Various CSU Proposals - The 2021-22 Budget: Legislative ...

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The 2021-22 Budget:
Various CSU Proposals
MARCH 2021

   In this post, we cover four California State                Initiative (CTI) based at CSU Monterey Bay. In
University (CSU) proposals. In the first section,              the third section, we analyze proposed trailer bill
we analyze the Governor’s proposal to provide                  language that would allow CSU to transfer funds
enrollment growth funding for CSU Stanislaus’s                 among certain accounts. In the fourth section, we
off-campus center at Stockton. In the second                   analyze the proposal to postpone the potential
section, we analyze the Governor’s proposal to                 suspension of state-funded summer financial aid at
provide one-time funding for the Computing Talent              the universities.

Stockton Center
   In this section, we focus on CSU Stanislaus’s               to assess demand for a potential new campus in
off-campus center at Stockton. We first provide                one of five specified areas: San Joaquin County
background, then discuss the Governor’s                        (including Stockton), Chula Vista, Concord, Palm
proposal to fund enrollment growth at the center,              Desert, and San Mateo County. The Chancellor’s
analyze that proposal, and make an associated                  Office contracted with a team of independent
recommendation.                                                consultants on the study, which was released in
                                                               July 2020. The study concluded that projected
Background                                                     enrollment demand did not justify a new campus in
    CSU Stanislaus Maintains Off-Campus Center                 any of the five areas, as the existing CSU campuses
in Stockton. The Stockton center is located about              have sufficient capacity under their master plans
45 miles away from the main campus at Stanislaus.              to accommodate projected growth. However, the
It offers upper-division undergraduate coursework              existing campuses would need additional funding
in selected fields (including business, criminal               to reach their planned capacity. The study does
justice, psychology, and liberal studies), as well as          not directly evaluate which existing campuses or
a small number of graduate programs. It enrolled               centers to prioritize for facility or enrollment growth
291 state-supported full-time equivalent (FTE)                 funds.
students in 2019-20, making it among the smaller
                                                               Proposal
of CSU’s eight off-campus centers. (The center also
enrolls a smaller number of self-supported students               Governor Proposes $1 Million Ongoing for
in extension courses.) The Stockton center’s                   Enrollment Growth at Stockton Center. The
current facilities have capacity for 1,069 FTE                 Governor’s proposal would fund an additional
students. Like other centers, the Stockton center’s            115 FTE students at the Stockton center. The
operations are funded through the main campus’s                provisional language does not specify when
budget allocation.                                             the center is to meet the target. The $1 million
  State Recently Funded New Campus                             augmentation is based on the traditional marginal
Study With Focus on Five Areas, Including                      cost formula, of which the state General Fund
San Joaquin County. The 2019-20 Budget Act                     component is $8,586 per FTE student in 2021-22.
provided $4 million to the CSU Chancellor’s Office             The administration indicates this proposal is

