European Cooperation on Storm Naming - Evelyn Cusack Deputy Head of Forecasting, Met Éireann, Dublin WGCEF, October, 2017
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European Cooperation on
Storm Naming
Evelyn Cusack
Deputy Head of Forecasting,
Met Éireann, Dublin
WGCEF, October, 2017
NMS’s Mission ……ensure the protection and safety of life and property by issuing public weather forecasts and warnings.
Storm Naming • Reach, engagement and influence for warnings • Authoritative Voice • Single name • Communication: ‘hashtag culture’ • Collaboration with adjoining NMS’s • Useful post-event for reference
Storm Naming -
TASKS
1) Agree on a set of rules for each group (or a broadly
common set to include individual preferences).
2) Finalize the groups.
3) Decide how to get the names and how to implement a
naming scheme especially for inclusion in Meteoalarm
2019.
4) Decide on ‘local’ group meetings…cost?
5) Agree on a mid-year meeting specifically for Storm
Naming in May/June 2018……..cost?
Storm Naming Rules • Storm depression (definition) • Based on Warnings in the Meteoalarm framework (AMBER/ORANGE or above……impact-based and/or thresholds) • NMS which first issues the warning names the Storm in consultation with other partners. • Names picked by NMS’s (public suggestions etc) • If a barotropic storm is a post tropical storm, it keeps its named given by NHC Miami preceded by ex. • Chiefly a wind storm, but other extremes such as rain/snow?
Areas? Storm Naming in Europe:
Northwest: Iceland
North: Norway/Sweden/Denmark
Northeast: Finland/Estonia/Latvia/
Lithuania/Poland
East: Bulgaria/Romania/Moldova
Southeast: Italy/Malta/Greece/Cyprus
Slovenia/Croatia/Montenegro/Macedonia
Israel
Southwest: Portugal/Spain/France
West: Ireland & UK
Central:
Germany/Netherlands?/Belgium/
Luxemburg/Switzerland/Austria/
Czechia/Slovakia/Hungary
WGCEF: Storm Naming Regions in Europe
Northwest: Iceland ……………… Elin Bjork
North: Norway/Sweden/Denmark…… Karen Helen & Michael Skelbaek
Northeast: Finland/Estonia/Latvia/Lithuania/Poland……..
Laura Krumina/Mikko Laine/Vida Raline
East: Bulgaria/Romania/Moldova……..
Southeast: Italy/Malta/Greece/Cyprus/Slovenia/Croatia/Montenegro/
Macedonia/Israel……………Lovro Kalin
Southwest: Portugal/Spain/France……….
Paula Leitao/Jamie Rey/Bernard Roulet
West: Ireland & UK……….Will Lang
Central: Germany/Netherlands?/Belgium/Luxemburg/Switzerland/Austria/
Czechia/Slovakia/Hungary……….Christian C/Robert H/Zsolt P/Marjan
Sandev/Thomas Vanhamel
Adopt a
Vortex!
Rates for Highs and Lows are different because
Highs normally last longer than Lows and so
they stay on the weather charts longer.
On average we expect to name 50 to 60 Highs
and about 150 Lows in one year.
You can adopt a vortex for:
High…299Euro
Low…..199EuroCyclone Typhoon Hurricane Hurricane
CycloneMale Masculine Female Female
Abel/Adrian Ana
Bruno Beatriz
Carlos Carmen/Clotilde
David Diana
Eric Emma
Felix Flora
Gabriel Gisele
Hector Hugo Helena
Isaias Ivan Irene
Jose Julia
Kyllian Katia
Leo Laura/Lola
Miguel/Manuel Marina
Oscar Olivia
Pedro/Pierre Patricia
Roberto/Robert Rosa
Samuel Sara
Teo TelmaThere is confusion……..Media are naming storms so too are commercial weather companies and some National Met services
WMO/EUMETNET The ultimate goal is the integration of a storm …naming framework/scheme in Europe into the …next phase of EMMA in 2019
WMO/EUMETNET
The ultimate goal is the integration of a storm
…naming framework/scheme in Europe into the
…next phase of EMMA in 2019
Austria, Bosnia-Herzegovina,
Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech
Republic, Germany,
Denmark, Estonia, Spain, Finland,
France, Greece, Croatia,
Hungary, Ireland, Iceland, Italy,
Luxemburg, Latvia, Former Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia, Malta,
Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway,
Poland, Portugal,
Romania,
Serbia, Sweden, Slovenia, Slovakia,
Switzerland,
United KingdomA Case of Mistaken Identity
28th October 2013
• St Jude (Weather
Channel)
• Christian (FU Berlin)
• Allan (DMI)
• Simone (SMHI)
• Carmen (European
Windstorms Centre)Results – What’s in a Name?
• 55% of people surveyed changed their
behaviour upon hearing about a named storm
(Year 1)
• Storm Doris surveys (Year 2):
– 89% awareness
– 94% of those found the warning useful
– 82% of those who took action felt that they we
right to do so.Principles of naming • Depression will be named only if at least orange vigilance is expected for wind speed. Agreement to follow the color of vigilance and not the criteria of wind speed that might be different according countries or regions. The problem of forecast ranges of vigilance (up to 72h for AEMET and up to 48h for IPMA/MF) is also not take into account for naming. • Area : Atlantic Ocean (for the Mediterranean Sea, further investigation is needed in coordination with the Task Team on Storm Naming)
Communication between forecast centers
• Meteo France
– Contact Point : Chief Forecaster, Toulouse phone number
+33561078220
– Mail : chef_previ_national@meteo.fr
• IPMA
– divmv.vigilancia@ipma.pt
AEMET
– Contact Point : Chief Forecaster, Madrid phone number
+34915819748
– Mail : cnpjt@aemet.esInteraction between our regional group and the
UK/Ireland system
• Proposal : if a storm alreaday named by one group moves
to the other group, it keeps the same name
• Meteo France can ensure the connection with Met OfficeInteraction between our regional group and post tropical storm (named by NHC Miami) • If a barotropic storm is a post tropical storm, it keeps its named given by NHC Miami preceded by ex.
List of names • AEMET/IPMA/MF prefer a common list • More convenient to manage
List of Met Office/ Met Eireann • Aileen, Brian, Caroline, Dylan, Eleanor, Fionn, Georgina, Hector, • Iona, James, Karen, Larry, Maeve, Niall, Octavia, Paul, • Rebecca, Simon, Tall, Victor, Winifred (Aileen has been already used)
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