Identification of Potential Predators of Gulf of Mexico Menhaden, Brevoortia spp

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Identification of Potential Predators of Gulf of Mexico Menhaden, Brevoortia spp
Identification of Potential
Predators of Gulf of Mexico
Menhaden, Brevoortia spp
Presentation to GSMFC Menhaden Advisory Committee, Panama City, March 2018

Matthew Nuttall1, Skyler Sagarese2, Matthew Lauretta2, Amy Schueller3, David
Chagaris4, Kim de Mutsert5
1 Department     of Marine Biology and Fisheries, RSMAS, University of Miami
2 Southeast    Fisheries Science Center, NMFS, Miami, FL
3 Southeast    Fisheries Science Center, NMFS, Beaufort, SC
4 IFAS   Nature Coast Biological Station, University of Florida
5 Department     of Environmental Science & Policy, George Mason University
Ecosystem Modeling for Fisheries
               Management in the Gulf of Mexico
 3 year project funded by the NOAA RESTORE
  Act Science Program
 University of Florida, NOAA SEFSC, George
  Mason University, Ecopath Dev. Team
 Goal: Integrate information on ecosystem
  stressors and predator-prey interactions into the
  assessment and management of fisheries in the
  Gulf of Mexico (gag and gulf menhaden)
 Work closely with managers to update
  ecosystem models (decision support tools)
     Index of GM predation mortality
     Hypoxia & HAB mortality
     MSE & Policy Exploration
1. U.S. Gulf-wide model
     Create a model for the SEFSC to evaluate the potential ecological effects of
      proposed management actions in the Gulf of Mexico
     Focus on federally and internationally managed species
     Four generic Menhaden groups – Brevoortia spp (0, 1, 2, 3+)

2. Northern Gulf model
     Evaluating the trophic role of gulf menhaden in the northern Gulf of Mexico
     Estimation of predation mortality for use in stock assessment
     Four Gulf Menhaden groups – Brevoortia patronus (0, 1, 2, 3+)

 To aid in this work…
     For today, we want to identify plausible predators of juvenile & adult menhaden
Methods
 Statistical Estimation of Predator Diet
     Bootstrapped and fit with a Dirichlet likelihood to predict relative contribution of
      menhaden to total predator diet (Sagarese et al. 2016)
     Diet data sources – GOMEXSI, journal articles, technical/field reports, theses,
      fishbase, FWRI FIM diet database, Dr. Will Patterson’s diet database
     Issues with Meta-Analysis:
         Used studies conducted outside the area-of-interest (e.g., NW Atlantic)
         Coarse taxonomic resolution in the identification of prey groups (e.g., clupeidae)

