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Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change - Key messages and questions for relationship teams to put to ...
Asset & Wealth
Management Revolution:
Embracing Exponential
Change
Key messages and questions for relationship teams
to put to clients/prospective clients

                                 www.pwc.com/assetmanagement
Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change - Key messages and questions for relationship teams to put to ...
Why read this briefing?

                             Change in the Asset and Wealth Management industry is accelerating
                             at an exponential pace. Although the industry looks set for
                             rapid growth, asset and wealth managers must become business
                             revolutionaries, even disruptors, if they’re to increase profits and
                             prosper. Now is the time for action

                             This briefing outlines the report’s key messages, which are presented as a series of predictions for
                             transforming trends, supported by data and in-house analysis.

                             It includes questions for further discussion with clients and prospective clients about their strategy,
                             digital approach, people and processes.

2 PwC | Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change
Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change - Key messages and questions for relationship teams to put to ...
About the report

The first section of the report sets out how the operating landscape
for asset and wealth managers will grow in AUM. In the second
section, the report explains four key trends that will incessantly
revolutionise the industry and explains how firms can adapt to the
changes ahead. Our overarching message is that there is significant
potential for growth in AUM (almost doubling to US$145trn by 2025
in the best case scenario) but that managers must act now. Waiting is
no longer an option in an industry where some haven’t developed as
much as in other industries.

Four trends will revolutionise the                      3.	Funding the future. Asset and wealth
industry:                                                   managers have been filling the financing
                                                            gaps resulting from the financial crisis. To
1.	Buyers’ market. Fees are being pushed                   generate alpha, their involvement in niches
    down by investors and regulators. Increased             such as trade finance, peer-to-peer lending
    regulation, competition and new entrants are            and infrastructure will dramatically increase.
    disrupting value chains and revolutionising             Helping individuals to save for old age, as
    wealth managers’ raison d’être. As low-cost             governments step back, will also support
    products gain market share, and larger players          growth. Action is needed to capitalise on the
    benefit from scale economies, there will                gaps.
    be further consolidation and new forms of
    collaboration. Asset and wealth managers must       4.	Outcomes matter. Investors have spoken
    be “fit for growth” or they may either fail or be       loudly. They want solutions for specific needs
    acquired. They must act now.                            – not products that fit style boxes. Active,
                                                            passive and alternative strategies have become
2.	Digital technologies: do or die. The industry           building blocks for multi-asset, outcome-
    is a digital technology laggard. How well firms         driven solutions (which will increasingly
    embrace technology will help to determine               include environmental, social and governance
    which prosper in the years ahead. Technology            outcomes). Firms must either have the scale
    giants will enter the sector, flexing their data        to create multi-asset solutions or be content as
    analytics and distribution muscles. The race            suppliers of building blocks.
    is on ...

                                                                   Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change | PwC 3
These four trends will transform the industry’s                  regulations such as the Retail Distribution Regime
                             nature and structure. Scale, price, diverse people               (RDR) introduced in the UK in 2012 would be
                             and technology capabilities will characterise the                mirrored by regulators in other geographies, with
                             largest firms. Smaller, specialist firms will prosper            a significant impact on asset management and
                             if they offer excellent investment performance                   wealth management revenue models. Since 2014,
                             and service. The industry must act in three areas:               these changes have accelerated and evolved.
                                                                                              They’re in the process of revolutionising the
                             Strategy                                                         sector.
                             Firms should reorganise the business structure
                             to support the differentiating capabilities and cut              Set for growth in assets:
                             costs elsewhere.                                                 If interest rates remain relatively low globally and
                                                                                              economic growth is sustained, our projections
                             Technology
                                                                                              foresee assets under management (AuM) growing
                             Every firm must embrace technology as it impacts
                                                                                              from US$84.9 trillion in 2016 to US$111.2 trillion
                             all functions.
                                                                                              by 2020, and then again to US$145.4 trillion
                             People                                                           by 2025 (see figure 1). Retail (mutual) funds
                             Different skills are needed, backed by new                       (including ETFs) will almost double assets by
                             employment models. Firms must find and                           2025 and institutional mandates will expand
                             develop people with new skills and adapt their                   similarly. What’s more, we think alternative asset
                             employment models to nurture and retain them.                    classes – in particular real assets, private equity
                                                                                              and private debt – will more than double in size,
                             The context:                                                     as investors diversify to reduce volatility and
                             These transforming trends have evolved from                      achieve specific outcomes.1
                             the six game changers we identified in our Asset
                             Management 2020 paper, published in 2014:                        Personal wealth is accumulating fast, mainly in
                                                                                              developing countries, and individual retirement
                             1. Asset management moves centre stage                           and pension funds are expanding. The industry
                                                                                              is set to manage a greater share of this wealth.
                             2.	Distribution is redrawn – regional and global                We believe the industry’s penetration rate
                                 platforms dominate                                           (managed assets, as a proportion of total assets)
                                                                                              will expand from 39.6% in 2016 to 42.1% by
                             3. Fee models are transformed
                                                                                              2025.1
                             4.	Alternatives become more mainstream,
                                                                                              But growth has challenges. Geopolitics,
                                 passives are core and ETFs proliferate
                                                                                              normalisation of interest rates, Brexit, China’s
                             5. New breed of global managers                                  transition to a consumer-driven economy and the
                                                                                              potential changes in US policies on regulation,
                             6. Asset management enters the 21st Century.                     tax and trade all create uncertainty. Our most
                                                                                              conservative scenario still projects growth
                             Looking forward to 2020, the paper successfully
                                                                                              although substantially slower, resulting in AuM
                             forecast the rapid growth in industry assets under
                                                                                              of US$93.4 trillion by 2020 and US$107.8 trillion
                             management. It also predicted the shift from
                                                                                              by 2025.1
                             active management to passive, the rise of ETFs
                             and continued expansion in alternative asset
                             management. Notably, it also anticipated that

