"FINGER ON THE PULSE" - Decision ...
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Decision through Holistic Intelligence “FINGER ON THE PULSE” QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP Real-time Decision Intelligence and Awareness of the top trending Topics, Sentiment and Emotions of Queenslanders towards Leadership Duration of analysis 5 May 2020 > 4 June 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS 01. Report scope 02. Insights summary 03.1 Top/Key Phrase Analysis 03.2 Top topics - posts 03.3 Chatter Timeline 04.1 Emotion Timeline - Annastacia Palaszczuk 04.2 Emotion Allocation - Insights 05.1 Emotion Timeline - Deb Frecklington 05.2 Emotion Allocation - Insights 06.1 Network of Influencers 06.2 Network of Influencers - insights Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 2
01. QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP INSIGHTS SUMMARY 5 MAY - 4 JUNE REPORT SCOPE 1. This sample report on Queensland Leadership is a collection of data from a pilot campaign that was setup as a test 2. This report and campaign is to showcase DHI’s potential of the capability and service offering 3. Report contains a partial view of the insights and offering, a full campaign will provide insights and analysis that are multiple layers deeper 4. The data collected from this pilot campaign is a sample data set to show the potential of the capability. 5. Current data-set is indicative of the conditions, and should not be taken as fully representative of the actual trending Topics, Sentiment, Emotion, associated with the topic, as it does not contain the full data set and has not been through the necessary rigour to ensure data quality 6. For a fully accurate representation of the topic, an actual campaign will need to be commissioned and analysed. Note: Data does not include some Facebook, Instagram information at this stage, but a typical campaign will include all information from all social media channels Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 3
02. QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP INSIGHTS SUMMARY 5 MAY - 4 JUNE INSIGHTS SUMMARY - LEADERSHIP TOTAL MENTIONS 27,840 mentions 1.’NAZI’ POST 2.LOTS OF CHATTER, BUT… 3.BORDER STORY The ‘Nazi’ post by Andrew Laming The Premier significantly dominates The border closure is the trending dominated the chatter during this the chatter volume over the period narrative this past week (leading up to 4 period, with more than 50% of the with 86%. This is positive from an June). This discussion is close to 20% of chatter related to this topic. This Awareness perspective, however the chatter volume, but climbing rapidly. was an Emotionally Involved topic from an Emotional Involvement Emotionally, it is very intensive. At as well, with over 40% of people perspective, the Premier does not present, nearly 65% of people have feeling Anger or Disgust towards command the same dominance. negative emotions towards the closure, the post, and 28% feeling Sadness People are Emotionally fickle about while 27% feel positive towards it. towards the Premier. The duration the two Leaders, with a lot of of the Emotions and Chatter fluctuating Emotions. Opportunity: extended beyond the average, • If the borders are to remain closed, a lasting for more than 1 week. Opportunity: clear ‘Opening the Border’ strategy • People are influenced by the party needs to be communicated concisely Opportunity: that dominates the Emotional and repeatedly to reduce the Anger • As this is an Emotionally charged Involvement positively. A steady and Fear of uncertainty that drives post/topic, expect this post to flow of posts that creates positive Emotions. resurface as we near the election Emotions, and managing the campaign period. Preparations negative Emotions posts, will will need to be done to influence level out the Emotional the Emotions when it does fluctuation, thus creating a more appear. predictable situation. Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 4
03.1 TOTAL MENTIONS 27,840 mentions QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP INSIGHTS SUMMARY TOP/KEY PHRASE ANALYSIS 5 MAY - 4 JUNE 1. Backlash from Nazi Uniform post Recent trending post that shows Annastacia Palaszczuk in a nazi uniform has dominated social media in the past month, with more than half the chatter. Ranging from request for apologies to blaming Andrew Laming. The chatter around this post lasted for more than 1 week. 2. Border Closure Trending chatter about Queenslands border closure, especially the exchange between NSW and Queensland Premiers 3. Media Propaganda before Elections chatter about how media is trying to influence October election outcomes Top Topics for Queensland Leadership 5 May - 4 June Post that pictured Annastacia Annastacia Palaszczuk 's Polish grandpa was interred in a Nazi camp. Her Polish grandma was forced to strip 57.5% Palaszczuk in a Nazi Uniform has naked at gunpoint for the Nazis to use for sex. Yet Federal Liberal Member for Bowman, Andrew Laming MP, received heavy backlash thinks it's OK to post a photo of her in a Nazi uniform. https://t.co/5GJMCrueKL RT @anonymous Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk is the daughter of former Qld minister Henry Palaszczuk who was persecuted by the Nazis. It's