A new RenAIssance for the future of Education - Prof. Francesco Profumo, Chairman
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A new RenAIssance for the future of Education Prof. Francesco Profumo, Chairman The “good” algorithm? Artificial Intelligence, Ethics, Law, Health Vatican City, 27th February 2020
AI winter When The '80s Technological context Experiments conducted in various research centers fail to fully meet the high expectations of impact on the market and on society Example "Toy examples" promising but not yet capable of responding to the typical complexity of real applications A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 2
AI spring When The ‘90s Technological context A significant increase in the reliability of the algorithms allows AI to go beyond the perimeter of the academy, reaching the most advanced industrial contexts Example NASA Deep Space 1 (first system to control a spacecraft without human supervision) A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 3
AI summer When After 2000 Technological context AI becomes extremely pervasive, taking root in a lot of sectors and enabling profitable business models Example GAFA (Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple) A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 4
AI summer: AI in everyday life Market intelligence Conversational agents Dynamic pricing Chatbots Automated trading system Voice user interfaces Market forecasts Virtual assistants Operational optimization Advanced customization Route planning Content recommendation Stock management Precision medicine Predictive maintenance Personalized advertising Autonomous systems Anomaly detection Industrial robots Banking fraud detection Driverless vehicles Insurance fraud detection Self-flying drones Proactive functional medicine A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 5
AI summer: an additional economic output The economic impact of AI AI has the potential to double annual economic growth rates (%) 05 4,6 05 4,1 04 3,9 14% 3,6 04 3,2 03 03 03 2,9 2,7 2,7 2,6 2,5 2,5 03 2,1 Potential global GDP growth 02 1,7 1,6 1,7 1,6 1,7 1,8 by 2030 02 1,4 1,4 01 01 0,8 01 00 United States Finland United Sweden Netherlands Germany Austria France Japan Belgium Spain Italy Kingdom Baseline AI steady state Source: Accenture and Frontier Economics A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 6
AI summer: an additional economic output (cont’d) More efficiency and effectiveness Trillions of $ 18 16 14 12 10 $15.7tr 8 Potential contribution to the 6 global economy by 2030 4 from AI 2 0 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Quality Time saved Personalization Labor productivity Source: PwC A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 7
The world we want: a future for all Towards 2030 The United Nations in 2015 set 17 goals to promote long-term human well-being They are universally valid, meaning that all countries must contribute to achieve these goals A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 8
Education as driver of social mobility Towards 2030 Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 9
A new RenAIssance for the future of Education How to rethink education in view of the increasing presence of AI: three perspectives Education to AI AI for education Education for AI A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 10
AI for Education: challenges A global learning crisis Good education: the best investment a society can make for its future Children and adolescents not achieving minimum proficiency (%) AI is playing an increasingly important role in building the future of teaching and learning. 88 Sub-Saharan Africa 84 81 Main challenges: Central and Southern Asia 76 Latin America and the Carribean 36 52 No child left behind: high disparities in educational opportunities by region, gender and 57 Northern Africa and Western Asia 57 socioeconomic background Eastern and South-Eastern Asia 31 28 New educational models (from the one-to-many to many-to-many) and new market spaces Oceania 22 22 for private actors Europe and Northern America 14 14 Large amounts of data collected from students to manage World 58 56 00 20 40 60 80 100 Reading Mathematics More than half a billion children worldwide do not have basic skills (source: United Nations) Source: United Nations A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 11
AI for Education: opportunities Innovative teaching methods to leverage new technologies For students: Remove linguistic and logistic barriers, issues and inequalities Tailor and personalize learning, based on abilities, needs and experience (e.g.: AI-powered chatbots, smart notes, flashcards, virtual facilitators, autonomous assistants) For teachers: Enhance new learning outcomes, improving quality provided Manage back office and administrative activities, offering more time to focus on educating students and research A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 12
Education for AI: challenges Disruption in labor market: be prepared to manage the change A new human-machine interaction: automation will reach 50 percent of work activities AI as job category killer (e.g.: transportation, retail, professional employment services, customer service) Increasing mismatch between skills and jobs: a development of competencies is needed, less routine skills will become more important The number of graduates in STEM is around 4 percent in EU, but demand for STEM jobs is expected to grow by around 8 percent by 2025 (source: European Commission) Source: McKinsey A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 13
Education for AI: opportunities How to reinforce our educational system by developing new competencies Increase technological understanding (schools and universities) Support workforces in reskilling and upskilling (business community) Lifelong learning (all people) Create good environment to invest in people’s capabilities (governments) A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 14
Education to AI: challenges AI must be used for the good of our societies and the sustainable development Business is concerned about AI Organizations have experienced ethical issues with AI in the last 3 years (%) AI brings new challenges in terms of governance related to its interaction with human cognitive France 89 capacities and automatic decisions making: Italy 88 Netherlands 87 information asymmetry (only developers understand how algorithms are constructed and Spain 87 work) Overall 86 average lack of a legal and regulatory framework (trade-off dilemma between data ownership, open Germany 86 access to data, and data privacy protection) UK 86 mismatch ‘good for people’ vs. ‘good for governments’ China 85 India 85 US 85 Sweden 83 80 85 90 Every day the world creates 2.5 quintillion bytes of data (source: World Economic Forum) Source: Capgemini Research Institute A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 15
Education to AI: opportunities Ethical AI: the leading role of EU EU should exercise its leadership to promote a ‘human-centric’ approach to AI. Seven key requirements defined in 2019 by the European Commission for achieving trustworthy AI: human agency and oversight technical robustness and safety privacy and data governance transparency diversity, non-discrimination and fairness societal and environmental well-being accountability A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 16
Disruption is the new normal A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 17
A future-proof education in the age of algorithms 65% of children entering primary school today will ultimately end up working in completely new job types that do not yet exist (source: World Economic Forum) Due to accelerating technological changes, workers will have to modify 50-60% of their business-as-usual in the next 5 years (source: EY) Over 20 new job categories will be created in the next 10 years (source: Cognizant) A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 18
Education is simply the soul of a society as it passes from one generation to another Teach students how to learn A lifelong learning model: people will go back to school several times in their life Creativity and soft skills as the linchpin of the next-generation learning process Produce multi-disciplinary professionals, with robust STEM competencies and non- technical competencies Let’s build the future together! A new RenAIssance for the future of Education 19
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