Corporate Presentation - NDR NY - September, 2019 - Suzano/RI
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Disclaimer This communication contains certain statements that are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Some of these forward-looking statements are identified with words like “believe,” “may,” “could,” “would,” “might,” “possible,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “estimate”, “potential”, “outlook” or “continue,” the negative of these words, other terms of similar meaning or the use of future dates. Forward-looking statements in this communication include, without limitation, statements regarding the implementation of operating and financing strategies and initiatives, including with respect to the integration of Fibria’s operations and expected potential synergies, plans with respect to capital expenditures, and factors or trends affecting financial condition, liquidity or results of operations. Such statements reflect the current views of management and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including changes in prices and customer demand for our products, changes in raw material costs, pricing actions by competitors, changes in the rates of exchange of the Brazilian real against the US dollar, and general changes in the economic environment in Brazil, emerging markets or internationally. Such forward-looking statements are qualified by the inherent risks and uncertainties surrounding future expectations generally, and actual results could differ materially from those currently anticipated due to such risks and uncertainties. There is no guarantee that the expected events, trends or results will actually occur. The statements information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation and should thus be considered in the context of the circumstances prevailing at the time. They are based on many assumptions and factors, including general economic and market conditions, industry conditions, and operating factors, and are subject to change without notice. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations. Suzano does not undertake any obligation to update any information, opinion or forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as expressly required by law. All information, opinions and forward-looking statements in this communication are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. 2
An first class assets base Our plantations hectares of planted and certified areas Geographically eucalyptus genetic base equivalent to 200x Manhattan areas m³/ha/year structural harvesting and average productivity average radius inbound logistics 4
An first class assets base Our mills MWm average pulp equivalent to supply chain tons of tons of 1.4 mn market pulp paper people town 5
An first class assets base Our logistics mills fully either close to shore export or railway connected pulp served 6
An first class assets base Paper business pulp go-to-market Brazilian clients Brazilian integrated model brands market share¹ ¹ Addressable market. 7
Fully integrated Plantation Mill Railway Port 8
Undisputable in the pulp industry Cash Cost(¹) Top 10(²) Hardwood Softwood Suzano 10,9 APP + PE 3,8 CMPC 3,7 459 462 435 442 442 Arauco 3,1 391 April 2,8 361 367 341 293 286 Metsa 2,7 UPM 2,6 225 Stora Enso 2,1 Mercer 2,0 Ilim 1,8 Brazil Europe US/Canada Indonesia Canada/US China Other Asia/Japan Chile Other World East Europe Chile/Uruguay Other Europe ¹ Source: Hawkins Wright December 2018 (CIF Europe – USD/ton). ² Market pulp capacity production including hardwood and softwood volumes. 9
Consistently cash cost R$/ton¹ 709 690 668 622 2015 2016 2017 2018 ¹ Cash production cost ex-downtimes. Pro forma basis of Suzano Papel e Celulose and Fibria Celulose cash production cost (R$/ton). Figures are adjusted by Brazilian inflation (IPCA) which represents R$ 104/t in 2015, R$ 52/t in 2016 and R$ 57/t in 2017. 10
Synergies 11
Structural competiti venes s boosted by Capture Profile1 100% 90% Operational Synergies G&A Supply Chain 40% R$800MM R$900MM Forestry per year¹ Industrial ¹ Total Steady State. Dec / 2019 Dec /2020 Dec /2021 12
