Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council

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Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
CED 113

Transport for London
Business Plan
December 2016
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
CED 113

                                                                                        Contents                           CED 112

About Transport for London (TfL)
                                                                                        4    Mayor’s introduction          43   Underground
Part of the Greater London Authority         We work hard to make journeys easier
family of organisations led by Mayor         through effective use of technology and
                                                                                        8    Commissioner’s foreword       50   Buses
of London Sadiq Khan, we are the             data. We provide modern ways to pay
integrated transport authority               through Oyster and contactless payment
responsible for delivering the Mayor’s       cards and provide information in a wide    11   What this plan will deliver   57   Rail
strategy and commitments on transport.       range of formats to help people move
                                             around London.
As a core element in the Mayor’s overall                                                24   Business at a glance          62   Roads
plan for London, our purpose is to keep      Real-time travel information is provided
London moving, working and growing,          directly by us and through third-party
and to make life in our city better. We      organisations, which use the data we       26   Financial summary             69   Other operations
reinvest all of our income to run and        make openly and freely available to
improve London’s transport services          power apps and other services.
and to make it safer, more modern                                                       34   Financial trends              74   Appendices
and affordable for everyone.                 We listen to, and act upon, feedback and                                      74   1. TfL Group balance sheet
                                             complaints to constantly improve our                                          76   2. Major new capital investment
Our operational responsibilities include     services and work with communities,        38   Borrowing and cash
London Underground, London Buses,            representative groups, businesses and
Docklands Light Railway (DLR), London        many other stakeholders to shape
                                                                                        40   Operational trends
Overground, TfL Rail, London Trams,          transport provision in London.
London River Services, London Dial-a-
Ride, Victoria Coach Station, Santander      Improving and expanding transport in
Cycles and the Emirates Air Line.            London is central to driving economic
                                             growth, jobs and housing throughout
On the roads, we regulate taxis and the      the United Kingdom. Under the Mayor’s
private hire trade, run the Congestion       housing strategy, we are using our
Charging scheme, manage the city’s           land to provide thousands of new,
580km red route network, operate all         affordable homes. Our own supply chain
of the Capital’s 6,300 traffic signals and   creates tens of thousands of jobs and
work to ensure a safe environment for        apprenticeships across the country.
all road users.

We are delivering one of the world’s
largest programmes of transport capital
investment, which is building the
Elizabeth line, modernising Tube services
and stations, transforming the road
network and making it safer, especially
for more vulnerable road users, such
as pedestrians and cyclists.

                                                                                                                                 Transport for London Business Plan   3
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
Mayor’s introduction
My first TfL Business Plan is an
important document.

It comes at a difficult moment. I share
the grief and shock of the families
of those who lost their lives, and the                                                     I am asking TfL to use every ounce of its expertise,
many people injured and affected by                                                        creativity and energy to achieve our ambitious
the tragic tram derailment in Croydon.
As the Commissioner points out in
                                                                                           Business Plan. But I am confident we can deliver
his foreword, safety is TfL’s absolute                                                     my vision for an affordable, accessible and
priority. We will take every action                                                        modern transport network
necessary to prevent this from ever
happening again, and we will continue
to offer every support to the local
community for the long term.
                                                                                          So we’re forging ahead with our plans         We need TfL to be good at delivering
This plan sets out how we will make                                                       to tackle air pollution, provide new          projects on time and to budget, at
commuting safer and more affordable                                                       genuinely affordable homes on TfL land        finding new sources of finance, at
for all Londoners at the same time as                                                     and make the case for big infrastructure      generating new revenue streams and
delivering a truly ambitious programme                                                    projects, such as Crossrail 2. It’s through   at helping Londoners make the shift to
of modernisation and transformation.                                                      initiatives like this that we can truly       greener, safer, more sustainable forms
                                                                                          unlock the power of transport.                of transport such as walking and cycling.
Transport is a cornerstone of my vision                                                                                                 These are already TfL’s strengths, but
for a fairer, more prosperous city.                                                       I am very disappointed that the               we want to play to them with greater
Because transport doesn’t just help                                                       Government is going back on its promise       ambition and urgency.
people to get around, it can help people                                                  to devolve suburban rail franchises
to get on. It can create opportunities      I’m determined to do this and it’s already    to TfL’s control. Already, TfL has            Make no mistake, I am asking TfL
for Londoners. It links our homes to our    been a busy first seven months. We’ve         proven what can be delivered from rail        to use every ounce of its expertise,
jobs. It gets children to their schools.    already launched the new Hopper fare,         devolution – more frequent trains,            creativity and energy to achieve our
It connects friends and family. It joins    which is helping millions of people.          fewer cancellations and delays, more          ambitious Business Plan. But I am
London’s businesses to customers. And       We’ve already begun the Night Tube,           staff on stations and more affordable         confident we can deliver my vision for
it provides access to London’s culture.     which is helping to boost our night-time      fares. There is a very strong business        an affordable, accessible and modern
                                            economy. And we’ve already announced          case for devolving some suburban rail         transport network. And that, through
But if we are to ensure our transport       a TfL fares freeze for four years, which is   franchises to TfL and I will continue to      transport, we can create a healthier,
network can cope with London’s              helping to ensure travel is not a barrier     work alongside commuters, business            more sustainable and safer city that
growing population, provide new             to people getting on with their life.         leaders and politicians from all parties      increases opportunity for all Londoners.
opportunities for Londoners and deliver                                                   to campaign for this.
the safe, affordable and reliable service   But this is just the start. We’re now
Londoners deserve, then we need some        focusing on how we can deliver                To achieve our ambitions, this Business
big changes. We need to keep fares          transport solutions that not only             Plan sets out how TfL is becoming
down, plan and deliver new transport        result in extra capacity and economic         a leaner organisation and how we’re
capacity and constantly look for new        growth, but bring long-term health,           developing a new approach for how
ways to innovate.                           environmental and other benefits too.         the organisation and its workforce can        Sadiq Khan
                                                                                          work together more efficiently.               Mayor of London and
                                                                                                                                        Chair of the TfL Board

4   Mayor’s introduction                                                                                                                      Transport for London Business Plan   5
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
Our Business Plan outlines how, over the next
five years, we will manage our resources to
deliver the Mayor’s commitments. It includes:

Affordable transport                                  Making transport more accessible                 Safer London                          Housing and regeneration

          Keep all TfL fares

          frozen
                                                      More
                                                      than   40%                                              New Vision
                                                                                                                               New           10,000
                                                      of Tube stations
                                                      step-free by 2021/22
                                                                                                              Zero
                                                                                                               target for
                                                                                                                               safety
                                                                                                                               standards
                                                                                                                                             homes on TfL land
                                                                                                                                             (50 per cent affordable)

More journeys with the                                                                                         road safety     for buses
                                                                                                                               in London
Hopper fare                                           Improve
                                                                                                               measures
                                                                                                                                             Lobby for
                                                                                                                                             powers
                                                                                                                                                             Crossrail
                                                                                                                                                             development

         Protect
                                                      bus stop
                                                      and taxi rank                100%                New
                                                                                                                                             to extend
                                                                                                                                             Bakerloo                   Silvertown
          all concessions
                                                      accessibility                step-free
                                                                                   Elizabeth line      20mph limits                          line                       tunnel
Public transport, walking and cycling                 Cleaning up air quality                          Harnessing tech to improve journeys   Raising commercial revenue

