Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

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Jewish Winnipeg Demographics
Changes in Society
 Jewish Society
 The Market Driven Community
Jewish Winnipeg Demographics
 Innovative Approaches to Judaism & Jewish Life
 A Brief History of Jewish Winnipeg

                                                                              May 5, 2016
                                                       Prepared by: Faye Rosenberg-Cohen,
                                             Planning and Community Engagement Director
                                                frcohen@jewishwinnipeg.org, 204.477.7422
Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

          Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

Society has changed. Tremendous leaps in industrialization and technology have
changed the way people build communities and civil society since the first settlements
in North America. The way individuals relate to each other and to organizations has a
significant impact on how communities need to adapt The following is the fourth in a
series of papers prepared for use as background for the various community planning
efforts undertaken by the Jewish Federation of Winnipeg in 2016.

Contents:

Key Trends                                                   3

1. Population                                                4

2. Age                                                       4

3. Geography                                                 5

4. Seniors                                                   6

5. Jewish Poverty                                            8

6. Families                                                  9

7. Intermarriage                                             9

8. Immigration                                               10

9. The PEW Report                                            10

Bibliography                                                 12

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Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

Key Trends

Age distribution: The immigrant population is primarily composed of families with
children, and there is an observable phenomenon of families having another child or
children after getting settled in their new country. As a result, the average age has
decreased over the last fifteen years.

Population Diversity: The changing face and diversity of the community is clearly
reflected in several statistics including:
    - 25.4% of those who are married are intermarried. While this number is not
       significantly different than ten years earlier, the number for those under the age
       of 30 is a striking 75.6%
    - Approximately 20% of the community moved to Winnipeg from another country in
       the last 15 years.
    - The number of unattached individuals aged 25-44 increased by 36% from 2001
       to 2011.

Jewish Geography: Geographically there is a continuing 40 year trend from north to
south and more dispersed in neighbourhoods that are not traditionally “Jewish areas”.

Income and the Cost of Living Jewishly: The majority of Jewish Winnipeggers live in
middle income households. While average income is not increasing, the cost of Jewish
memberships, tuition, and fees has been increasing. It is notable that lone parent
families are generally disadvantaged in the area of income as compared with two parent
families, and the number of single parent families rose by 45% from 2001 to 2011.

Poverty: Poverty is comparable to the Canadian Jewish community levels overall.
However note that the child poverty rate in the Jewish community doubled over ten
years to 20% in 2011.

The Jets and the Jews – the Winnipeg Economy: While there is nothing Jewish
about the Jets, the excitement that is evident in the community over the return of NHL
Hockey to Winnipeg is reflective of the optimistic economic outlook for Manitoba. A
diverse economy and generally low rates of unemployment continue to make Manitoba
a good place to live. Alternatively, there is some evidence that Winnipeg is not entirely
immune to downsizing and some layoffs in specific areas.

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Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

Most of the information provided in this paper is available due to the national initiative of
Jewish Federations of Canada/UIA to analyze the data about Jewish communities that
can be extracted from the Canadian Census/National Household Survey. This happens
every ten years to maximize the investment in obtaining data and several years to
analyze the information, enabling communities to identify significant trends and
changes.

   1. Population

Overall, Winnipeg has the fifth largest Jewish community in Canada, with the total
Jewish population from the NHS numbering 13,690 in 2011, comprising 1.9% of
Winnipeg.

Jews are the twelfth largest ethnic group, and the third largest by religious affiliation in
Winnipeg.

   2. Age

The median age of the Winnipeg Jewish community decreased slightly from 2001 to
2011. The percentage of 15-24 year olds in the community has increased slightly and
the percentage of 65+ has decreased slightly to 43.1 years.

                   2011 Age Distribution, Jewish Winnipeg,
                                  from NHS

                               19%                   17%

                                                                                    0-14
                                                                                    15-24
                                                              13%
                                                                                    25-44
                                                                                    45-64
                                                                                    65+
                         30%

                                                      21%

                                                                                Page 4 of 12
Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

   3. Geography
Geographically the community continues to move farther south and become more
dispersed than 40 years ago.

Overall, 55% of the community lives in the broad southern area of the city (River
Heights/Tuxedo/Lindenwoods/Charleswood), and another 17% in the northern part of
Winnipeg (Garden City and the like). New population trends that are significant from the
2011 National Household Survey are the 9% of the population who live in areas of the
city such as St. Vital, Transcona and East Kildonan, indicating a much more dispersed
community than ever before.

