Power-to-gas and Hydrogen Storage for Decentralized Energy Systems: Application at the Neighbourhood and District Scale - Portia Murray
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Power-to-gas and Hydrogen Storage for Decentralized Energy Systems: Application at the Neighbourhood and District Scale Portia Murraya,b Dr. Kristina Orehounigb Professor Dr. Jan Carmelieta aETH Zurich - Chair of Building Physics bEmpa - Urban Energy Systems Laboratory Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 1
Agenda 1. Motivation: Why investigate Decentralized Power-to-Gas systems? 2. Optimization Methodology 3. Analysis for two case studies from 2015 to 2050 4. Conclusions and Future Work Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 2
Current Energy Structure in Switzerland Source: IEA Switzerland – Energy System Overview Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 4
Nuclear replaced with renewable energy Source: Swiss Energy Strategy 2050 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 5
Distributed renewables can play a large role Left: Technical potential of rooftop PV electricity production (GWh/year) for each commune in Switzerland. Right: Comparison between current and forecasted monthly PV electricity production (GWh/month) for 1901 communes in Switzerland (current year marked in red; year 2050 marked in orange), and Swiss electricity consumption in 2015 in GWh/month (marked in blue). Source: Dan Assouline, Dr. Nahid Mohajeri, Prof. Jean-Louis Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 8 Scartezzini, EPFL
Short vs. Long Term Storage Losses over time 120 100 Energy stored (kWh) Hydrogen 80 60 Battery 40 20 TES 0 0 50 100 150 Hours Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 10
Power-to-Gas in MES Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 11
Additional hydrogen pathways Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 12
Comparison to other storage systems • Hydrogen is one of the few storage technologies that has a storage duration for longer than one day • Can also be installed in very small or large systems • It is a form of chemical energy storage, therefore is not subject to time dependent losses Source: Siemens AG 2012 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 13
Duration of storage for Centralized and Decentralized Systems Decentralized Storage Centralized Storage
Power-to-X • Power-to-Gas: Water electrolysis to H2, CO2 methanation to form CH4 • Power-to-Heat: Storing of surplus electricity through electrical heating devices (heat pumps, resistance heaters) and storing hot water • Power-to-Liquid: From H2 and CO2 to produce liquid fuel (ethanol, methanol, etc.) as fuels for mobility or as feedstocks for the chemical industry Power-to-X Process Efficiency Power-to-hydrogen (Elec-H2) 0.7-0.8 Power-to-methane (Elec-H2-CH4) 0.48-0.6 Power-to-liquid (methanol) 0.42-0.52 Power-to-power (Elec-H2-Elec) via PEM fuel cell 0.34-0.44 Power-to-power (Elec-CH4-Elec) via combined cycle plant 0.3-0.38 Power-to-CHP (Elec-H2-Elec+Heat) via PEM fuel cell 0.48-0.62 Power-to-CHP (Elec-CH4-Elec+Heat) via combined cycle plant 0.43-0.54 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 15
First Test Case: Zuchwil, Solothurn Source: Regio Energie Solothurn Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 16
First Test Case in Switzerland: Regio Energie Solothurn Source: Regio Energie Solothurn Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 17
MES Design and Operation Optimization Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 18
Multi-energy system optimization The energy hub concept: • Tool that optimizes the configuration, design and operations of energy systems • Balances energy carriers (i.e. electricity, heat, natural gas, or hydrogen) • Coupling matrix for conversion efficiencies • Constraints due to power flow, maximum capacities, start-up conditions, etc. • Decision variables: both design, operation, and scheduling Source: Geidl et al. The Energy Hub – A Powerful Concept for Future Energy Systems. 2007 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 19
Multi-energy system configuration Energy Sources Energy Converters and Storage Energy Demand Electrical Building potential electricity demand PV PEMEC Battery Storage Hydro Hydrogen PEMFC storage Elec. Grid Thermal Building Storage Heat grid heat demand Ground GSHP Natural Gas- gas boilers Electricity Heat H2 Natural gas Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 20
Demand Modelling Geometry (2.5D) Climate Data (SIA 2028) Building envelope Schedule files (SIA 2024) (Construction database based on age)* Model from Wang et al. “CESAR: A bottom-up housing stock model for Switzerland to address sustainable energy trans-formation strategies' submitted to Energy and Buildings” Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 21
