Industry Insights A roundup of noteworthy foodservice findings for the week of May 17, 2021
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Grab global Global consumer behaviors and menu trends are evolving. Remain on top of global opportunities and threats with Technomic’s Global Foodservice Navigator. opportunities info@technomic.com | technomic.com © 2021 Technomic, Inc.
I G N I TE C O M PAN Y Same-Store Sales QUARTERLY U.S. SAME-STORE SALES WEIGHTED AVERAGE* CHANGE VS. PRIOR YEAR Results Spike in Q1 9.1% After a tumultuous 2020 due to the double-digit quarterly increases from COVID-19 pandemic, same-store sales several key segment players, including results for publicly held chain McDonald’s, Wendy’s, Domino’s and restaurants improved significantly Chipotle. during the first quarter of 2021, jumping -1.9% -2.5% -2.7% by an average rate of 9.1% on a year- over-year basis. Despite notably improved results from many full-service chains, overall segment results remained negative during the first quarter, falling by 4.5%. Limited-service chain results were significantly stronger, with Q1 same- store sales rising by 12.0%, boosted by -18.0% Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021** *Weighted average calculated using respective chain sales **Preliminary reporting Note: Results are only inclusive of publicly held chain restaurants Sources: Technomic Ignite company data © 2021 Technomic, Inc. 3
I G N I TE M E N U What’s Next in Plant-Based Fare? Plant-based alternatives, particularly swaps out the traditional pork and/or based” to healthier foods and imitation meats, continue to trend on beef blend filling with imitation meat. beverages.** This, paired with the menus. In Q1 2021 alone, Top 500 recent news that Epicurious won’t be Some have even thrown their hat into chains launched 69% more imitation publishing new beef recipes and New the patty ring by introducing crumbly meat limited-time offers* than in all of York City’s famed Eleven Madison Park textured nutmeat as an alternative to 2020 (27 launched in Q1 2021 is going 100% plant-based (both in these imitation meats. Sunflower Drive compared to 16 launched in all of efforts be more sustainable), means In in Sacramento, Calif., menus the 2020). So, what’s next? operators will likely find more ways to Nutburger with raw nutmeat, featuring a incorporate plant-based offerings on Plant-based burgers are common, but blend of mushrooms, walnuts and their menus in the years to come. now, operators are challenged to think spices. outside the bun when it comes to The evolution of plant-based fare will innovating plant-based fare and some likely continue as consumers look for already have. Anju’s Restaurant in more ways to eat healthfully and Washington, D.C., for example, menus sustainably. In fact, 54% consumers Yache Wang Mandu, a dumpling that say that they relate the term “plant- Plant-based burger made with mushrooms, beans, nuts and grains *Includes imitation meat found in bowls, sandwiches, breakfast sandwiches, burgers, burritos and tacos Image Source: Shutterstock *Source: Technomic Ignite menu data, Q1 2020-Q1 2021 **Base: Approx. 565 consumers who ever eat at foodservice **Source: Technomic 2020 Healthy Eating Consumer Trend Report © 2021 Technomic, Inc. 4
I G N I TE C O N S U M E R At-Home Channels EXPECTED USAGE POST-PANDEMIC Will Face More Competition Ghost/virtual restaurants 16% 20% 35% 18% 10% Though not shown here, consumers Meal kit providers and virtual reported a net increase in usage of restaurants must consider focusing on meal kits and virtual restaurants during ways to build and maintain loyalty as the pandemic as dining room restrictions are gradually lifted across Meal kits 14% 22% 41% 17% 7% shutdowns led consumers to find new the country. While this could include ways to source food for at-home special rewards programs for loyal occasions. customers, focusing on execution and quality will ultimately be the best way to Data suggests that some of these retain customers. changes could stick, with many meal kit buyers expecting to maintain elevated More often than I am now, and at least as often as I did before the pandemic usage. However, consumers overall are More often than I am now, but not as often as before the pandemic less likely to expect increased usage of meal kits and virtual restaurants than About as often as I am now emerging channels that were more Less often than I am now negatively impacted by the coronavirus Not sure pandemic, such as food halls and food trucks. Base: Varies by channel usage Q: Looking ahead, how often do you anticipate ordering food and/or beverage from the following foodservice channels once the pandemic has subsided and all coronavirus-related restrictions are lifted? Source: Technomic Ignite consumer data featuring the 2021 Emerging Channels Consumer Trend Report © 2021 Technomic, Inc. 5