                    Winnipeg Jews by Neighbourhood, NHS 2011
                                                    Rest of Wpg
                              Other South Central               Maples
                                                        2%               Garden City
                                      4%                         3%
                    Other NE, South, East                                    8%
                                                                                Old North End
                            9%                                                       2%
                                                                                      Crescentwood / Ft.
                                                                                            Rouge
              Charleswood / St.
                                                                                             10%
              James / Assiniboia
                     8%
                                                                                         North River Heights
               East St. Paul /
                                                                                                 3%
            Riverbend / Amber
                   Trails
                     4%
                  Lindenwoods /
                   Whyte Ridge                                                        South River Heights
                       7%                                                                    15%
                         Downtown /
                          Wolseley
                            3%
                                                      Tuxedo
                                                       22%

Tuxedo (14.7%) and South River Heights (13.2%) have the highest density of Jews. Six
of fourteen geographic areas increased in Jewish population, the largest gain was in
Lindenwoods/Whyte Ridge. Garden City’s Jewish population decreased by 1,420
individuals.

Tuxedo has the highest number of children, of teens, of baby boomers and almost a
third of Jewish seniors. South Rivers Heights has the largest number of Jews 25-44.

                                                                                          Page 5 of 12
Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

   4. Seniors

The number of Jewish seniors has decreased, contrary to projections done a decade
earlier. But as Baby Boomers come into the 65-74 age group, the number is again
expected to increase.

It is notable that not all seniors are counted in the NHS. The decrease would lead to the
question “Where did all the seniors go?” How many reside in Assisted Living facilities
which were not counted in the NHS? How many are moving to other cities after
retirement to follow their children? How many are living in non-Jewish Personal Care
Homes (PCHs are also not counted in the NHS)?

The shift from North End neighbourhoods is significant.

                         2001 Elderly by geography
        400
                355        350       355
        350              325       330
                                              290
        300
        250   225
                                                         190                 North
        200                                  185
                                                                             South
        150                                             135
                                                                    95       Other
                              90
        100         75
                                        45         45
         50                                                        25   30
                                                              10
          0
                65-69     70-74     75-79     80-84      85-89      90+

                         2011 Elderly by geography
        450     410
        400
        350                         330
                          305
        300                                   275
                                                         250
        250                                                                  North
        200                                                                  South
        150                                                         105      Other
                    95        90
        100   65         75        75        75    65   70         70
         50
                                        0                     0          0
          0
                65-69     70-74     75-79     80-84      85-89      90+

                                                                                     Page 6 of 12
Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

                       Dispersion of Elderly

                                    Expanded definitions of
 2001 Definition of north/south     North/South/Other
 North            480        19%    North      550     21%
 South          1,685        65%    South    1,870     72%
 Other            415        16%    Other      160      6%
                2,580                        2,580

Elderly by Neighbourhood

                                                              Total Jewish
                                                                Elderly
North    Expanded     District
South    Definition
Other    of North/                                                65+
         South/
         Other
 North      North                   Maples                        20
 North     North                  Garden City                     390
 North     North                 Old North End                    70
 South     South         Crescentwood / Ft. Rouge                 455
 South     South             North River Heights                  45
 South     South            South River Heights                   385
 South     South                    Tuxedo                        800
 Other     Other           Downtown / Wolseley                    30
 Other     South        Lindenwoods / Whyte Ridge                 100
 Other     North         East St. Paul / Riverbend /
                                                                  70
                               Amber Trails
 Other     South         Charleswood / St. James /
                                                                  85
                                Assiniboia
 Other     Other           Other NE, South, East                  80
 Other     Other            Other South Central                   50

                           Total Winnipeg CMA                    2,580

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Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

   5. Jewish Poverty

The level of child poverty is 20.2%, almost double that of 2001. This bears further
exploration including any correlation to the rise of single parent families, generational
poverty, an observable rise in addictions in the JCFS caseload, etc.

