BOND+SUKUK INFORMATION EXCHANGE BIXMALAYSIA.COM - NEWS UPDATE 02 June 2020

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BOND+SUKUK INFORMATION EXCHANGE BIXMALAYSIA.COM - NEWS UPDATE 02 June 2020
BOND+SUKUK
INFORMATION
EXCHANGE
BIXMALAYSIA.COM
NEWS UPDATE
02 June 2020
BOND+SUKUK INFORMATION EXCHANGE BIXMALAYSIA.COM - NEWS UPDATE 02 June 2020
US       Yield       Daily      Yield    Weekly      Yield  Monthly     Yield      YTD       Yield

MARKET                           Treasury 01 June 20

                                 3 YEAR       0.20
                                                        Change
                                                          bps
                                                           1
                                                                 29 May 20

                                                                   0.19
                                                                             Change
                                                                               bps
                                                                                -1
                                                                                      22 May 20 Change

                                                                                         0.21
                                                                                                  bps
                                                                                                   -4
                                                                                                          30 Apr 20

                                                                                                            0.24
                                                                                                                      Change
                                                                                                                        bps
                                                                                                                       -142
                                                                                                                               31 Dec 19

                                                                                                                                 1.62
                                 5 YEAR       0.31         1       0.30         -3       0.34      -5       0.36       -138      1.69

SUMMARY                          7 YEAR
                                 10 YEAR
                                              0.50
                                              0.66
                                                           0
                                                           1
                                                                   0.50
                                                                   0.65
                                                                                -1
                                                                                 0
                                                                                         0.51
                                                                                         0.66
                                                                                                   -3
                                                                                                    2
                                                                                                            0.53
                                                                                                            0.64
                                                                                                                       -133
                                                                                                                       -126
                                                                                                                                 1.83
                                                                                                                                 1.92

                                  MGS         Yield      Daily      Yield    Weekly      Yield  Monthly     Yield      YTD       Yield
                                           01 June 20   Change   29 May 20   Change   22 May 20 Change    30 Apr 20   Change   31 Dec 19
                                                          bps                  bps                bps                   bps
                                 3 YEAR       2.27         0       2.27          0       2.27     -13       2.40        -71      2.98
                                 5 YEAR       2.47         0       2.47         -1       2.48      -4       2.51        -68      3.15
                                 7 YEAR       2.64         2       2.62          0       2.64      -3       2.67        -66      3.30
                                 10 YEAR      2.82         2       2.80          2       2.80      -7       2.89        -48      3.30

                                   GII        Yield      Daily      Yield    Weekly      Yield  Monthly     Yield      YTD       Yield
                                           01 June 20   Change   29 May 20   Change   22 May 20 Change    30 Apr 20   Change   31 Dec 19
                                                          bps                  bps                bps                   bps
                                 3 YEAR       2.32          1      2.31          0       2.32     -15       2.47        -74      3.06
                                 5 YEAR       2.45         -2      2.47         -3       2.48     -13       2.58        -74      3.19
                                 7 YEAR       2.70          0      2.70         -3       2.73      6        2.64        -60      3.30
                                 10 YEAR      2.72          2      2.70         -5       2.77     -12       2.84        -70      3.42
• 1 bps = 0.01%
                                   AAA        Yield      Daily      Yield    Weekly      Yield  Monthly     Yield      YTD       Yield
• Increase in Yield = Decrease             01 June 20   Change   29 May 20   Change   22 May 20 Change    30 Apr 20   Change   31 Dec 19
  in the bond price/value                                 bps                  bps                bps                   bps
                                 3 YEAR       2.87         0       2.87         0        2.87     -14       3.01        -68      3.55
                                 5 YEAR       3.03         1       3.02         2        3.01      -8       3.11        -64      3.67
  Source: US Treasury, BNM &     7 YEAR       3.19         2       3.17         1        3.18      -5       3.24        -57      3.76
  BIX Malaysia                   10 YEAR      3.36         2       3.34         1        3.35      -5       3.41        -53      3.89
THE MALAYSIAN RESERVE

NEWS                                Sharp contraction in 2Q GDP to push Malaysia into recession

UPDATE                              MALAYSIA’S GDP in the second quarter of 2020 (2Q20) is expected to
                                    contract sharply, dragging the domestic economy into recession this
                                    year, said IHS Markit Asia-Pacific chief economist Rajiv Biswas. South-
                                    East Asia’s fourth-largest economy has been severely hit by the impact of
                                    lockdown measures to prevent the escalation of the Covid-19 pandemic,
Today's headlines of interest and   Biswas said in his latest economic preview report. With continued severe
summaries as extracted from the     lockdown conditions having remained in place throughout April, 2Q20
                                    GDP will be heavily hit by the negative economic effects of containment
international and local media.
                                    measures.