More                                                  ULEZ                         Revised             Top-ups available
                                                                                                                                             £850m
                                                                                                       anywhere
                                                                                   start for

                                                                                   ULEZ
people on                                             Ultra Low                                                                              revenue from better
the buses                                             Emission Zone                                                                          use of TfL land
                                                                                                                 on the network
                          Open
(better journeys
and reliability)

                                  Elizabeth line                                   Purchase only
                                                                                   green
                                                                                                                             Ticketing
                                                                                                                             app
                   More                                                                        buses
                                                                                               from
                                                                                                       500                                                      Develop
                   cycling and walking
                   (including Rotherhithe crossing)   T-Charge                                 2018
                                                                                                       apps using TfL data                                       a trading arm

Creating attractive and iconic places                 Helping business                                 Community/borough partnerships        Diversity and inclusion

          Transform
           Oxford Street for pedestrians
                                                      More
                                                      integrated deliveries
                                                                                                       Borough spend

                                                                                                       maintained
                                                                                                                                             A more
                                                                                                                                             representative
                                                                                                                                                      workforce and senior management

Improve    London’s roads
                                                                      Re-timing
                                                                      deliveries
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
Commissioner’s foreword
The safety of our customers, passengers and
users must remain our top priority. This is
fully reflected in this plan.
                                                                                           • Less reliance on agency staff               can bring the high levels of reliability
                                                                                                                                         and customer service seen on London
The terrible tram derailment at                                                            • Negotiating better deals with               Overground to other inner suburban rail
Sandilands in Croydon, where seven                                                           our suppliers                               services in the Capital. We have set aside
people tragically lost their lives and                                                                                                   £20m of funding to enable us to start
more than 50 people were injured, is at                                                    • Sensible and considered value engineering   work immediately should the position
the very centre of our hearts and minds                                                      in delivering our major projects            change in light of our arguments.
as we deliver this plan. It fully addresses
safety as our absolute priority and all                                                    And we are already seeing the results.        Recent events outside our control have
necessary resources and money are in                                                       Historically, our operating costs have        the potential to significantly affect our
place to ensure a safe network for our                                                     risen year-on-year. Over the past six         finances and operations in the long run,
customers and all road users.                                                              months, however, we have reversed this        including the Government’s decision to
                                                                                           trend; our operating costs have stabilised    build a third runway at Heathrow and the
The Capital is growing rapidly. Its                                                        and are now falling. In the long term, we     decision for the UK to leave the EU. It is
population already exceeds 8.6 million                                                     plan to hold costs broadly stable at this     too early to set out with any certainty
and will rise to 10 million by 2030. That                                                  level, while delivering the modernisation     what the impact of these decisions will be
is equivalent to two full Tube trains of                                                   and new transport capacity London             but, as things become clearer, they will be
new Londoners every week.                                                                  needs. This will include opening the          reflected in future iterations of this plan.
                                                                                           Elizabeth line and delivering vital
This is the first TfL Business Plan of                                                     upgrades on the London Underground.           The Mayor is committed to delivering
Sadiq Khan’s first term as Mayor of                                                                                                      a city for all Londoners and that
London. Our job is to deliver his                                                          We are also taking a fundamentally            commitment extends to TfL as an
commitments and the transport services                                                     different approach to raising other income.   employer, to ensure transport plays a
that keep London moving, working and                                                       We have ambitious plans for the use of        central role. For too long, and especially
growing and make life in the city better.     We are driving efficiency through the        our land and retail estate and delivering     at senior levels, women and colleagues
                                              biggest ever overhaul of our organisation    new homes, and our target is for 50 per       from black, Asian and minority ethnic
We know that transport is not an end          and we have a new way of presenting          cent of them to be affordable, in support     communities have been under-
in itself. It is a means of enabling a        our finances, making a clear distinction     of the Mayor’s housing strategy.              represented. This must change so that
healthier, more inclusive city with new       between operations and the capital                                                         we reflect the diverse city we serve.
jobs and homes to stimulate and sustain       investment programme.                        With our media partners, we will fully
economic growth to the benefit of all                                                      exploit our huge advertising estate by        In short, we will overhaul our organisation
Londoners and the entire country.             Operating and capital cost reductions        investing in a new generation of digital      so that it is more efficient and more
                                              are being achieved through a wholesale       assets. We are also harnessing our            inclusive than ever before, while creating a
As a core element of this, I am fully         review of every element of our               expertise by offering consultancy services    healthier, more sustainable and safer city.
committed to making our transport             operations. This includes:                   to other transport operators across the
network affordable while delivering                                                        world, in areas like ticketing technology
safe, high-quality and reliable services      • Merging functions to create efficiencies   and capital programme delivery.
alongside one of the biggest capital
investment programmes in the world.           • Reducing management layers                 Naturally, we were very disappointed
And I am determined to take all the                                                        with the Government’s response to our
action we can to help tackle London’s         • Cost reductions across areas that          business case for further devolution          Mike Brown MVO
poor air quality.                               support our operational business           of rail services to TfL. We will, of          Commissioner
                                                                                           course, continue to set out how we            Transport for London

8    Commissioner’s foreword                                                                                                                   Transport for London Business Plan    9
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
An affordable transport
 system lies at the heart                                                    What this plan will deliver
 of the Mayor’s plans –
 price should not be a                                                       A total of £2.1bn will be invested to create
 barrier to travel                                                           Healthy Streets, focusing on walking, cycling
                                                                             and improving road safety, public spaces and
                                                                             air quality.

                                                                             Affordable transport                        Public transport, walking and cycling
                                                                             An affordable transport system lies at      This Business Plan is focused on
                                                                             the heart of the Mayor’s plans – price      Londoners themselves. By making
                                                                             should not be a barrier to travel.          our network more affordable and
                                                                                                                         accessible, we will encourage people
                                                                             Our fares are frozen for the Mayor’s        to shift towards active and healthier
                                                                             term so Londoners will pay the same         travel. We will reduce traffic and make
                                                                             for TfL Tube and bus journeys in 2020       walking, cycling and public transport
                                                                             as they do now. A new Hopper fare was       safer and more attractive. We will
                                                                             launched on 12 September 2016, giving       further enhance the system with
                                                                             customers two rides for the price of        good connections between services,
                                                                             one if they are changing buses or trams     ultimately creating Healthy Streets and
                                                                             within an hour. Unlimited rides within      a city that is more pleasant to live in
                                                                             the hour will be introduced from 2018.      and move around. This will particularly
                                                                             Fares tied to National Rail will increase   benefit Londoners in communities that
                                                                             unless rail services are devolved to the    experience poorer health.
                                                                             Mayor, or the Government follows his
                                                                             lead to freeze prices.                      We will encourage a shift to public
                                                                                                                         transport by:
                                                                             A new publicity campaign, backed by
                                                                             online tools and customer support,          • Increasing capacity on our Underground
                                                                             has been launched to help people find         and rail services by more than 20 per
                                                                             the cheapest option and encourage             cent, through projects such as the
                                                                             switching to pay as you go fares.             new Elizabeth line, and expanding the
                                                                                                                           Overground, DLR and tram networks
                                                                             All concessions for older and disabled
                                                                             people, children, those in receipt of       • Focusing on the bus network – the
                                                                             Jobseekers Allowance, and other               backbone of public transport in
                                                                             socially disadvantaged groups will be         London – to improve journey times
                                                                             protected during the Mayor’s term.            and maintain reliability. We will do
                                                                                                                           this by, for instance, investing in bus
                                                                             These changes will be paid for by a           lanes and other priority measures. We
                                                                             tough cost reduction programme                will adapt services to meet changing
                                                                             and exploitation of new commercial            demand across London, without
                                                                             opportunities.                                reducing the network overall

