Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry - Professor David Wessels 2006 The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania 3620 Locust Walk ...

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Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry - Professor David Wessels 2006 The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania 3620 Locust Walk ...
Sample Solution                                                 Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                  Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                                Professor David Wessels ©2006
                      The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
                           3620 Locust Walk, Philadelphia PA 19104
Sample Solution                                                                         Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                             Presentation Overview
 •    With the advent of the internet, consumers now have a wide choice of
      air carriers. Since airlines have trouble distinguishing themselves, the
      business has become commoditized, and profits are difficult to obtain.

                                  • Travel websites such as Orbitz, display the prices and schedules
             Information            of nearly every airline providing service between two cities.
                   search           Almost half of all leisure travelers survey do not limit their search
                                    to a specific airline.

                                  • For most differentiating items, the majority of surveyed travelers
            Evaluation of           can not distinguish between the network carriers and low cost
              alternatives          carriers. Business travelers will pay a premium, but the premium
                                    is extremely small.

                  Purchase        • With choice plentiful, and differentiation difficult, the most travelers
                  decision          purchase solely on price. However, airlines still control the final
                                    purchase, and could alter the final decision.

                                              Professor David Wessels
                                 The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                        2
Sample Solution                                                                     Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                      Survey Demographics
 •    Before we start, some important characteristics about the travel survey
      conducted by our students…
                                                                 Survey Characteristics
•    The survey was
                                                          % Male                                 60%
     distributed to
     colleagues of              Characteristics
                                                     % Under the
                                                      age of 35
                                                                                                             81%

     incoming MBA                                 % With college
                                                                                                                   95%
                                                  or higher degree
     students.
                                                   % Living in the
                                                                                       39%
                                                    Southeast
•    There were 1,406
                                                        % Leisure
     respondents.                                       travelers
                                                                                                       67%

                                                                     0%   20%        40%      60%        80%       100%
                                                                                    % of Respondants

                                          Professor David Wessels
                             The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                         3
Sample Solution                                                                          Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

             The Consumer’s Information Search
         Total            Awareness                    Consideration                          Choice
          Set               Set                            Set                                 Set                   Decision

 • For a given city   • Traditionally,               • Nearly half of                     • However, even
   pair in the          the awareness                  leisure travelers                    though the
   United States,       set was limited                surveyed said                        consideration set
   most network         to carriers flying             they would not                       has expanded
   carriers and         in and out of                  limit their                          greatly, most
   some low cost        home airport.                  search.                              fliers continue to
   carriers will      • Travel websites                                                     do business with
   provide service.     expanded the                                                        their preferred
                        awareness set to                                                    airline (perhaps
                        the total set.                                                      due to price
                                                                                            matching).

                                               Professor David Wessels
                                  The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                        4
Sample Solution                                                                                  Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

      Most Consumers Aware of All Choices…
 •    More than 1/3 of surveyed                                      Media Sources Used when Booking Travel
      travelers consulted a travel
                                                                100%
      website, such as Orbitz.                                                            17%
                                                                                                                   9%
                                                                                                                                Other

 •    Travel websites rank all                                    75%
                                                                                                                                Airline
                                                                                                                   45%
      available flights by price*.                                                        41%
                                                                                                                                Website
                                                                  50%

 •    Traditionally, consumers
                                                                  25%
      used agents who would not                                                           35%                      41%
                                                                                                                                Travel
                                                                                                                                Website
      reveal the total set of
                                                                   0%
      available options.                                                              Business                   Leisure

                                                                        Source: Goizueta travel survey
     * Some airlines, such as Southwest do not
       participate with travel websites.

                                                       Professor David Wessels
                                          The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                          5
Sample Solution                                                                      Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                      Will Consider Any Airline…
•     Only 1/4 of business                                                Number of Airlines Considered on Last Ticket
      travelers and 1/5 of leisure                                           Purchased by Survey Respondents

      travelers limited their                                            50%
                                                                                                                  44%
      search to their preferred

                                                Percent of Respondents
                                                                                       39%
                                                                         40%
      airline.                                                                            33%
                                                                                                               31%
                                                                         30%   26%
                                                                                                                            Business
•     In fact, nearly 1/3 of
                                                                                 19%                                        Leisure
                                                                         20%
      business travelers and 1/2
      of leisure travelers did not                                       10%
                                                                                                   4% 4%
      limit their consideration
                                                                         0%
      set at all.                                                                1       2-3         4-5       No Limit
                                                                                       Airlines Considered

                                             Professor David Wessels
                                The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                          6
Sample Solution                                                                   Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