                             1	PwC Global Market Research Centre. For methodology see full paper.

4 PwC | Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change
Figure 1: Total client assets in USD trillion
                                                                                                                                                         CAGR
  Clients                                          2004            2007            2012              2016           2020e           2025e
                                                                                                                                                       2016-2025e

  Pension funds                                    21.3            29.4             33.9             38.3           53.1             64.6                6.0%

  Insurance companies                              17.7            21.2             24.1             29.4           38.4             44.7                4.8%

  Sovereign wealth funds (SWF)                     1.9              3.3                5.2            7.4           10.0             13.6                7.0%

  HNW1                                             37.9            50.1             52.4             72.3           93.4            119.9                5.8%

  Mass affluent                                    42.1            55.8             59.5             67.2           84.4            102.2                4.8%

  Total client assets                             120.9            159.7           175.1             214.6          279.3           345.0                5.4%

  Global AuM                                       37.3            59.4             63.9             84.9           111.2           145.4                6.2%

  Penetration rate                                30.9%           37.2%            36.5%             39.6%          39.8%           42.1%                0.7%

Sources: PwC Market Research Centre analysis. Past data based on Lipper, ICI, Preqin, Hedge Fund Research, EFAMA, City UK, Insurance Europe,
Financial Stability Board, Credit Suisse, Towers Watson, OECD and World Bank.

Highest growth rates in Asia,                                    Developing Asia-Pacific’s dynamism is set to
Latin America                                                    spur growth of 8.7% a year from 2016 to 2020,
Growth will be uneven; on a percentage basis                     accelerating to 11.8% from 2020 to 2025.
it’s slowest in developed markets and fastest in                 This will lift regional assets from US$12.1 trillion
developing markets (see figure 2). Even so, we                   to US$29.6 trillion. Latin America is likely to
anticipate assets growing at 5.7% a year in North                grow at similarly rapid rates of 7.5% in the former
America from 2016 to 2020, slowing to 4.0% from                  period, accelerating to 10.4% in the latter.
2020 to 2025, lifting assets from US$46.9 trillion               From a low base of US$3.3 trillion the region’s
to US$71.2 trillion over the nine years. Similarly,              assets are projected to increase to US$7.3 trillion.2
Europe is projected to grow at 8.4% and 3.4%
respectively over the two periods, with assets
rising from US$21.9 trillion to US$35.7 trillion.2

Figure 2: Global AuM by region in USD trillion Base scenario

                                                                                                                                   5.5%
   160
                                                                                                                                               145.4
   140                                                                                                      7.0%