                                   More London development at Tower Bridge

10   What this plan will deliver                                                                                               Transport for London Business Plan   11
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
Our Business Plan supports the Mayor’s      On our road network the number of            Creating attractive and iconic places
commitment to make London a byword          people killed or seriously injured (KSI)     We will work with Westminster City            This Business Plan
for cycling by increasing investment in     is now the lowest since records began.       Council to turn Oxford Street, one of the
this area to an average £154m per annum     However, much more can and should            world’s most polluted streets, into one
                                                                                                                                       includes a bigger
for the next five years. This is almost     be done.                                     of the world’s finest public spaces. Local    increase in step-free
double the £79m a year spent over the                                                    bus services will be altered to reflect       access than ever before
last Mayoral term.                          In 2017, we will increase our ambition       both this change and the opening of
                                            by adopting a ‘Vision Zero’ approach         the Elizabeth line. Major improvements        – £2.50 for every £1 spent
We are boosting cycling and walking in      to road safety. This means maximising        will also take place in inner and outer       on step-free access in
the Capital by working with London’s        safety in all our road schemes, from         London, for instance in Stratford town
boroughs to create a network of Cycle       infrastructure improvements to               centre, where we will make it better          the last Business Plan
Superhighways, Quietways, new safer         behaviour change and enforcement             for pedestrians and cyclists, while
junctions and Liveable Neighbourhoods.      programmes. Our long-term vision is          enhancing the public space.
Not only will this benefit Londoners’       to see London’s roads free from death
health, it will reduce overcrowding on      and serious injury.                          We will invest substantial sums through      Increasing accessibility
the roads and public transport, improve                                                  the Healthy Streets programme to help        This Business Plan includes a bigger
air quality and make our roads safer.       Vision Zero means reducing the               transform areas of London, making the        increase in step-free access than ever
                                            dominance of vehicles on our streets         city a more attractive and accessible        before – £2.50 for every £1 spent on step-
Safer London                                to minimise the risks they pose to           place in which to live, work and travel.     free access in the last Business Plan.
Whether it is running and maintaining       vulnerable road users. It is an important    Our investment will ensure the Capital
our trains, tunnels, roads and rail,        part of the Healthy Streets approach,        continues to thrive as the world’s most      Acting on the Mayor’s vision, we are taking
investing in new capacity to relieve        because less traffic means streets are       desirable destination for visitors and       a more ambitious approach to making
overcrowding, or using the latest           safer and more attractive for walking,       a top global city for business, finance      sure London is truly open to everyone. By
technology to combat congestion,            cycling and using public transport.          and culture.                                 the end of 2021/22, more than 40 per cent
safety is always our first priority. Our                                                                                              of Underground stations will have step-
goal is to create an environment where      We will implement a new safety               These schemes often underpin vital           free access to all platforms. This will give
people are safe and feel safe, however      standard for buses, enhance conditions       developer investment. For example,           a greater choice of travel options and will
they choose to travel. To do this, we       for vulnerable road users by tackling the    at Old Street, we are transforming the       directly benefit older and disabled people,
will continue to work with the Capital’s    city’s highest risk junctions, and oversee   existing busy roundabout to provide          as well as parents and carers with children
police authorities, including the British   the introduction of more 20mph limits.       safer crossings, segregated cycle lanes      and pushchairs.
Transport Police (BTP), to make sure                                                     and a new public space. Another
customers feel confident about using        Customer security is central to              example is Tottenham, which will benefit     Over the next five years, some of our
our services at all times.                  everything and we will continue our work     from a new station at White Hart Lane        busiest stations will become step-free.
                                            to ensure London’s public transport          with improvements to the surrounding         These include Bond Street, Finsbury Park,
We will implement all recommendations       system is a safe, low-crime environment.     area, complementing the rebuilt White        Tottenham Court Road and Victoria. We
emerging from the Rail Accident                                                          Hart Lane stadium.                           will also focus on improving accessibility
Investigation Branch’s report into the                                                                                                at stations elsewhere across London,
tragedy on the tram network in Croydon,
and do everything we can to offer
support to the families of those who
lost their lives or were injured.

12   What this plan will deliver                                                                                                            Transport for London Business Plan   13
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
including Colindale, Harrow-on-the-Hill,       And we will invest in new transport
Newbury Park and Knightsbridge. When           connections to help customers make
the Elizabeth line opens fully in 2019, like   easier journeys. The Elizabeth line and
the DLR and London Trams, its stations         the modernisation of the Tube will make
will all be step-free.                         a huge difference to capacity. We are also
                                               planning projects that will transform
Working with London’s boroughs,                the network and support our economy
we will complete our programme to              and competitiveness in the longer term,
improve bus stop accessibility and             including Crossrail 2, the Silvertown tunnel
begin a programme to enhance access            and an extension to the Bakerloo line.
at taxi ranks.
                                               Cleaning up air quality
Helping business                               In London, the equivalent of up to 9,500
London is one of the world’s top cities        premature deaths a year are attributed
for business, and a high-quality transport     to exposure to air pollution. We are
network is vital to making sure it remains     committed to working with the Mayor
globally competitive.                          to take ambitious and decisive action
                                               to bring this under control, and quickly.
We will help business to move goods            Spending on environmental activities has
and services around the Capital reliably       increased dramatically to £875m over the
and affordably, and be able to recruit         period of this plan.
from across the city and wider region.
                                               We are launching the world’s first Ultra
Healthy Streets and clean air are important    Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) in central
factors that help business decide where        London. This will reduce nitrogen oxides
to locate and attract staff. As part of        and particulate matter – the two biggest
tackling London’s poor air quality, we will    threats to health from poor air – and
work with businesses to encourage higher       improve the quality of life for Londoners.
standards for safer and cleaner vehicles       After listening to feedback from the
and make it easier for their employees         public, we are currently consulting on an
to walk and cycle to work.                     earlier start date for the ULEZ of 2019.
                                               We are also proposing expanding the
We must cut congestion and improve             zone up to the North and South Circulars
road reliability. This will involve working    for all vehicles, and London-wide for
with business to help meet freight needs       lorries, coaches and buses.
in the safest, cleanest and most efficient
way possible, providing better road            We have been asking the public for
information and improved coordination          their views on introducing, in 2017, an
of planned roadworks.                          Emissions Surcharge to the Congestion

                                                                                              Kingsland High Street, Dalston Kingsland

14   What this plan will deliver                                                                                                         Transport for London Business Plan   15
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
Charge (also known as the Toxicity                                              Crossrail 2 – the largest new infrastructure   The TfL Growth Fund is focused on helping

