CRYPTOCURRENCY 101 Playing Catch-up - TEXPO April 2022 - Texpo Conference
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Cryptocurrency 101 Speakers: Dave Wexler Managing Director, West Monroe dwexler@westmonroe.com Adam Keen Managing Director, West Monroe Peter Tapling Managing Director, pTap Advisory LLC
C R Y P TO / D I G I TA L C U R R E N C I E S & B LO C KC H A I N Our Understanding Industry and Market Overview from Peter Tapling Use Cases & Opportunities
GROUP POLL 1 Could you have an intelligent conversation about cryptocurrencies? 2 Do you have a personal crypto account? 3 Does your firm have any plans around cryptocurrency? © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 4
B U R N I N G P L AT F O R M Today, the world is moving toward deeper integration of financial markets and lower friction in transactions. New technologies and a changing customer are creating conditions in markets that are brining social and commercial disruption Blockchain, Digital and Cryptocurrency are part of a megatrend that will create disruption in banking, payments, data exchange and global transactions © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 5
EVIDENCE OF CHANGE People are banking increasingly outside of the branch. This trend started 20 years ago with ATM’s but has accelerated in the past 18 months and put new emphasis on mobile banking applications, Fintech, Open Banking API infrastructure and Data Exchange The ecosystem of companies seeking/offering to handle payment exchanges has grown to almost a dozen, and new entrants in the form of Amazon, Facebook, Paypal, and Walmart to begin or plan offerings Traditional financial technology companies like Fiserv have begun partnering to provide direct paycheck deposits using Fintech partners like Venmo for gig economy workers The Federal Reserve is researching a digital currency for the United States, to keep up with similar currencies being introduced around the world, notably in countries which seek to create a replacement currency for settling cross border transactions other than the dollar Bitcoin’s total assets have grown from almost zero to $653B in ten years. The value of all Crypto currency is approaching $2T Most major brokerages have opened trading desks for crypto and it is beginning to be viewed as a reserve asset similar to Gold even by established investment firms like Fidelity, JPM, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Visa just bought an NFT Cryptopunk for its corporate collection © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 6
C R Y P TO / D I G I TA L C U R R E N C I E S & B LO C KC H A I N Our Understanding Industry and Market Overview Use Cases & Survey Results
Industry and Market Overview Cryptocurrencies use encryption to protect and authenticate transactions. Characteristics of Bitcoin (the genesis of this conversation): • Purely peer to peer • Consensus Much of this achieved • Distributed ledger with cryptographic transforms • Immutable ledger Terms to understand: • Blockchain • Digital Currency (Decentralized or Centralized) • Smart Contracts © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 8
Industry and Market Overview Brief History of Value Exchange Value exchange through out history has relied on a medium the then-society deemed valuable • Systems of barter relied on “local” value • Coins of precious metal are familiar Rai stones of the Island of Yap • Value was convened on a stone based on size, craftsmanship, and lore of the stone What about your miles and points? Photo credit: Wikipedia; https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/common s/7/79/Yap_Stone_Coin%2C_British_Museum.jpg © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 9
Industry and Market Overview Is There Interest in Cryptocurrency? THERE ARE 17,000+ DIGITAL CURRENCIES* On this day, the global crypto market cap is $2,017,677,175,695* Beyond Bitcoin and Ether you also have of “Bob’s Repair”, ”Small Love Potion” and “Beer Money” Each currency typically has a whitepaper which outlines the objectives, operation and governance of the project Value in a cryptocurrency scheme is determined by the participants in the system * -- Aug 26, 2021, as listed on; https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 10
Industry and Market Overview Purely Public Value Can Be Scary Volatility discourages use for standard financial products Confirmation times for some consensus models create “intra transaction” risk • BTC transactions can take 50 minutes to confirm Mar 1, 2022; https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 11
Industry and Market Overview Enter the “Stablecoin” • A “stablecoin” is a digital asset which offers price stability and is (typically) backed by reserve assets Stablecoins rely on centralization of some form • Think of these as the “money market funds” of digital currency Some popular stablecoins (coin name – market cap* – reserve 781% asset) increase since Aug 30, 2020!! • Tether – $78,347,650,866 – USD • USD Coin – $47,552,076,336 – USD • Tether EURt – $45,241,755 – EUR (new, July 2021) • Contrast with precious resource coins • PAX Gold – $ 335,023,574 – Gold • Mirrored US Oil Fund – $ 11,109,914 – Oil • Diem (f.k.a. Libra, now defunct) was designed as a stablecoin * -- All market caps as of Jan 23, 2022; https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 12
Industry and Market Overview Early Efforts in Financial Services Central banks have investigated for clearing and settlement E.g. Project Jasper in Canada 1 JPM Coin is “a digital coin representing a fiat currency” • Value exchange is “intra-bank” between reserve accounts • Between JMPC entities and institutional customers 2 • Digital Dollar Project launched to explore a true CBDC in the United States 3 OCC Interpretive Letter 1174 “A bank may validate, store, and record payments transactions by serving as a node on an INVN and use INVNs and related stablecoins to carry out other bank-permissible payment activities, consistent with applicable law and safe and sound banking practices.” 4 1 - https://www.payments.ca/industry-info/our-research/project-jasper 2 - https://www.jpmorgan.com/global/news/digital-coin-payments 3 - https://www.digitaldollarproject.org 4 - https://www.occ.gov/news-issuances/news-releases/2021/nr-occ-2021-2a.pdf © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 13
