Investors Presentation - June 2021 Dr Stephan Meeder, CEO/CFO Heike Baumbach, Head of Investor Relations - CropEnergies AG
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Investors Presentation June 2021 Dr Stephan Meeder, CEO/CFO Heike Baumbach, Head of Investor Relations
Two challenges of our times GHG emissions: worldwide >50 bn. t CO2eq./a Corona: worldwide more than 177 million infected As of 9 June 2021 Source: EEA Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/#total-cases CropEnergies AG, June 2021 2
Vision and mission OUR VISION Our vision is a climate friendly world in which renewable resources are key to ensuring the welfare of today‘s and future generations. OUR MISSION Our mission is to be the most trusted partner for our customers delivering sustainable products made out of biomass. Our new appearance: CropEnergies AG, June 2021 3
Ethanol Important element to decarbonize the transport sector High-quality fuel Domestic which can be renewable raw used in petrol materials engines Climate-friendly fuel produced sustainably CropEnergies AG, June 2021 4
Ethanol 70% less GHG emissions compared to fossil fuels* • The GHG values of all elements in the value-added chain are added up • The emissions from ethanol when used in combustion engines is zero • European ethanol reduces annual GHG emissions by >10 Mt** Cultivation Transport Ethanol Ethanol CO2 Grain Grain Production Transport Liquefaction CropEnergies AG, June 2021 5
Renewable ethanol Advantages Blending • Ethanol… • As direct blend to petrol (e.g. E5, E10, E85) Ethanol • As component in ETBE (octane booster) Petrol • E10 reduces CO2, NOx and particulate matter E5 E10 E20 E85 • WLTP* benchmark, label in tank flap of all new cars • Potential savings (EU): >20 Mt CO2eq (8 million less cars on the road) • Potential for 20% ethanol blending (Super E20) • Potential savings: >40 Mt CO2eq (16 million less cars on the road) • Successful racing results (Porsche/Nürburgring) • Technical analysis for standardisation initiated *Worldwide harmonized light-duty vehicle test CropEnergies AG, June 2021 6
Our co-products Food and Fuel • Raw materials are utilized completely • Concept of co-production Vital Wheat Gluten ProtiGrain® – DDGS Valuable protein product for High protein animal feed food and animal feed from dried stillage industry Food-grade liquefied CO2 ProtiWanze® – CDS For food and beverages Liquid protein animal feed industries from stillage CropEnergies AG, June 2021 7
The ethanol markets EU & UK production • World production • EU & UK production • 2021e: 122 million m3 (+3%) • 2021e: 7.7 million m3 (+3%) • Fuel applications: 102 million m³ (+3%) • Fuel applications: 5.3 million m³ (+5%) • 2022e: 128 million m3 (+5%) • 2022e: 8.1 million m3 (+5%) • Fuel applications: 107 million m³ (+5%) • Fuel applications: 5.8 million m³ (+8%) World production of ethanol [M m3] EU production of ethanol [M m3] 150 9 100 6 Source: FO Licht (2021) Source: FO Licht (2021) 50 3 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022e 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022e USA Brasil EU & UK other fuel non-fuel CropEnergies AG, June 2021 8
Market development Volumes • Ethanol market in the EU27 & UK in 2021 (in million m³) EU27 & UK: ethanol sales [1,000 m3] 8,599 8,580 8,981 8,317 • Consumption: 8.6 +3% (5.7 fuel | 2.9 non-fuel) , 9.000 Source: IHS Markit (2021) 982 965 965 955 1,618 1,860 • Production: 7.7 +3% (5.3 fuel | 2.4 non-fuel) 1,950 1,890 , 4.500 • Corona crisis 2020 5,999 6,156 5,412 5,725 • Fuel ethanol sales decline less than expected – compensated by higher blending obligations 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 • Rise for industrial use (e. g. disinfectants and sanitizers) by about 20% Fuel Industrial Potable • 2021 only slight recovery in fuel ethanol sales expected E10 shares in selected countries 100% Source: ePURE (2021) 100% 100% 98% • Premium E10 continues to be on the rise in Europe 95% 95% 95% 90% 80% 72% • E10 already established as #1 petrol in many European countries 70% 50% 14% 47% 45% • In Denmark, Lithuania, Slovakia and Hungary available since 1 Jan 2020 and already a share of 90-95% of the petrol market 0% • Will be launched in Sweden and UK in August and September, respectively CropEnergies AG, June 2021 9
