COVID-19 in Bulgaria and the world - The Center for Global ...

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COVID-19 in Bulgaria and the world - The Center for Global ...
5/2/2020                     Page 4

           COVID-19 in Bulgaria and the world
                                                1/1
COVID-19 in Bulgaria and the world - The Center for Global ...
5/2/2020                                           Duplicate of Коронавирус в България

                                   Numbers of infected, recovered and deaths from COVID-19 by data in Bulgaria
                            1600

           1588
              Cases
                            1400

                            1200

           1232
           Active cases
                            1000

                             800

                             600

           287
           Recovered
                             400

                             200

            69
             Deaths
                               0
                              08 март    15 март   22 март              29 март
                                                                           Cases
                                                                                            05 апр
                                                                                         Recovered
                                                                                                         12 апр
                                                                                                     Deaths
                                                                                                                  19 апр   26 апр

The aim of this report is to inform bulgarian citizens of the COVID-19 and the current situation in the
country. The total positive cases are 1588, active cases are 1232, with 287 recovered and 69 deaths.
First cases of infected were on 4th of March, which made Bulgaria one of the last countries in Europe to
have spread the pandemic. Interestingly, neither of the two first cases had traveled to areas with known
coronavirus cases.
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COVID-19 in Bulgaria and the world - The Center for Global ...
5/2/2020                                               Duplicate of Коронавирус в света

                                                                          COVID-19 Globally
    2 051 800Active cases

    1 053 327    Recovered

           238 650Deaths

Cases            Country/Region

     1 103 461   United States
       213 435   Spain
       207 428   Italy
       178 685   United Kingdom
       167 305   France                                                                       Earthstar
                                                                                              Earthstar Geographics
                                                                                                        Geographics SIO,
                                                                                                                    SIO, ©
                                                                                                                         © 2020
                                                                                                                           2020 HERE,
                                                                                                                                HERE, ©
                                                                                                                                      © 2020
                                                                                                                                        2020 Microsoft
                                                                                                                                             Microsoft Corporation
                                                                                                                                                       Corporation

       164 077   Germany
       122 392   Turkey
                                  As we can see the numbers are rising rapidly for some countries, while
       114 431   Russia           others like China managed to deal with the crisis and the everyday life of its
        95 646   Iran             citizens is bringing back to normal. The number 1 country with cases now is
        92 202   Brazil
        83 959   China
                                  USA, followed by many European countries.
        56 777
           343   C     d          Bulgaria is on the 77th place for cases and on 66th place for active cases.
     3 343
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COVID-19 in Bulgaria and the world - The Center for Global ...
5/2/2020                                                          Page 6
Cases

                  City
                                                    Cases of COVID-19 in Bulgaria by cities
            741   Sofia
            154   Pleven
                                     The statistics shows that the capital of Bulgaria, Sofia, has the largest amount
            122   Vidin              of infected, followed by Pleven and Vidin, where the numbers are high due to
             72   Plovdiv            the mass infection in factory and in a hospital.
             65   Kustendil
             54   Sliven
             46   Blagoevgrad
             45   Burgas
             34   Stara Zagora
             32   Smolqn
             27   Varna
             26   Pazardjik
             23   Veliko Turnovo
             19   Pernik
             18   Montana,Bulgaria
             16   Ruse
             15   Haskovo
             14   Qmbol
             13   Dobrich
             13   Kurdzhali
              9   Vraca
              6   Gabrovo
              5   Silistra
              4   Lovec
              4   Shumen
              2   Bansko
           1588                                                                             Earthstar
                                                                                            Earthstar Geographics
                                                                                                      Geographics SIO,
                                                                                                                  SIO, ©
                                                                                                                       © 2020
                                                                                                                         2020 HERE,
                                                                                                                              HERE, ©
                                                                                                                                    © 2020
                                                                                                                                      2020 Microsoft
                                                                                                                                           Microsoft Corporation
                                                                                                                                                     Corporation

                                                                                                                                                           1/1
COVID-19 in Bulgaria and the world - The Center for Global ...
5/2/2020                                            Page 2

                                                                                  Quarantined by city
                                                                         Sofia                             15,6K