          But Usually Default to a Preferred Airline
•    Even though many consumers
                                                                                 Percentage of Flights
     do not limit their search, they                                       on an Airline for which Consumer
                                                                           had a Frequent Flier Membership
     still limit their choice.
                                                                  400

•    The majority of travelers limit                              350

                                                                  300
     at least 80% of their travel to

                                                    Respondents
                                                                  250
                                                                                                                          Leisure
     airlines for which they have a
                                                                  200                                                     Business
     frequent flier membership.                                   150

                                                                  100
•    Why do they sometimes
                                                                  50
     deviate? Most likely price
                                                                   0
     and/or route availability (no                                      0-20% 20-39% 49-60% 60-79% 80-99% 100%

     data currently exists).

                                            Professor David Wessels
                               The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                        7
Sample Solution                                                                         Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                             Presentation Overview
 •    With the advent of the internet, consumers now have a wide choice of
      air carriers. Since airlines have trouble distinguishing themselves, the
      business has become commoditized, and profits are difficult to obtain.

                                  • Travel websites such as Orbitz, display the prices and schedules
             Information            of nearly every airline providing service between two cities.
                   search           Almost half of all leisure travelers survey do not limit their search
                                    to a specific airline.

                                  • For most differentiating items, the majority of surveyed travelers
            Evaluation of           can not distinguish between the network carriers and low cost
              alternatives          carriers. Business travelers will pay a premium, but the premium
                                    is extremely small.

                  Purchase        • With choice plentiful, and differentiation difficult, the most travelers
                  decision          purchase solely on price. However, airlines still control the final
                                    purchase, and could alter the final decision.

                                              Professor David Wessels
                                 The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                        8
Sample Solution                                                                     Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                   The Key Attribute: Price
                                                                 Top 10 Factors in Selecting an Airline
•   Prior to 2001, air travelers
    identified scheduling                                                          Price

    convenience and loyalty                                                    Safety

    programs as the most                              Scheduling convenience

    important factors in choosing                                 Non-stop flights

                                                     Reservation convenience
    an airline.
                                                               Baggage-handling
                                                                                                                   Business
•   Today, leisure travelers rate                                   On-time arrival                                Leisure

    price even more important                 Connecting flight convenience

    than safety and loyalty                                     Customer service

    programs are no longer a top                         Check-in convenience

    priority.                                                                              3      3.5      4       4.5           5
                                                                                               Im portance Rating out of 5

                                         Professor David Wessels
                            The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                             9
Sample Solution                                                                    Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                  Attributes Which Matter Less
                                                              Bottom 10 Factors in Selecting an Airline

•   Even for business travelers,
                                                Professionalism of airline personnel                                            3.5
    the ability to upgrade, the                     Ability to change or cancel plans
                                                              w ithout penalty                                             3.2
    quality of meals, and the
                                                Efficiency of airline security checks                                       3.4
    availability of first class                                          Airport Location                                       3.6
    does not matter.                                   Seat size or legroom on plane                                      3.1         Business
                                                                                                                                      Leisure
•   Airlines have responded to                                           Loyalty program                                  3.0

    less popular attributes by                                          Ability to upgrade                      2.3

                                                                         Quality of meals
    removing meals and                                                                                          2.2
                                               Availability of business class or first
    making upgrades difficult.                                  class                                     1.7

                                                                                             0      1     2           3           4        5
                                                                                                 Im portance Rating out of 5

                                         Professor David Wessels
                            The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                                      10
Sample Solution                                                                                                   Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

    Majors Exceed LCCs on Most Attributes…
•    The major airlines have invested billions in infrastructure and staff in
     order to create the perception of a full-service, catered experience.
•    Consumers do perceive majors to be better.
                                                              Consumer Perceptions of
                                                     Discount versus Full Service Airline Services
                Loyalty programs
                        First class
                         Percent of Respondents

                  Non-stop flights
                      Meal quality                                                                                           I can't tell the
                      Travel times                                                                                           difference
                  Airport location
             Check-in convenience
                         Legroom
                                                                                                                             Discount
                  Professionalism
                 Customer service                                                                                            airline is
                            Safety                                                                                           better
                  On-time arrival
                     Reservations                                                                                            Major airline
                Baggage handling                                                                                             is better
                  Security checks
                              Price

                                                  -150% -100%       -50%             0%            50%            100%

                                                                        Professor David Wessels
                                                           The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                       11
Sample Solution                                                                          Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

          But Most Consumers Can’t See Any Difference

                                                                     % of Respondants Who Can't Distinguish
                                                                     Between Low Cost and Network Carriers
•     For the majority of
      surveyed consumers, low                           Professionalism of airline personnel                             55%

      cost carriers have                                      Likelihood of an on-time arrival                           55%