Market development Prices and feedstock market European ethanol prices [€/m3] 850 • Ethanol prices with high volatility in FY 20/21 • Prices* marked by course of pandemic • All-time low in March with € 350 /m³ 600 • All-time high in September with € 840 /m³ • Average price in financial year € 583 (620) /m³ FY 19/20 FY 20/21 FY 21/22 350 • Feedstock markets • Grain prices increased in FY 20/21**: € 199 (181) /t Euronext Paris Wheat [€/t] 275 • Price increase especially in the last quarter • EU27 grain harvest expected to increase again in 21/22 – 290 (278) Mt • Comfortable supply situation – production exceeds consumption 200 FY 19/20 FY 20/21 FY 21/22 125 * T2 FOB Rdam ** Wheat (Euronext), next expiry CropEnergies AG, June 2021 10
More climate protection for Germany • National implementation of RED-II (proposal) GHG reduction quota 2020-2030 • Increase of GHG quota from currently 6% to 22% until 2030 (draft proposal) • Share of crop-based biofuels up to 4.4% 25% 22% • Share of advanced biofuels at least 2.6% in 2030 20% • Multiple counting of e-mobility, hydrogen and synthetic fuels • Further increase of GHG quota under discussion 15% 14.5% • Revision of climate protection law (proposal) 10% 10% 8% • Increase of GHG reduction target in 2030 to 65 (55)% vs. 1990 6.5% 7% 6% • Upper limit for transport: max. 85 (95) Mt CO2eq. 5% • Addition of GHG goal after 2030 o Up to 2040: -88% vs. 1990 0% o Climate neutral from 2045 onwards o Climate positive from 2050 onwards Analyst conference, 19 May 2021 11
More climate protection for Europe • Green Deal: on the way to climate neutrality in 2050 • Current target: 40% lower GHG emissions by 2030 o Non-ETS (e.g. transport): 30% lower GHG emissions • New target: Raising of the EU climate target 2030 to at least -55% o More renewable energies necessary – revision of RED-II in preparation o Transport target: Raising to 21-27% under discussion • EU taxonomy regulation • Classification system to promote sustainable investments • Application on EU environmental targets o From 2022: climate protection and adaptation on climate change o From 2023: Protection of water und maritime resources, transition to circular economy, no/less environmental pollution and protection of biodiversity/ecosystems • Evaluation o Positive: basic idea and recognition of the contribution of biofuels to climate protection and the adaptation to climate change o But: exclusion of crop-based biofuels for climate protection measures is arbitrary and in contradiction to the renewable energy directive CropEnergies AG, June 2021 12
EU policies Overview EU: GHG emissions and climate Overall target for emissions reduction vs. 1990: targets in transport [Mt CO2eq] min. 20% by 2020, min. 55% by 2030 1.000 , ETS Sectors Non-ETS Sectors emissions reduction vs. 2005 emissions reduction vs 2005 750 •Min 21% by 2020 • Min 9.3% by 2020 •Min 43% by 2030 •Min 30% by 2030 500 Effort Sharing 955 930 916 894 Transport (fuels) policies 778 Transport 669 Clean Energy Package Agriculture Clean Mobility 250 RED I & II Packages 10% RES-T by 2020 CO2 for cars and vans 191 Waste 24% RES-T by 2030* Fuel Quality Directive CO2 for trucks Advanced biofuels -6% GHG intensity of transport fuels by 2020 Clean Vehicles mandates Directive 0 Buildings Energy Union Alternative Fuels Governance Directive Part of Industry National Energy & Traffic excl. aviation Non-ETS target Climate Plans EU target 2050 *discussion ongoing CropEnergies AG, June 2021 13
