COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers - June 2020 Update - Part One - Special Insights
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Special Insights COVID-19 Impact on Restaurant Consumers June 2020 Update – Part One revenuemanage.com
About the survey RMS surveyed 1,200 people in Gender Generation the United States from May Gen Z 9% 13th to May 15th, 2020. Millennials 32% Gen X 24% 51% 48% 1% Boomers 29% Female Male Other No answer 6% Food profile Restaurant usage 19% 41% 40% Infrequent Moderate Frequent users users users Order from restaurants Order from restaurants 43% 57% at least 3x at least 5x I live to eat I eat to live per week per week 2
Respondent breakdown Marital status Employment status Region 18% Northeast Single 29% Employed for wages 44% 22% Living together 8% Retired 20% 26% Midwest West Self-employed 9% Married 47% Looking for work 7% Divorced 10% 34% Unable to work 5% South Widowed 5% Homemaker 6% Student 6% Other 1% Other 3% Children Household Income Geographic area Under the age of 16 in the household Under $50k 43% 3+ 5% Rural 22% $50k to $100k 35% 2 11% Suburban 49% Over $100k 17% Urban 29% 1 14% No answer 5% None 70% 3
Insight One Consumers’ outlook on the industry is more cautious than 1 month ago Shifting perspectives from April to May April 2020 When do you believe the restaurant industry will recover to its pre COVID-19 business levels? 6 months The majority (58%) believed recovery 34% would take less than half a year. 6 months 33% 12 months 30% May 2020 12 months 25% 24% 6 months 3 months 22% 12 months 24 months The majority (55%) has shifted to the belief that recovery will take 11% twice as long. 24 months 10% Never That includes a 40% drop in confidence that the 1% recovery will only take 6 months. Never There is also a growing concern that the industry may never recover (jump from 1% to 10%). April ‘20 May ‘20 4
Insight Two Deep dive Consumers are using limited However, consumers are contact channels more often… cautious when planning their next dine-out experience: Activity shift from April to May Share of people reporting doing "more" or When do you next plan to dine-out at a restaurant? "much more" increased since the pandemic began 1-2 weeks 3-4 Take-Out ASAP (10%) weeks (11%) 10% (15%) Delivery Shift in May Drive-Thru 7% Shift in May 9% Shift in May More than 4 weeks (64%) 5 23% 25% 19% in April in April in April
Insight Three Consumers are less likely to eat out post-pandemic Post-pandemic, how often do you plan on eating out versus before the pandemic? 50% 37% 13% Less or much less About the same More or much more Why? Why? Why? Improved health and safety measures are not enough Desire for a sense of normalcy is driving respondents Eating out was routine for these respondents to make respondents feel comfortable. In addition, who will return to pre-pandemic frequency. This group and they miss the experience. They are also they state a desire to avoid crowds and the lack of believes restaurants have implemented the driven by a desire to support restaurants, disposable income as reasons to eat out less. necessary health and safety measures. specifically local ones. Back to Miss the Health and Safety 41% 47% Experience 35% Normal Health and Support Contamination 24% 15% Restaurants 14% Safety Social Distancing, Miss the No longer an Others, Crowds 12% 15% issue 10% Experience Disposable Income 11% % coverage ratio % coverage ratio % coverage ratio
Insight Three When guest do eat out, they need Deep dive visible implementation of hygiene When asked what kind of information policies to ease their concerns would be helpful, respondents answered overwhelmingly: ‘Display When returning and choosing restaurants, guests will be primarily seeking out: hygiene policies within the restaurant’ § Trust in restaurants’ handling of food is quite high, according to our April survey. § Information on food handling, preparation or ingredients may be less impactful than showing guests clear hygiene guidelines. Increased sanitary More distance Restricting numbers precautions taken by between tables of customers being the restaurant served
Insight Three Quotes from respondents “They show the no-contact aspect “Restaurants that began to have when they are getting your food.” employees wear masks and gloves was great to see. It put me at ease as a customer.” “They are informing the public of the ways they are practicing to keep the public safe.”