 Co-occurrence in Menhaden Fishery Bycatch
     Identify predators that occur in the same area as menhaden – an “opportunity”
      for predation
LIKELY Predators of Menhaden
 Functional                   Contains                 %Fish   Atl.   Gulf   B. spp   Clupeid     PS
   Group                                                                                        Bycatch
  Dolphins        Delphinidae: Bottlenose Dolphin       79      X      X       X        X         X
  Seabirds       Cormorants, Pelicans, Frigatebirds,    67      X      X       X        X
                 Gulls, Terns, Skimmer, Osprey, Bald
                  Eagle, Gannet, Common Loon
 Sea Turtles       Loggerhead, Green, Hawksbill,        23      X                                 X
                    Kemps Ridley, Leatherback
Blacktip Shark         Carcharhinus limbatus            88      X      X       X        X         X
 Dusky Shark          Carcharhinus obscurus             77                     X        X         X
Sandbar Shark         Carcharhinus plumbeus             63      X                       X         X
Large Coastal    Hammerheads, Spinner, Silky, Bull,     78      X      X       X        X         X
    Sharks          Tiger, Sand Tiger, Lemon
  Atlantic          Rhizoprionodon terraenovae          64             X       X        X         X
 Sharpnose
Small Coastal    Blacknose, Finetooth, Bonnethead,      44      X      X       X        X         X
   Sharks                 Smooth-hound
LIKELY Predators of Menhaden
  Functional                  Contains                 %Fish   Atl.   Gulf   B. spp   Clupeid     PS
    Group                                                                                       Bycatch
King Mack (0-3)       King Mackerel – juvenile          80                              X         X
King Mack (3+)         King Mackerel – adult            74      X      X       X        X         X
Span Mack (0-3)      Spanish Mackerel – juvenile        79             X                X         X
Span Mack (3+)        Spanish Mackerel – adult          82      X      X       X        X         X
Pelagic Coastal   Wahoo, Bonito, Little Tunny, Jacks    68      X      X       X        X         X
   Piscivores     & Runners, Almaco Jack, Frigate
                    Mackerel, Bluefish, Remoras,
                       Needlefish, Tripletail
Inshore Coastal   Tarpon, Ladyfish, Snook, Bonefish     51             X       X        X         X
   Piscivores
LIKELY Predators of Menhaden
  Functional                   Contains                 %Fish   Atl.   Gulf   B. spp   Clupeid     PS
    Group                                                                                        Bycatch
  Red Drum               Sciaenops ocellatus             45             X       X                  X
   Seatrout                 Cynoscion sp.                43             X       X        X         X
    Cobia              Rachycentron canadum              60      X      X       X        X         X
  Gag (0-3)       Mycteroperca microlepis (60cm)               70             X                X
  Demersal         Black & Other Drums, Croakers,        1              X       X        X         X
   Coastal         Pompano, Permit, Silver Perch,
  Carnivores        Cubbyu, Goatfish, Seabream,
                              Catfish
Benthic Coastal    Other Scorpionfish, Sole, Righteye    1              X                          X
  Carnivores       Flounder, Tonguefish, Sand Perch,
                      Searobins, Batfish, Gurnards,
                  Threadfin, Hake, Codling, Cusk Eels
    Benthic          Lefteye Flounders, Stargazers,      62                     X        X         X
   Piscivores      Lizardfish, Snake Eels, Sand Diver
UNLIKELY Predators of Menhaden
  Functional                  Contains                  %Fish   Atl.   Gulf   B. spp   Clupeid     PS
    Group                                                                                        Bycatch
Red Snap (0-1)     Lutjanus campechanus (50cm)                51
Vermilion Snap        Rhomboplites aurorubens            18                              X
 Red Grouper             Epinephelus morio               58                              X
Goliath Grouper          Epinephelus itajara             50                                        X
Other Shallow-        Black, Nassau, Yellowmouth,        56                              X
water Grouper     Yellowfin, Scamp, Rock & Red Hind
 Deep-water        Snowy, Warsaw, Misty, Speckled        44                              X
  Grouper                      Hind
    Tilefish      Northern, Blueline, Blackline, Sand    17      X                       X
UNLIKELY Predators of Menhaden
   Functional                       Contains                    %Fish   Atl.   Gulf   B. spp   Clupeid     PS
     Group                                                                                               Bycatch
  Skates/Rays         Skates, Eagle/Cownose/Bullnose             38                                        X
                     Ray, Roughtail/Bluntnose/Southern
                       Stingray, Nurse Shark, Guitarfish
    Structure-         Squirrelfish, Barracudas, Moray,          48                              X
   Associated                Conger Eel, Soapfish
    Piscivores
    Structure-        Reef Scorpionfish, Reef Croaker,           2                                         X
   Associated         Seabass, Wrasse, Grunts, Porgies,
   Carnivores        Sheepshead, Toadfish, Butterflyfish,
                      Hogfish, Lane/Yellowtail Snapper,
                                Schoolmaster
    Coastal             Filefish, Ocean Trigger, Spottail        1                                         X
   Omnivores           Pinfish, Pinfish, Spadefish, Puffers
    Anchovy,           Gulf & Other Killifish, Inland & Other
UNCERTAIN Predators of Menhaden
  Functional                  Contains                  %Fish   Atl.   Gulf   B. spp   Clupeid     PS
    Group                                                                                        Bycatch
Yellowfin Tuna          Thunnus albacares                76      X                       X
 Bluefin Tuna             Thunnus thynnus                77      X                       X
 Other Tunas         Skipjack, Bigeye, Blackfin          78                              X
    Billfish             Spearfish, Sailfish,            76                     X        X
                     Blue/Striped/White Marlin
  Swordfish               Xiphias gladius                59      X
Large Oceanic      Blue, Shortfin Mako, Threshers        80      X                       X
    Sharks
  Oceanic        Cutlassfish, Oilfish, Offshore Hake,    61                              X         X
  Piscivores              Pomfrets, Escolar
 Amberjacks        Seriola dumerili & S. fasciata        75                              X
Other Snappers   Gray, Wenchman, Black, Blackfin,        41                     X
                  Cubera, Dog, Mahogany, Silk,
                            Queen
Where we’re at…

 We will have to make assumptions to quantitatively allocate predation on
  menhaden across age classes
    Paucity of data on menhaden consumption, period!
    Will use biomass estimated from assessment model for each age class to
     determine diet composition of each age class (as well as habitat)

 Recommend collection of additional diet data from the Gulf of Mexico
    Juveniles of predatory fish
        Difficult to separate diet by life stage

    Inshore, where juvenile menhaden are abundant
Thank you!
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