Digital Outlook Series 2020 - READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 - MCMC
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Digital Outlook Series 2020 READINESS OF MALAYSIAN DIGITAL NETWORK IN FACING COVID-19 Impact of Covid-19 Towards Mobile Wireless Development Prof. Dr. Mohamad Yusoff Alias
Telecommunication Network Mobile Network Technology ◆ Analog ◆ Voice only, limited coverage and mobility. Examples: AMPS, NMT450 Subscriptions per 100 inhabitants ◆ Digital ◆ Improved voice, security, coverage, SMS, data. ◆ Example: GSM, IS-95 ◆ Enhancement of 2G ◆ Example: EDGE, GPRS ◆ Mobile data ◆ Higher data rates, smartphones, better voice. ◆ Example: WCDMA, CDMA2000 ◆ Enhancement of 3G ◆ Example: HSDPA, HSPA+ ◆ Mobile Broadband ◆ High speed data, better smartphones. Example: LTE/LTE-A, WiMAX Figure 3: Global ICT developments from 2001 to 2019 ◆ eMBB, mMTC, URLLC Source: International Telecommunications Union (ITU) Measuring digital ◆ Even higher speeds, ultra-reliable, low latency, high connection Development Facts and figures 2019 density Figure 2: Evolution of mobile network technology from 1G to 5G 5
Framework in Malaysia 5G Malaysia 5G Demonstration Projects (5GDP) A systematic implementation of 5G in phases for exploration of the Involve government, capabilities of the ◆ telcos and industry technology, validation of its ◆ 72 uses cases under 9 potential use and verticals: smart city, examination of any arising agriculture, education, issues. entertainment/media, digital healthcare, 5G Testbeds manufacturing, energy, transportation and ◆ The 5G test bed was coordinated by tourism. MCMC at Putrajaya and Cyberjaya from ◆ 56 live sites across 6 states November 2018 until October 2019. with an initial investment ◆ The trials were aimed to explore the of RM116 million. practical uses and modes of implementation of 5G, as well as to learn the requirements for policies, regulations and spectrum planning. Figure 4: States involved with 5GDP Source: 5G Malaysia demonstration projects – Media Briefing, MCMC, 2019, Sep 30 6
Network of the Future 5G and Future Network 5G characteristics and comparison with 4G. Backhaul/Fronthaul Options The telecommunication sector is currently experiencing Key Comparison ◆ Fiber Optic another step of evolution in mobile network technology, 4G-5G ◆ Micro-wave often referred to as 5G - the near future network. A step ◆ Millimeter-wave (incl. in evolution of mobile network technology – 5G, the ◆ CU-DU-AAU Terragraph, WiGig) near future network. ◆ Comparison to 4G Characteristics ◆ ◆ eMBB, mMTC & URLLC Spectrum Technical Requirements ◆ Different operating Higher data rate frequency will have > 10Gbps different capacity. Spectrum Data Rate Features Increase capacity > 1 million devices Extreme local data Low latency 20-90 GHz 20 Gbps per km2 rates < 1ms Fronthaul High rates with urban ◆Protocol: eCPRI Below 6 GHz 2 Gbps macro sites ◆ New and more efficient Wide area and deep Below 1 GHz 200 Mbps fronthaul protocol, indoor namely eCPRI. Table 1: Characteristics of the different frequencies of Figure 5: Characteristics of 5G 5G, Source: 5G Technology Components, Nokia, 2017 7
5G Benchmarking Global 5G Rollout United Kingdom (UK) Switzerland A look at the Global 5G EE launched 5G network in 6 cities (London, Cardiff, Ericsson/Swisscom launched 5G scenario in comparison Edinburgh, Belfast, Birmingham and Manchester on network in 54 cities and communities May 30, 2019. on April 17, 2019 to Malaysia. This is followed by a look at the ASEAN scenario. Most countries have begun to implement 5G since the beginning of April 2019. Malaysia have started some demonstration implementation and should be ready to implement 5G soon as well. Figure 6: 5G global rollout map as of June 15, 2019 United States (USA) Spain South Korea Source: 5G Commercial Network Verizon began rolling out its 5G Vodafone/Huawei South Korea (SK Telecom, KT and World Coverage Map, services in Chicago and launched 5G network in LG Uplus) launched the world’s Worldtimezone.com, 2019 Minneapolis on April 3, 2019, a 15 major Spanish cities on first nationwide 5G mobile on week ahead of schedule. June 15, 2019. April 3, 2019 9
Assessing Adoption Readiness of Future Network 5G Benchmarking Example : 5G Benchmarking (ASEAN 5G Rollout) Projected 5G penetration (%) Total 5G subscriptions million Figures 7: Projected 5G Subscriptions in ASEAN by 2025 Source: 5G in ASEAN: reigniting growth in enterprise and consumer markets, A.T. Kearney Analysis, 2019 5G has enormous potential for operators in the ASEAN region that could add consumer and enterprise revenues in the future. Regardless of the challenges, most ASEAN countries including Malaysia are actively working on strategies to rollout 5G. 10
Network Gaps & Challenges Spectrum for 5G In order to support all the 5G requirements, the spectrum assigned for 5G is very significant. Figure 8: Timeline for frequency spectrum for 5G implementations in Malaysia as published in the MCMC’s Final Report on Allocation of Spectrum Bands for Mobile Broadband Service Source: Final Report on Allocation of Spectrum Bands for Mobile Broadband Service, MCMC, 2019 11
