GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE

 
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GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
GHG Mitigation in Transport

           Assessing Inland Transport CO2
            Emissions and the Impact of
                Mitigation Policies

Palais des Nations            Steve McCauley
Geneva, Switzerland           Environment Canada
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Context and Background
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Policy Context

• Government of Canada is reducing GHG emissions based on a
  sector-by-sector regulatory approach, with transportation being a
  key part of that plan
• Aligning regulations with those of the U.S. to maximize potential
  benefits and minimize potential costs
    – North American transportation sector is already largely integrated
• Working towards global harmonization of GHG regulations
    – Environment Canada is a participant in the U.N. World Forum for
      Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations (WP29)

• Government of Canada is also implementing a number of
  complementary measures in addition to the regulated standards

                                    Page 3
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Environmental Context
Canada’s 2008 GHG Emissions                Canada’s 2008 GHG Emissions
                                               from Transportation
       Non-Transportation
            Sources                                    Propane & Natural
                                                       Gas Vehicles
                                                             0.5%

         Transportation                                                          29%
              22%
                                     55%
• The transportation industry
  accounted for 22% of all
  Canadian emissions as of 2008
• Under the Copenhagen                                                          3%
  Accord, Canada set GHG                     5%
                                                                           4%
  emission target at 17% below
  2005 levels by 2020
    – Target of 607 Mt in total                                      4%
      emissions per year
                                  Page 4
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Economic Context

• Transportation is a key sector of the Canadian economy
   – In 2010, the transportation industry accounted for $58.4 billion
     GDP per year (4.7% of total GDP)
   – Total transportation jobs in 2010 (direct and indirect): 670,675
   – Aggregate spending in 2008 on transportation totalled $176
     billion, or 12.2% of national spending

                                Page 5
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Vehicle and Engine Emission
         Regulations
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Environment Canada’s Recent Regulatory
History
 2002    2003   2004       2005        2006   2007      2008        2009       2010     2011    2012      2013     2014     …

                           Air
                           Pollutants
                                                                                                       Emission Control
                           2006+ MYs
                                                                                                       Area
                                                     GHGs
                                                                                                       (Sulphur in Diesel
                                                     2011-2016
                                                                                                       Fuel)
                                                     MYs

                                                                                      GHGs
Air
                                                                                      2014-2018 MYs
Pollutants
2004+ MYs
                      Air Pollutants
                      Tier 2/3
                      2006+ MYs
                                                                                                                  GHGs
                                                                                                                  2017-2025 MYs

         Air                                                                   Air Pollutants
         Pollutants                             Air                            Tier 4
         Phase I/II                             Pollutants                     2012+ MYs         On-Board
         2005+ MYs                              2012+ MYs                                        Diagnostic 2013+
                                                                                                 MYs

                                                           Page 7     Page 7
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Canadian Regulations for Light-duty
Vehicles
• LDV GHG emissions are regulated under the Canadian Environmental
  Protection Act, 1999
• Passenger Automobile and Light Truck Greenhouse Gas Emission
  Regulations were published in Canada Gazette, Part II (CG II) on October
  13, 2010, to regulate MY2011 vehicles and onwards
    – Standards become progressively
                                                                        Footprint-Based LDV Emission Standards
      more stringent up to MY 2016                            450
• Regulations predicted to reduce
                                                              400                                              2012
  GHG emissions by 92 Mt CO2

                                         CO2 Grams per Mile
  over the lifetime of MY2011-2016                            350
  vehicles                                                                                          2012
                                                                                                               2016

    – Average annual incremental                              300

      reduction of 9-10 Mt CO2 per                                                                  2016
                                                              250
      year by 2020 compared to
      business as usual scenario                              200                               Passenger Automobiles
• Emissions are regulated by                                                                    Light Trucks

  footprint-based target values                               150
                                                                    2    3       4         5         6         7        8
                                                                                 Vehicle Footprint (m2)

                                       Page 8
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Canadian Regulations for Light-duty
Vehicles
• EC working with U.S. EPA , NHTSA,
  and CARB to develop regulations for
  MY2017-2025
• Notice of Intent to develop more
  stringent standards was published in
  Canada Gazette I on October 16,
  2010
• Released Consultation Document on
  November 16, 2011
    – Reduction of 5% per year between
      2017 and 2025 for passenger
      automobiles
    – Reduction of 3.5% per year between
      2017 and 2021 and 5% per year
      between 2022 and 2025 for light
      trucks
• Intend to publish proposed
  regulations in CG I in 2012