G L O B AL F O O D S E RV I C E N AV I G ATO R 3 Chains Rapidly Growing in 2020 UNIT GROWTH IN CHINA China Despite Pandemic Haidilao For many in the restaurant industry, found time for a respectable 9.7% unit Check out the performance for China’s 2020 was a year of disruption, pivots, growth in 2020, ending the year with top 25 chains along with consumer, 68.3% challenges and survival. Unit growth more than 7,100 locations. menu and industry insights in was not high atop last year’s key Technomic’s new 2021 China Country Haidilao priorities (at least from about March Report. onward). This hot pot chain grew a staggering 68.3% to surpass 1,200 units. That’s a But some operators in China apparently laudable feat for any chain, let alone a Heytea did not get that memo and instead went all in on expansion. full serve. 52.3% Heytea Let’s check out which chains saw massive unit growth in the world’s most- Not just a trendy beverage brand KFC populous market last year. launching ridiculous quantities of LTOs each month, but a growth engine as 9.7% KFC well, Heytea’s 52.3% unit growth took it China’s dominant restaurant player to about 720 shops on the mainland. Source: Technomic Global Foodservice Navigator Program © 2021 Technomic, Inc. 6
COVID-19 DISRUPTION INDEX COVID-19 Disruption Index is Change Versus Previous Week and COVID-19 powered by Shortest Track, utilizing AI, Month TOP 5 MOST DISRUPTED MARKETS DISRUPTION PERCENT PERCENT machine learning and disparate sets of Change versus previous week/month CHANGE CHANGE BY INDEX POINT CHANGE INDEX VERSUS VERSUS data resources to quantify the potential allows users to see if the market is (VERSUS PREVIOUS WEEK) (MAX: 1.00, HIGH LAST WEEK LAST MONTH risks that U.S. businesses face from the becoming more or less disrupted over DISRUPTION) spread of the COVID-19 virus at the time. Changes that are positive (+) market level. show a move toward becoming increasingly more impacted by COVID- 1 Burlington-South Burlington, Vt. 0.536 6.23% 14.61% The highest index possible is 1.00, 19 (not good). Changes that are which is not good and reflects markets negative (-) show a trend toward being that are extremely disrupted. The index less impacted by COVID-19 (good). 2 Glens Falls, N.Y. 0.601 5.01% 11.40% is updated on a weekly basis. Ignite Subscribers: Download full 3 Lexington-Fayette, Ky. 0.115 27.20% -26.05% The COVID-19 Disruption Risk Index market report shares weekly updates through a business lens, rather than a health lens, 4 Decatur, Alaska 0.458 4.92% -0.74% and incorporates more than 20 different data signals to measure disruption and 5 Birmingham-Hoover, Alaska 0.591 2.68% -2.85% predict future impact. These signals include infection rates, deaths, state- level restrictions and social distancing requirements, population densities and mobility, group size limitations and lifestyle risk factors contributing to spread. More information is available HERE. Notes: Data updated May 10, 2021 Source: Shortest Track © 2021 Technomic, Inc. 7
WAN T M O R E I N S I G H T S ? Since 1966, we have You can get this Ignite Company Ignite Menu produced in-depth See where restaurant chains Pinpoint the latest menu trends report delivered to are, how many units they have and see what’s on the horizon. research focused on the you bi-weekly! and how well they’re doing. Explore>> Explore>> foodservice industry. Sign up here>> We provide insights into consumer, industry and menu trends in the U.S., Canada and 23 countries around the world. Our team of experts helps leaders Ignite Consumer Global Foodservice in the industry make complex Get to know your customers’ Navigator business decisions, set strategy customers through 60+ attributes Understand the global industry, and stay ahead of the curve. and visit occasion metrics. from menu trends to consumers, Explore>> in 25 countries. Explore>> Have questions about this report? Reach out to us today. 312-876-0004 info@technomic.com technomic.com © 2021 Technomic, Inc.
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