Network Gaps & Challenges Mobile Network Mobile Technology Subscriptions A look at current subscription rates based on technology. 2017 2018 2019 2020 Figure 9: Percentage of subscribers in Malaysia based on the mobile generations Figure 10: Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions in Malaysia Source: MCMC 2020 Q1 Facts and Figures, MCMC, 2020 Source: ITU Country ICT Data 2018: Mobile- subscriptions, ITU, 2019 Although the number of mobile subscribers seems to be reaching the peak, more subscribers are opting for latest generation of mobile and this gives a high hope for 5G demand in the future. 12
POST-COVID
Initial response to the pandemic Helping with financial Maintaining network hardship stability Facilitating remote Disseminating vital working information Connecting emergency Leveraging the power of services – mobile big data Figure 11: Initial response to the pandemic Source: GSMA The Mobile Economy Asia Pacific 2020 Report – June 2020
Impact on 5G rollout Figure 12: Impact of 5G rollout Source: GSMA The Mobile Economy Asia Pacific 2020 Report – June 2020 15
5G starts to ramp up, while 4G dominates Figure 13: Growth of mobile subscribers Source: GSMA The Mobile Economy Asia Pacific 2020 Report – June 2020 16
Measure 1: Improving Financial Assistance 42. The Government will allocate 1.5 billion ringgit to implement the Jaringan PRIHATIN Programme to alleviate the financial burden of the B40 group in accessing internet services. During the first quarter of 2021, an estimated 8 million individuals in the B40 category will each be eligible to receive a telecommunication credit worth 180 ringgit. This credit can be used for internet subscription, or defray part of the cost to buy new mobile phones. At the same time, telecommunication companies will match by providing benefits valued at 1.5 billion ringgit such as free data. Measure 1: Digital Connectivity 115. The government recognizes the need for telecommunication networks as a third utility. In the new norm, virtual services are becoming more common. The development of infrastructure and upgrading of basic telecommunications networks is necessary to meet the needs of a digital lifestyle. 116. Therefore, the Government will allocate 500 million ringgit to implement the National Digital Network initiative, JENDELA to ensure the connectivity of 430 schools throughout Malaysia covering all states. At the same time, Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) will allocate 7.4 billion ringgit for year 2021 and 2022 to build and upgrade broadband services. 17
Improve coverage and quality of service and set the foundation for 5G 18
The national aspirations will be achieved via a phased approach and the priority is to maximize the existing resources and infrastructure **The achievement of the remaining 3.1% is subject to Beyond 2020 physical survey and alternative technologies PHASE 2: National Aspirations ****5G full 4.95 mil **100% 100 Mbps (within RMK-12) deployment **** Coverage in populated areas PHASE 1: JENDELA 91.8% 35 Mbps 7,5 mil (*2022) (***2022) National Target (2020-2022) *JENDELA will consider options ***Original target to achieve 2020-2022 30Mbps was by 2023 5G planning and Building the on cost saving to meet the 96.9%. priming for infra to foundations by 1. Enhance the Rakyat’s experience on seamless connectivity at urban, suburban and rural areas. be 5G-ready optimising existing 2. Maximise 4G infrastructure and technology. digital 3. Extend 4G coverage and speed nationwide. infrastructure 4. QoE is incorporated as part of quality. 2020 Current State 25 Mbps 5G demo projects 4.95 mil 91.8% (2020) Premises Passed 4G Coverage Mobile Speed 19
To ensure everybody can get online, fit-for-purpose wireless solutions will be deployed in different areas to maximize wireless broadband connectivity 1 2 3 Mobile Broadband Fixed Wireless Access Satellite Broadband ⌐ Alternative for fixed ⌐ Geographically challenging areas ⌐ Mass, personalized and (wired) broadband ⌐ Provide basic voice and internet on-the-go usage ⌐ Sparsely populated areas access (e.g. WhatsApp, ⌐ Wide geographic coverage Facebook, etc.) Population (density) High Urban ≥ 200 / sq. km* Sub-urban 66 – 199 / sq. km* Rural 20 – 65 / sq. km* Low Remote ≤ 19 / sq. km* *Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM) 2010 Census Population Data 20
Four (4) quick win mobile projects will be implemented by 2021, while one (1) mid-term projects will further accelerate the achievement of the desired impact by 2022 National Projects Targeted Project Sites* Year End Impact Aspirations Quick win 1. Construct 940 new sites in urban and suburban 2020 areas for quality and indoor coverage 2021 improvement 2. Upgrade 4,589 existing 2G/3G base stations to 96.9% 4G Coverage in 4G to expand 4G coverage and increase the Nationwide populated areas speed Coverage Mid-term Construct 1,661 new sites across Malaysia to extend 2022 the mobile 4G coverage in rural and remote areas Quick win 1. Upgrade 16,214 existing base stations at urban 2020 and suburban areas 2021 Wireless 2. Sunset 3G network and migrate the spectrum for 4G technology use, hence, further improve 35 Mbps Broadband Speed the speed * The figures are subject to adjustments upon physical surveys of identified locations 21
Conclusion Covid-19 has definitely change the way the regulators and government looking at need of mobile connectivity and how this can impact the economies in the short as well as the long run. 22
THANK YOU!
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