Retrofit Modeling Demand models Retrofit const. (SIA 380/1) (Windows, façade, roof, floor, Efficiency of Lighting whole building) & Appliances Retrofit rate (Swiss Retrofit costs and Energy Strategy 2050, embodied energy WWB and NEP cases) IDF’s updated Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 22
Renewable Potential Assessment -./! − 20 767 PV: !"#$$ %, ' = !)*+ ' + 800 456$ (%, ') =#> :;< (%, ') = :;< 1 − @=#> !"#$$ (%, ') − 25 Small-hydro: 4 = :BCDE Small-wind: Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 23
Multi-Objective Optimization Methodology § Mixed integer linear problem using a CPLEX solver § 8760 hour horizon § Multi-objective approach: § Annual costs and CO2 emissions minimized § Epsilon-constraint method Pareto optimal cases: Case 1: Minimize Cost Years of analysis: Min Cost …Min … 1) 2015 (baseline) CO2 Case n: Minimize cost 2) 2020 $%2()*+ − $%2-./ !" : $%2" ≤ 3) 2035 0−1 4) 2050 … Case 10: Minimize CO2 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 24
Constraints Constraint Description Equations Performance Piecewise affine linear (fuel cells, curves electrolysers), linear approximations for part-load efficiency curves Hydrogen system Mass balance on the hydrogen storage including direct injection Hydrogen Compression of hydrogen to storage compression at 90 bar Battery and Capacity, charging, and discharging thermal storages efficiencies of battery and thermal storages Ramp up/down Constraints controlling the start-up, constraints shut-down, ramp-up and ramp-down of technologies Energy balances Conservation of energy for all energy carriers Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 25
Future scenario investigation from 2015-2050 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 26
Case Studies in different municipal contexts Zernez Altstetten Type Rural (alps) Suburban/commercial Renewable Solar, hydro, and wind Solar Potentials Demand data 308 buildings 78 buildings (2015-2050) Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 27
Decentralized P2H System Schematic Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 28
Model Workflow Future economic, performance, and Environ- mental parameters Renewable energy potential modeling IPCC SRES Simulation Scenarios Future Weather data Optimisation 2015 2050 Building demand Building geometry and retrofit energy Simulation Year and data calculation Multi-objective analysis Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 29
Future scenario development is based on the two axes of the well-established IPCC SRES scenarios § IPCC’s Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) from 2000 is the key reference in scenario development/analysis with more than 5000 citations § The scenarios are based on four narrative storylines (A1, A2, B1, B2) that had a lasting impact on the subsequent literature of scenario analysis More Economic Scenario 1: Conventional Markets More More Globalization Global Regional Scenario 2: Scenario 3: Global Sustainable Regional Sustainable Development Development More Environmental Sustainability Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 30 Source: Takle (2006) adapted from IPCC (2000)
Future scenario development is based on the two axes of the well-established IPCC SRES scenarios § IPCC’s Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) from 2000 is the key reference in scenario development/analysis with more than 5000 citations § The scenarios are based on four narrative storylines (A1, A2, B1, B2) that had a lasting impact on the subsequent literature of scenario analysis More Economic 1 «Conventional markets» «Baseline» More More Globalization Global 0 Regional «Global Sustainable «Regional Sustainable Development» Development» 2 3 More Environmental Sustainability Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 31 Source: Takle (2006) adapted from IPCC (2000)
Three scenario profiles were defined to describe the potential developments to 2020, 2035 and 2050 0 1 2 3 2015 2020 – 2035 – 2050 2020 – 2035 – 2050 2020 – 2035 – 2050 Name «Baseline» «Conventional markets» «Global Sustainable «Regional Sustainable Development» Development» Logic 2015 levels Global markets that are Global markets that are well Local/decentralized systems (as-is) well connected, RES connected, fossil phase-out, with high RES share, fossil deployment remains on a high RES deployment in phase-out low-level. centralized settings (cf. «business as usual») Variables - excerpt - Energy prices as-is low medium high (e.g. electricity, gas, oil) Feed-in tariff as-is low (fast phase-out) high medium (slow phase-out) CO2 tax as-is low (as-is) high high Demand reduction none low/none (as-is) medium-high (efficiency) medium-high (efficiency) Technology cost as-is, RES high, fossil-fueled low, RES low, fossil-fueled medium RES low, fossil-fueled medium medium others medium (as-is), others medium (as-is), others medium Tech. performance as-is, RES as-is, fossil-fueled high, RES high, fossil-fueled as-is, RES high, fossil-fueled as-is, medium others medium others medium others medium Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 32