Insight Four Breakfast and lunch habits have changed substantially for a third of the respondents Since COVID-19, have your breakfast/ They also reported… lunch eating habits changed? New healthy habits 33% Yes 67% 15% believe this new breakfast habit has led to more healthy eating. Yes No 33% Eating more Of those reporting change… 14% report they are eating more for breakfast as a result of WFH (time is more 36% 26% flexible, sleep later, etc.): notion of brunch as a blurred experience of breakfast and mentioned cooking refer to economic lunch in one. more at home and worries/hardships and majority of comments are eating less for imply they are mostly breakfast and/or More junk food enjoying it lunch 4% reported (without prompts) on eating more junk food throughout the day. 9
Insight Five Consumers expect restaurant prices to increase 21% believe prices will not increase 79% believe that 54% believe the increase will be prices at least 5% will increase as a result of 30% believe the increase will be COVID-19 at least 10% 13% believe the increase will be more than 10% 10
Insight Five Consumers expect restaurant prices to increase… but why? What are the drivers of price changes? Lower total capacity in restaurants at any one time due to social distancing practices 67% Increased sanitary precautions taken by the restaurant 65% Increased cost of food 64% Challenges faced in food supply and food processing 50% Inflation 35% Increased wages for front-line employees 33% Increased cost of medical coverage for employees 27% More local sources for food 13% 11
Insight Six Households are most concerned about COVID-19’s economic and social impact on their communities What are your household concerns right now regarding COVID-19? Deep dive Very concerned Concerned Moderately Slightly Not concerned concerned concerned Food Supply Socioeconomic impact 41% 24% Concerns about food shortages and lack of food Food supply 24% 23% variety rank highly Household health 28% 21% Household Health Childcare 24% 23% Infecting members of their households, access to Social interactions 23% 21% medical services and mental health are also top concerns Economic need 25% 19% Personal recreation 20% 19% 12
Insight Seven Pre-pandemic, respondents chose restaurants for food quality, price/value and menu selection When choosing a restaurant what do you look for? Food Quality 42% Price/Value 34% Menu Selection 30% Atmosphere 14% Cleanliness 14% Quality of Service 13% Convenience 11% Reputation/Reviews 7% Local Ownership 2% % coverage ratio 13
Insight Seven Post-pandemic, contamination, sanitation/safety and cleanliness are additional concerns What concerns do you have about eating at restaurants in the future? Contamination 24% Safety and Sanitation Practices 19% Cleanliness of Restaurant 19% Social Distancing and Capacity 15% 1 in 6 respondents Restaurant Access and Experience 13% are concerned about Precaution of Staff 8% their favorite restaurants going out of business Precaution of Other Patrons 6% Prices 3% % coverage ratio 14
Insight Eight Consumers anticipate that current sanitation & social distancing guidelines are here to stay for restaurants What do you think are the long-term impacts to the way restaurants operate due to COVID-19? Sanitation and Safety 39% Social Distancing and Capacity 27% No NoLong-Term Long-term Changes Changes 20% Cleanliness 17% Staff Training 14% Operational Changes 12% Loss of Business 11% Physical and Personal Protections 11% Price/Value 3% % coverage ratio 15
Summary of insights 1. Consumers’ outlook on the industry’s recovery 5. 79% of consumers expect restaurant prices is more cautious than 1 month ago. to increase. 2. While the use of limited contact channels has 6. 65% of households are most concerned increased in the last month; 64% of about COVID-19’s economic and social respondents stated they are planning to wait impact on their communities. more than 4 weeks before dining out again. 7. When choosing a restaurant, consumers now 3. 48% of consumers are less likely to eat out also consider contamination, sanitation and post-pandemic. cleanliness criteria in addition to quality, price/value and menu selection. 4. 33% of respondents’ breakfast and lunch habits have changed substantially. 8. Consumers anticipate that current sanitation & social distancing practices for restaurants are here to stay. 16
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