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intended to address growing demand for an                        these types of criteria, it is not clear that San
educated workforce in the San Joaquin region. It                 Joaquin County would be the highest priority for
further indicates that the proposal aligns with the              growth funds. Based on the new campus study,
Governor’s overarching goals related to equity                   San Joaquin County scores relatively high on some
and access in higher education. Specifically,                    criteria, including the ability to serve first-generation
the Governor’s proposal is intended to expand                    students. However, it scores relatively low on other
educational access in an area that has many                      criteria, including regional enrollment demand and
low-income and underrepresented residents and is                 regional workforce demand.
not within close proximity to the main campus of a                  Center Would Have Limited Opportunity to
public university. In contrast to the administration’s           Meet Growth Target in 2021-22. The Stockton
focus in previous years on developing a new                      center’s strategic plan (which was last updated
campus in Stockton, this proposal is intended to                 in 2019) includes a goal to increase the center’s
utilize existing facility capacity at the Stockton               enrollment by 25 percent annually over a five-year
center. Aside from this targeted proposal, the                   period, subject to available funding. The plan
Governor’s budget does not fund systemwide                       suggests this goal could be achieved through
enrollment growth at CSU, nor does it set a                      comprehensive marketing, as well as strengthening
systemwide enrollment target for CSU.                            relationships with educational partners and
                                                                 other local stakeholders. An increase of 115 FTE
Assessment                                                       students represents roughly 40 percent growth. We
   Proposal Departs From State’s Typical                         think there would be limited opportunity to meet
Approach of Funding Enrollment Growth.                           this target in 2021-22, the year the funds would
Typically, the state provides enrollment growth                  be provided. First, the center would likely need to
funding to CSU systemwide. The Chancellor’s                      implement substantial changes to its recruitment
Office, in turn, allocates these funds across the                and admissions strategy to achieve such rapid
23 campuses based on multiple factors, including                 growth. Second, by the time the state budget is
recent enrollment trends and potential for growth.               finalized in June, admissions and potentially course
Campus leaders have discretion over how to divide                scheduling decisions will have already been made
their allocations between their main campus and                  for fall 2021.
any off-campus centers.
                                                                 Recommendation
   State Has Not Established Prioritization
Criteria for Targeted Growth Funding. If the                        Recommend More Systematic Approach to
Legislature desired to adopt a different enrollment              Funding Enrollment Growth. Given the above
growth approach that allocated funds directly                    considerations, we recommend rejecting the
to campuses or off-campus centers, it would                      Governor’s proposal to fund enrollment growth at
want to have a systematic way of identifying                     the Stockton center in 2021-22. If the Legislature
which locations to prioritize for funding. Having                wishes to move toward funding enrollment on
transparent, rational allocation criteria would help             a more targeted basis, it could work with the
ensure that growth decisions were not arbitrary. In              administration and CSU to identify a set of factors
deciding how to allocate state funds for enrollment              to use in prioritizing campuses and centers for
growth, the Legislature could consider various                   growth in future years. In the meantime, we
factors, including regional enrollment demand,                   recommend the Legislature set a systemwide
workforce demand, and certain demographic                        enrollment target for CSU in 2022-23, as we
factors. These are the same types of factors that                discuss in The 2021-22 Budget: Analyst’s of the
the July 2020 new campus study examined. Using                   Major University Proposals.

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Computing Talent Initiative
   In this section, we focus on a computer                    Proposal
science initiative based at CSU Monterey Bay.
                                                                 Governor Proposes $10 Million One Time for
We first provide background, then discuss
                                                              CTI. This initiative would build upon the existing
the Governor’s proposal to fund the initiative,
                                                              computer science program and activities based at
analyze that proposal, and make an associated
                                                              CSU Monterey Bay and Hartnell College. The goal
recommendation.
                                                              of the initiative would be to strengthen the state’s
Background                                                    technology workforce pipeline, with an emphasis
                                                              on increasing diversity within the industry. The
   Monterey Bay Has Local Partnership in
                                                              administration indicates the initiative was selected
Computer Science. In 2013, CSU Monterey Bay
                                                              for funding because of its alignment with the
and Hartnell College (a local community college)
                                                              Governor’s focus on equity.
created an accelerated, three-year bachelor’s
                                                                 Funds Would Support CTI Activities Across a
degree program in computer science. Students
                                                              Five-Year Period. Budget bill language does not
in the program complete about half of their
                                                              specify how the proposed $10 million is to be spent
coursework at each institution. The program’s
                                                              or across what time period the funds are available.
cohort-based model is intended to create a learning
                                                              However, CSU has provided us with a preliminary
community, with students involved in workshops,
                                                              five-year expenditure plan developed by the CTI
study sessions, and industry mentorships. In 2015,
                                                              program team, as detailed below.
the two institutions jointly received a $5 million
one-time state award through the Innovation in                   •  Demonstration Sites ($2 Million to
Higher Education initiative for having created the                  $3 Million). A portion of the funds would
program. CSU Monterey Bay has also launched                         be used to bring components of the
a similar four-year, cohort-based program for                       cohort-based bachelor’s degree program in
students entering as freshmen. To date, these                       computer science to additional demonstration
programs have enrolled more than 400 students                       sites. The program team intends to select at
across 15 cohorts. About three-quarters of these                    least five sites from various geographic areas
students have been underrepresented minorities,                     of the state, with priority for sites that involve
and about one-third have been female. The                           a community college partner and serve a high
programs report a four-year graduation rate of                      concentration of low-income, first-generation,
69 percent, much higher than CSU’s systemwide                       and underrepresented students.
four-year graduation rate of 31 percent for                      •  Statewide Activities, Including Online
freshmen.                                                           Hub ($2 Million to $3 Million). Another
   Certain Program Components Have Been                             portion of the funds would support statewide
Expanded to Other Locations. In 2018, the                           activities. These activities would include the
program team at CSU Monterey Bay and Hartnell                       development and operations of an online
College replicated their cohort-based bachelor’s                    hub for computer science students, faculty,
degree program at CSU Dominguez Hills and                           and industry representatives. The hub would
El Camino College, with support from a National                     provide resources and enable collaboration on
Science Foundation grant awarded to the four                        activities such as mentorship, internship and
institutions. More recently, the program team has                   job placement, and curriculum development.
also started to make certain workshops originally                   The activities also would include data
developed for the on-campus, cohort-based                           collection on higher education computer
program available online to computer science                        science programs, with the goal of informing
students at community colleges and universities                     decisions about how to address challenges in
statewide.                                                          the state’s technology workforce pipeline.

