro 14% level to 5% R 60 000 000 R 0 Long term to Swartland WTW level Water reclamation R 45 000 000 R 0 2 Long term (Malmesbury) Desalination R 35 000 000 R 0 1 Long term Yzerfontein & Darling)
SWARTLAND WATER CONSUMPTION RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION: DECEMBER 2017 In Sept. Used 1 767 owners over 20m3 In Dec. still 236 owners of the 1 767 uses too much. And 219 newcomers. CONSUMPTION: DECEMBER 2017 Nov. Average of 321 = 36.9 L Dec. Average of 236 = 40.9 L Dec. Average of 219 = 36.3 L
SWARTLAND WATER CONSUMPTION RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION: DECEMBER 2017 In Sept. Used 1 767 owners over 20m3 In Dec. still 236 owners of the 1 767 uses too much. And 219 newcomers. Plus Indigent Households CONSUMPTION: DECEMBER 2017 Nov. Average of 321 = 36.9 L Dec. Average of 236 = 40.9 L Dec. Average of 219 = 36.3 L Plus Indigent Households Dec. Average of 1159 = 20.2 L
DROUGHT MANAGEMENT STRATEGY- Enforcement / Enforcement Blocks in Rate per unit Elevated Level 6 kiloliters (kiloliter) Tariffs 0 to 4 kl R6,30 plus VAT 5 to 10 kl R17,61 plus VAT Households 11 to 15 kl R19.37 plus VAT 16 to 20 kl R55.00 plus VAT All other consumers 21 to 25 kl R72.00 plus VAT 26 to 50 kl R99.99 plus VAT from the first kiloliter 51kl and more R265.12 plus VAT Consumption: Businesses R25,00 plus VAT All government agencies R 30.00 plus VAT
Drought: Answers some of your questions When will a detailed policy and operational plan be published on the PHASE 2 & 3 water collection points: • We are in Phase 1 (Preservation Restrictions (rationing)) Purpose – To avoid escalation to Phase 2. • We are busy to design and manage collection points in a way that makes sense. • In order to ensure effective implementation the Water Management Team is labouring over questions such as: – What range and size of containers will people choose to use; – how will they carry these containers to and from the standpipe; – what time of day will they come to the collection point; – what transport will they opt to use to and from the collection point; – how will families and neighbours organise themselves to collect water in a way that makes sense; – who within the household or business will be designated to collect water and for how many people will they collect.
Drought: Answers some of your questions Has the map for PHASE 2 & 3 cut off areas and water collection points been finalized?: • We are busy and we will be providing more information on the areas without water and points of distribution in the near future: Is it ok to use sea water to flush toilets?: • No - Use could corrode parts of the reticulation infrastructure and our wastewater treatment facilities are not designed to handle high salinity. Use appropriate greywater and alternative sources, such as water from boreholes, to flush toilets. What are businesses going to do that rely on water. • We are engaging with as many of these organisations as possible to work out what will be the best way to meet their water needs in a FASE 2 & 3 scenario. The crisis that we face requires a whole of society approach.
Drought: Answers some of your questions • There have been media reports on new borehole regulations: – We don’t regulate borehole usage: but require only that permission be obtained to drill and to register a borehole at the municipality. – The custodian of water resources is the National Department of Water and Sanitation. – We advocate for the sustainable use of borehole water for indoor purposes but we do not support the use of borehole water for outdoor purposes, such as gardening • Why has the municipality not (substantially) reduced pressure on the water? – We have in fact been substantially reducing water pressure since November 2017. – Our engineers have been reducing water pressure in the bulk pipes at our reservoirs as well as in the reticulation network that feeds our households. – Even with reduced pressure, lower-lying areas will have water as it flows easier because of gravity. – Operational staff have lowered the pressures across Swartland but the intention is to keep the system (in Fase 1) pressurised (keep water flowing). – This is because a lot of damage could be done if we switch off this pressure system entirely.
Drought: Answers some of your questions • Is the water system sophisticated enough to selectively cut off areas and supply the water distribution points? • No not in all areas, but water collection points, which will be one of the means of distributing water, have been located near reticulation points • What plans does Swartland have for less able and vulnerable people to get water from PHASE 3? • Information sessions will being set up with neighbourhood watches, NGOs, religious organisations and community groups to brief them on the PHASE 3 Disaster Plan and what role they will need to play in ensuring that all persons are able to access their (25 litres) of water per day. As part of the information sessions, we will be asking partners to gather information on extremely vulnerable persons in the areas where they operate.
Drought: Answers some of your questions • Will schools be prioritised as water collection points so that they can continue operating too? • It will largely be left up to relevant role-players in these sectors to determine suitable contingency plans and concessions for employees and students • Residents should be aware that PHASE 2 and 3 are extreme disaster scenario’s, and significant disruption of daily life is to be expected. • Are there plans for providing water to essential services if the water levels drop to a point where water can’t be provided? • Yes - We are procuring water tankers to assist with the provision of water to essential services which are no longer supplied with water via the reticulation system. However, critical infrastructure have been prioritised for continued supply of water via the reticulation system. It is largely residential areas which will no longer be able to be provided with water via the reticulation system.
Drought: Answers some of your questions • What steps are being taken to stop people using excessive water? • This is based on the billing information of account holders. Daily enforcement operations are ongoing, public awareness campaigns carry on and the installation of water management devices for high water users at their cost. High tariffs for the highest users will assist to drive down consumption. Residents should be aware that PHASE 2 and 3 are extreme disaster scenario’s, and significant disruption of daily life is to be expected. PHASE 3: 'It's going to be really unpleasant‘
What can I do? Please immediately: Cut your water use to less than 50 litres, per person, per day in total. Use municipal drinking water only for essential washing,cooking and drinking purposes, and only use indoors. Check and fix all leaks on your property. Adhere to all water restrictions. Immediately report any leaks, burst water pipes to the Municipality at 022 487 9400. Visit our webpage www.swartland.org.za for further information and regular updates.
ONCE UPON A TIME / LANK GELEDE HOW MUCH HAVE YOU SAVED TODAY? HOEVEEL HET JY VANDAG GESPAAR? THANK YOU / BAIE DANKIE Drought crisis: Moving forward together
HET JY AL SO AAN DIE REENVAL Baie interssant GEDINK? Min mense weet hoe werk ‘n reenmeter. 1mm reen is 1 liter water op 1 vierkante meter. As jy 25 mm reen op jou 1000 vierkante meter erf kry is dit 25 ton water, 1 hektaar is dit 250 ton water. As jy ‘n 1000 hektaar plaas het en jy kry 80mm reen is dit 800 ton x 1,000 hektaar. Dit is 800,000 ton water. As jy nou ‘n 10 ton watertrok vat en jy ry 10 vragte elke dag van die jaar sal dit 800,000/10/10/365 dae wees. Dit sal 21.9 jaar vat om dit aan te ry! (Anonieme bron)
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