5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford

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5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
5G and Deep Fibre
September 2019

Peter Curnow-Ford

©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
•   5G – The hype
                          •   What is it
                          •   Timeline 2018 – 2025
                          •   Operators – 5G
                          •   4G to 5G Transition
                          •   4G Advanced Pro
                          •   Initial 5G Launch
                          •   5G Standalone
                          •   Small Cell Options
                          •   Neutral Host
                          •   Summary

 Agenda

©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
Bio
    Peter is the Founder and Managing Partner at Viatec Associates and its global business.
    With 30+ years’ experience in global telecoms and IT, Peter founded Viatec Associates in
                                                                                                 Peter Curnow-Ford
    2002 to assist organisations with decision making in the cellular, satellite, and wireless
    landscape. This includes device and handset management, thought leadership, 4G and           Partner & Founder at Viatec Associates
    5G, spectrum use and acquisition, tower (cell site) development and funding, public          Senior 5G Advisor at 5G-Courses.com
    safety, transport connectivity, and cellular backhaul including small-cell strategies and
    mmWave. Viatec has supported many Investment Banks, Private Equity, and Hedge Funds
    on infrastructure investment.
    5G largely figures in what Peter does - commercial strategy, value proposition,
    investment, spectrum acquisition, Deep Fibre and infrastructure all required by 5G
    Technology. He is currently engaged with UK Govt DCMS and their 5G Testbed & Trials
    competitions and with several Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs) assisting them and
    their local authorities on 5G funding and the rollout of 5G Private Networks.
    Peter is a member of the techUK Communication Infrastructure Council and Board
    Advisor to the UK Spectrum Policy Forum (where he was Chair of Spectrum Access and
    Use for 5 years). He is a Board Member of the UK Fibre Connectivity Forum (UKFCF).
    He is a regular conference speaker and has chaired several panel sessions at TMT Finance
    M&A, 5G World, Small Cell World Summit and the Commonwealth Telecommunications
    Organisation. He has also held Non-Exec roles in Plasma Antennas, Eisar, Bluenowhere,
    Safetipay, etc, and is currently Board Advisor to Dahl Mobile Technology AB, ProtectMe,
    NextPath, and Snr 5G Advisor to 5G-Courses.com.

©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
5G - The
Hype

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                          4
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
What is 5G?

©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
Trials Timeline 2014 - 2024   2022 - 5G SA Core – Rls 17
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©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
5G – Operators

              UK & European Market:
              •   MNOs 4G deployment led for next 5 years (Virtualisation, Fibre, etc)
              •   Early 5G trials – commercial in 2H ‘19
              •   Government’s and Technology Vendors big drivers in Europe

©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
4G to 5G Transition – what changes?

©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
4G Advanced/Adv Pro – Fibre
      • Centralised Switch centres/DCs
      • Approx 60 to 70% backhaul is microwave
      • Fibre backbone between DCs
      • Limited fibre connected roof tops and towers
      • Most all monopoles have ethernet or microwave
      • Users consuming 3 to 6GB per month
      • 300Mbps common on backhaul

©Viatec Associates 2019
5G and Deep Fibre September 2019 Peter Curnow-Ford
O2 is working with Nokia on two
                                                      massive MIMO trials in Kings
                                                      Cross and Marble Arch
Customers in Birmingham, Bristol, Cardiff, Glasgow,
Liverpool, London and Manchester set to try out 5G

 5G – Antenna - MIMO
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Initial 5G Launch – NSA - Fibre
      • 5G radio added to existing 4G core and 4G transmission network
      • Operators deciding on fibre strategy
           • Vodafone, keep 6 DCs but newly upgraded Red Stream network
           • Three, moved from 6 to 21 DCs, decentralised each with own fibre ring
             connected to backbone ring
           • EE, moving to BT Wholesale 1200 exchange centred fibre
           • O2 – working with Vodafone
      • Urban sites, fibred, min 1Gbps, upgradable to 10Gbps
      • Microwave still dominant

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Is FTTP the same as Deep Fibre
      • FTTP/H centred on
           • OR – existing BT exchanges
           • Alt-Nets – Own termination points, leverage other backbone
      • Capacity and structure
           • 26 million homes, mix of PON, GPON, Ethernet
      • Deep Fibre
           •   Centred on 38,500 towers, including roof tops = 47,000, sites
           •   Aggregated including shared sites – approx. 64,000 transmission end points
           •   Use Star and hub approach
           •   Fastest route to DCs

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5G Standalone – Fibre
      • gNodeB direct connects to Core DC
      • Control and User Plane – able to split off data
      • 6GB/month => 98GB/month by 2025, peaks of 300GB+ per user
      • Video dominant bandwidth consumer
      • Transmission critical and expensive
      • mmWave not included in above

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Small Cell – Fibre Options
      • Currently limited deployment – 300Mbps backhaul typical
      • mmWave 5G, 10Gbps per cell
      • Small Cell Hotel
           •   Existing challenge cost of cells and backhaul
           •   Hotel – use RRU and dark fibre
           •   24Gbps or 40Gbps per cell
           •   Future eCPRI could drop this to 2.5Gbps per cell
           •   10’s of cells per hotel
      • Leverage street dig – lighting, fibre, EV power/charging

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Neutral Host – Edge Computing
      • Two+, typically 4 Operators on single indoor network
      • Owned by 3rd party or property owner/landlord
      • Mix of own or operator 4G/5G radios
      • Up to 10Gbps per operator into ‘net

      • Edge computing – Data network
      • Direct to I’net breakout
      • Netflix 200TB / server

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Summary
      • Current 4G needs 4 more years – Advanced Pro + fibre
      • 5G NSA needs loads of fibre
      • 5G Standalone needs truck loads of fibre
      • FTTP rollout doesn’t help
      • Small Cells need dark fibre at street level
      • Edge Computing + Content = local fibre at tower
      • Operators differing strategies
      • Fibre Players need to step up

©Viatec Associates 2019
• Peter Curnow-Ford
                                      • petercf@viatec.co.uk
                                      • www.viatecassociates.com
                                      • @wifiwired

                          Thank you

©Viatec Associates 2019
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