Structural competiti venes s boosted by Selected Logistic / examples Industrial Forestry Commercial Procurement G&A Reduction in Wood supply Routes Contractual Organizational Initiative products (SKUs) optimization Optimization parameters Structure per plant equalization adjustment Lower consumption Wood Operational scale Lower cost in Headcount of chemicals logistics cost expansion industrial and reduction Benefit reduction forestry inputs Higher OEE¹ Transshipment and fuel costs reduction ¹ Overall equipment effectiveness 13
Adjusted Balance Average² annual deductible Accounting effect: Sheet to fair value¹ R$ 18.4 bn expenses of R$1.2 bn¹ EBT reduction Preliminary Average3 annual fiscal Tax effect: Goodwill¹ R$ 8.1 bn deduction of R$0.8 bn¹ taxable base reduction Total R$ 26.5 bn ¹ Based on preliminary PPA as disclosed on 2018 Financial Statements – Note 32 (ii). ² Estimate considering preliminary 10 years depreciation period. ³ Estimate considering preliminary 10 years fiscal amortization period. 14
Resulting Company 15
mostly from international markets 3% 15% Others Specialties Net revenues (US$ billion) 8.7 7.0 Americas 6.1 6.1 5.6 Pulp Europe Asia 57% 25% Tissue P&W 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Note: The data represents simple sum out of the sold volumes Note: Pro forma figures of Suzano and Fibria historical data. of Suzano + Fibria and also considers Klabin’s volumes. Average exchange rate of R$ 2.35 in 2014, R$ 3.33 in 2015, R$ 3.49 in 2016, R$ 3.19 in 2017 and R$ 3.65 in 2018. 16
Adjusted EBITDA¹ and Margin¹ Operational Cash Generation² R$ and US$ million and (%) R$ and US$ million 1 25.000 60% 20.000 52% 0,9 20.000 48% 50% 0,8 16,361 0,7 12,481 15.000 14,799 10,920 40% 0,6 15.000 0,5 30% 10.000 0,4 10.000 20% 0,3 4,477 3,830 5.000 3,415 2,826 0,2 5.000 10% 0,1 0 0% 0 0 2018 LTM2Q19 2018 LTM2Q19 ¹ Excludes sales from the commercial agreement with Klabin. ² Operational Cash Generation = Adjusted EBITDA less Sustaining CAPEX. Note: for 2018 and LTM 2Q19 data is pro forma, considering the sum of the results of the companies, or weighted where applicable 17
Revenue 88% USD Hedging Policy COGS 20% USD Operating Hedge Debt Hedge Target: up to 75% of the Target: Net debt SG&A 27% USD following 18 months 100% denominated Sustaining in USD 11% USD Current: 74% of Capex net exposure² Sensitivity¹ ~ R$ 700 million EBITDA ~ R$ 600 million ¹ Sensitivity at each R$ 0.10/US$ variation Operational Cash ² Net exposure as of August 2019. Generation 18
debt profile Pro-forma³ Amortization Schedule (US$ million)¹ average debt maturity 8,128 2,841 2,416 Average Cost (US$)²: RCF 761 500 Non-Trade 7,546 1,548 Finance 1,314 938 707 2.080 517 1.916 728 711 Cash on hand 216 512 873 344 797 841 581 Trade US$ 15.8 bn 367 Finance 65 3 Liquidity 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 onward 77% from 2023 onwards ¹ PTAX of 3.8322 R$/US$ (06/30/2019) ² Total average cost in US$ considering the debt in BRL adjusted by the market swap curve. (vs. 55% 1Q19) 3 Liquidity position as @2Q19 Figures from the closing of the 1Q19 for comparison purposes. 19
7% Non Trade Finance 30% Related Bank Local Counterpart Sources 70% International 44% 32% 17% International Trade Finance Related Bank Local Capital and Capital Markets Markets As of June 30, 2019. Funding sources 20
Policies Indebtedness Net Debt/EBITDA Ratio (in US$): 1.0x to 3.0x 1.0x to 3.5x Normal Cycle Investment Cycle Dividend The lowest between: 25% of the net income or 10% of the Operational Net Debt (US$ billion) Cash Flow Generation¹ 13.7 10 Leverage US$ (Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA)² 3.6x Jun-19³ Long-Term Target ¹ Operational Cash Flow = Adjusted EBITDA – Sustaining Capex | ² Net Debt and Leverage on June 30, 2019. Considers the adjustments mentioned on amortization schedule slide. | . ³Closing rate (BRL/USD): Jun/19: R$3.83 21