Industry and Market Overview Programmable Ledgers Have Created a Raft of Innovation Bitcoin Stablecoin CBDC Decentralized Centralized Ethereum DAOs DeFi Exchanges Smart Contracts STOs NFTs ICOs Wallets Asset Pools © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 14
Industry and Market Overview Cryptocurrency Timeline Enthusiasm grows around the Satoshi Nakamoto mined the Ethereum platform. This platform first block of the Bitcoin facilitates blockchain-based The total market cap of network on January 3, 2009 Bitcoin crosses the $1 threshold smart contracts and apps. cryptocurrency passes $2 Trillion USD 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 6 2 0 2 1 2 0 0 8 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 9 2 0 2 2 On October 31, 2008, Satoshi First Bitcoin transaction occurs Coinbase, one of the Libra is a cryptocurrency created by Federal Reserve releases Nakamoto (pseudonym) on May 22, 2010 of 10,000 BTC world’s most recognized Facebook, intended to be used as a initial work on US CBDC published the white paper for 2 large pizzas. Valuing 1 exchanges was founded simple, low-fee medium of exchange called Bitcoin – A Peer to Peer BTC at a quarter of a penny. to be used around the world. The Electronic Cash System digital currency is now called Diem. © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 15
Industry and Market Overview What is Fiat? “Fiat money is a currency (a medium of exchange) • Central banks control the basis of value established as money, often by government exchange within their jurisdiction regulation, but that does not have intrinsic value.”1 • There is no “central bank standard” for “The Federal Reserve Board is the issuing authority behavior for Federal Reserve notes and ensures that there is – Compare US, China, Venezuela enough cash in circulation to meet the public's • Regulation and authorization equates money demand.”2 with notes and coins 1 – Wikipedia; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiat_money 2 – Federal Reserve, August 30, 2020; https://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/coin_about.htm © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 16
Industry and Market Overview What is “Digital Money”? Cash in circulation is $2,232,997,000,0001 The total balance sheet of the Federal Reserve stands at $8,867,834,000,0001 75% of the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve is represented digitally today! Does the fact that this value is digital make it “not money”? 1 – Federal Reserve, January 24, 2022; https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 17
Industry and Market Overview What Is a CBDC? “… a CBDC is a digital form of central bank money that is different from balances in traditional reserve or settlement accounts ...” • Note distinction between “digital” and BIS, Central Bank Digital Currencies, March 2018 https://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d174.pdf “crypto” • Central bank maintains control over setting currency value Legal tender Central bank digital currency (CBDC) is the digital form of fiat money. The present concept of CBDCs was directly inspired • What will change with a CBDC? by Bitcoin, but CBDC is different from virtual Crypto requires a change in thinking about currency and cryptocurrency, which are not issued by the state the distribution of money, not the and lack the legal tender status declared by the government. structure of it Proposed implementations may not even use any sort of distributed ledger. July, 2020; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_bank_digital_currency © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 18
Industry and Market Overview Bringing Digital Currency to the Central Bank March 2022; https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/econographics/the-rise- of-central-bank-digital-currencies/ © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 19
Industry and Market Overview Abundance of Activity in the US President’s Working Group Report on Stablecoins1 Fed Board research paper2 Fed Boston Project Hamilton3 Executive Order on Digital Assets4 1 – https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/StableCoinReport_Nov1_508.pdf 2 – https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/money-and-payments-20220120.pdf 3 – file:///Users/ptap/Downloads/Project-Hamilton-Phase-1-Whitepaper%20(1).pdf 4 – https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2022/03/09/executive-order-on- ensuring-responsible-development-of-digital-assets/ © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 20
Industry and Market Overview Current Realities for the Fed Driving forces for CBDC Restraining forces against CBDC Calls to address structural issues or problems Robust payment ecosystem, strong banking sector, affecting specific market segments or groups and wide acceptance of banknotes General- Desire for innovation Immature technologies Purpose CBDC Advances in technological capabilities Coordination challenges Source: U.S. Federal Reserve © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 21
Industry and Market Overview What Do We Do Now? Understand crypto Principles for Retail CBDCs • Know what your customers are doing with crypto • Monetary and financial stability • Consider offerings under OCC 1174 • Legal and governance frameworks Pay attention to the work of the U.S. Federal Reserve • Data privacy Maintain a health skepticism, but balance that with a • Operational resilience and cyber security willingness for innovation • Competition • Illicit finance • Spillovers • Energy and environment • Digital economy and innovation • Financial inclusion • Payments to and from the public sector • Cross-border functionality • International development G7, 2021: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachm © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 22 ent_data/file/1025235/G7_Public_Policy_Principles_for_Retail_CBDC_FINAL.pdf
