Presentation at the Wells Fargo 2016 Industrial and Construction Conference - May 10, 2016
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Forward-Looking Statements / Property of Aircastle All statements included or incorporated by reference in this Presentation, other than characterizations of historical fact, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not necessarily limited to, statements relating to our ability to acquire, sell, lease or finance aircraft, raise capital, pay dividends, and increase revenues, earnings, EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income and the global aviation industry and aircraft leasing sector. Words such as “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “projects,” “believes,” “may,” “will,” “would,” “could,” “should,” “seeks,” “estimates” and variations on these words and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These statements are based on our historical performance and that of our subsidiaries and on our current plans, estimates and expectations and are subject to a number of factors that could lead to actual results materially different from those described in the forward-looking statements; Aircastle can give no assurance that its expectations will be attained. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on any such forward- looking statements which are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of the date of this Presentation. These risks or uncertainties include, but are not limited to, those described from time to time in Aircastle's filings with the SEC and previously disclosed under "Risk Factors" in Item 1A of Aircastle's 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K, and elsewhere in this Presentation. In addition, new risks and uncertainties emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for Aircastle to predict or assess the impact of every factor that may cause its actual results to differ from those contained in any forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this Presentation. Aircastle expressly disclaims any obligation to revise or update publicly any forward-looking statement to reflect future events or circumstances. The information contained herein is the property of Aircastle Limited and shall not be disclosed, copied, distributed or transmitted, or used for any purpose, without the express written consent of Aircastle Limited. 2
Basic Investment Propositions 1. Air travel demand to remain strong over time 2. More travel drives healthy demand for leasing 3. Investment opportunities vary over time 3
Long-term growth in passenger travel 600 Early 1990’s Internet Bubble Burst GFC 500 Recession 9/11, Gulf War, SARS 400 300 200 100 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 (1983 = 100) GDP RPK = Revenue Passenger Kilometers Source: ICAO, IMF 4
Growth varies by region 4.0 2.0 N. America / Europe RPKs (billions) Growth Markets RPKs (billions) Increases during 3.0 Economic Slow-downs 1.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 N. America / Europe Growth Markets Source: ICAO; Growth markets include MENA, China, S. America, and India 5
Investment conditions vary widely 90 VIX Index 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Source: Bloomberg 6
Jet fuel prices and aircraft Neo / MAX launches $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 Source: Bloomberg 7
Lessor landscape today Aircraft Age New Old Small Large Deal Size 8
We are investors • Growth minded, but disciplined • Counter-cyclically oriented • Active portfolio managers 9
We’ve grown > 50% in 5 years $Billions Flight Equipment $6.6 7.0 $6.2 $0.5 $5.4 $0.5 6.0 $0.2 5.0 4.0 $5.7 $6.1 3.0 $5.2 $4.4 $4.8 $4.1 2.0 1.0 0.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Owned JV Assets 10
During the past three years… Acquired 106 aircraft Sold 102 aircraft 162 aircraft portfolio at YE 2015 Number of Aircraft 49 31 50 40 22 30 13 8 20 35 46 10 21 23 25 Sales Purchases 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Purchases Sales 11
Where we stand • Minimal long-term capital commitments • Conservative capital structure • Strong portfolio performance and cash flows 12
13
You can also read