GHG Mitigation in Transport - Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Assessing Inland Transport CO2 - UNECE
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GHG Mitigation in Transport Assessing Inland Transport CO2 Emissions and the Impact of Mitigation Policies Palais des Nations Steve McCauley Geneva, Switzerland Environment Canada
Policy Context • Government of Canada is reducing GHG emissions based on a sector-by-sector regulatory approach, with transportation being a key part of that plan • Aligning regulations with those of the U.S. to maximize potential benefits and minimize potential costs – North American transportation sector is already largely integrated • Working towards global harmonization of GHG regulations – Environment Canada is a participant in the U.N. World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations (WP29) • Government of Canada is also implementing a number of complementary measures in addition to the regulated standards Page 3
Environmental Context Canada’s 2008 GHG Emissions Canada’s 2008 GHG Emissions from Transportation Non-Transportation Sources Propane & Natural Gas Vehicles 0.5% Transportation 29% 22% 55% • The transportation industry accounted for 22% of all Canadian emissions as of 2008 • Under the Copenhagen 3% Accord, Canada set GHG 5% 4% emission target at 17% below 2005 levels by 2020 – Target of 607 Mt in total 4% emissions per year Page 4
Economic Context • Transportation is a key sector of the Canadian economy – In 2010, the transportation industry accounted for $58.4 billion GDP per year (4.7% of total GDP) – Total transportation jobs in 2010 (direct and indirect): 670,675 – Aggregate spending in 2008 on transportation totalled $176 billion, or 12.2% of national spending Page 5
Environment Canada’s Recent Regulatory History 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 … Air Pollutants Emission Control 2006+ MYs Area GHGs (Sulphur in Diesel 2011-2016 Fuel) MYs GHGs Air 2014-2018 MYs Pollutants 2004+ MYs Air Pollutants Tier 2/3 2006+ MYs GHGs 2017-2025 MYs Air Air Pollutants Pollutants Air Tier 4 Phase I/II Pollutants 2012+ MYs On-Board 2005+ MYs 2012+ MYs Diagnostic 2013+ MYs Page 7 Page 7
Canadian Regulations for Light-duty Vehicles • LDV GHG emissions are regulated under the Canadian Environmental Protection Act, 1999 • Passenger Automobile and Light Truck Greenhouse Gas Emission Regulations were published in Canada Gazette, Part II (CG II) on October 13, 2010, to regulate MY2011 vehicles and onwards – Standards become progressively Footprint-Based LDV Emission Standards more stringent up to MY 2016 450 • Regulations predicted to reduce 400 2012 GHG emissions by 92 Mt CO2 CO2 Grams per Mile over the lifetime of MY2011-2016 350 vehicles 2012 2016 – Average annual incremental 300 reduction of 9-10 Mt CO2 per 2016 250 year by 2020 compared to business as usual scenario 200 Passenger Automobiles • Emissions are regulated by Light Trucks footprint-based target values 150 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Vehicle Footprint (m2) Page 8
Canadian Regulations for Light-duty Vehicles • EC working with U.S. EPA , NHTSA, and CARB to develop regulations for MY2017-2025 • Notice of Intent to develop more stringent standards was published in Canada Gazette I on October 16, 2010 • Released Consultation Document on November 16, 2011 – Reduction of 5% per year between 2017 and 2025 for passenger automobiles – Reduction of 3.5% per year between 2017 and 2021 and 5% per year between 2022 and 2025 for light trucks • Intend to publish proposed regulations in CG I in 2012 Page 9
Canadian Regulations for Heavy-Duty Vehicles and Engines • Proposed Heavy-duty Vehicle and Engine Greenhouse Gas Emission Regulations were published in the Canada Gazette, Part I on April 14, 2012 – Targets new on-road HDVs for model years 2014 and onwards – HDVs include heavy-duty trucks and vans (Class 2B & 3), combination tractors, and vocational vehicles • Proposed standards vary based on vehicle size, classification, expected duty cycle, etc. – For example, compliance with vehicle standards for vocational vehicles and combination tractors will be assessed using GEM computer simulation model, due to highly customizable nature of sector Page 10
Canadian Regulations for Heavy-Duty Vehicles and Engines • Standards will align with U.S. EPA standards • Estimated that net reduction of GHG emissions over the lifetime of MY2014-2018 vehicles will be 19.0 Mt CO2e – 5.3 Mt CO2e reduction in 2018 • Net savings due to regulations estimated at $4.2 billion (mostly due to fuel savings) – Payback period for vehicles is generally
Canadian Regulations for Rail • October 21, 2006: Government of Canada issued Notice of Intent to regulate emissions in alignment with US EPA standards • Transport Canada released a Consultation Document in December 2010 • Draft regulations are currently being developed for publication in Canada Gazette, Part I Page 12
Regulations for International Shipping • Government of Canada is working with the International Marine Organization (IMO) to develop measures to reduce GHG emissions • In July 2011, amended MARPOL Annex VI • Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) – Takes effect in 2013 – Requires increasingly stringent minimum energy efficiency levels for new vessels Page 13
Other Federal and Provincial Initiatives
Fuel Initiatives • Renewable Fuels Regulations – Reduction of GHG emissions through mandatory 5% renewable fuel content by volume for gasoline (Dec 2010) – Amendment requiring 2% renewable content for diesel fuel (July 1, 2011) – Estimated to result in a cumulative reduction of 47.4 Mt CO2e over 25 yrs • Canadian Transportation Fuel Cell Alliance Initiative – Support for demonstration and evaluation of fuelling options for fuel cell vehicles – Potential for 2.65 Mt CO2e reductions per year by 2020 • Natural Gas Deployment Roadmap – Collaboration between various stakeholders to analyze the potential for natural gas use across the MD- and HDV transportation sector Page 15
ecoENERGY Efficiency for Vehicles Freight Transport • SmartWay Canada – Extension of the U.S. EPA’s SmartWay Transport Partnership – Provides firms with information so that they can make informed emission optimization choices through a standardized system of energy data collection and calculation • FleetSmart – Provides energy-efficient driver training practices resulting in fleets reducing their operating costs, improving productivity and increasing competiveness Light-Duty Vehicle • EnerGuide Label – provides new model specific city and highway fuel consumption values, and estimated annual fuel use and cost • Fuel Consumption Guide – published annually and provides model specific fuel consumption and related information about new vehicles sold in Canada • Auto$mart – provides materials and best practices for energy-efficient driving behaviours Page 16
Provincial Initiatives • While the Canadian federal government is focusing on new vehicle emissions, many individual provinces are implementing regulations and programs that target current vehicle emissions • These initiatives include; – Carbon fuel taxes – Mandatory speed limiters – Renewable fuel regulations – Truck-stop electrification – Investments in hybrid vehicle and alternative fuel technology Page 17
Contribution to Canadian GHG Reductions Source: International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) Commentary “Mind the Gap: The state-of-play in Canadian greenhouse gas mitigation” Author Dave Sawyer, Director of Climate Change and Energy, IISD, November 2011, Pg. 5 Page 18
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