One in seven elderly Jews is poor, including 19.8% of those in the Crescentwood/Ft.
Rouge area, 14.4% of those in Tuxedo, and 14.1% of elders in Garden City. These are
all areas with concentrations of seniors in apartment building and condominiums.

             Poor Winnipeg Jews by Neighbourhood, NHS
                               2011
                             Other South CentralRest of Wpg
                                     7%             0% Maples Garden City
              Other NE, South, East                         3%    8%
                      6%                                             Old North End
                                                                          2%

                                                                            Crescentwood / Ft.
      Charleswood / St.                                                           Rouge
      James / Assiniboia                                                           14%
            18%

                                                                            North River Heights
                                                                                    1%

           East St. Paul /
        Riverbend / Amber                                               South River Heights
               Trails                                                          12%
                 6%
                     Lindenwoods /
                      Whyte RidgeDowntown /
                           7%      Wolseley            Tuxedo
                                     5%                 11%

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Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

   6. Jewish Families

The make-up of families affects program planning in determining market and marketing
factors. For instance there are more single adults in the North American Jewish
community than there were 50 years ago based on changes and society and this fact is
driving new kinds of programming for single adults. In the Winnipeg Jewish community:

      44.6% increase in Winnipeg Jews living in single parent families, equaling one in
       seven children. Lone parent families are often an indicator of lower income, child
       care and transportation challenges to get kids to programs.

      45.4% of all the Jews who live alone are seniors. This factor has often driven the
       need for outreach to ensure seniors are not isolated. Transportation has been a
       challenge for twenty years, and despite strides in funding (through the Tallman
       Fund of the Jewish Foundation of Manitoba) continues to be a funding and
       availability problem for seniors on fixed incomes.

      73% of Jews have married at least once by the age of 45, up from just 5.2% at
       the age of 25. Later marriage is thought to account for lower birth rates than the
       general population. The birth rate is consistently under 2, while the level required
       for community sustainability is 2.1.

   7. Intermarriage

What size is the community that we serve if we count non-Jewish family members?
Jews marrying non-Jews has been a fact for several generations. The continued
evidence of this phenomenon does not imply, as was thought at what one time, that
children will not be identified as Jews. In the Winnipeg Jewish community:

      25.4% of those who are married are intermarried. While this number is not
       significantly different than ten years earlier, the number for those under the age
       of 30 is a striking 75.6%.

      About one quarter of Jewish children under the age of 15 are growing up in
       intermarried households. About a quarter are identified as Jews by their parents,
       more than half have no religion and the rest have another religious affiliation.
       Mothers have a significant influence on the religious affiliation of the child.

                                                                             Page 9 of 12
Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

   8. Immigration

20% of Everyone: A recent report on the full experience with GrowWinnipeg, the
Federation’s strategy for building population and promoting immigration to the
community, highlighted the positive impacts of more than 5000 arrivals over fifteen
years. Notably more than 70% of those who came as MB Nominees with JFW
recommendations are not only living in the community but continue to be connected
with the Federation or JCFS in some way.
The full report identifies benefits, patterns of immigration, costs and future
considerations. The following are notable in the context of the full demographic profile of
the community.
In understanding our cultural makeup, it Is valuable to note that while the Jews of
Winnipeg before 2000 were primarily Ashkenazi and of Eastern European origin, 83.6%
were born in Canada. In 2011, one in every 5 Jews in Winnipeg moved to the
community from another country in the previous ten years. The diversity of language
and source countries is growing and evident in large events like the Yom Ha’atzmaut
celebration where the breadth of the community gathers in one place.

The impact of GrowWinnipeg has been significant. The arrival of more than 5000
immigrants to our community has contributed people, diversity, volunteers, donors,
active leaders, Jewish community professionals and vitality that is evident everywhere
in Jewish community.

