Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts
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Follow-up for Positive COVID-19 Cases and their Close Contacts Tools for LBOHs April 6, 2021 Hillary Johnson, MHS, Infectious Disease Epidemiologist Scott Troppy, MPH, PMP, CIC, Surveillance Epidemiologist Alexandra DeJesus, MPH, CIC, Infectious Disease Epidemiologist Bureau of Infectious Disease and Laboratory Sciences MA Department of Public Health
Updates for today, Tuesday, 4/6/2021 ▪ Variant’s of Concern Review with Dr. Catherine Brown ▪ LBOH Immediate Workflow – COVID-19 event only – please check your workflow TODAY and clear out the workflow ▪ LBOH Confirmed and Probable Report and the LBOH Notification for Immediate Disease (COVID only) Workflow ▪ Currently report is configured to run off of Event Date ▪ Updating MAVEN to address SARS-Coronavirus2 RdRp gene test so it will populate first positive specimen date in the Clinical QP#3 ▪ On-Call Stats – March #’s 2
SARS-CoV-2 Variants • Variant Classification Scheme • Variant of interest - A variant with specific genetic markers that have been associated with changes to receptor binding, reduced neutralization by antibodies generated against previous infection or vaccination, reduced efficacy of treatments, potential diagnostic impact, or predicted increase in transmissibility or disease severity. • Examples: B.1.526 and B.1.525 – New York, P.2 – Brazil • Possible attributes of a variant of interest: • Specific genetic markers that are predicted to affect transmission, diagnostics, therapeutics, or immune escape • Evidence that demonstrates it is the cause of an increased proportion of cases or unique outbreak clusters • Limited prevalence or expansion in the US or in other countries https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
SARS-CoV-2 Variants • Variant Classification Scheme • Variant of concern - A variant for which there is evidence of an increase in transmissibility, more severe disease (increased hospitalizations or deaths), significant reduction in neutralization by antibodies generated during previous infection or vaccination, reduced effectiveness of treatments or vaccines, or diagnostic detection failures. • Examples: B.1.1.7 (UK), B.1.351 (South Africa), P.1 (Brazil) • Newly added: B.1.427 and B.1.429 – California • Possible attributes of a variant of concern: • Evidence of impact on diagnostics, treatments, and vaccines • Widespread interference with diagnostic test targets • Evidence of substantially increased resistance to one or more class of therapies • Evidence of significant decreased neutralization by antibodies generated during previous infection or vaccination • Evidence of reduced vaccine-induced protection from severe disease • Evidence of increased transmissibility • Evidence of increased disease severity https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
SARS-CoV-2 Variants • Variant Classification Scheme • Variant of high consequence - A variant of high consequence has clear evidence that prevention measures or medical countermeasures (MCMs) have significantly reduced effectiveness relative to previously circulating variants. • None at this time • Possible attributes of a variant of high consequence: • Impact on Medical Countermeasures (MCM) • Demonstrated failure of diagnostics • Evidence to suggest a significant reduction in vaccine effectiveness, a disproportionately high number of vaccine breakthrough cases, or very low vaccine-induced protection against severe disease • Significantly reduced susceptibility to multiple Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) or approved therapeutics • More severe clinical disease and increased hospitalizations • A variant of high consequence would require notification to WHO under the International Health Regulations, reporting to CDC, an announcement of strategies to prevent or contain transmission, and recommendations to update treatments and vaccines. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
60 50 40 30 P.1 B.1.351 20 B.1.1.7 10 0
SEX Count Female 511 Male 516 Transgender 1 Grand Total 1028
Where we are right now • B.1.1.7 • Community transmission • Individual investigation not necessary • B.1.351 • Remain very rare • Individual investigation helpful • Ask about recent travel or contact with someone with recent travel • P.1 • Most common on Barnstable County – community transmission • Individual investigation helpful outside of Barnstable • Ask about recent travel or contact with someone with recent trave
Sequencing/Variant Surveillance • Massachusetts • State Public Health Laboratory (200 samples/week) • Broad • BU/NEIDL – all positive cases from BU and certain cases from BMC • Nationally • LabCorp • Quest • Helix/Illumina • Aegis • CDC • 10 days to 2 week time lag for sequencing results (from specimen collection date) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/transmission/variant-cases.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/genomic-surveillance-dashboard.html
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-proportions.html
Estimated proportion of variants in jurisdictions reporting > 300 sequences for the 4 week time period ending 3/13/2021 State B.1.1.7 Variant P.1 Variant B.1.351 Variant B.1.427/B.1.429 FL 34.5% 1.2% 0.3% 9.4% MI 39.0% 0.1% 0.1% 7.2% CA 10.3% 0.7% 0.1% 56.1% MA 18.6% 1.4% 0.2% 3.6% GA 22.1% 0.2% 4.8% MN 25.5% 0.2% 10.9% MD 20.4% 1.6% 4.0% CO 16.6% 0.3% 25.9% PA 14.1% 0.3% 4.8% TX 25.2% 0.1% 0.2% 8.0% • Utilizes CDC and national vendor sequence data only • less prone to collection bias • Stable at the national level, less stable at smaller geographic levels • Modeling-based estimates currently in development • Conversations with CDC, APHL and CSTE about • Right-sizing surveillance • Metadata to indicate reason for sequencing
