From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin
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From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin: ... Prologue: “ … Has the world grown smaller? Certainly, returned Ralph. I agree with Mr. Fogg. The world has grown smaller, since a man can now go round it ten times more quickly than a hundred years ago. … You have a strange way, Ralph, of proving that the world has grown smaller. So, because you can go round it in three months. In eighty days, interrupted Phileas Fogg. … It's absurd! cried Stuart, who was beginning to be annoyed at the persistency of his friend.” Jules Verne, Around the World in Eighty Days, 1873 © Kari Liuhto 27.10.2011, Moscow
Russia’s modernisation path(s) Russia in the 1970- Russia in this Russia 1990s: Russia’s millenium: tomorrow: industrial How to turn Russia two major paths competitiveness more in modernisation deteriorates innovative ? State-led, military- oriented reform vs ? Private firm dominated, civil society- oriented reform
Modernisation is not self-evident path for Russia, though it would be highly needed Source: Liuhto 2009
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (1) Figure 1 Expenditure on R&D Gross expenditure on R&D as share of GDP in 2007 and relative change in 1997-2007, percentage points Country’s share (%) of world’s GERD in 2007 (circle size corresponds to total GERD, USD mln.) High 5% Israel USA 34,13% Japan 14,04% Germany 7,88% France 5,06% China 4,43% 4% South Korea 3,13% Japan Russia 1,35% Finland Gross expenditure on R&D as share of GDP in 2007, % South Korea India 0,88% Finland 0,79% USA Israel 0,72% 3% Turkey 0,43% South Africa 0,25% Germany 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% France Canada 2% Change of the country’s share in world’s Czech Rep. China GERD between 1997 and 2007 Russia Hungary China 103% Belarus Estonia Turkey 79% 1% Ukraine South Africa South Africa 40% India Poland Israel 38% Chile Turkey South Korea 23% Kazakhstan Finland 13% Japan 5% 0% India 1% -0,5% 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5% 2,0% Change of the share of GERD in GDP between 1997 and 2007, Germany 0% Low percentage points Russia -5% Low High USA -9% France -16% Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, W orld Bank -40% 0% 40% 80% 120% Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (2)
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (3)
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (4) Companies in Fortune Global 500 Companies in top 1,000 R&D investors 2005 2009 2005 2009 Brazil 3 6 3 3 Russia 3 8 2 1 India 5 7 1 12 China 16 37 3 5 Europe * 175 180 294 333 USA 176 140 423 378 * Europe excluding Russia Sources: DIUS (2009); Fortune (2009)
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (5) Figure 4 Sample characteristics (innovation), % Presence of R&D department Main sources of innovation The company Company's own R&D department 47 %* doesn’t have R&D department, Foreign companies - suppliers of equipment or parts 38 % 49% The company has an Russian companies - suppliers of R&D department, equipment or parts 28 % 51% Company's own departments, except R&D 25 % Russian engineering, design and other specialized companies 16 % Russian institution of science and Presence of innovation strategy technology or university 15 % Documented as a separate strategy, Foreign engineering, design and other The company doesn't 8% specialized companies have innovation В компании strategy, нет 5% исследовательского 24% Acquisition of patents, licenses and подразделения, Documented as a part 6% know-how from Russian companies of overall strategy, 49% 20% Acquisition of patents, licenses and В компании существует know-how from foreign companies (with 5% исследовательское or without Russian presence) подразделение, Foreign institution of science and Innovation strategy 51% technology or universi ty 3% exists only in top managers' minds, 51% 0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % * The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010 Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (6) Figure 6 Obstacles to innovation Main obstacles to innovation activities for mid-sized and large Rankings of obstacles to innovation for EU- companies companies in Russia Lack of funds available within the Non-innovative company 62% * Innovative companies* companies* Too large cost of innovation activity 33% 1 Lack of funds available within 1 No demand for new products the company and services Difficult to get external financing 33% 2 Difficult to get external 2 Lack of funds available within financing the company Uncertainty of demand for a new product 23% Uncertainty of demand for a Difficult to get external or service 3 3 new product or service financing Lack of qualified human resources 19% 4 Difficult to find