Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC

 
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Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
Digital Outlook
          Series 2020
READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL
  NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19
  Impact of Covid-19 Towards Mobile
              Wireless Development
             Prof. Dr. Mohamad Yusoff Alias
Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
PRE-COVID
Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
State of Mobile Wireless
           Technology
Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
Malaysia is a mobile-first country

   Figure 1: Example of mobile networks

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Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
Telecommunication Network
Mobile Network Technology
                         ◆ Analog
                         ◆ Voice only, limited coverage and
                           mobility. Examples: AMPS, NMT450

                                                                 Subscriptions per 100 inhabitants
                         ◆ Digital
                         ◆ Improved voice, security,
                           coverage, SMS, data.
                         ◆ Example: GSM, IS-95

                         ◆ Enhancement of 2G
                         ◆ Example: EDGE, GPRS

                         ◆ Mobile data
                         ◆ Higher data rates, smartphones,
                           better voice.
                         ◆ Example: WCDMA, CDMA2000

                         ◆ Enhancement of 3G
                         ◆ Example: HSDPA, HSPA+

                         ◆ Mobile Broadband
                         ◆ High speed data, better
                           smartphones. Example: LTE/LTE-A,
                           WiMAX

                                                                                                              Figure 3: Global ICT developments from 2001 to 2019
                         ◆ eMBB, mMTC, URLLC
                                                                                                     Source: International Telecommunications Union (ITU) Measuring digital
                         ◆ Even higher speeds, ultra-reliable,
                           low latency, high connection                                                                Development Facts and figures 2019
                           density

Figure 2: Evolution of mobile network technology from 1G to 5G                                                                                                         5
Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
Framework in Malaysia

5G Malaysia
                                               5G Demonstration Projects (5GDP)
A systematic
implementation of 5G in
phases for exploration of the
                                                                                      Involve government,
capabilities of the                                                               ◆
                                                                                      telcos and industry
technology, validation of its
                                                                                  ◆   72 uses cases under 9
potential use and
                                                                                      verticals: smart city,
examination of any arising                                                            agriculture, education,
issues.                                                                               entertainment/media,
                                                                                      digital healthcare,
5G Testbeds                                                                           manufacturing, energy,
                                                                                      transportation and
◆ The 5G test bed was coordinated by                                                  tourism.
  MCMC at Putrajaya and Cyberjaya from
                                                                                  ◆   56 live sites across 6 states
  November 2018 until October 2019.
                                                                                      with an initial investment
◆ The trials were aimed to explore the                                                of RM116 million.
  practical   uses    and      modes      of
  implementation of 5G, as well as to learn
  the requirements for policies, regulations
  and spectrum planning.
                                                                Figure 4: States involved with 5GDP
                                                    Source: 5G Malaysia demonstration projects – Media Briefing,
                                                                       MCMC, 2019, Sep 30
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Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
Network of the Future
5G and Future Network
 5G characteristics and comparison with 4G.                                                                        Backhaul/Fronthaul
                                                                                                                   Options
 The telecommunication sector is currently experiencing                   Key Comparison                         ◆ Fiber Optic
 another step of evolution in mobile network technology,                  4G-5G                                  ◆ Micro-wave
 often referred to as 5G - the near future network. A step                                                       ◆ Millimeter-wave (incl.
 in evolution of mobile network technology – 5G, the                     ◆ CU-DU-AAU                               Terragraph, WiGig)
 near future network.                                                    ◆ Comparison to 4G

                 Characteristics
                ◆
                ◆ eMBB, mMTC & URLLC

                                                          Spectrum                              Technical
                                                                                              Requirements
                                                         ◆ Different operating
                             Higher data rate              frequency will have
                                > 10Gbps
                                                           different capacity.

                                                           Spectrum       Data Rate           Features
Increase capacity
> 1 million devices                                                                     Extreme local data
                                        Low latency        20-90 GHz       20 Gbps
     per km2                                                                                  rates
                                           < 1ms                                                                  Fronthaul
                                                                                       High rates with urban
                                                                                                                 ◆Protocol: eCPRI
                                                          Below 6 GHz       2 Gbps
                                                                                            macro sites
                                                                                                                 ◆ New and more efficient
                                                                                       Wide area and deep
                                                          Below 1 GHz      200 Mbps                                fronthaul protocol,
                                                                                              indoor
                                                                                                                   namely eCPRI.
                                                      Table 1: Characteristics of the different frequencies of
           Figure 5: Characteristics of 5G            5G, Source: 5G Technology Components, Nokia, 2017
                                                                                                                                    7
Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
Assessing Adoption
       Readiness of
    Future Network
Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
5G Benchmarking
Global 5G Rollout
 United Kingdom (UK)                                                Switzerland                            A look at the Global 5G
EE launched 5G network in 6 cities (London, Cardiff,                Ericsson/Swisscom launched 5G          scenario in comparison
Edinburgh, Belfast, Birmingham and Manchester on                    network in 54 cities and communities
May 30, 2019.                                                       on April 17, 2019
                                                                                                           to    Malaysia.  This   is
                                                                                                           followed by a look at the
                                                                                                           ASEAN scenario.