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•  Financial Aid (Remaining Funds). The                      Compared with specific one-time initiatives,
     remaining funds would support student                     these broader strategies are likely to have a
     scholarships and stipends.                                larger and more long-lasting impact, allowing for
                                                               more systemic progress toward the state’s equity
Based on information the administration provided
                                                               objectives.
to us from the program team, CTI is expected to
                                                                  Proposal Could Create Ongoing Cost
enroll a total of 500 to 2,000 students at the new
                                                               Pressures. Based on CTI’s preliminary expenditure
demonstration sites over the five-year period, and
                                                               plan, most of the proposed $10 million would
reach potentially tens of thousands of students
                                                               support costs that are ongoing in nature, including
through the online hub. The program team intends
                                                               program operations and student aid. Although the
to explore several potential funding sources to
                                                               intent is to seek funding from private industry and
cover the ongoing costs of the initiative, including
                                                               other sources, it remains to be seen whether such
private funds from the technology industry and core
                                                               sources would provide sufficient funding to sustain
operations funds at demonstration sites.
                                                               CTI activities beyond the initial five-year period.
Assessment                                                     This creates a potential risk that the program may
                                                               require future General Fund support if it is to have
   Important to Weigh Proposal Against State’s                 an ongoing impact.
Other One-Time Priorities. In considering
                                                                   Proposal Does Not Contain Provisions for
the Governor’s smaller one-time proposals for
                                                               Legislative Oversight. Although CTI includes
2021-22, the Legislature likely will want to weigh
                                                               a data collection component intended to help
the benefits of funding these various initiatives
                                                               measure progress toward its objectives, the
against the benefits of using the funds for a few
                                                               proposed budget bill language does not contain
strategic purposes. In The 2021-22 Budget:
                                                               a requirement to report any of this data to the
California’s Fiscal Outlook, released last November,
                                                               Legislature. Having a reporting requirement is key
we recommended using one-time funds for two
                                                               to helping the Legislature understand whether the
key purposes: restoring budget resilience and
                                                               initiative is having its intended impact. Program
mitigating the adverse effects of the pandemic.
                                                               reporting could also help inform the Legislature’s
The Governor’s CTI proposal is not tightly linked to
                                                               decisions about whether to fund similar initiatives in
either of these purposes. While the pandemic has
                                                               the future.
highlighted attention on the technology industry,
a bachelor’s degree program does not provide                   Recommendation
immediate employment benefits, in contrast to the
short-term workforce training programs typically                  Consider Redirecting Funds Toward
used to respond economic downturns.                            Other One-Time Priorities. Given the above
                                                               considerations, the Legislature may wish to reject
   Proposal Would Likely Have Minor Impact
                                                               the Governor’s CTI proposal and redirect the
on State’s Equity Goals. Although the Governor’s
                                                               associated funds toward other one-time priorities,
CTI proposal would expand the reach of the
                                                               including restoring budget resilience and mitigating
existing program at CSU Monterey Bay and Hartnell
                                                               the effects of the pandemic. If the Legislature
College, the scale of the proposed initiative remains
                                                               wishes instead to pursue this proposal, it could
small relative to the state’s higher education
                                                               request that the administration and CTI program
system. In addition to targeted proposals such
                                                               team provide a financial sustainability plan this
as this one, the Governor’s budget contains
                                                               spring that provides further detail, including
broader strategies to increase equity, including an
                                                               potential ongoing funding sources and amounts
expectation that all three public higher education
                                                               beyond the initial five-year funding period. A
segments reduce student equity gaps as a
                                                               financial sustainability plan could inform the
condition of receiving base increases in 2021-22.
                                                               Legislature’s decision as to whether providing initial
(We cover this expectation in The 2021-22 Budget:
                                                               state funding could have long-lasting effects. Were
Analysis of the Major University Proposals.)
                                                               the Legislature to provide funding for this initiative,