total BS Andrew Laming didn't know. #qldpol #auspol https://t.co/ vEJHnPg22M NSW and QLD feud over border closure It seems that @GladysB is mad that the Qld Premier @AnnastaciaMP isn’t in a rush to open the borders to a 14.4% State that let a festering covid ridden cruise ship dock. Weird huh. BORDERS CLOSED: "We're not going to be lectured to by a State that has the highest number of cases in Australia." QLD Premier Post about propaganda to help LNP win The @couiermail is trying every trick in the book to make sure @AnnastaciaMP doesn't win the Qld election in 7.7% Oct elections October.. Lets try extra hard to make this not happen folks.. Could you imagine what it would be like having @DebFrecklington as Premier.. It would be worse than Newman Petitions to Annastacia Palaszczuk Annastacia Palaszczuk & Jeanette Young to make a national apology to Nathan Turner family - Sign the 6.9% Petition! https://t.co/vHZn6O4H2m via @anonymous Annastacia Palaszczuk : Reconsider spending $40mil on a new greyhound racing complex in Ipswich. - Sign the Petition! https://t.co/bfJ7q5P8sg via @anonymous Positive posts that recognises Kudos to @AnnastaciaMP. Qld was the first state to declare a public health emergency in January. 6.1% Annastacia Palaszczuk swift reaction to @ScottMorrisonMP still wanted to go to an NRL game in March! #QandA Covid19 lnp to ensure that workers only get 24 #BREAKING: One Nation has just voted with the LNP to ensure that workers only get 24 hours’ notice to vote 4.2% hours on permanent cuts to their pay and conditions. This means workers have no time to consult or get advice. Yet again One Nation sides with the LNP over workers. #auspol annastacia palaszczuk and labor have Annastacia Palaszczuk and Labor have almost bankrupted Queensland and they can't even get their trains to 3.2% almost bankrupted queensland run on time. How on earth could they run an airline? https://t.co/YQMFycz18a Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 5
03.2 TOTAL MENTIONS 27,840 mentions QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP INSIGHTS SUMMARY TOP TOPICS - POSTS 5 MAY - 4 JUNE Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 6
03.3 Annastacia Palaszczuk (86%) Total - 23,625 ; High - 28 May QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP CHATTER TIMELINE Deb Frecklington (14%) CHATTER TIMELINE Total - 3,762 ; High - 27 May 5 MAY - 4 JUNE 14 MAY 17 MAY - 23 MAY • Trending post supporting Qld Premier • Andrew Laming’s post with photoshopped 27 MAY and questioning Peter Duttons record. picture on Nazi character posted • Chatter around Queensland border Post gathered a lot of additional chatter • Increase in chatter volume over period from closure and ‘feud’ between • News that One Nation voted with LNP reposts and strong pushback from many Premiers • Qld government to buy stake in Virgin quarters • Chatter about Pauline Hanson, Australia • Posts dominates chatter volume for 1 week against Annastacia 11-12 MAY • Post that called for Kudos to Qld Premier who was first to declare state of emergency, while Scott Morrison still wanted to attend NRL 5 MAY - 16 MAY 26 MAY • Minimal chatter related to Deb Frecklington 17 May • LNP sponsored posts about • Spike in chatter on Deb was to Premier keeping the border closed during this period • Chatter that did emerge on Deb around question her leadership, and over gain good traction alternative proposal for Virgin buyout to LNP Andrew Laming antics • Pushback over gutter politics roadmap • LNP sponsored chatter did not gain any played by LNP traction Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 7
04.1 QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP EMOTION TIMELINE EMOTION TIMELINE - ANNASTACIA PALASZCZUK 5 MAY - 4 JUNE Overall Emotions - 5 May - 4 June 21 MAY - QLDS BORDERS REMAIN CLOSED • 65% have negative feelings at this period towards Borders remaining closed, with 27% feeling positive. 14 MAY - VIRGIN AUSTRALIA INVESTMENT disgust • Small spike in Sadness and Anger, mostly • Long lasting Anger and Sadness towards Annastacia 8.2% anger from chatter around Queensland for keeping the borders closed, while other states start to open up. Most of the chatter is about government planning to buy stake in sadness 29.2% Queenslanders needing to get on with lives and Virgin Australia, concerns around debt businesses, especially Tourism. 29.4% surprise and giving tax payers money to foreign • These Emotions are longer lasting, as it dominates owners chatter for nearly 5 days. joy 3.1% 23.4% fear 6.6% 11-12 MAY - ‘KUDOS’ 17 MAY - ‘NAZI’ POST 26 MAY - BORDER FEUD • ‘Kudos’ Post for Qld Premier for • High and extended sense of Sadness • Divided Emotions around on-going border being first to declare emergency and Anger (58%) towards Andrew feud, with 25% feeling Sad that borders resulted in high spike in Sadness, Laming’s post labelling Annastacia as a remain closed due to some people not agreeing Nazi. Calls for an apology • Anger around on-air attack on Annastacia with giving praise, and also • Further Sadness at tactics of the LNP on Sunrise to open border Sadness towards Fed government. and their smear campaign strategy • Joy was humour that Pauline Hanson’s failed to crowdfund a legal challenge Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 8