C R Y P TO / D I G I TA L C U R R E N C I E S & B LO C KC H A I N Our Understanding Industry and Market Overview Use Cases & Survey Results
Use Cases & Survey Results West Monroe Crypto and Blockchain Awareness Survey, August 2021 STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE In August 2021, West Monroe conducted two surveys to better understand the state of “Crypto is here BANKS 62% 27% cryptocurrency adoption among banks, as well as to stay as a CUSTOMERS 49% 38% banking customers’ appetite for cryptocurrency currency” both from a general sentiment and future investment perspective. Customers: Which of the following crypto services are you currently using? Hold a crypto balance with an exchange (e.g. Coinbase) Results were gathered via two surveys: Hold a crypto balance with an online brokerage firm (e.g. Robinhood) • The first survey polled 100 bank employees at the Hold a fully-controlled crypto balance (e.g. using a desktop or mobile digital wallet like Bitcoin director-level and above who work at banks with Wallet) assets in excess of $1 billion. Hold a crypto balance with a FinTech company (e.g. Paypal) • Our second survey gathered inputs from two Hold a crypto balance with their bank categories of banking customers: Private wealth Invest in cryptocurrency via an exchange management customers (100 polled) and Chief Invest in cryptocurrency through their bank Financial Officers at enterprises across various Invest in cryptocurrency through private wealth/investment firm industries (50 polled). Invest in cryptocurrency through online brokerage firm Do not use crypto services © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 24
Use Cases & Survey Results Insights from West Monroe Crypto and Blockchain Awareness Survey, August 2021 Positive Sentiment Crypto Offerings Engagement • Banking leaders and customers report overwhelmingly • Many banks surveyed by West Monroe are currently • CFOs and private wealth consumers are clamoring for positive sentiment toward cryptocurrency — and the offering cryptocurrency services to at least some degree banking services that would allow them to notable majority say it’s here to stay, with banking C- — though they’re lagging on deeper crypto services, like purchase/invest in crypto assets — a sign to banks to suite leaders especially convinced of its staying power. direct crypto investing. pick up the pace on these currently nascent offerings. • The majority of both bank employees and customers • 84% of banks surveyed report working on or planning an • While banks are currently lagging on more holistic crypto surveyed by West Monroe are enthusiastic about offering around cryptocurrency services to at least some services that include direct crypto investing and portfolio cryptocurrency: extent. management, their customers expect more momentum • Both employees and customers report their here. sentiment toward cryptocurrency as either “very • In terms of the types of crypto services banks are positive” or “somewhat positive.” currently offering, there’s an unsurprising tendency • Customers surveyed listed “banks giving me the ability to toward more basic capabilities like the ability to hold a purchase/invest in cryptocurrencies” as second only to • Within the customer audience, the CFO segment is crypto balance. Comparatively, banks are lagging on “clearer federal guidelines” as the factor they’re particularly interested in crypto, with a large percentage services that would signal crypto is more embedded depending on most to expand their use of crypto of that audience reporting “very positive” sentiment operationally, such as direct crypto investing services. compared to roughly half of private banking consumers opportunities. • The notion of “bitcoin fever” — or any idea of • But in practice, banking customers aren’t letting these cryptocurrency as a fad or a craze — should be put to desired advancements impede their current use and rest: continued adoption of crypto: 88% of customers • Across both banking employees and customers, surveyed said they currently engage with crypto in some the strong majority say cryptocurrency is here to way, with the largest percentage of respondents holding stay. Banking employees, however, are more crypto either via a crypto exchange, custodial service or strongly convinced of crypto’s staying power online brokerage firm. than their private wealth/CFO customer counterparts. © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 25
T H E C U RT R H E NCTU RERCEO NST YESCTOESM Y S FT O EMR FBOLRO CB LKOCCHKA CHINAIAN NAD N DD DI GI GI TA I T ALL C U R R E NCCUYR/RTEONKC EY N / TSO KI S E NLSAIRS GLEA RAGNE DA N GDR O GWR OI W N IGN GR AR P A IPDI DLYLY CONSUMER LOANS ON CRYPTO ASSETS EXCHANGE • Blockfi • Gemini • Nexo • Coinbase • Celsius • Binance CUSTODY S TA B L E CO I N S • Gemini • USDC • Coinbase • Diem • Fidelity • JPM WALLET SOLUTIONS BLOCKCHAIN • BitAccess • Coinbase • Ethereum • Kaleido • Exodus • Quorum • Hyperledger BLOCKCHAIN AS A SERVICE • Azure • Kaleido Similar to FinTech overall, this sub segment • AWS • Paxos (StableCoin as a Service) is quickly specializing into service layers © 2022 West Monroe Partners | Reproduction and distribution without West Monroe Partners prior consent is prohibited. 26
QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION 1. What is your opinion of the change that Digital Currency and Crypto represents for the broader economy? 2. Are there aspects about Digital Currency or Smart Contracts that cause you not to consider this as a future area of investment? 3. What area do you feel represents the greatest threat to your current business where Crypto or Payments is concerned?
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