Capital Old New Capex (R$ billion) 2018 2019e 2019e Sustaining 3.9 4.0 3.8 Modernization and Expansion 2.0 0.6 0.4 Forest and Land 1.3 1.4 1.3 Port Terminals¹ 0.2 0.4 0.4 Total 7.4 6.4 5.9 ¹ States of São Paulo and Maranhão. 22
Bonds 23
One of the G-spreads¹ in Brazil 288 267 271 258 213 222 210 Investment Grade 162 Rating Outlook BBB- Stable BBB- Negative BRAZIL VALE GERDAU SUZANO KLABIN PETROBRAS BRASKEM BRF ¹ Issuances with no maturity in 2026 interpolated for comparative purposes; G-spread as of September 10, 2019. Source: Bloomberg. 24
Peers 6,0 5,5 5,0 4,5 4,0 Suzano 26 (BBB-) Arauco 27 (BBB-) 3,5 CMPC 27 (BBB-) 3,0 IP 26 (BBB) 2,5 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jul-19 Source: Bloomberg, as of 08/12/2019 25
Pulp Market 26
on global pulp demand Global Market Pulp Demand By Grade in million tons in million tons Softwood +1.4/y +0.2/y +0.2/y +0.4/y +1.3/y 66,0 27,0 21,8 24,3 24,9 +1.2/y 58,9 55,0 42,8 2005 2015 2018 2023E Hardwood +1.0/y +1.0/y +1.1/y 39,0 34,0 30,8 21,1 2005 2015 2018 2023E 2005 2015 2018 2023E Source: PPPC S&D 2019. 27
Driven by end-uses Global Market Pulp Demand Annual Demand by end use 58.9 million tons Growth until 2030 Paper and paperboard Tissue & Fluff 47% +2.9% demand average growth of Printing & Writing 26% -0.7% Specialty 20% +0.6% Packaging until +2.3% Breakdown 2030 Source: PPPC S&D 2019, Poyry, Hawkins Wright, Suzano BI. 28
China became the leading consumer of tissue Tissue Demand by main region in thousand tons 14.100 Western Europe 12.100 North America China 10.100 8.100 6.100 4.100 2.100 100 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Source: RISI 29
Supported by market dynamics Chinese Market Pulp Demand Tissue Consumption per Capita Tissue Machine Closures from in million tons in kgs per year Environmental Restrictions in million tons 25,6 1,4 1,4 1,5 +1.1/y 16,0 15,7 25,3 0,6 +1.1/y 0,5 6,7 6,0 19,8 +1.1/y North West Japan Latin China 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 16,5 America Europe America Chinese Waste Paper Imports Woodchip Supply Restrictions in million tons in million BDMT 29 28 25 26 Others 3 23 Chile 3,1 3,3 2 5,8 17 Australia 6,5 4,5 ? Southeast Asia 13,3 12,4 2005 2015 2018 2023E 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019- 2018 2023E 2023E Source: PPPC S&D 2019, RISI, Hawkins Wright, Suzano BI. 30
Chinese to hardwood chips sourcing 2009-2019YTD US dollars per BDMT, nominal prices CIF Share of pulp capacity based on imported HW chips Imported HW chips by pulp grade Source of HW chips for the Asia-Pacific Markets, 2019YTD Source: RISI 31
No major new capacity in the short term 1.200 BHKP BHKP adjusted by CPI 2,5 Pulp Prices - CIF Europe (US$/ton)(2) UPM Capacity Additions (‘000 ton)(2) Uruguay 1.000 Horizonte 2 2 Eldorado 800 MAPA(3) Rizhao APP South Maranhão 1,5 Três Sumatra(1) Montes Lagoas del Plata Guaíba II 600 Fray Bentos APP Hainan Klabin Santa Fé Nueva Veracel 1 Aldea 400 Mucuri Kerinci Chenming Aracruz Valdivia PL3 Zhanjiang Jacarei APP Guangxi Oji Metsa Nantong 0,5 200 - 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 7,650 kt 3,600 kt (1) Partially integrated production (2) Sources: Hawkins Wright, Poyry and Suzano (3) Gross capacity, does not consider the closure of Line 1 in Horcones plant (Source: RISI) 32
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2019 pr oduct i on gui dance Long term NPV maximization Estimated Market Pulp Production in 20191 Preservation of more productive forest base Wood supply mix management ~9.0 million tons Gradual implementation during the year 1 Production capacity depending on conditions of global pulp market, according to Material Fact released on 05/09/2019. 34
ESG for more value and less risk 35
Board of a directors Sustainability Committee a CEO Reports to Chief Innovation and Sustainability New business Strategy, HR, IT …. Technology Officer • Coordinate the Sustainability Strategy throughout the company Forest Social Environment Development • Integration of sustainability aspects throughout the company • Transparency and dialogue • Stakeholder relationship and engagement Instituto Corporate • Implementation social, environmental and sustainability projects Ecofuturo Sustainability • Reporting 36
