E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica - Assolombarda
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03.10.2016 – Gianluca Donato, Business Development & Sales EVCI E-mobility Le tecnologie per la ricarica
EV Market Key point has been reached: BEV segment is fully confirmed as the main driving force in e-transportation 41m EV’s sold per year, 35% of new cars sold 0.5m EV’s sold per year October 5, 2016 Source: Bloomberg
EV penetration scenarios Electric Vehicles are reaching the tipping point Cars Buses As % of total car units sold in 2030 As % of total bus units sold in 2022 47% 61% 76% ICE 90% 89% 53% 39% EV 24% 10% 11% IHS Global Strategy McKinsey base case Freedonia 2011 Frost & Sullivan 2022 Analytics push ~0.5m Electric Vehicles sold in 2015 (0.5%) and significant growth is forecasted. Electric propulsion entering bus market even faster than cars. Note: McKinsey case is a base case in a scenario with regulatory push, F&S bus report shows transit busses segment October 5, 2016
Market size estimate Growing market for all components in grid-to-vehicle value chain Chargers market (AC+DC) Other opportunities in the value chain Revenue $m Average spending split 3.000 Public 10% 15% Services 2.500 Commercial 25% 20% 15% Residential 10% Site works 2.000 1.280 5% 20% 20% 1.500 1.056 Solution 30% features 871 371 15% 15% 1.000 719 Grid connection 274 10% 593 202 20% 500 489 149 1.009 30% DC charging 110 771 20% 81 449 588 10% 262 343 5% 5% 5% 0 AC charging 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Resid. Comm. Publ. Commercial and Public segment a significant opportunity for other revenue streams, apart from charger sales only. October 5, 2016 Sources: MDR 2015, ABB estimate, IHS EVCi report 2016, ABB estimate
Le reti elettriche L’integrazione con la mobilità elettrica New Integrazione Sistemi di rinnovabili gestione reti B.E.S.S. energetiche Sistemi di ricarica veloce bus Soluzioni per lo sviluppo della mobilità elettrica integrate nelle reti energetiche Sistemi di Sistemi di Sistemi ricarica veloce ricarica lenta / monitoraggio e auto accelerata controllo Cabine Building MT/BT automation Componenti compatte per EVCI
ABB è partner R&D dei maggiori player globali - R&D partners - R&D partners - R&D partners - R&D partners - R&D partners - R&D partners - DC fast chargers at - DC Wallbox - DC fast chargers dealers at dealers - R&D partners - DC fast chargers at dealers - R&D partners - DC charging testing & R&D - R&D partners - DC charging testing & R&D - R&D partners - R&D partners - R&D partners - DC fast chargers at - R&D partners - R&D partners dealers - DC wall box for - Cooperation Dong-Feng Denza EV
Driver: The EV range roadmap for EU, USA, APAC Batteries get bigger, range gets longer FIRST GEN EV 2nd GEN EV PRACTICAL MASS MARKET EV 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Mass market EV’s ~140 km >180 km >300 km >400 km 24 kWh >30 kWh >50 kWh >70 kWh Premium EV’s >450 km >80 kWh 50 kW DC Charging on the road 150-300 kW DC 10-20 kW DC Charging at commercial locations 50 kW DC 3-7 kW AC Charging at home / office 10 kW Month DD, Year | Slide 8
Il nostro radar per lo sviluppo On the roads 2016 2017 2018 2019, 2020, … 300-500 km 500 km DC fast charging CCS high-power≥(150kW) Porsche Audi Q4,6,8 e-tron Mission E ?? km 400 km VW SUVe VW Budd-e 300 km ?? km 500? km 500 km DC fast charging Chevrolet Bolt VW CUVe Daimler iCar? CCS (50 kW) 130 km 190 km BMW i5 ?? km ‘crossover’ ?? km ?? km 110 km BMW i3 450 km BMW i3 2.0 VW NUVe 130 km 300 km ?? km Audi A2 Ford Model E Audi ?? km ?? km VW e-UP! VW e-Golf 1.1AstonMartin ?? km VW e-Golf R8 e-tron RapidE 110 km Hyundai Ioniq ?? km 350 km Hyundai e-SUV Volvo EV DC fast charging 120 km 110 km 130 km 110 km 180 km ?? km Tesla Model 3 CHAdeMO Peugeot adapter/ccs? Tesla Model Y ?? km (50 kW) Partner Nissan e-NV200 Nissan 450 km ?? km Nissan Leaf 1.0 Nissan Leaf 1.1 450 km Leaf 30 Kia Soul Citroën C-Zero Tesla Model X 300 km 110 km 110 km 40 km 150 km Honda Clarity ccs? 110 km (adapter) 200 km ccs? Tesla Model S 100 km Nissan Mitsubishi (adapter) Leaf 2.0 Mitsubishi i-MiEV Peugeot iOn Outlander PHEV Kia Infinity LE Citroën Berlingo Soul-EV Honda Fit 130 km ?? km AC fast charging (43 kW) Renault Zoe ZE Daimler E-Smart 450 km 110 km 130 km ?? km ?? km AC charging (22 kW) Tesla Model S Daimler Smart ED Renault Zoe 140 km Renault Zoe 1.1 Renault Zoe 2.0 Nota: tutte le vetture AC charging ricaricano in modalità lenta (11 kW) Mercedes B250E in corrente alternata 110 km Only AC slow Ford Focus Mahindra e20 (3.6-7.2 kW) Smart ED Renault 200 km Mercedes Electric Gen 1 Renault Renault Kangoo ZE Vito E-cell Fluence ZE Twizy Citroën E-Mehari
ABB chargers car portfolio extension 22kW DC 20/50 kW Terra 150/300kW DC Single/dual standard Multi standard Single/Dual standard
ABB è partner R&D dei maggiori player globali Anche nel settore dei bus 135 people per bus can commute emission free 1.3 million passenger kilometers a year | Slide 11
Italia in primo piano HQ e Paderno Dugnano Produzione Sesto San Garbagnate Marostica sistemi ricarica service rete Mon. standard EV ricarica EV Giovanni Lenno Bergamo Marostica Sesto S.G. Vittuone Dalmine Montebello Vic.no S. Grato Monselice S.Martino Genova Genova Roma Frosinone Santa Palomba Centro controllo Produzione Terranuova sistemi FV con sistemi ricarica EV Bracciolini accumulo e ricarica veloce EV
Sviluppo rete Italia – STEP 1 UNITè – TEN-T Project Progetto finanziato da programma Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) Transport - Call 2014 Obiettivo della rete è quello di rendere possibile un viaggio con auto elettrica a lunga percorrenza attraverso diversi paesi EU da Dublino a Genova attraversando la Francia Partners: Ruolo ABB: EDF Group capofila ABB, IIC e Porto di Genova Fornire, installare ed operare in (partner ITA) collaborazione con i partner 4 aree 50 stazioni di ricarica in 4 Paesi che di ricarica veloce in Liguria nella tra il 2016 ed il 2017 dovranno tratta autostradale tra Genova e dimostrare operatività del servizio in Ventimiglia modo interoperabile
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