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we encourage it to modify the Governor’s proposal                 how the funds were being spent; the types of
to improve oversight. Specifically, the Legislature               programming and student support provided;
could include a requirement that the program                      the number of students participating; and their
submit annual reports during the initial five-year                retention, graduation, and job placement rates, as
period that contain key information, including                    this data becomes available.

Use of Restricted Funds
   In this section, we focus on a trailer bill proposal           internally under normal circumstances, as accounts
that would allow CSU to transfer funds among                      typically have sufficient revenues to cover their
certain accounts. We first provide background                     expenses.
on current restrictions on how CSU may use its                       CSU’s Noncore Programs Have Experienced
funds, then discuss the Governor’s proposal to                    Significant Revenue Losses Over Past Year.
provide greater flexibility during the pandemic,                  Due to the pandemic, noncore programs such
analyze that proposal, and make an associated                     as housing and parking are operating at reduced
recommendation.                                                   capacity, resulting in significant revenue losses.
                                                                  Based on a fall 2020 campus survey, CSU
Background                                                        estimates that its revenue losses total $689 million
   CSU Maintains Separate Accounts for                            from March through December 2020. CSU is
Certain Programs. Campuses have a core                            addressing a portion of these revenue losses
operating account that supports their academic                    using federal funds for institutional relief, which
programs. Campuses maintain separate accounts                     total $854 million to date. (These federal relief
for their noncore programs (also known as                         funds also can be used to cover extraordinary
“enterprise programs”), including housing, parking,               costs associated with the pandemic, such as
continuing education, student body centers,                       higher technology costs resulting from more online
and health facilities. These noncore programs                     instruction. We cover federal relief in our recent
are self-supporting, with user fees set to cover                  post.) Despite operating at reduced capacity,
associated costs. Consistent with this financing                  noncore programs still have some continued
principle, under current law, noncore revenues                    expenses, such as employee compensation and
generally must remain within the associated                       service contracts.
program. For example, parking fee revenues
support parking expenses, and housing fee                         Proposal
revenues support housing expenses. (State law                        Governor Proposes to Remove Restrictions
makes an exception for debt service on university                 on CSU’s Accounts. The proposed trailer bill
bonds, explicitly authorizing CSU to pledge                       language would allow CSU to transfer funds
revenues across its accounts.)                                    across accounts, or use funds in any account
   State Law Authorizes Internal Borrowing                        for any purpose, regardless of existing statutory
Across CSU Accounts. State law explicitly                         restrictions. This flexibility is intended to mitigate
authorizes CSU to borrow funds from one of its                    the effects of the pandemic, remaining operative
accounts for another account. For example, the                    through June 30, 2023. The flexibility generally
housing program at a given campus could borrow                    applies to core and noncore funds. However,
from the continuing education program. However,                   the proposed language explicitly excludes tuition
the loan must be repaid with interest by the time                 revenue (the main source of balances in the
funds are needed for expenditure within the original              core operating account) and lottery revenue. In
account. The need for repayment creates a future                  contrast to current law, funds transferred under
cost pressure for the program that borrows the                    the proposed language would not need to be
funds. CSU indicates programs do not borrow                       repaid. The proposed language would require