                                    “First-quarter GDP contracted on a quarter-on-quarter basis, and 2Q20
                                    GDP is also expected to show a sharp contraction due to the impact of
                                    the protracted lockdown. “This is expected to push the Malaysian
                                    economy into a recession for the 2020 calendar year,” he added.
                                    However, economic growth momentum is expected to gradually improve
                                    in the second half of this year (2H20), as domestic industrial production
                                    and consumption expenditure recover.

                                    This would follow the easing of lockdown restrictions, while export orders
                                    gradually improve as lockdowns are eased in major export markets,
                                    notably Europe and the US. The tourism sector is also expected to face a
                                    protracted period of economic distress, as restrictions on international
                                    visitors are still in force.
THE MALAYSIAN RESERVE

NEWS                                Malaysia’s PMI rises to 45.6 in May as pandemic effect may have
                                    bottomed out

UPDATE                              MALAYSIA’S manufacturing sector posted a sharp spike in May as
                                    external demand increased with more countries easing the lockdowns
                                    imposed on their citizens and economic activities are slowly returning to
                                    normality. The headline IHS Markit Malaysia Manufacturing Purchasing
                                    Managers’ Index (PMI), an indicator of the country’s manufacturing
Today's headlines of interest and   performance, jumped to 45.6 in May compared to April’s record low of
summaries as extracted from the     31.3. The figure, however, is still below the neutral mark of 50, indicating a
international and local media.      still muted manufacturing sector. IHS Markit Ltd chief business economist
                                    Chris Williamson said the strong rise of the PMI showed the first major
                                    indication that the economic downturn caused by the Covid-19 pandemic
                                    appeared to have bottomed out. “While manufacturing activity continued
                                    to fall at a steep rate in May, declines in output and orderbooks were
                                    notably less severe than what was seen in the month prior.

                                    “Barring any second wave of infections, the coming months should see
                                    signs of at least stabilisation as restrictions to contain the virus are
                                    gradually eased both at home and in export markets,” Williamson said in
                                    a statement yesterday. He said despite the anticipation of a return to
                                    growth into the third quarter, a recovery to pre-pandemic production and
                                    GDP levels would be long and slow. Williamson said export demand in
                                    particular looks set to be weak for some time as Covid-19 restrictions will
                                    inevitably need to stay in place and continue to dampen economic
                                    activity around the world.
BERNAMA

NEWS                                Malaysia may see gradual economic recovery starting next quarter, says
                                    MIDF Research

UPDATE                              After the “largely expected” economic contraction for the 2020 second
                                    quarter (Q2), Malaysia may see a gradual recovery starting from the third
                                    quarter depending on its progress in containing the Covid-19 outbreak,
                                    said MIDF Research. In a note today, it said recovery would also depend
Today's headlines of interest and   on how the rest of the world, particularly Malaysia’s key trading partners,
summaries as extracted from the     were combating the spreading virus as this would affect global demand
                                    for the country’s products.
international and local media.
                                    “The economic stimulus package is anticipated to provide some cushion
                                    to the adverse impact resulting from Covid-19,” said MIDF Research,
                                    which is a part of MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd. It noted that
                                    Malaysia’s Leading Index (LI) declined further to -4.9% month-on-month
                                    (m-o-m) in March from -0.8% m-o-m in February, signaling an economic
                                    recession for the July-September 2020 period. The hardest monthly fall
                                    since November 1991 was mainly due to the first phase of Movement
                                    Control Order (MCO) which was effective from March 18, the research
                                    house said.

                                    Five out of the seven LI components declined, including real imports of
                                    semi-conductors, Bursa Malaysia Industrial Index and the number of new
                                    companies registered. The leading economic index fell 3.6% year-on-year
                                    (y-o-y) in March, following a 1.7% y-o-y gain in the preceding month.
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