Biotech Excerpt: Pharma, Biotech & Medtech 2020 in Review - February 2021

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Biotech Excerpt: Pharma, Biotech & Medtech 2020 in Review - February 2021
Biotech Excerpt:
Pharma, Biotech
& Medtech 2020
in Review
February 2021
Biotech Excerpt: Pharma, Biotech & Medtech 2020 in Review - February 2021
A big year for biotech flotations

            With the final numbers in, the excesses of 2020 are laid bare. An astonishing $12.7bn was
            raised last year by young drug developers via IPOs, a figure that outstrips previous records
            by a long way.

            The number of companies that went public is also high, although not remarkably so. But those that did float
            managed to amass huge sums, taking full advantage of the cash flowing readily into the sector.

            Whether this largesse continues in 2021 is the burning question for IPO investors, and for now there are few signs of
            diminishing appetites.

            These analyses concern pure-play drug developers only.

           Tracking demand for IPOs                                                                                                                               Source: Evaluate®. January 2021

                                                    10%
                                                                                                                             Average premium/
                                                                                                                             discount to float range                 8
                                                                                                                                                                            6
                                                                                                                                                            4                      4
                                                                                                          2
         Average premium/discount to float range

                                                    0%                      0                                                                 0
                                                                                 -1                               -1
                                                                                      -2   -2        -2
                                                                                                                                       -3
                                                                                                                                 -5
                                                                                                -6
                                                                                                                                                       -8
                                                   -10%               -10
                                                          -11

                                                                                                                       -18
                                                                -19
                                                   -20%

                                                   -30%
                                                          Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3      Q4        Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4       Q1      Q2     Q3     Q4
                                                                  2016                 2017                2018                          2019                         2020
                                                                                                           Year

            The chart above illustrates how investor interest in biotech soared last year, with all listing companies managing to
            float at or above the initial prices proposed by bankers. Many pulled off upsized offerings, selling substantially more
            shares than planned at valuations inflated by huge demand.

2   A big year for biotech flotations                                                                                                                           Copyright © 2021 Evaluate Ltd. All rights reserved.
That trend has continued so far in 2021: The Chinese Car-T play Gracell Biotechnologies bumped up its offering by
           25% to raise $209m, while the targeted oncology company Cullinan banked $250m after upsizing its offering and
           pricing above range.

           At time of writing Sana Biotechnology, a Hans Bishop-backed company, was poised to float. Despite having an
           entirely preclinical pipeline, which is unlikely to move into the clinic before 2022 at the earliest, a multi-billion-dollar
           valuation at IPO looks likely.

          Biotech IPOs by quarter on western exchanges                                                                                                 Source: Evaluate®. January 2021

                                6                                                                                                    Amount raised ($bn)                       32
                                                                                                                                     IPO count

                                                                                                                                                              26

                               4.5                                                                                                                          4.69               24
                                                                                                                                                                     23

                                                                                             21                          21
         Amount raised ($bn)

                                                                                                   20

                                                                                                                                                       18

                                                                                                                                                                                    IPO count
                                           17
                                3                                 16
                                                                                                                                                     3.28           3.21       16
                                                                              14      14                                                14
                                                                                                          13      13
                                                12                      12
                                                                                            2.25
                                      10
                                                                                                   1.91                 1.95                   9
                                                                                                          1.84
                               1.5                          8                                                                                                                  8
                                                                                                                                 7            1.51
                                                     6                        1.38
                                                                                     1.23                                              1.26
                                                                  1.03 0.99                                      1.05

                                     0.59 0.68 0.54                                                                            0.60
                                                    0.46   0.45
                                0                                                                                                                                              0
                                     Q1    Q2   Q3   Q4    Q1     Q2   Q3     Q4     Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4     Q1     Q2     Q3      Q4      Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4
                                            2016                    2017                      2018                        2019                          2020
                                                                                              Year

           Of course, this huge demand also creates huge expectations, and the pressure is on for new issues to perform this
           year. The track record of these freshly floated drug developers will be a major influence on investor appetite in the
           coming months.

3   A big year for biotech flotations                                                                                                                Copyright © 2021 Evaluate Ltd. All rights reserved.
A more detailed look at 2020’s stats shows just how impressive last year was. The average amount raised per
          IPO easily set a record, with a staggering 55 companies raising more than $100m, and 35 of these bringing in
          over $200m.

          With demand so high it is not surprising that these start-ups are raising what they can, while they can. But there are
          quite literally huge downsides to the valuations that are being set and, as experienced biotech investors know, the
          failure rate in this industry is high.