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any transferred funds to first be used to mitigate             possibly provide an even larger third round of
impacts to programs that predominately support                 institutional relief in the coming months. Second,
underrepresented students, expand online                       campuses could draw on their noncore reserves,
education, or provide for continued employment.                which totaled $1.1 billion at the end of the 2019-20
(The administration suggests that supporting                   fiscal year. Although a portion of these reserves
noncore programs such as housing and parking                   have been committed for planned activities, these
could meet the first of these criteria.)                       funds could be repurposed until the associated
   CSU Might Use Flexibility to Cover Operating                programs regain their fiscal footing. (We provide
Costs in Noncore Programs. The CSU                             further detail on university reserves in our recent
Chancellor’s Office indicates that, if campuses were           post.) Third, if a campus is unable to cover costs
to use the proposed flexibility, they would most               in a given program using federal relief funds
likely transfer funds to noncore programs that have            and campus reserves, it could use the internal
experienced significant revenue losses during the              borrowing option authorized under current law.
pandemic. The funds would be used to cover these               Given that CSU has announced plans to return to
programs’ operating costs, potentially including               largely in-person instruction in fall 2021, we expect
employee compensation.                                         noncore program revenues to begin recovering
                                                               in 2021-22 (though the amount of time it takes
Assessment                                                     these programs to return to full capacity remains
                                                               uncertain).
   Strong Rationale Needed to Remove Current
Restrictions. Under current law, the restrictions on              More Information Needed on Added Benefits
the use of CSU’s noncore funds reflect that these              of Proposed Flexibility. The main difference
programs are supported by user fees. That is, the              between the internal borrowing option authorized
students (and sometimes staff and faculty) who use             under current law and the Governor’s proposed
the programs pay for them. For example, a student              flexibility is that the latter would not require that
enrolled in a continuing education course pays a               transferred funds be repaid. This potentially
fee for that course, a student who commutes to                 benefits some future program users, but it does
campus by car pays a parking fee, and a student                so potentially at the expense of other program
who is housed in a dormitory pays a housing fee.               users. For example, if the housing program were
By extension, the students who do not use these                to borrow from continuing education under current
programs are not charged for them. In all these                law, future students using CSU housing could
cases, transferring fee revenue among accounts                 potentially see their housing fees increase during
runs contrary to the users’ expectations at the time           the repayment period. In contrast, were the funds
their fees were paid. Transferring funds without               transferred without repayment, future students
repayment also could have a negative impact on                 using CSU housing could potentially see smaller
the account from which the funds are taken, as                 increases in their housing fees, but the continuing
those funds could otherwise have been used for                 education program would have fewer funds than
future activities such as program development.                 otherwise—funds, for example, that might have
                                                               been used for research on better understanding
    Noncore Programs Have Existing Options to
                                                               student demand for certain continuing education
Cover Operating Costs. Although the pandemic
                                                               courses. The CSU Chancellor’s Office indicates that
presents extraordinary circumstances for CSU’s
                                                               the amount and duration of such fee increases are
noncore programs, campuses have several existing
                                                               not known at this time. To date, CSU campuses
options to continue covering program costs.
                                                               have not needed to borrow internally, and CSU
First, campuses could use federal relief funds. As
                                                               does not know how much campuses would use the
noted above, the first two rounds of institutional
                                                               proposed flexibility to transfer (rather than borrow)
relief funds have totaled $854 million—an amount
                                                               funds. Without this information, it is difficult for the
exceeding CSU’s estimated $689 million in revenue
                                                               Legislature to assess the impacts of the proposal.
losses through December 2020. Depending on
current negotiations, the federal government could

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Recommendation                                                   If the administration and CSU cannot provide this
                                                                 information in the spring, the Legislature may wish
   Withhold Action Pending Receipt of
                                                                 to reject the proposal in light of those drawbacks.
Additional Information. Given the considerations
                                                                 (The administration proposes similar trailer bill
above, we recommend the Legislature direct the
                                                                 language for the University of California [UC] and
administration and CSU to provide additional
                                                                 California Community Colleges, but neither of these
information estimating how much campuses would
                                                                 segments has expressed particular interest to us in
likely use the proposed flexibility, as well as the
                                                                 this flexibility. Were the Legislature to consider the
associated amount of future fee increases that
                                                                 language for these other segments, we recommend
would likely be avoided as a result. This information
                                                                 it direct the administration and those segments to
would allow the Legislature to weigh the benefits
                                                                 provide comparable information as that requested
of the proposal against the drawbacks of using
                                                                 of CSU.)
funds for purposes other than originally intended.

