COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights

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COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights
Special Insights

COVID-19 Impact
on Restaurant
Consumers
June 2020 Update – Part One

revenuemanage.com
COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights
About the survey
RMS surveyed 1,200 people in   Gender                                  Generation
the United States from May
                                                                             Gen Z         9%
13th to May 15th, 2020.
                                                                        Millennials                                           32%

                                                                            Gen X                              24%

                               51%             48%             1%        Boomers                                        29%
                               Female          Male            Other
                                                                        No answer     6%

                               Food profile                            Restaurant usage

                                                                        19%           41%                            40%
                                                                        Infrequent    Moderate                       Frequent
                                                                        users         users                          users

                                                                                      Order from restaurants         Order from restaurants
                               43%                         57%                        at least 3x                    at least 5x
                               I live to eat          I eat to live                   per week                       per week

                                                                                                                                              2
COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights
Respondent breakdown

Marital status                                      Employment status                                 Region
                                                                                                                                                    18%
                                                                                                                                                  Northeast
         Single                 29%
                                                   Employed for wages                           44%                           22%
Living together          8%                                   Retired               20%                     26%           Midwest
                                                                                                            West
                                                        Self-employed          9%
        Married                        47%
                                                      Looking for work        7%
       Divorced          10%                                                                                                              34%
                                                       Unable to work         5%
                                                                                                                                          South
      Widowed              5%                             Homemaker           6%
                                                              Student         6%
            Other        1%
                                                                Other     3%

Children                                            Household Income                                  Geographic area
Under the age of 16 in the household
                                                        Under $50k                        43%
       3+           5%                                                                                     Rural    22%
                                                     $50k to $100k                  35%
        2     11%
                                                                                                        Suburban                    49%
                                                        Over $100k       17%
                                                                                                           Urban        29%
        1       14%
                                                         No answer       5%
    None                                     70%

                                                                                                                                                              3
COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights
Insight One

Consumers’ outlook on the industry
is more cautious than 1 month ago
Shifting perspectives from April to May
                                                                   April 2020
When do you believe the restaurant industry will
recover to its pre COVID-19 business levels?                    6 months
                                                                The majority (58%) believed recovery
    34%
                                                                would take less than half a year.
   6 months                                           33%
                                                    12 months
    30%                                                            May 2020
  12 months
                                                      25%
     24%                                            6 months
   3 months                                           22%       12 months
                                                    24 months   The majority (55%) has shifted to
                                                                the belief that recovery will take
    11%                                                         twice as long.
  24 months                                           10%
                                                     Never
                                                                That includes a 40% drop in confidence that the
     1%                                                         recovery will only take 6 months.
    Never
                                                                There is also a growing concern that the industry
                                                                may never recover (jump from 1% to 10%).
              April ‘20                   May ‘20

                                                                                                                    4
COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights
Insight Two                                       Deep dive

Consumers are using limited                       However, consumers are
contact channels more often…                      cautious when planning their
                                                  next dine-out experience:
Activity shift from April to May
Share of people reporting doing "more" or         When do you next plan to dine-out at a restaurant?
"much more" increased since the pandemic began
                                                                            1-2
                                                                           weeks           3-4
                  Take-Out                                ASAP             (10%)           weeks
                                                                                           (11%)

                     10%
                                                           (15%)
Delivery
                  Shift in May
                                   Drive-Thru
   7%
Shift in May                           9%
                                   Shift in May

                                                                      More than
                                                                       4 weeks
                                                                             (64%)

                                                                                                       5
   23%              25%               19%
   in April         in April          in April
COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights
Insight Three

Consumers are less likely
to eat out post-pandemic
Post-pandemic, how often do you plan on eating out
versus before the pandemic?

50%                                                   37%                                                     13%
Less or much less                                     About the same                                          More or much more
Why?                                                  Why?                                                    Why?
Improved health and safety measures are not enough    Desire for a sense of normalcy is driving respondents   Eating out was routine for these respondents
to make respondents feel comfortable. In addition,    who will return to pre-pandemic frequency. This group   and they miss the experience. They are also
they state a desire to avoid crowds and the lack of   believes restaurants have implemented the               driven by a desire to support restaurants,
disposable income as reasons to eat out less.         necessary health and safety measures.                   specifically local ones.

                                                         Back to                                                  Miss the
   Health and Safety                      41%                                                      47%           Experience                            35%
                                                         Normal

                                                      Health and                                                  Support
      Contamination           24%                                        15%                                    Restaurants        14%
                                                        Safety

   Social Distancing,                                  Miss the                                                No longer an
    Others, Crowds      12%                                              15%                                       issue         10%
                                                      Experience

 Disposable Income      11%
                                                      % coverage ratio                                        % coverage ratio

% coverage ratio
Insight Three

When guest do eat out, they need                                    Deep dive

visible implementation of hygiene
                                                                    When asked what kind of information
policies to ease their concerns                                     would be helpful, respondents
                                                                    answered overwhelmingly: ‘Display
When returning and choosing restaurants, guests will be
primarily seeking out:                                              hygiene policies within the restaurant’
                                                                    § Trust in restaurants’ handling of food is
                                                                      quite high, according to our April survey.