   9. The Pew Report

The PEW report, when it was released in 2013, had commentators around the world
sounding alarm bells. Some of the most learned and prestigious leaders and thinkers in
the Jewish world were and are foretelling the waning of non-Orthodox Judaism, the
shrinking numbers of Jews with weakening identification, and more. They may be right.
But there is a “glass half full” perspective.
The Pew Research Center released the report in October 2013 titled “A Portrait of
Jewish Americans”. Some of the highlights are indeed daunting:

      A full 32% of Millennials (born after 1980) in the United States, who identify
       themselves as Jewish in some way, do not identify as Jewish by religion.
      The intermarriage rate for Jews who have married since 2005 is 58%, the overall
       rate is 44%. For respondents who did not have a Jewish denomination, what the
       report calls “Jews of no Religion”, the rate is 70%.
      42% of respondents say that “Having a sense of humor” is part of what it means
       to be Jewish while only 19% chose “Observing Jewish Law” as one of their
       answers.

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Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

      Only 56% “Jews by religion” responded “Very important” to the question “How
       Important is Being Jewish in Your Life?” but 94% of all Jews “are proud to be
       Jewish “.
      37% of intermarried families are not raising their children as Jewish.

So “what is the glass half full of!?” you might ask. The arguments 40 years ago were
that intermarriage would decimate Jewish communities. But the prediction of our demise
was premature.

      20% of intermarried families in the survey are raising their kids as Jewish and
       another 25% are raising their kids as partly Jewish and another 16% are just
       Jewish. That glass is actually 2/3 full!
      All of the 32% of Millenials above identified as Jewish in some way, though not
       as a religion.
      Jews who are Jewish by religion are heavily involved in educating their kids in
       dayschool and camps and supporting Israel.
      70% of Jewish respondents participated in a seder last year.
      And we can always remind ourselves that Canadian communities are different.
       Out here in Winnipeg, we’re more connected than in most communities our size.

Clearly communities are going to need that Jewish sense of humour to get through.
There is a transformation happening in Jewish life and Jewish communities.
The changes may include the waning of Conservative synagogues as Daniel Gordis
suggests in his article “Requiem for a Movement”. But the rise of independent minyans,
online communities, modern Orthodox options and pluralistic approaches are not
insignificant. Michael Freund, in the Jerusalem Post, roundly criticizes Federations for
ignoring the alarm bells at the GA, but our Federation has approved a Jewish
Engagement Strategy and is working collaboratively with synagogues to connect more
Jews.
The responses needed to the alarm bells ringing in the media and Jewish community
board rooms all over North America will require a lot of listening to the Millennials and
young Jews. It will require new low cost models for being part of Jewish life. It will
require participative and engaging approaches to Judaism that involve smaller groups
more often than larger institutions.

                                                                             Page 11 of 12
Social Trends Briefing Papers -Jewish Winnipeg Demographics

Bibliography

Federation Benchmarking Project Summary Report Prepared for : Jewish Federation of
Winnipeg Board of Directors, June 2011, The Jewish Federations of North America

Jewish Winnipeg in 2021. Report of UIA Canada’s Demographic Task Force, October
8th, 2009 powerpoint

United Jewish Communities Report Series on the National Jewish Population Survey
2000/02, American Jewish Religious Denominations, February 2005, Jonathan Ament

Pew Research Center, 2013, A Portrait of Jewish Americans: Findings from a Pew
Research Center Survey of U.S. Jews,
http://www.pewforum.org/2013/10/01/jewish-american-beliefs-attitudes-culture-survey/

2011 National Household Survey Analysis, The Jewish Community of Winnipeg
By Charles Shahar & Faye Rosenberg-Cohen
Jewish Federations of Canada/UIA
Part 1 Basic Demographics
Part 2 Jewish Populations in Geographic Areas
Part 3 Jewish Seniors
Part 4 The Jewish Poor
Part 5 The Jewish Family
Part 6 Intermarriage
Parts 7 & 8 – Draft only on Immigration

20% of Everyone : GrowWinnipeg 15 years later, A retrospective report, Jewish
Federation of Winnipeg, December 2015, Dalia Szpiro, Immigration Officer and Faye
Rosenberg-Cohen, Planning and Community Engagement Director

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