                                     Page 9
GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
Canadian Regulations for Heavy-Duty
Vehicles and Engines
• Proposed Heavy-duty Vehicle and Engine Greenhouse Gas
  Emission Regulations were published in the Canada Gazette, Part I
  on April 14, 2012
    – Targets new on-road HDVs for model years 2014 and onwards
    – HDVs include heavy-duty trucks and vans (Class 2B & 3), combination
      tractors, and vocational vehicles
• Proposed standards vary based on vehicle size, classification,
  expected duty cycle, etc.
    – For example, compliance with vehicle standards for vocational vehicles
      and combination tractors will be assessed using GEM computer
      simulation model, due to highly customizable nature of sector

                                   Page 10
Canadian Regulations for Heavy-Duty
Vehicles and Engines
• Standards will align with U.S. EPA standards
• Estimated that net reduction of GHG emissions over the lifetime of
  MY2014-2018 vehicles will be 19.0 Mt CO2e
    – 5.3 Mt CO2e reduction in 2018

• Net savings due to regulations estimated at $4.2 billion (mostly due
  to fuel savings)
    – Payback period for vehicles is generally
Canadian Regulations for Rail

• October 21, 2006: Government of Canada
  issued Notice of Intent to regulate emissions in
  alignment with US EPA standards
• Transport Canada released a Consultation
  Document in December 2010
• Draft regulations are currently being developed
  for publication in Canada Gazette, Part I

                                  Page 12
Regulations for International
Shipping
• Government of Canada is working with
  the International Marine Organization
  (IMO) to develop measures to reduce
  GHG emissions
• In July 2011, amended MARPOL Annex
  VI
• Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI)
   – Takes effect in 2013
   – Requires increasingly stringent minimum
     energy efficiency levels for new vessels

                                  Page 13
Other Federal and Provincial Initiatives
Fuel Initiatives

• Renewable Fuels Regulations
    – Reduction of GHG emissions through mandatory 5% renewable fuel
      content by volume for gasoline (Dec 2010)
    – Amendment requiring 2% renewable content for diesel fuel (July 1, 2011)
    – Estimated to result in a cumulative reduction of 47.4 Mt CO2e over 25 yrs
• Canadian Transportation Fuel Cell Alliance Initiative
    – Support for demonstration and evaluation of fuelling options for fuel cell
      vehicles
    – Potential for 2.65 Mt CO2e reductions per year by 2020
• Natural Gas Deployment Roadmap
    – Collaboration between various stakeholders to analyze the potential for
      natural gas use across the MD- and HDV transportation sector

                                     Page 15
ecoENERGY Efficiency for Vehicles
                                Freight Transport
• SmartWay Canada
   – Extension of the U.S. EPA’s SmartWay Transport Partnership
   – Provides firms with information so that they can make informed emission
     optimization choices through a standardized system of energy data collection
     and calculation
• FleetSmart
   – Provides energy-efficient driver training practices resulting in fleets reducing
     their operating costs, improving productivity and increasing competiveness

                                Light-Duty Vehicle
• EnerGuide Label
   – provides new model specific city and
     highway fuel consumption values,
     and estimated annual fuel use and cost
• Fuel Consumption Guide
   – published annually and provides model specific fuel consumption and related
     information about new vehicles sold in Canada
• Auto$mart
   – provides materials and best practices for energy-efficient driving behaviours

                                         Page 16
Provincial Initiatives

• While the Canadian federal government is focusing on new vehicle
  emissions, many individual provinces are implementing regulations
  and programs that target current vehicle emissions
• These initiatives include;
    –   Carbon fuel taxes
    –   Mandatory speed limiters
    –   Renewable fuel regulations
    –   Truck-stop electrification
    –   Investments in hybrid vehicle
        and alternative fuel technology

                                      Page 17
Contribution to Canadian GHG
Reductions

Source: International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) Commentary “Mind the Gap: The state-of-play in Canadian
greenhouse gas mitigation” Author Dave Sawyer, Director of Climate Change and Energy, IISD, November 2011, Pg. 5

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