Deutsche Bank Tom Hughes - Head of Asset Management Member of the Group Executive Committee
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Deutsche Bank Tom Hughes Head of Asset Management Member of the Group Executive Committee UBS Global Financial Services Conference New York, 12 May 2004
Deutsche Bank’s Josef Ackermann Management Team Chairman of Group Executive Committee and Spokesman of the Board Swiss, born 1948 Group Board Global Business Heads CIB PCAM Clemens Börsig, Michael Cohrs, Tom Hughes, CFO/CRO Corporate Finance Asset Management German, born 1948 American, born 1956 American, born 1957 Jürgen Fitschen, Hermann-Josef Rainer Neske, Global Banking Division/ Lamberti, Private & Global Transaction Banking COO German, born 1948 Business Clients German, born 1956 German, born 1964 Anshu Jain, Global Markets Tessen von Pierre de Weck, Indian, born 1963 Heydebreck, Private Wealth Management CAO Swiss, born 1950 German, born 1945 Kevin Parker, Global Equities American, born 1959 GROUP EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE Investor Relations 05/04 · 2
Agenda 1 1Q2004 results at a glance 2 Successful transformation 3 Management Agenda Phase 2 4 Market recognition 5 4 Summary Investor Relations 05/04 · 3
Record performance in 1Q2004 EUR EUR Underlying EUR Net income up 1.2 bn 0.94 bn pre-tax profit up 45% 1.4 bn EUR Underlying EUR Total revenues up 23% 6.2 bn revenues up 13%(1) 5.9 bn Adjusted RoE Underlying (post-tax)(2) up 18ppt 15% RoE (pre-tax) up 9ppt 22% Substantial increase in profitability Continued strong revenue momentum, especially in Sales & Trading and Origination as well as North America and Asia / Pacific Successful turnaround of PCAM, further strengthening of CIB franchise Continued improvement of asset quality Well on track to deliver on our targets (1) Adjusting for currency movements and de-/consolidations, underlying revenues would have been approx.EUR 5.2 bn (EUR 0.3 bn reduction) for 1Q2003 (2) Adjusted return on average active equity (post-tax) Note: Data compared vs. 1Q2003 Investor Relations 05/04 · 4
Agenda 1 1Q2004 results at a glance 2 Successful transformation 3 Management Agenda Phase 2 4 Market recognition 5 4 Summary Investor Relations 05/04 · 5
Globally diversified franchise Group Asset Management underlying revenues underlying revenues by region, 2003 by region, 2003 Total: EUR 21.9 bn Total: EUR 2.7 bn Rest of Rest of Europe Germany Europe Germany 30% 29% 33% 28% 27% 38% 10% 6% Americas Americas Asia-Pacific Asia-Pacific Note: Revenues are attributed to countries based on the location in which the Group's booking office is located. Figures may not add up due to rounding differences. Investor Relations 05/04 · 6
Improved underlying profitability In EUR bn Underlying pre-tax profit Underlying pre-tax return on equity 163% 3.6 9ppt 13% 1.7 1.4 5% 4% 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 Underlying revenues Underlying cost/income ratio 9% 6ppt 22.8 89% 1.9 21.9 85% 2.7* 79% 20.1 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 * FX impact and consolidations / deconsolidations Investor Relations 05/04 · 7
De-risking the Bank At year-end (except provision for credit losses), in EUR bn Loans Problem loans 265 12.7 (39)% (14)% 10.8 172 148 6.6 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 Provision for credit losses Alternative assets (50)% 2.1 11.9 (56)% 9.7 1.0 1.1 4.3 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 Investor Relations 05/04 · 8
Returning excess capital to shareholders Tier 1 ratio Dividends Share buy-back In m shares 9.6% 10.0% 1.50 (1) 62 58 1.30 (3) 29 (2) 873 756 40 end 2002 end 2003 2002 2003 2002/03 2003/04 Dividend per share, in EUR Total dividend, in EUR m Shares retired (1) Proposed (2) Includes treasury shares (3) As of 31 March 2004; total capital consumption of EUR 1.8 bn Investor Relations 05/04 · 9