Renewable Energy Directive-II The “toolbox“ Arable crops Annex IX-A Annex IX-B Electricity • 2020 level, max. 7% • Min. 0.2% in 2022 • Max. 1.7%, but still • Important component • Local, sustainable • Min. 1.0 % in 2025 x2 versus today in the future • Proteins • At least 3.5% in 2030 • UCO imports: 10x • But: discretionary within last 10 years multiplier (x4) does not • Commitment to 1G • Strong market save a single gram of as reliable basis for potential • Compatibility with CO2 low-emission law on waste needs • Very capital intense to be ensured • Extension only transport sector necessary reasonable if • Investment security additional green and investment electricity will be incentives decisive produced CropEnergies AG, June 2021 14
CropEnergies Innovation from Biomass For our future: Sustainability and climate neutrality • in its traditional core business of mobility - with sustainable and climate-friendly fuels • in a completely new business area based on ethanol derivatives as an alternative to fossil raw materials • with biogenic CO2 as the raw material of the future and as capital for the company's further development • to serve a clear growth market with protein products for the food and animal feed industry and to deepen the value chain CropEnergies AG, June 2021 15
Our contribution: CE Green Deal -35% until 2030 versus 2018 We invest 75 M€ in new energy sources and savings until 2025 347 342 . 0,8 333 350 Site Projects 0.73 300 0.69 0.63 250 Loon-Plage (FR) Usage of waste heat as process energy 200 0.47 . 0,4 Zeitz (DE) Transition to low CO2 / renewable energy sources 150 Wanze (BE) Construction of an additional biomass boiler 100 50 Wilton (UK) Reduction of process energy (energy efficiency) 0 0 2018 basis 2019 2020 2030 target Total in Mt CO2 kg CO2 per t of product Savings: >265.000 t CO2eq./year CropEnergies AG, June 2021 16
Appendix
Wheat proteins as meat alternative • BeneoPro W-Tex as meat alternative • Investment in the amount of € 4.3 million by sister company Beneo • Start of operation: 1st March 2019 • Replacement of meat in products such as burgers, nuggets and bolognese • Facility is operated by BioWanze • Sales are concluded by Beneo • Trend: meat replacement • Growing demand for plant-based proteins worldwide • Average annual growth rate of 5.5%* expected in Europe in the next 5 years *Global Data Market Analyzer 18
The production sites of CropEnergies AG CropEnergies AG Mannheim - Germany Zeitz – Germany Wanze – Belgium Loon-Plage – France Wilton – UK CropEnergies Bioethanol GmbH BioWanze SA Ryssen Alcools SAS Ensus UK Ltd. Annual capacity: Annual capacity: Annual capacity: Annual capacity: 400,000 m³ ethanol 300,000 m³ ethanol >100,000 m³ ethanol for fuel applications 400,000 m³ ethanol thereof up to 60,000 m3 neutral alcohol >60,000 t wheat gluten 90,000 m³ ethanol for traditional and 350,000 t DDGS >300,000 t ProtiGrain® (DDGS) >400,000 t ProtiWanze® technical applications 100,000 t liquefied CO2 Raw materials: grain and sugar syrups Raw materials: wheat and sugar syrups Raw material: raw alcohol Raw material: grain Ethanol for traditional & ProtiGrain® Gluten Ethanol as Fuel ProtiWanze® Liquefied carbon technical applications dioxide Capacity: more than 1.3 million m³ ethanol and more than 1 million tonnes food and animal feed per year CropEnergies AG, June 2021
BY 2020/21 & Outlook