                                                                                                           Most countries have begun
                                                                                                           to implement 5G since the
                                                                                                           beginning of April 2019.
                                                                                                           Malaysia have started some
                                                                                                           demonstration
                                                                                                           implementation and should
                                                                                                           be ready to implement 5G
                                                                                                           soon as well.

                                                                                                           Figure 6: 5G global rollout map as
                                                                                                           of June 15, 2019
 United States (USA)                     Spain                            South Korea                      Source: 5G Commercial Network
Verizon began rolling out its 5G       Vodafone/Huawei                  South Korea (SK Telecom, KT and    World Coverage Map,
services in Chicago and                launched 5G network in           LG Uplus) launched the world’s     Worldtimezone.com, 2019
Minneapolis on April 3, 2019, a        15 major Spanish cities on       first nationwide 5G mobile on
week ahead of schedule.                June 15, 2019.                   April 3, 2019

                                                                                                                                           9
Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
Assessing Adoption Readiness of Future Network                                                  5G Benchmarking

                               Example : 5G Benchmarking (ASEAN 5G Rollout)

 Projected 5G penetration                           (%)            Total 5G subscriptions    million

                                                   Figures 7: Projected 5G Subscriptions in ASEAN by 2025
                            Source: 5G in ASEAN: reigniting growth in enterprise and consumer markets, A.T. Kearney Analysis, 2019
5G has enormous potential for operators in the ASEAN region that could add consumer and enterprise revenues in
the future. Regardless of the challenges, most ASEAN countries including Malaysia are actively working on strategies
to rollout 5G.
                                                                                                                        10
Network Gaps & Challenges

Spectrum for 5G
In order to support all the 5G requirements, the spectrum assigned for 5G is very significant.

   Figure 8: Timeline for frequency spectrum for 5G implementations in Malaysia as published in the MCMC’s Final Report on
                                  Allocation of Spectrum Bands for Mobile Broadband Service
               Source: Final Report on Allocation of Spectrum Bands for Mobile Broadband Service, MCMC, 2019

                                                                                                                        11
Network Gaps & Challenges
Mobile Network
Mobile Technology Subscriptions

   A look at current subscription rates based on technology.

  2017            2018             2019              2020

 Figure 9: Percentage of subscribers in Malaysia based on the
                     mobile generations                           Figure 10: Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions in Malaysia
    Source: MCMC 2020 Q1 Facts and Figures, MCMC, 2020          Source: ITU Country ICT Data 2018: Mobile- subscriptions, ITU, 2019

Although the number of mobile subscribers seems to be reaching the peak, more subscribers are opting for latest
generation of mobile and this gives a high hope for 5G demand in the future.

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POST-COVID
Initial response to the pandemic
                                                                        Helping with financial
   Maintaining network
                                                                        hardship
               stability
                                                                             Facilitating remote
Disseminating vital                                                          working
      information

Connecting emergency                                                    Leveraging the power of
            services –                                                  mobile big data
                            Figure 11: Initial response to the pandemic
               Source: GSMA The Mobile Economy Asia Pacific 2020 Report – June 2020
Impact on 5G rollout

                  Figure 12: Impact of 5G rollout
Source: GSMA The Mobile Economy Asia Pacific 2020 Report – June 2020
                                                                       15
5G starts to ramp up, while 4G dominates

               Figure 13: Growth of mobile subscribers
Source: GSMA The Mobile Economy Asia Pacific 2020 Report – June 2020
                                                                       16
Measure 1: Improving Financial Assistance
                                                    42. The Government will allocate 1.5 billion ringgit to
                                                    implement the Jaringan PRIHATIN Programme to alleviate the
                                                    financial burden of the B40 group in accessing internet
                                                    services. During the first quarter of 2021, an estimated 8
                                                    million individuals in the B40 category will each be eligible to
                                                    receive a telecommunication credit worth 180
                                                    ringgit. This credit can be used for internet subscription, or
                                                    defray part of the cost to buy new mobile phones. At the same
                                                    time, telecommunication companies will match by providing
                                                    benefits valued at 1.5 billion ringgit such as free data.
Measure 1: Digital Connectivity
115. The government recognizes the need for telecommunication networks as a third utility. In the new norm,
virtual services are becoming more common. The development of infrastructure and upgrading of basic
telecommunications networks is necessary to meet the needs of a digital lifestyle.