                                                               Seat size or legroom on plane                             54%

        – the same professional                                              Customer service                        52%

          personnel as network                                               Location of airport                     49%

          carriers                                                   Convenience of check-in                         49%

                                                                               Quality of meals                    46%
        – are just as likely to land on
                                                    Convenience of arrival/departure times                         45%
          time                                  Availability of business class or first class                  38%

        – have the same legroom                                Availability of non-stop flights              33%

                                                                       Frequent flyer program                30%
        – and same level of customer                                                 Ticket price      15%
          service as network carriers                                                             0%   25%         50%         75%   100%

                                                   Professor David Wessels
                                      The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                           12
Sample Solution                                                                         Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

       Attribute “Prices” for Business Travelers
 •    Full service carriers have identified frequent business travelers as their primary
      target market because of their willingness to pay a higher fare for last minute
      bookings and more brand loyalty over leisure travelers.

•    However, even                          Announced Premium Size for Selected Services
                                                     Business Travelers Only
     business travelers are
     becoming less                        12%     10.0%
                                          10%
     willing to pay for
                                Premium

                                           8%              6.7%       6.2%
                                                                                 5.2%    5.1%
     upgraded services.                   6%                                                     4.7%   4.4%    4.1%
                                          4%                                                                           2.3%
•    12% of respondents’                  2%
                                          0%
     companies require

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                                              Professor David Wessels
                                 The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                       13
Sample Solution                                                                         Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                             Presentation Overview
 •    With the advent of the internet, consumers now have a wide choice of
      air carriers. Since airlines have trouble distinguishing themselves, the
      business has become commoditized, and profits are difficult to obtain.

                                  • Travel websites such as Orbitz, display the prices and schedules
             Information            of nearly every airline providing service between two cities.
                   search           Almost half of all leisure travelers survey do not limit their search
                                    to a specific airline.

                                  • For most differentiating items, the majority of surveyed travelers
            Evaluation of           can not distinguish between the network carriers and low cost
              alternatives          carriers. Business travelers will pay a premium, but the premium
                                    is extremely small.

                  Purchase        • With choice plentiful, and differentiation difficult, the most travelers
                  decision          purchase solely on price. However, airlines still control the final
                                    purchase, and could alter the final decision.

                                              Professor David Wessels
                                 The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                       14
Sample Solution                                                                       Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

       The Purchase Decision: Leisure Traveler
                                                                  Preferred Ticket Purchase Method for
 •    Although travel websites are                                          Leisure Travelers
                                                                                  Travel
      often referenced, most                                                     w ebsite
                                                                                   25%                         Travel
      ticketing is still done directly                                                                         agent
      with the airline.                                                                                         16%

 •    Thus, the airline has an                                                                                      Other
                                                                                                                     3%
      opportunity to alter the
                                                                                                                     Airline
      consumers decision through                                                                                   phone rep
                                                                                                                     16%
      careful marketing (to                                              Airline
                                                                        w ebsite                          Airline ticket
      generate small premiums for                                         37%                               counter
                                                                                                               3%
      certain services).

                                            Professor David Wessels
                               The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                         15
Sample Solution                                                                     Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

      The Purchase Decision: Business Traveler
                                                                  Preferred Ticket Purchase Method for
                                                                           Business Travelers
 •    The business market is still
      controlled by travel agents.                                 Travel                                  Travel
                                                                  w ebsite                                 agent
      Therefore, some pricing power                                 17%                                     40%
      can be generated by “controlling
      the channel.”
 •    Travel agents should still be
      offered incentives to “sell”                                Airline                                   Other
                                                                 w ebsite
      higher priced fares when                                     26%
                                                                                                             5%
                                                                                                       Airline
                                                                                      Airline ticket
      possible.                                                                         counter
                                                                                                     phone rep
                                                                                                        9%
                                                                                            3%

                                          Professor David Wessels
                             The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                       16
Sample Solution                                                                     Consumer Loyalty in the Airline Industry

                                 Conclusion
 •    The internet has expanded the awareness and choice sets for the
      average consumer.
 •    The internet reveals only price, schedule, and number of stops, so most
      consumers rank choices based on these factors only. Other factors are
      either unimportant, or are impossible to distinguish amongst airlines.
 •    To survive, network carriers must lower costs to within 5% (the
      average premium willing to be paid for services) or find alternative
      ways to distinguish their airlines.

                                          Professor David Wessels
                             The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania                                       17
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