                                            10,000
Charge or T-Charge) for higher polluting                                        project under development – is critical        boroughs with targeted and relatively
vehicles, as a first step towards the                                           for London. It will enable up to 200,000       small-scale transport infrastructure
ULEZ in 2019. The creation of five Low                                          more homes and could directly support          schemes that help to unlock growth and
Emission Neighbourhoods, involving          new homes being                     thousands of jobs (60,000 across the           development opportunities. This includes
eight boroughs and a range of local         built on 300 acres                  UK while it is being built and a further       a new ticket hall for the Northern line
businesses, as well as the continuation     of TfL-owned land                   200,000 when services start). The Mayor        station at Elephant & Castle and the
of the Mayor’s Air Quality Fund, will cut                                       is committed to delivery by 2033, and we       Fiveways project in Croydon (see p67).
pollution across London.                                                        will work closely with the Department
                                                                                for Transport (DfT) and Network Rail to        The unallocated part of the fund, totalling
By implementing 12 Low Emission Bus                                             meet this deadline.                            £200m, will allow more of these schemes
Zones we will reduce even further the                                                                                          to be brought forward, subject to them
impact our bus fleet has on the Capital’s                                       In addition, 80,000 new homes will be          meeting criteria including growth impact,

                                            By 2033
air quality. We will also phase out the                                         supported by Tube upgrades on the              deliverability and match funding from
purchase of conventional diesel buses                                           existing network.                              other sources. It could possibly make a
and aim only to procure green vehicles                                                                                         contribution towards an extension of the
(hybrid or zero emission) from 2018.                                            Intensifying development around                tram network from Wimbledon to Sutton,
                                            Mayor’s                             well-connected transport hubs is an            should agreement on an acceptable
More housing and regeneration               commitment                          important part of the Capital’s future. We     business case and funding package be
                                            to delivering
A core principle of the Mayor’s vision                                          believe rail devolution would underpin         reached with the borough.
                                            Crossrail 2
for the Capital is that new investment                                          this as it would enable us to run more
should act as a catalyst for regeneration                                       services to support a truly integrated,        The new High Speed 2 and Crossrail
and create opportunities for                                                    connected and affordable city.                 station set to open at Old Oak Common
communities beyond central London.                                                                                             in 2026 will help unlock development

                                            £850m
                                                                                At present, east London is poorly              opportunities and enable the creation
We must increase the supply of new                                              served by river crossings, which restricts     of tens of thousands of new homes
housing across the city. Our planned                                            transport options on this side of the          and jobs for Londoners. We will work
extensions on the London Overground                                             city. We will tackle this, starting with       with the Old Oak and Park Royal
to Barking Riverside, and our work on       in revenue generated by using our   the Silvertown tunnel, which is due            Development Corporation to progress
                                            land for property development
the Bakerloo line are good examples                                             to open in the early 2020s. As part of         plans for a complementary package of
of infrastructure investment creating                                           the Mayoral review of east London              transport investment in and around
growth and regeneration – they will                                             river crossings, we are committed to           North Acton, Willesden Junction and
support the delivery of 10,800 and                                              delivering the fundamental change              Old Oak Common itself.
25,000 new homes respectively.                                                  in new cross-river bus services that
                                                                                the Silvertown tunnel enables, and             Raising more commercial revenue
We are working to build 10,000 homes                                            offering concessions to local residents        By taking a fundamentally different
on 300 acres of our own land, as well as                                        to encourage take-up. We will also             approach, we are generating more non-
provide new workspaces and offices. We                                          progress proposals for a new pedestrian        fares income from our assets to reinvest
have increased the scale and pace of this                                       and cycle crossing between Rotherhithe         in transport. Putting our land to better
development, and our target is for 50 per                                       and Canary Wharf, and prioritise the           use for property development will
cent of these homes to be affordable.                                           case for a DLR crossing between                generate £850m in revenue over the
                                                                                Gallions Reach and Thamesmead.                 Business Plan period. But we must
                                                                                                                               show greater ambition and go further.

16   What this plan will deliver                                                                                                     Transport for London Business Plan   17
Transport for London Business Plan - December 2016 - Redbridge Council
Establishing a commercial trading arm        future, these networks can help generate                                                      Local Implementation Plans at existing
will allow us to sell our expertise to       more commercial revenue by providing                                                          levels. Plans will be policy-led and
other cities and transport operators in      a 4G network for public use.
                                                                                            We are committed to                            aligned to the new Mayor’s Transport
the UK and across the world, as well as                                                     promoting equality.                            Strategy and will provide solutions to
use our iconic roundel and Tube map to       We are global leaders in many                  We want to create an                           local challenges.
drive new revenues. We will get more         technology areas, including ticketing
from our advertising – we own the most       and information provision, with our            inclusive London that                          As well as investing in town centres,
valuable outdoor advertising estate in       expertise sought by other transit              is open to all, where                          we will engage with the boroughs to
the world – and plan to do more on           operators in the UK and worldwide.                                                            see how we can help London evolve to
digital advertising by using data to                                                        difference is celebrated                       cope with the increased demand that
make sure campaigns reach the right          The number of people using contactless         and respected, and                             residential and employment growth will
people at the right time.                    payments continues to rise. Thirty five                                                       bring, and how we can encourage the
                                             per cent of pay as you go journeys on the
                                                                                            where everyone can                             most efficient use of road space to
We will look to make more of our retail      Tube are now paid for with contactless         thrive, regardless of their                    move people and goods.
spaces at stations and on high streets,      bank cards. A new Oyster app will offer        background or diversity
and exploit opportunities in our railway     customers a more convenient way to top                                                        Together, we are working with
arches. We recognise that our tunnels        up, or check their balance and journey                                                        developers and Business Improvement
and stations remain ‘not-spots’ for          history. Top-ups will be available anywhere                                                   Districts to transform areas including
mobile coverage so are investigating         on the transport network, including                                                           Tottenham Court Road, Stratford,
new solutions to meet our customers’         buses, within minutes of purchase.            • We will continue to explore how               Baker Street and the Vauxhall gyratory.
needs and also generate income.                                                              data, technology and information
                                             In addition:                                    provision can help manage peak                Diversity and inclusion
Harnessing technology to make                                                                demand for transport                          We are committed to promoting equality.
journeys better                              • The Surface Intelligent Transport                                                           We want to create an inclusive London
Our open data strategy has created             System programme will replace many          We work hard to make sure our technology        that is open to all, where difference is
a community of more than 10,000                of the critical systems we use to           is accessible. Our websites are tested so       celebrated and respected, and where
developers, powering more than 500             manage London’s road network. It            that they meet important standards, such        everyone can thrive, regardless of their
apps that are used by 42 per cent of           will equip us with new technology           as those of the Web Accessibility Initiative.   background or diversity.
Londoners. Across our business, we are         fed by real-time data to make our           Our online Journey Planner also offers
improving the way we use technology to         operational decision-making quicker,        a range of travel options for everyone,         By providing safe and accessible
reduce costs and realise greater benefits.     leading to less disruption and              including people with accessibility needs.      transport, we enable a vast labour
Our new Technology and Data Strategy           congestion on the network                                                                   market in the Capital and beyond. We
is shaping our approach.                                                                   Partnerships with boroughs                      make sure Londoners can enjoy their
                                             • A new partnership with Google on            and communities                                 rights to work and have a family life,
Improvements are being made to                 its Waze technology will see them           We are strengthening our relationships          and live with dignity and autonomy.
the ways in which we buy or build              use our open data, while we use             with the boroughs and working more
technology. We are working on a plan           their crowd-sourced data on road            closely than ever on joint programmes           Our services must be safe, affordable and
to consolidate our telecommunication           conditions to help us manage traffic        and towards shared goals. The boroughs          secure. We know people have different
networks, including those that we run          around incidents and road closures          will be integral to the delivery of our         experiences depending on where they
ourselves and those we buy in. In the                                                      Healthy Streets programme. We are               live, and those in deprived areas are
                                                                                           committed to maintaining funding for            disproportionately affected by health