Construction process April May June July August September October November December 1. GROUNDING 2 Engagement Benchmarking External Stakeholders: • EUA Community favorability • Europe Stakeholders consultation • Brazil Suzano’s leadership interviews 3. LONG TERM GOALS JANUARY 2020 Development of long-term goals and definition of institutional commitments and positions: Carbon, Biodiversity and Conservation, Waste, Water, Productivity and Communities 3. ROADMAP 2020 Create the company's institutional roadmap and develop Sustainability strategies in conjunction with Business Units 37
- 100% of the wood used in the production process is controlled (traceability) - Compliance with the chain of custody management systems Forest Stewardship Council® (FSC®) and Cerflor® / Programme for the Endorsement of Forest Certification (PEFC) - Commitment to prevent sourcing and supply of wood from: 1 2 3 4 5 Illegally harvested Wood harvested Wood harvested in Wood harvested in Wood from wood in violation of forests where high forests being forests in which traditional and conservation values converted to genetically are threatened by plantations or non- human rights modified trees management forest use activities are planted 38
Public engagement In the concept of the new economic model, there is no way to exclude the role of the forest regarding climate change Eucalyptus plantation + native forest preservation = carbon sequestration Positive Balance (capture – emissions) ➢ Greenhouse inventories – GHG Protocol methodology (http://www.ghgprotocolbrasil.com.br/?locale=en) ➢ About 90% of Company’s energy requirements based on renewable fuels (black liquor and biomass) Committed to CDP (Climate, Water, Forest) and TCFD 39
Sustainable Forest Management Model ❖ Operation takes place in exclusively and already consolidated agricultural and degraded areas ❖ Commited to zero deforestation ❖ Wood purchase policy and forest management plans ❖ Aiming for biodiversity maintenance, soil productivity, water cycle preservation, carbon ~40% of its total area devoted to conservation (~900 k hectares) sequestration and stock, etc. All Suzano industrial units are certified - Forest Stewardship Council® (FSC®) and/or CERFLOR® / PEFC - Traceability of 100% of the total raw material used in operations 40
Water body (rivers) 20% Evaporation Pulp and paper production Pulp and paper – final product Water withdraw 80% 22 – 32m³/adt Recirculation of around 5 times Returns as treated effluent - Suzano returns about 80% of the water withdrawn from the river as treated effluent - High efficiency in the use of water – withdraw is below the BAT of IPPC (Integrated Pollution Prevention and Control), which is within 30-50m³/adt 41
❖ Suzano has no genetically modified trees deployed in commercial operations at this time. ❖ Plant biotechnology to improve forest yield and forest protection. ❖ FuturaGene undertakes extensive biosafety evaluation of new varieties, including human and animal safety and environmental impact, under normatives determined by the National Biosafety Technical Commission (CTNBio) ❖ Environmental impact assessment protocol of CTNBio includes studies to evaluate if the GM variety impacts the environment differently from conventional varieties ❖ Policy of open dialogue with multiple stakeholders with respect to the Suzano’s GM program (including NGOs, certification bodies, smallholder farmers, agricultural associations and customers). 42
- Risk and cost reduction: operational and reputational PDRT - Certification demands adherence - Income generation and education improvement as drivers for life quality increase and financial self-sufficiency - Open dialogue and programs jointly developed with traditional communities, NGOs, social movements, government and other companies - Examples: Territorial PDRT Sustainability Beehives +4,000 families 2,976 families +1,000 families Attended Attended Attended 31 communities 76 communities 111 communities Attended Attended Attended 9 different Indian R$ 1,668 Families’ R$ 1,431 Families’ ethnicities average income average income 1,664 tons of honey production Indigenous communities R$ 881 Families’ average income (30% of São Paulo state production) 43