Summer Financial Aid
   In this section, we focus on financial aid for the            suspension items, for 2021-22. It postpones
summer term at CSU and UC. (We include UC in                     the suspension calculation for all items by one
this section, as the Governor’s proposal in this area            year—to the May Revision for 2022-23. At that
applies similarly to both segments.) We first provide            point, unless estimated General Fund revenues
background on the state’s recent funding for                     exceed expenditures in 2022-23 and 2023-24 by
summer financial aid at CSU and UC, then discuss                 at least the total cost of the suspension items, then
the Governor’s proposal to postpone the potential                these items are to be automatically suspended on
suspension of this funding, and make associated                  December 31, 2022.
recommendations.                                                    Recommend Eliminating Suspension
   State Provided Funding for New Summer                         Language. In The 2021-22 Budget: The Governor’s
Financial Aid Grants, Subject to Suspension.                     Suspension Proposal, we raise several concerns
The 2019-20 Budget Act and 2020-21 Budget Act                    regarding the Governor’s broader approach to
each provided $6 million to CSU and $4 million                   suspensions across the state budget. Although
to UC for new summer financial aid grants. Under                 the suspension items are treated as temporary
the associated budget bill language, CSU and UC                  spending, they tend to support programs that are
could provide summer-term grants to students                     ongoing in nature. Treating them as temporary
eligible for state financial aid. In both budget acts,           therefore understates the true ongoing cost of the
this funding (and more than a dozen other items                  state’s policy commitments. Moreover, the potential
across the state budget) is subject to potential                 suspensions create uncertainty for program
suspension on December 31, 2021. Specifically,                   providers and recipients, making planning and
when submitting the May Revision later this                      implementation more difficult. For these reasons,
year, the Department of Finance is to compare                    we recommend the Legislature eliminate the
estimated General Fund revenues to expenditures                  suspension language. As an alternative to using the
in 2021-22 and 2022-23. Unless revenues exceed                   Governor’s proposed suspension calculation, the
expenditures in both years by at least the total cost            Legislature could instead decide whether to fund
of all suspension items, then all these items are to             the suspension items based on the merits of each
be automatically suspended.                                      item.
   Governor Proposes to Postpone Suspension                         Recommend Reevaluating Summer Financial
Calculation by One Year. The Governor’s                          Aid Funding. Whereas many of the other
budget proposes to continue funding summer                       suspension items in the state budget are tied
financial aid at CSU and UC, as well as the other                to longstanding programs with well-developed

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underlying policies, the summer financial aid                      prioritization. We recommend the Legislature
funds at CSU and UC were provided for the first                    fundamentally reevaluate whether to continue this
time only two years ago and had limited policy                     funding, taking into consideration its merits, other
development. Summer financial aid grants at CSU                    financial aid programs, and the state’s projected
and UC could potentially support several laudable                  operating deficit. If the Legislature chooses to fund
policy objectives, including increasing aid for                    summer financial aid grants at CSU and UC on an
students with financial need, reducing students’                   ongoing basis, we recommend it adopt statute to
time to degree, and improving utilization of campus                define clear policy objectives for the new program,
facilities during the summer. However, current law                 establish program rules that align with those
does not identify any of these objectives for the                  objectives, and identify ways to measure progress
summer financial aid funds. Moreover, no statutory                 toward those objectives over time.
rules guide grant size, coverage, or student

LAO Publications

This report was prepared by Lisa Qing, and reviewed by Jennifer Pacella and Anthony Simbol. The Legislative
Analyst’s Office (LAO) is a nonpartisan office that provides fiscal and policy information and advice to the Legislature.

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