18   What this plan will deliver                                                                                                                 Transport for London Business Plan   19
and air quality issues. We will make sure    Our commitment to equality and diversity       By assessing people on their potential           The Elizabeth line
our schemes and proposals take into          must be reflected in our organisation, so      rather than their experience, we have            During the plan period, Crossrail
account the needs of everyone.               our aim is to recruit, retain and develop      significantly increased the number of            construction will be completed and the
                                             a diverse workforce, and make sure             black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME)          new Elizabeth line will become a fully-
We are prioritising action on issues         our people have the opportunities to           apprentices from 23 per cent in 2015             fledged, operational railway. When the
that disproportionately affect some          become the best they can be.                   to 32 per cent in 2016 – and we expect           entire route opens at the end of 2019, our
customers more than others. This                                                            that figure to rise. We will support this        customers will benefit from the most
includes our groundbreaking approaches       We recognise that engaging with young          through a range of activities including          significant increase in central London’s
to dealing with unwanted sexual              Londoners, schools and careers services        engaging with schools in highly BAME             public transport capacity for decades,
behaviour and hate crime, improving          is essential to address the impending          populated boroughs, for instance                 with the line carrying more than 200
the confidence of our customers to           skills shortage and challenge the gender       Newham, Lambeth and Tower Hamlets.               million passengers a year.
report issues and know that action           stereotypes placed on girls and young          We are developing partnerships with
will be taken.                               women. Our schools engagement                  girls’ schools specifically to boost the         The Elizabeth line is expected to
                                             programme will continue to encourage           number of female apprentices.                    generate more than £2bn in fares
We are offering customer information         young people to consider a future in the                                                        income over the next five years. This
in even more languages and Easy Read         transport industry, and specifically at TfL.   We will also promote inclusive working           will support many other elements of
formats and looking at whether there                                                        practices by encouraging flexible hours,         our plan for modernising the transport
is more we can provide to help people        As an internationally renowned STEM            reasonable adjustments and initiatives           system, while enabling new jobs and
better plan their journeys. We are in        (science, technology, engineering and          such as our Steps into Work programme,           homes and stimulating growth.
touch with grassroots groups across          maths) business, we are well placed            which offers young people with learning
London to make sure they are aware of        to lead this debate. We are launching          disabilities the chance to gain valuable
all our services.                            a Diversity in STEM Advisory Board,            work experience within our organisation.
                                             made up of experts in the field, to
And we will continue to consult and          make sure our approach is cutting
engage with our customers – particularly     edge and effective.
older and disabled people and those                                                                                           Forecast    Plan        Plan        Plan      Plan       Plan
with hidden impairments – when               We will continue to increase the
designing and developing our policies        diversity of our graduates and apprentices     Passenger journeys (millions)      2016/17    2017/18     2018/19     2019/20   2020/21    2021/22
and plans. By doing this, we can strive      by targeting our advertising, attending
                                                                                            TfL Rail/Elizabeth line                 48           51          80       167      230          232
to remove any barriers faced by              specific skills events and developing our
under-represented communities.               current graduates and apprentices as
                                             ambassadors. We are working to increase
The ability for all people to travel         diversity at senior levels and striving to                                       Forecast    Plan        Plan        Plan      Plan       Plan
spontaneously and independently              reduce any gender pay gap.
                                                                                            Fares revenue (£m)                  2016/17   2017/18     2018/19     2019/20   2020/21    2021/22
is at the heart of our approach to
accessibility. The new Mayor’s Transport                                                    TfL Rail/Elizabeth line                 87           93       164        440        727         759
Strategy will look beyond just physical
infrastructure to address barriers such as
overcrowding, safety and affordability.

20   What this plan will deliver                                                                                                                      Transport for London Business Plan     21
Construction is on schedule and within        Phased opening of the Elizabeth line
                                                                                                         the £14.8bn funding. Over the next two
                                                                                                         years, the focus will be on fitting out the
                                                                                                         new stations and tunnels in the central
                                                                                                                                                              May 2017
                                                                                                         section, and testing the infrastructure              The first new train enters TfL
                                                                                                         and trains to prepare for passenger                  Rail passenger service between
                                                                                                         services. Work will also continue to                 Liverpool Street and Shenfield
                                                                                                         complete the upgrades to the existing
                                                                                                         network that are being carried out by
                                                                                                         Network Rail between Paddington and
                                                                                                         Heathrow/Reading, Liverpool Street and               May 2018
                                                                                                         Shenfield, and at Abbey Wood.                        The line opens between
                                                                                                                                                              Paddington (National Rail) and
                                                                                                         The transition from a construction                   Heathrow Terminal 4, replacing
                                                                                                         project to an operational railway that               the existing Heathrow Connect
                                                                                                         forms part of our core network will take             service and part of the Great
                                                                                                         place in five stages. The most significant           Western inner suburban service
                                                                                                         will be the opening of the route
                                                                                                         between Abbey Wood and Paddington
                                                                                                         in December 2018, as this is when the
                                                                                                         railway becomes the Elizabeth line.                  December 2018
                                                                                                                                                              Services start between Paddington
                                                                                                         In December 2019, the Elizabeth line                 and Abbey Wood, Liverpool Street
                                                                                                         will open fully. Until the end of 2019/20,           to Shenfield and Paddington to
                                                                                                         operating income and expenditure                     Heathrow Terminal 4
                                                                                                         will be included in the Rail divisional
                                                                                                         financial summary. From 2020/21,
                                                                                                         they will be transferred to London
                                                                                                         Underground. Capital spend is included               May 2019
                                                                                                         in Rail throughout the plan period.                  The Elizabeth line through-
                                                                                                                                                              service extends from
                                                                                                                                                              Shenfield to Paddington

                                                                                                                                                              December 2019
                                                                                                                                                              The new route is fully open
                                                                                                                                                              and extends to Reading

                                   Elizabeth line trains being tested at Bombardier’s factory in Derby

22   What this plan will deliver                                                                                                                             Transport for London Business Plan   23
Business at a glance

How we report on our business                                                                                       Facts and figures

                                                                                                                    By 2021/22...
                           Underground

                               Buses                                                                                          700km
                                                                                                                              of track on our rail
                                                                                                                                                                      6.9m
                                                                                                                                                                      passengers carried
                                                                                                                                                                                                 33,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                 river trips a day
                                                                                                                              and Underground                         daily by London’s          (from 29,000 in 2016/17)
                               Rail*                                                                                          routes (from                            buses (from 6.2
                                                                                                                              650km in 2016/17)                       million in 2016/17)

                               Roads

                               Other                                                                                1,030
                                                                                                                    trains on our
                                                                                                                                                                           30,000
                                                                                                                                                                           daily cycle hire
                                                                                                                    network (from                                          journeys (from
* The Elizabeth line (Crossrail) is currently included in Rail. When operations are fully opened in 2019,           930 in 2016/17)                                        28,000 in 2016/17)
it will move to Underground