04.2 QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP EMOTION TIMELINE 5 MAY - 4 JUNE EMOTION ALLOCATION - ANNASTACIA PALASZCZUK INSIGHTS 1. Fluctuating Emotions The general sentiment is fluid, with fluctuating emotions towards Queensland Premier, Annastacia Palaszczuk. This indicates a level of uncertainty on the Premier’s position in the hearts of Queenslanders, which will result in unpredictability. Increase the predictability of the results by focusing on campaigns that stabilises the positive Emotions, and reduces the troughs of negative Emotions. 2. ‘Nazi’ Post resulted in emotions of Disgust and Anger towards Andrew Laming and Liberals. Most people felt Sadness and sympathy towards the Premier as a result of the post. While the Chatter dominated social media for a week, the intensity of the Emotions were largely confine to the first 3 days. As this topic was controversial and had Emotional stamina, it will remain in peoples memories, and will likely resurface as we get closer to the Election campaign period in 3Q 2020. Best to be prepared for the potential viral posts related to this topic. Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 9
05.1 QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP EMOTION TIMELINE EMOTION TIMELINE - DEB FRECKLINGTON 5 MAY - 4 JUNE Overall Emotions - 5 May - 4 June 22 May - NO LAUGHING MATTER • Sadness spike attributed to post about 13 MAY - BIRTHDAY WISHES LNP members laughing during Qld disgust • Joy spike was almost entirely parliament, where Dr Anthony Lynham talked about a friend who lost a son to 8.6% anger from birthday wishes to Scott Covid. Low level of chatter, but high Morrison sadness 28.9% emotional involvement. 27.3% surprise joy 1.7% 26.2% fear 7.4% 10 MAY - GENERAL POLITICS 17 MAY - ‘PALASZCZUK AIRLINES’ 26 - 28 MAY - BORDER CLOSURE • Emotionally charged low volume • LNP sponsors post on ‘Palaszczuk Airlines’ had • LNP sponsored message about chatter…people reading the posts unintended high emotional involvement with Annastacia keeping borders closed are Emotionally Involved large numbers feeling Anger towards LNP’s has mixed emotions. • Split between corruption in LNP campaigning and perceived double standards • 32% feel Joy towards Deb and party (29% Anger), Support for Deb • Anger also towards Deb’s repeat answers to regarding the post (25% Joy), LNP’s practice of gutter questions about a racist LNP video. • However, more than 50% feel Anger politics and lack of a good • Interestingly, not as much Anger associated or Sadness, as people view this as alternative (23% Sadness) to Deb as a result of Andrew Laming’s Nazi dividing Queensland, and LNP gutter post politics Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 10
05.2 QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP EMOTION TIMELINE 5 MAY - 4 JUNE EMOTION ALLOCATION - DEB FRECKLINGTON INSIGHTS 1. Low Volume, High Involvement Chatter volume around LNP leader Deb Frecklington is relatively low compared to the Premier. However, the Emotional Involvement around the chatter is significant. This means that people are engaged emotionally, positively or negatively, towards posts that appears around Deb and the LNP. Utilise this high Involvement to influence and sway emotions through targeted campaigns 2. No Association The ‘Nazi’ post that dominated the chatter during this period has had a high emotional involvement for the Premier, and one would expect an opposite emotional response towards the Opposition leader, Deb. However, there was minimal associated between the negative emotions of the post and Deb, and she seemed removed from the controversy Emotionally. Leverage this emotional distance from this post, as this is a post that could be recycled during the election campaigns. Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 11
06.1 QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP NETWORK OF INFLUENCERS 5 MAY - 4 JUNE NETWORK OF INFLUENCERS Potential Bot, due to expansion of post from one source @ AnneSMIXX @ DebFrecklington Annastacia’s influence is significant vs Deb, which is non-existent Potential Bot @AnnastaciaMP cluster Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 12
06.2 QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP NETWORK OF INFLUENCERS 5 MAY - 4 JUNE NETWORK OF INFLUENCERS INSIGHTS 1. Annastacia has the Floor The Premier is the main source of influence and news in this Network for this period. People are listening to and responding to what the Premier is posting online. This is in contrast to Deb, who has little influence over the last month. 2. Potential Bots There are several handles and clusters that resemble ‘bot’ patterns. These could potentially be paid promoters/detractors who amplify the rhetoric (positive or negative). Identify who they are and manage the conversation and influence. Decision through Holistic Intelligence Privileged and Confidential, not to be copied or redistributed Page 13
Decision through Holistic Intelligence “THE FIRST TO KNOW” QUEENSLAND LEADERSHIP Real-time Decision Intelligence and Awareness of the top trending Topics, Sentiment and Emotions of Queenslanders towards Leadership Duration of analysis 5 May 2020 > 4 June 2020
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