suppliers 4 Difficult to find suppliers Lack of technology information 12% 5 Too large cost of innovation 5 Uncertainty of demand for a Lack of market information 8% activity new product or service 6 Lack of qualified human 6 Too large cost of innovation Difficult to find suppliers 6% resources activity Restricting standards and industry 7 No demand for new products 7 Restricting standards and regulations 6% and services industry regulations No demand for new products and services 5% 8 Restricting standards and 8 Lack of qualified human industry regulations resources Ineffective innovation management 5% Lack of market information Lack of technology information 9 9 Board of Directors doesn't recognize innovation as priority 4% 10 Lack of technology information 10 Lack of market information 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% * The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed * See Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006 for explanations Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010; Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006, Central Statistics Office
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (7) Figure 7 Barriers to innovation: human resources and education Availability of engineers and technicians 8% 21% 18% 23% 17% 10% 3% Low High Cost to hire engineers and technicians 2% 8% 12% 32% 20% 14% 13% Too high, inacceptable Acceptable Education quality in vocational schools and 8% 17% 26% 25% 16% 6% 2% technical colleges Low High Quality of higher education in natural 4% 13% 18% 24% 18% 19% 4% sciences and engineering Low High Quality of math and science education in 6% 11% 14% 24% 23% 18% 5% school Low High Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (8) Figure 8 Intellectual property protection Intellectual property protection in general 31% 24% 14% 14% 10% 4%3% Weak Strong Intellectual property protection: 21% 15% 18% 24% 13% 7% 3% patents for invention and prototypes Weak Strong Intellectual property protection: 18% 8% 10% 16% 22% 18% 7% registered trademarks Weak Strong Intellectual property protection: 13% 18% 19% 27% 12% 10% 2% authors’ rights Weak Strong Intellectual property protection: business secrets and know-how 12% 11% 18% 27% 13% 13% 4% Weak Strong Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (9) Finland is R&D superpower in industrial cooperation with Russia Figure 10 Cooperation with foreign companies in area of technology and innovation Technological cooperation with partners Location of main technology Areas of cooperation abroad (during last three years) partners Germany 36%** Upgrading products and * 53% USA 23% services China 16% CIS countries 10% Developing new products and services 43% Finland 9% Yes No Italy 8% 48% Japan 8% 49% Designing and implementing new 42% France 5% production processes India 5% Sweden 5% Upgrading production processes 42% Other Europe 14% Other non-Europe 5% * The sum exceeds 100%, since multiple ** The sum exceeds 100%, since up options were allowed to two options were allowed Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010
Finnish-Russian innovation cooperation: Some examples INTER-ENTERPRISE JOINT INNOVATION ACTIVITY * Flagship: Nokia in Skolkovo INNOVATION FINANCE * TEKES-FASIE * Rusnano-Finnish Industry Investment Ltd NETWORKING * FinNode Russia (match making) * Technopolis (technopark) * Finnish-Russian Innovation Centre (regional cooperation) PR- ACTIVITIES * EU-Russia Innovation Forum (mainly bilateral annual event - third time in June 2011) JOINT RESEARCH * Academy of Finland and the Russian Foundation for Humanities (2006-2009) * Various universities and their Russia-units EXCHANGE OF RESEARCHERS * Various universities
Some policy considerations based on Finnish-Russian cooperation (1) (1) Establish a Joint EU-Russia Innovation Centre both in Russia and in the EU. (2) Support the internationalization of innovations. (3) Turn the innovations conducted in the military sector into civilian use. (4) Improve intellectual property rights (IPR) and the investment climate. (5) Institutional innovations are needed. (6) Design a service innovation policy.
Some policy considerations based on Finnish-Russian cooperation (2) ( 7) Enhance management innovations. ( 8) Create innovation competition. ( 9) Establish innovation journalism to share best practices. (10) Do not concentrate on radical innovations. (11) Teach creativity and entrepreneurship in universities. (12) Avoid political stagnation.
From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin – but what after Gagarin ? Epilogue: 50 years ago, the Soviet cosmonaut, Yuri Gagarin, flew around the world in less than two hours. Lesson: reaching “the impossible” is possible but it takes time and requires foreign cooperation / competition.
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