Sources of funding (excluding Crossrail construction)                                                               Total costs (excluding Crossrail construction)
2016/17 – projected                           2021/22 – plan                                                        2016/17 – projected                            2021/22 – plan
£0.9bn                                         £0.4bn
                                               (4%)                                                                 £0.4bn                                 £6.4bn
(10%)                           £4.7bn                                                                £6.3bn                                                                £0.6bn                                  £6.9bn
                                             (55%)                                                          (61%)   (4%)                                      (73%)         (6%)                                          (70%)
£0.7bn                                                      £0.9bn
(8%)                                                        (8%)

£1.1bn                                                      £0.6bn                                                  £1.1bn                                                  £1.6bn
(13%)                                                       (5%)                                                    (13%)                                                   (16%)

£0.5bn                                                      £1.1bn
(6%)                                                        (11%)
                                                                                                                    £0.9bn
                                                                                                                    (10%)                                                   £0.8bn
£0.7bn                                                      £1.1bn                                                                                                          (8%)
(8%)                                                        (11%)

 Total:    £8.6bn                                            Total:   £10.4bn                                        Total:   £8.8bn                                        Total:   £9.9bn
▀ Fares     ▀ Other income      ▀ Revenue grants      ▀ Business rate retention
▀ Borrowing     ▀ Property income      ▀ Capital grants                                                             ▀ Operating costs       ▀ Net financing costs        ▀ Capital renewals        ▀ New capital investment
* The income graph on pg 34 only shows income on the operating account and therefore excludes
capital grants, borrowing and property income

24      Business at a glance                                                                                                                                                        Transport for London Business Plan      25
Financial summary
Our core financial objective is to achieve
break-even on the operating account – the
income and costs of our day-to-day operations.
                                                                                                            Our first milestone is to create a financial           in fare revenue growth over the plan.
                                                                                                            surplus in 2020/21, having accounted                   This must be achieved while operating
We aim to do this while safeguarding the           Achieving this objective depends on                      for the annual cost of capital renewals.               costs are held down by absorbing
Mayor’s ambitious capital investment               two essential elements:                                  Our second is to reach the point where                 inflation and the additional costs of
programme, which will improve the                                                                           the total cost of day-to-day operations,               running the Elizabeth line.
safety, capacity and reliability of                • The successful implementation                          including the costs of financing, are fully
transport for all Londoners.                         of a comprehensive cost                                covered by income. We aim to do this                   Effective implementation of the cost
                                                     reduction programme                                    in 2021/22, after the second full year of              reduction programme is also vital.
By keeping operating costs close to current                                                                 operating the Elizabeth line.                          To become the modern and efficient
levels, we aim to achieve a position where         • Growing passenger numbers by                                                                                  organisation that a rapidly growing
our total income covers the total cost of            making public transport increasingly                   To achieve our milestones we must                      London needs, we have begun a complete
operations, putting our finances on a solid          affordable, reliable and accessible                    increase the use of public transport in                review of our business and ways of
and sustainable long-term footing.                                                                          the short run, primarily by attracting                 working. We are addressing unnecessary
                                                                                                            customers back to the bus service. In                  duplication, reducing management
                                                                                                            the medium term, we must ensure                        layers, and driving down the cost of
Operating account                                                                                           the Elizabeth line opens on schedule                   what we buy from third parties. This
                                                                                                            and carries the projected 232 million                  programme is set out in more detail in
                            Actual     Forecast    Plan        Plan       Plan        Plan       Plan       passengers a year, resulting in £0.7bn                 the section on cost reduction.
TfL Group
(£m)                         2015/16    2016/17    2017/18     2018/19    2019/20     2020/21    2021/22

Fares income                  4,587       4,723     4,877        5,120      5,563       6,030      6,327    Capital account
Other operating income          673         702        821        885         918       1,059       1,107                                 Actual      Forecast     Plan          Plan       Plan       Plan        Plan
Total operating income        5,260       5,425     5,698       6,005       6,481       7,089     7,434     TfL Group
                                                                                                            (£m)                          2015/16      2016/17     2017/18       2018/19    2019/20    2020/21     2021/22
General grant                    591       447        228             –          –           –          –
                                                                                                            New capital investment          (1,561)      (1,100)    (1,322)       (1,344)    (1,284)    (1,584)      (1,620)
Business rates retention        773         854       854         854        854         854        854
                                                                                                            Crossrail                      (1,506)       (1,597)     (987)         (360)       (101)       (17)         (12)
Other revenue grants             73          57           73       55            37          6          6
                                                                                                            Total capital expenditure      (3,067)      (2,697)    (2,309)        (1,704)    (1,385)    (1,601)     (1,632)
Total income                  6,697       6,783     6,853        6,914      7,372       7,949     8,294
                                                                                                            Financed by:
Operating cost               (6,299)     (6,356)   (6,563)     (6,502)     (6,671)     (6,863)    (6,925)
                                                                                                              Investment grant                925          944        960            976        993      1,010        1,042
Net operating surplus           398         427       290         412         701       1,086      1,369
                                                                                                              Property income                 407            25           77         100         80        180         389
Capital renewals               (853)       (857)     (659)       (737)      (728)        (767)     (753)
                                                                                                              Borrowing                       598           701        601          600        700         601          601
Net cost of operations
                               (455)      (430)      (369)       (325)       (27)         319        616      Crossrail funding sources       963           138       300            166         46        156          108
before financing

Net financing costs            (346)       (363)     (413)       (453)      (483)        (517)     (556)      Other capital grants             132          141        214           199        109           82         69

Net cost of operations         (801)      (793)      (782)       (778)      (510)        (198)        60    Total                           3,025        1,949       2,152         2,041      1,928     2,029        2,209

                                                                                                            Net capital account               (42)        (748)      (157)           337       543        428          577

26   Financial summary                                                                                                                                                         Transport for London Business Plan        27
Funded by:                                                                                                 The principal projects in progress over   On roads, buses and rail
                                                                                                           the next five years are shown below:      • The Silvertown tunnel, as part of a
                             Actual      Forecast     Plan       Plan      Plan       Plan       Plan                                                  broader plan to deliver more river
TfL Group                                                                                                  On the Underground                          crossings in the east
(£m)                          2015/16     2016/17     2017/18    2018/19   2019/20    2020/21    2021/22   • The completion and opening of the
Net cost of operations           (801)       (793)      (782)      (778)      (510)      (198)       60      Elizabeth line                          • The London Overground extension
                                                                                                                                                       to Barking Riverside as part of a
Net capital account               (42)       (748)       (157)      337       543        428        577    • A signalling upgrade on the Circle,       wholesale regeneration of the area
Working capital movements        (521)          26       945         65       (24)        (21)      (79)     District, Hammersmith & City and
                                                                                                             Metropolitan lines, creating 33 per     • New trains for the DLR and London
(Decrease)/increase in
cash balances                  (1,364)      (1,515)          6     (376)          9      209        558      cent additional capacity                  Overground to increase capacity