CIB - Top tier investment bank Net revenues FY 2003: Other revenues CIB vs. major peers, in EUR bn GTB Transaction services 17.6 Loan products 16.2 CB&S Investment banking 14.2 Sales & trading 1.9 11.7 1.5 10.0 9.3 8.9 8.6 1.5 9.2 Citigroup JPM Goldman Morgan UBS Merrill Credit Chase Sachs Stanley Lynch Suisse Note: Credit Suisse and UBS: only total Investment banking and Loan products available; translation into EUR based on average quarterly FX rates; figures may not add up due to rounding differences Source: Company data Investor Relations 05/04 · 10
PCAM – a world leading asset gatherer PCAM invested assets, as of 31 Dec 2003, in EUR bn PCAM vs. major peers Fidelity UBS(1) Merrill Lynch State Street(2) Deutsche Bank 872 Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse Citigroup JPM Chase Goldman Sachs 0 500 1,000 1,500 Note: Translation into EUR based on spot rates (1) Excluding Private Banks and GAM (2) Investment Servicing and Investment Management in total Source: Company data Investor Relations 05/04 · 11
Asset Management - speedy and disciplined execution of strategy… 2002 2003 2004 Acquisition of Outsourcing Sale of Out- S&P Fund DB Real Estate ZFS’s German of US Passive sourcing Awards for raises USD 1.2 and Italian AM transfer Asset of fund best billion Global business agency Manage- operations performing Real Estate ment in the U.S. mutual fund Opportunities company Fund across Europe Scudder acquisition Launch of global Pan-European Outsourcing of & integration investment launch of DWS Scudder Retirement Acquisition of RREEF platform as mutual fund Services middle / & creation of DB Real brand back office Estate Outsourcing of Japanese back office Investor Relations 05/04 · 12
…refocusing the business… Asset Management invested assets, in EUR bn YoY development 800 726 700 41 600 568 567 500 (157)* (42) 400 300 200 100 0 31 Dec FX / Disposal “Like-for-like” Performance Flows 31 Dec 2002 impact 2003 * FX impact of EUR 54 bn, disposal of Passive Asset Management EUR 103 bn Investor Relations 05/04 · 13
…towards higher-margin products Asset Management underlying revenues, in EUR m FY 2002 FY 2003 2,987 2,856 2,869 2,686 2,685 – YoY Change (%) in 2,515 2,522 2,520 EUR / local currency 2,373 2,198 2,226 1,994 1,754 1,764 1,649 1,613 1,551 1,578 1,253 1,228 7 -16/1 -6/13 -17/0 -23/-8 -21/-5 -6/12 -22/-14 -21/-5 -24/-9 JP Morgan Franklin Alliance Morgan Putnam Goldman AMVESCAP Citigroup Merrill Lynch Templeton Capital Stanley Sachs Source: Company data Investor Relations 05/04 · 14
Agenda 1 1Q2004 results at a glance 2 Successful transformation 3 Management Agenda Phase 2 4 Market recognition 5 4 Summary Investor Relations 05/04 · 15
Management Agenda Phase 2 – springboard for growth In EUR bn 13% Underlying return on equity, pre-tax 25% ~2.0 ~6.5 0.4 9% 0.8 3.6 (0.3) Underlying Adjustment Planned cost Lower provision Revenue Pro forma pre-tax profit for currency reduction for credit losses (at growth underlying 2003 movements* expected loss level) pre-tax profit * Underlying revenues, operating cost base, and provision for credit losses pro forma adjusted for year-end rates 2003 (USD, GBP, SGD only) Investor Relations 05/04 · 16
Strong revenue momentum in high margin products ... Growth products in all businesses (revenue growth 2003 vs. 2002) Credit Trading (GCF) 125% AM Hedge Funds 97% Convertibles (Equities) 88% Derivatives (Equities) 48% Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities 46% New Issues Syndicate 41% AM Real Estate 38% Private Wealth Management Asia / Pacific 19% 17% >20% of Integrated Credit Trading (GM) Group revenues PBC Referred insurances 14% PBC Brokerage 12% Investor Relations 05/04 · 17