COUNTY B.1.1.7 B.1.351 P.1 Grand Total BARNSTABLE 35 63 98 COUNTY BERKSHIRE 3 3 COUNTY BRISTOL COUNTY 36 2 38 ESSEX COUNTY 177 3 6 186 FRANKLIN COUNTY 3 3 HAMPDEN 17 1 18 COUNTY HAMPSHIRE 11 11 COUNTY MIDDLESEX 183 5 7 195 COUNTY NORFOLK COUNTY 130 1 131 PLYMOUTH 65 3 68 COUNTY SUFFOLK COUNTY 197 2 199 WORCESTER 117 1 118 COUNTY Grand Total 974 12 82 1068 Courtesy of the Viral Genomics Lab at the Broad Comments from the Viral Genomics Lab at the Broad re: P.1 • Indicates 5 distinct importations into MA • 44/52 genomes – transmission cluster • 4 cases which link closely to 2 cases in Nebraska • 1 case links closely to Italian genomes • Data suggest additional undetected P.1 cases • Requires additional genomic and epidemiologic work
Sequencing • Surveillance • Random sample • Understand what is happening in our communities • Reinfections and vaccine breakthrough • Understand extent of impact
Ongoing work • Cluster investigations in Barnstable County with LBOH and CTC • Contributing specimens to CDC for random sampling of variants in MA • Collaborating with Broad CRSP and Viral Genomics to sequence more specimens • Randomly • Outbreak investigation • Participating in national discussions on • right-sizing surveillance • Electronic laboratory reporting of variant results
MAVEN 4/5/21 - Updates for Variant’s
COVID-19 Variant’s of Concern ▪ Added variable to capture if specimens were sequenced and a new variant was identified (Variant of Concern) in SARS events [MAEDSS-13037] ▪ Added question to the Clinical Question Package and COVID Wizard ▪ Not editable by local users ▪ If question is answered as Yes users will need to review lab data to see which variant has been sequenced ▪ Information will be updated on an ongoing basis in the question package ▪ Added to the LBOH Confirmed and Probable Report
COVID Confirmed and Probable Report 22
First Positive Specimen Date – Antigen Test 23
First Positive Specimen Date – PCR Test 24
On-Call Events, MAVEN Help Desk & COVID-19 Weekly Webinars Statistics March 2021 Report Reed Sherrill, Surveillance Epidemiologist Scott Troppy, MPH, PMP, CIC, Surveillance Epidemiologist Bureau of Infectious Disease and Laboratory Sciences MA Department of Public Health
MAVEN User Requests & Training 3/1/2020 - 4/5/2021 Status Count Pending Users 108 Processed Users 2,086 Total New Users Trained Or In Process 2,194 Total MAVEN Users 1,690* Pending = User has submitted a URF and is in the training process Processed = Trained internal and external staff with VG MAVEN accounts created and MAVEN accounts created by ISIS staff and then access granted appropriate access. Total MAVEN Users = Includes MDPH, LBOH, CTC, Higher Ed, Infection Prevention and other trained staff *Total New Users Trained/in process exceeds total MAVEN users due to retraining and/or individuals coming offline and back on again 26 *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM.
MAVEN On-Call Events 3/1/2021 – 3/31/2021 Program Area Count Division of Global Populations 11 Epidemiology 170 Immunization (COVID-19) 1598 Immunization (non-COVID-19) 51 Informatics and Surveillance (ISIS) 74 STD 3 Total On-Call MAVEN Events 1,907 27 *these data are accurate as of 3/6/2021 at 6:30PM
MAVEN On-Call Events 3/1/2020 – 3/31/2021 Program Area Count Division of Global Populations 154 Epidemiology 3,725 Immunization (COVID-19) 37,744 Informatics and Surveillance (ISIS) 2,327 STD 23 Total On-Call MAVEN Events 43,973 28 *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM
For Reference what our call volume usually looks like…. Year Total On-Call Events Created 2015 6,739 2016 12,830 2017 12,605 2018 9,296 2019 10,652 2020 40,029 29 2021 6,384 *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM
MAVEN Help Desk Emails 3/15/2020 – 3/31/2021 Month Count March 2020 2,383 April 2020 7,816 May 2020 7,603 June 2020 6,602 July 2020 5,231 August 2020 6,280 September 2020 5,313 October 2020 9,587 November 2020 12,225 December 2020 13,273 January 2021 11,727 February 2021 8,244 30 March 2021 8,977 Total Emails received 105,261 *these data are accurate as of 4/5/2021 at 10:30AM
Tuesday and Friday Webinars for COVID-19 Investigations/Follow-up lead by Hillary Johnson and Scott Troppy 31
Tuesday’s Webinar Attendance, 2020 3/24/2020 – 12/22/2020 1000 910 900 800 700 600 575 570 501 515 500 475 474 466 455 432 394 395 403 375 389 392 409 400 352 344 350 331 333 348 313 323 315 323 286 290 303 275 292 284 302 296 300 265 254 272 200 93 100 0 32
Friday’s Webinar Attendance, 2020 4/8/2020 – 12/18/2020 600 500 468 481 432 419 422 398 400 374 356 309 309 288 275 300 243 221 212 196 196 200 161 148 107 120 122 92 104 104 105 100 0 *4/8 was a special Wednesday Introductory Contact Tracing Training **9/18 started Friday DPH Office Hours (webinar live question session) 33
Tuesday’s Webinar Attendance, 2021 1/5/2021 – 3/30/2021 500 466 447 450 391 402 400 379 369 379 328 338 338 329 345 350 300 250 235 200 150 100 50 0 34
Friday’s Webinar Attendance, 2021 1/8/2021 – 3/26/2021 200 182 181 180 174 164 160 160 149 150 155 137 138 140 124 120 100 83 80 60 40 20 0 35
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