                                                                                                           • New trains and signalling on the        • The transformation of Oxford Street
                                                                                                             Piccadilly line, providing 60 per         for pedestrians
                                                                                                             cent extra capacity
                                                                                                                                                     • A large portfolio of smaller projects to
The Mayor’s capital investment                        The summary operating account on                     • More capacity on the Victoria,            encourage more walking and cycling
programme is central to delivering the                page 26 shows an average level of capital              Jubilee and Northern lines –              and greater use of public transport.
many schemes and initiatives described                renewals (the capital investment required              12 per cent in total                      This includes progressing a pedestrian
in the section starting on page 11.                   to maintain the network) of some £750m                                                           and cycle bridge between Rotherhithe
                                                      a year. The capital account shows that, on           • Station upgrades at Victoria,             and Canary Wharf
In drawing up this plan, we have                      average, we must invest £1.4bn annually                Tottenham Court Road, Bond Street,
examined the capital programme                        in capacity, reliability and accessibility             Bank, Holborn and Camden Town,          Building for the future
carefully to identify a ‘steady state’ level          improvements across the network.                       which will include step-free access     • Crossrail 2, a northeast-to-southwest
of capital investment. This balances                                                                                                                   rail route to relieve congestion on
the vital need to maintain and improve                We have scrutinised all capital projects             • Further major programmes to               lines into Waterloo
transport with supporting London’s                    to see where costs can be reduced                      improve accessibility at many other
growth and continued success.                         through value engineering, while                       Tube stations                           • An extension to the Bakerloo line
                                                      continuing to deliver the outcomes
Capital renewals is the cost of                       required in full. We have also reviewed                                                        • A large number of housing and
maintaining our network. Much of this                 project timing to ensure the programme                                                           development projects to support the
spend takes place behind the scenes,                  can be delivered.                                                                                Mayor’s ambitious housing agenda
but is essential to ensuring a safe and
reliable service.

28   Financial summary                                                                                                                                     Transport for London Business Plan   29
Passenger journeys analysis                                                                                               Growth in journeys on the Underground
                                                                                                                          will be steadier as there will be some

Passenger journeys
(million)
                           Actual

                           2015/16
                                        Forecast

                                         2016/17
                                                   Plan

                                                   2017/18
                                                                 Plan

                                                                2018/19
                                                                              Plan

                                                                             2019/20
                                                                                          Plan

                                                                                          2020/21
                                                                                                      Plan

                                                                                                      2021/22
                                                                                                              Variance
                                                                                                               2016/17-
                                                                                                               2021/22
                                                                                                                     %
                                                                                                                          diversion of passengers when the
                                                                                                                          Elizabeth line opens, particularly on the
                                                                                                                          Central line. We are, therefore, expecting
                                                                                                                          the total to rise by nine per cent over
                                                                                                                                                                           £2bn
                                                                                                                                                                           of savings from
London Underground           1,349         1,396     1,434        1,455        1,465        1,485       1,525      9%                                                      improving
                                                                                                                          the period of the plan.
London Buses                 2,323         2,278     2,310        2,378       2,444        2,484        2,521      11%
                                                                                                                                                                           procurement and
                                                                                                                                                                           renegotiating
DLR                            117           123       128          128          122           119        124       1%
                                                                                                                          We have seen a decline in the number             contracts
                                                                                                                          of passenger journeys on buses over the
London Overground              184           196      209          227          254          268         282      44%     past year or so. However, as a result of
TfL Rail (including                                                                                                       our work to cut congestion and improve
                               40            48           51        80           167         230         232      383%
the Elizabeth line)                                                                                                       reliability, we expect customers to return
London Trams                   27            29        29           29           32            35         36      25%     gradually over the plan period, resulting
                                                                                                                          in 11 per cent growth overall.
Dial-a-Ride                         1          1           1             1            1           1           1    0%
Emirates Air Line
London River Services
Cycle hire
                                2
                                10
                                10
                                              2
                                              11
                                              10
                                                          2
                                                          11
                                                          10
                                                                        2
                                                                        11
                                                                        11
                                                                                     3
                                                                                     12
                                                                                     11
                                                                                                 3
                                                                                                 12
                                                                                                 11
                                                                                                             3
                                                                                                             12
                                                                                                             11
                                                                                                                  117%
                                                                                                                   14%
                                                                                                                   8%
                                                                                                                          Cost reduction programme
                                                                                                                          Under the guidance of the Mayor, we are
                                                                                                                          carrying out a comprehensive review of
                                                                                                                          our organisation, and have identified a
                                                                                                                                                                           £2bn
                                                                                                                                                                           of savings across
                                                                                                                          number of areas where costs could be             the plan years
Walking                      2,385         2,411    2,437        2,463         2,487         2,511     2,535       5%                                                      from a new TfL
                                                                                                                          reduced without affecting day-to-day
Cycling                       277           295       314          334          355          378         402      36%                                                      operating model
                                                                                                                          transport services, safety or the capital
Road (car driver)            2,200        2,200     2,200        2,200         2,200       2,200       2,200       0%     programme. We have consolidated this
                                                                                                                          work into a TfL-wide transformation
Taxi                          140            142      143          145           146          148        149       5%
                                                                                                                          programme that has three elements:
Total                       9,065          9,142    9,279        9,465         9,698       9,885      10,033      10%
                                                                                                                          • Receiving better value from our
                                                                                                                            supply chain

                                                                                                                          • Ensuring our organisation is lean
Trends in the number of passenger                              anticipate a five-fold increase in the                       and efficient
journeys are described in more detail                          number of journeys on what is currently
in the operational trends section and                          known as TfL Rail, from 48 million a year                  • Creating a culture and ways of
the divisional summaries. However,                             today to 230 million by 2020/21, when                        working to support a single,
the opening of the Elizabeth line is the                       the line will have been fully open for                       integrated organisation that is
single biggest development affecting                           more than a year.                                            commercially-minded and agile
capacity and passenger journeys. We

30     Financial summary                                                                                                                                               Transport for London Business Plan   31
Value                                      In total, we have identified some £2bn
Each year, we spend in excess of £6bn      of potential savings across all of the
with our suppliers. We believe that        areas mentioned.
we can achieve better value from this
supply chain by improving procurement,     Organisation
renegotiating contracts and continually    We are re-evaluating every area of our
challenging the standards and scope of     business and considering how to merge
works we specify. We anticipate that,      functions to create efficiencies, reduce
through rationalisation, consolidation     management layers and eliminate
and improved contract management,          duplication in line with a new operating
we will make substantial savings across    model. We expect the redesigned model
a wide range of current contracts.         to deliver £2bn of savings across the
                                           plan years.
We have already begun to reduce costs
and have identified further commercial     Culture
opportunities over the next five years.    It is vital that our transformation
We are in the process of negotiating       programme leads to permanent cost
further savings by:                        reductions so we can achieve the
                                           milestones described in the financial
• Consolidating facilities                 summary, and make the business
  management contracts                     sustainable in the medium and long
                                           term. We cannot allow costs to creep
• Exiting expensive legacy Private         back upwards; we must drive revenue
  Finance Initiative and Public            up and continue to keep costs down.
  Private Partnership contracts            This is the beginning of a culture
                                           change programme that will instill a
• Driving best practice through            more commercial mind-set, develop
  our maintenance contracts                more collaborative ways of working
                                           and encourage greater innovation
• Consolidating our head                   and creativity.
  office accommodation
                                           We are determined to develop a
• Seeking to bring together functional     more diverse and inclusive employee
  teams that have previously been          group as we believe this is essential
  dispersed across TfL, for instance       to the success of a renewed TfL.
  engineering and capital delivery

• Forensically examining a huge range of
  supplier contracts that represent more
  than 68 per cent of our total costs

                                                                                      Walk-through trains will provide more capacity

32   Financial summary                                                                                                                 Transport for London Business Plan   33
Financial trends
We want to make our finances more transparent
and easier to understand.