... targeted by systematic growth initiatives across the group EXAMPLES Continue investing in our best-in-class derivatives businesses Global Markets Closing the product and distribution gap to top 3 in U.S. fixed income Consolidating leadership positions in high margin businesses Global Equities Expanding Structured Products into Asia and the U.S. Global Corporate Further building USA M&A, ECM and debt products business CIB Finance Expand our leading high yield franchise in Europe Global Banking Introducing market-based loan pricing Division Expanding cross-sell delivery of Deutsche Bank products Global Trans- Selling risk management products through Trade Finance action Banking Insourcing of third parties’ bank payment services Asset Strengthening 3rd party distribution in Europe Management Expanding alternative investments offerings PCAM Private Wealth Selective hiring of senior relationship managers Management Upgrade of product mix and pricing structure Private & Engaging in active margin management Business Clients Increasing customer penetration by targeted cross-selling Investor Relations 05/04 · 18
Building out 3rd party distribution capabilities … Examples of retail invested assets growth through 3rd party co-operations of DeAM Europe Growth net sales local funds market 2003 Growth net sales DeAM through 3rd party 2003 UK Germany DeAM 2003 invested assets through 3rd party 4.9% 7.3% 8.0% 18.4% EUR 23.5 bn EUR 3.0 bn Spain Switzerland 10.9% -0.1% -0.1% 72% 5.9% EUR 3.4 bn EUR 0.5 bn Source:DB Equity Research, DB internal figures Investor Relations 05/04 · 19
… from a position of strength Ranking of mutual fund managers in Europe by invested assets*, in EUR bn 140 126 126 120 120 100 88 86 86 79 78 77 80 72 71 68 60 40 20 0 al l e as ) na se i a ts gn Bc BS er e ek I rib AM en ol IM io ha en ar sa U ic D at Pa m o- C Ep en AD gr te rn st ol an tA (In P G te d’ ve Pa BN g In e di es In t ra or et n re y ss M Sa ci lit ex S C So ai de DW JP N C Fi * ) incl. retail funds sold to institutional investors, excluding real estate funds Source: Lipper Global Fund Analyser -12/2003 Investor Relations 05/04 · 20
Scudder’s net flows supported by 3rd party distribution Net flows (long-term, open and closed-end funds), in USD m 962 1,000 0 (1,000) (710) (2,000) (2,125) (3,000) 2001 2002 2003 Note: Non-proprietary channel only / Strategic Insight 2001-2003 Investor Relations 05/04 · 21
DB Real Estate One of the world’s leading managers of combined equity real estate and real estate securities Over EUR 46 bn in assets under management as of 31 March 2004 Global perspective with local operations including offices in US, Germany, UK, Italy, Australia and Asia Extensive experience and continuity of management Diverse products and investment strategies ranging from core to opportunistic Themes for 2004: - Opportunistic funds - Continued capital flow into direct side - Cooling down of REIT market Investor Relations 05/04 · 22
Global Hedge Funds DB Absolute Return Strategies, our global fiduciary hedge fund management business, offers a comprehensive hedge fund platform to clients worldwide Managing over USD 9 bn in single- and multi manager hedge fund assets, our senior management hedge fund team has been together for over ten years and emphasize a disciplined investment management and risk control process concentrated on achieving attractive risk-adjusted returns through single-manager and fund-of-fund strategies The focus of a boutique combined with the infrastructure, network and wealth of resources of a large financial institution, DB Absolute Return Strategies employs over 130 professionals in offices in Summit, NJ, New York, London, Sydney and Tokyo Investor Relations 05/04 · 23
Agenda 1 1Q2004 results at a glance 2 Successful transformation 3 Management Agenda Phase 2 4 Market recognition 5 4 Summary Investor Relations 05/04 · 24
Recognition by the stock market Share price development since 1 Jan 2003 (in EUR(1)) Indexed, 1 Jan 2003 = 100 175 51% 150 25% 125 21% 100 Index international 75 peers(3) Index German 50 peers(2) 1 Jan 03 30 Jun 03 1 Jan 04 6 May 04 (1) International peers’ share prices converted into EUR based on daily FX rates (2) Allianz / Dresdner Bank, Commerzbank, Hypovereinsbank (3) Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase, Merrill Lynch, UBS, Credit Suisse Source: Bloomberg Investor Relations 05/04 · 25
