BOND+SUKUK INFORMATION EXCHANGE BIXMALAYSIA.COM - NEWS UPDATE 02 June 2020
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US Yield Daily Yield Weekly Yield Monthly Yield YTD Yield MARKET Treasury 01 June 20 3 YEAR 0.20 Change bps 1 29 May 20 0.19 Change bps -1 22 May 20 Change 0.21 bps -4 30 Apr 20 0.24 Change bps -142 31 Dec 19 1.62 5 YEAR 0.31 1 0.30 -3 0.34 -5 0.36 -138 1.69 SUMMARY 7 YEAR 10 YEAR 0.50 0.66 0 1 0.50 0.65 -1 0 0.51 0.66 -3 2 0.53 0.64 -133 -126 1.83 1.92 MGS Yield Daily Yield Weekly Yield Monthly Yield YTD Yield 01 June 20 Change 29 May 20 Change 22 May 20 Change 30 Apr 20 Change 31 Dec 19 bps bps bps bps 3 YEAR 2.27 0 2.27 0 2.27 -13 2.40 -71 2.98 5 YEAR 2.47 0 2.47 -1 2.48 -4 2.51 -68 3.15 7 YEAR 2.64 2 2.62 0 2.64 -3 2.67 -66 3.30 10 YEAR 2.82 2 2.80 2 2.80 -7 2.89 -48 3.30 GII Yield Daily Yield Weekly Yield Monthly Yield YTD Yield 01 June 20 Change 29 May 20 Change 22 May 20 Change 30 Apr 20 Change 31 Dec 19 bps bps bps bps 3 YEAR 2.32 1 2.31 0 2.32 -15 2.47 -74 3.06 5 YEAR 2.45 -2 2.47 -3 2.48 -13 2.58 -74 3.19 7 YEAR 2.70 0 2.70 -3 2.73 6 2.64 -60 3.30 10 YEAR 2.72 2 2.70 -5 2.77 -12 2.84 -70 3.42 • 1 bps = 0.01% AAA Yield Daily Yield Weekly Yield Monthly Yield YTD Yield • Increase in Yield = Decrease 01 June 20 Change 29 May 20 Change 22 May 20 Change 30 Apr 20 Change 31 Dec 19 in the bond price/value bps bps bps bps 3 YEAR 2.87 0 2.87 0 2.87 -14 3.01 -68 3.55 5 YEAR 3.03 1 3.02 2 3.01 -8 3.11 -64 3.67 Source: US Treasury, BNM & 7 YEAR 3.19 2 3.17 1 3.18 -5 3.24 -57 3.76 BIX Malaysia 10 YEAR 3.36 2 3.34 1 3.35 -5 3.41 -53 3.89
THE MALAYSIAN RESERVE NEWS Sharp contraction in 2Q GDP to push Malaysia into recession UPDATE MALAYSIA’S GDP in the second quarter of 2020 (2Q20) is expected to contract sharply, dragging the domestic economy into recession this year, said IHS Markit Asia-Pacific chief economist Rajiv Biswas. South- East Asia’s fourth-largest economy has been severely hit by the impact of lockdown measures to prevent the escalation of the Covid-19 pandemic, Today's headlines of interest and Biswas said in his latest economic preview report. With continued severe summaries as extracted from the lockdown conditions having remained in place throughout April, 2Q20 GDP will be heavily hit by the negative economic effects of containment international and local media. measures. “First-quarter GDP contracted on a quarter-on-quarter basis, and 2Q20 GDP is also expected to show a sharp contraction due to the impact of the protracted lockdown. “This is expected to push the Malaysian economy into a recession for the 2020 calendar year,” he added. However, economic growth momentum is expected to gradually improve in the second half of this year (2H20), as domestic industrial production and consumption expenditure recover. This would follow the easing of lockdown restrictions, while export orders gradually improve as lockdowns are eased in major export markets, notably Europe and the US. The tourism sector is also expected to face a protracted period of economic distress, as restrictions on international visitors are still in force.
THE MALAYSIAN RESERVE NEWS Malaysia’s PMI rises to 45.6 in May as pandemic effect may have bottomed out UPDATE MALAYSIA’S manufacturing sector posted a sharp spike in May as external demand increased with more countries easing the lockdowns imposed on their citizens and economic activities are slowly returning to normality. The headline IHS Markit Malaysia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), an indicator of the country’s manufacturing Today's headlines of interest and performance, jumped to 45.6 in May compared to April’s record low of summaries as extracted from the 31.3. The figure, however, is still below the neutral mark of 50, indicating a international and local media. still muted manufacturing sector. IHS Markit Ltd chief business economist Chris Williamson said the strong rise of the PMI showed the first major indication that the economic downturn caused by the Covid-19 pandemic appeared to have bottomed out. “While manufacturing activity continued to fall at a steep rate in May, declines in output and orderbooks were notably less severe than what was seen in the month prior. “Barring any second wave of infections, the coming months should see signs of at least stabilisation as restrictions to contain the virus are gradually eased both at home and in export markets,” Williamson said in a statement yesterday. He said despite the anticipation of a return to growth into the third quarter, a recovery to pre-pandemic production and GDP levels would be long and slow. Williamson said export demand in particular looks set to be weak for some time as Covid-19 restrictions will inevitably need to stay in place and continue to dampen economic activity around the world.
BERNAMA NEWS Malaysia may see gradual economic recovery starting next quarter, says MIDF Research UPDATE After the “largely expected” economic contraction for the 2020 second quarter (Q2), Malaysia may see a gradual recovery starting from the third quarter depending on its progress in containing the Covid-19 outbreak, said MIDF Research. In a note today, it said recovery would also depend Today's headlines of interest and on how the rest of the world, particularly Malaysia’s key trading partners, summaries as extracted from the were combating the spreading virus as this would affect global demand for the country’s products. international and local media. “The economic stimulus package is anticipated to provide some cushion to the adverse impact resulting from Covid-19,” said MIDF Research, which is a part of MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd. It noted that Malaysia’s Leading Index (LI) declined further to -4.9% month-on-month (m-o-m) in March from -0.8% m-o-m in February, signaling an economic recession for the July-September 2020 period. The hardest monthly fall since November 1991 was mainly due to the first phase of Movement Control Order (MCO) which was effective from March 18, the research house said. Five out of the seven LI components declined, including real imports of semi-conductors, Bursa Malaysia Industrial Index and the number of new companies registered. The leading economic index fell 3.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) in March, following a 1.7% y-o-y gain in the preceding month.
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