in place Well-balanced Board of Directors Supported by Management Up to 10 members Audit Statutory Committee Eligibility assessment Management and Finance Committee 20% independent Innovation and Strategy Committee members Sustainability Committee Talent and Compensation Committee + 44
Our Future 45
Innovation and New Businesses Consumer Goods Pulp Paper Fluff Nanocellulose Bio fuel Geographic Organic expansion in Brazil International Expansion Lignin Dissolving Pulp Bio Composites Portfolio expansion M&A 46
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Backup 48
2018 2019 2020 Mill – Pulp capacity 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 Aracruz - Line A (ES) – 590 kt Aracruz - Line B (ES) – 830 kt Aracruz - Line C (ES) – 920 kt Imperatriz (MA)² – 1,650 kt Jacareí (SP) – 1,100 kt Limeira (SP)² – 690 kt Mucuri - Line 1 (BA)² – 600 kt Mucuri - Line 2 (BA) – 1,130 kt No downtimes Suzano (SP)² – 520 kt No downtimes Três Lagoas - Line 1 (MS) – 1,300 kt Três Lagoas - Line 2 (MS) – 1,950 kt Veracel (BA)¹ – 560 kt No downtimes 49
Demand Growth 2018-2030 in million tons +80 (+1.5%/yr) 487 495 472 479 458 465 438 445 451 420 426 432 91 90 414 92 91 93 93 95 94 97 96 96 P&W 99 98 57 59 54 55 51 52 46 48 49 43 44 45 Tissue & Fluff 41 205 210 215 220 186 191 195 200 169 174 178 182 Containerboard 166 Cartonboard 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 58 59 60 61 62 Specialty 60 60 60 61 61 61 62 62 62 63 63 64 64 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Source: Poyry, Hawkins Wright, Suzano BI 50
Share on total fiber consumption 4 20 40 60 80 100 Estimated demand growth until 2030 (%p.a.) Tissue Containerboard 3 Paperboard 2 Packaging 1 Uncoated Newsprint Woodfree Other 0 -1 Coated Average growth of -2 Woodfree -3 Emerging Markets: 2.2% p.a. Coated Mature Markets: -0.2% p.a. Source: Poyry Uncoated Mechanical (2017) Mechanical 51
65 413 398 Unbleached 59 Non-Wood 175 2 Others Mechanical Fluff 6 Newsprint 34 4 6 23 Tissue 35 Softwood Recycled Integrated P&W 217 20 110 100 BCP 59 Packaging Hardwood 222 Virgin 34 Market Pulp 175 65 2018 Total Fiber Consumption Virgin Pulp Market Pulp Bleached Chemical Paper Pulp (BCP) Production Source: Poyry, Hawkins Wright and Suzano BI 52
Suzano’s tax structure Description and Amount Maturity (-)Deductible accounting expense Annual deduction: R$ 1.2 bn (based on 10yr average) According to assets maturity (a) EBT As stated in the income statement Annual deduction: R$ 790 mn (based on 10yr average) (-)(b) Goodwill (Fibria acquisition) 2029(1) Tax benefit: ~R$ 270 mn (+/-)(c) Exchange variation (cash) ---------- ---------- (+/-)(d) Other ---------- ---------- Tax base before compensations (a) + (b) + (c) + (d) - Up to 30% of tax base before compensations (e) (-) Tax loss carryforward Undefined - Balance up to jun/19: R$ 1.0 billion (base) (f) Tax base Tax base before compensations – tax loss carryforward (e) ---------- (g) Income tax Tax base (f) * 34% ---------- 2024 - Mucuri line 1 and Imperatriz (h) (-) SUDENE 75% reduction of the annual payable Income Tax² 2027 – Mucuri line 2 Balance jun/2019: - PIS/COFINS: R$ 758 million (i) (-) Federal tax credits Undefined - Withholding tax (IR and CSLL): R$ 820 million - Reintegra: R$ 113 million Cash Tax Income Tax (g) – SUDENE (h) - Tax Credits (i) ¹ Based on PPA as disclosed on Financial Statements (ii) | ²Benefit does not include CSLL (Social Contribution) reduction 53
and monitoring of its forest base and efficient firefighting mechanism ❖ Forest monitoring towers, communication network, fire brigades, video monitoring ❖ Fire awareness and environmental education awareness activities ❖ Community workers and stakeholders involvement ❖ Commitment to native forest conservation 54
Investor Relations www.suzano.com.br/ir ri@suzano.com.br 55
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