Client focus resulting in award winning franchise Winning categories Bank of the Year Bond House of the Year Euro Bond House (5th year running) CDO House European High-Yield Bond House EMTN House ECP House Emerging Currency Bond House (3rd yr. running) Nordic Currency Bond House (2nd yr. running) Equity Derivatives House European Equity-Linked House International Financing Review (IFR) “Review of the year 2003” “Transformation is an over-used word. Only rarely does it genuinely encapsulate the essential nature and extent of major change. For one firm, however, the word perfectly describes the shift ... to a lean, aggressive, focused universal bank with a global bulge- bracket pedigree in trading, distribution, capital markets and client solutions. Deutsche Bank is IFR's 2003 Bank of the Year.” Investor Relations 05/04 · 26
Asset Management performance awards Scudder Dalbar Awards - Intermediary Sales Support 2003 - Pre Sales Intermediary Service Award 2003 - Post Sales Intermediary Service Award DWS DMEuro / Standard & Poor’s Fund Awards (Germany) “Best performing mutual fund company” 10 years in succession 2003: for 5 and 10 years Special Award S & P - “Best International Equity Fund” 2003: DWS Vermögensbildungsfonds DeAM Pension & Investments DeAM ranked 2nd for “Top 250 Firms Ranked by Worldwide Assets” - May 26, 2003 - Money Managers Directory DeAM retained it’s standing as Americas 4th largest manager of Institutional Assets - May 26, 2003 - Annual Survey of Institutional Asset Managers DeAM ranked 1st for “Top 10 Managers of Real Estate Equity” (US Institutional, tax-exempt assets - May 26, 2003 DeAM ranked 2nd for “Top 10 Managers of REITS (US Institutional, tax-exempt assets) - May 26, 2003 RREEF/DB Real Estate ranked 2nd for “Largest Real Estate Investment Managers” - September 29, 2003 Investor Relations 05/04 · 27
Agenda 1 1Q2004 results at a glance 2 Successful transformation 3 Management Agenda Phase 2 4 Market recognition 5 4 Summary Investor Relations 05/04 · 28
Summary Strong momentum in 1Q2004 … … to achieve 25% RoE target Substantial increase in profitability Strong product growth across following transformation with businesses record underlying pre-tax profit of Dedicated initiatives in CIB and EUR 1.4bn (+45%) PCAM to capture significant Underlying revenues up 13%* revenue potential Underlying pre-tax RoE of 22% One of the most diversified Asset Management companies in the Strong Tier 1 ratio of 10.1% world “IFR Bank of the Year 2003” Return of excess capital: Continued improvement of asset - Ongoing share buy-back quality - Proposed dividend increase of 15% to EUR 1.50 * Adjusted for FX impact and de-/consolidations Investor Relations 05/04 · 29
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements and non-U.S. GAAP financial measures This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations. Any statement in this presentation that states our intentions, beliefs, expectations or predictions (and the assumptions underlying them) is a forward-looking statement. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of Deutsche Bank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward- looking statement. Such factors include the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which we derive a substantial portion of our trading revenues, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such factors are described in detail in our SEC Form 20-F of 25 March 2004 in the section "Risk Factors." Copies of this document are available upon request or can be downloaded from www.deutsche-bank.com/ir. This presentation contains non-U.S. GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation to directly comparable figures reported under U.S. GAAP refer to the 1Q2004 Financial Data Supplement, which is accompanying this presentation and available on our Investor Relations website at www.deutsche-bank.com/ir. Investor Relations 05/04 · 30
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