          Biotech IPO market by year                                                                             Source: Evaluate®. January 2021

           Year                                             No. of IPOs      Amount raised         Avg. amount              No. raising
                                                                                ($bn)              raised ($m)               >$100m

           2020                                                 76                12.7                 167                       55

           2019                                                 55                4.9                  88                         17

           2018                                                 68                7.2                  106                       31

           2017                                                 50                3.9                  77                        15

           2016                                                 45                2.3                  51                         3

           2015                                                 78                5.1                  65                         17

                                              For more detailed analyses see these articles:

                     After a big year, biotech flotations                                Few clues to flotation fever
                              have much to do                                               in past performance

4   A big year for biotech flotations                                                                        Copyright © 2021 Evaluate Ltd. All rights reserved.
Covid or not, venture financing breaks records
           A year that started with cautious optimism over biotech venture financing has wound up
           breaking records. Private biotechs ended 2020 having raised just under $20bn, eclipsing even
           the boom year of 2018, the latest EvaluatePharma data reveal.

           Full-year totals seem to have blown even the rosiest expectations out of the water. The numbers are so stunning that
           it is difficult to find negative trends. If there is one it is that 2020’s absolute number of VC rounds was around the 450
           mark, despite the record-breaking total cash raised; this is lower than 2017’s 528, and even than the 492 rounds in
           2014, when only a total $7.2bn was raised.

           This analysis includes only companies developing human therapeutics.

          Quarterly biopharma VC rounds                                                                                                                          Source: Evaluate®. January 2021

                                     8                                                                                                                                                  200
                                                                                                                                         $100m+                 Other rounds
                                                                                                                                         $50m - $100m           Count
                                     7                                                                                                                                                  175

                                                                   155
                                     6                                                                5.01                                                      5.73                    150
         Combined investment ($bn)

                                                                          140
                                         137                                                          137
                                                                                                                                                                       4.88
                                                128                                     127    4.73                                                     4.75

                                                                                                                                                                                              Number of rounds
                                     5                                                                                                                                  124   4.78      125
                                                            120                                                     4.30    121
                                                                                                                                                         118
                                                                                 3.96           117           115    112   4.34    111
                                                      108                        106    4.10                                             3.60   105
                                                                                                                                                                 108
                                     4                                                                       3.84                 3.77     98                                   97
                                                                                                                                                                                        100
                                                                                                                                                3.42

                                     3                      2.84   2.97                                                                                                                 75
                                         2.78
                                                2.43 2.39
                                                                          2.17
                                     2                                                                                                                                                  50

                                     1                                                                                                                                                  25

                                     0                                                                                                                                                  0
                                         Q1     Q2    Q3    Q4     Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4     Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4     Q1     Q2      Q3    Q4      Q1       Q2     Q3     Q4
                                                  2016                      2017                        2018                         2019                          2020
                                                                                                        Year

           The clear trend is towards ever bigger venture rounds. Indeed, the average financing per round last year came in at
           nearly $45m, almost $10m higher than the average in 2019.

           This rising average was driven by a few truly monstrous individual company raises. The secretive cell therapy player
           Lyell Immunopharma topped the first quarter with a $493m raise, while June saw Sana close an astounding $700m
           series A round; both companies are linked to Hans Bishop, the former chief executive of Juno.

5   Covid or not, venture financing breaks records                                                                                                             Copyright © 2021 Evaluate Ltd. All rights reserved.
It was Sana that pushed the second-quarter VC funding total above $5bn – the first time that quarterly total had
         been breached in the current cycle. And it was only because of Sana that the third and fourth quarters looked like
         a retrenchment; in reality, of course, each period brought in nearly $5bn of private cash.

         It seems likely that once all the numbers are in – there are typically a few small rounds that are not announced
         until some time after closing – the 2020 VC total will exceed $20bn. What does 2021 do for an encore?

         Annual biopharma venture investments                                                                 Source: Evaluate®. January 2021

          Year                          Investment          Financing           Avg per        No of rounds             No of rounds
                                           ($bn)              count         financing ($m)       ≥$50m                    ≥$100m

          2020                            19.99               448               44.63                 154                      59

          2019                             15.12              435               34.76                 119                      38

          2018                            17.89                481              39.06                 130                      38

          2017                             13.21              528                27.4                 76                       19

          2016                            10.44               493               22.51                 52                       15

                                           For a more detailed analysis see this article:

                                                     Covid or not, venture financing
                                                            breaks records

6   Covid or not, venture financing breaks records                                                          Copyright © 2021 Evaluate Ltd. All rights reserved.
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