                                                                    § Information on food handling,
                                                                      preparation or ingredients may be less
                                                                      impactful than showing guests clear
                                                                      hygiene guidelines.
Increased sanitary     More distance          Restricting numbers
precautions taken by   between tables         of customers being
the restaurant                                served
Insight Three

Quotes from respondents

                                        “They show the no-contact aspect
   “Restaurants that began to have      when they are getting your food.”
   employees wear masks and
   gloves was great to see. It put me
   at ease as a customer.”              “They are informing the public of the ways they
                                        are practicing to keep the public safe.”
Insight Four

Breakfast and lunch habits have
changed substantially for a third
of the respondents
Since COVID-19, have your breakfast/              They also reported…
lunch eating habits changed?
                                                                 New healthy habits
 33%
 Yes                67%                                          15% believe this new breakfast habit has
                                                                 led to more healthy eating.
  Yes               No
 33%
                                                                 Eating more
Of those reporting change…                                       14% report they are eating more for
                                                                 breakfast as a result of WFH (time is more
36%                       26%                                    flexible, sleep later, etc.): notion of brunch
                                                                 as a blurred experience of breakfast and
mentioned cooking         refer to economic
                                                                 lunch in one.
more at home and          worries/hardships and
majority of comments      are eating less for
imply they are mostly     breakfast and/or                       More junk food
enjoying it               lunch                                  4% reported (without prompts) on eating more
                                                                 junk food throughout the day.
                                                                                                                  9
Insight Five

Consumers expect restaurant
prices to increase
21% believe prices will
not increase

79%
believe that                  54% believe the increase will be
prices                        at least 5%
will increase
as a result of                30% believe the increase will be
COVID-19                      at least 10%

                              13% believe the increase will be
                              more than 10%

                                                                 10
Insight Five

Consumers expect restaurant
prices to increase… but why?

What are the drivers of price changes?

Lower total capacity in restaurants at any one time due to social distancing practices                               67%

                              Increased sanitary precautions taken by the restaurant                                65%

                                                               Increased cost of food                              64%

                                Challenges faced in food supply and food processing                          50%

                                                                             Inflation                 35%

                                            Increased wages for front-line employees                 33%

                                   Increased cost of medical coverage for employees            27%

                                                          More local sources for food    13%

                                                                                                                           11
Insight Six

Households are most concerned about
COVID-19’s economic and social impact on
their communities
What are your household concerns right now regarding COVID-19?
                                                                                                                  Deep dive
                                      Very concerned         Concerned   Moderately   Slightly    Not concerned
                                                                         concerned    concerned
                                                                                                                  Food Supply
Socioeconomic impact   41%                             24%
                                                                                                                  Concerns about food
                                                                                                                  shortages and lack of food
Food supply                      24%                   23%
                                                                                                                  variety rank highly
Household health                28%                     21%
                                                                                                                  Household Health
Childcare                        24%                   23%                                                        Infecting members of their
                                                                                                                  households, access to
Social interactions               23%                   21%
                                                                                                                  medical services and mental
                                                                                                                  health are also top concerns
Economic need                     25%                    19%

Personal recreation                    20%               19%                                                                                     12
Insight Seven

Pre-pandemic, respondents chose
restaurants for food quality,
price/value and menu selection
When choosing a restaurant what do you look for?

          Food Quality                                         42%

           Price/Value                                   34%

       Menu Selection                              30%

          Atmosphere                       14%

           Cleanliness                     14%

     Quality of Service                   13%

          Convenience               11%

 Reputation/Reviews            7%

      Local Ownership     2%

% coverage ratio
                                                                     13
Insight Seven

Post-pandemic, contamination,
sanitation/safety and cleanliness
are additional concerns

What concerns do you have about eating at restaurants in the future?
                       Contamination                                      24%

      Safety and Sanitation Practices                               19%

            Cleanliness of Restaurant                               19%

       Social Distancing and Capacity                         15%               1 in 6 respondents
   Restaurant Access and Experience                     13%                     are concerned about
                   Precaution of Staff             8%
                                                                                their favorite restaurants
                                                                                going out of business
          Precaution of Other Patrons         6%

                               Prices    3%

% coverage ratio
                                                                                                             14
Insight Eight

Consumers anticipate that current
sanitation & social distancing guidelines
are here to stay for restaurants
What do you think are the long-term impacts to the way restaurants
operate due to COVID-19?
              Sanitation and Safety                                        39%

    Social Distancing and Capacity                                   27%

            No
            NoLong-Term
               Long-term Changes
                         Changes                               20%

                        Cleanliness                      17%

                      Staff Training               14%

               Operational Changes           12%

                   Loss of Business         11%

 Physical and Personal Protections          11%

                       Price/Value     3%

% coverage ratio
                                                                                 15
Summary of insights
1.   Consumers’ outlook on the industry’s recovery    5.   79% of consumers expect restaurant prices
     is more cautious than 1 month ago.                    to increase.

2.   While the use of limited contact channels has    6.   65% of households are most concerned
     increased in the last month; 64% of                   about COVID-19’s economic and social
     respondents stated they are planning to wait          impact on their communities.
     more than 4 weeks before dining out again.
                                                      7.   When choosing a restaurant, consumers now
3.   48% of consumers are less likely to eat out           also consider contamination, sanitation and
     post-pandemic.                                        cleanliness criteria in addition to quality,
                                                           price/value and menu selection.
4.   33% of respondents’ breakfast and lunch habits
     have changed substantially.                      8.   Consumers anticipate that current sanitation
                                                           & social distancing practices for restaurants
                                                           are here to stay.

                                                                                                           16
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