Overview 2020/21 • Ethanol production 987 (1,002) ,000 m³ - 1% • Revenues € 833 (899) million - 7% • EBITDA € 148.4 (146.1) million + € 2 million • Operating profit € 107.0 (103.9) million + € 3 million • Net income € 84.9 (74.6) million + € 10 million • Net financial assets (vs. 29.02.2020) € 154.6 (107.3) million + € 47 million Note: Figures in parentheses relate to the corresponding prior-year period. CropEnergies AG, June 2021 21
Operating profit Operating profit [M€] 150 (in € million) 2020/21 2019/20 Δ 120 104 107 Revenues 833.1 899.2 - 7% 90 EBITDA* 148.4 146.1 + 2% Margin 17.8% 16.3% - 60 Depreciation* -41.4 -42.2 + 2% 33 30 Operating profit 107.0 103.9 + 3% 0 Margin 12.8% 11.6% - BY BY BY *without restructuring costs and special items 18/19 19/20 20/21 • Slightly lower depreciation • Operating profit reaches record level • Operating margin increases to 12.8 (11.6)% CropEnergies AG, June 2021 22
Cash flow Cash flow (+) / Investments* (-) [M€] 150 120 122 (in € million) 2020/21 2019/20 Δ 100 Cash flow 122.3 120.2 + 2.1 Change in net working capital -16.4 5.0 - 21.4 50 Net cash flow from operating activities 105.9 125.1 - 19.2 Investments in property, plant et al. -28.0 -29.8 + 1.8 0 Cash received on desinvestments 0.5 0.0 + 0.5 -30 -29 Payments into financial receivables -55.2 -54.5 - 0.7 -50 BY BY Payments into current financial investments 0.0 -15.0 + 15.0 19/20 20/21 *in PPE Cash flow from investing activities -82.7 -99.3 + 16.6 Net financial position [M€] Cash flow from financing activities -29.7 -16.7 - 13.0 200 Changes in exchange rates / consolidation basis -0.8 1.4 - 2.2 155 160 Change in cash and cash equivalents -7.3 10.5 - 17.8 120 107 28/02/2021 29/02/2020 Δ 80 Net financial assets 154.6 107.3 + 47.3 27/37 40 • Significant increase in financial assets 0 28/02/19 29/02/20 28/02/21 CropEnergies AG, June 2021 23
Outlook 2021/22 • Initial announcement as insider information publication according to section 17 MAR on 7 April 2021 • Continuing uncertainty in all markets as well as the temporarily significant increase in the price of raw materials • Revenues between € 870 and 920 million • EBITDA in a range of € 90 to 125 million • Operating profit between € 50 and 80 million CropEnergies AG, June 2021 24
Financial Calender 7 July 2021: Statement for the 1st quarter of 2021/22 Contakt 13 July 2021: Annual General Meeting 2021 (virtual) CropEnergies AG 13 October 2021: Report for the 1st half of 2021/22 Maximilianstraße 10 12 January 2022: Statement for the 1st-3rd quarter of 2021/22 68165 Mannheim 18 May 2022: Annual report and press and analysts‘ conference FY 2021/22 www.cropenergies.com Stock Information Investor Relations Public Relations / Marketing ISIN: DE000A0LAUP1 Heike Baumbach Nadine Dejung-Custance Symbol: CE2 Phone: +49 (621) 71 41 90-30 Phone: +49 (621) 71 41 90-65 Bloomberg / Reuters: CE2 GY / CE2G.DE ir@cropenergies.de presse@cropenergies.de Transparency standard: Prime Standard Disclaimer This presentation contains forward looking statements. The statements are based on current assumptions and estimates made by the executive board and information currently available to its members. The forward looking statements are not to be viewed as guarantees of the future developments and results presented therein. Future developments and results are in fact dependent on a variety of factors and are subject to various risks and imponderables. They are based on assumptions that could in fact prove to be invalid. The risk management report in the current annual report presents an overview of the risks. We assume no obligation to update the forward- looking statements made in this presentation. In addition, all disclaimers published on the CropEnergies website apply. This presentation includes percentage and number rounding. Typing and printing errors reserved. Written and visual value statements are standardized as follows: ± 1% - stable ± 1 – 4% - slight 25 ± 4 – 10% - moderate > ± 10% - significant
You can also read