116. Therefore, the Government will allocate 500 million ringgit to implement the National Digital Network
initiative, JENDELA to ensure the connectivity of 430 schools throughout Malaysia covering all states. At the
same time, Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) will allocate 7.4 billion ringgit for
year 2021 and 2022 to build and upgrade broadband services.

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Improve coverage and quality of service and set the foundation for 5G

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The national aspirations will be achieved via a phased approach and the
                                          priority is to maximize the existing resources and infrastructure
                                                   **The achievement of the remaining 3.1% is subject to
 Beyond 2020

                                                   physical survey and alternative technologies
               PHASE 2: National
                  Aspirations                                                                                                          ****5G full
                                           4.95 mil                     **100%                       100 Mbps
                (within RMK-12)                                                                                                        deployment
                                                                                                                              **** Coverage in populated areas

               PHASE 1: JENDELA                                          91.8%                       35 Mbps
                                            7,5 mil                     (*2022)                     (***2022)
                National Target
                  (2020-2022)                             *JENDELA will consider options      ***Original target to achieve
2020-2022

                                                                                              30Mbps was by 2023
                                                                                                                                    5G planning and
                  Building the                            on cost saving to meet the 96.9%.
                                                                                                                                   priming for infra to
                foundations by         1. Enhance the Rakyat’s experience on seamless connectivity at
                                          urban, suburban and rural areas.
                                                                                                                                      be 5G-ready
               optimising existing
                                       2. Maximise 4G infrastructure and technology.
                     digital
                                       3. Extend 4G coverage and speed nationwide.
                 infrastructure        4. QoE is incorporated as part of quality.
 2020

                 Current State                                                                       25 Mbps                       5G demo projects
                                           4.95 mil                      91.8%
                    (2020)
                                       Premises Passed                4G Coverage                  Mobile Speed                                   19
To ensure everybody can get online, fit-for-purpose wireless solutions will be deployed in
                               different areas to maximize wireless broadband connectivity
                                                       1                                 2                           3

                                                        Mobile Broadband                 Fixed Wireless Access             Satellite Broadband
                                                                                       ⌐ Alternative for fixed      ⌐ Geographically challenging areas
                                                     ⌐ Mass, personalized and
                                                                                         (wired) broadband          ⌐ Provide basic voice and internet
                                                       on-the-go usage
                                                                                       ⌐ Sparsely populated areas     access (e.g. WhatsApp,
                                                     ⌐ Wide geographic coverage
                                                                                                                      Facebook, etc.)
Population (density)

                       High         Urban
                                ≥ 200 / sq. km*

                                   Sub-urban
                               66 – 199 / sq. km*

                                     Rural
                               20 – 65 / sq. km*

                       Low         Remote
                                ≤ 19 / sq. km*

                              *Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM) 2010 Census Population Data
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Four (4) quick win mobile projects will be implemented by 2021, while
                        one (1) mid-term projects will further accelerate the achievement of the
                                               desired impact by 2022
   National         Projects     Targeted Project Sites*                                Year End           Impact
  Aspirations
                    Quick win    1. Construct 940 new sites in urban and suburban         2020
                                    areas for quality and indoor coverage                 2021
                                    improvement
                                 2. Upgrade 4,589 existing 2G/3G base stations to                        96.9%
4G Coverage in                      4G to expand 4G coverage and increase the                            Nationwide
populated areas                     speed
                                                                                                          Coverage
                    Mid-term     Construct 1,661 new sites across Malaysia to extend      2022
                                 the mobile 4G coverage in rural and remote areas
                    Quick win    1. Upgrade 16,214 existing base stations at urban        2020
                                    and suburban areas                                    2021

    Wireless
                                 2. Sunset 3G network and migrate the spectrum
                                    for 4G technology use, hence, further improve
                                                                                                    35 Mbps
Broadband Speed                     the speed

                * The figures are subject to adjustments upon physical surveys of identified locations

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Conclusion
  Covid-19 has definitely
    change the way the
      regulators and
  government looking at
      need of mobile
connectivity and how this
can impact the economies
in the short as well as the
         long run.

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THANK YOU!
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