The most quarantined people        114 307
                                     Quarantined overall
                                                                      Plovdiv
                                                                        Varna
                                                                Blagoevgrad
                                                                                                7,3K
                                                                                               6,6K
                                                                                                    9,0K

are in the top biggest cities in                                      Burgas                5,4K
                                                                    Pazardjik              4,7K
Bulgaria. The number of                                             Haskovo               4,3K
active quarantined is less                                             Pleven            3,8K

                                    21 539
                                                                         Ruse           3,6K
then a quarter of the overall                                           Sliven          3,5K
                                                               Stara Zagora             3,5K
quarantined, which might be          Active quarantined       Veliko Turnovo           2,9K
as a result of the 14-day                                          Sofia area         2,8K
                                                                    Kurdzhali        2,3K
period.                                                             Kustendil        2,3K
                                                                     Shumen          2,1K
The total tested people are
                                    47 636
                                                                         Vidin       2,1K
                                                                      Dobrich       2,0K
almost 48 thousands, which                                              Vraca       2,0K
                                           Tested                       Lovec       1,9K
is 6 tests per thousand                                             Montana         1,9K
citizens.                                                              Qmbol
                                                                     Razgrad
                                                                                    1,8K
                                                                                    1,8K
                                                                       Silistra     1,8K

                                      6.694                      Turgovishte
                                                                     Gabrovo
                                                                       Pernik
                                                                                   1,6K
                                                                                   1,4K
                                                                                   1,4K
                                   Total tests per thousand           Smolqn      1,1K
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5/2/2020                                                             Page 1

                                       2 Month forecast cases of COVID-19
    Forecasting the number of cases of COVID-19 for 2 months ahead, according to the data due to the
    moment. The lower bound predicted is under 3 K, forecast value is 3,3 K and upper bound is 3,6 K.

3500

3000

2500

2000

                                                              1588
1500                                                       1437
                                                        1290
                                                   1081
1000                                            884
                                                  966
                                         669
                                  522        783
 500                       346        611
                    185        449
       4    23 51   107 263
   0
                            апр 2020                       май 2020            юни 2020          юли 2020
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5/2/2020                                         Duplicate of Page 2

                                                                Patients in hospitals

              317
              Hospitalized
                                            Hospitalized in intensive care              Hospitalized

                                                                                  43 (13,56%)

             20%
           Cases hospitalized

                43                              274 (86,44%)
             Intensive care

                                The statistics shows that 20% of all cases are hospitalized.
                                From them almost 14% are with intensive care.
              174               Unfortunately, many of the cases are medical staff, 174,
              Medical staff     forming 10%.
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5/2/2020                                                   Page 3

                            New cases and deaths by date in Bulgaria
100

 80

 60

 40

 20

  0
  08 март   15 март   22 март       29 март                05 апр       12 апр   19 апр   26 апр
                                              New deaths    New cases

The maximum registered per day are 91 after mass testing in several areas and a
holiday celebration when a lot of people traveled and spread the virus. The maximum
deaths per day is 6 people and it was registered on the last day of April.
The average cases per day are 28 and average deaths per day are 1.
                                                                                                   1/1
5/2/2020                                             Page 5

   Bulgaria recorded 31,643 newly registered unemployed for the period between 13 March to 1 April.
   From these, 17,793 claimants stated that job losses were a direct consequence of the pandemic,
   and 12,661 registered in the week 23–27 March alone, compared to 4,561 for the same period in
   2019. The number of unemployed continued to rise throughout April. According to a statistic
   released by the Agency of Employment, as of 28 April 2020, there were 291,426 registered
   unemployed, a rise of 90,405 since the introduction of the national emergency.
                                                                                                      1/1
5/2/2020                                                 Page 7

The project was done by Svetlana Chepilska with Power BI then exported to PDF for flattening the
curve challenge: COVID-19 DATA CHALLENGE.

Used sources:
(1) Ministry of Health , Bulgraia https://www.mh.government.bg/bg
(2) COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins
University , https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19
(3) 2020 coronavirus pandemic in Bulgaria , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Bulgaria
(4) Official source of information for COVID-19 in Bulgaria , https://coronavirus.bg/bg
(5) https://sofiaglobe.com/2020/04/22/covid-19-cases-in-bulgaria-pass-1000-mark-47-dead/
(6) https://www.eui.eu/ServicesAndAdmin/CommunicationsService/News/2020/Together-against-COVID-19
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