Total income                                                                                                          Total costs
(£m)                                                                                                                  (£m)

                                                                                                                      8,000                                                                                         7,380        7,481
9,000                                                                                                       8,294                                                                                         7,154
                                                                                                  7,949                                                                               6,976     6,955
                                                                                                                                                               6,645      6,719                                       7%          7%
8,000                                                                                   7,372                14%      7,000                         6,398                              6%                  7%
        6,872      6,875                               6,783       6,853      6,914                13%                        5,959     6,080                    5%        5%                    7%
                                6,733      6,697                                                                                                     5%                                                              93%          93%
7,000                                                                                    12%                 10%      6,000   8%         5%                                           94%        93%       93%
         10%        9%              10%     10%         10%         12%        13%                 11%                                                  95%     95%       95%
6,000                                                                                    12%                                  92%        95%
         35%        32%             26%     21%         20%         17%        13%                           76%      5,000
                                                                                                   76%
5,000                                                                                   76%
                                                                    71%       74%                                     4,000
4,000                                       69%         70%
                    59%             64%                                                                               3,000
3,000
         55%
                                                                                                                      2,000
2,000

1,000                                                                                                                 1,000

   0                                                                                                                     0
        2012/13    2013/14      2014/15    2015/16     2016/17     2017/18   2018/19   2019/20    2020/21   2021/22           2012/13   2013/14     2014/15    2015/16   2016/17     2017/18   2018/19   2019/20    2020/21      2021/22

                           Actual                      Forecast                            Plan                                                Actual                    Forecast                            Plan

 ▀ Fares income                     ▀ Revenue grants       ▀ Other income                                             ▀ Operating costs                  ▀ Net financing costs

Over the 10-year period from 2012/13 to                           • Increased congestion caused by a                  This financial plan depends on the                            In 2016/17, we expect our outturn
2021/22, the proportion of total income                             proliferation of major road projects              successful delivery of a major cost                           operating costs to be £6.4bn and we
generated by fares will have grown                                                                                    reduction programme. To achieve our                           are planning that, by 2021/22, they will
from 56 per cent to 76 per cent. We are                           • Urban improvement schemes                         financial milestones and maximise the                         be no more than £6.9bn. This rise – just
committed to making public transport                                                                                  benefit of the increase in income, we                         nine per cent – includes both inflation
in London more reliable, accessible and                           • A huge rise in the number of                      must hold costs down.                                         and the increased costs of operating
affordable, so the growth from 2017/18                              private hire vehicles                                                                                           the Elizabeth line, which are offset
relies on increased use rather than fare                                                                                                                                            by savings. We will only achieve this
rises. The proportion of grant income                             • London’s population growth, which                                                                               ambitious target if we fully implement
will have decreased from 35 per cent to                             has increased freight delivery and                                                                              the transformation programme.
10 per cent over the same period.                                   other traffic levels

Fares income is primarily driven by                               We must attract customers back on
greater use of public transport, of which                         to our buses with a more reliable and
a significant proportion will come from                           affordable service, and by moderating
the opening of the Elizabeth line. Over                           the volume of roadworks. This is vital
the first two quarters of 2016/17, the                            because fares income represents,
number of fare-paying bus passengers was                          proportionately, a greater slice of total
five per cent down on last year, owing to:                        income over the coming years as the
                                                                  general grant from central Government
• Extensive construction projects                                 is reduced to zero.

34      Financial trends                                                                                                                                                                   Transport for London Business Plan       35
Capital expenditure (excluding Crossrail)
                                                                           (£m)
                                                                           3,000

                                                                                                                      2,414                                                   2,351    2,373
                                                                           2,500
                                                                                                                                            1,981        2,081     2,012
                                                                                                              1,944    65%       1,957                                                     68%
                                                                                                                                                                              67%
                                                                           2,000   1,643     1,593                                                        65%       64%
                                                                                                              52%                56%        67%
                                                                           1,500   47%        46%
                                                                           1,000
                                                                                    53%       54%             48%      35%       44%
                                                                            500                                                                           35%       36%       33%          32%
                                                                                                                                            33%

                                                                              0
                                                                                   2012/13   2013/14      2014/15     2015/16   2016/17    2017/18      2018/19   2019/20    2020/21   2021/22
                                                                                                     Actual                     Forecast                              Plan

                                                                             ▀ Renewals             ▀ New capital investment

                                                                           Details of the individual elements of

                                                                                                                                                        44%▲
                                                                           the new capital investment programme
                                                                           are set out in the divisional summaries
                                                                           and appendices. However, the high-level
                                                                           summary of capital expenditure in this                                        Total increase in capital
                                                                           plan is that:                                                                 expenditure since 2012/13
                                                                           • We have established an equilibrium
                                                                             level of capital renewals, of £730m
                                                                             per annum on average, over the
                                                                             next five years

                                                                           • We are planning for a financially
                                                                                                                                                         £2.4bn
                                                                                                                                                         Capital expenditure in 2021/22
                                                                             sustainable level of new capital
                                                                             investment of £1.4bn a year,
                                                                             on average

                                                                           Very large single projects such as the
                                                                           Elizabeth line, Crossrail 2, Bakerloo line
                                                                           extension and the Silvertown tunnel need
                                                                           to be considered in addition to this normal
                        Charing Cross station entrance, Trafalgar Square   level of expenditure, as they cannot be
                                                                           financed from current sources of funds.

36   Financial trends                                                                                                                                Transport for London Business Plan     37
Borrowing and cash

 Total nominal value of borrowing
 (£m)

14,000                                                                                                      12,948
                                                                                                  12,348
                                                                                       11,748                600
                                                                             11,048                600
12,000                                                             10,449                700                12,348
                                                       9,849                   600                11,748
10,000                                       9,146                   601                11,048
                                 8,548                   701                 10,448
                    7,898                     598                  9,848
          7,565                      650                9,148
8,000                333                     8,548
           420
                    7,565            7,898
           7,145
6,000

4,000

2,000

      0
          2012/13   2013/14      2014/15     2015/16   2016/17     2017/18   2018/19   2019/20    2020/21   2021/22
                            Actual                     Forecast                            Plan

   ▀ Opening balance                    ▀ Incremental borrowing

 Our direct debt (excluding finance                               Our Business Plan assumes we will
 leases) is expected to reach £9.8bn by                           raise an additional £600m in debt in
 the end of 2016/17. It is then expected to                       2021/22. Borrowing to be raised over
 increase by between £600m and £700m                              the plan period will be used to finance
 year-on-year, reaching £12.3bn by the                            our investment programme, including
 end of 2020/21. The total incremental                            capacity and station upgrades on London
 borrowing to be raised by March 2021 is in                       Underground, new rolling stock for
 accordance with the agreement reached                            the Elizabeth line and investments in
 with HM Treasury as part of the 2015                             cycling infrastructure.
 Spending Review.

                                                                                                                      Tottenham Court Road Tube station

 38       Borrowing and cash                                                                                                                              Transport for London Business Plan   39
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