Major Parameters for the Optimization Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 33
Temperature Change for Scenarios Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report "Climate Change 2001”; Weather files from Meteonorm Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 34
Future Demand: 2015 - 2050 Retrofit rates: WWB: Business as usual (~1% buildings) NEP: New energy policy (~2% buildings) Weather files: A1B: Business as usual emissions (temperature increase 3°C) B1: Temperature increase limited to 2°C B2: Temperature increase 2.5°C Conventional Markets: WWB – A1B Global Sustainable Development: NEP – B1 Regional Sustainable Development NEP – B2 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 35
Input Data • Energy demand predicted to decrease over time, but renewable potential will remain approximately the same • Renewable surpluses will increase over time Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 36
Swiss Energy Strategy Targets !# != $ #$ ! is the carbon emission target 300.00 for buildings kg CO2 20 2050 Energy consumption (kWh/m2) 250.00 10 # is the energy demand (kWh) Building retrofit $ is the building ?loor area (m2) 200.00 Renewable energy system 150.00 integration Carbon emissions targets and 100.00 floor area are fixed in the energy strategy for the years of 50.00 2020, 2030, 2040, and 2050, 0.00 @ A 0 50 100 150 200 250 therefore and must be Carbon intensity (gCO2/kWh) A B reduced to meet the targets Emissions Target Source: Mavromatidis, Georgios, Kristina Orehounig, Peter Richner, and Jan Carmeliet. 2016. “A Strategy for Reducing CO2 Emissions from Buildings with the Kaya Identity – A Swiss Energy System Analysis and a Case Study.” Energy Policy 88: 343–54. Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 37
Comparison with 2050 Emissions Targets 2020 2015 2035 2015 2020 2035 2050 2050 2015 2015 2035 2020 2050 2020 2050 2035 2015 2015 2020 2020 2035 2035 2050 2050 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 38
Pareto Fronts Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 39
Storage Sizing Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 40
Conversion Technology Sizing Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 41
Cost objective Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 42
Decentralized System Evolution Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 43
Use of Storage Systems Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 44
Conclusions and Future Work Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 45
Conclusions § P2G can be a useful technology in the future, particularly in in scenarios where: 1. There is a large renewable surplus compared to the local demand. For districts with low amounts of renewable potential, short-term storage is sufficient 2. The FIT in the future is very low or phased out (i.e. the Conventional Markets or the Renewable Sustainable Development scenarios). In these cases, it is no longer profitable to sell excess renewable electricity back to the grid. In order to obtain the value of this generation, it must be stored or lost. 3. Buildings are retrofitted to lower high heating demand § Estimated that the technology will likely become more economically feasible by 2035 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 46
Future Work: Methanation Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 47
Future Work: Transport demands Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 48
Publications Journal Articles: P. Murray, K. Orehounig, D. Grosspietsch, J. Carmeliet, “A Comparison of Storage Systems in Neighbourhood Decentralized Energy System Applications from 2015 to 2050,” Applied Energy. In press. Conference Papers: P. Murray, K. Orehounig, J. Carmeliet, “Optimal Design of Multi-Energy Systems at Different Degrees of Decentralization.” submitted to ICAE 2018, Hong Kong, China. P. Murray, K. Orehounig, A. Omu, J. Carmeliet, “Impact of Renewable Energy Potential on the Feasibility of Power to Hydrogen in Different Municipal Contexts.” presented at ECOS 2018, Guimares, Portugal, 2018. P. Murray, A. Omu, K. Orehounig, and J. Carmeliet, “Power-to-gas for Decentralized Energy Systems: Development of an Energy Hub Model for Hydrogen Storage,” presented at the Building Simulation 2017, San Francisco, USA. Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 49
Acknowledgements § I would like to thank my supervisors (Kristina Orehounig and Professor Jan Carmeliet) as well as all of my IMES project Partners partners for their contributions to this work § This work was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF) under the Energy Turnaround National Research Programme NRP70 Portia Murray | 06.06.18 | 50
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