ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT A Flemish case study 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 1
BALMATT GEOTHERMAL PROJECT ▪ Exploration of the deep geothermal potential in the Campine area ▪ Lower Carboniferous Limestone Group ▪ Depth: > 3000 m ▪ Local source of heat and combined heat and power ▪ Technical and economical viability ▪ Started in 2010 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 2
STATUS BALMATT CENTRAL PLANT ▪ 3 wells completed and tested ▪ Reservoir 3200 – 3600 m ▪ Fractured limestone reservoir ▪ Production temperature: 121 – 126°C ▪ Flow rate: 70 – 150 m3/h ▪ Thermal output: 4.500 – 10.000 kW ▪ Connection with existing district heating ▪ Temperature range: 95 – 70°C ▪ Heat demand: 23.000 GWh/y ▪ Electricity production ▪ Prototype flexible ORC for integration with district heating (AC) 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 3
TIMING BALMATT GEOTHERMAL PLANT ▪ 14/09/2016 – 15/08/2018 ▪ Drilling and testing of wells ▪ 26/11/2018 – 14/05/2019 – Test phase ▪ Testing of the installations ▪ Production and injection test ▪ 14/05/2019 – 21/06/2019 ▪ Start op of production ▪ 380 h full load ▪ Production temperature: 121°C ▪ Injection temperature: 55 – 65°C ▪ Output: 4500 kW heating ▪ 23/06/2019 – now: ▪ Suspension of operations due to earthquake 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 4
INVESTIGATION OF SOURCE MECHANISM AND POSSIBLE IMPACT ▪ Earthquake of 23 June 2019 ▪ Peak ground acceleration: 0,11 m/s² ▪ Ground velocity: 1,01 mm/s op 30 m ▪ Mercalli scale: II – III ▪ Adaptations of installations ▪ To avoid abrupt shutdown ▪ To lower injection pressure ▪ To lower the flow rate ▪ Test program to evaluate the relation between production and seismicity ▪ Extension of the seismometer network ▪ Adaptation of TLS parameters ▪ Modelling and calibration 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 0 0,2 1 14 5
LEGAL BASIS ▪ Flemish decree on the deep subsurface (8 MEI 2009) ▪ Art. 2. 41° Ground movement (“bodembeweging”): any movement of the earth that can be wholly or partially attributed to activities that are licensed under this decree, or long-term soil movement such as subsidence or bottom rise, or short-term ground movement such as seismicity. ▪ Art. 63/10. 2°: The holder or last holder of a license shall take all measures that can reasonably be expected of him to prevent the activities to which the license refers cause damage from ground movement. ▪ Art. 63/14: In the permit, the Flemish Government can impose the obligation on its holder to carry out measurements to estimate the probability of ground movement as a result of the licensed activities. The Flemish Government can determine further rules for the measurements stated in the first paragraph. ▪ Art. 63/25: the holder of a license for geothermal energy is legally obliged to compensate any damage caused by the activity to which the license relates. 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 6
IMPLEMENTATION IN CASE OF BALMATT ▪ Special condition in the environmental permit (“omgevingsvergunning”) ▪ Insurance for possible damage due to induced earthquakes ▪ Seismic monitoring ▪ Stage 1: existing network NIRAS – ROB: detection of seismic events due to injection tests ▪ Stage 2: extended network of 7 seismometers as of November 2018 ▪ Stage 3: extended network of 13 seismometers as of March 2021 ▪ Continuous measurements linked to TLS ▪ Update of TLS based on evaluation event 23/06/2019 ▪ Plan for test production to better characterize the seismic risk related to deep geothermal from Lower Carboniferous Limestone Group near Mol ▪ Continuous evaluation of seismic response as a function of production parameters ▪ Periodic update of TLS ▪ Adding predictive modelling 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 7
TRAFIC LIGHT SYSTEM Risk level Parameter evaluation Action ▪ Aim: avoiding sensible earthquakes Magnitude Ml ≤ 1.5; AND Seismicity rate (for Keep operational conditions events Ml>1) ≤1/hr; ▪ Based on 4 parameters AND Event locations ▪ prograding in SSE or Magnitude NNW direction; AND ▪ Location (epicenter) PGA ≤ 0.02m/s² ▪ Number of earthquakes per time unit Magnitude Ml>1.5; OR Reduce flow rate with 30% (by decreasing frequency of Seismicity rate (for ESP in steps of 0.1Hz/5min) ▪ Ground movement events Ml>1) >1/hr; OR AND Report events to listed ▪ Velocity Event locations prograding towards E; authorities AND ▪ Acceleration OR Event locations Perform further seismological analysis by prograding towards W; external company for all ▪ 3 levels OR PGA > 0.02m/s² events with Ml>1 ▪ Green: continue operations Magnitude Ml>2.5; OR Shut down plant (by turning off ESP) and shut-in ▪ Orange: adapt operations Event locations > 500m1 east of injection well. AND ▪ Rood: stop operations injection zone; Report events to listed OR authorities Event locations > 500m AND west of injection zone; Perform further seismological analysis by OR external company for all PGA > 0.04m/s². events with Ml>1 before any restart of operations 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 9
ACCESS TO DATA AND WAY FOREWARD ▪ Quasi real time reporting of seismic activity through the project website ▪ Monitoring data is transferred to/shared with ROB and other parties for research ▪ Welcome the idea to establish a EU code of best practices for seismicity monitoring and control ▪ Welcome the idea of harmonized guidelines of seismic monitoring and control based on good practice 13/04/2021 ©VITO – Not for distribution 10
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