INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW - 2021 | CZECH REPUBLIC - WIKIBANKS
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2 Macroeconomic overview Q1 |Czech Republic Research & Forecast Report | Colliers International The Czech Republic remained consumer spending is also in a state of emergency during expected to lead the recovery, the entire first quarter of 2021. thanks to the accumulated This condition was ended in savings amongst the mid-April and lasted a total of population. 189 days. Despite some progress of distributing the What could be surprising, vaccine to the population, it is despite reported closures of still quite slow in comparison hundreds of restaurants and with other countries in Europe. even several retail brands and As the count of new confirmed chains, is that the cases of COVID decreases, the unemployment rate has whole country looks forward to remained at similar levels loosening the measures. There recorded last year, reaching is however a long road back to 4.2% at the end of March 2021. normality and the government, This represents approximately both current and future (which 307,000 jobless individuals in will be elected in autumn), the country. This rate is must avoid the mistakes made expected to remain for some last year. time during 2021 and even decrease further forward in As we could expect, the 2022, once the economy can prolonged state of emergency operate without limitations. affected the forecasts for GDP. In general, we are still One big question mark still expecting a rebound in H2 hangs over inflation. There 2021 from the current were several scenarios warning slowdown and through 2022. about the inevitability of According to Oxford increasing consumer prices Economics, the forecasted however, many economists growth for this year is 3.3%. and institutions are now Industry and exports are still forecasting a much more the main economic engines, conservative outlook for Czech even with several bottlenecks Republic, ranging from 2.0% to in supply chains that can limit 2.5% in 2021. their outputs. By the time shops re-open, strong Gross domestic product 8,0 (%) 6,0 4,0 2,0 0,0 -2,0 -4,0 -6,0 -8,0 2018 2021 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 Czech Republic Czech Republic predictions Eurozone Eurozone predictions Sources: Colliers International, Oxford Economics
3 Research & Forecast Report | Colliers International Q1 |Czech Republic Czech industrial market Top 3 Transactions Tenant Property Size (sqm) Transaction of Q1 2021 Panattoni Park Tchibo 73,100 Renegotiation Cheb Wistron CTPark Brno 65,300 Renegotiation InfoComm Damco Czech P3 Hradec Sources: Industrial Research 41,600 Renegotiation Forum, Colliers International Republic Králové Supply and Vacancy reached 329,100 sq m. Availability of larger space With 68,000 sq m of newly remains quite limited, with only completed warehouse space in 8 properties offering existing Q1 2021, the total stock in the space in excess of 10,000 sq m. Czech Republic now stands at Combined with the low 9.17 million sq m. The newly average vacancy rate, it creates completed space comprises 5 an ideal market environment new buildings across the for build-to-suit developments. country, with 41% of the space Thanks to the limited supply of being delivered to the Pilsen land and lengthy permitting region. The second highest processes, landlords will supply of space was in the remain in a strong negotiating Moravia-Silesia region, position. receiving 37% of completed space, followed by the Greater Demand Prague (19%) and Liberec regions (2%). Gross take-up in Q1 2021 reached a new all-time high of By the end of Q1 2021, vacancy 765,600 sq m, registering a stood at just 3.6%, which is 61 44% increase on the previous bps lower than in Q4 2021. The quarter, and an incredible total volume of available space 147% increase YoY.
4 Q1 |Czech Republic Research & Forecast Report | Colliers International Industrial stock and Occupied Stock Vacant Stock vacancy in regions (sq m thousands) Greater Prague Plzeň South Moravia Moravia-Silesia Central Bohemia Ústí nad Labem Rest of the regions 500 0 2 000 1 000 1 500 2 500 3 000 3 500 Sources: Industrial Research Forum, Colliers International Annual supply Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 f Q2 f Q3 f Q4 (sq m thousands) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 - Sources: Industrial Research 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Forum, Colliers International Annual take-up Net Take-Up Renegotiations (sq m thousands) 1 750 1 500 1 250 1 000 750 500 250 0 Sources: Industrial Research 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1 Forum, Colliers International
5 Key market figures Research & Forecast Report | Colliers International Q1 |Czech Republic Stock (sq m) Vacancy Rate 9.17 mln 3.6% Q1 Gross Demand (sq m) Prime Rent 765,600 €4.50 - 4.85 Q1 Supply (sq m) Under Construction (sq m) 68,500 557,500 This record take-up is a result of €4.00 - €4.35 per sq m per of realized demand that was month. The previously pent-up, in previous quarters, common incentives of one by the pandemic. This growth month rent free per year of in demand confirms a robust lease is no longer the standard and growing industrial & and developers now provide logistics market. Net take-up incentives based on location, reached 299,400 sq m, which is lease size, lease length and a 10% decrease QoQ and a most importantly, the tenant 185% increase YoY. The share profile and covenant. of renegotiations on total gross take-up for Q1 2021 was 61% Outlook and we expect this share to become the norm as the Approximately 557,500 sq m of growth of the market is not as warehouse space was under rapid as in previous years. The construction at the end of Q1 trends in the property market 2021. The level of pre-leased together with the space under construction is unemployment rate of around 78%, which is in line with our 4.2%, create a market expectations. Due to the environment where companies continued situation with low prefer to stay in current vacancy, we do not expect this premises and renegotiate, trend to change as developers rather than facing the issues of are less willing and under less moving to another location and pressure to speculate with new hiring new staff. developments. In Q2 2021, we expect 293,400 sq m of space to be delivered to the market, a Rents continuous increase in size of new space entering the market. Prime industrial rents in This trend proves that the Prague and Brno stand in the Czech Republic is still one of range of €4.50 - €4.85 per sq the most sought-after m, per month. Other highly countries within Europe for the sought-after regions such as development of new industrial Ostrava, Plzeň and Ústí nad and logistics properties. Labem have rents in the range
For more information Industrial Agency Research & Forecasting Harry Bannatyne Josef Stanko +420 602 490 217 +420 728 175 024 harry.bannatyne@colliers.com josef.stanko@colliers.com Managing Partner Tewfik Sabongui +420 777 150 669 tewfik.sabongui@colliers.com This report gives information based primarily on Colliers International data, which may be helpful in anticipating trends in the property sector. However, no warranty is Na Příkopě 859/22 Slovanský dům B/C given as to the accuracy of, and no liability for negligence is accepted in relation to, the forecasts, figures or conclusions contained in this report and they must not be relied on for investment or any other purposes. This report does not constitute and must not be treated as investment or valuation advice or an offer to buy or sell 110 00 Praha 1 property. ( May 2021 ) © 2021 Colliers International. Colliers International is the licensed trading name of Colliers International Property Advisers UK LLP which is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales with registered number OC385143. Our registered office is at 50 George Street, London W1U 7GA.
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