   120                                                                                                              111.2
                                                                                7.4%                                                            71.2
   100
                                                         1.5%                                84.9
                            16.8%
    80                                                                                                      5.7%     58.6         4.0%
                                                                                                                                                1.6
                                                                   63.9
                                          59.4                                                                                                  7.3
    60                                                                                        46.9          10.6%                 9.5%
                                                                                                                      1.0
                                                                    33.2                                              4.4                       35.7
    40
                  37.3                     30.1                                                             7.5%                 10.4%
                                                                                              0.7
                                            0.6                     0.6                       3.3                    30.2
                     19.9                   1.4                     2.6                                     8.4%                  3.4%
    20                                                              19.7                      21.9
                      0.6                  21.0                                                                                                 29.6
                     12.9                                                                                   8.7%     16.9        11.8%
                      3.9                   6.4                     7.7                       12.1
     0
                  2004                     2007                    2012                       2016                  2020e                      2025e

   n Asia-Pacific n Europe n Latin America n Middle East and Africa n North America          CAGR
   Sources: PwC Market Research Centre analysis. Past data based on Lipper, ICI, EFAMA, City UK, Hedge Fund Research and Preqin

2	PwC Global Market Research Centre.

                                                                               Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change | PwC 5
Questions for clients

                             With change accelerating, all firms must decide how they will
                             compete in tomorrow’s world. Will they be scale or niche players?
                             How will they become more productive?

                             In our view, asset and wealth managers must address three questions:

                             1. Have you got the right strategy?
                             All firms must have a view of the landscape of tomorrow, a clear strategy and know their
                             differentiating capabilities. They should reorganise the business structure to support the
                             differentiating capabilities and cut costs elsewhere.3 As befits a time of great change, they must have a
                             long term view, take radical steps and invest in building their businesses strategically.

                             2. Are you prepared to make digital technology a key part of your business?
                             Every firm must embrace technology as it impacts all functions. Artificial intelligence, robotics, big
                             data and blockchain are transforming the industry. Technology will determine which firms are the
                             winners in a fast-changing landscape.

                             3. Are you changing your approach to hiring and nurturing people?
                             New skills are needed and new employment models must be embraced. Hiring and retaining the best
                             will depend more than ever on diversity and inclusion, and meeting the needs of the whole person.
                             Talent is a global challenge and excellent people with leadership skills will be vital as firms reinvent
                             themselves – moving into new countries, new technologies, different distribution channels and
                             leading-edge products.

                             3 https://www.strategyand.pwc.com/fitforgrowth.

6 PwC | Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change
Contacts

Olwyn Alexander                           Robert Mellor                                   John Siciliano
Global Asset & Wealth Management Leader   Partner                                         Managing Director
PwC Ireland                               Asset & Wealth Management                       Asset & Wealth Management
olwyn.m.alexander@ie.pwc.com              PwC UK                                          PwC US
+353 (0) 1 792 8719                       robert.mellor@uk.pwc.com                        john.c.siciliano@us.pwc.com
                                          +44 (0) 20 7804 1385                            +1 (646) 471 5170
Barry Benjamin
Partner                                   Andrew O’Callaghan                              Dariush Yazdani
Asset & Wealth Management                 EMEA Asset & Wealth Management Leader           Market Research Centre Leader
PwC US                                    PwC Ireland                                     Asset & Wealth Management
barry.p.benjamin@us.pwc.com               andy.ocallaghan@ie.pwc.com                      PwC Luxembourg
+1 (410) 659 3400                         +353 1 792 6247                                 dariush.yazdani@lu.pwc.com
                                                                                          +352 49 48 48 2191
Thomas Holly                              Justin Ong
US Asset & Wealth Management Leader       Asia-Pacific Asset & Wealth Management Leader
PwC US                                    PwC Singapore
thomas.j.holly@us.pwc.com                 justin.ong@sg.pwc.com
+1 (410) 215 0627                         +65 6236 3708

Steven Libby                              William Taggart
Global Advisory Leader                    Global Financial Services Tax Leader
Asset & Wealth Management                 PwC US
PwC Luxembourg                            william.taggart@us.pwc.com
steven.libby@lu.pwc.com                   +1 (646) 471 2780
+352 49 48 48 2116

Subject Matter Experts
Fit for Growth/Business                   Digital & Technology                            People/Talent
Model Alignment                           Debasis Sahu                                    Paula Smith
Hector Nelson                             Partner                                         Partner
Partner                                   Asset & Wealth Management                       Asset & Wealth Management
Asset & Wealth Management                 PwC US                                          PwC US
PwC US                                    debasis.sahu@us.pwc.com                         paula.e.smith@us.pwc.com
hector.nelson@strategyand.us.pwc.com      +1 (646) 471 2878                               +1 (617) 530 7906
+1 (212) 551 6405

                                                               Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change | PwC 7
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